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Not the performance of a government that is going to be re-elected – politicalbetting.com
Not the performance of a government that is going to be re-elected – politicalbetting.com
At least 2/3 of Britons say the government is doing badly at each of Rishi Sunak's pledgesCutting NHS waiting lists: 88% doing badlyRemoving small boats migrants: 79%Reducing national debt: 71%Encouraging economic growth: 69%Reducing inflation: 67%https://t.co/PMVJRFCWiv pic.twitter.com/x2b1gbIv5W
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That's really bad.
John Rentoul
@JohnRentoul
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1h
My phone just rang on the Tube on 5G in between stations. What has Sadiq Khan done?
Sometimes if the headline is too big it will not let people comment on the thread.
Implies we should start a new year at the beginning of March. Which would also mean that we could use leap day, every four years, to have an even bigger New Year's Eve party than normal.
Or is that too hard for them?
a) a (good) procedure Hoyle put in place has come back to bite him, and
b) the quotes from Labour figures to BBC Newsnight totally throw Hoyle under the bus by acknowledging he was essentially instructed to do it or he would lose his job as Speaker after the election.
Totally undermines whatever rationale he might have, however reasonable that is, with the party going 'yeah, we strongarmed him'.
I mean, I'm about as far from being a Sunakian as it's possible to get, and even I'll admit that inflation has fallen from where it was a year ago!
So 67% of the population are prepared to kick Sunak for any reason, whether valid or not....
That's embarrassing.
Actually I think they might have done that exact thing in the last year or so, unless my memory is playing tricks on me.
When Rishi Sunak says he aims to halve inflation, British voters think he aims to get...
Prices to decrease 47%
Prices to increase more slowly 42%
Don't know 11%
https://www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2023/06/11/deflating-rishi-sunak/
Basically the voters are thick.
Sunak has got a difficult situation and the general anti tory position is such he won't get credit even where deserved.
He's also proven to be so inept that he's contributed to that atmosphere getting so bad.
So sympathy is limited. I think the scale of the GE loss will be a bit harsh on him personally, but not outrageously so.
Why have 'senior Labour figures' admit that if not to make him look cowardly?
He's been played if the report is correct.
Labour amendment first
SNP on motion
Final vote on government amendment
ARE they clinging to their crosses,
F.E. Smith,
Where the Breton boat-fleet tosses,
Are they, Smith?
Do they, fasting, trembling, bleeding,
Wait the news from this our city?
Groaning 'That's the Second Reading!'
Hissing 'There is still Committee!'
If the voice of Cecil falters,
If McKenna's point has pith,
Do they tremble for their altars?
Do they, Smith?
*Poor Sunak I am feeling a trifle sorry for the man now. I dare say it will pass.
With Sir Peter Bottomley standing down at the election, who is likely to be the Father/Mother of the House after the general election?
Their first act will be to preside over the election/re-election of a Speaker.
Anyhoo, pop quiz PBers, what was so special about Henry Campbell-Bannerman's stint as Father of the House?
https://www.axios.com/2023/10/19/us-israel-artillery-shells-ukraine-weapons-gaza
The Pentagon plans to send Israel tens of thousands of 155mm artillery shells that had been destined for Ukraine from U.S. emergency stocks several months ago, three Israeli officials with knowledge of the situation tell Axios.
It is entirely possible to support both Israel and Ukraine at the same time.
Apologies to the Corbynites and hard left who were triggered by that observation.
He is pissing off his young/minority voters, and he can’t afford to do that
Or maybe it's just that people don't really bother with the wording of these questions and are just expressing their generic unhappiness.
Sir Charles Walker added: “This debate has already placed enough strain on the institution of Parliament.”
https://twitter.com/nicholaswatt/status/1760321784857919677
When inflation went up, Sunak said it was the fault of Russia etc but when it came down it was all thanks to Rishi.
That really grates with voters.
They really need to stfu and stop the faux outrage !
At the 3rd or 4th glance you see the flaws. But damn, it is convincing
https://x.com/picopaco17/status/1760011075485921519?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw
It must be terrifying to be in video/Hollywood right now. How can they ever compete with this?
Met Police officer found guilty of multiple rapes and kidnap
Cliff Mitchell joined the force in 2021 having been accused of child rape in 2017
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/02/21/met-police-officer-found-guilty-of-multiple-rapes-kidnap/
He thinks AGI will happen… this year. Unless he is trolling or joking in this tweet
“It is my assertion that the test for “AGI” is not a clear one nor is the definition.
Yet it is also my assertion that AGI (as they define it) will be “discovered” in a garage with 128 AI models running locally.
It will have full agency and intent.
It will happen this year.”
https://x.com/brianroemmele/status/1760003818279055724?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw
Most of the Central Line is covered, with Elizabeth Line platforms and other stations going live soon. Also parts of the Northern line too.
(Jubilee Line has been live since 2020 on an earlier pilot.)
Think of it a successfully implementing diversity in the Police Force. A diverse range of criminals.
Is there anything in the debate on Britain about taking any concrete steps to put pressure on Israel in any way, or is it purely grandstanding?
Mexicanpete said:
» show previous quotes
The problem is the SNP in Westminster have for the second time used the tragedy of Gaza as a weapon with which to attack Labour division. I suppose weaponising Gaza simply to damage your opponent is fair game, if morally bankrupt. I do find it somewhat ironic nonetheless that the SNP bellyache that their silly game has been scuppered by a Labour silly game
Two cheeks of the same arse, at least the SNP losers forced the labour Hypocrites to do something even if both are just virtue signalling. Fit SNP better if they did some work on Scotland rather than whining constantly about affairs well outside their remit.
If you are studying film at UCLA right now, you are looking at this tech with fear and loathing
But the bigger factor at play here is, the longer interest rates stay high, the more people end up with massive increases in their mortgage or rent bills. So even if prices in the shops are falling, people feel poorer. Great, I can buy a wedge of cheese for £2.50 instead of £2.80 now. Not going to make me vote for Sunak if my rent/mortgage has gone up £300 a month...
On topic. Will you stop your nonsense! This is a betting site. 😠
The only way the May 2nd can be cancelled now, is if the modelling and war gaming shows it’s a better result held in Autumn. Timing these things is scientific, not whimsical. Objective, not subjective.
Interest rates And high new mortgages arn’t going away by Christmas, nor will figures published this side of an election show much if any economic growth. In fact energy prices tipped to send inflation back upwards by end of the year. That’s the science behind picking the date. And the politics to waiting after May is the growth in boat crossings - showing as very much up on last year then all manner of hell could break out in Tory circles, as not just voters go to reform, but, members, councillors, MPs.
Do you actually want the Conservative Party to get the worst result possible? Is that your game? I think you do. For some reason you can judge as astutely as the rest of us, that May 2nd is the safest moment to fight before the narrative starts to go properly bad - and you are using headers not to guide betting but coax Sunak to Chuck the future existence of the party into a roulette wheel.
But that worse result of 50-100 MPs less from backdrop of a summer and autumn of proper melting down, will not bring a fiscally conservative, working class aspirational, pro business, liberal minded Conservative Party back any quicker, for us can both vote for - it will just make it worse. It will just end up with an even less conservative, even more mindlessly populist main right wing party for ever. ☹️
you pushing the Tories out into all that dangerous narrative the other side of a summer where the boats keep coming, is very dangerous.
I am so flipping cross.
"I take that on board Mr speaker, we all know your rulings are made with sincere integrity"
Someone in Starmers camp has severely undermined Hoyle, though why who knows.
Anyhoo, pop quiz PBers, what was so special about Henry Campbell-Bannerman's stint as Father of the House?
Guessing...he was also PM?
(Something wrong with my keyboard again, must get that looked at)
It is mad to wait. There is no outlook for anything but more difficult electioneering. All the political issues are total moo and in decline. And yet smarkets have very low % for a April-June GE. I just don't get it 🤷 frustration is going to build in the electorate too and Starmer is going to call them yellow. They need to go to the people right now... look at the defense stories adding to tory misery today. Two failed trident launches and we are left without a credible deterrent... all under the tories. More rot will show I guarantee it.
The lower half of the dog’s body is weird
Some elements in the background don’t quite add up
But it took me 3 goes to start seeing that. So in a movie length feature you’d get away with it fine, plus this technology will only improve - and perhaps at exponential speed
We will see real life impacts pretty soon
• Night Tube
• Crossrail
• Ulez
• Ulez-X
• Underground mobile
I liked the principle but in the end it just got bloody silly.