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Trump wins New Hampshire primary but Haley says campaign is ‘far from over’ – politicalbetting.com
Trump wins New Hampshire primary but Haley says campaign is ‘far from over’ – politicalbetting.com
Haley did better than the polls and most of the predictions and the idea that this was going to be a knock-out blow for Trump did not quite materialise.
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On the Republicans, if Haley has the money behind her, she should keep running to the end. Firstly if something happens to Trump legally or due to health before the end then by staying in she would likely be the Nominee.
Secondly if she is making Trump campaign it means he is spending money from his PACs and the more he has to spend on the Nomination race the less there is for the GE but also less to find its way to cover his legal costs and bolster his accounts.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-68071665
So a clear win for the Orange Haired One but less decisive than he clearly hoped and expected.
Snag is, Haley really needed to win to puncture his bubble.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2024/jan/24/royal-mail-could-save-650m-by-switching-to-three-day-a-week-service-says-ofcom
https://x.com/keir_starmer/status/1750065542180880877?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q
DC won't win the primary.
Challengers had to do something to upend the race before it moves on to Super Tuesday. New Hampshire was a chance to do that, and Haley spent a huge amount of money and enormous amount of time on it. Doing marginally better than you'd have thought on Monday doesn't upend the race. And, with the best will in the world, that level of focus can't be replicated, or anything like it, in larger states and on days where several states vote.
The only real reason for Haley to stay in now is to position herself if Trump becomes unavailable, for reasons of health or legal jeopardy, for November. And that's risky - she could easily be beaten heavily in her own state, and then on Super Tuesday, and make herself into a joke rather than a fall-back option.
The path to beating Trump in the primaries on the basis of an argument about electability has gone. Republicans have mostly either persuaded themselves that Trump IS the most electable option, or they don't care because they like him and he "owns the libs".
So far, he's been pretty robust on China and Iran. He's bombing one of Iran's proxies right now, FFS. And he has been trying everything to smash Hamas without green lighting Netanyahu's Fascist fantasies of ethnic cleaning. Meanwhile, he's kept China from doing more than making noises over Taiwan.
Trump was much weaker on both of them which is one reason why they seem emboldened now.
Carrying blade of any length is already illegal.
Banning various blades curiosities (and other weapons) has proved, in the past, to be performative dance.
Anyone remember the Nunchaku Terror? When any film that depicted someone waving a rice flail was banned?
Younger office staff are slacking off work at least one day a week as mental health problems cause a productivity crisis, new research shows.
Analysis by Vitality found that the average employee feels unable to work to their full capacity for 50 work days each year ― costing the British economy £138 billion.
Only six of these days are taken off as formal sick leave, with people showing up to work the rest of the time but struggling to achieve anything because of issues linked to poor health including burnout, stress, insomnia and obesity.
The report was based on a survey of 4,000 staff and their employers, which investigated how much time was lost due to absence and presenteeism.
This revealed a stark generational divide, with those under the age of 30 significantly more likely to report being unproductive at work compared to older generations.
These younger adults lost 60 productive days a year due to health concerns, nearly twice as many as those over 50, who only lost 36 days a year.
This was largely due to worse mental health problems in younger workers, who were twice as likely to suffer from depression, and also had higher levels of burnout and tiredness.
Poor health is stifling Britain’s economic growth, with a record 2.6 million people in the UK are now off work long-term because of illness. The biggest rise in economic inactivity has been seen in adults aged 16 to 34, with more than half a million of this age group signed off work.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/gen-z-staff-miss-a-days-work-a-week-due-to-mental-health-x86ldvk8m
There are already laws in place on the carrying of knives that are no deterrent. Knives already are restricted on who they can be sold to. This does no good. Banning Zombie knives won't do anything.
The roadmen will simply take other knives, innit, as they do currently. It is a gesture to be seen to be doing something .
Do we really want combat knives on the streets? If one life is saved, surely Starmer's hand-wringing was worth it.
She did better than expected but Trump is the first presidential candidate since Kerry in 2004 to win Iowa and New Hampshire and with most of the remaining states more conservative and with fewer college graduates than New Hampshire he is now likely nominee. Probably only a Supreme Court ruling he can be blocked from ballots next month or a criminal conviction and jail sentence by the convention for Trump could stop that now
The answer is, of course, investing in systems and management methods that are more ergonomic. Discontinue the beatings, and morale may actually improve.
How utterly mortifying for @DavidGHFrost and the @Telegraph for @yougov to have to issue an extensive note questioning his analysis of a poll that he actually commissioned. And also how perfect.
https://twitter.com/sturdyAlex/status/1746885186661355612
And charge £5k a time for that advice.
And then another £5k to explain what it means.
Government bans machetes and zombie knives
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/government-bans-machetes-and-zombie-knives
Now even some Tories realising this was not OK
A Zombie knife isn't a combat knife - except maybe for Meal Team 6
Carrying a fruit knife (favourite weapon of Richard IV) is already illegal.
Do you really think that a member of a postcode gang (say) will give up on "Going equipped" because the funky looking blade isn;'t available online anymore?
The problem with the stabbing of teenagers by teenagers is the desire by some teenagers to stab other teenagers.
It is impossible to cut off the supply of edged weapons.
To actually do something we ned to reduce the desire to attack others.
There would be more tensions with Xi and Trump over trade and Taiwan though, Trump is more
concerned by China than
Russia, as is Modi's India.
There would be some
tensions between Putin and Trump over Iran and Hamas which Trump takes a hard-line over while Putin has solid links to Tehran
The police, in London, had quite a bit of fun arresting people for carrying pen knifes that slightly exceeded the blade length rule. Some say that it was about "normalising" the profile of those they arrested for knife crime.
Having ended 2023 deep inside contraction territory, France’s economy began the new year with another marked month-on month reduction in private sector business activity. In fact, the downturn worsened in January as faster falls in output at both service providers and manufacturers led to the steepest overall rate of decline since last September. A ninth successive month of weakening demand was a major factor behind January’s contraction, placing the onus firmly on backlogs as the means to boost activity. Indeed, outstanding work volumes declined, as did employment and business confidence.
The headline HCOB Flash France Composite PMI Output Index remained below the critical 50.0 threshold that separates growth from decline in January for an eighth month in a row, stretching the downturn seen in the eurozone’s second-largest economy that began in mid-2023. At 44.2, the headline index was down from 44.8 in December, its lowest for four months and indicative of a steep contraction in business activity.
Quite a contrast compared to the UK:
The headline seasonally adjusted S&P Global Flash UK PMI Composite Output Index registered 52.5 in January,
up from 52.1 in December and above the neutral 50.0 threshold for the third month running. The latest reading
pointed to the strongest rate of output growth since June 2023. The index has picked up in each month since hitting an eight-month low last September (48.5)
https://www.forexfactory.com/calendar?day=jan24.2024
https://www.usnews.com/news/top-news/articles/2024-01-23/many-new-hampshire-republicans-see-bidens-2020-win-as-illegitimate-exit-poll
So you can probably assume a drag effect for Trump from the 3% of extra Democrats in here (given sentiment has swung from "let's get Trump as the GOP nominee" to "let's support Haley" amongst many D voters). Point being, if half of the voters were non-Republicans, then a 12% lead for Trump is pretty decent.
It is one of the most poignant communications I have ever seen
Eleni Courea, Guardian
Precautionary principle - they might turn out to be a 23rd dan Ninja possessed by a demon from the 11th dimension, after all.
Don’t all rush at once
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cw54xwwk3z6o
Royal Mail could save another £600m odd by not delivering any letters at all.
Has no one thought of that?
https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1750081419555086832
Either Ukrainian POWs or missiles on board, depending on who you believe...
Germany is presumably France’s biggest export market
Obvious, really.
Ban then, don't ban them, it's not going to make a difference either way. Looks great in the tabloids, though.
Are there really people all over Britain wondering whether to have a holiday break in Leicester, who will be finally won over when they hear its food scene is “impressively sustainable”?
(With apologies to @BlancheLivermore )
But it's the general sense of tentativeness that I don't think we've seen from a US government before. A President who thinks his main enemies are in Washington would hardly be an improvement and so in a forced choice I would stick with Biden but it's not a choice that makes me sleep easier at night.
I suggest as a start we rename it the Royal Intersex to more accurately reflect a modern, diverse nation.
Since privatisation letter prices (for personal, rather than business, customers) have exploded, yet the service has deteriorated.
An agreed reduction in service might be worth thinking about - provided the guaranteed next-day special deliveries continued to be available all week - in return for a significant reduction in cost. I haven't seen any mention of the latter from Ofcom or in current reporting? Yet all of the options they are floating would enable a significant reduction in staffing.
The problem, which has been going on for some time, is that magazine delivery is highly unreliable, so they don't arrive on the scheduled day. That frustrates readers and they tend to blame the magazine.
It's perfectly possible that reducing frequency would improve reliability (not necessarily, but both are features that cost money the Royal Mail simply doesn't have).
Er, that is, when we're a republic.