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Another difficult Tory by-election defence – politicalbetting.com
Another difficult Tory by-election defence – politicalbetting.com
A by-election is expected to take place in 2024 in the UK Parliament constituency of Wellingborough following a 2023 recall petition that removed the incumbent MP Peter Bone.
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LAB first well clear of CON. LD unlikely to get more than 10%.
Well done Rishi!
Short answer, the PO didn't know or seemingly much care.
'It is therefore perfectly likely that the Post Office took money which rightfully belonged to its Subpostmasters and used it to bolster its bottom line. This was part-admitted by Post Office CEO Nick Read in a parliamentary committee meeting in January 2021:
Chair: But you have to do a profit and loss account, do you not, Mr Read, with money coming in and money going out? If victims were putting money into the Post Office, surely you know that money came in from somewhere. Did it just go to your bottom line?
Nick Read: It went into a general suspense account.
What Mr Read didn’t tell the Committee was that after three years (according to one source I have spoken to), if entries in the suspense account were not identified and/or claimed, the cash was swept into the Post Office’s P&L account and counted as profit. Trebles on the back of Subpostmaster misery all round.'
https://www.postofficescandal.uk/post/podcast-where-did-all-the-money-go/
(Ok, I didn't actually realise it was a first when posting and didn't call it, but still
ETA: Ah, still on VF, so it still counts
A majority 6.9% lower than in Tamworth probably the best comparator.
But on other hand, as Uxbridge showed, some places are simply harder to achieve the swing, even if harder targets fall on same night. It’s not just raw numbers for a swing where we count everyone the same, it’s more like chemistry as each voter is of different make up. I suggested there may be a “grey wall” - pensioners, home owners - and some constituency’s may have more of these so harder for the socialists to switch the raw numbers of these people.
Another factor could be how Labours support over all is declining, regardless of the Tory unpopularity, 42% is hardly an all conquering position in itself.
Another factor is if Bone is the candidate he may get just enough support to cling on in a tight race. He’s not been convicted of anything.
inflation down to a tiny 3.9%. The economy is going gangbusters.
All Rishi's good work counts for nothing if the todger waver is the Tory candidate.
However it's a by election and in the current environment it's virtually impossible for CON to win any by election hence why I am calling it for LAB.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wellingborough_(UK_Parliament_constituency)
It looks winnable to me.
https://twitter.com/transportgovuk/status/1737401590808543620?t=dtGdeTCMVDvj_j-x3eZZpQ&s=19
I see context has been added,😆
But my argument is different than that. It’s about Labour needing to win over a lot of Tory voters. Stay at home won’t be enough here. And not all Tory voters are the same. Some are just much more reluctant to switch from lifelong Conservative voting straight to Labour.
Another what if. What if reform candidate becomes Farage?
And since it's being done by HMG, hardly counts as well done, either.
(Besides, I'm not a financial whizzkid, but even I realise that cutting one off capital spending to fund ongoing maintenance is mostly a really bad plan. Isn't our grinning midget nitwit of a PM meant to know about finance?)
I suppose he could stand as an independent, but that isn't an argument for a Tory win.
IF so, no wonder they were NOT eager to identify let alone correct errors.
How often is it in the news over here compared to when it all kicked off and the first few months after that.
It’s also been in Labours hands in the 2000s, so enough voters there have voted Labour in the past.
What if Farage was reform candidate, could he win this type of constituency?
Bone's Todger ?
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2023/dec/20/why-brianna-ghey-police-quickly-ruled-out-transphobia-as-motive
Although transphobia did not come up in the trial, the judge, Mrs Justice Yip, may consider it to be an aggravating factor when sentencing one or both of the teenagers. But she told potential jurors on the first day of the trial to put aside any “uninformed views” about Brianna’s killing.
She also took a dim view of online commentators who pronounced that the defendants were transphobic. After the case was opened, the prosecution complained about a tweet from the barrister Jolyon Maugham, the founder of the Good Law Project, saying the teenagers had exchanged “transphobic slurs”.
Yip said the tweet was potentially in contempt of court, a serious crime that has previously resulted in short jail terms for those judged to have prejudiced a trial. Heer said the prosecution had deliberately not used such terms in the presence of the jury.
I have just been listening to the verdict of the murder of 16 year old Brianna Ghey and words fail me
Apparently two teenagers, one a boy, the other a girl who was friends with Brianna and who Brianna trusted lured her to a park and stabbed her 28 times
It seems the killers had planned the murder as they wanted to experience what killing was like
Such utter evil is impossible to understand
RIP Brianna
So there was no extra money or profit. There was an over recording of revenue with presumably a bad debt entry to cover the apparent shortfall in cash.
It was insane. Had the PO devoted the same resources to installing a decent system, checking it, and teaching their staff how to use it, as it did to persecuting the poor sodding SPMs, the organsation would have been in much better shape than it has ever been, and nobody would have gone to jail, been made bankrupt, or had their lives ruined.
Yes, of course the money extorted from the SPMs should have been returned. It still should be. What's more, the PO's profits should be recalculated on proper accounting principles, and likewise any bonuses paid on the bogus profits that were actually returned. This would undoubtedly result in a lot of present and former employees owing a lot of money. In practice, they probably couldn't pay. Perhaps it could be docked off the pensions.
There was anecdotal evidence to suggest Mr B. got more than his loyal vote out.
Barnesian - I believe there were sometimes overstatements as well as under. I think the overs were ignored. The unders were normally recouped under duress from the SPMs. So yes, the PO trousered a lot of money that it was not entitled to, and as far as I am aware, it still has that money.
https://news.sky.com/story/government-sparks-anger-and-ridicule-with-multi-million-network-north-road-project-for-london-13034791
Network North is specifically country wide by design. Blame the head honchos.
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/65294b416b6fbf0014b75641/network-north-transforming-british-transport.pdf
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-manchester-67773896
People like this are why I support the death penalty.
This isn't viewers angry at The Chase, is it?
I assume the remarks in question were one or more of the following:
- “Is it a femboy or a tranny?"
- “Tell me what you feel when you interact with it”.
- “I don’t think you’re necessarily in love but I think you’re more curious and intrigued by its unnatural nature”.
- “yeah, it’ll be easier and I want to see if it will scream like a man or a girl”.
As for the non-antitrans part of the murder plot, the couple were intensely interested in carrying out a murder. They prepared to kill two people: one who they thought a nonce, another who they thought an it. The first one changed their plans, so they went for Ghey. Ironically she had anxiety attacks which her mother tried to alleviate by encouraging her to use the bus, thus inadvertently providing an attack window for her killers. Things then proceeded in a predictable fashion.A child has been killed here.
This is nothing to do with so-called trans hate and everything to do with contempt of court.
I've commented on this in the past. The PO was making record profits on the back of a strange rise in Other Income, that was (bizarrely) also exactly the same size as the amounts they claimed were being stolen every year.
It makes the claim that pretty much any Post Master was stealing meaningful sums of money almost inconceivable.
Where's the respect for authority?
In my day, you accepted your boss waving his bits with good grace. If you told anyone - which you really shouldn't - it would be your mates down the pub. You certainly wouldn't go crying to some ridiculous standards body.
Utterly awful.
Poor child, all her life ahead of her. snuffed out for no reason at all.