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The problems with having two massive elections at the same time – politicalbetting.com
The problems with having two massive elections at the same time – politicalbetting.com
? Exclusive: Liz Truss defends sharing stage with election-deniers as she effectively endorses Donald TrumpFind out more?https://t.co/T0uryU3ERc pic.twitter.com/5n6K2tLc3L
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Truss is clearly looking to the conservative lecture circuit in the US and its well paid speeches, Trump will put America First with little care for the rest of the West
Has her time come???
Senior Conservatives being tossers -> fewer Conservatives after the election looks more like a feature than a bug to me
Offtopic: That's a seriously bad graph in the tweet, mainly due to the wrong colouring for the legend, I guess. But for a UK audience, the blue and red immediately suggests Con and Lab anyway, not - as I think intended - Dem and GOP.
ETA: Keiran, you can hire me to sort out your graphs if you like
And the picture of LizTruss in the header shows her wearing Leon's necklace.
https://twitter.com/aseitzwald/status/1760978585828085884
(It's not, but it's a good story nonetheless.)
https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2024/02/10/politics/trump-russia-nato/index.html
"Some people call me the Worst Lady. [pause for gurning]"
Biden’s big bet on place-based industrial policy
https://www.brookings.edu/articles/bidens-big-bet-on-place-based-industrial-policy/
By now, it’s clear that “Bidenomics” centers heavily on what the White House calls a “modern American industrial strategy.” What’s less recognized, though, is another feature of the new economic push: its strong geographic orientation.
Most broadly, the big spending bills of the last Congress—the American Rescue Plan Act (ARP), Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA), CHIPS and Science Act, and Inflation Reduction Act (IRA)— embody a national pivot. The U.S. has recommitted to a broad public investment agenda after decades of vacillation between “laissez-faire” economics at some times and redistributive efforts at others. The new goal: Raise the productive capacity of the U.S. economy and at the same time promote greater inclusion, a higher standard of living, and reduced carbon emissions.
And yet, there is more to the new line of action. Specifically, key elements of the new approach are strongly place-based. ..
All those Tories who have spent years wittering on about "levelling up" might take notes.
🤬
Trump says Americans who don’t support him are “more dangerous” than Vladimir Putin
https://twitter.com/BidenHQ/status/1760877170472165699
"This time the greatest threat is not from the outside of our country - I really believe this - it's from within. It's from the people from within our country that are more dangerous than the people outside. We can handle China. We can handle Russia."
Forgive my cynicism, but I don't believe Mr Trump is the cognitive genius you take him for. I do not believe his commentary was designed as a lateral way of bolstering European Defence policy.
You are in denial.
Are you supporting Trump for the presidency in 2024?
And I don’t mean in terms of polling slump, that goes in cycles anyway, I mean in a distinct philosophy, how they see the world and decisions they make.
https://twitter.com/PeterSweden7/status/1761005209612890563?t=jL-DmKfoJ7imhDRJtKLwcw&s=19
Not sure my purchase of a petrol Mercedes in the last month has been a factor !!
Regulator charges Tyler Loudon with insider trading in case that could fuel arguments about working from home
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2024/feb/23/us-man-accused-of-making-18m-from-insider-trading-wife-remote-calls-working-from-home
One danger of WFH and its lack of confidentiality we have previously discussed on PB.
But this one rescued from the dying embers of the previous thread looks to be on another level ..........
(MOONRABBIT)
"There’s bits of this PB header sailing close to the siren voices of myopic fantasy that does not represent the full truth and history of the week".
Congressional inaction is handing the Pacific to China
https://thehill.com/opinion/international/4483445-congressional-inaction-is-handing-the-pacific-to-china/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Next_United_Kingdom_general_election_in_Scotland#Poll_results
If you are so concerned about the credibility of collective defence, why not point the finger at those countries failing to meet their spending targets rather than at Trump ?
How U.S. Pressure Helped Save Brazil’s Democracy
Mounting evidence suggests Biden kept pro-Bolsonaro generals from executing a coup.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/02/20/brazil-bolsonaro-coup-us-biden-democracy-election-chips-lula/?tpcc=recirc_latest062921
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simon_Evans_(director)
https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/p0fqlqxc/staged-series-3-4-present
https://www.michaelspicer.co.uk/
https://www.youtube.com/@MrMichaelSpicer
If you did have a vote, how would you cast it?
It's not a game.
Thought experiment. Suppose the Conservatives lose this year and (this is the hard bit) get overtaken by an urge to move towards the centre. Who do they have who could lead the party in that direction? The best I can come up with is Tom Tugendhat, which kind of highlights the problem.
But he said the Russians have suffered staggering casualties and Ukraine can still hold its own in fighting off Russian President Vladimir Putin’s invasion if it gets the support it needs from the United States."
source: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/opinion-who-is-winning-gen-petraeus-on-ukraine-war-two-years-in/ar-BB1iKThS?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=U531&cvid=701323af64e94f1fb62b6184a886b2f8&ei=11
(I found his thoughts about Ukrainian successes in the Black Sea especially interesting. He doesn't mention this, but I did wonder whether the Royal Navy might deserve some credit for those successes.)
Copied from previous thread.
Absent that, it's about as useful as the Minsk agreement.
It’s extraordinary . The list of what would normally disqualify any other candidate seems to elicit a shrug from the UK Trump fan club .
The inertia to not make a decision will weigh heavily on anyone's suggestions to "go now". Which is why if we get to the end of March and they haven't called an election I think we get into late vs later...
Whilst people are understandably questioning Biden's mental state given his age and various gaffes, given Truss's comments it would appear more appropriate to be questioning her mental state.
Her lack of self awareness is off the scale. I've voted Conservative at every election in the last 20 years and under no circumstances would I even consider voting for a party led by Truss. If she was leader it really would be a Canadian style Conservative wipeout.
It is SNP v English Westminster - a timeless topic
While they've since realised the magnitude of that error, and significantly reversed policy, it still tends to colour their thinking on Ukraine (see, for example, the continuing hesitation over supplying Taurus missiles, despite their Parliament's recent vote to supply "long range weapons").
More of a problem for the US-obsessed BBC, though.
https://www.lbc.co.uk/news/russian-jets-simulate-bombing-raids-on-britain/
Later...
https://ukdefencejournal.org.uk/british-carrier-launches-jets-for-simulated-combat-missions/
Last time this happened (in the 1840s) they were back in government within 20 years in a moderate frame
The best-case scenario for the Tories is that they elect as leader someone who has well-established right-wing bonafides, but who has the good sense to lead the party back towards the centre.
https://twitter.com/AshaRangappa_/status/1760135573942014311
But we shouldn't be "taking sides" - unless it's to defend Truss taking sides.
Or say that Trump is good for NATO.
She's probably bitter over that...
It is worth noting that, after the Labour election loss in 2019, it was hard to see a candidate who both could win with the membership and was untainted by the Corbyn regime. The eventual leadership winner called Corbyn his best buddy ever, said Corbyn was not racist but had been unfairly traduced by the evil media, and pledged to continue on his good work.
For the Conservatives it is MPs who have to choose the final two, and the MPs who are likely to be left after the election would be 'Sunakite' rather than Trumpist.
I agree that Tom Tugendhat seems a good bet. There is a reason that Liz Truss needs to cross the Atlantic to find a friendly audience, and the UK Tories should take note. As with Theresa May in 2016, Tugendhat may be the only one left standing.
There is a balance to be struck. I think the next successful Tory leader (that is, taking them back into government), will be sensible, but probably run (at least in part) against the self-proclaimed 'Sensibles'. This is still centrism, but of a specific, 'anti-Vordemanist' kind.
Whether that happens in five, ten, or fifteen years is only partly in their own party's hands. It all depends on how interested they are in victory.
You're really DougSeal in disguise.
That Europe does need to look after itself, I agree.
We have merely delayed our Le Pen Moment with Brexit. It’s still coming