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The numbers that should worry Trump – politicalbetting.com

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  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,930

    GIN1138 said:

    Do we know what time we're expecting the declaration at Rotherham?

    May 3rd

    (Or some time in October/November)
    Not January 2025?
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,173
    pigeon said:

    Foxy said:

    stodge said:

    Evening all :)

    In more "there must be an election coming" news, the Government has found £785 million to bail out Woking Borough Council.

    https://www.wokingnewsandmail.co.uk/news/bankrupt-woking-borough-council-offered-ps765-million-government-bailout-but-has-to-increase-council-tax-668767

    If you want to know the cost of years of Conservative mismanagement, there's part of it. Not much for the Woking residents who will face a 10% Council Tax rise in order for the Council to get the bailout or handout.

    Will this help Jonathan Lord keep his seat or make no difference at all?

    It's absolutely shocking that a tiny piddling shire district with responsibility for next to nothing (i.e. all the expensive services are the responsibility of the county council) could be given a financial bailout of that scale. £765m is roughly £10k EACH for every adult living in Woking. And apparently the scale of the financial problems facing Woking Council exceed even that.

    What on earth were the Conservatives running the council up to?
    Do we expect similar bailouts for all the other skint councils, or is Woking special?
    I think the Government is being forced to bail because Woking has absolutely no chance of ever restructuring and paying off debts of that size, given its tiny revenue base, and it has statutory obligations that it has to perform.

    In the long run there will need to be complete reform of local authority finance, before most of the councils in the land go tits up, but the Tories doubtless view bequeathing that (extremely expensive) hot potato to Labour as one of the compensations of going into Opposition.
    With all due respect:

    Bullshit.

    It is those people who lent to Woking who should be taking the hit. They lent to a Council that cannot repay its debts. (And, inevitably, it is also the people of Woking who should also bear the consequence through higher Council Tax and worse services.)

    But bailing out the council, gives the green light to every council, and every lender, that you can borrow and spend, and central government will simply bail you out.
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,930

    GIN1138 said:

    Do we know what time we're expecting the declaration at Rotherham?

    RTÉ were suggesting that voting was particularly slow. There might not be many votes to count.
    The turnout for this has got to be abysmal. With so many awful candidates on display I'd probably stay at home myself!
  • Options
    MJWMJW Posts: 1,398

    rcs1000 said:

    stodge said:

    stodge said:

    Evening all :)

    In more "there must be an election coming" news, the Government has found £785 million to bail out Woking Borough Council.

    https://www.wokingnewsandmail.co.uk/news/bankrupt-woking-borough-council-offered-ps765-million-government-bailout-but-has-to-increase-council-tax-668767

    If you want to know the cost of years of Conservative mismanagement, there's part of it. Not much for the Woking residents who will face a 10% Council Tax rise in order for the Council to get the bailout or handout.

    Will this help Jonathan Lord keep his seat or make no difference at all?

    Jonathan Lord has been an MP since 2010, I discover. Has anybody heard of him, outside Woking (and maybe not even there)?
    Thought not. He has the thinnest Wiki entry for a long-standing MP I've ever looked at.
    The LDs have selected Paul Forster, the Deputy Leader of the Council, to fight the seat again. He'll need help from tactical voting from Labour supporters but on current polling it has to be a possible LD gain.
    Yes, I've just had a look at the 2019 result. LD could well win it - Labour has no chance, so the swing away from the Tories combined with Labour tactical voting could do the trick.
    Not so fast:

    Latest Redfield and Wilton Blue Wall Voting intention 11th Feb
    Change in voting share in Blue Wall seats compared to 2019 GE
    Con -20%
    LD -6%
    Lab +17%

    Woking is one of the R&W "Blue Wall" seats

    Result of that swing applied to Woking using UNS:
    Con 29%
    LD 25%
    Lab 33%

    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-blue-wall-voting-intention-11-february-2024/
    Those Blue Wall numbers are going to hide a very wide selection of outcomes.

    If Labour is the challengers, then the LD vote is likely to all but disappear. If the LDs are seen as the challengers, their vote is likely to hold up pretty well.
    Indeed.

    You need to bear in mind though that in different circumstances the LDs would be seen as the clear challengers to the Conservatives in about 2/3rds of the R&W seats, and Labour in only about 1/3rds.

    So with so many of these seats being potentially fertile territory for the LDs, it should be concerning to them that in the Blue Wall seats their aggregate share of vote has according to R&W gone backwards in from the 27% they got in 2019 in not just this one poll but every one of the 27 Blue Wall polls so far conducted by R&W.

    So it's now a lot less obvious in many of those seats that the LDs should be seen as the challengers. In some the LDs still very clearly (e.g. Cheltenham). In some Labour are (e.g. Reading West). And then there are a lot more that are now more indeterminate in terms of tactical voting, of which I would count Woking as one.
    Woking is bankrupt. Not a good example.
    Woking isn't working.
    Perhaps Woking could insert "e" between "k" and "i" in order to obtain support & sustenance from The Blog?
    As a Wokingian (who has even played cricket with Jonathan Lord for parliament). I'd be very surprised if it didn't go Lib Dem at the GE. It was already shifting that way - a combination of London overspill and it being Remain leaning but Tory. But the council thing and the national desire to 'get the bar stewards out' mean it should be well in play, maybe even a comfortable LD gain if the Tories have a poor night.

    We're also losing some of the leafier, rural bits of the constituency to Surrey Heath. Which in theory were more Tory but who knows these days.

    Plus, the Lib Dems have a pretty strong candidate. Local. Hugely engaged, and on his third run having gradually grown his vote. Plus a small but significant Labour vote to squeeze - something that might be easier given events in Gaza, as historically it's been concentrated in the more heavily Muslim Sheerwater and Maybury area.

    So yeah, I'm not sure Lord will hang on.

    The only spanner in the works is that the Lib Dems have now taken over the Tory council thanks to wipeouts at the past two locals. Meaning they are having to take some of the nasty decisions to clean up the mess made by the previous Tory administration. It might not be fair, but their councillors are the ones now having to consult on cuts and put up tax - so that might dent chances among those who weren't paying as much attention to who caused the financial mess.
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,882
    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Do we know what time we're expecting the declaration at Rotherham?

    May 3rd

    (Or some time in October/November)
    Not January 2025?
    If so, I suspect it will be the last GE the Conservative Party ever fights.
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 40,054

    Just had my Wessex Water half year bill - £935! Our usage has gone from 63 m3 (2022/23) to 225 m3 this winter.

    Think we might have a leak somewhere :-( Just hoping it's at the meter then I can blame them.

    Came home from holiday a couple of years ago to a letter from Wessex water suggesting we’re going to get a higher bill than normal. It sure was - over a thousand pounds. Clearly a leak somewhere. Turned out to be under our house, sadly after the water entered the house (weird route upstairs then down under the kitchen floor, where the leak must have been). Had to re route the pipe (will be fully sorted shortly when the kitchen is refitted). Oddly never saw any dampness or any indication.
    Wessex were really good and waived the excess use, which they didn’t have to do.
    I had a leaking hose tap some years ago and ever since I check my water meter reading and record it once a week

    I also make sure my outside hose taps are turned off at the outside tap and not at the hose nosel
    It's not very easy to check your water meter regularly, at least it's not easy to check ours: we'd have to go out into the road, lift a cover for which we don;'t have the right tool and peer into a hole to a meter that is often underwater due, ironically, to a natural spring that exits there.
    I do lift the street cover just with a screwdriver and use a torch when necessary to read the meter

    As a revolting colonial, was rather startled UNTIL recalling that "torch" is what Brits call a flashlight!

    On this side of the Atlantic (and Pacific) a torch is a torch, as in "blowtorch".

    BTW, "solon" is old-school American journalese for lawmaker.
    Over here, Solon is the very wise codifier of the Athenian constitution. I had to stop and reread the expression "Republican solons" when I realised it was being used in the present tense, and it still jars.
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,930
    edited February 29
    I would actually have considered voting Conservative in Rochdale. Least worst, etc... But didn't the candidate give and go on holiday half way through the campaign? 😂

    So stay at home it would have been if I'd had a vote.
  • Options
    GIN1138 said:

    I would actually have considered voting Conservative in Rochdale. Least worst, etc... But didn't the candidate give and go on holiday half way through the campaign? 😂

    So stay at home it would have been if I'd had a vote.

    I would have voted Labour/Azhar Ali, Galloway needs to be stopped.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,173

    Not sure sure IF this has been noted/discussed on PB, but last week's ruling by Alabama state supreme court that embryos are people too, has really got the snakes stirred up.

    Specifically, Republican solons and their mouthpieces in Montgomery AND Washington, DC rushing to mitigate (to put it mildly) this ruling which shuts down (ditto) IVF clinics for women wanting to bear children despite fertility issues.

    https://publichealth.jhu.edu/2024/the-alabama-supreme-courts-ruling-on-frozen-embryos

    "The Alabama Supreme Court issued a ruling on February 16 declaring that embryos created through in vitro fertilization (IVF) should be considered children. Several of the state’s IVF clinics have since paused services, and lawmakers, doctors, and patients are raising concerns about the far-ranging impacts of the ruling on health care, including reproductive technology."

    One of the first off the bat was Alabama US Sen. "Coach" Tommy Tuberville (the thinking-man's Hershel Walker) the same guy who held up US military appointments for months (or was it years?) to burnish his own anti-abortion credentials.

    Seems that while crazed Catholics mostly concur (at least in the breach) with the ruling, which concurs with current church doctrine, evangelical Protestants - much thicker on the ground in most of Alabama - are split on the issue.

    Besides GOPers legislators & congresspeople falling over themselves trying to square this circle, the real potential political impact for 2024 appear to be, further making the Democratic case that the Republican Party is a standing menace to reproductive freedom of choice - NOT just abortion, but birth control, in either direction.

    IF this is unpopular in Alabama, just imagine how it poorly it's playing in Peoria.

    Oh, the ramifications of treating every embryo as a child are enormous.

    It not only means no IVF, but it also means that every pregnant smoker, alcoholic or drug taker is almost certainly guilty of assault on their unborn child.

    It means, if we're going to be consistent here, that every miscarriage needs to be investigated, and there would need to be an autopsy after each one to confirm that the causes were entirely natural.

    And so on and so on.
  • Options
    I am ready, man! Ready to get it on :lol:
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,486

    Latest R&W Red Wall polling also out. Wiki don't appear to have noticed yet.

    Vote shares with changes in 2019 result in brackets

    Lab 49% (+11%)
    Con 25% (-22%)
    Reform 14% (+7%)
    LD 6% (+1%)

    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-red-wall-voting-intention-25-february-2024/

    SKS fans please explain.

    Raynergate kicking in.

    Etc.

    Etc.
    Hunt will soon reverse this when he announces the Labour budget next week and crosses the floor.
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,930

    GIN1138 said:

    I would actually have considered voting Conservative in Rochdale. Least worst, etc... But didn't the candidate give and go on holiday half way through the campaign? 😂

    So stay at home it would have been if I'd had a vote.

    I would have voted Labour/Azhar Ali, Galloway needs to be stopped.
    You'd have voted for one antisemitic conspiracy theorist over another?
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,210

    Anyone staying up for Rochdale?!

    I'm not!

    Enjoy it 👍

    You might miss out on Galloway's big moment. "Today Rochdale, tomorrow Jerusalem."
  • Options
    AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 20,183
    I remember Air India being remarkably good 30 years ago; other than that Singapore Airlines are, or at least were, decent… but they were overly fussy and weirdly prioritised seatbelt-wearing and the eating of economy class food (as if!) over sleeping.

    BA back in the day were great transatlantic in cattle class, unlimited free booze. Not so much these days.

    The American Big Two are rubbish. Cramped, seemingly deliberately unglamorous, parsimonious with the booze and pious with it. Sadly on many routes in the States they are the only carriers so you can be stuck with them for hours when transiting North America.

    Air France sound like they are bringing back the golden age of flying: glamorous and dangerous, which while undoubtedly sexier than today’s mundanity might be a niche taste.

    As for this idea of “not imbibing when airborne” as proposed by @SeaShantyIrish . LOL. I’d never fly anywhere under such a restriction. You want me to alight this tin can and sit in mid-air for hours at 30,000ft while sober? Yeah, right. I didn’t come down in
    the last shower.

  • Options
    carnforthcarnforth Posts: 3,260

    dixiedean said:

    Not sure sure IF this has been noted/discussed on PB, but last week's ruling by Alabama state supreme court that embryos are people too, has really got the snakes stirred up.

    Specifically, Republican solons and their mouthpieces in Montgomery AND Washington, DC rushing to mitigate (to put it mildly) this ruling which shuts down (ditto) IVF clinics for women wanting to bear children despite fertility issues.

    https://publichealth.jhu.edu/2024/the-alabama-supreme-courts-ruling-on-frozen-embryos

    "The Alabama Supreme Court issued a ruling on February 16 declaring that embryos created through in vitro fertilization (IVF) should be considered children. Several of the state’s IVF clinics have since paused services, and lawmakers, doctors, and patients are raising concerns about the far-ranging impacts of the ruling on health care, including reproductive technology."

    One of the first off the bat was Alabama US Sen. "Coach" Tommy Tuberville (the thinking-man's Hershel Walker) the same guy who held up US military appointments for months (or was it years?) to burnish his own anti-abortion credentials.

    Seems that while crazed Catholics mostly concur (at least in the breach) with the ruling, which concurs with current church doctrine, evangelical Protestants - much thicker on the ground in most of Alabama - are split on the issue.

    Besides GOPers legislators & congresspeople falling over themselves trying to square this circle, the real potential political impact for 2024 appear to be, further making the Democratic case that the Republican Party is a standing menace to reproductive freedom of choice - NOT just abortion, but birth control, in either direction.

    IF this is unpopular in Alabama, just imagine how it poorly it's playing in Peoria.

    'solons'?

    (Also, I have to confess I'd never heard of Peoria. Then again, most Americans I meet have never heard of Dorset.)
    Will it play in Peoria?
    Is the equivalent of what the man on the Clapham omnibus might think.
    Thanks, now vaguely familiar.
    Birthplace of Richard Pryor. Or that’s the only context I know it in.
  • Options
    Carnyx said:

    Just had my Wessex Water half year bill - £935! Our usage has gone from 63 m3 (2022/23) to 225 m3 this winter.

    Think we might have a leak somewhere :-( Just hoping it's at the meter then I can blame them.

    Came home from holiday a couple of years ago to a letter from Wessex water suggesting we’re going to get a higher bill than normal. It sure was - over a thousand pounds. Clearly a leak somewhere. Turned out to be under our house, sadly after the water entered the house (weird route upstairs then down under the kitchen floor, where the leak must have been). Had to re route the pipe (will be fully sorted shortly when the kitchen is refitted). Oddly never saw any dampness or any indication.
    Wessex were really good and waived the excess use, which they didn’t have to do.
    I had a leaking hose tap some years ago and ever since I check my water meter reading and record it once a week

    I also make sure my outside hose taps are turned off at the outside tap and not at the hose nosel
    It's not very easy to check your water meter regularly, at least it's not easy to check ours: we'd have to go out into the road, lift a cover for which we don;'t have the right tool and peer into a hole to a meter that is often underwater due, ironically, to a natural spring that exits there.
    I do lift the street cover just with a screwdriver and use a torch when necessary to read the meter

    As a revolting colonial, was rather startled UNTIL recalling that "torch" is what Brits call a flashlight!

    On this side of the Atlantic (and Pacific) a torch is a torch, as in "blowtorch".

    BTW, "solon" is old-school American journalese for lawmaker.
    Over here, Solon is the very wise codifier of the Athenian constitution. I had to stop and reread the expression "Republican solons" when I realised it was being used in the present tense, and it still jars.
    Yeah, should have issued a PB irony alert.
  • Options

    Not sure sure IF this has been noted/discussed on PB, but last week's ruling by Alabama state supreme court that embryos are people too, has really got the snakes stirred up.

    Specifically, Republican solons and their mouthpieces in Montgomery AND Washington, DC rushing to mitigate (to put it mildly) this ruling which shuts down (ditto) IVF clinics for women wanting to bear children despite fertility issues.

    https://publichealth.jhu.edu/2024/the-alabama-supreme-courts-ruling-on-frozen-embryos

    "The Alabama Supreme Court issued a ruling on February 16 declaring that embryos created through in vitro fertilization (IVF) should be considered children. Several of the state’s IVF clinics have since paused services, and lawmakers, doctors, and patients are raising concerns about the far-ranging impacts of the ruling on health care, including reproductive technology."

    One of the first off the bat was Alabama US Sen. "Coach" Tommy Tuberville (the thinking-man's Hershel Walker) the same guy who held up US military appointments for months (or was it years?) to burnish his own anti-abortion credentials.

    Seems that while crazed Catholics mostly concur (at least in the breach) with the ruling, which concurs with current church doctrine, evangelical Protestants - much thicker on the ground in most of Alabama - are split on the issue.

    Besides GOPers legislators & congresspeople falling over themselves trying to square this circle, the real potential political impact for 2024 appear to be, further making the Democratic case that the Republican Party is a standing menace to reproductive freedom of choice - NOT just abortion, but birth control, in either direction.

    IF this is unpopular in Alabama, just imagine how it poorly it's playing in Peoria.

    'solons'?

    (Also, I have to confess I'd never heard of Peoria. Then again, most Americans I meet have never heard of Dorset.)
    Richard Nixon was always banging on about Peoria which was seen as the centre of America.
  • Options
    AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 20,183
    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Do we know what time we're expecting the declaration at Rotherham?

    RTÉ were suggesting that voting was particularly slow. There might not be many votes to count.
    The turnout for this has got to be abysmal. With so many awful candidates on display I'd probably stay at home myself!
    I’d neatly draw a cock and balls, possibly hairy, in a blank space on the form.
  • Options
    geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,184
    Putin emulates the rat he described, cornered in the stairwell
  • Options
    GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 20,882
    Andrew Neil:

    We have it on good authority that George Osborne is going around London trying to sell The Spectator to the highest bidder, on behalf of RedbirdIMI’s Jeff Zucker, an American broadcast media guy who screwed up CNN and doesn’t know anything about Britain or British media but wants to ditch the troublesome Spectator and concentrate on the Telegraph, which is what his Arab bankrollers really want. He’s their front man. Osborne doesn’t care who gets the Spectator as long as it’s a lot of money, since that will boost his fees as Zucker’s hired hand. Such a “parcel of rogues” as Robert Burns once said.

    What was that old saying about conservatives being former liberals who were mugged by reality?

    Well, what do you call a conservative whose been bought and sold by reality to the highest bidder?
  • Options
    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    I would actually have considered voting Conservative in Rochdale. Least worst, etc... But didn't the candidate give and go on holiday half way through the campaign? 😂

    So stay at home it would have been if I'd had a vote.

    I would have voted Labour/Azhar Ali, Galloway needs to be stopped.
    You'd have voted for one antisemitic conspiracy theorist over another?
    Steady on! No room for Islamophobia either!
  • Options

    NEW THREAD

  • Options
    MJWMJW Posts: 1,398
    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    I would actually have considered voting Conservative in Rochdale. Least worst, etc... But didn't the candidate give and go on holiday half way through the campaign? 😂

    So stay at home it would have been if I'd had a vote.

    I would have voted Labour/Azhar Ali, Galloway needs to be stopped.
    You'd have voted for one antisemitic conspiracy theorist over another?
    If between the two, there really isn't much of a choice. Ali is clearly an antisemitic idiot. But Galloway is pure evil in that way and many others besides. Plus it is very funny when the puffed up cat-bothering prat loses and throws his customary tantrum.

    But I'd have voted Lib Dem. Heck, would have campaigned for them.
  • Options
    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,763

    I am ready, man! Ready to get it on :lol:

    I think the Shadow Chancellor may have other plans this evening.
  • Options
    TimSTimS Posts: 9,896

    I remember Air India being remarkably good 30 years ago; other than that Singapore Airlines are, or at least were, decent… but they were overly fussy and weirdly prioritised seatbelt-wearing and the eating of economy class food (as if!) over sleeping.

    BA back in the day were great transatlantic in cattle class, unlimited free booze. Not so much these days.

    The American Big Two are rubbish. Cramped, seemingly deliberately unglamorous, parsimonious with the booze and pious with it. Sadly on many routes in the States they are the only carriers so you can be stuck with them for hours when transiting North America.

    Air France sound like they are bringing back the golden age of flying: glamorous and dangerous, which while undoubtedly sexier than today’s mundanity might be a niche taste.

    As for this idea of “not imbibing when airborne” as proposed by @SeaShantyIrish . LOL. I’d never fly anywhere under such a restriction. You want me to alight this tin can and sit in mid-air for hours at 30,000ft while sober? Yeah, right. I didn’t come down in
    the last shower.

    The whole point of air travel is free booze.

    I’ve been on some shockingly shit flights with US carriers. The food is particularly bad. The one exception being one of two business class long haul flights on American which were fine.

    My favourites, now sadly consigned to history, were the old BA flights in the quiet top deck of the 747, seat 60k. Every time I was booked I’d go on to the app and change my seat to 60k or 60A.
  • Options

    Not sure sure IF this has been noted/discussed on PB, but last week's ruling by Alabama state supreme court that embryos are people too, has really got the snakes stirred up.

    Specifically, Republican solons and their mouthpieces in Montgomery AND Washington, DC rushing to mitigate (to put it mildly) this ruling which shuts down (ditto) IVF clinics for women wanting to bear children despite fertility issues.

    https://publichealth.jhu.edu/2024/the-alabama-supreme-courts-ruling-on-frozen-embryos

    "The Alabama Supreme Court issued a ruling on February 16 declaring that embryos created through in vitro fertilization (IVF) should be considered children. Several of the state’s IVF clinics have since paused services, and lawmakers, doctors, and patients are raising concerns about the far-ranging impacts of the ruling on health care, including reproductive technology."

    One of the first off the bat was Alabama US Sen. "Coach" Tommy Tuberville (the thinking-man's Hershel Walker) the same guy who held up US military appointments for months (or was it years?) to burnish his own anti-abortion credentials.

    Seems that while crazed Catholics mostly concur (at least in the breach) with the ruling, which concurs with current church doctrine, evangelical Protestants - much thicker on the ground in most of Alabama - are split on the issue.

    Besides GOPers legislators & congresspeople falling over themselves trying to square this circle, the real potential political impact for 2024 appear to be, further making the Democratic case that the Republican Party is a standing menace to reproductive freedom of choice - NOT just abortion, but birth control, in either direction.

    IF this is unpopular in Alabama, just imagine how it poorly it's playing in Peoria.

    'solons'?

    (Also, I have to confess I'd never heard of Peoria. Then again, most Americans I meet have never heard of Dorset.)
    Richard Nixon was always banging on about Peoria which was seen as the centre of America.
    In his day (and maybe still today?) Peoria, Illinois was frequently used as a test market by American advertisers, merchandisers, etc. for new products, because it's demographics mirrored the USA average.

    IIRC this has been true for quite a while, indeed in bygone days when vaudeville (American music hall) was a thing, theatrical productions often did a test-run in Peoria, before taking the show to big cities like nearby Chicago, New York, etc.

    Thus the phrase, "how will it play in Peoria?"
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,971
    ydoethur said:

    pigeon said:

    ydoethur said:

    RobD said:

    Just had my Wessex Water half year bill - £935!

    Our usage has gone from 63 m3 (2022/23) to 225 m3 this winter.

    Think we might have a leak somewhere :-( Just hoping it's at the meter then I can blame them.

    It's despicable that water is metered anywhere in the UK.
    Is it? Paying for what you use seems reasonable.
    We should pay our share of the infrastructure costs for getting the water to us. The water itself should not be metered - it is a natural resource that we are blessed with an immense abundance of, and it should be used and enjoyed.
    If you want to drink untreated rainwater then put a bucket in your garden and drink from that.

    If you want filtered and treated water then that costs money and the user should pay for what they use.
    It’s barely 15 months ago following a hot summer and a dry autumn that there was a real worry some areas might run critically short of water.

    How quickly we forget.
    And at the first sign of warm weather the water companies will be panic flapping and declaring hosepipe bans again. To illustrate the necessity of hiking bills to "invest in infrastructure," which is code for robbing the consumer and shipping all the loot to Dubai, whilst leaving the decrepit, leaky water system to go on collapsing as before.

    Apparently the latest wheeze from the shysters at Thames Water is a demand to allow bills to be hiked by 40%, fines for pumping shit into the rivers to be cut to almost nothing AND a right to carry on paying out dividends, in exchange for the privilege of further "investment." What should be done is that the shareholders should be told to fuck off and the company allowed to go bankrupt and renationalised for nothing. What will actually happen is that they'll be given everything that they want so that the useless politicians can continue to deflect blame onto the water company rather than this disaster being the direct responsibility of our utterly hopeless and worthless Government and Parliament.

    They all just want to play at being in office and enjoy the titles and the salaries, whilst doing nothing of any value. It's just a game for them.
    Because, unfortunately, if Thames Water goes down three pension funds will go down with it.

    That's a pretty unpleasant reflection of the stupidity of the managers of certain pension funds, but it means the bastards have us over a barrel...
    Why ?
    The net cost to our economy would likely be less if we put Thames into administration.

    And the biggest of the pension funds is Canadian.


  • Options
    Carnyx said:

    Just had my Wessex Water half year bill - £935! Our usage has gone from 63 m3 (2022/23) to 225 m3 this winter.

    Think we might have a leak somewhere :-( Just hoping it's at the meter then I can blame them.

    Came home from holiday a couple of years ago to a letter from Wessex water suggesting we’re going to get a higher bill than normal. It sure was - over a thousand pounds. Clearly a leak somewhere. Turned out to be under our house, sadly after the water entered the house (weird route upstairs then down under the kitchen floor, where the leak must have been). Had to re route the pipe (will be fully sorted shortly when the kitchen is refitted). Oddly never saw any dampness or any indication.
    Wessex were really good and waived the excess use, which they didn’t have to do.
    I had a leaking hose tap some years ago and ever since I check my water meter reading and record it once a week

    I also make sure my outside hose taps are turned off at the outside tap and not at the hose nosel
    It's not very easy to check your water meter regularly, at least it's not easy to check ours: we'd have to go out into the road, lift a cover for which we don;'t have the right tool and peer into a hole to a meter that is often underwater due, ironically, to a natural spring that exits there.
    I do lift the street cover just with a screwdriver and use a torch when necessary to read the meter

    As a revolting colonial, was rather startled UNTIL recalling that "torch" is what Brits call a flashlight!

    On this side of the Atlantic (and Pacific) a torch is a torch, as in "blowtorch".

    BTW, "solon" is old-school American journalese for lawmaker.
    Over here, Solon is the very wise codifier of the Athenian constitution. I had to stop and reread the expression "Republican solons" when I realised it was being used in the present tense, and it still jars.
    Solon also learned from the Egyptians about the Atlantis myth as mentioned in the Timaeus and Critias.
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    I am ready, man! Ready to get it on :lol:

    I think the Shadow Chancellor may have other plans this evening.
    Hey, Sandy, don't worry! Me and my squad of ultimate Starmer Fans will protect you! Check-it-out…Independently targeting particle-beam phalanx. VWAP! Fry half a Parliamentary Constituency with this puppy. We got tactical smart missiles, phased-plasma pulse-rifles, RPG’s. We got sonic electronic ball breakers, we got nukes, we got knives… sharp sticks... leaflets with dodgy bar charts...
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    RattersRatters Posts: 807
    edited February 29
    ydoethur said:

    pigeon said:

    ydoethur said:

    RobD said:

    Just had my Wessex Water half year bill - £935!

    Our usage has gone from 63 m3 (2022/23) to 225 m3 this winter.

    Think we might have a leak somewhere :-( Just hoping it's at the meter then I can blame them.

    It's despicable that water is metered anywhere in the UK.
    Is it? Paying for what you use seems reasonable.
    We should pay our share of the infrastructure costs for getting the water to us. The water itself should not be metered - it is a natural resource that we are blessed with an immense abundance of, and it should be used and enjoyed.
    If you want to drink untreated rainwater then put a bucket in your garden and drink from that.

    If you want filtered and treated water then that costs money and the user should pay for what they use.
    It’s barely 15 months ago following a hot summer and a dry autumn that there was a real worry some areas might run critically short of water.

    How quickly we forget.
    And at the first sign of warm weather the water companies will be panic flapping and declaring hosepipe bans again. To illustrate the necessity of hiking bills to "invest in infrastructure," which is code for robbing the consumer and shipping all the loot to Dubai, whilst leaving the decrepit, leaky water system to go on collapsing as before.

    Apparently the latest wheeze from the shysters at Thames Water is a demand to allow bills to be hiked by 40%, fines for pumping shit into the rivers to be cut to almost nothing AND a right to carry on paying out dividends, in exchange for the privilege of further "investment." What should be done is that the shareholders should be told to fuck off and the company allowed to go bankrupt and renationalised for nothing. What will actually happen is that they'll be given everything that they want so that the useless politicians can continue to deflect blame onto the water company rather than this disaster being the direct responsibility of our utterly hopeless and worthless Government and Parliament.

    They all just want to play at being in office and enjoy the titles and the salaries, whilst doing nothing of any value. It's just a game for them.
    Because, unfortunately, if Thames Water goes down three pension funds will go down with it.

    That's a pretty unpleasant reflection of the stupidity of the managers of certain pension funds, but it means the bastards have us over a barrel.

    Equally, my essential point stands. We don't actually have an abundance of water in England in particular due to inadequate storage and chronic overuse. We're only ever two dry winters away from trouble. Metering is actually a fairly easy way of helping to address the latter, even if it's hardly a panacea.
    The largest shareholder (over 30%) is a Canadian pension fund. Not sure why we should care about their poor investment decisions.

    The second largest (c.20%) is the UK university scheme, which has last reported a £7bn surplus and would be absolutely fine if it's Thames water holding was wiped out.

    The third largest (c.10%) is an Abu Dhabi investment fund.

    Of the remaining six shareholders, two are Canadian pension schemes, one is China, one is a German pension scheme, one is a private equity firm, and another looks to be BT pension scheme. The BT pension scheme deficit has halved over the last 3 years.

    There is simply no reason to bail them out 'because of pension schemes'. The impact on UK schemes is a tiny drop in the huge ocean.

    Sources:
    https://www.thameswater.co.uk/about-us/governance/our-structure
    https://www.uss.co.uk/news-and-views/latest-news/2024/01/04012024_an-update-on-our-investment-in-thames-water
    https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&opi=89978449&url=https://www.ft.com/content/2956f0d7-dcc1-4293-bac8-6d5b79af4eb7&ved=2ahUKEwjq6I7RytGEAxWCZkEAHQzVBOkQjjh6BAg5EAE&usg=AOvVaw3LkKa-3EYNMbKQDXm8wdF4
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    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,898
    Ratters said:

    ydoethur said:

    pigeon said:

    ydoethur said:

    RobD said:

    Just had my Wessex Water half year bill - £935!

    Our usage has gone from 63 m3 (2022/23) to 225 m3 this winter.

    Think we might have a leak somewhere :-( Just hoping it's at the meter then I can blame them.

    It's despicable that water is metered anywhere in the UK.
    Is it? Paying for what you use seems reasonable.
    We should pay our share of the infrastructure costs for getting the water to us. The water itself should not be metered - it is a natural resource that we are blessed with an immense abundance of, and it should be used and enjoyed.
    If you want to drink untreated rainwater then put a bucket in your garden and drink from that.

    If you want filtered and treated water then that costs money and the user should pay for what they use.
    It’s barely 15 months ago following a hot summer and a dry autumn that there was a real worry some areas might run critically short of water.

    How quickly we forget.
    And at the first sign of warm weather the water companies will be panic flapping and declaring hosepipe bans again. To illustrate the necessity of hiking bills to "invest in infrastructure," which is code for robbing the consumer and shipping all the loot to Dubai, whilst leaving the decrepit, leaky water system to go on collapsing as before.

    Apparently the latest wheeze from the shysters at Thames Water is a demand to allow bills to be hiked by 40%, fines for pumping shit into the rivers to be cut to almost nothing AND a right to carry on paying out dividends, in exchange for the privilege of further "investment." What should be done is that the shareholders should be told to fuck off and the company allowed to go bankrupt and renationalised for nothing. What will actually happen is that they'll be given everything that they want so that the useless politicians can continue to deflect blame onto the water company rather than this disaster being the direct responsibility of our utterly hopeless and worthless Government and Parliament.

    They all just want to play at being in office and enjoy the titles and the salaries, whilst doing nothing of any value. It's just a game for them.
    Because, unfortunately, if Thames Water goes down three pension funds will go down with it.

    That's a pretty unpleasant reflection of the stupidity of the managers of certain pension funds, but it means the bastards have us over a barrel.

    Equally, my essential point stands. We don't actually have an abundance of water in England in particular due to inadequate storage and chronic overuse. We're only ever two dry winters away from trouble. Metering is actually a fairly easy way of helping to address the latter, even if it's hardly a panacea.
    The largest shareholder (over 30%) is a Canadian pension fund. Not sure why we should care about their poor investment decisions.

    The second largest (c.20%) is the UK university scheme, which has last reported a £7bn surplus and would be absolutely fine if it's Thames water holding was wiped out.

    The third largest (c.10%) is an Abu Dhabi investment fund.

    Of the remaining six shareholders, two are Canadian pension schemes, one is China, one is a German pension scheme, one is a private equity firm, and another looks to be BT pension scheme. The BT pension scheme deficit has halved over the last 3 years.

    There is simply no reason to bail them out 'because of pension schemes'. The impact on UK schemes is a tiny drop in the huge ocean.

    Sources:
    https://www.thameswater.co.uk/about-us/governance/our-structure
    https://www.uss.co.uk/news-and-views/latest-news/2024/01/04012024_an-update-on-our-investment-in-thames-water
    https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&opi=89978449&url=https://www.ft.com/content/2956f0d7-dcc1-4293-bac8-6d5b79af4eb7&ved=2ahUKEwjq6I7RytGEAxWCZkEAHQzVBOkQjjh6BAg5EAE&usg=AOvVaw3LkKa-3EYNMbKQDXm8wdF4
    Even if they were UK pensions schemes, they should not be bailed out. Investment in equities means accepting risk.

    The shareholders are also responsible for approving accounts and executive appointments at the AGM. They approved these decisions.
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    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,898

    Not sure sure IF this has been noted/discussed on PB, but last week's ruling by Alabama state supreme court that embryos are people too, has really got the snakes stirred up.

    Specifically, Republican solons and their mouthpieces in Montgomery AND Washington, DC rushing to mitigate (to put it mildly) this ruling which shuts down (ditto) IVF clinics for women wanting to bear children despite fertility issues.

    https://publichealth.jhu.edu/2024/the-alabama-supreme-courts-ruling-on-frozen-embryos

    "The Alabama Supreme Court issued a ruling on February 16 declaring that embryos created through in vitro fertilization (IVF) should be considered children. Several of the state’s IVF clinics have since paused services, and lawmakers, doctors, and patients are raising concerns about the far-ranging impacts of the ruling on health care, including reproductive technology."

    One of the first off the bat was Alabama US Sen. "Coach" Tommy Tuberville (the thinking-man's Hershel Walker) the same guy who held up US military appointments for months (or was it years?) to burnish his own anti-abortion credentials.

    Seems that while crazed Catholics mostly concur (at least in the breach) with the ruling, which concurs with current church doctrine, evangelical Protestants - much thicker on the ground in most of Alabama - are split on the issue.

    Besides GOPers legislators & congresspeople falling over themselves trying to square this circle, the real potential political impact for 2024 appear to be, further making the Democratic case that the Republican Party is a standing menace to reproductive freedom of choice - NOT just abortion, but birth control, in either direction.

    IF this is unpopular in Alabama, just imagine how it poorly it's playing in Peoria.

    'solons'?

    (Also, I have to confess I'd never heard of Peoria. Then again, most Americans I meet have never heard of Dorset.)
    Richard Nixon was always banging on about Peoria which was seen as the centre of America.
    In his day (and maybe still today?) Peoria, Illinois was frequently used as a test market by American advertisers, merchandisers, etc. for new products, because it's demographics mirrored the USA average.

    IIRC this has been true for quite a while, indeed in bygone days when vaudeville (American music hall) was a thing, theatrical productions often did a test-run in Peoria, before taking the show to big cities like nearby Chicago, New York, etc.

    Thus the phrase, "how will it play in Peoria?"
    Isn't it more metaphorical, like "the man on the Clapham omnibus". Judges don't really conduct vox pops on public transport in South London in order to decide points of law.
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    DumbosaurusDumbosaurus Posts: 152
    edited February 29
    Am not bothering to stay up for Rochdale but I've stuck a small amount (£100) on Labour at these odds (best price was 3 and you'll get filled there at present but my average worse as I started doing it a few minutes too soon), against what I think my sober judgement would be. I assume the spike is because of the large number of postal votes which are rather suspicious from an insular community POV. But of course that insular community may just as well have been voting Ali as Galloway.
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    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 27,057
    Leon said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Leon said:

    "Rochdale's 30p Lament" is now on a permanent loop in my head


    Because it is actually a GOOD rock song, with hilariously stupid lyrics

    I must listen to it again, if I can find the link.
    I warn you, it doesn't go away


    https://app.suno.ai/song/91270dcb-ef95-45f7-b6d2-acc5c3bb8a12
    Thanks.
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    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 19,100

    Not sure sure IF this has been noted/discussed on PB, but last week's ruling by Alabama state supreme court that embryos are people too, has really got the snakes stirred up.

    Specifically, Republican solons and their mouthpieces in Montgomery AND Washington, DC rushing to mitigate (to put it mildly) this ruling which shuts down (ditto) IVF clinics for women wanting to bear children despite fertility issues.

    https://publichealth.jhu.edu/2024/the-alabama-supreme-courts-ruling-on-frozen-embryos

    "The Alabama Supreme Court issued a ruling on February 16 declaring that embryos created through in vitro fertilization (IVF) should be considered children. Several of the state’s IVF clinics have since paused services, and lawmakers, doctors, and patients are raising concerns about the far-ranging impacts of the ruling on health care, including reproductive technology."

    One of the first off the bat was Alabama US Sen. "Coach" Tommy Tuberville (the thinking-man's Hershel Walker) the same guy who held up US military appointments for months (or was it years?) to burnish his own anti-abortion credentials.

    Seems that while crazed Catholics mostly concur (at least in the breach) with the ruling, which concurs with current church doctrine, evangelical Protestants - much thicker on the ground in most of Alabama - are split on the issue.

    Besides GOPers legislators & congresspeople falling over themselves trying to square this circle, the real potential political impact for 2024 appear to be, further making the Democratic case that the Republican Party is a standing menace to reproductive freedom of choice - NOT just abortion, but birth control, in either direction.

    IF this is unpopular in Alabama, just imagine how it poorly it's playing in Peoria.

    The POTUS election looks like this:

    ...Biden is pro-trans... "Boo! Vote Trump"
    ...But Trump is anti-abortion...: "Boo! Vote Biden"
    ...But Biden is pro-Israel... "Boo! Vote Trump"
    ...But Trump is anti-IVF... "Boo! Vote Biden"
    ...But Biden is anti-Gaza... "Boo! Vote Trump"
    ...But Trump is a crook... "Boo! Vote Biden"
    ...But Biden is senile... "Boo! Vote Trump"

    I haven't got a clue who is going to win. And I have to bet on it. This is going to be a very scary election... :(
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    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 19,100
    edited February 29
    ...
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    viewcode said:

    ...

    ... --- ...
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    MattWMattW Posts: 18,819
    edited February 29
    <

    For @MattW -
    Windows actually comes with a programme that will di what you want (but you have to dig a little): Photos Legacy.

    Follow the instructions here: https://support.microsoft.com/en-us/windows/what-is-photos-legacy-61255007-a189-4a02-8193-6ba18e5f96d3

    You can create and insert title slides, clip videos, stitch clips together, add soundtracks, etc.

    Thanks.
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    MattWMattW Posts: 18,819
    edited February 29

    Just had my Wessex Water half year bill - £935! Our usage has gone from 63 m3 (2022/23) to 225 m3 this winter.

    Think we might have a leak somewhere :-( Just hoping it's at the meter then I can blame them.

    Came home from holiday a couple of years ago to a letter from Wessex water suggesting we’re going to get a higher bill than normal. It sure was - over a thousand pounds. Clearly a leak somewhere. Turned out to be under our house, sadly after the water entered the house (weird route upstairs then down under the kitchen floor, where the leak must have been). Had to re route the pipe (will be fully sorted shortly when the kitchen is refitted). Oddly never saw any dampness or any indication.
    Wessex were really good and waived the excess use, which they didn’t have to do.
    I had a leaking hose tap some years ago and ever since I check my water meter reading and record it once a week

    I also make sure my outside hose taps are turned off at the outside tap and not at the hose nosel
    It's not very easy to check your water meter regularly, at least it's not easy to check ours: we'd have to go out into the road, lift a cover for which we don;'t have the right tool and peer into a hole to a meter that is often underwater due, ironically, to a natural spring that exits there.
    I use a thing called a SureStop, which is a controller for your water supply like a light switch. It is an air switch, and I normally fit it inside a cupboard or above the worktop.

    It makes it far easier to switch it off even each time you leave the house - but normally for me when away overnight, just in case of a leak. It doesn't address the consequences, but protects most of your system on the dwelling side of the meter - depending where the meter is, and limits damage or the amount of water lost if eg an internal pipe freezes.

This discussion has been closed.