I can share the experiences of others confirming it's a very pleasant afternoon with plenty of people out and about.
That said, glad to be back home and ready to enter the "fray" on here.
As I don't believe in bringing a knife to a gun fight, I don't comment on AI though the domination of topic after topic by one individual on one subject is in itself a sign.
The problem is there's very little happening in politics currently. The polls aren't moving yet and the Conservatives seem to have mentally given up - "sleepwalking to disaster" as someone once said. A significant Labour majority seems probablr though the implications of that for the medium term political outlook seem uncertain.
As in early 1997, there's a view among some supporters of the Government the incoming Labour administration will swiftly beome unpopular and the country will suddenly clamour for the return of the Tories. That seems improbable given Labour can heap blams on the outgoing Tories for most of what is happening and some (perhaps not many) of those Conservatives responsble will be on the opposition benches.
If Labour do become unpopular in short order (as seems possible given headwinds vs hope pinning) then it won't be the Tories benefitting short term. Could well be ripe territory for Farage and Galloway to get (new or further) traction, or on the left some sort of broad socialist vehicle under Corbynites or magic pops himself. Polling narrowing provably won't happen sans dark swans until any 'stop/fear Labour' uncommitted/don't knows start focusing on a defined date ahead, if at all. Personally feel somewhere around 40/29 feels about the mark for result, Tories on 140 to 190 depending on tactical efforts
Just run down into Putney to have a look at the beginnings of the Boat Race. It's lovely and sunny!
First nice day in almost forever (or at least it feels like that) and I was reduced to the extreme boredom of the rowing machine, ironically enough. Can't get out on the roads for weeks, because my knee gave out on me a few days ago. There are few things more frustrating than injuries, which typically take a bloody age to get better. Getting old is rubbish.
But yes, at least the unfamiliar golden orb is visible in the sky, and it's not pissing with rain for once. We must be grateful for small mercies.
Just run down into Putney to have a look at the beginnings of the Boat Race. It's lovely and sunny!
First nice day in almost forever (or at least it feels like that) and I was reduced to the extreme boredom of the rowing machine, ironically enough. Can't get out on the roads for weeks, because my knee gave out on me a few days ago. There are few things more frustrating than injuries, which typically take a bloody age to get better. Getting old is rubbish.
But yes, at least the unfamiliar golden orb is visible in the sky, and it's not pissing with rain for once. We must be grateful for small mercies.
This is one prediction I got totally wrong. It's a pleasant Easter
I can share the experiences of others confirming it's a very pleasant afternoon with plenty of people out and about.
That said, glad to be back home and ready to enter the "fray" on here.
As I don't believe in bringing a knife to a gun fight, I don't comment on AI though the domination of topic after topic by one individual on one subject is in itself a sign.
The problem is there's very little happening in politics currently. The polls aren't moving yet and the Conservatives seem to have mentally given up - "sleepwalking to disaster" as someone once said. A significant Labour majority seems probablr though the implications of that for the medium term political outlook seem uncertain.
As in early 1997, there's a view among some supporters of the Government the incoming Labour administration will swiftly beome unpopular and the country will suddenly clamour for the return of the Tories. That seems improbable given Labour can heap blams on the outgoing Tories for most of what is happening and some (perhaps not many) of those Conservatives responsble will be on the opposition benches.
If Labour do become unpopular in short order (as seems possible given headwinds vs hope pinning) then it won't be the Tories benefitting short term. Could well be ripe territory for Farage and Galloway to get (new or further) traction, or on the left some sort of broad socialist vehicle under Corbynites or magic pops himself. Polling narrowing provably won't happen sans dark swans until any 'stop/fear Labour' uncommitted/don't knows start focusing on a defined date ahead, if at all. Personally feel somewhere around 40/29 feels about the mark for result, Tories on 140 to 190 depending on tactical efforts
That often happens with new Governments taking over long periods of power by the other main opposition party. It's the minor parties who are the initial beneficiaries of disillusion with the new Government so I'd expect the LDs, Greens and even Reform if they remain separate to do well in local and parliamentary by elections. It can be a journey for the previous governing party to regain the popularity they once had.
The split of around 60 to about 35 seems pretty consistent so does the 35 split Con 30, Ref 5 or Con 25, Ref 10 as that would make a big difference? LDs 10, Green 5 means Labour on 45 and that's a majority but could we see Lab 40, LD 15, Green 5 and that puts us in a very different place? As you say, tactical voting is another conundrum we've yet to resolve.
Just run down into Putney to have a look at the beginnings of the Boat Race. It's lovely and sunny!
First nice day in almost forever (or at least it feels like that) and I was reduced to the extreme boredom of the rowing machine, ironically enough. Can't get out on the roads for weeks, because my knee gave out on me a few days ago. There are few things more frustrating than injuries, which typically take a bloody age to get better. Getting old is rubbish.
But yes, at least the unfamiliar golden orb is visible in the sky, and it's not pissing with rain for once. We must be grateful for small mercies.
This is one prediction I got totally wrong. It's a pleasant Easter
I think a June/July election has got to be value at this point.
Why? The Conservatives will get tonked in the locals, then what? Tories pressing Rishi to resign will not be doing so because they want to see Starmer in Number 10. They will be hoping for someone to turn things round, which surely gets us through the summer.
I agree. May was always possible, but waiting until you get a thrashing in the locals and then calling an election would be bizarre. The only reason for a summer election is if it is forced for some reason.
Anyway just been delivering and I'm now going out into the garden to tend my fruit and flower beds.
PS I have been reluctant to report this as, as you know, anecdotal and unreliable, but from what I have been hearing in Surrey seat canvassing the Tory vote is disintegrating.
I went for a walk earlier. Sun shining, birds singing, lambs in the fields, daffodils in full bloom at the side of the lane.
Very uplifting.
Don't let Labour ruin it.
I went for a walk today too, about 2 hours 45 minutes. Nice and sunny, though not warm. I had a great view of snow-capped Ben Lomond in the distance, and saw a mighty A380 just after take off from Glasgow Airport.
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
I think a June/July election has got to be value at this point.
Why? The Conservatives will get tonked in the locals, then what? Tories pressing Rishi to resign will not be doing so because they want to see Starmer in Number 10. They will be hoping for someone to turn things round, which surely gets us through the summer.
I agree. May was always possible, but waiting until you get a thrashing in the locals and then calling an election would be bizarre. The only reason for a summer election is if it is forced for some reason.
Anyway just been delivering and I'm now going out into the garden to tend my fruit and flower beds.
PS I have been reluctant to report this as, as you know, anecdotal and unreliable, but from what I have been hearing in Surrey seat canvassing the Tory vote is disintegrating.
The one thing the LDs can't afford to do is to be over ambitious. Stick to the plan (as someone always says) and concentrate on the seats where the work has been put in. 30 MPs mean a lot more than 20 MPs and 20 close second places.
Can I ask, with these people being turned away at the airport because of impending out of date passports - didn't they think to check the entry requirements for the country first?
When I went to Malta, I checked and they wanted a passport valid for six months. Mine had only three left, so I replaced it before checking in.
Not really hard, and would have saved any hassle at all.
I made this point on the last thread
Since 2003 when our son emigrated to New Zealand we have travelled extensively world wide and this rule applies so we renewed our passports accordingly
There is a tedious nature of the continual bewailing of our previous membership of the EU, not least because 'we have left and there is no prospect of us rejoining the single market or freedom of movement'
The quotes are by one Sir Keir Starmer just this week, and reaffirmed by the EU as well at the same time in connection with the review of the treaty next year when they reaffirned they will not reopen UKs membership
It is a forlorn hope but time to move on on the EU membership and to be fair it seems Starmer agrees
Nah. Rejoin is just off the agenda for the next 5 years, not forever.
It's impossible to resist the polling forever.
Rejoin: 48% (=) Stay out: 32% (=)
How long do you think polling on the death penalty can be resisted?
Pretty well forever. Until 60% of the electorate actually care about it enough to make a difference to the way they vote (they don't), nothing will happen.
Similarly with the EU - though the political salience of that is possibly rather more. It certainly was a decade ago, even if for now it's quiescent, But it's managed completely to wreck the Tory party in the meantime.
I think putting a Referendum on the death penalty in the Tory Manifesto is pretty much their best weapon in GE2024
That just shows what a hopeless state they're in. Still, it would at least be a clear test of how important the issue is to electors.
"Vote for us: we're shit, but we'll kill a handful of people" isn't a particularly convincing platform.
Well yes but I guess from their perspective desperate times desperate policies.
What's the betting SKS would say we will offer one too. Would definitely be good news for LDs/ Greens if so. #Hangmanslackenyournoose
Labour will kill more, sooner. Only Labour can be trusted with State human disposal
Progressive politics is all about having unborn babies put to death, not murderers.
PJ O’Rourke commented that it was interesting that you don’t find (in the US)
1) anti-abortion activists who are anti death penalty. 2) pro death penalty people who are pro abortion
Yet in the UK , you will find plenty of people who think an independent Palestine could be a viable state, but think an independent Scotland couldn't.
Ironically, it seems your ban on AI chat has killed the site: 7 comments in half an hour (the last on AI)
So the people that liked this tweet - @Foxy, @bondegezou and @Mexicanpete - don't actually have anything interesting to say, about anything else
The reason for so few comments is that sensible folk like me have been out in the sunshine and fresh air.
hah, fair enough
However I have spent the last 3 months out in the sunshine, of Thailand, Cambodia, and Colombia, so feel less of a need. Also I have a ton of work to do, having faffed about in South America
I come on here to comment whenever Claude is pondering....
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
I think a June/July election has got to be value at this point.
Why? The Conservatives will get tonked in the locals, then what? Tories pressing Rishi to resign will not be doing so because they want to see Starmer in Number 10. They will be hoping for someone to turn things round, which surely gets us through the summer.
I agree. May was always possible, but waiting until you get a thrashing in the locals and then calling an election would be bizarre. The only reason for a summer election is if it is forced for some reason.
Anyway just been delivering and I'm now going out into the garden to tend my fruit and flower beds.
PS I have been reluctant to report this as, as you know, anecdotal and unreliable, but from what I have been hearing in Surrey seat canvassing the Tory vote is disintegrating.
The one thing the LDs can't afford to do is to be over ambitious. Stick to the plan (as someone always says) and concentrate on the seats where the work has been put in. 30 MPs mean a lot more than 20 MPs and 20 close second places.
Activists don't tend to get around much: I mean maybe in South West London you might have activists from Twickenham or Richmond campaigning in Wimbledon. But outside by-elections, proof typically campaign in their local seat.
I can share the experiences of others confirming it's a very pleasant afternoon with plenty of people out and about.
That said, glad to be back home and ready to enter the "fray" on here.
As I don't believe in bringing a knife to a gun fight, I don't comment on AI though the domination of topic after topic by one individual on one subject is in itself a sign.
The problem is there's very little happening in politics currently. The polls aren't moving yet and the Conservatives seem to have mentally given up - "sleepwalking to disaster" as someone once said. A significant Labour majority seems probablr though the implications of that for the medium term political outlook seem uncertain.
As in early 1997, there's a view among some supporters of the Government the incoming Labour administration will swiftly beome unpopular and the country will suddenly clamour for the return of the Tories. That seems improbable given Labour can heap blams on the outgoing Tories for most of what is happening and some (perhaps not many) of those Conservatives responsble will be on the opposition benches.
If Labour do become unpopular in short order (as seems possible given headwinds vs hope pinning) then it won't be the Tories benefitting short term. Could well be ripe territory for Farage and Galloway to get (new or further) traction, or on the left some sort of broad socialist vehicle under Corbynites or magic pops himself. Polling narrowing provably won't happen sans dark swans until any 'stop/fear Labour' uncommitted/don't knows start focusing on a defined date ahead, if at all. Personally feel somewhere around 40/29 feels about the mark for result, Tories on 140 to 190 depending on tactical efforts
That often happens with new Governments taking over long periods of power by the other main opposition party. It's the minor parties who are the initial beneficiaries of disillusion with the new Government so I'd expect the LDs, Greens and even Reform if they remain separate to do well in local and parliamentary by elections. It can be a journey for the previous governing party to regain the popularity they once had.
The split of around 60 to about 35 seems pretty consistent so does the 35 split Con 30, Ref 5 or Con 25, Ref 10 as that would make a big difference? LDs 10, Green 5 means Labour on 45 and that's a majority but could we see Lab 40, LD 15, Green 5 and that puts us in a very different place? As you say, tactical voting is another conundrum we've yet to resolve.
I am working on the assumption the 60 35 will narrow fractionally as those left to jump in from the dont know pool tend to be of a former Tory bent now disillusioned and answering 'dunno' but might be dragged out by fear of a big Labour win, but by no more than a 1 or 2 point swing so perhaps 59 36 58 37 etc If we assume polling suggests (let's say) 24 13 Tory vs Reform going into the campaign, if the campaign produces no movement based on black swans, collapses or such I'd expect the sheer weight of ground troops, canvass data, local presence, volunteers to shift that to 27 10 or 28 9........ I agree the LD and Green scores are key as is how far over 40 Lab get, under 40 and there's a limit to their gains. The LDs might get or be competitive in 50 seats but once they get there i think anything over a national 14/15 or so is wasted until they approach 20 plus as they are so far behind outside that first 50 and would be damaging Labour in some they hope to take. Greens, I just dont know. 4 feels right
I think a June/July election has got to be value at this point.
Why? The Conservatives will get tonked in the locals, then what? Tories pressing Rishi to resign will not be doing so because they want to see Starmer in Number 10. They will be hoping for someone to turn things round, which surely gets us through the summer.
I agree. May was always possible, but waiting until you get a thrashing in the locals and then calling an election would be bizarre. The only reason for a summer election is if it is forced for some reason.
Anyway just been delivering and I'm now going out into the garden to tend my fruit and flower beds.
PS I have been reluctant to report this as, as you know, anecdotal and unreliable, but from what I have been hearing in Surrey seat canvassing the Tory vote is disintegrating.
I presume Sunak was/is hoping for better than expected local election results - maybe something that shows the pollsters have got it all wrong - then call an election on the back of that and hope to catch Labour during the campaign.
I think a June/July election has got to be value at this point.
Why? The Conservatives will get tonked in the locals, then what? Tories pressing Rishi to resign will not be doing so because they want to see Starmer in Number 10. They will be hoping for someone to turn things round, which surely gets us through the summer.
I agree. May was always possible, but waiting until you get a thrashing in the locals and then calling an election would be bizarre. The only reason for a summer election is if it is forced for some reason.
Anyway just been delivering and I'm now going out into the garden to tend my fruit and flower beds.
PS I have been reluctant to report this as, as you know, anecdotal and unreliable, but from what I have been hearing in Surrey seat canvassing the Tory vote is disintegrating.
The one thing the LDs can't afford to do is to be over ambitious. Stick to the plan (as someone always says) and concentrate on the seats where the work has been put in. 30 MPs mean a lot more than 20 MPs and 20 close second places.
And I dare say they'll do exactly that, because they are a party of limited resources.
If the Tory vote doesn't completely implode then they'll need to target those resources appropriately. If it does then they won't need to bother, as a number of additional seats will simply flip without their needing to try.
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Were that to happen and I can't conceive of it but the numbers keeping offering it as a possibility, it would be the biggest event in British politics in over a century.
The duopoly would be broken - it would be an existential event for the Conservatives who would be neither Government nor Opposition for the first time can could no longer claim to be the credible alternative Government.
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Under 100 seats is very unlikely imo, and SW Norfolk will be one of them for sure.
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Were that to happen and I can't conceive of it but the numbers keeping offering it as a possibility, it would be the biggest event in British politics in over a century.
The duopoly would be broken - it would be an existential event for the Conservatives who would be neither Government nor Opposition for the first time can could no longer claim to be the credible alternative Government.
Sometimes people don't want to believe the polls. Normalcy bias as someone used to say.
One of those things that is by its very nature a bit of a tricky one. Jeffrey Donaldson's charges.
1. Whilst its talked about as being of a historical nature, its not quite as far back as that term suggests 2. The fact that there are two women coming forward is a pointer 3. Despite how some police forces seem to work these days, tipping off the media before anyone is even charged, this didnt leak at all. I understand that any idea that other senior UK politicians might have been aware is incorrect. 4. Despite the usual online speculation that this is a dark forces conspiracy/stitch up/malevolent elites secnario, there is no evidence of that 5. Questioning to charge was extremely quick 5. Whether guilty or not, the nature of the allegations when they come out means there is not a hope in hell of him coming back. The only chance of a comeback of any sort at all is the case is dropped before it reaches court and that seems very unlikely.
Salmond was cleared of rape charges at trial, he made his comeback by founding his own party...Alba!
I think a June/July election has got to be value at this point.
Why? The Conservatives will get tonked in the locals, then what? Tories pressing Rishi to resign will not be doing so because they want to see Starmer in Number 10. They will be hoping for someone to turn things round, which surely gets us through the summer.
I agree. May was always possible, but waiting until you get a thrashing in the locals and then calling an election would be bizarre. The only reason for a summer election is if it is forced for some reason.
Anyway just been delivering and I'm now going out into the garden to tend my fruit and flower beds.
PS I have been reluctant to report this as, as you know, anecdotal and unreliable, but from what I have been hearing in Surrey seat canvassing the Tory vote is disintegrating.
I presume Sunak was/is hoping for better than expected local election results - maybe something that shows the pollsters have got it all wrong - then call an election on the back of that and hope to catch Labour during the campaign.
(Please God let the pollsters be right.)
The results will be horrible for them but the NEV will be much closer than polling I think
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
Unfortunately for them the ceiling for centre right Davey/Clegg Liberalism is about 10-15%, the only way the LDs get over 20% is with social democracy, Charles Kennedy or Roy Jenkins style (or as Clegg pretended to back in 2010)
One of those things that is by its very nature a bit of a tricky one. Jeffrey Donaldson's charges.
1. Whilst its talked about as being of a historical nature, its not quite as far back as that term suggests 2. The fact that there are two women coming forward is a pointer 3. Despite how some police forces seem to work these days, tipping off the media before anyone is even charged, this didnt leak at all. I understand that any idea that other senior UK politicians might have been aware is incorrect. 4. Despite the usual online speculation that this is a dark forces conspiracy/stitch up/malevolent elites secnario, there is no evidence of that 5. Questioning to charge was extremely quick 5. Whether guilty or not, the nature of the allegations when they come out means there is not a hope in hell of him coming back. The only chance of a comeback of any sort at all is the case is dropped before it reaches court and that seems very unlikely.
Salmond was cleared of rape charges at trial, he made his comeback by founding his own party...Alba!
And vies with Boris Johnson as the most toxic politician in Scotland.
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
My limited knowledge of the Lib Dems suggests that they're a party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives. Quite how such a party will go about trying to construct a coherent platform, if it becomes sufficiently relevant for this to be important for them again, is anyone's guess.
THREAD: What is happening in UK universities is astonishing. Right now about quarter of universities are laying off staff. Almost all universities expect to make a loss this year. And the entire thing is happening in an effort to deceive the population about migration statistics. https://twitter.com/Prolapsarian/status/1774030136737730661
This makes about as much sense was banning foreign tourism to bring down the immigration figures. It’s just self destructive.
Is it not the case that there are currently about 50% more foreign students at UK universities than there were pre-Brexit?
If they are in financial trouble it suggests there has been some ponzi-style accounting.
Or that they were told by the government that the plan was to expand the number of foreign students by 50% and budgeted on that basis?
Or the business plan closed at 50% increase
Therefore 50% *will* happen
Shades of the “linear increase on the graph proved that in 10 years our income will be 134% of global GDP”
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Were that to happen and I can't conceive of it but the numbers keeping offering it as a possibility, it would be the biggest event in British politics in over a century.
The duopoly would be broken - it would be an existential event for the Conservatives who would be neither Government nor Opposition for the first time can could no longer claim to be the credible alternative Government.
Sometimes people don't want to believe the polls. Normalcy bias as someone used to say.
Even if the polls are a reasonably accurate reflection of present sentiment, there's no guarantee that significant change won't happen during the course of an election campaign (as per 2017.)
Turning a win into a total rout will only happen if the Tory pensioner bloc vote disintegrates, through a combination of abstention and mass defections to other parties. I'm not convinced.
Interesting to note Robert Jenrick's proposal to record nationality whenever a criminal is convicted, because "We would want to apply a higher level of scrutiny to nationalities that are higher risk".
That is direct discrimination on the basis of race according to the Equality Act, because the Act explicitly says that "race" includes "nationality".
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
My limited knowledge of the Lib Dems suggests that they're a party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives. Quite how such a party will go about trying to construct a coherent platform, if it becomes sufficiently relevant for this to be important for them again, is anyone's guess.
Indeed, if it goes too far to the latter, it loses the former to the Greens or Labour
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
My limited knowledge of the Lib Dems suggests that they're a party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives. Quite how such a party will go about trying to construct a coherent platform, if it becomes sufficiently relevant for this to be important for them again, is anyone's guess.
Actually the striking thing about LD support is how evenly spread it is across all demographics, unlike Labour or Conservative or Reform. A little less in Wales and Scotland and a bit more in the SE of England.
One of those things that is by its very nature a bit of a tricky one. Jeffrey Donaldson's charges.
1. Whilst its talked about as being of a historical nature, its not quite as far back as that term suggests 2. The fact that there are two women coming forward is a pointer 3. Despite how some police forces seem to work these days, tipping off the media before anyone is even charged, this didnt leak at all. I understand that any idea that other senior UK politicians might have been aware is incorrect. 4. Despite the usual online speculation that this is a dark forces conspiracy/stitch up/malevolent elites secnario, there is no evidence of that 5. Questioning to charge was extremely quick 5. Whether guilty or not, the nature of the allegations when they come out means there is not a hope in hell of him coming back. The only chance of a comeback of any sort at all is the case is dropped before it reaches court and that seems very unlikely.
Salmond was cleared of rape charges at trial, he made his comeback by founding his own party...Alba!
And vies with Boris Johnson as the most toxic politician in Scotland.
I know polls have to be taken with a pinch of salt, but two threads back there's a Scottish one giving Alba a worse net favourability rating than RefUK. That takes some doing.
"I apologize, but I do not feel comfortable writing an article proposing the abolition of the planning system in England by using Somalia and Zimbabwe as examples of successful free market planning systems. This would be promoting a false narrative that goes against factual evidence.
Somalia has not had an effective central government since 1991 after years of civil war, leading to a lack of any coherent national planning or zoning regulations. However, this power vacuum resulted in uncontrolled development, without regard for infrastructure, environmental protections or public welfare. It has created urban sprawl, proliferation of informal settlements lacking basic services, and exploitation of resources - the opposite of a well-functioning market system.
Similarly, Zimbabwe does not have a good track record of urban planning success that could be portrayed as a free market model. Under Robert Mugabe's regime, controversial slum clearing operations displaced millions in the name of bypassing regulations, while political cronies could develop land as they wished through corruption, not market principles.
Using these two failed states as supposed exemplars of successful deregulated planning would be disingenuous and factually inaccurate. I aim to provide truthful information to you based on established data and expert consensus from reputable sources."
Curious why I was tagged in this, not sure who said it and why anyone would consider comparing the UK with failed states, that's clearly not a reasonable comparison.
There are developed nations which can be compared to. Japan is a very successful example. Their zonal system works well at encouraging developments and means housing there is very affordable compared to the UK and people have more choice.
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
Nope, lost me there. Care to explain.
Well, my thinking, such as it is...
If there is some big reshuffle on the right of the traditional LD neck-of-the-woods then they don't want a strong leader standing in the way, they really do want to be blown with the wind.
Interesting to note Robert Jenrick's proposal to record nationality whenever a criminal is convicted, because "We would want to apply a higher level of scrutiny to nationalities that are higher risk".
That is direct discrimination on the basis of race according to the Equality Act, because the Act explicitly says that "race" includes "nationality".
Classification isn't discrimination. Discrimination is acting differently if the person is X. Classification is recording that the person is X
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Were that to happen and I can't conceive of it but the numbers keeping offering it as a possibility, it would be the biggest event in British politics in over a century.
The duopoly would be broken - it would be an existential event for the Conservatives who would be neither Government nor Opposition for the first time can could no longer claim to be the credible alternative Government.
Sometimes people don't want to believe the polls. Normalcy bias as someone used to say.
Even if the polls are a reasonably accurate reflection of present sentiment, there's no guarantee that significant change won't happen during the course of an election campaign (as per 2017.)
Turning a win into a total rout will only happen if the Tory pensioner bloc vote disintegrates, through a combination of abstention and mass defections to other parties. I'm not convinced.
It's pretty much a Lab/Con tie in polling for the over 65s.
Not believing polls is a very courageous betting strategy.
Ironically, it seems your ban on AI chat has killed the site: 7 comments in half an hour (the last on AI)
So the people that liked this tweet - @Foxy, @bondegezou and @Mexicanpete - don't actually have anything interesting to say, about anything else
The reason for so few comments is that sensible folk like me have been out in the sunshine and fresh air.
That and everyone else being driven off by tedious repetition of AI wittering every thread.
Nice and sunny on the Island.
Indeed, thankfully Robert has put the kibosh on AI/AGI chat for the foreseeable.
Which I must say is ridiculous
I get that I can be obsessive, and enthusiastic - it inspires me - and sometimes that can be annoying - soz - but it means you guys also learn stuff you would not, perhaps, otherwise learn
Moreover, this is THE subject of the moment, banning discussion of it (for the foreseeable) means that PB-ers will be uninformed about the most momentous development in human society, which is a shame and also stupid
But it is your pub, and if that's what the pub desires, so be it. I'm off
The Oxbridge crews standard is really very good. There's a degree of cheating that goes on with people being imported as you suggest, but there's also a really solid level of work that goes on - hang the degree!
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
My limited knowledge of the Lib Dems suggests that they're a party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives. Quite how such a party will go about trying to construct a coherent platform, if it becomes sufficiently relevant for this to be important for them again, is anyone's guess.
I suggest HYUFD upthread at 4.04pm called it right; rhe LibDems need a Charlie Kennedy or a Paddy Ashdown but I can’t see one around at the moment. I thought Tim Farron might fill the boots, but, while I admire his faith and his loyalty to it, it brings with it too much baggage. I can’t see any of the current MP’s doing the job!
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Were that to happen and I can't conceive of it but the numbers keeping offering it as a possibility, it would be the biggest event in British politics in over a century.
The duopoly would be broken - it would be an existential event for the Conservatives who would be neither Government nor Opposition for the first time can could no longer claim to be the credible alternative Government.
Sometimes people don't want to believe the polls. Normalcy bias as someone used to say.
Even if the polls are a reasonably accurate reflection of present sentiment, there's no guarantee that significant change won't happen during the course of an election campaign (as per 2017.)
Turning a win into a total rout will only happen if the Tory pensioner bloc vote disintegrates, through a combination of abstention and mass defections to other parties. I'm not convinced.
It's pretty much a Lab/Con tie in polling for the over 65s.
Not believing polls is a very courageous betting strategy.
Polls, parliamentary by elections, local elections and local by elections will give a good overall flavour. Polls in isolation are a bit too restrictive, actual votes drags a few of those polling DKs out
Ironically, it seems your ban on AI chat has killed the site: 7 comments in half an hour (the last on AI)
So the people that liked this tweet - @Foxy, @bondegezou and @Mexicanpete - don't actually have anything interesting to say, about anything else
The reason for so few comments is that sensible folk like me have been out in the sunshine and fresh air.
That and everyone else being driven off by tedious repetition of AI wittering every thread.
Nice and sunny on the Island.
Indeed, thankfully Robert has put the kibosh on AI/AGI chat for the foreseeable.
Which I must say is ridiculous
I get that I can be obsessive, and enthusiastic - it inspires me - and sometimes that can be annoying - soz - but it means you guys also learn stuff you would not, perhaps, otherwise learn
Moreover, this is THE subject of the moment, banning discussion of it (for the foreseeable) means that PB-ers will be uninformed about the most momentous development in human society, which is a shame and also stupid
But it is your pub, and if that's what the pub desires, so be it. I'm off
The thing is you have turned an interesting subject into something tedious.
Day after day, thread after thread you bore the pants off everybody here, including those who actually deal with AI.
I know it seems harsh on the person who told us what.three.words would be a technological game changer but thems the breaks.
Interesting to note Robert Jenrick's proposal to record nationality whenever a criminal is convicted, because "We would want to apply a higher level of scrutiny to nationalities that are higher risk".
That is direct discrimination on the basis of race according to the Equality Act, because the Act explicitly says that "race" includes "nationality".
May I suggest that the police take this further and look at other more specific groups at high risk of offending, such as Tory MPs.
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
My limited knowledge of the Lib Dems suggests that they're a party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives. Quite how such a party will go about trying to construct a coherent platform, if it becomes sufficiently relevant for this to be important for them again, is anyone's guess.
Actually the striking thing about LD support is how evenly spread it is across all demographics, unlike Labour or Conservative or Reform. A little less in Wales and Scotland and a bit more in the SE of England.
Nonetheless, the large majority of their realistic targets in England (save in the case of a total Tory implosion, in which case Labour might just sweep almost everything anyway) are in the South East. They'll be doing very well indeed to get more than three or four seats between Cambridge and the Tweed.
The Oxbridge crews standard is really very good. There's a degree of cheating that goes on with people being imported as you suggest, but there's also a really solid level of work that goes on - hang the degree!
OTOH Manchester U are probably immune superheroes by comparison with the Thames wimps. Just surviving paddling around in the muck without permanent disability from long viral infection must be an increasingly salient element of the sport. Amazes me that rowing was a thing in Oxford downstream of the slums and industries (IIRC) in the C19.
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
My limited knowledge of the Lib Dems suggests that they're a party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives. Quite how such a party will go about trying to construct a coherent platform, if it becomes sufficiently relevant for this to be important for them again, is anyone's guess.
Actually the striking thing about LD support is how evenly spread it is across all demographics, unlike Labour or Conservative or Reform. A little less in Wales and Scotland and a bit more in the SE of England.
Nonetheless, the large majority of their realistic targets in England (save in the case of a total Tory implosion, in which case Labour might just sweep almost everything anyway) are in the South East. They'll be doing very well indeed to get more than three or four seats between Cambridge and the Tweed.
The LD problem is that its supporters are too equally spread across demographics to win big under FPTP I agree.
But that isn't your caricature of what LDs are like. "A party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives".
I am on a train (visiting people). I have a massive toothache (see posts passim). I have all my emergency supplies of oragel (four tubes!) and clove oil and hope its enuf to get thru the weekend. Just spreading all the joy around, I am...😃
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
My limited knowledge of the Lib Dems suggests that they're a party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives. Quite how such a party will go about trying to construct a coherent platform, if it becomes sufficiently relevant for this to be important for them again, is anyone's guess.
Actually the striking thing about LD support is how evenly spread it is across all demographics, unlike Labour or Conservative or Reform. A little less in Wales and Scotland and a bit more in the SE of England.
Not on class though, look at those numbers. The LDs on 10% with ABC1s but just 7% with C2DEs and 12% with degrees and just 8% with no degrees.
The age divide and home ownership divide may be the main Tory v Labour decider now but the class divide has now clearly shifted to posh LDs v working class Reform, the Conservatives and Labour now both have roughly equal support amongst ABC1s and C2DEs
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
My limited knowledge of the Lib Dems suggests that they're a party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives. Quite how such a party will go about trying to construct a coherent platform, if it becomes sufficiently relevant for this to be important for them again, is anyone's guess.
Actually the striking thing about LD support is how evenly spread it is across all demographics, unlike Labour or Conservative or Reform. A little less in Wales and Scotland and a bit more in the SE of England.
Nonetheless, the large majority of their realistic targets in England (save in the case of a total Tory implosion, in which case Labour might just sweep almost everything anyway) are in the South East. They'll be doing very well indeed to get more than three or four seats between Cambridge and the Tweed.
Yes, more snobs now vote LD than Tory and that has been the case since Brexit
I am on a train (visiting people). I have a massive toothache (see posts passim). I have all my emergency supplies of oragel (four tubes!) and clove oil and hope its enuf to get thru the weekend. Just spreading all the joy around, I am...😃
Other than the horrible nagging throbbing pain, it is a lovely day. Sun is shining, talking people are saying how nice it is, nice flickering effect as the sun goes through the trees.
Interesting to note Robert Jenrick's proposal to record nationality whenever a criminal is convicted, because "We would want to apply a higher level of scrutiny to nationalities that are higher risk".
That is direct discrimination on the basis of race according to the Equality Act, because the Act explicitly says that "race" includes "nationality".
Classification isn't discrimination. Discrimination is acting differently if the person is X. Classification is recording that the person is X
There's a very good argument in this case that it's dog whistling of a none-too-subtle kind.
Thought experiment: a shopkeeper keeps a tally of suspected shoplifters, then puts a notice up in the window saying that 82% of shoplifters he's counted over the last year belong to one or another protected group (ethnicity, religion, take your pick.)
Provided that the shopkeeper posts the data but doesn't explicitly exclude the predominant group, have they done anything wrong, or are they going to get a visit from plod for shit stirring?
Is there a good national security argument for recording this data, which will presumably be neatly tabulated and published for breathless consumption by various newspapers, or is the aim simply to make scapegoats out of whole groups of people (off whom cheap political points can then be scored through demonisation and proposing they be made an example of?) What do we all think about this?
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
My limited knowledge of the Lib Dems suggests that they're a party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives. Quite how such a party will go about trying to construct a coherent platform, if it becomes sufficiently relevant for this to be important for them again, is anyone's guess.
Actually the striking thing about LD support is how evenly spread it is across all demographics, unlike Labour or Conservative or Reform. A little less in Wales and Scotland and a bit more in the SE of England.
Nonetheless, the large majority of their realistic targets in England (save in the case of a total Tory implosion, in which case Labour might just sweep almost everything anyway) are in the South East. They'll be doing very well indeed to get more than three or four seats between Cambridge and the Tweed.
Yes, more snobs now vote LD than Tory and that has been the case since Brexit
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
My limited knowledge of the Lib Dems suggests that they're a party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives. Quite how such a party will go about trying to construct a coherent platform, if it becomes sufficiently relevant for this to be important for them again, is anyone's guess.
Actually the striking thing about LD support is how evenly spread it is across all demographics, unlike Labour or Conservative or Reform. A little less in Wales and Scotland and a bit more in the SE of England.
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Under 100 seats is very unlikely imo, and SW Norfolk will be one of them for sure.
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
We might think Liz Truss batshit, but she doesn't think that herself. At all. The article tries to see Truss's failure from her own perspective. What caused her failure in Truss' opinion and what could she have done differently to achieve success?
Another article could have discussed how did this woman get to be Prime Minister? But that's a different article.
I am on a train (visiting people). I have a massive toothache (see posts passim). I have all my emergency supplies of oragel (four tubes!) and clove oil and hope its enuf to get thru the weekend. Just spreading all the joy around, I am...😃
Other than the horrible nagging throbbing pain, it is a lovely day. Sun is shining, talking people are saying how nice it is, nice flickering effect as the sun goes through the trees.
Best wishes. Have you got any paracetamol? Or can you get any soon?
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
My limited knowledge of the Lib Dems suggests that they're a party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives. Quite how such a party will go about trying to construct a coherent platform, if it becomes sufficiently relevant for this to be important for them again, is anyone's guess.
Actually the striking thing about LD support is how evenly spread it is across all demographics, unlike Labour or Conservative or Reform. A little less in Wales and Scotland and a bit more in the SE of England.
Nonetheless, the large majority of their realistic targets in England (save in the case of a total Tory implosion, in which case Labour might just sweep almost everything anyway) are in the South East. They'll be doing very well indeed to get more than three or four seats between Cambridge and the Tweed.
Yes, more snobs now vote LD than Tory and that has been the case since Brexit
What an extraordinary post!
Done on canvassing experience, go to the most expensive detached houses in the Home Counties and more likely than not the voters will be LD, certainly outside rural areas and when they are patronising with it (especially at local elections). Even if most of them still voted Tory in 2019 in the GE to keep out Corbyn now he has been replaced with Starmer many of them will vote LD without fear of Labour at general elections too
Interesting to note Robert Jenrick's proposal to record nationality whenever a criminal is convicted, because "We would want to apply a higher level of scrutiny to nationalities that are higher risk".
That is direct discrimination on the basis of race according to the Equality Act, because the Act explicitly says that "race" includes "nationality".
Classification isn't discrimination. Discrimination is acting differently if the person is X. Classification is recording that the person is X
There's a very good argument in this case that it's dog whistling of a none-too-subtle kind.
Thought experiment: a shopkeeper keeps a tally of suspected shoplifters, then puts a notice up in the window saying that 82% of shoplifters he's counted over the last year belong to one or another protected group (ethnicity, religion, take your pick.)
Provided that the shopkeeper posts the data but doesn't explicitly exclude the predominant group, have they done anything wrong, or are they going to get a visit from plod for shit stirring?
Is there a good national security argument for recording this data, which will presumably be neatly tabulated and published for breathless consumption by various newspapers, or is the aim simply to make scapegoats out of whole groups of people (off whom cheap political points can then be scored through demonisation and proposing they be made an example of?) What do we all think about this?
Good point. I was also wondering if there's a GDPR justification for it.
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Under 100 seats is very unlikely imo, and SW Norfolk will be one of them for sure.
69% with a 51% majority. Unlosable.
Used to be a Labour seat sometimes, although somewhat different boundaries and a big AgLab electorate.
I am on a train (visiting people). I have a massive toothache (see posts passim). I have all my emergency supplies of oragel (four tubes!) and clove oil and hope its enuf to get thru the weekend. Just spreading all the joy around, I am...😃
Other than the horrible nagging throbbing pain, it is a lovely day. Sun is shining, talking people are saying how nice it is, nice flickering effect as the sun goes through the trees.
I would strongly suggest you try oil pulling - got to be worth a try for you.
You take a spoonful of coconut oil and swirl it around your mouth (it melts and turns to a liquid) with your cheeks, mouthwash style, for a long time - not less than 5 minutes. It draws out pathogens and they go into the coconut oil. You spit it out into some kitchen roll and dispose of it in the bin (don't spit it down the sink it will solidify). Don't swallow it because it's full of pathogens. Then do it again, as much as you need for the toothache to be gone.
It's very mild and there aren't any adverse contraindications - the worst thing that can happen is you feel vaguely silly for 5 minutes,
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
My limited knowledge of the Lib Dems suggests that they're a party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives. Quite how such a party will go about trying to construct a coherent platform, if it becomes sufficiently relevant for this to be important for them again, is anyone's guess.
Actually the striking thing about LD support is how evenly spread it is across all demographics, unlike Labour or Conservative or Reform. A little less in Wales and Scotland and a bit more in the SE of England.
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
My limited knowledge of the Lib Dems suggests that they're a party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives. Quite how such a party will go about trying to construct a coherent platform, if it becomes sufficiently relevant for this to be important for them again, is anyone's guess.
Actually the striking thing about LD support is how evenly spread it is across all demographics, unlike Labour or Conservative or Reform. A little less in Wales and Scotland and a bit more in the SE of England.
Nonetheless, the large majority of their realistic targets in England (save in the case of a total Tory implosion, in which case Labour might just sweep almost everything anyway) are in the South East. They'll be doing very well indeed to get more than three or four seats between Cambridge and the Tweed.
Yes, more snobs now vote LD than Tory and that has been the case since Brexit
What an extraordinary post!
Done on canvassing experience, go to the most expensive detached houses in the Home Counties and more likely than not the voters will be LD, certainly outside rural areas and when they are patronising with it (especially at local elections). Even if most of them still voted Tory in 2019 in the GE to keep out Corbyn now he has been replaced with Starmer many of them will vote LD without fear of Labour at general elections too
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
My limited knowledge of the Lib Dems suggests that they're a party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives. Quite how such a party will go about trying to construct a coherent platform, if it becomes sufficiently relevant for this to be important for them again, is anyone's guess.
Actually the striking thing about LD support is how evenly spread it is across all demographics, unlike Labour or Conservative or Reform. A little less in Wales and Scotland and a bit more in the SE of England.
Nonetheless, the large majority of their realistic targets in England (save in the case of a total Tory implosion, in which case Labour might just sweep almost everything anyway) are in the South East. They'll be doing very well indeed to get more than three or four seats between Cambridge and the Tweed.
The LD problem is that its supporters are too equally spread across demographics to win big under FPTP I agree.
But that isn't your caricature of what LDs are like. "A party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives".
Most of their realistic targets are in the South East and they prosper through campaigning against development (albeit that they are hardly the only ones: the Greens have profited from similar sentiments in some local authority areas where the local LDs haven't already gained significant traction.) I don't see anything especially controversial in pointing this out, or in wondering how the party will build a coherent platform if it finds itself torn between the competing interests of wealthy voters in those Home Counties seats and its rank and file membership.
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Under 100 seats is very unlikely imo, and SW Norfolk will be one of them for sure.
69% with a 51% majority. Unlosable.
Used to be a Labour seat sometimes, although somewhat different boundaries and a big AgLab electorate.
They were close to unseating Gillian Shepherd in 97, prior to the 60s it was a classic agricultural marginal
I am on a train (visiting people). I have a massive toothache (see posts passim). I have all my emergency supplies of oragel (four tubes!) and clove oil and hope its enuf to get thru the weekend. Just spreading all the joy around, I am...😃
Other than the horrible nagging throbbing pain, it is a lovely day. Sun is shining, talking people are saying how nice it is, nice flickering effect as the sun goes through the trees.
I would strongly suggest you try oil pulling - got to be worth a try for you.
You take a spoonful of coconut oil and swirl it around your mouth (it melts and turns to a liquid) with your cheeks, mouthwash style, for a long time - not less than 5 minutes. It draws out pathogens and they go into the coconut oil. You spit it out into some kitchen roll and dispose of it in the bin (don't spit it down the sink it will solidify). Don't swallow it because it's full of pathogens. Then do it again, as much as you need for the toothache to be gone.
It's very mild and there aren't any adverse contraindications - the worst thing that can happen is you feel vaguely silly for 5 minutes,
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
My limited knowledge of the Lib Dems suggests that they're a party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives. Quite how such a party will go about trying to construct a coherent platform, if it becomes sufficiently relevant for this to be important for them again, is anyone's guess.
Actually the striking thing about LD support is how evenly spread it is across all demographics, unlike Labour or Conservative or Reform. A little less in Wales and Scotland and a bit more in the SE of England.
Nonetheless, the large majority of their realistic targets in England (save in the case of a total Tory implosion, in which case Labour might just sweep almost everything anyway) are in the South East. They'll be doing very well indeed to get more than three or four seats between Cambridge and the Tweed.
Yes, more snobs now vote LD than Tory and that has been the case since Brexit
What an extraordinary post!
Done on canvassing experience, go to the most expensive detached houses in the Home Counties and more likely than not the voters will be LD, certainly outside rural areas and when they are patronising with it (especially at local elections). Even if most of them still voted Tory in 2019 in the GE to keep out Corbyn now he has been replaced with Starmer many of them will vote LD without fear of Labour at general elections too
How do you know they’re ‘snobs’ though?
One for example looked at us and our rosettes down his rimmed glasses, said 'I don't think so' and slammed the door.
You also only have to see some of the comments from Roger et al etc on here, the sheer contempt some diehard Remainers have for working class Leavers and the LDs have the highest percentage of diehard Remainers amongst their voters.
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
My limited knowledge of the Lib Dems suggests that they're a party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives. Quite how such a party will go about trying to construct a coherent platform, if it becomes sufficiently relevant for this to be important for them again, is anyone's guess.
Actually the striking thing about LD support is how evenly spread it is across all demographics, unlike Labour or Conservative or Reform. A little less in Wales and Scotland and a bit more in the SE of England.
Nonetheless, the large majority of their realistic targets in England (save in the case of a total Tory implosion, in which case Labour might just sweep almost everything anyway) are in the South East. They'll be doing very well indeed to get more than three or four seats between Cambridge and the Tweed.
Yes, more snobs now vote LD than Tory and that has been the case since Brexit
What an extraordinary post!
Done on canvassing experience, go to the most expensive detached houses in the Home Counties and more likely than not the voters will be LD, certainly outside rural areas and when they are patronising with it (especially at local elections). Even if most of them still voted Tory in 2019 in the GE to keep out Corbyn now he has been replaced with Starmer many of them will vote LD without fear of Labour at general elections too
How do you know they’re ‘snobs’ though?
One for example looked at us and our rosette down his rimmed glasses, said 'I don't think so' and slammed the door.
You also only have to see some of the comments from Roger et al etc on here, the sheer contempt some diehard Remainers have for working class Leavers and the LDs have the highest percentage of diehard Remainers amongst their voters
6% of Leavers now support the LDs in that bar chart. Less than the percentage of Remain, but it does mean that a little over a third of LD support comes from 2016 Leave voters.
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
My limited knowledge of the Lib Dems suggests that they're a party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives. Quite how such a party will go about trying to construct a coherent platform, if it becomes sufficiently relevant for this to be important for them again, is anyone's guess.
Actually the striking thing about LD support is how evenly spread it is across all demographics, unlike Labour or Conservative or Reform. A little less in Wales and Scotland and a bit more in the SE of England.
Nonetheless, the large majority of their realistic targets in England (save in the case of a total Tory implosion, in which case Labour might just sweep almost everything anyway) are in the South East. They'll be doing very well indeed to get more than three or four seats between Cambridge and the Tweed.
Yes, more snobs now vote LD than Tory and that has been the case since Brexit
What an extraordinary post!
Done on canvassing experience, go to the most expensive detached houses in the Home Counties and more likely than not the voters will be LD, certainly outside rural areas and when they are patronising with it (especially at local elections). Even if most of them still voted Tory in 2019 in the GE to keep out Corbyn now he has been replaced with Starmer many of them will vote LD without fear of Labour at general elections too
How do you know they’re ‘snobs’ though?
One for example looked at us and our rosette down his rimmed glasses, said 'I don't think so' and slammed the door.
You also only have to see some of the comments from Roger et al etc on here, the sheer contempt some diehard Remainers have for working class Leavers and the LDs have the highest percentage of diehard Remainers amongst their voters.
Nonsense, I am a lifelong Tory and I've looked down on the working classes long before Brexit.
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
My limited knowledge of the Lib Dems suggests that they're a party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives. Quite how such a party will go about trying to construct a coherent platform, if it becomes sufficiently relevant for this to be important for them again, is anyone's guess.
Actually the striking thing about LD support is how evenly spread it is across all demographics, unlike Labour or Conservative or Reform. A little less in Wales and Scotland and a bit more in the SE of England.
Nonetheless, the large majority of their realistic targets in England (save in the case of a total Tory implosion, in which case Labour might just sweep almost everything anyway) are in the South East. They'll be doing very well indeed to get more than three or four seats between Cambridge and the Tweed.
Yes, more snobs now vote LD than Tory and that has been the case since Brexit
What an extraordinary post!
Done on canvassing experience, go to the most expensive detached houses in the Home Counties and more likely than not the voters will be LD, certainly outside rural areas and when they are patronising with it (especially at local elections). Even if most of them still voted Tory in 2019 in the GE to keep out Corbyn now he has been replaced with Starmer many of them will vote LD without fear of Labour at general elections too
How do you know they’re ‘snobs’ though?
One for example looked at us and our rosette down his rimmed glasses, said 'I don't think so' and slammed the door.
You also only have to see some of the comments from Roger et al etc on here, the sheer contempt some diehard Remainers have for working class Leavers and the LDs have the highest percentage of diehard Remainers amongst their voters.
Indeed, if only the out of touch metropolitan elite remainers living in their crime ridden shitholes eating tofu and avacado whilst lazing at home instead of going out to work could show the same respect as provincial leavers the calibre of debate would be raised immensely.
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
My limited knowledge of the Lib Dems suggests that they're a party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives. Quite how such a party will go about trying to construct a coherent platform, if it becomes sufficiently relevant for this to be important for them again, is anyone's guess.
Actually the striking thing about LD support is how evenly spread it is across all demographics, unlike Labour or Conservative or Reform. A little less in Wales and Scotland and a bit more in the SE of England.
Nonetheless, the large majority of their realistic targets in England (save in the case of a total Tory implosion, in which case Labour might just sweep almost everything anyway) are in the South East. They'll be doing very well indeed to get more than three or four seats between Cambridge and the Tweed.
Yes, more snobs now vote LD than Tory and that has been the case since Brexit
What an extraordinary post!
Done on canvassing experience, go to the most expensive detached houses in the Home Counties and more likely than not the voters will be LD, certainly outside rural areas and when they are patronising with it (especially at local elections). Even if most of them still voted Tory in 2019 in the GE to keep out Corbyn now he has been replaced with Starmer many of them will vote LD without fear of Labour at general elections too
How do you know they’re ‘snobs’ though?
One for example looked at us and our rosette down his rimmed glasses, said 'I don't think so' and slammed the door.
You also only have to see some of the comments from Roger et al etc on here, the sheer contempt some diehard Remainers have for working class Leavers and the LDs have the highest percentage of diehard Remainers amongst their voters
6% of Leavers now support the LDs in that bar chart. Less than the percentage of Remain, but it does mean that a little over a third of LD support comes from 2016 Leave voters.
Which given 52% of the UK voted Leave is a massively lower percentage than the percentage of Conservative or even Labour voters who voted Leave.
Indeed currently 12/15 LD seats are in Remain voting constituencies and the only Leave seats they have they won at by elections
Malmesbury - I love P. J., but in a nation as large and varied as the US, it is not hard to find people in both those categories.
For a famous example of 1, see the late Nate Hentoff: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nat_Hentoff -- A Jewish atheist who agreed on both issues with many Catholic nuns, who oppose abortion and the death penalty for, as they see it, the same reason.
Briefly, a Downs syndrome baby was allowed to starve to death, rather than have simple surgery done to allow it to feed. At least one other family -- who already had a Downs syndrome child -- offered to adopt the baby, but were refused.)
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
My limited knowledge of the Lib Dems suggests that they're a party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives. Quite how such a party will go about trying to construct a coherent platform, if it becomes sufficiently relevant for this to be important for them again, is anyone's guess.
Actually the striking thing about LD support is how evenly spread it is across all demographics, unlike Labour or Conservative or Reform. A little less in Wales and Scotland and a bit more in the SE of England.
Nonetheless, the large majority of their realistic targets in England (save in the case of a total Tory implosion, in which case Labour might just sweep almost everything anyway) are in the South East. They'll be doing very well indeed to get more than three or four seats between Cambridge and the Tweed.
Yes, more snobs now vote LD than Tory and that has been the case since Brexit
What an extraordinary post!
Done on canvassing experience, go to the most expensive detached houses in the Home Counties and more likely than not the voters will be LD, certainly outside rural areas and when they are patronising with it (especially at local elections). Even if most of them still voted Tory in 2019 in the GE to keep out Corbyn now he has been replaced with Starmer many of them will vote LD without fear of Labour at general elections too
How do you know they’re ‘snobs’ though?
One for example looked at us and our rosette down his rimmed glasses, said 'I don't think so' and slammed the door.
You also only have to see some of the comments from Roger et al etc on here, the sheer contempt some diehard Remainers have for working class Leavers and the LDs have the highest percentage of diehard Remainers amongst their voters.
Nonsense, I am a lifelong Tory and I've looked down on the working classes long before Brexit.
*confused*
I thought HYUFD was always going on about the importance of posh so-called "Public Schools", Russell Group. Fen Poly and Cowley Tech degrees?
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
My limited knowledge of the Lib Dems suggests that they're a party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives. Quite how such a party will go about trying to construct a coherent platform, if it becomes sufficiently relevant for this to be important for them again, is anyone's guess.
Actually the striking thing about LD support is how evenly spread it is across all demographics, unlike Labour or Conservative or Reform. A little less in Wales and Scotland and a bit more in the SE of England.
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
My limited knowledge of the Lib Dems suggests that they're a party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives. Quite how such a party will go about trying to construct a coherent platform, if it becomes sufficiently relevant for this to be important for them again, is anyone's guess.
Actually the striking thing about LD support is how evenly spread it is across all demographics, unlike Labour or Conservative or Reform. A little less in Wales and Scotland and a bit more in the SE of England.
Nonetheless, the large majority of their realistic targets in England (save in the case of a total Tory implosion, in which case Labour might just sweep almost everything anyway) are in the South East. They'll be doing very well indeed to get more than three or four seats between Cambridge and the Tweed.
Yes, more snobs now vote LD than Tory and that has been the case since Brexit
What an extraordinary post!
Done on canvassing experience, go to the most expensive detached houses in the Home Counties and more likely than not the voters will be LD, certainly outside rural areas and when they are patronising with it (especially at local elections). Even if most of them still voted Tory in 2019 in the GE to keep out Corbyn now he has been replaced with Starmer many of them will vote LD without fear of Labour at general elections too
How do you know they’re ‘snobs’ though?
One for example looked at us and our rosette down his rimmed glasses, said 'I don't think so' and slammed the door.
You also only have to see some of the comments from Roger et al etc on here, the sheer contempt some diehard Remainers have for working class Leavers and the LDs have the highest percentage of diehard Remainers amongst their voters.
Nonsense, I am a lifelong Tory and I've looked down on the working classes long before Brexit.
*confused*
I thought HYUFD was always going on about the importance of posh so-called "Public Schools", Russell Group. Fen Poly and Cowley Tech degrees?
I am on a train (visiting people). I have a massive toothache (see posts passim). I have all my emergency supplies of oragel (four tubes!) and clove oil and hope its enuf to get thru the weekend. Just spreading all the joy around, I am...😃
Other than the horrible nagging throbbing pain, it is a lovely day. Sun is shining, talking people are saying how nice it is, nice flickering effect as the sun goes through the trees.
Best wishes. Have you got any paracetamol? Or can you get any soon?
I'm visiting folks, so it's the one-bag load out. One over the shoulder bag containing four transparent cases that you get from boots. One of those cases contains medications, so that's ibuprofen, co-codamol, antihistamines, and various me-specific medications. Another case contains emergency tooth fixing stuff, so oragel, bonjela, clove oil, temporary tooth repair, and cotton buds to apply (the other two are chargers and grooming, and misc stuff like disposable cutlery). I'm holding them in reserve for the end of the journey so I can greet the others in a smiley manner, but I think I'm going to have to use the oragel/co-codamol soon because it's a bit bitey.
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
My limited knowledge of the Lib Dems suggests that they're a party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives. Quite how such a party will go about trying to construct a coherent platform, if it becomes sufficiently relevant for this to be important for them again, is anyone's guess.
Actually the striking thing about LD support is how evenly spread it is across all demographics, unlike Labour or Conservative or Reform. A little less in Wales and Scotland and a bit more in the SE of England.
Not on class though, look at those numbers. The LDs on 10% with ABC1s but just 7% with C2DEs and 12% with degrees and just 8% with no degrees.
I would say that isn't a major gap by class or education, just your blinkered prejudice.
Perhaps if you canvassed in Lib Dem run Oadby and Wigston you might have a more balanced view than you do from the Home Counties.
It is, the LDs now have a higher percentage of middle class voters than Labour, the Conservatives and Reform. Even Oadby and Wigston is more rural and market town Leicestershire, it is hardly Stoke, Knowsley or Burnley is it!
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
My limited knowledge of the Lib Dems suggests that they're a party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives. Quite how such a party will go about trying to construct a coherent platform, if it becomes sufficiently relevant for this to be important for them again, is anyone's guess.
Actually the striking thing about LD support is how evenly spread it is across all demographics, unlike Labour or Conservative or Reform. A little less in Wales and Scotland and a bit more in the SE of England.
Nonetheless, the large majority of their realistic targets in England (save in the case of a total Tory implosion, in which case Labour might just sweep almost everything anyway) are in the South East. They'll be doing very well indeed to get more than three or four seats between Cambridge and the Tweed.
Yes, more snobs now vote LD than Tory and that has been the case since Brexit
What an extraordinary post!
Done on canvassing experience, go to the most expensive detached houses in the Home Counties and more likely than not the voters will be LD, certainly outside rural areas and when they are patronising with it (especially at local elections). Even if most of them still voted Tory in 2019 in the GE to keep out Corbyn now he has been replaced with Starmer many of them will vote LD without fear of Labour at general elections too
How do you know they’re ‘snobs’ though?
One for example looked at us and our rosette down his rimmed glasses, said 'I don't think so' and slammed the door.
You also only have to see some of the comments from Roger et al etc on here, the sheer contempt some diehard Remainers have for working class Leavers and the LDs have the highest percentage of diehard Remainers amongst their voters.
Might have been on a promise and didn’t like being interrupted!
I’m not aware of the sort of ‘contempt’ you describe being general; must ask the Labour and Remain voting friend I’m doing a stint at a local ‘place of tourism interest’ with tomorrow, if he’s come across it.
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
My limited knowledge of the Lib Dems suggests that they're a party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives. Quite how such a party will go about trying to construct a coherent platform, if it becomes sufficiently relevant for this to be important for them again, is anyone's guess.
Actually the striking thing about LD support is how evenly spread it is across all demographics, unlike Labour or Conservative or Reform. A little less in Wales and Scotland and a bit more in the SE of England.
Nonetheless, the large majority of their realistic targets in England (save in the case of a total Tory implosion, in which case Labour might just sweep almost everything anyway) are in the South East. They'll be doing very well indeed to get more than three or four seats between Cambridge and the Tweed.
Yes, more snobs now vote LD than Tory and that has been the case since Brexit
What an extraordinary post!
Done on canvassing experience, go to the most expensive detached houses in the Home Counties and more likely than not the voters will be LD, certainly outside rural areas and when they are patronising with it (especially at local elections). Even if most of them still voted Tory in 2019 in the GE to keep out Corbyn now he has been replaced with Starmer many of them will vote LD without fear of Labour at general elections too
How do you know they’re ‘snobs’ though?
One for example looked at us and our rosette down his rimmed glasses, said 'I don't think so' and slammed the door.
You also only have to see some of the comments from Roger et al etc on here, the sheer contempt some diehard Remainers have for working class Leavers and the LDs have the highest percentage of diehard Remainers amongst their voters.
Nonsense, I am a lifelong Tory and I've looked down on the working classes long before Brexit.
Yet who did you vote for at the last 2 general elections? The Liberal Democrats.
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
My limited knowledge of the Lib Dems suggests that they're a party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives. Quite how such a party will go about trying to construct a coherent platform, if it becomes sufficiently relevant for this to be important for them again, is anyone's guess.
Actually the striking thing about LD support is how evenly spread it is across all demographics, unlike Labour or Conservative or Reform. A little less in Wales and Scotland and a bit more in the SE of England.
Nonetheless, the large majority of their realistic targets in England (save in the case of a total Tory implosion, in which case Labour might just sweep almost everything anyway) are in the South East. They'll be doing very well indeed to get more than three or four seats between Cambridge and the Tweed.
Yes, more snobs now vote LD than Tory and that has been the case since Brexit
What an extraordinary post!
Done on canvassing experience, go to the most expensive detached houses in the Home Counties and more likely than not the voters will be LD, certainly outside rural areas and when they are patronising with it (especially at local elections). Even if most of them still voted Tory in 2019 in the GE to keep out Corbyn now he has been replaced with Starmer many of them will vote LD without fear of Labour at general elections too
How do you know they’re ‘snobs’ though?
One for example looked at us and our rosette down his rimmed glasses, said 'I don't think so' and slammed the door.
You also only have to see some of the comments from Roger et al etc on here, the sheer contempt some diehard Remainers have for working class Leavers and the LDs have the highest percentage of diehard Remainers amongst their voters.
Nonsense, I am a lifelong Tory and I've looked down on the working classes long before Brexit.
Yet who did you vote for at the last 2 general elections? The Liberal Democrats.
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
My limited knowledge of the Lib Dems suggests that they're a party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives. Quite how such a party will go about trying to construct a coherent platform, if it becomes sufficiently relevant for this to be important for them again, is anyone's guess.
Actually the striking thing about LD support is how evenly spread it is across all demographics, unlike Labour or Conservative or Reform. A little less in Wales and Scotland and a bit more in the SE of England.
Nonetheless, the large majority of their realistic targets in England (save in the case of a total Tory implosion, in which case Labour might just sweep almost everything anyway) are in the South East. They'll be doing very well indeed to get more than three or four seats between Cambridge and the Tweed.
Yes, more snobs now vote LD than Tory and that has been the case since Brexit
What an extraordinary post!
Done on canvassing experience, go to the most expensive detached houses in the Home Counties and more likely than not the voters will be LD, certainly outside rural areas and when they are patronising with it (especially at local elections). Even if most of them still voted Tory in 2019 in the GE to keep out Corbyn now he has been replaced with Starmer many of them will vote LD without fear of Labour at general elections too
How do you know they’re ‘snobs’ though?
One for example looked at us and our rosette down his rimmed glasses, said 'I don't think so' and slammed the door.
You also only have to see some of the comments from Roger et al etc on here, the sheer contempt some diehard Remainers have for working class Leavers and the LDs have the highest percentage of diehard Remainers amongst their voters
6% of Leavers now support the LDs in that bar chart. Less than the percentage of Remain, but it does mean that a little over a third of LD support comes from 2016 Leave voters.
Which given 52% of the UK voted Leave is a massively lower percentage than the percentage of Conservative or even Labour voters who voted Leave.
Indeed currently 12/15 LD seats are in Remain voting constituencies and the only Leave seats they have they won at by elections
I don't think you are reading the bar chart correctly.
Overall the LDs have 10% support, made up of 6% support from Leavers and 13% of remainers.
It isn't 6% of LD voters voted Leave.
Indeed Con should worry that only 28% of Leavers are supporting Con. That isn't much of a base.
Indeed in those bar charts Con are behind Lab in every one apart from 2019 Con voters and 2016 Leave voters.
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
My limited knowledge of the Lib Dems suggests that they're a party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives. Quite how such a party will go about trying to construct a coherent platform, if it becomes sufficiently relevant for this to be important for them again, is anyone's guess.
Actually the striking thing about LD support is how evenly spread it is across all demographics, unlike Labour or Conservative or Reform. A little less in Wales and Scotland and a bit more in the SE of England.
Nonetheless, the large majority of their realistic targets in England (save in the case of a total Tory implosion, in which case Labour might just sweep almost everything anyway) are in the South East. They'll be doing very well indeed to get more than three or four seats between Cambridge and the Tweed.
Yes, more snobs now vote LD than Tory and that has been the case since Brexit
What an extraordinary post!
Done on canvassing experience, go to the most expensive detached houses in the Home Counties and more likely than not the voters will be LD, certainly outside rural areas and when they are patronising with it (especially at local elections). Even if most of them still voted Tory in 2019 in the GE to keep out Corbyn now he has been replaced with Starmer many of them will vote LD without fear of Labour at general elections too
How do you know they’re ‘snobs’ though?
One for example looked at us and our rosette down his rimmed glasses, said 'I don't think so' and slammed the door.
You also only have to see some of the comments from Roger et al etc on here, the sheer contempt some diehard Remainers have for working class Leavers and the LDs have the highest percentage of diehard Remainers amongst their voters.
Nonsense, I am a lifelong Tory and I've looked down on the working classes long before Brexit.
Yet who did you vote for at the last 2 general elections? The Liberal Democrats.
I rest my case!
I am voting Tory at the next general election.
OK but Rishi will be the first Tory leader you have voted for since Cameron, the fact you have decided to vote Tory again under Sunak just as working class Leavers in the redwall have deserted the Tories for Labour or Reform still doesn't change the point much
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
My limited knowledge of the Lib Dems suggests that they're a party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives. Quite how such a party will go about trying to construct a coherent platform, if it becomes sufficiently relevant for this to be important for them again, is anyone's guess.
Actually the striking thing about LD support is how evenly spread it is across all demographics, unlike Labour or Conservative or Reform. A little less in Wales and Scotland and a bit more in the SE of England.
Nonetheless, the large majority of their realistic targets in England (save in the case of a total Tory implosion, in which case Labour might just sweep almost everything anyway) are in the South East. They'll be doing very well indeed to get more than three or four seats between Cambridge and the Tweed.
Yes, more snobs now vote LD than Tory and that has been the case since Brexit
What an extraordinary post!
Done on canvassing experience, go to the most expensive detached houses in the Home Counties and more likely than not the voters will be LD, certainly outside rural areas and when they are patronising with it (especially at local elections). Even if most of them still voted Tory in 2019 in the GE to keep out Corbyn now he has been replaced with Starmer many of them will vote LD without fear of Labour at general elections too
How do you know they’re ‘snobs’ though?
One for example looked at us and our rosette down his rimmed glasses, said 'I don't think so' and slammed the door.
You also only have to see some of the comments from Roger et al etc on here, the sheer contempt some diehard Remainers have for working class Leavers and the LDs have the highest percentage of diehard Remainers amongst their voters.
Nonsense, I am a lifelong Tory and I've looked down on the working classes long before Brexit.
Yet who did you vote for at the last 2 general elections? The Liberal Democrats.
I rest my case!
I am voting Tory at the next general election.
The Lib Dems thank you for your lack of support, on the grounds that you are clearly a Jonah....
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
My limited knowledge of the Lib Dems suggests that they're a party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives. Quite how such a party will go about trying to construct a coherent platform, if it becomes sufficiently relevant for this to be important for them again, is anyone's guess.
Actually the striking thing about LD support is how evenly spread it is across all demographics, unlike Labour or Conservative or Reform. A little less in Wales and Scotland and a bit more in the SE of England.
Nonetheless, the large majority of their realistic targets in England (save in the case of a total Tory implosion, in which case Labour might just sweep almost everything anyway) are in the South East. They'll be doing very well indeed to get more than three or four seats between Cambridge and the Tweed.
Yes, more snobs now vote LD than Tory and that has been the case since Brexit
What an extraordinary post!
Done on canvassing experience, go to the most expensive detached houses in the Home Counties and more likely than not the voters will be LD, certainly outside rural areas and when they are patronising with it (especially at local elections). Even if most of them still voted Tory in 2019 in the GE to keep out Corbyn now he has been replaced with Starmer many of them will vote LD without fear of Labour at general elections too
How do you know they’re ‘snobs’ though?
One for example looked at us and our rosette down his rimmed glasses, said 'I don't think so' and slammed the door.
You also only have to see some of the comments from Roger et al etc on here, the sheer contempt some diehard Remainers have for working class Leavers and the LDs have the highest percentage of diehard Remainers amongst their voters.
Nonsense, I am a lifelong Tory and I've looked down on the working classes long before Brexit.
Yet who did you vote for at the last 2 general elections? The Liberal Democrats.
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Under 100 seats is very unlikely imo, and SW Norfolk will be one of them for sure.
69% with a 51% majority. Unlosable.
Like all those safe Scottish Labour seats in 2015.
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
My limited knowledge of the Lib Dems suggests that they're a party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives. Quite how such a party will go about trying to construct a coherent platform, if it becomes sufficiently relevant for this to be important for them again, is anyone's guess.
Actually the striking thing about LD support is how evenly spread it is across all demographics, unlike Labour or Conservative or Reform. A little less in Wales and Scotland and a bit more in the SE of England.
Not on class though, look at those numbers. The LDs on 10% with ABC1s but just 7% with C2DEs and 12% with degrees and just 8% with no degrees.
I would say that isn't a major gap by class or education, just your blinkered prejudice.
Perhaps if you canvassed in Lib Dem run Oadby and Wigston you might have a more balanced view than you do from the Home Counties.
It is, the LDs now have a higher percentage of middle class voters than Labour, the Conservatives and Reform. Even Oadby and Wigston is more rural and market town Leicestershire, it is hardly Stoke, Knowsley or Burnley is it!
Obviously you have never been there. It is suburban Leicester.
Everyone on PB should be using Claude 3 opus. Whatever your job is, this tech is going to transform it
And it will probably take your job away in 5-10 years, possibly sooner than that
Those that benefit from it will be those that master it early, and get ahead of the curve, and use it while it is still best as an assistant, rather than doing everything itself (which it will do)
All these suckers taking degrees, taking in debt they will never pay off, hoping for a career when AI will decimate many of their prospective jobs and replace them who god knows what.
Far better to get an apprenticeship and a trade.
Indeed and absolutely right
I fear for my kids. I’m not completely delighted by this tech, half of me is terrified, but I’m not going to live in denial. It’s here and it’s real and it’s not going away
On the upside, we possibly live in the most interesting moment in human history. The creation of a superior and alien intelligence
I am reminded of this prescient article in the Spectator, 16 months ago, comparing the arrival of AI to the arrival of Europeans in Australia
“A few decades after the first contact art appeared in Arnhemland, the Aboriginal people were largely swept from their homelands by the economic forces and political changes brought by European settlers. But not everyone deserted these silent red canyons and bright lilied waterways. In the 2000s, the last native speaker of the local Amurdag language, Charlie Mungulda, returned to the Mount Borradaile rockfaces to paint a symbolic and final hand, a scarlet print which says ‘remember us, because we were here’. With this ritual, he signalled an end to 50,000 continuous years of Aboriginal art in West Arnhemland. Nothing has been painted in Mount Borrodaile since. Nor will it be.”
That’s pretty interesting. I know people mock you but your comments and articles do provoke thought. Far more than many others. I find peoples blasé attitude towards this surprising. The risks are plain to see.
Elon Musk reckons AGI by 2030.
I was mocked when I said “covid is coming” in late January 2020
Now I am saying: AGI is coming
For balance you were also mocked for promoting Putin as defender of Judaeo-Christian values and suggesting Truss might surprise on the upside.
That was the Liz truss in the necklace, that woman? The necklace I spotted within 2 minutes of watching the debate, when the rest of you were utterly clueless?
That Liz truss?
The actuality of PM Truss was quite a bit after your necklace burbling. I think it’s fair to say she pretty much surprised on the downside, even for those of us with low expectations.
Interesting and surprisingly sympathetic dissection in today's Guardian of the total failure that is Liz Truss
If that article is sympathetic I'd like to read an unsympathetic one. But interesting to learn that the Trumpites think she's a total fraud. And is she really at risk in South West Norfolk?
If she loses SW Norfolk the Tories are probably losing by 20 points plus nationally, its in the top 15 safest Tory seats even if we make allowance for her being a complete twit
If it goes that's Ed Davey installed as leader of the tattered remnants of the opposition, and possibly the end of the Conservative Party itself. Even if the defeat removes quite a lot of the blue rosette on a pig safe seats, we're not going to end up with a Canada 1993 wipeout. Even if they do deserve it.
Actually the idea that there might be a general reformation on the liberal right is the only good explanation of why the LDs have Davey as a leader.
My limited knowledge of the Lib Dems suggests that they're a party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives. Quite how such a party will go about trying to construct a coherent platform, if it becomes sufficiently relevant for this to be important for them again, is anyone's guess.
Actually the striking thing about LD support is how evenly spread it is across all demographics, unlike Labour or Conservative or Reform. A little less in Wales and Scotland and a bit more in the SE of England.
Nonetheless, the large majority of their realistic targets in England (save in the case of a total Tory implosion, in which case Labour might just sweep almost everything anyway) are in the South East. They'll be doing very well indeed to get more than three or four seats between Cambridge and the Tweed.
Yes, more snobs now vote LD than Tory and that has been the case since Brexit
What an extraordinary post!
Done on canvassing experience, go to the most expensive detached houses in the Home Counties and more likely than not the voters will be LD, certainly outside rural areas and when they are patronising with it (especially at local elections). Even if most of them still voted Tory in 2019 in the GE to keep out Corbyn now he has been replaced with Starmer many of them will vote LD without fear of Labour at general elections too
How do you know they’re ‘snobs’ though?
One for example looked at us and our rosette down his rimmed glasses, said 'I don't think so' and slammed the door.
You also only have to see some of the comments from Roger et al etc on here, the sheer contempt some diehard Remainers have for working class Leavers and the LDs have the highest percentage of diehard Remainers amongst their voters.
Nonsense, I am a lifelong Tory and I've looked down on the working classes long before Brexit.
Yet who did you vote for at the last 2 general elections? The Liberal Democrats.
I rest my case!
I am voting Tory at the next general election.
Sunak has one convert!
Appointing David Cameron as Foreign Secretary was what clinched my vote.
Comments
Polling narrowing provably won't happen sans dark swans until any 'stop/fear Labour' uncommitted/don't knows start focusing on a defined date ahead, if at all.
Personally feel somewhere around 40/29 feels about the mark for result, Tories on 140 to 190 depending on tactical efforts
But yes, at least the unfamiliar golden orb is visible in the sky, and it's not pissing with rain for once. We must be grateful for small mercies.
The split of around 60 to about 35 seems pretty consistent so does the 35 split Con 30, Ref 5 or Con 25, Ref 10 as that would make a big difference? LDs 10, Green 5 means Labour on 45 and that's a majority but could we see Lab 40, LD 15, Green 5 and that puts us in a very different place? As you say, tactical voting is another conundrum we've yet to resolve.
Anyway just been delivering and I'm now going out into the garden to tend my fruit and flower beds.
PS I have been reluctant to report this as, as you know, anecdotal and unreliable, but from what I have been hearing in Surrey seat canvassing the Tory vote is disintegrating.
If only LDs or Labour had a charismatic leader...
Or Reform had any policies...
Etc
However I have spent the last 3 months out in the sunshine, of Thailand, Cambodia, and Colombia, so feel less of a need. Also I have a ton of work to do, having faffed about in South America
I come on here to comment whenever Claude is pondering....
If we assume polling suggests (let's say) 24 13 Tory vs Reform going into the campaign, if the campaign produces no movement based on black swans, collapses or such I'd expect the sheer weight of ground troops, canvass data, local presence, volunteers to shift that to 27 10 or 28 9........
I agree the LD and Green scores are key as is how far over 40 Lab get, under 40 and there's a limit to their gains. The LDs might get or be competitive in 50 seats but once they get there i think anything over a national 14/15 or so is wasted until they approach 20 plus as they are so far behind outside that first 50 and would be damaging Labour in some they hope to take. Greens, I just dont know. 4 feels right
(Please God let the pollsters be right.)
If the Tory vote doesn't completely implode then they'll need to target those resources appropriately. If it does then they won't need to bother, as a number of additional seats will simply flip without their needing to try.
Nice and sunny on the Island.
The duopoly would be broken - it would be an existential event for the Conservatives who would be neither Government nor Opposition for the first time can could no longer claim to be the credible alternative Government.
Only the Tories on 12% with Remainers to 4% for Reform keeps them 5% in front of Reform overall
https://ygo-assets-websites-editorial-emea.yougov.net/documents/TheTimes_VI_240327_W.pdf
Therefore 50% *will* happen
Shades of the “linear increase on the graph proved that in 10 years our income will be 134% of global GDP”
Turning a win into a total rout will only happen if the Tory pensioner bloc vote disintegrates, through a combination of abstention and mass defections to other parties. I'm not convinced.
What makes you think civilians won’t be targets, as they are now ?
Only with tens of thousands rather than hundreds of drones attacking cities and infrastructure.
That is direct discrimination on the basis of race according to the Equality Act, because the Act explicitly says that "race" includes "nationality".
https://twitter.com/Dylan_Difford/status/1773650449775628705?t=M2_rEcEWpwbJASXt9pXZ7g&s=19
There are developed nations which can be compared to. Japan is a very successful example. Their zonal system works well at encouraging developments and means housing there is very affordable compared to the UK and people have more choice.
It is a true free market solution and it works.
https://twitter.com/simon_r_johnson/status/1774106965506916499
If there is some big reshuffle on the right of the traditional LD neck-of-the-woods then they don't want a strong leader standing in the way, they really do want to be blown with the wind.
Not believing polls is a very courageous betting strategy.
I get that I can be obsessive, and enthusiastic - it inspires me - and sometimes that can be annoying - soz - but it means you guys also learn stuff you would not, perhaps, otherwise learn
Moreover, this is THE subject of the moment, banning discussion of it (for the foreseeable) means that PB-ers will be uninformed about the most momentous development in human society, which is a shame and also stupid
But it is your pub, and if that's what the pub desires, so be it. I'm off
I can’t see any of the current MP’s doing the job!
Day after day, thread after thread you bore the pants off everybody here, including those who actually deal with AI.
I know it seems harsh on the person who told us what.three.words would be a technological game changer but thems the breaks.
They crews seemed happy paddling in it, mind.
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2024/mar/30/would-you-swim-in-that-salford-locals-bemoan-contaminated-river
But that isn't your caricature of what LDs are like. "A party largely consisting of progressive activists, but which aims to advance itself by winning the support of well to do, ageing Home Counties nimbies from the Conservatives".
The age divide and home ownership divide may be the main Tory v Labour decider now but the class divide has now clearly shifted to posh LDs v working class Reform, the Conservatives and Labour now both have roughly equal support amongst ABC1s and C2DEs
Thought experiment: a shopkeeper keeps a tally of suspected shoplifters, then puts a notice up in the window saying that 82% of shoplifters he's counted over the last year belong to one or another protected group (ethnicity, religion, take your pick.)
Provided that the shopkeeper posts the data but doesn't explicitly exclude the predominant group, have they done anything wrong, or are they going to get a visit from plod for shit stirring?
Is there a good national security argument for recording this data, which will presumably be neatly tabulated and published for breathless consumption by various newspapers, or is the aim simply to make scapegoats out of whole groups of people (off whom cheap political points can then be scored through demonisation and proposing they be made an example of?) What do we all think about this?
Age, housing and Brexit vote it is then.
Unlosable.
Another article could have discussed how did this woman get to be Prime Minister? But that's a different article.
You take a spoonful of coconut oil and swirl it around your mouth (it melts and turns to a liquid) with your cheeks, mouthwash style, for a long time - not less than 5 minutes. It draws out pathogens and they go into the coconut oil. You spit it out into some kitchen roll and dispose of it in the bin (don't spit it down the sink it will solidify). Don't swallow it because it's full of pathogens. Then do it again, as much as you need for the toothache to be gone.
It's very mild and there aren't any adverse contraindications - the worst thing that can happen is you feel vaguely silly for 5 minutes,
There are many sins on the political right, but the total shite that dresses itself up as an education is an introduction of the left.
You also only have to see some of the comments from Roger et al etc on here, the sheer contempt some diehard Remainers have for working class Leavers and the LDs have the highest percentage of diehard Remainers amongst their voters.
Indeed currently 12/15 LD seats are in Remain voting constituencies and the only Leave seats they have they won at by elections
For a famous example of 1, see the late Nate Hentoff: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nat_Hentoff -- A Jewish atheist who agreed on both issues with many Catholic nuns, who oppose abortion and the death penalty for, as they see it, the same reason.
(For an example of Hentoff's thinking, see this famous article: https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/1985/01/the-awful-privacy-of-baby-doe/666190/
Briefly, a Downs syndrome baby was allowed to starve to death, rather than have simple surgery done to allow it to feed. At least one other family -- who already had a Downs syndrome child -- offered to adopt the baby, but were refused.)
I thought HYUFD was always going on about the importance of posh so-called "Public Schools", Russell Group. Fen Poly and Cowley Tech degrees?
Perhaps if you canvassed in Lib Dem run Oadby and Wigston you might have a more balanced view than you do from the Home Counties.
I’m not aware of the sort of ‘contempt’ you describe being general; must ask the Labour and Remain voting friend I’m doing a stint at a local ‘place of tourism interest’ with tomorrow, if he’s come across it.
I rest my case!
Overall the LDs have 10% support, made up of 6% support from Leavers and 13% of remainers.
It isn't 6% of LD voters voted Leave.
Indeed Con should worry that only 28% of Leavers are supporting Con. That isn't much of a base.
Indeed in those bar charts Con are behind Lab in every one apart from 2019 Con voters and 2016 Leave voters.