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Life after Sunak – Tory Leadership Contenders – politicalbetting.com
Life after Sunak – Tory Leadership Contenders – politicalbetting.com
The next Tory Leadership contest should be one of the most fiercely fought for some time. Rather than choosing a new Prime Minister, it is highly likely the Tories will select a new leader at the same time as coming to terms with a significant, possibly even landslide, election defeat.
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Girlfriend in a Coma?
Please Please Please, Let Me Get What I Want?
Only eclipsed in her comprehensive uselessness as a Minister by Laura Trott yesterday
I recommend reading the Times article on her. It's clearly meant as a way of bigging her up, but for me it does the opposite. Makes her feel insubstantial, thinly ideological, and not very British
The gynaecologist was ruled by the doctors’ regulator to be 'comfortable with discriminatory language' and suspended for three months"
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/02/10/doctor-not-racist-jews-antisemitism-three-month-ban-gmc/
Michelle Obama changing her mind about entering politics would fall into the same category.
These things are inherently hard to price.
Netanyahu clearly wants to drag this out for as long as possible as that’s the only way he remains PM .
Nice tho. If I can do that, what else can I do?!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=snILjFUkk_A&t=9s
1) Understand what they've done well in government
2) Have an idea about what the UK's problems are
The only one who seems to have a clue is Jeremy Hunt.
She’s married to a Scotsman, and she’s not really part of this globally transient cosmopolitan class.
I personally find her more British than Sunak, who gives every sign of hoping to move to California when he is finally ejected by the public.
It’s a good game.
Personally, you are responsible for remarkably little. There’s really not much harm you can do, making up stories for people to read on long National Express coach journeys, and posting drunken rants from some anonymous lonely Asian hotel room on a discussion forum, waiting for your latest booking to knock on the door.
But as an exemplar, you do illustrate so much that is very wrong with the modern world.
This is a pretty average France team, way beneath their level of 2022-3. They are there for the taking if Scotland get a grip
Remember this. Merseyrail pandering to an idiot.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-merseyside-48393548
- The GMC
- The gynaecologist
Would make of statements that Hammersmith would be better if free of
- Black people
- White people
- Muslims
- Hindus
- Norse worshipers
- Yazidis
- Orange people
On topic, the most right wing candidate presented to the membership wins.
So for Kemi to win, she has to get Braverman knocked out in an MP round. Possible, but unlikely.
The only difference being that her background is non-standard on racial rather than on class or geographic grounds.
I almost never mention you by name unless you are in an actual exchange with me, you constantly mention me even if I'm not here
It's a bit like I'm the Jews in 1923 and you're a young Adolf Hitler sullenly hawking his paintings im Munich. I am somehow to blame for everything with my weird scheming, even though I am simultaneously meaningless and powerless
Think I've nailed it. You're the first person to have an anti-Semitic conspiracy theory about one person, you've never met, who is not Jewish
Its effectively the other side of the coin.
They need to start with rentierism and crony capitalism.
Plus the hypocrisy of a party which preaches about individual responsibility failing to apply it in their own personal conduct.
Why cash is king at London’s best pub
One boozer has found a novel way to look out for its older customer
Five years ago a government review into access to cash warned that Britain was “sleepwalking into a cashless society”.
Yes, the proportion of payments made using physical pounds and pence has fallen dramatically but millions of people still rely on cash.
While businesses large and small have gone card-only, some are fighting back – and thriving as a result.
Voted London’s best pub by Time Out magazine last year, Skehan’s, in Nunhead, south-east London, has kept prices low and made sure regulars keep coming back by protecting the use of cash.
While rivals have turned to underhanded methods such as charging customers American-style tips on pints or introducing “surge pricing” for drinking during “peak hours”, the independent family-owned pub has one rule: cash is king.
Despite the dominance of card payments in recent years, fuelled by the introduction of Apple Pay and Google Pay which allow customers to pay with a wave of their mobile phones, the Irish pub insists all orders under £10 are paid for with cash.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/consumer-affairs/london-best-pub-fighting-back-war-on-cash-skehans-nunhead/
https://www.bbc.com/sport/football/68261461
Farage is a much smarter, cannier politician than anyone on this list. He could electrify the Tories if he took over
Of course he would drive away many, but he would also attract many; and if the Tories take such a terrible Cholon Ducking in the GE they go under 100 seats, might they not care?
https://vf.politicalbetting.com/discussion/comment/4599280/#Comment_4599280
Which was on this thread.
https://www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2023/11/10/the-king-over-the-water-for-the-tories/
“Parties seem to direct inwards after defeats.”
But what is type for the Tories these days?
Sunak seems to sit comfortably beside Meloni, Badenoch hand in hand with De Santis, Truss leading politician for Institute of Economic Affairs.
I have a pony on Claire Coutinho, as sometimes in politics the negatives of some politicians gets them knocked out of contests, and a blank canvass is projected on unknown person as all things to all factions - provided they look and sound the part, and Coutinho is a strong, spiky communicator.
Got to go now. Bit of a do tonight, and I’m helping in the kitchen 🙋♀️
He's not an MP, he's not even a candidate.
First, it will take an implausibly selfless Conservative leader to invite them into the fold.
Second, it would require an awfully safe seat for them to win.
It all depends how bad their defeat is
It is conceivable they actually go extinct - well under 100 seats, perhaps under 50 - and at that point all bets are off. They may find themselves begging Farage to unite them with Reform, and revive the Right
1 Join (and be accepted into) the Tory Party.
2 Get someone to step aside from what would be an effective sinecure to force a by election.
3 Win that by-election.
4 All before nominations for a leadership election have closed.
Farage would be a Poundland Boris.
He can't even deliver himself a seat in Westminster. He wouldn't have delivered Brexit. He needed Boris to be the front man for that to happen.
The odious twat can carry on being snug in Trump's lower intestine.
But as Jim Hacker's Chief Whip put it "Who is suitable? You can't tell until you suck it and see."
5. Farage has to want this - and there isn't much evidence of that
I want it to happen for the Lolz, but I accept there are almost insurmountable obstacles
If you don’t know, neither the GMC or the gynaecologist are any better or worse. They are no different.
But if you know, you have facts. Which a valuable things, of themselves.
So I think plenty of people at Twickenham are used to the concept of a woman with a penis.
The best thing about Skehans is that it is incredibly well staffed. I don't think I've ever waited for more than a couple of minutes to get served. It is an awesome pub, so glad that it is a three minute walk from my house!
Edit - What a bollocks decision by the TMO.
Should have been a try.
Cracking match.
All we need now is for people to stop buying Guinness and those poncy lagers that dribble out of a tap 6 feet in the air and we'd be sorted.
They concluded - ridiculously - that "yew" (which was simply his pronunciation of the word "Jew") was a "racially offensive" term.
Yet despite his yearning for a Jew-free Hammersmith, made no finding as to whether he was a racist (inevitably reported, given the execrable state of journalism today, as a finding that he was "not racist").
Second half was dreadful, but a brilliant ending. Scots were robbed
Hard to believe at the time that the likes of Hancock and Shapps were not the bottom of the barrel, but so it turned out.
I think if/when we get PM Starmer and the first Labour cabinet we’ll see a pretty middleweight (at best) bunch, and it is far from obvious who will eventually succeed SKS.
If party members alone had the final say Badenoch would be odds on the be next Conservative leader and Leader of the Opposition. However when she stood last summer neither she, nor Braverman nor even Mordaunt go enough support from Tory MPs to make the final 2 to get to the membership.
Other Cabinet members like Cleverly or Barclay therefore would come into contention as they are more likely to get support amongst Conservative MPs. However Cleverly may have damaged his chances with his poor taste 'date rape' joke so Barclay, a Leaver but not ERG, a former Health Secretary and current Environment Secretary might be a good outside bet to be the Hague or Ed Miliband figure to take over in Opposition. Barclay also backed Sunak for leader last year and I would expect much of Sunak's parliamentary backing to shift to him. Tugendhat would also likely stand again and probably pick up support from the One Nation wing of Tory MPs. Jenrick I don't think has much support in the House or amongst members
Also, Scotland were extremely lucky against Wales, today their luck ran out
It was tense and it was close. Was it a classic or technicallly brilliant, Of course not, but it was entertaining. Ping pong. For a minute or so out of 40.
I’ve enjoyed watching it far more than games that are technically better but not as close.