“I don’t want another [terrorist] attack on this house”Speaker of the House Lindsay Hoyle announces there will be an emergency debate on Gaza and apologises for the part he played in the chaos yesterday, but says he was acting with the safety of MPs in mind. pic.twitter.com/G9HVTi8imj
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"I also expect it will badly for the Tories in Britain."
The SNP argument to voters will be: The SNP privileges as an opposition party taken were away to save SKS from a difficult decision. Scottish voters are, once again, secondary in the Westminster system in the face of two majority English parties - the Conservatives and Labour. If this can be done now, it can be done again - what if the SNP brought a motion for an independence referendum and Labour or Tories decided to amend it completely? The SNP will always be a minority party in Westminster, because England is that much bigger, so only has opposition privileges to use - that privilege was taken away.
That's a strong argument to leave the Westminster system from the pov of a ScotNat, and maybe even a few on the fencers as well.
https://twitter.com/Hromadske/status/1760677388944650708
But they helped usher in 18 years of Tory government in 1979, giving us a decade of Jacob Rees-Mogg as Speaker may also be similarly sub-optimal for them.
The reality is that voters care about the cost of living, the NHS etc, the SNP focussing on Gaza may not lead to an electoral reward.
https://www.thenational.scot/politics/23877366.ell-folan-humza-yousafs-stance-war-tune-scots/
https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/trackers/sympathies-for-the-israelis-palestinian-conflict
Also, the party was very different then. The Tartan Tory thing isn't so credible now - especially with SKS moving more and m ore to the right.
Off-topic, from Mr Anderson's pinned Facebook post in late Jan:
I have had a few people saying they might vote Reform at the next election due to their stance on illegal migration.
To be clear no other MP has been as vocal on this subject as me.
I have had 20,000 surveys returned with constituents voter intentions. These are Ashfield people.
They have me 1st (just) Labour 2nd, Independents 3rd and Reform 4th and losing their deposit.
Watch the upcoming by elections where Reform will lose their deposits. They should be winning these elections as UKIP did 10 years ago. Voting Reform in Ashfield risks getting a Labour MP. Will a Labour MP stick up for Ashfield like I have?
If I lose voters to Reform it won't be Reform that gets elected , it will be Labour or even worse the Independents.
Ask yourself this - who will stand up for you and be your voice in Labour or the Independents get into power in Ashfield?
That sounds about right to me. I think Z has holed himself below the waterline a little too much. But Ashfield may be quite random.
I feel confident on my private bet on the SNP not winning a majority of Scottish seats at the next election.
Can you possibly imagine now a Tory Chief Whip offering to commit career suicide to enable a terminally ill Labour MP not to have to turn up (even though the effect would be to keep Labour in power) - and the Labour Chief Whip rejecting the offer? Honourable doesn't even begin to describe their behaviour.
For the first time in 4 months I’ve recorded a new epsiode of The Political Party.
I loved doing it again, even if I felt a bit rusty.
It’s a brilliant chat with @LeeAndersonMP_.
I wish we’d had another hour.
https://x.com/mattforde/status/1759525286096371861?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q
https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/the-staggers/2019/03/did-snp-bring-really-down-callaghan-government-and-pave-way-thatcherism
Another is what will it be fired from.
#pedanticbetting.com
(Your main point still holds good though.)
The point is that both motions were chosen and worded in such a way to cause/exploit/exaggerate* (*delete as you wish) splits in Labour, much as you might deny it. The fact that both shared that characteristic undermines your claim that the Gaza motion was entirely focused on the matter of Gaza and was put forward with no ulterior motive.
And I also note that in order to try and do that on the Gaza motion, your party had to act in concert with the Tories, just as it did in 1979, so it's quite relevant that this has gone over to the new thread.
You're claiming that it is illegitimate for the SNP ever to have a motion on something which might upset Labour. Even if it is party policy and has been for some time.
Edit: That it might upset Labour is a bonus, sure. But it's not the primary reason for the policy.
Now change the names round to, say, Labour and the Tories for the next party day.
Quite an endorsement for our chilly little theme park
It also applies to any party with strong representation in one particular aspect or area of the polity. SNP today, LDs in Devon and Cornwall tomorrow, Reform after the next election, indeed Tories after the next election.
They felt Labour betrayed them over the 1979 referendum with the 40% rule, and wanted revenge, and it suited them to build up a grievance over a Tory government to build up to an even more decisive result next time.
Moggsy is yer man.
Lawrence O'Donnell on what they don’t tell you about the Dump Biden ‘fantasy’
https://www.msnbc.com/the-last-word/watch/lawrence-on-what-they-don-t-tell-you-about-the-dump-biden-fantasy-204684869613
Anyone betting real money on the nomination really ought to listen to it.
(*The sheer improbability of doing anything else probably explains the Michelle Obama fantasy.)
The second question is probably (and hopefully...) irrelevant. The Ukrainians have proven rather adept at getting weapons systems 'experts' have said were useless without launch platforms launched.
GET ON WITH THE JOB
What I am continuing to do is to take issue with you when you disparaged those who were "assuming the SNP were posting their motion out of malice against Slab" because that is exactly what the SNP were up to.
On Storm Shadow, iirc we devised a system using wing pillars recycled from Tornados, which were fitted to SU-27s (iirc).
Checking again, Tornado is in the list - so that may mean it fits the same franken-mount.
I for one think it's great that we have our first major party to be led by a Muslim being effectively accused of enabling terrorist attacks through their normal parliamentary actions.
Track record is irrelevant when you'v e built a whole bloody terminus in one day.
Here, it's a rather abstract issue -- an amendment being called that calls for a ceasefire in slightly different wording. If you have to get into the details of Parliamentary procedure to explain how the Scottish people have been sorely treated, I can't see it being something that will have a lot of impact.
For example, you say, "If this can be done now, it can be done again - what if the SNP brought a motion for an independence referendum and Labour or Tories decided to amend it completely?" That shows you've misunderstood the issue. The Government always get to suggest an amendment. Also, these opposition motion votes don't do anything. If you actually want an independence referendum, you'd have to do it through a different sort of Parliamentary vote.
Germany is now the second-biggest supplier of military aid to Ukraine after the United States, and Chancellor Olaf Scholz has called recently for other European countries to step up with more weapons deliveries."
https://apnews.com/article/germany-ukraine-war-weapons-taurus-parliament-e7474bea641038e240d33d12a73b1d09
I suppose I deserve a Whigging.
https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLJgBmjHpqgs4AvrnkGeeh3-7s61ybSPzp
https://www.ntathome.com/products/this-house
The vignette depicted in the play and discussed by @david_herdson et al downstream occurred when whips Walter Harrison (Labour) and Bernard Weatherill (Cons) discussed pairing: a Labour MP was dying and his absence would have precipitated a Government defeat. Weatherill offered to absent himself, obeying the convention but killing his career. Harrison, impressed, released Weatherill from his obligation, the 1979 confidence vote was held and lost, history proceeded.
The other point is that a replacement is in the works (probably to be produced in both S Korea and Germany) which will be also compatible with lighter aircraft like the FA50 S Korea is supplying to Poland.
https://adj.com.my/2024/01/25/taurus-to-develop-cruise-missile-for-kai-fa-50/
So Germany won't be all that reluctant to run down to some extent the old stocks. S Korea might sell a few back, too.
'“I think it’s one of the bravest acts I’ve ever seen,” said [Ardmore, Alabama chief of police Jerome] Robison, who has been a police officer for 20 years. “For an 18-year-old girl who is not big in stature to risk her life to save somebody else, she just showed that bravery comes in all shapes and sizes.”'
source$: https://www.washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/2024/02/22/railroad-rescue-alabama-csx-ardmore/
Longer range because it's more efficient.
Hard sound rather than soft though. Unusual reversion of the mean.
Edit: but who knows now the ref is nobbled?
2) How would you otherwise avoid a contested convention (which would likely be a huge mess) ?
Or vice versa.
Hans Blix: Then let me look around, so I can ease the UN's collective mind.
Kim Jong Il: Hans, you're breakin' my barrs here, Hans, you're breakin' my barrs!
Hans Blix: I'm sorry, but the UN must be firm with you. Let me in, or else.
Kim Jong Il: Or else what?
Hans Blix: Or else we will be very angry with you... and we will write you a letter, telling you how angry we are.
Edit - they put those signs up all over the bloody place. I would guess he's actually at Aldi in Cannock having taken the A460, which runs parallel to the Toll but isn't part of it.
https://www.m6toll.co.uk/using-the-m6toll/faqs/
However, the key point is that a contested convention would only be contested among Biden's own delegates. It's not a gathering of the great and good of the Democratic Party (well, it is that too, but it's a lot more). With no-one else on the ballots, then unless Biden drops out *very* soon - within a month - then he'll have a majority of delegates. They won't be independent actors.
At least I thought so, until I realised she wasn't talking about Tory MPs, and their core vote.
“There’s a whole bunch of people – and I describe them as the economic establishment – who fundamentally don’t want the status quo to change because they’re doing quite fine out of it. They don’t really care about the prospects of the average person in Britain and they didn’t want things to change and they didn’t want that power taken away.”
He has described his location to me exactly as you just have. He's on his way to Ashbourne. He'll be greatly relieved as he is as mean as I am.
Safe travels to him. Warn him from me the roads round here at the moment are awful due to heavy flooding.
Edit - also warn him there are major roadworks in Cannock town centre, and if he is at Cannock's Aldi he'd be better off avoiding them by going back to the railway bridge and taking the first on the left for Rugeley.