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Next Sunak will announce water is wet – politicalbetting.com
Next Sunak will announce water is wet – politicalbetting.com
?Rishi Sunak used his No10 lobby drinks speech to confirm that next year WILL be an election year
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I live in the US, on a non-immigrant visa. (That is, I'm not planning on staying in the US permanently.)
I own an apartment in London, where I am currently staying.
Camden Council is busy doing the electoral roll. Do I put my wife and me on it? Are we - British citizens - eligible to vote in the election next year?
The earliest an election could be, if called at the beginning of September (and assuming a Thursday) is 10 Oct.
Personally, I still reckon on him using the Tory conference as the launch-pad and going with Nov 14.
https://www.gov.uk/voting-when-abroad
I'm surprised he's not considering it.
But we do have to acknowledge that when faced with a decision Rishi usually chooses the less optimal route, so October remains possible.
May 2nd is the sane choice so I suspect it won’t be that
I don't expect much recovery in the polls by March so the temptation to delay would be there. But to what end?
They must expect a kicking in the locals, so go beyond May and people really will punish those councillors up for reelection. And then there are less activists to campaign for the GE.
[Citation Needed]
I think you're probably right, but Sunak keeps coming out with plans so cunning that even Baldrick would balk at them.
Marcia Barrett
Maizie Williams
Bobby Farrell
Reggie Tsiboe
Were the members of Boney M who sang Rivers of Babylon, though I think only 4 were bandmembers at the time.
He’s the chap who enabled the heir to the empire of idiots his moment.
B5, "Ceremonies of Light and Dark", see https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0517636/characters/nm0432867
More seriously, there is a statutory 25 working day timetable for a General Election, day 0 being dissolution of Parliament, and day 25 election day. I believe that for 2nd May election, that would make dissolution day Friday, 22nd March (noting the two Easter bank holidays and May Day bank holiday).
In practice, Sunak could pre-announce the dissolution on an earlier date - presumably linked to the Budget statement which would normally be early to mid March. He'd probably look for a long-ish campaign due to being behind in the polls.
"A prisoner is told that he will be hanged on some day between Monday and Friday, but that he will not know on which day the hanging will occur before it happens. He cannot be hanged on Friday, because if he were still alive on Thursday, he would know that the hanging will occur on Friday, but he has been told he will not know the day of his hanging in advance. He cannot be hanged Thursday for the same reason, and the same argument shows that he cannot be hanged on any other day. Nevertheless, the executioner unexpectedly arrives on some day other than Friday, surprising the prisoner.
"
Edit: I didn’t count the bank holidays, so scratch that. Around the end of March, though!
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2023/dec/19/revealed-journalist-behind-michelle-mone-film-also-worked-as-private-investigator-on-her-behalf
https://insideevs.com/news/701272/china-zeekr-claims-new-lfp-battery-adds-310-miles-range-15-minutes/
https://twitter.com/squeezyjohn/status/1737052550912750070
I was once compared to Emperor Cartagia.
1) useful life
2) energy density
3) charging time
4) discharge rate
5) etc
All at the same time. It is perfectly possible to produce staggering capabilities in a couple of them. At the expense of the others.
EDIT. Now see the answer. Sorry I was miles out. I’m not great on the Assyrian period.
Tucker Carlson says Haley as Trump VP would be reason ‘to oppose ticket’
https://thehill.com/homenews/media/4367335-tucker-carlson-nikki-haley-donald-trump-vice-president-pick-reason-to-oppose-ticket-2024/
- space battles involving large fleets of spaceships
- space battles involving Newtonian physics
- arc plots
- computer-animation on a TV/cheap level
- fan-creator interaction via the internet (copy of original site!)
- the word "lurker" to describe people who look but not make comments
The plot is outlined in the title sequence, and since the sequence changed each year, the intros constitute a summary. Here they are: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7vIVFgXaxsUThe show lasted for five years and is generally agreed to have gone tits-up in year 5. Spin-offs and films eventuated, but none made the same impact.
Some Internet idiot did some fanfic on what would have happened if it entered production in 1989 in Vancouver, not 1993 in Los Angeles
Other people do fan reappraisals:
https://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2023/10/22/is-this-the-best-way-to-deal-with-two-massive-elections-at-the-same-time/
Germany: the Constitutional Court has ruled that the national parliament election in the Berlin region has to be repeated in 455/2,256 polling stations due to major irregularities in the voting process in 2021. The national parliament repeat election is scheduled for 11 February 2024.
Previously, the election to the Berlin regional parliament was annulled by the regional Constitutional Court and had to be repeated on 12 February 2023."
https://twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/1737041993153307073
I thought to myself "someone should run trips to active volcanoes around the world, they'd rake it in". Turns out someone does: http://www.volcanicexperiences.co.uk/
However, they seem to have tours to places where volcanoes might not actually be erupting. We need something more dynamic and flexible - either places that are about to blow, or ongoing events.
That's where this website comes in handy. https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/erupting_volcanoes.html
I might plan something using this for an upcoming milestone birthday.
Thats Plan A.
https://www.threads.net/@georgehtakei/post/C1ArTqwOVJC
in a video posted on X after the autumn statement Sunak said “debt is falling”. Later in November he told MPs at PMQs “we have indeed reduced debt”.
No 10 tried to justify Sunak’s “is falling” comment by saying he was referring to what was forecast to happen in 2028. 🫣
At what point is it straightforward lying to the House of Commons?
26m agoSunak rebuked by UK's statistics watchdog for making misleading claim about government debt falling
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2023/dec/19/michael-gove-sadiq-khan-housebuilding-planning-policy-england-rishi-sunak-scotland-budget-keir-starmer-uk-politics-latest?filterKeyEvents=false&page=with:block-6581c16d8f087b322e46368e#block-6581c16d8f087b322e46368e
In both cases, ministers and officials remain in post throughout; in the US, Biden and all his crew retain full powers through to 20 Jan 2025, lame duck or not, election trail or not. And GCHQ / NSA and whoever will be little affected by an election.
Yes, new Labour ministers would be new and untested but they will have been having briefings from the start of next year, and will be barely less experienced than a whole load of Tory ministers have been over the last 4-5 years.
Planning elections around mental hobgoblins of the FSB's shadows would be nuts.
https://youtu.be/2Tc2K4j4iqs?si=QhTjcrNvQCKofIlu
25 minutes sounds a bit fancy - don't think mine takes more than about 10, normally. Were you having some highlights in? As for the sudden change - 25 minutes or so could be consistent with popping some LSD just before you arrived. Maybe thought he was in Reservoir Dogs himsef
What do you want?
That would make Thursday May 2nd day 25.
Though having Rishi out of the country might be a benefit to the Conservative campaign.
But I wouldn't exclude the possibility that Gove is as loosely tied to truth telling as is Mone.
"A quiet flight?"
"That's what you want now. What do you want generally? Why do all this work, what are you aiming for? What do you want to achieve? What do you want?"
"Go away, pester someone else."
"We'e in a plane. I can hardly leave here until you've answered my question. What do you want?"
"This is a silly conversation."
"Yes it is. What do you want?"
"To be left alone."
"Is that it? Is that really all? What do you want?"
"All right, fine. You really want to know what I want? You really want to know the truth?"
Thornton paused, tried to focus, and continued.
"We used to be great. We built cars, ships, planes, spacecraft, starships and made them fly and spin. We lit them, painted them and filmed them, on rolling roads and shining wires. We built objects of great beauty and persuaded the world they were real. We created images that looked like nothing before or since, and they were utterly, utterly wonderful. We gave the world beauty...and now we don't. I want us to be what we used to be. I want, I want it all back the way that it was. Does that answer your question?"
Netter gaped, lost for words. Was this what Thornton wanted? A renaissance of...what? The British special effects industry? Modelmaking? His own reputation? Whatever it was, it was clear that Thornton was gripped by his own muse, and...
Netter grinned. The muse always wins.
"Yes, Mr Thornton. That answers my question."
https://www.alternatehistory.com/forum/threads/valen-in-vancouver.293668/#post-8632229
A haircut is rarely a pleasant experience, and the best you can hope for is that it's over as quickly as possible.
I think it's that cape they put over you. Deprives you of your arms. Just doesn't feel right.
I once had a haircut take that long. The issue was that the barber refused, as a point of principle, to use a number 1, 2 etc, but instead used his own judgement. He'd been taught at barber school that using a numbered grading was a lazy shortcut for less skilled barbers. As a consequence of which I ended up with a less good haircut, though I of course admired his skill in managing a half-decent approximation of a number 1 on back and sides.
Nowadays I cut my own hair with clippers. Wish I'd started years ago.
Or do you mean these people are inherently unable to read?
Effective marginal rate between £100,000 and £125,140 is actually 69.5%.
ie: 45% + 22.5% + 2% (NI) = 69.5%
Rest of UK = 40% + 20% + 2% = 62%
Second component in Scotland is 22.5% and not 20% because each extra pound taxed is taxed at 45%, not 40%!
He was telling us about not liking the bit of a haircut where 'they set fire to your ears'. We all looked at him in incomprehension, before his wife piped up 'No wonder your so reluctant to get your haircut'.
*as opposed to a barber who just happens to be Turkish. Round here practically everyone who cuts hair professionally appears to be from somewhere just beyond Bulgaria. No idea why. Presumably hair and the need for it to be cut is universal; it seems unlikely that a region would emerge with a specialism for it.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qWE43m9SL4I
I mix it up - go to the barbers every 2-3 goes to make sure the lines are up to scratch. The only danger for me with some of the cheaper barbers is that they'll give you those minimal simpleton sideburns.And such lines definitely aren't up to scratch.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Brq-exSvB7Q
Rest of UK - higher rate of 40% starts at £50,270.
Scotland - higher rate is 42% and starts at £43,633.
Scotland then has a 45% rate from £75,000 to £125,140.
Rest of UK top rate (above £125,140) is 45%.
Scotland top rate (above £125,140) is 48%.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-67759418
Well this was all true 16 years ago anyway
- Technomage: As I look at you, Ambasador Mollari, I see a great hand reaching out of the stars. The hand is your hand. And I hear sound; the sounds of billions of people calling your name.
- Mollari: My followers?
- Technomage: Your victims.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zbvqxZmTGLcWasn't there a rather cunning plan in 1992 to register Conservative voting South African residents (with UK citizenship) in convenient seats?
My mental health is the best it has been in years, I am running every day, working hard and I've got a wonderful dog and wonderful friends who I love dearly. I am the best I have ever been.
Coming up to almost two years since I was at my lowest and for over a year I've been brilliant. Thanks for checking in
They will get a very easy first year and will remain significantly ahead in the polls. If things aren't improving going into year two, they will start to go backwards assuming the Tories don't eat themselves, otherwise it's very possible "sensible" is enough and the Tories lose more badly the second time.
I think we are in for 10 years of Labour Government but I've thought that since SKS was elected (originally I thought it would be Lab/Lib Dems then Labour alone).
Most radical things they will go I think are, Great British Energy, planning reform and HoL reform assuming they get to 10 years. PR I think is a possibility right at the end of a second term but won't be a priority.
For my own selfish reasons, I would like them to update planning to allow taller masts to be built and to allow masts to be built next to the railway. I would mandate 100% coverage of all lines by 2030 which shouldn't be difficult as Network Rail already achieved it, just force them to give up their assets.
On the substantive point for @rcs1000, email Camden Council - they will let you know if you are on the register, and if not will confirm if you are eligible to be on the register and send you the forms.