Lay the Biden/Trump combo? Maybe - how long until the nominees are set?
I'm already exposed enough on a second Trump presidency, so I don't think I'll go for it. Green either way on Biden after backing ages ago and trading out (but I traded out far too early as I got cold feet on that ) Trump wins presidency, I lose. Otherwise I'm good. But then, Trump wins presidency and we all lose. I won't really care that much about the bet if that happens.
Lay the Biden/Trump combo? Maybe - how long until the nominees are set?
I'm already exposed enough on a second Trump presidency, so I don't think I'll go for it. Green either way on Biden after backing ages ago and trading out (but I traded out far too early as I got cold feet on that ) Trump wins presidency, I lose. Otherwise I'm good. But then, Trump wins presidency and we all lose. I won't really care that much about the bet if that happens.
Similar here. Big short on Trump, every other feasible outcome is green. I actually think he's a value sell now (2.2) but I'm resisting doing any more for discipline reasons. Least for the moment.
Dreamt that Biden vs Trump instead of votes came down to a game of American Football... Was 0-0 when I woke up but team Trump had just fluffed a field goal.
Dreamt that Biden vs Trump instead of votes came down to a game of American Football... Was 0-0 when I woke up but team Trump had just fluffed a field goal.
That's a bad omen. Trump cheats at golf so he'd be sure to cheat at American Football.
FPT - I'd have thought, at this stage, Alan Bates can basically name his price.
I'm sure, being the sort of guy he is, that once he's got it he will take a modest amount for himself and use the rest to help others and his community.
Dreamt that Biden vs Trump instead of votes came down to a game of American Football... Was 0-0 when I woke up but team Trump had just fluffed a field goal.
That's a bad omen. Trump cheats at golf so he'd be sure to cheat at American Football.
Trump running/waddling into Biden would not end well for Biden, I think
FPT - I'd have thought, at this stage, Alan Bates can basically name his price.
I'm sure, being the sort of guy he is, that once he's got it he will take a modest amount for himself and use the rest to help others and his community.
Dreamt that Biden vs Trump instead of votes came down to a game of American Football... Was 0-0 when I woke up but team Trump had just fluffed a field goal.
FPT - I'd have thought, at this stage, Alan Bates can basically name his price.
I'm sure, being the sort of guy he is, that once he's got it he will take a modest amount for himself and use the rest to help others and his community.
He just doesn't want to be taken for a fool.
It would be interesting to know the sums involved
It's good to see that the attitude to compensation is still honouring the traditions of Aberfan.
FPT - I'd have thought, at this stage, Alan Bates can basically name his price.
I'm sure, being the sort of guy he is, that once he's got it he will take a modest amount for himself and use the rest to help others and his community.
He just doesn't want to be taken for a fool.
It would be interesting to know the sums involved
Given him and the other SPMs a total of 60% of the Post Office shares, to divide between them.
We need new management - perhaps time for domain expert management?
Washed up old perv AND Gorgeous standing; what have the poor folk of Rochdale done to deserve this??
Yeah, posted it last night. Rochdale is a classic left behind town, and it has had some seriously dodgy representatives in the past. Most eastern Lancashire towns suffer from zonal planning - Rochdale even labels them "townships". Which means it has been a lodestone for racist nutjobs of various descriptions in the past.
Happily in comes gorgeous to whip racial tensions hard for votes.
FPT - I'd have thought, at this stage, Alan Bates can basically name his price.
I'm sure, being the sort of guy he is, that once he's got it he will take a modest amount for himself and use the rest to help others and his community.
He just doesn't want to be taken for a fool.
It would be interesting to know the sums involved
It's good to see that the attitude to compensation is still honouring the traditions of Aberfan.
Wait, have I said they're being overgenerous? Or mean? Or anything?
I merely observe it would be interesting to see what they've offered, and what he sees as apposite. He is claiming the sums are derisory, less than a quarter of what it should be, and I confess - after all the terrible publicity - I am surprised by this, is HMG contriving to screw it all up, all over again, by being mean and stupid?
FPT - I'd have thought, at this stage, Alan Bates can basically name his price.
I'm sure, being the sort of guy he is, that once he's got it he will take a modest amount for himself and use the rest to help others and his community.
He just doesn't want to be taken for a fool.
It would be interesting to know the sums involved
It's good to see that the attitude to compensation is still honouring the traditions of Aberfan.
Wait, have I said they're being overgenerous? Or mean? Or anything?
I merely observe it would be interesting to see what they've offered, and what he sees as apposite. He is claiming the sums are derisory, less than a quarter of what it should be, and I confess - after all the terrible publicity - I am surprised by this, is HMG contriving to screw it all up, all over again, by being mean and stupid?
I suspect that Bates is not an easy guy to deal with, and we know he is meticulous with his records. That is why we have heard of him, while so many were browbeaten by the system.
FPT - I'd have thought, at this stage, Alan Bates can basically name his price.
I'm sure, being the sort of guy he is, that once he's got it he will take a modest amount for himself and use the rest to help others and his community.
He just doesn't want to be taken for a fool.
It would be interesting to know the sums involved
It's good to see that the attitude to compensation is still honouring the traditions of Aberfan.
Wait, have I said they're being overgenerous? Or mean? Or anything?
I merely observe it would be interesting to see what they've offered, and what he sees as apposite. He is claiming the sums are derisory, less than a quarter of what it should be, and I confess - after all the terrible publicity - I am surprised by this, is HMG contriving to screw it all up, all over again, by being mean and stupid?
I am referring to the traditional policy of haggling over small sums for compensation to serious matters - such as people being in prison for decades, unjustly, for instance.
The way that hundred of thousands are handed over for HR type disputes, in court, just adds salt to that wound.
FPT - I'd have thought, at this stage, Alan Bates can basically name his price.
I'm sure, being the sort of guy he is, that once he's got it he will take a modest amount for himself and use the rest to help others and his community.
He just doesn't want to be taken for a fool.
It would be interesting to know the sums involved
It's good to see that the attitude to compensation is still honouring the traditions of Aberfan.
Wait, have I said they're being overgenerous? Or mean? Or anything?
I merely observe it would be interesting to see what they've offered, and what he sees as apposite. He is claiming the sums are derisory, less than a quarter of what it should be, and I confess - after all the terrible publicity - I am surprised by this, is HMG contriving to screw it all up, all over again, by being mean and stupid?
Was running with a friend of mine who is one of those affected (Shortfall in his case, no convictions). He's still waiting for his money, I commented if this was in America he'd be sitting on millions of compo for sure by now.
Extraordinary, if true. The total pathetic decadence of our politicians
"Newsnight asked (Labour MP) Bell Ribeiro-Addy and (Tory MP) Caroline Nokes about the fact the alkali attacker was granted asylum on his 3rd attempt after a sexual assault conviction
BRA: "His asylum status is not really the issue of concern"
CN: "I think it's wrong to comment on that""
WHY IS IT WRONG TO COMMENT ON THAT. HOW CAN HIS ASYLUM STATUS AND CRIMINAL RECORD NOT BE AN ISSUE OF CONCERN
Extraordinary, if true. The total pathetic decadence of our politicians
"Newsnight asked (Labour MP) Bell Ribeiro-Addy and (Tory MP) Caroline Nokes about the fact the alkali attacker was granted asylum on his 3rd attempt after a sexual assault conviction
BRA: "His asylum status is not really the issue of concern"
CN: "I think it's wrong to comment on that""
WHY IS IT WRONG TO COMMENT ON THAT. HOW CAN HIS ASYLUM STATUS AND CRIMINAL RECORD NOT BE AN ISSUE OF CONCERN
FPT - I'd have thought, at this stage, Alan Bates can basically name his price.
I'm sure, being the sort of guy he is, that once he's got it he will take a modest amount for himself and use the rest to help others and his community.
He just doesn't want to be taken for a fool.
It would be interesting to know the sums involved
It's good to see that the attitude to compensation is still honouring the traditions of Aberfan.
Wait, have I said they're being overgenerous? Or mean? Or anything?
I merely observe it would be interesting to see what they've offered, and what he sees as apposite. He is claiming the sums are derisory, less than a quarter of what it should be, and I confess - after all the terrible publicity - I am surprised by this, is HMG contriving to screw it all up, all over again, by being mean and stupid?
Lets say you have been wrongly sacked from your flint knapping job 15 years ago. Lets say the salary was 40K per year, so directly you have a claim for 600K. Then add in the legal fees fighting this. Who knows how big the amount should be? I suspect that the bean counters are trying to pay as little as possible and are totally misjudging the public mood. Yet again.
FPT - I'd have thought, at this stage, Alan Bates can basically name his price.
I'm sure, being the sort of guy he is, that once he's got it he will take a modest amount for himself and use the rest to help others and his community.
He just doesn't want to be taken for a fool.
It would be interesting to know the sums involved
It's good to see that the attitude to compensation is still honouring the traditions of Aberfan.
Wait, have I said they're being overgenerous? Or mean? Or anything?
I merely observe it would be interesting to see what they've offered, and what he sees as apposite. He is claiming the sums are derisory, less than a quarter of what it should be, and I confess - after all the terrible publicity - I am surprised by this, is HMG contriving to screw it all up, all over again, by being mean and stupid?
Was running with a friend of mine who is one of those affected (Shortfall in his case, no convictions). He's still waiting for his money, I commented if this was in America he'd be sitting on millions of compo for sure by now.
He would have got a massive award.
And would be looking at decades of court cases to reduce it, and it wouldn't get paid because {insert reasons here}
Extraordinary, if true. The total pathetic decadence of our politicians
"Newsnight asked (Labour MP) Bell Ribeiro-Addy and (Tory MP) Caroline Nokes about the fact the alkali attacker was granted asylum on his 3rd attempt after a sexual assault conviction
BRA: "His asylum status is not really the issue of concern"
CN: "I think it's wrong to comment on that""
WHY IS IT WRONG TO COMMENT ON THAT. HOW CAN HIS ASYLUM STATUS AND CRIMINAL RECORD NOT BE AN ISSUE OF CONCERN
If someone's come from an oppressive regime then that trumps absolutely everything else, ever. It's regarded pretty much as a law of physics for those in the system.
Extraordinary, if true. The total pathetic decadence of our politicians
"Newsnight asked (Labour MP) Bell Ribeiro-Addy and (Tory MP) Caroline Nokes about the fact the alkali attacker was granted asylum on his 3rd attempt after a sexual assault conviction
BRA: "His asylum status is not really the issue of concern"
CN: "I think it's wrong to comment on that""
WHY IS IT WRONG TO COMMENT ON THAT. HOW CAN HIS ASYLUM STATUS AND CRIMINAL RECORD NOT BE AN ISSUE OF CONCERN
Extraordinary, if true. The total pathetic decadence of our politicians
"Newsnight asked (Labour MP) Bell Ribeiro-Addy and (Tory MP) Caroline Nokes about the fact the alkali attacker was granted asylum on his 3rd attempt after a sexual assault conviction
BRA: "His asylum status is not really the issue of concern"
CN: "I think it's wrong to comment on that""
WHY IS IT WRONG TO COMMENT ON THAT. HOW CAN HIS ASYLUM STATUS AND CRIMINAL RECORD NOT BE AN ISSUE OF CONCERN
If someone's come from an oppressive regime then that trumps absolutely everything else, ever. It's regarded pretty much as a law of physics for those in the system.
If the politicians agree with it, then it would be good if they came out and made it clear that they support it.
FPT - I'd have thought, at this stage, Alan Bates can basically name his price.
I'm sure, being the sort of guy he is, that once he's got it he will take a modest amount for himself and use the rest to help others and his community.
He just doesn't want to be taken for a fool.
It would be interesting to know the sums involved
It's good to see that the attitude to compensation is still honouring the traditions of Aberfan.
Wait, have I said they're being overgenerous? Or mean? Or anything?
I merely observe it would be interesting to see what they've offered, and what he sees as apposite. He is claiming the sums are derisory, less than a quarter of what it should be, and I confess - after all the terrible publicity - I am surprised by this, is HMG contriving to screw it all up, all over again, by being mean and stupid?
If you follow the details of how the compensation schemes - 3 of them, run by the Post Office, the very body which has utterly fucked up everything else it has touched - you will see that (a) it has managed to fuck this up as well eg by messing up the tax treatment of compensation claims; and (b) by deliberately delaying payment and trying to minimise the amounts and generally delaying everything as much as possible so that people either die or give up and accept far less than they are legally entitled to.
There has been a lot of analysis of how badly they - both PO and government - are behaving over this. The government thought it could get away with it because the public was not really interested and some of the details are technical. But now .....
At an absolute minimum calculation of compensation should be taken out of the hands of the Post Office and the Business Department. Neither of them can be trusted on this.
Extraordinary, if true. The total pathetic decadence of our politicians
"Newsnight asked (Labour MP) Bell Ribeiro-Addy and (Tory MP) Caroline Nokes about the fact the alkali attacker was granted asylum on his 3rd attempt after a sexual assault conviction
BRA: "His asylum status is not really the issue of concern"
CN: "I think it's wrong to comment on that""
WHY IS IT WRONG TO COMMENT ON THAT. HOW CAN HIS ASYLUM STATUS AND CRIMINAL RECORD NOT BE AN ISSUE OF CONCERN
If someone's come from an oppressive regime then that trumps absolutely everything else, ever. It's regarded pretty much as a law of physics for those in the system.
One of the remarkable things about that exchange is that it is two female MPs spewing this Woke drivel
What about the rights of the woman who got her face melted? And her kids, likewise? Don't they have the right to be defended from failed asylum seeking Afghan perverts with criminal records who should have been deported???
What happened to feminism? What happened to sticking up for women?
Dreamt that Biden vs Trump instead of votes came down to a game of American Football... Was 0-0 when I woke up but team Trump had just fluffed a field goal.
Well.
Well I have liked it because it made me laugh, but the pedant in me shrieks 'Blue Whale'. Maybe they didn't have a picture.
Our most recent poll, conducted on the 31st January and 1st February 2024, marks a continued uptick in support for the Labour Party, alongside a slight decrease for the Conservative Party. The Liberal Democrats hold steady, Reform Party sees a gain, while the Green Party experiences a drop. The SNP and other parties’ support remains unchanged.
The current figures, set against the previous poll from the 25th January 2024, are as follows:
It's hard to fault Starmers strategy that has put him so far ahead.
It may be boring, but it's working.
No. Why do you always set it up for me to disagree with you foxy, and have to explain political facts of life to PBers? 🙇♀️
It’s not “Starmer’s Strategy” only in lazy political discussion - there’s a whole team around him, certainly Mandleson, probably Campbell, Perhaps regular chats with Blair, and a host of modellers and wonks, speech writers, image makers, handlers.
What they are doing - and flipping getting away with - is greedy and a tad undemocratic - not just win, not just win big enough so the Corbynite awkward squad are utterly irrelevant, but win on a BLANK CHEQUE.
Anyone who assumes once winning Labour will soon be unpopular and Tories have poll leads again, are living in cloud Cuckoo land - governments are regarded differently, fresh change, more spin time on media, control all the leavers of setting the agenda (and traps for opponents) - at least two years of honeymoon before delivery on promises start being called in. And there’s the twist: there ain’t no promises, they are getting away with a BLANK CHEQUE.
The Tories could go the whole of the next Parliamentary term without a single poll lead, especially after a heavy defeat where they will come to be seen as a fringe cult group who delivered worst government ever when in power.
If it was just Starmer’s strategy alone it would be very different, probably a boat full of hostages to fortune as he clearly (from 1:1 interviews, easily his weakest facet) ain’t all that card sharp at politics.
Extraordinary, if true. The total pathetic decadence of our politicians
"Newsnight asked (Labour MP) Bell Ribeiro-Addy and (Tory MP) Caroline Nokes about the fact the alkali attacker was granted asylum on his 3rd attempt after a sexual assault conviction
BRA: "His asylum status is not really the issue of concern"
CN: "I think it's wrong to comment on that""
WHY IS IT WRONG TO COMMENT ON THAT. HOW CAN HIS ASYLUM STATUS AND CRIMINAL RECORD NOT BE AN ISSUE OF CONCERN
If someone's come from an oppressive regime then that trumps absolutely everything else, ever. It's regarded pretty much as a law of physics for those in the system.
One of the remarkable things about that exchange is that it is two female MPs spewing this Woke drivel
What about the rights of the woman who got her face melted? And her kids, likewise? Don't they have the right to be defended from failed asylum seeking Afghan perverts with criminal records who should have been deported???
What happened to feminism? What happened to sticking up for women?
Along not dissimilar lines, this is utterly bonkers
Dreamt that Biden vs Trump instead of votes came down to a game of American Football... Was 0-0 when I woke up but team Trump had just fluffed a field goal.
Well.
Well I have liked it because it made me laugh, but the pedant in me shrieks 'Blue Whale'. Maybe they didn't have a picture.
The pedant in me wants to note the lack of a capital E in the text.
Blue Whales would be the biggest babies in water, not on earth.
Extraordinary, if true. The total pathetic decadence of our politicians
"Newsnight asked (Labour MP) Bell Ribeiro-Addy and (Tory MP) Caroline Nokes about the fact the alkali attacker was granted asylum on his 3rd attempt after a sexual assault conviction
BRA: "His asylum status is not really the issue of concern"
CN: "I think it's wrong to comment on that""
WHY IS IT WRONG TO COMMENT ON THAT. HOW CAN HIS ASYLUM STATUS AND CRIMINAL RECORD NOT BE AN ISSUE OF CONCERN
If someone's come from an oppressive regime then that trumps absolutely everything else, ever. It's regarded pretty much as a law of physics for those in the system.
One of the remarkable things about that exchange is that it is two female MPs spewing this Woke drivel
What about the rights of the woman who got her face melted? And her kids, likewise? Don't they have the right to be defended from failed asylum seeking Afghan perverts with criminal records who should have been deported???
What happened to feminism? What happened to sticking up for women?
Along not dissimilar lines, this is utterly bonkers
Dreamt that Biden vs Trump instead of votes came down to a game of American Football... Was 0-0 when I woke up but team Trump had just fluffed a field goal.
Well.
Well I have liked it because it made me laugh, but the pedant in me shrieks 'Blue Whale'. Maybe they didn't have a picture.
The pedant in me wants to note the lack of a capital E in the text.
Blue Whales would be the biggest babies in water, not on earth.
Dreamt that Biden vs Trump instead of votes came down to a game of American Football... Was 0-0 when I woke up but team Trump had just fluffed a field goal.
Well.
Well I have liked it because it made me laugh, but the pedant in me shrieks 'Blue Whale'. Maybe they didn't have a picture.
Ah, but blue whale babies are not "on earth". They are in the sea!
Dreamt that Biden vs Trump instead of votes came down to a game of American Football... Was 0-0 when I woke up but team Trump had just fluffed a field goal.
Well.
Well I have liked it because it made me laugh, but the pedant in me shrieks 'Blue Whale'. Maybe they didn't have a picture.
The pedant in me wants to note the lack of a capital E in the text.
Blue Whales would be the biggest babies in water, not on earth.
Really? Are the oceans not on Earth?
The oceans are on Earth, but the creatures within them are not on earth.
FPT - I'd have thought, at this stage, Alan Bates can basically name his price.
I'm sure, being the sort of guy he is, that once he's got it he will take a modest amount for himself and use the rest to help others and his community.
He just doesn't want to be taken for a fool.
It would be interesting to know the sums involved
It's good to see that the attitude to compensation is still honouring the traditions of Aberfan.
Wait, have I said they're being overgenerous? Or mean? Or anything?
I merely observe it would be interesting to see what they've offered, and what he sees as apposite. He is claiming the sums are derisory, less than a quarter of what it should be, and I confess - after all the terrible publicity - I am surprised by this, is HMG contriving to screw it all up, all over again, by being mean and stupid?
If you follow the details of how the compensation schemes - 3 of them, run by the Post Office, the very body which has utterly fucked up everything else it has touched - you will see that (a) it has managed to fuck this up as well eg by messing up the tax treatment of compensation claims; and (b) by deliberately delaying payment and trying to minimise the amounts and generally delaying everything as much as possible so that people either die or give up and accept far less than they are legally entitled to.
There has been a lot of analysis of how badly they - both PO and government - are behaving over this. The government thought it could get away with it because the public was not really interested and some of the details are technical. But now .....
At an absolute minimum calculation of compensation should be taken out of the hands of the Post Office and the Business Department. Neither of them can be trusted on this.
We could hire one of the big consultancies to sort it out, I'm sure they can come up with some IT that can do the necessary calculations.
Dreamt that Biden vs Trump instead of votes came down to a game of American Football... Was 0-0 when I woke up but team Trump had just fluffed a field goal.
Well.
Well I have liked it because it made me laugh, but the pedant in me shrieks 'Blue Whale'. Maybe they didn't have a picture.
Ah, but blue whale babies are not "on earth". They are in the sea!
Also it's theoretically possible a baby elephant could attend an NFL game. Can't see how you'd get a blue whale calf along in one piece.
Dreamt that Biden vs Trump instead of votes came down to a game of American Football... Was 0-0 when I woke up but team Trump had just fluffed a field goal.
Well.
Well I have liked it because it made me laugh, but the pedant in me shrieks 'Blue Whale'. Maybe they didn't have a picture.
The pedant in me wants to note the lack of a capital E in the text.
Blue Whales would be the biggest babies in water, not on earth.
Really? Are the oceans not on Earth?
They are on the Earth, but they are not on earth. The lack of capital E was deliberate, not a mistake!!!!
Our most recent poll, conducted on the 31st January and 1st February 2024, marks a continued uptick in support for the Labour Party, alongside a slight decrease for the Conservative Party. The Liberal Democrats hold steady, Reform Party sees a gain, while the Green Party experiences a drop. The SNP and other parties’ support remains unchanged.
The current figures, set against the previous poll from the 25th January 2024, are as follows:
It's hard to fault Starmers strategy that has put him so far ahead.
It may be boring, but it's working.
No. Why do you always set it up for me to disagree with you foxy, and have to explain political facts of life to PBers? 🙇♀️
It’s not “Starmer’s Strategy” only in lazy political discussion - there’s a whole team around him, certainly Mandleson, probably Campbell, Perhaps regular chats with Blair, and a host of modellers and wonks, speech writers, image makers, handlers.
What they are doing - and flipping getting away with - is greedy and a tad undemocratic - not just win, not just win big enough so the Corbynite awkward squad are utterly irrelevant, but win on a BLANK CHEQUE.
Anyone who assumes once winning Labour will soon be unpopular and Tories have poll leads again, are living in cloud Cuckoo land - governments are regarded differently, fresh change, more spin time on media, control all the leavers of setting the agenda (and traps for opponents) - at least two years of honeymoon before delivery on promises start being called in. And there’s the twist: there ain’t no promises, they are getting away with a BLANK CHEQUE.
The Tories could go the whole of the next Parliamentary term without a single poll lead, especially after a heavy defeat where they will come to be seen as a fringe cult group who delivered worst government ever when in power.
If it was just Starmer’s strategy alone it would be very different, probably a boat full of hostages to fortune as he clearly (from 1:1 interviews, easily his weakest facet) ain’t all that card sharp at politics.
They wont get away with a blank slate (not cheque - cheque would be unlimited spending) forever. Thats what may drive some swingback - when they have to actually put forward policies.
Its not impossible for policies to dramatically shift a huge poll lead into much more like parity. Teresa May waves from a cornfield somewhere.
Dreamt that Biden vs Trump instead of votes came down to a game of American Football... Was 0-0 when I woke up but team Trump had just fluffed a field goal.
Well.
Well I have liked it because it made me laugh, but the pedant in me shrieks 'Blue Whale'. Maybe they didn't have a picture.
The pedant in me wants to note the lack of a capital E in the text.
Blue Whales would be the biggest babies in water, not on earth.
Really? Are the oceans not on Earth?
They are on the Earth, but they are not on earth. The lack of capital E was deliberate, not a mistake!!!!
Our most recent poll, conducted on the 31st January and 1st February 2024, marks a continued uptick in support for the Labour Party, alongside a slight decrease for the Conservative Party. The Liberal Democrats hold steady, Reform Party sees a gain, while the Green Party experiences a drop. The SNP and other parties’ support remains unchanged.
The current figures, set against the previous poll from the 25th January 2024, are as follows:
It's hard to fault Starmers strategy that has put him so far ahead.
It may be boring, but it's working.
No. Why do you always set it up for me to disagree with you foxy, and have to explain political facts of life to PBers? 🙇♀️
It’s not “Starmer’s Strategy” only in lazy political discussion - there’s a whole team around him, certainly Mandleson, probably Campbell, Perhaps regular chats with Blair, and a host of modellers and wonks, speech writers, image makers, handlers.
What they are doing - and flipping getting away with - is greedy and a tad undemocratic - not just win, not just win big enough so the Corbynite awkward squad are utterly irrelevant, but win on a BLANK CHEQUE.
Anyone who assumes once winning Labour will soon be unpopular and Tories have poll leads again, are living in cloud Cuckoo land - governments are regarded differently, fresh change, more spin time on media, control all the leavers of setting the agenda (and traps for opponents) - at least two years of honeymoon before delivery on promises start being called in. And there’s the twist: there ain’t no promises, they are getting away with a BLANK CHEQUE.
The Tories could go the whole of the next Parliamentary term without a single poll lead, especially after a heavy defeat where they will come to be seen as a fringe cult group who delivered worst government ever when in power.
If it was just Starmer’s strategy alone it would be very different, probably a boat full of hostages to fortune as he clearly (from 1:1 interviews, easily his weakest facet) ain’t all that card sharp at politics.
Or rather, there's one promise- the Balwinesque Doctor's Mandate to do whatever's needed to fix whatever problems emerge when the books are opened.
Most governments do that a bit. They don't do everything in their manifesto, they do things that weren't in their manifesto. Politicians break promises all the time. Franky, they get away with it if the outcomes of breaking promises are better than not doing so. Would Maggie have done better to break her promise to introduce the Poll Tax?
Starmer only has to make one promise to win- to not be a Conservative. However, they've all trashed the Conservative party brand so much that being someone else looks like being enough to win.
And then, with a big enough majority, he can do whatever he damn well pleases. In part, because of the way that Team 2016-24 have Taken Back Control to the executive in Westminster.
Dreamt that Biden vs Trump instead of votes came down to a game of American Football... Was 0-0 when I woke up but team Trump had just fluffed a field goal.
Well.
Well I have liked it because it made me laugh, but the pedant in me shrieks 'Blue Whale'. Maybe they didn't have a picture.
Ah, but blue whale babies are not "on earth". They are in the sea!
Also it's theoretically possible a baby elephant could attend an NFL game. Can't see how you'd get a blue whale calf along in one piece.
Damien Hirst in his heyday would have had a bash. Not ideal for the calf mind.
Washed up old perv AND Gorgeous standing; what have the poor folk of Rochdale done to deserve this??
Yeah, posted it last night. Rochdale is a classic left behind town, and it has had some seriously dodgy representatives in the past. Most eastern Lancashire towns suffer from zonal planning - Rochdale even labels them "townships". Which means it has been a lodestone for racist nutjobs of various descriptions in the past.
Happily in comes gorgeous to whip racial tensions hard for votes.
Club got relegated to non-league last year as well (and probs won't be bouncing back up either - National League is hard to get out of). Better than Bury's ignominious fate, but sad to see (even as a County fan) them and Oldham down there.
Lay the Biden/Trump combo? Maybe - how long until the nominees are set?
I'm already exposed enough on a second Trump presidency, so I don't think I'll go for it. Green either way on Biden after backing ages ago and trading out (but I traded out far too early as I got cold feet on that ) Trump wins presidency, I lose. Otherwise I'm good. But then, Trump wins presidency and we all lose. I won't really care that much about the bet if that happens.
The rules say "For this market, nominees will be determined according to each party's national convention" ie July for the GOP and August for the Dems.
So Trump getting disqualified or not should be resolved in time, but him getting jailed (in the rather optimistic event that they manage to get that done before the election) wouldn't be. And the grim reaper only has 5 or 6 months respectively to win this bet for you.
Washed up old perv AND Gorgeous standing; what have the poor folk of Rochdale done to deserve this??
Yeah, posted it last night. Rochdale is a classic left behind town, and it has had some seriously dodgy representatives in the past. Most eastern Lancashire towns suffer from zonal planning - Rochdale even labels them "townships". Which means it has been a lodestone for racist nutjobs of various descriptions in the past.
Happily in comes gorgeous to whip racial tensions hard for votes.
Club got relegated to non-league last year as well (and probs won't be bouncing back up either - National League is hard to get out of). Better than Bury's ignominious fate, but sad to see (even as a County fan) them and Oldham down there.
Hard but not impossible. Tranmere Rovers are far from our heyday and got relegated there after 94 years in the League but got out after just three seasons.
Our most recent poll, conducted on the 31st January and 1st February 2024, marks a continued uptick in support for the Labour Party, alongside a slight decrease for the Conservative Party. The Liberal Democrats hold steady, Reform Party sees a gain, while the Green Party experiences a drop. The SNP and other parties’ support remains unchanged.
The current figures, set against the previous poll from the 25th January 2024, are as follows:
It's hard to fault Starmers strategy that has put him so far ahead.
It may be boring, but it's working.
No. Why do you always set it up for me to disagree with you foxy, and have to explain political facts of life to PBers? 🙇♀️
It’s not “Starmer’s Strategy” only in lazy political discussion - there’s a whole team around him, certainly Mandleson, probably Campbell, Perhaps regular chats with Blair, and a host of modellers and wonks, speech writers, image makers, handlers.
What they are doing - and flipping getting away with - is greedy and a tad undemocratic - not just win, not just win big enough so the Corbynite awkward squad are utterly irrelevant, but win on a BLANK CHEQUE.
Anyone who assumes once winning Labour will soon be unpopular and Tories have poll leads again, are living in cloud Cuckoo land - governments are regarded differently, fresh change, more spin time on media, control all the leavers of setting the agenda (and traps for opponents) - at least two years of honeymoon before delivery on promises start being called in. And there’s the twist: there ain’t no promises, they are getting away with a BLANK CHEQUE.
The Tories could go the whole of the next Parliamentary term without a single poll lead, especially after a heavy defeat where they will come to be seen as a fringe cult group who delivered worst government ever when in power.
If it was just Starmer’s strategy alone it would be very different, probably a boat full of hostages to fortune as he clearly (from 1:1 interviews, easily his weakest facet) ain’t all that card sharp at politics.
I quite like the strategy. It's refreshing to not be hearing the usual bullshit. We're gonna do this, we're gonna do that - these things often fantastical or contradictory or unaffordable - just drop all of that nonsense and win without it if you can. The mandate is all the better for it and so are your prospects - both for making meaningful change in practice and for further terms in office.
FPT - I'd have thought, at this stage, Alan Bates can basically name his price.
I'm sure, being the sort of guy he is, that once he's got it he will take a modest amount for himself and use the rest to help others and his community.
He just doesn't want to be taken for a fool.
It would be interesting to know the sums involved
It's good to see that the attitude to compensation is still honouring the traditions of Aberfan.
Wait, have I said they're being overgenerous? Or mean? Or anything?
I merely observe it would be interesting to see what they've offered, and what he sees as apposite. He is claiming the sums are derisory, less than a quarter of what it should be, and I confess - after all the terrible publicity - I am surprised by this, is HMG contriving to screw it all up, all over again, by being mean and stupid?
If you follow the details of how the compensation schemes - 3 of them, run by the Post Office, the very body which has utterly fucked up everything else it has touched - you will see that (a) it has managed to fuck this up as well eg by messing up the tax treatment of compensation claims; and (b) by deliberately delaying payment and trying to minimise the amounts and generally delaying everything as much as possible so that people either die or give up and accept far less than they are legally entitled to.
There has been a lot of analysis of how badly they - both PO and government - are behaving over this. The government thought it could get away with it because the public was not really interested and some of the details are technical. But now .....
At an absolute minimum calculation of compensation should be taken out of the hands of the Post Office and the Business Department. Neither of them can be trusted on this.
Dreamt that Biden vs Trump instead of votes came down to a game of American Football... Was 0-0 when I woke up but team Trump had just fluffed a field goal.
Well.
Well I have liked it because it made me laugh, but the pedant in me shrieks 'Blue Whale'. Maybe they didn't have a picture.
The pedant in me wants to note the lack of a capital E in the text.
Blue Whales would be the biggest babies in water, not on earth.
Really? Are the oceans not on Earth?
They are on the Earth, but they are not on earth. The lack of capital E was deliberate, not a mistake!!!!
Doubt it.
Of course depending on definitions, some parts of the oceans are on earth, too (where 'earth' or sediment is washed into the seas and settles to the bottom...)
It could be taken as:
Planet, even lacking capitalisation. so they're wrong, it's the blue whale
Soil, probably correct as even if there is soil at the ocean floor above the bedrock, the blue whales are probably above it, not on it
Extraordinary, if true. The total pathetic decadence of our politicians
"Newsnight asked (Labour MP) Bell Ribeiro-Addy and (Tory MP) Caroline Nokes about the fact the alkali attacker was granted asylum on his 3rd attempt after a sexual assault conviction
BRA: "His asylum status is not really the issue of concern"
CN: "I think it's wrong to comment on that""
WHY IS IT WRONG TO COMMENT ON THAT. HOW CAN HIS ASYLUM STATUS AND CRIMINAL RECORD NOT BE AN ISSUE OF CONCERN
If someone's come from an oppressive regime then that trumps absolutely everything else, ever. It's regarded pretty much as a law of physics for those in the system.
One of the remarkable things about that exchange is that it is two female MPs spewing this Woke drivel
What about the rights of the woman who got her face melted? And her kids, likewise? Don't they have the right to be defended from failed asylum seeking Afghan perverts with criminal records who should have been deported???
What happened to feminism? What happened to sticking up for women?
Their starting point will be that to say anything else risks give succour to racists.
Our most recent poll, conducted on the 31st January and 1st February 2024, marks a continued uptick in support for the Labour Party, alongside a slight decrease for the Conservative Party. The Liberal Democrats hold steady, Reform Party sees a gain, while the Green Party experiences a drop. The SNP and other parties’ support remains unchanged.
The current figures, set against the previous poll from the 25th January 2024, are as follows:
It's hard to fault Starmers strategy that has put him so far ahead.
It may be boring, but it's working.
No. Why do you always set it up for me to disagree with you foxy, and have to explain political facts of life to PBers? 🙇♀️
It’s not “Starmer’s Strategy” only in lazy political discussion - there’s a whole team around him, certainly Mandleson, probably Campbell, Perhaps regular chats with Blair, and a host of modellers and wonks, speech writers, image makers, handlers.
What they are doing - and flipping getting away with - is greedy and a tad undemocratic - not just win, not just win big enough so the Corbynite awkward squad are utterly irrelevant, but win on a BLANK CHEQUE.
Anyone who assumes once winning Labour will soon be unpopular and Tories have poll leads again, are living in cloud Cuckoo land - governments are regarded differently, fresh change, more spin time on media, control all the leavers of setting the agenda (and traps for opponents) - at least two years of honeymoon before delivery on promises start being called in. And there’s the twist: there ain’t no promises, they are getting away with a BLANK CHEQUE.
The Tories could go the whole of the next Parliamentary term without a single poll lead, especially after a heavy defeat where they will come to be seen as a fringe cult group who delivered worst government ever when in power.
If it was just Starmer’s strategy alone it would be very different, probably a boat full of hostages to fortune as he clearly (from 1:1 interviews, easily his weakest facet) ain’t all that card sharp at politics.
They wont get away with a blank slate (not cheque - cheque would be unlimited spending) forever. Thats what may drive some swingback - when they have to actually put forward policies.
Its not impossible for policies to dramatically shift a huge poll lead into much more like parity. Teresa May waves from a cornfield somewhere.
Dreamt that Biden vs Trump instead of votes came down to a game of American Football... Was 0-0 when I woke up but team Trump had just fluffed a field goal.
Well.
Well I have liked it because it made me laugh, but the pedant in me shrieks 'Blue Whale'. Maybe they didn't have a picture.
The pedant in me wants to note the lack of a capital E in the text.
Blue Whales would be the biggest babies in water, not on earth.
Really? Are the oceans not on Earth?
They are on the Earth, but they are not on earth. The lack of capital E was deliberate, not a mistake!!!!
Doubt it.
Of course depending on definitions, some parts of the oceans are on earth, too (where 'earth' or sediment is washed into the seas and settles to the bottom...)
It could be taken as:
Planet, even lacking capitalisation. so they're wrong, it's the blue whale
Soil, probably correct as even if there is soil at the ocean floor above the bedrock, the blue whales are probably above it, not on it
Land - again, the writers are correct
Devilishly sloppy joke writing though
Ah, but are birds on earth or in the sky? If the sky, then surely whales are in the water above the earth/sea bed not on it......
Dreamt that Biden vs Trump instead of votes came down to a game of American Football... Was 0-0 when I woke up but team Trump had just fluffed a field goal.
Well.
Well I have liked it because it made me laugh, but the pedant in me shrieks 'Blue Whale'. Maybe they didn't have a picture.
Ah, but blue whale babies are not "on earth". They are in the sea!
Also it's theoretically possible a baby elephant could attend an NFL game. Can't see how you'd get a blue whale calf along in one piece.
Wait, why does the hypothetical baby elephant need to attend a game?
Dreamt that Biden vs Trump instead of votes came down to a game of American Football... Was 0-0 when I woke up but team Trump had just fluffed a field goal.
Well.
Well I have liked it because it made me laugh, but the pedant in me shrieks 'Blue Whale'. Maybe they didn't have a picture.
The pedant in me wants to note the lack of a capital E in the text.
Blue Whales would be the biggest babies in water, not on earth.
Really? Are the oceans not on Earth?
They are on the Earth, but they are not on earth. The lack of capital E was deliberate, not a mistake!!!!
Doubt it.
Of course depending on definitions, some parts of the oceans are on earth, too (where 'earth' or sediment is washed into the seas and settles to the bottom...)
It could be taken as:
Planet, even lacking capitalisation. so they're wrong, it's the blue whale
Soil, probably correct as even if there is soil at the ocean floor above the bedrock, the blue whales are probably above it, not on it
Land - again, the writers are correct
Devilishly sloppy joke writing though
The planet requires capitalisation does it not? Its a proper noun.
So either they're correct deliberately, or correct accidentally, but either way its accurate.
Extraordinary, if true. The total pathetic decadence of our politicians
"Newsnight asked (Labour MP) Bell Ribeiro-Addy and (Tory MP) Caroline Nokes about the fact the alkali attacker was granted asylum on his 3rd attempt after a sexual assault conviction
BRA: "His asylum status is not really the issue of concern"
CN: "I think it's wrong to comment on that""
WHY IS IT WRONG TO COMMENT ON THAT. HOW CAN HIS ASYLUM STATUS AND CRIMINAL RECORD NOT BE AN ISSUE OF CONCERN
Dreamt that Biden vs Trump instead of votes came down to a game of American Football... Was 0-0 when I woke up but team Trump had just fluffed a field goal.
Well.
Well I have liked it because it made me laugh, but the pedant in me shrieks 'Blue Whale'. Maybe they didn't have a picture.
The pedant in me wants to note the lack of a capital E in the text.
Blue Whales would be the biggest babies in water, not on earth.
Really? Are the oceans not on Earth?
They are on the Earth, but they are not on earth. The lack of capital E was deliberate, not a mistake!!!!
Doubt it.
Of course depending on definitions, some parts of the oceans are on earth, too (where 'earth' or sediment is washed into the seas and settles to the bottom...)
It could be taken as:
Planet, even lacking capitalisation. so they're wrong, it's the blue whale
Soil, probably correct as even if there is soil at the ocean floor above the bedrock, the blue whales are probably above it, not on it
Land - again, the writers are correct
Devilishly sloppy joke writing though
Ah, but are birds on earth or in the sky? If the sky, then surely whales are in the water above the earth/sea bed not on it......
Yep, so the joke is correct as the blue whales are not on earth[soil/sediment] unless something has gone wrong.
All I can say is it's lucky they didn't post a picture of a baby elephant jumping up into the air. Or Dumbo in flight
OK fuck it I will tell you. I did advise you to wait for a more seemly hour, but anyway
That photo shows number 7, road 310, Phnom Penh, in the city's trendy BKK district
It may now be full of pho bars and expat pubs and Ethiopian coffee roasters, but back in the day BKK was a very sleepy suburb yet with a faintly seedy reputation. At number 7 there was, in particular, a famous institution, Madam Chum's bordello and opium den
For decades until the Khmer Rouge anyone who was anyone, with low morals, came here
Along with nice pipes of opium it was notorious as the place where the French indochinese sex trick of the "Cholon Duck" was, apparently, perfected. Originating in the stews of Saigon, at Madam Chum's they took the "Cholon Duck" to a new level
First, a butt naked duck had its head stuck in a drawer, then the drawer was shut tight enough, trapping the duck with its arse sticking out. The panic meant the duck's rear orifice opened wider, allowing the drunk and opiated customer to penetrate more easily, with his virile member. This further increased the panic of the duck - being fucked, without even foreplay - so the orifice then tightened and loosened and tightened, in a cycle, causing "tremendous pleasure" for the duck-violator
Furthermore, the flapping of the duck's angry feet against the testicles led, it is said, to the most intense orgasms ever
After the client had enjoyed his wicked way with the duck, it was quickly despatched (if it hadn't died of a heart attack), it was then defeathered, cooked and served to the same customer in a light curry sauce
Extraordinary, if true. The total pathetic decadence of our politicians
"Newsnight asked (Labour MP) Bell Ribeiro-Addy and (Tory MP) Caroline Nokes about the fact the alkali attacker was granted asylum on his 3rd attempt after a sexual assault conviction
BRA: "His asylum status is not really the issue of concern"
CN: "I think it's wrong to comment on that""
WHY IS IT WRONG TO COMMENT ON THAT. HOW CAN HIS ASYLUM STATUS AND CRIMINAL RECORD NOT BE AN ISSUE OF CONCERN
If someone's come from an oppressive regime then that trumps absolutely everything else, ever. It's regarded pretty much as a law of physics for those in the system.
One of the remarkable things about that exchange is that it is two female MPs spewing this Woke drivel
What about the rights of the woman who got her face melted? And her kids, likewise? Don't they have the right to be defended from failed asylum seeking Afghan perverts with criminal records who should have been deported???
What happened to feminism? What happened to sticking up for women?
Along not dissimilar lines, this is utterly bonkers
I see the usual right-wing dog-whistles are still going off.
They need to catch this loon (the attacker, not the OP) and lock him up for a long time.
The attacker's asylum status is utterly irrelevant. Plenty of women get attacked / raped / murdered by white, British born nutters with a UK family history that goes back centuries, possibly millennia. Statistically, immigrants are not the issue simply because it is a numbers game. There are far more non-immigrants here.
But I suppose a chance to bash some bl**dy foreigner is just too triggering...
I just noticed that the Dem convention is in Chicago, which to me implies that Biden doesn't have a cunning and devious secret plan to drop out at the convention and preside over a stitch-up where they put in someone else, because it would have 1968 vibes.
Dreamt that Biden vs Trump instead of votes came down to a game of American Football... Was 0-0 when I woke up but team Trump had just fluffed a field goal.
Well.
Well I have liked it because it made me laugh, but the pedant in me shrieks 'Blue Whale'. Maybe they didn't have a picture.
The pedant in me wants to note the lack of a capital E in the text.
Blue Whales would be the biggest babies in water, not on earth.
Really? Are the oceans not on Earth?
They are on the Earth, but they are not on earth. The lack of capital E was deliberate, not a mistake!!!!
Doubt it.
Of course depending on definitions, some parts of the oceans are on earth, too (where 'earth' or sediment is washed into the seas and settles to the bottom...)
It could be taken as:
Planet, even lacking capitalisation. so they're wrong, it's the blue whale
Soil, probably correct as even if there is soil at the ocean floor above the bedrock, the blue whales are probably above it, not on it
Land - again, the writers are correct
Devilishly sloppy joke writing though
Ah, but are birds on earth or in the sky? If the sky, then surely whales are in the water above the earth/sea bed not on it......
Yep, so the joke is correct as the blue whales are not on earth[soil/sediment] unless something has gone wrong.
All I can say is it's lucky they didn't post a picture of a baby elephant jumping up into the air. Or Dumbo in flight
Dreamt that Biden vs Trump instead of votes came down to a game of American Football... Was 0-0 when I woke up but team Trump had just fluffed a field goal.
Well.
Well I have liked it because it made me laugh, but the pedant in me shrieks 'Blue Whale'. Maybe they didn't have a picture.
The pedant in me wants to note the lack of a capital E in the text.
Blue Whales would be the biggest babies in water, not on earth.
Really? Are the oceans not on Earth?
They are on the Earth, but they are not on earth. The lack of capital E was deliberate, not a mistake!!!!
Doubt it.
Of course depending on definitions, some parts of the oceans are on earth, too (where 'earth' or sediment is washed into the seas and settles to the bottom...)
It could be taken as:
Planet, even lacking capitalisation. so they're wrong, it's the blue whale
Soil, probably correct as even if there is soil at the ocean floor above the bedrock, the blue whales are probably above it, not on it
Land - again, the writers are correct
Devilishly sloppy joke writing though
Ah, but are birds on earth or in the sky? If the sky, then surely whales are in the water above the earth/sea bed not on it......
Yep, so the joke is correct as the blue whales are not on earth[soil/sediment] unless something has gone wrong.
All I can say is it's lucky they didn't post a picture of a baby elephant jumping up into the air. Or Dumbo in flight
Arguably (and what is PB without a pathetic argument about trivia) the elephant in the picture is NOT on earth - its on grass (or maybe grassland). Can't have it both ways...
Extraordinary, if true. The total pathetic decadence of our politicians
"Newsnight asked (Labour MP) Bell Ribeiro-Addy and (Tory MP) Caroline Nokes about the fact the alkali attacker was granted asylum on his 3rd attempt after a sexual assault conviction
BRA: "His asylum status is not really the issue of concern"
CN: "I think it's wrong to comment on that""
WHY IS IT WRONG TO COMMENT ON THAT. HOW CAN HIS ASYLUM STATUS AND CRIMINAL RECORD NOT BE AN ISSUE OF CONCERN
If someone's come from an oppressive regime then that trumps absolutely everything else, ever. It's regarded pretty much as a law of physics for those in the system.
One of the remarkable things about that exchange is that it is two female MPs spewing this Woke drivel
What about the rights of the woman who got her face melted? And her kids, likewise? Don't they have the right to be defended from failed asylum seeking Afghan perverts with criminal records who should have been deported???
What happened to feminism? What happened to sticking up for women?
Along not dissimilar lines, this is utterly bonkers
I see the usual right-wing dog-whistles are still going off.
They need to catch this loon (the attacker, not the OP) and lock him up for a long time.
The attacker's asylum status is utterly irrelevant. Plenty of women get attacked / raped / murdered by white, British born nutters with a UK family history that goes back centuries, possibly millennia. Statistically, immigrants are not the issue simply because it is a numbers game. There are far more non-immigrants here.
But I suppose a chance to bash some bl**dy foreigner is just too triggering...
To be strictly accurate, *some* immigrant groups (first generation) seem to show up in the prison system far more than their presence in the population. Some, far less.
Why is a question that should be asked. And answered.
OK fuck it I will tell you. I did advise you to wait for a more seemly hour, but anyway
That photo shows number 7, road 310, Phnom Penh, in the city's trendy BKK district
It may now be full of pho bars and expat pubs and Ethiopian coffee roasters, but back in the day BKK was a very sleepy suburb yet with a faintly seedy reputation. At number 7 there was, in particular, a famous institution, Madam Chum's bordello and opium den
For decades until the Khmer Rouge anyone who was anyone, with low morals, came here
Along with nice pipes of opium it was notorious as the place where the French indochinese sex trick of the "Cholon Duck" was, apparently, perfected. Originating in the stews of Saigon, at Madam Chum's they took the "Cholon Duck" to a new level
First, a butt naked duck had its head stuck in a drawer, then the drawer was shut tight enough, trapping the duck with its arse sticking out. The panic meant the duck's rear orifice opened wider, allowing the drunk and opiated customer to penetrate more easily, with his virile member. This further increased the panic of the duck - being fucked, without even foreplay - so the orifice then tightened and loosened and tightened, in a cycle, causing "tremendous pleasure" for the duck-violator
Furthermore, the flapping of the duck's angry feet against the testicles led, it is said, to the most intense orgasms ever
After the client had enjoyed his wicked way with the duck, it was quickly despatched (if it hadn't died of a heart attack), it was then defeathered, cooked and served to the same customer in a light curry sauce
Funnily enough a relative of Princess Diana told me a similar story about geese and the English upper classes, with the variation that the drawer was slammed shut while the goose was penetrated. I’d imagine a goose would give your bawbag a right battering. Don’t remember any post coital cooking though, probably handed over to the starving peasantry with a knowing smirk.
Extraordinary, if true. The total pathetic decadence of our politicians
"Newsnight asked (Labour MP) Bell Ribeiro-Addy and (Tory MP) Caroline Nokes about the fact the alkali attacker was granted asylum on his 3rd attempt after a sexual assault conviction
BRA: "His asylum status is not really the issue of concern"
CN: "I think it's wrong to comment on that""
WHY IS IT WRONG TO COMMENT ON THAT. HOW CAN HIS ASYLUM STATUS AND CRIMINAL RECORD NOT BE AN ISSUE OF CONCERN
If someone's come from an oppressive regime then that trumps absolutely everything else, ever. It's regarded pretty much as a law of physics for those in the system.
One of the remarkable things about that exchange is that it is two female MPs spewing this Woke drivel
What about the rights of the woman who got her face melted? And her kids, likewise? Don't they have the right to be defended from failed asylum seeking Afghan perverts with criminal records who should have been deported???
What happened to feminism? What happened to sticking up for women?
Along not dissimilar lines, this is utterly bonkers
I see the usual right-wing dog-whistles are still going off.
They need to catch this loon (the attacker, not the OP) and lock him up for a long time.
The attacker's asylum status is utterly irrelevant. Plenty of women get attacked / raped / murdered by white, British born nutters with a UK family history that goes back centuries, possibly millennia. Statistically, immigrants are not the issue simply because it is a numbers game. There are far more non-immigrants here.
But I suppose a chance to bash some bl**dy foreigner is just too triggering...
You are right except in this case it might be significant if the attacker comes from a place when chucking acid in disrespectful women's faces is commonplace. The tragedy is that within living memory, Afghanistan, or at least urban Afghanistan, was quite Westernised. ETA btw this was not a so-called honour killing because, for a start, he seems not to have tried to kill anyone.
Dreamt that Biden vs Trump instead of votes came down to a game of American Football... Was 0-0 when I woke up but team Trump had just fluffed a field goal.
Well.
Well I have liked it because it made me laugh, but the pedant in me shrieks 'Blue Whale'. Maybe they didn't have a picture.
The pedant in me wants to note the lack of a capital E in the text.
Blue Whales would be the biggest babies in water, not on earth.
Really? Are the oceans not on Earth?
They are on the Earth, but they are not on earth. The lack of capital E was deliberate, not a mistake!!!!
Doubt it.
Of course depending on definitions, some parts of the oceans are on earth, too (where 'earth' or sediment is washed into the seas and settles to the bottom...)
It could be taken as:
Planet, even lacking capitalisation. so they're wrong, it's the blue whale
Soil, probably correct as even if there is soil at the ocean floor above the bedrock, the blue whales are probably above it, not on it
Land - again, the writers are correct
Devilishly sloppy joke writing though
Ah, but are birds on earth or in the sky? If the sky, then surely whales are in the water above the earth/sea bed not on it......
Yep, so the joke is correct as the blue whales are not on earth[soil/sediment] unless something has gone wrong.
All I can say is it's lucky they didn't post a picture of a baby elephant jumping up into the air. Or Dumbo in flight
Arguably (and what is PB without a pathetic argument about trivia) the elephant in the picture is NOT on earth - its on grass (or maybe grassland). Can't have it both ways...
Not on earth directly, probably, no. But it is on earth and also on Earth. And probably quite well earthed, depending on the conductivity of those feet? Being sensible creatures, probably quite down to earth, too. And certainly earthly and more than likely a little earthy.
OK fuck it I will tell you. I did advise you to wait for a more seemly hour, but anyway
That photo shows number 7, road 310, Phnom Penh, in the city's trendy BKK district
It may now be full of pho bars and expat pubs and Ethiopian coffee roasters, but back in the day BKK was a very sleepy suburb yet with a faintly seedy reputation. At number 7 there was, in particular, a famous institution, Madam Chum's bordello and opium den
For decades until the Khmer Rouge anyone who was anyone, with low morals, came here
Along with nice pipes of opium it was notorious as the place where the French indochinese sex trick of the "Cholon Duck" was, apparently, perfected. Originating in the stews of Saigon, at Madam Chum's they took the "Cholon Duck" to a new level
First, a butt naked duck had its head stuck in a drawer, then the drawer was shut tight enough, trapping the duck with its arse sticking out. The panic meant the duck's rear orifice opened wider, allowing the drunk and opiated customer to penetrate more easily, with his virile member. This further increased the panic of the duck - being fucked, without even foreplay - so the orifice then tightened and loosened and tightened, in a cycle, causing "tremendous pleasure" for the duck-violator
Furthermore, the flapping of the duck's angry feet against the testicles led, it is said, to the most intense orgasms ever
After the client had enjoyed his wicked way with the duck, it was quickly despatched (if it hadn't died of a heart attack), it was then defeathered, cooked and served to the same customer in a light curry sauce
Funnily enough a relative of Princess Diana told me a similar story about geese and the English upper classes, with the variation that the drawer was slammed shut while penetrated. I’d imagine a goose would give your bawbag a right battering. Don’t remember any post coital cooking though, probably handed over to the starving peasantry with a knowing smirk.
There's a vaguely related story involving JFK, the CIA and bathtubs, but we've probably gone far enough for one day
Extraordinary, if true. The total pathetic decadence of our politicians
"Newsnight asked (Labour MP) Bell Ribeiro-Addy and (Tory MP) Caroline Nokes about the fact the alkali attacker was granted asylum on his 3rd attempt after a sexual assault conviction
BRA: "His asylum status is not really the issue of concern"
CN: "I think it's wrong to comment on that""
WHY IS IT WRONG TO COMMENT ON THAT. HOW CAN HIS ASYLUM STATUS AND CRIMINAL RECORD NOT BE AN ISSUE OF CONCERN
If someone's come from an oppressive regime then that trumps absolutely everything else, ever. It's regarded pretty much as a law of physics for those in the system.
One of the remarkable things about that exchange is that it is two female MPs spewing this Woke drivel
What about the rights of the woman who got her face melted? And her kids, likewise? Don't they have the right to be defended from failed asylum seeking Afghan perverts with criminal records who should have been deported???
What happened to feminism? What happened to sticking up for women?
Along not dissimilar lines, this is utterly bonkers
I see the usual right-wing dog-whistles are still going off.
They need to catch this loon (the attacker, not the OP) and lock him up for a long time.
The attacker's asylum status is utterly irrelevant. Plenty of women get attacked / raped / murdered by white, British born nutters with a UK family history that goes back centuries, possibly millennia. Statistically, immigrants are not the issue simply because it is a numbers game. There are far more non-immigrants here.
But I suppose a chance to bash some bl**dy foreigner is just too triggering...
And while studies vary, they broadly show that immigrants commit fewer or similar numbers of crimes to non-immigrants.
OK fuck it I will tell you. I did advise you to wait for a more seemly hour, but anyway
That photo shows number 7, road 310, Phnom Penh, in the city's trendy BKK district
It may now be full of pho bars and expat pubs and Ethiopian coffee roasters, but back in the day BKK was a very sleepy suburb yet with a faintly seedy reputation. At number 7 there was, in particular, a famous institution, Madam Chum's bordello and opium den
For decades until the Khmer Rouge anyone who was anyone, with low morals, came here
Along with nice pipes of opium it was notorious as the place where the French indochinese sex trick of the "Cholon Duck" was, apparently, perfected. Originating in the stews of Saigon, at Madam Chum's they took the "Cholon Duck" to a new level
First, a butt naked duck had its head stuck in a drawer, then the drawer was shut tight enough, trapping the duck with its arse sticking out. The panic meant the duck's rear orifice opened wider, allowing the drunk and opiated customer to penetrate more easily, with his virile member. This further increased the panic of the duck - being fucked, without even foreplay - so the orifice then tightened and loosened and tightened, in a cycle, causing "tremendous pleasure" for the duck-violator
Furthermore, the flapping of the duck's angry feet against the testicles led, it is said, to the most intense orgasms ever
After the client had enjoyed his wicked way with the duck, it was quickly despatched (if it hadn't died of a heart attack), it was then defeathered, cooked and served to the same customer in a light curry sauce
Funnily enough a relative of Princess Diana told me a similar story about geese and the English upper classes, with the variation that the drawer was slammed shut while the goose was penetrated. I’d imagine a goose would give your bawbag a right battering. Don’t remember any post coital cooking though, probably handed over to the starving peasantry with a knowing smirk.
OK fuck it I will tell you. I did advise you to wait for a more seemly hour, but anyway
That photo shows number 7, road 310, Phnom Penh, in the city's trendy BKK district
It may now be full of pho bars and expat pubs and Ethiopian coffee roasters, but back in the day BKK was a very sleepy suburb yet with a faintly seedy reputation. At number 7 there was, in particular, a famous institution, Madam Chum's bordello and opium den
For decades until the Khmer Rouge anyone who was anyone, with low morals, came here
Along with nice pipes of opium it was notorious as the place where the French indochinese sex trick of the "Cholon Duck" was, apparently, perfected. Originating in the stews of Saigon, at Madam Chum's they took the "Cholon Duck" to a new level
First, a butt naked duck had its head stuck in a drawer, then the drawer was shut tight enough, trapping the duck with its arse sticking out. The panic meant the duck's rear orifice opened wider, allowing the drunk and opiated customer to penetrate more easily, with his virile member. This further increased the panic of the duck - being fucked, without even foreplay - so the orifice then tightened and loosened and tightened, in a cycle, causing "tremendous pleasure" for the duck-violator
Furthermore, the flapping of the duck's angry feet against the testicles led, it is said, to the most intense orgasms ever
After the client had enjoyed his wicked way with the duck, it was quickly despatched (if it hadn't died of a heart attack), it was then defeathered, cooked and served to the same customer in a light curry sauce
despatched (if it hadn't died of a heart attack), it was then defeathered, cooked and served to the same customer in a light curry uce
This certainly brings a whole new meaning to the word debauchery.
Dreamt that Biden vs Trump instead of votes came down to a game of American Football... Was 0-0 when I woke up but team Trump had just fluffed a field goal.
Well.
Well I have liked it because it made me laugh, but the pedant in me shrieks 'Blue Whale'. Maybe they didn't have a picture.
The pedant in me wants to note the lack of a capital E in the text.
Blue Whales would be the biggest babies in water, not on earth.
Really? Are the oceans not on Earth?
They are on the Earth, but they are not on earth. The lack of capital E was deliberate, not a mistake!!!!
Doubt it.
Of course depending on definitions, some parts of the oceans are on earth, too (where 'earth' or sediment is washed into the seas and settles to the bottom...)
It could be taken as:
Planet, even lacking capitalisation. so they're wrong, it's the blue whale
Soil, probably correct as even if there is soil at the ocean floor above the bedrock, the blue whales are probably above it, not on it
Land - again, the writers are correct
Devilishly sloppy joke writing though
Ah, but are birds on earth or in the sky? If the sky, then surely whales are in the water above the earth/sea bed not on it......
Yep, so the joke is correct as the blue whales are not on earth[soil/sediment] unless something has gone wrong.
All I can say is it's lucky they didn't post a picture of a baby elephant jumping up into the air. Or Dumbo in flight
Arguably (and what is PB without a pathetic argument about trivia) the elephant in the picture is NOT on earth - its on grass (or maybe grassland). Can't have it both ways...
Being pedantic though there will be earth between the blades of grass that the elephant is on, grass is not contiguous across grassland, so yes the elephant is on earth as well as on grass.
On topic, the value on the Trump / Biden pairing is, IMO, about right.
Politically, both are now bullet-proof nominations. They have either no challengers at all (Biden) or are so far ahead that they're out of sight (Trump).
So, what could bring them down and what are the chances?
Trump will absolutely not stand down voluntarily. We can rate that as zero. Biden might, unprompted, but it's a very low chance. He's given no indication he might (but then he probably wouldn't), and more importantly, to stand down between now and the convention would create a lot of mess and probably be viewed very badly by the public, who'd have been denied a say in the nomination. If one criticism of Trump is his autocratic tendency, it does the Democrats no favours for Biden to hand the nomination to his preferred candidate. Maybe 1-2%.
Health? Well, it's possible that might rule one out but time is ticking. The Republican convention is in mid-July, the Democrat one five weeks later. While both men are old, they're not at death's door. An actuary could provide the proper figures but my guess would be that the chance of either being ruled out by a serious health issue in the next 6 months or so is low- to mid-single figures.
Legal stuff. Biden here again is the zero. Trump obviously has many challenges but the Colorado-inspired one about his eligibility is the main threat. He will either brush off or appeal everything else. Hard to put a precise number on it but I don't think more than 10% myself. He deliberately kept well away from giving any direct or even indirect instructions on Jan 6 (which, ironically, is why it failed).
Add these together and, at most, you get somewhere near a 20% chance that one or other won't be on the ballot - but half of that is Trump's risk of being debarred. You may take a different view and it's the most unknowable of the risks to either.
The goose/duck head slammed in drawer thing is an old urban myth. It’s in the Profanisaurus, if memory serves. Related to the donkey punch.
I wouldn't be so quick to dismiss it, at all
There are extraordinary stories from the most famous of les maisons tolerees - the One Two Two, the Chabanais - of similar things involving animals. I'll spare you further deets, it is early in Blighty
And these are well attested, I don't believe they are disputed
So it is quite conceivable that tradition translated to French colonies, especially eroticised, Orientalised, hedonistic Indochina
OK fuck it I will tell you. I did advise you to wait for a more seemly hour, but anyway
That photo shows number 7, road 310, Phnom Penh, in the city's trendy BKK district
It may now be full of pho bars and expat pubs and Ethiopian coffee roasters, but back in the day BKK was a very sleepy suburb yet with a faintly seedy reputation. At number 7 there was, in particular, a famous institution, Madam Chum's bordello and opium den
For decades until the Khmer Rouge anyone who was anyone, with low morals, came here
Along with nice pipes of opium it was notorious as the place where the French indochinese sex trick of the "Cholon Duck" was, apparently, perfected. Originating in the stews of Saigon, at Madam Chum's they took the "Cholon Duck" to a new level
First, a butt naked duck had its head stuck in a drawer, then the drawer was shut tight enough, trapping the duck with its arse sticking out. The panic meant the duck's rear orifice opened wider, allowing the drunk and opiated customer to penetrate more easily, with his virile member. This further increased the panic of the duck - being fucked, without even foreplay - so the orifice then tightened and loosened and tightened, in a cycle, causing "tremendous pleasure" for the duck-violator
Furthermore, the flapping of the duck's angry feet against the testicles led, it is said, to the most intense orgasms ever
After the client had enjoyed his wicked way with the duck, it was quickly despatched (if it hadn't died of a heart attack), it was then defeathered, cooked and served to the same customer in a light curry sauce
Funnily enough a relative of Princess Diana told me a similar story about geese and the English upper classes, with the variation that the drawer was slammed shut while the goose was penetrated. I’d imagine a goose would give your bawbag a right battering. Don’t remember any post coital cooking though, probably handed over to the starving peasantry with a knowing smirk.
Extraordinary, if true. The total pathetic decadence of our politicians
"Newsnight asked (Labour MP) Bell Ribeiro-Addy and (Tory MP) Caroline Nokes about the fact the alkali attacker was granted asylum on his 3rd attempt after a sexual assault conviction
BRA: "His asylum status is not really the issue of concern"
CN: "I think it's wrong to comment on that""
WHY IS IT WRONG TO COMMENT ON THAT. HOW CAN HIS ASYLUM STATUS AND CRIMINAL RECORD NOT BE AN ISSUE OF CONCERN
If someone's come from an oppressive regime then that trumps absolutely everything else, ever. It's regarded pretty much as a law of physics for those in the system.
One of the remarkable things about that exchange is that it is two female MPs spewing this Woke drivel
What about the rights of the woman who got her face melted? And her kids, likewise? Don't they have the right to be defended from failed asylum seeking Afghan perverts with criminal records who should have been deported???
What happened to feminism? What happened to sticking up for women?
Along not dissimilar lines, this is utterly bonkers
I see the usual right-wing dog-whistles are still going off.
They need to catch this loon (the attacker, not the OP) and lock him up for a long time.
The attacker's asylum status is utterly irrelevant. Plenty of women get attacked / raped / murdered by white, British born nutters with a UK family history that goes back centuries, possibly millennia. Statistically, immigrants are not the issue simply because it is a numbers game. There are far more non-immigrants here.
But I suppose a chance to bash some bl**dy foreigner is just too triggering...
And while studies vary, they broadly show that immigrants commit fewer or similar numbers of crimes to non-immigrants.
OK fuck it I will tell you. I did advise you to wait for a more seemly hour, but anyway
That photo shows number 7, road 310, Phnom Penh, in the city's trendy BKK district
It may now be full of pho bars and expat pubs and Ethiopian coffee roasters, but back in the day BKK was a very sleepy suburb yet with a faintly seedy reputation. At number 7 there was, in particular, a famous institution, Madam Chum's bordello and opium den
For decades until the Khmer Rouge anyone who was anyone, with low morals, came here
Along with nice pipes of opium it was notorious as the place where the French indochinese sex trick of the "Cholon Duck" was, apparently, perfected. Originating in the stews of Saigon, at Madam Chum's they took the "Cholon Duck" to a new level
First, a butt naked duck had its head stuck in a drawer, then the drawer was shut tight enough, trapping the duck with its arse sticking out. The panic meant the duck's rear orifice opened wider, allowing the drunk and opiated customer to penetrate more easily, with his virile member. This further increased the panic of the duck - being fucked, without even foreplay - so the orifice then tightened and loosened and tightened, in a cycle, causing "tremendous pleasure" for the duck-violator
Furthermore, the flapping of the duck's angry feet against the testicles led, it is said, to the most intense orgasms ever
After the client had enjoyed his wicked way with the duck, it was quickly despatched (if it hadn't died of a heart attack), it was then defeathered, cooked and served to the same customer in a light curry sauce
That's nothing, when David Cameron was at university he (That's enough - TSE)
The goose/duck head slammed in drawer thing is an old urban myth. It’s in the Profanisaurus, if memory serves. Related to the donkey punch.
I wouldn't be so quick to dismiss it, at all
There are extraordinary stories from the most famous of les maisons tolerees - the One Two Two, the Chabanais - of similar things involving animals. I'll spare you further deets, it is early in Blighty
And these are well attested, I don't believe they are disputed
So it is quite conceivable that tradition translated to French colonies, especially eroticised, Orientalised, hedonistic Indochina
Still filing next to 'Cleveland Steamer', 'Quumf' and' 'Reggae Like It Used To Be'.
Extraordinary, if true. The total pathetic decadence of our politicians
"Newsnight asked (Labour MP) Bell Ribeiro-Addy and (Tory MP) Caroline Nokes about the fact the alkali attacker was granted asylum on his 3rd attempt after a sexual assault conviction
BRA: "His asylum status is not really the issue of concern"
CN: "I think it's wrong to comment on that""
WHY IS IT WRONG TO COMMENT ON THAT. HOW CAN HIS ASYLUM STATUS AND CRIMINAL RECORD NOT BE AN ISSUE OF CONCERN
If someone's come from an oppressive regime then that trumps absolutely everything else, ever. It's regarded pretty much as a law of physics for those in the system.
One of the remarkable things about that exchange is that it is two female MPs spewing this Woke drivel
What about the rights of the woman who got her face melted? And her kids, likewise? Don't they have the right to be defended from failed asylum seeking Afghan perverts with criminal records who should have been deported???
What happened to feminism? What happened to sticking up for women?
Along not dissimilar lines, this is utterly bonkers
I see the usual right-wing dog-whistles are still going off.
They need to catch this loon (the attacker, not the OP) and lock him up for a long time.
The attacker's asylum status is utterly irrelevant. Plenty of women get attacked / raped / murdered by white, British born nutters with a UK family history that goes back centuries, possibly millennia. Statistically, immigrants are not the issue simply because it is a numbers game. There are far more non-immigrants here.
But I suppose a chance to bash some bl**dy foreigner is just too triggering...
And while studies vary, they broadly show that immigrants commit fewer or similar numbers of crimes to non-immigrants.
Citation required
Certainly.
Citation: bondegezou on PoliticalBetting 2nd Feb 2024
Here are old French imperial veterans discussing the legendary canards de Cholon in 2010; they seem to believe it might be true, one insists it is true
Lay the Biden/Trump combo? Maybe - how long until the nominees are set?
I'm already exposed enough on a second Trump presidency, so I don't think I'll go for it. Green either way on Biden after backing ages ago and trading out (but I traded out far too early as I got cold feet on that ) Trump wins presidency, I lose. Otherwise I'm good. But then, Trump wins presidency and we all lose. I won't really care that much about the bet if that happens.
The rules say "For this market, nominees will be determined according to each party's national convention" ie July for the GOP and August for the Dems.
So Trump getting disqualified or not should be resolved in time, but him getting jailed (in the rather optimistic event that they manage to get that done before the election) wouldn't be. And the grim reaper only has 5 or 6 months respectively to win this bet for you.
For what should be a simple two horse race, there’s way too many variables in this presidential cycle.
I think the value must be in laying both Trump and Biden as nominees and as next president - but, as we are often reminded, “events” tend not to happen as often as we think they do.
(But what the hell do I know, I’d have given you at least 20/1 against Lewis Hamilton signing for Ferrari).
Comments
I'm already exposed enough on a second Trump presidency, so I don't think I'll go for it. Green either way on Biden after backing ages ago and trading out (but I traded out far too early as I got cold feet on that
This one. Why is it infamous etc
The answer is far more freaky than me hiring a ladyboy. It actually made me wince when I heard it. Yes, that bad
I'm sure, being the sort of guy he is, that once he's got it he will take a modest amount for himself and use the rest to help others and his community.
He just doesn't want to be taken for a fool.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2024/feb/01/ex-mp-simon-danczuk-suspended-for-sexting-to-fight-byelection-for-reform
Washed up old perv AND Gorgeous standing; what have the poor folk of Rochdale done to deserve this??
We need new management - perhaps time for domain expert management?
Happily in comes gorgeous to whip racial tensions hard for votes.
I merely observe it would be interesting to see what they've offered, and what he sees as apposite. He is claiming the sums are derisory, less than a quarter of what it should be, and I confess - after all the terrible publicity - I am surprised by this, is HMG contriving to screw it all up, all over again, by being mean and stupid?
Some constituencies (Peterborough springs to mind) really do get all the luck.
He isn't going to give in easily now.
The way that hundred of thousands are handed over for HR type disputes, in court, just adds salt to that wound.
"Newsnight asked (Labour MP) Bell Ribeiro-Addy and (Tory MP) Caroline Nokes about the fact the alkali attacker was granted asylum on his 3rd attempt after a sexual assault conviction
BRA: "His asylum status is not really the issue of concern"
CN: "I think it's wrong to comment on that""
WHY IS IT WRONG TO COMMENT ON THAT. HOW CAN HIS ASYLUM STATUS AND CRIMINAL RECORD NOT BE AN ISSUE OF CONCERN
These people make me want to puke
https://x.com/christiancalgie/status/1753320770468495775?s=20
Sorry
https://twitter.com/BBCNewsnight/status/1753192152832614853
And would be looking at decades of court cases to reduce it, and it wouldn't get paid because {insert reasons here}
There has been a lot of analysis of how badly they - both PO and government - are behaving over this. The government thought it could get away with it because the public was not really interested and some of the details are technical. But now .....
At an absolute minimum calculation of compensation should be taken out of the hands of the Post Office and the Business Department. Neither of them can be trusted on this.
What about the rights of the woman who got her face melted? And her kids, likewise? Don't they have the right to be defended from failed asylum seeking Afghan perverts with criminal records who should have been deported???
What happened to feminism? What happened to sticking up for women?
It’s not “Starmer’s Strategy” only in lazy political discussion - there’s a whole team around him, certainly Mandleson, probably Campbell, Perhaps regular chats with Blair, and a host of modellers and wonks, speech writers, image makers, handlers.
What they are doing - and flipping getting away with - is greedy and a tad undemocratic - not just win, not just win big enough so the Corbynite awkward squad are utterly irrelevant, but win on a BLANK CHEQUE.
Anyone who assumes once winning Labour will soon be unpopular and Tories have poll leads again, are living in cloud Cuckoo land - governments are regarded differently, fresh change, more spin time on media, control all the leavers of setting the agenda (and traps for opponents) - at least two years of honeymoon before delivery on promises start being called in. And there’s the twist: there ain’t no promises, they are getting away with a BLANK CHEQUE.
The Tories could go the whole of the next Parliamentary term without a single poll lead, especially after a heavy defeat where they will come to be seen as a fringe cult group who delivered worst government ever when in power.
If it was just Starmer’s strategy alone it would be very different, probably a boat full of hostages to fortune as he clearly (from 1:1 interviews, easily his weakest facet) ain’t all that card sharp at politics.
https://www.lbc.co.uk/news/humphrey-burke-free-two-years-after-sentence-kick-prison-guard-to-death/
Blue Whales would be the biggest babies in water, not on earth.
Can't see how you'd get a blue whale calf along in one piece.
Its not impossible for policies to dramatically shift a huge poll lead into much more like parity. Teresa May waves from a cornfield somewhere.
Most governments do that a bit. They don't do everything in their manifesto, they do things that weren't in their manifesto. Politicians break promises all the time. Franky, they get away with it if the outcomes of breaking promises are better than not doing so. Would Maggie have done better to break her promise to introduce the Poll Tax?
Starmer only has to make one promise to win- to not be a Conservative. However, they've all trashed the Conservative party brand so much that being someone else looks like being enough to win.
And then, with a big enough majority, he can do whatever he damn well pleases. In part, because of the way that Team 2016-24 have Taken Back Control to the executive in Westminster.
Them's the breaks.
"For this market, nominees will be determined according to each party's national convention"
ie July for the GOP and August for the Dems.
So Trump getting disqualified or not should be resolved in time, but him getting jailed (in the rather optimistic event that they manage to get that done before the election) wouldn't be. And the grim reaper only has 5 or 6 months respectively to win this bet for you.
It is too appalling for sober discourse
So not hugely interesting whatever the combination.
It could be taken as:
- Planet, even lacking capitalisation. so they're wrong, it's the blue whale
- Soil, probably correct as even if there is soil at the ocean floor above the bedrock, the blue whales are probably above it, not on it
- Land - again, the writers are correct
Devilishly sloppy joke writing thoughETA: This is all your fault, kjh!
So either they're correct deliberately, or correct accidentally, but either way its accurate.
All I can say is it's lucky they didn't post a picture of a baby elephant jumping up into the air. Or Dumbo in flight
That photo shows number 7, road 310, Phnom Penh, in the city's trendy BKK district
It may now be full of pho bars and expat pubs and Ethiopian coffee roasters, but back in the day BKK was a very sleepy suburb yet with a faintly seedy reputation. At number 7 there was, in particular, a famous institution, Madam Chum's bordello and opium den
For decades until the Khmer Rouge anyone who was anyone, with low morals, came here
Along with nice pipes of opium it was notorious as the place where the French indochinese sex trick of the "Cholon Duck" was, apparently, perfected. Originating in the stews of Saigon, at Madam Chum's they took the "Cholon Duck" to a new level
First, a butt naked duck had its head stuck in a drawer, then the drawer was shut tight enough, trapping the duck with its arse sticking out. The panic meant the duck's rear orifice opened wider, allowing the drunk and opiated customer to penetrate more easily, with his virile member. This further increased the panic of the duck - being fucked, without even foreplay - so the orifice then tightened and loosened and tightened, in a cycle, causing "tremendous pleasure" for the duck-violator
Furthermore, the flapping of the duck's angry feet against the testicles led, it is said, to the most intense orgasms ever
After the client had enjoyed his wicked way with the duck, it was quickly despatched (if it hadn't died of a heart attack), it was then defeathered, cooked and served to the same customer in a light curry sauce
They need to catch this loon (the attacker, not the OP) and lock him up for a long time.
The attacker's asylum status is utterly irrelevant. Plenty of women get attacked / raped / murdered by white, British born nutters with a UK family history that goes back centuries, possibly millennia. Statistically, immigrants are not the issue simply because it is a numbers game. There are far more non-immigrants here.
But I suppose a chance to bash some bl**dy foreigner is just too triggering...
Some of us on here are just innocents you know. Innocents. We don't even understand TSE's posts, let alone yours.
Why is a question that should be asked. And answered.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/trident-submarine-uk-missile-test-c285862ls
This certainly brings a whole new meaning to the word debauchery.
It sounds itself, like a fevered opium dream.
Politically, both are now bullet-proof nominations. They have either no challengers at all (Biden) or are so far ahead that they're out of sight (Trump).
So, what could bring them down and what are the chances?
Trump will absolutely not stand down voluntarily. We can rate that as zero. Biden might, unprompted, but it's a very low chance. He's given no indication he might (but then he probably wouldn't), and more importantly, to stand down between now and the convention would create a lot of mess and probably be viewed very badly by the public, who'd have been denied a say in the nomination. If one criticism of Trump is his autocratic tendency, it does the Democrats no favours for Biden to hand the nomination to his preferred candidate. Maybe 1-2%.
Health? Well, it's possible that might rule one out but time is ticking. The Republican convention is in mid-July, the Democrat one five weeks later. While both men are old, they're not at death's door. An actuary could provide the proper figures but my guess would be that the chance of either being ruled out by a serious health issue in the next 6 months or so is low- to mid-single figures.
Legal stuff. Biden here again is the zero. Trump obviously has many challenges but the Colorado-inspired one about his eligibility is the main threat. He will either brush off or appeal everything else. Hard to put a precise number on it but I don't think more than 10% myself. He deliberately kept well away from giving any direct or even indirect instructions on Jan 6 (which, ironically, is why it failed).
Add these together and, at most, you get somewhere near a 20% chance that one or other won't be on the ballot - but half of that is Trump's risk of being debarred. You may take a different view and it's the most unknowable of the risks to either.
There are extraordinary stories from the most famous of les maisons tolerees - the One Two Two, the Chabanais - of similar things involving animals. I'll spare you further deets, it is early in Blighty
And these are well attested, I don't believe they are disputed
So it is quite conceivable that tradition translated to French colonies, especially eroticised, Orientalised, hedonistic Indochina
Citation: bondegezou on PoliticalBetting 2nd Feb 2024
Here are old French imperial veterans discussing the legendary canards de Cholon in 2010; they seem to believe it might be true, one insists it is true
https://www.anciens-cols-bleus.net/t13670p875-operations-de-guerre-indochine-tome-3
https://www.survation.com/labour-maintains-a-stable-17-point-lead/
NEW: Westminster Voting Intention from Survation’s fortnightly tracker.
LAB 44 (-1)
CON 27 (-1)
LD 11 (+1)
GRN 3 (+1)
RFM 7 (-1)
SNP 4 (+2)
OTH 5 (+1)
F/w 30th - 31st January. Changes vs. 18th December 2023.
I think the value must be in laying both Trump and Biden as nominees and as next president - but, as we are often reminded, “events” tend not to happen as often as we think they do.
(But what the hell do I know, I’d have given you at least 20/1 against Lewis Hamilton signing for Ferrari).