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Huge blow for Sunak as Supreme Court flings out his Rwanda plan – politicalbetting.com

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  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,051
    TimS said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Rishi Sunak says he could tear up UK's ties to Europe's human rights laws to revive Rwanda plan"

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12752487/Rishi-Sunak-Rwanda-human-rights-laws-Supreme-Court-Channel-Boats-Suella-Braverman.html

    The danger for the centre and left (and centre-right) here is that Rishi and his backbenchers can shift the Overton window on issues like this even while losing badly. I don't think it's enough for Labour to focus only on practicalities or plans being unworkable. If they want to avoid the ECHR question becoming some kind of national inevitability then they need to protect the taboo. Same applies to a number of other social and human rights policies.

    My fear is that Labour in power, never knowingly un-authoritarian, is not necessarily going to be the best protector here. Sooner or later there will be an inconvenient legal case that makes them start to flirt with the same options.
    Completely agree. You also have to consider that Starmer is likely to be PM at a time when lots of EU countries are thinking these sorts of thoughts. Hard to resist if we’re the only ones not doing it and the numbers increase.

    Also worth noting that the PLP in power will have a lot of MPs representing the seats Boris won, and they will be closer to Tory views on this that’s his current backbenchers.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 4,586
    TimS said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Rishi Sunak says he could tear up UK's ties to Europe's human rights laws to revive Rwanda plan"

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12752487/Rishi-Sunak-Rwanda-human-rights-laws-Supreme-Court-Channel-Boats-Suella-Braverman.html

    The danger for the centre and left (and centre-right) here is that Rishi and his backbenchers can shift the Overton window on issues like this even while losing badly. I don't think it's enough for Labour to focus only on practicalities or plans being unworkable. If they want to avoid the ECHR question becoming some kind of national inevitability then they need to protect the taboo. Same applies to a number of other social and human rights policies.

    My fear is that Labour in power, never knowingly un-authoritarian, is not necessarily going to be the best protector here. Sooner or later there will be an inconvenient legal case that makes them start to flirt with the same options.
    Blair did so, though it was probably bluster:

    https://amp.theguardian.com/politics/2003/jan/27/immigration.immigrationandpublicservices
  • nico679 said:

    Apparently Braverman thought a different plan could be UK officials process the claims in Rwanda and those successful could be returned to the UK . That would have been lawful . Instead the government seems to think that if parliament deems Rwanda safe then that would help , this is delusional .

    Just saying a country is safe doesn’t make it so .

    So who was making such a decision if not the home secretary? Rishi?
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,990
    @SophyRidgeSky

    Key Q from former Home Secretary Theresa May, who points out the Supreme Court ruling was not "contingent on ECHR" - ie they would have ruled the Rwanda plan unlawful even if the UK wasn't part of ECHR
  • TimSTimS Posts: 12,986
    eristdoof said:

    TimS said:

    algarkirk said:

    Cookie said:

    I’m no fan of the Rwanda plan. But what I do like about it – and what many of its critics seem not to recognise – is its recognition that huge numbers of immigrants arriving daily is a problem which needs to be addressed in some way. If not this, then what? More of the same – even better funded more of the same – is not an answer, because we don’t actually deport anyone – so either we just fill our countryside with detention centres or unprocessed immigrants just seep into the country and remain under the radar indefinitely.
    There certainly isn’t an answer which is both a good answer and a nice answer. (Though of course that doesn’t mean that an answer such as Rwanda which is neither good nor nice must therefore be the right answer).
    I haven’t yet seen an answer to the problem better than @rcs1000’s Switzerland solution.

    Of course there are no answers in any conventional sense. Something has to give. Where?

    One area of possibility is this: The rights of refugees in practice varies according to where to can get to. If you land in country X (poor and war torn) your prospects are rather grey. If you land in Westernrich country, your rights and prospects are greater. Cox's Bazaar and a hotel room in UK are very different.

    The Refugee Convention could simply create a level playing field. Asylum claims can be made, but all seeker's rights are identical: a tent in a desert and 3 UN supplied meals a day and transport home the moment the precipitating crisis ends.

    A further convention charges the UN with the duty to create conditions in states from which people are fleeing conducive to their return.

    No, I don't like it either, but it would concentrate minds.
    This would take the absolute worst aspects of refugee experience around the world and apply them everywhere. The most miserable existences, some of which people are born into and live their entire lives, are in those fly-blown tented refugee camps on the borders of warzones. Take the Sahrawis, there for decades, or the Kakuma camp and several others in the Kenyan desert, or the camps housing thousands of Syrians in Jordan. These are refugees from largely intractable disputes who may never return, yet they are stuck in a sort of economically inactive limbo. Surely better to try to phase out this type of camp, where the refugees have no meaningful prospect of integration into the host country. Integration should be an option, after a period (say 2 years), and if neighbouring host countries can't afford this they should be funded by richer countries to do so.
    Isn't the scenario in the first half of your comment exactly what the populist right wants?
    They want that + not having to pay for it, yes. But from the point of view of geopolitical stability and economic efficiency it makes no sense at all.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 4,586
    carnforth said:

    TimS said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Rishi Sunak says he could tear up UK's ties to Europe's human rights laws to revive Rwanda plan"

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12752487/Rishi-Sunak-Rwanda-human-rights-laws-Supreme-Court-Channel-Boats-Suella-Braverman.html

    The danger for the centre and left (and centre-right) here is that Rishi and his backbenchers can shift the Overton window on issues like this even while losing badly. I don't think it's enough for Labour to focus only on practicalities or plans being unworkable. If they want to avoid the ECHR question becoming some kind of national inevitability then they need to protect the taboo. Same applies to a number of other social and human rights policies.

    My fear is that Labour in power, never knowingly un-authoritarian, is not necessarily going to be the best protector here. Sooner or later there will be an inconvenient legal case that makes them start to flirt with the same options.
    Blair did so, though it was probably bluster:

    https://amp.theguardian.com/politics/2003/jan/27/immigration.immigrationandpublicservices
    "The Liberal Democrat Simon Hughes said: "It would be quite wrong to consider any more reduction in our international legal obligations. We have already pulled out of one of our European human rights obligations, to allow detention of people without trial, when no other European country has seen any need to do this.""

    Does anyone know exactly what this paragraph refered to?
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,368
    edited November 2023
    BBC WATO is so shite these days. Nick Clarke and William Hardcastle must be turning in their graves.

    Today's expert analyst of the Supreme Court adjudication is...John Hayes. FFS!
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,582

    Cookie said:

    I’m no fan of the Rwanda plan. But what I do like about it – and what many of its critics seem not to recognise – is its recognition that huge numbers of immigrants arriving daily is a problem which needs to be addressed in some way. If not this, then what? More of the same – even better funded more of the same – is not an answer, because we don’t actually deport anyone – so either we just fill our countryside with detention centres or unprocessed immigrants just seep into the country and remain under the radar indefinitely.
    There certainly isn’t an answer which is both a good answer and a nice answer. (Though of course that doesn’t mean that an answer such as Rwanda which is neither good nor nice must therefore be the right answer).
    I haven’t yet seen an answer to the problem better than @rcs1000’s Switzerland solution.

    This whinging that there is no alternative answer being offered is silly. As you say at the end Switzerland have a solution. We could copy it, whinge, do nothing, or try and do something both ineffective and illegal. I say copy it.
    The Switzerland solution, is a solution to illegal immigration and people working unlawfully, rather than a solution to asylum claims. A subtle but important difference.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,990
    nico679 said:

    Just saying a country is safe doesn’t make it so .

    BoZo has "helpfully" penned an article saying exactly that
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,419
    viewcode said:

    Nigelb said:

    Nigelb said:

    One thing that is clear from the Braverman letter is that the Home Secretary herself, who was previously Attorney General (so the government's legal advisor) knew that the Rwanda policy was a huge legal risk, and advised the government of this.

    It was always a bad policy because as well as being inhumane, to work it required fundamental constitutional changes including withdrawing from the European Convention on Human Rights and making exceptions in our domestic human rights laws ('notwithstanding clauses') which would have targeted and excluded the most vulnerable, which the courts would have been very wary indeed of.

    Because (as Braverman's letter very obviously points out) even this government was not willing to remove protection for the most vulnerable refugees, and rightly so, the policy was built on the shakiest of foundations, and was therefore a bad policy. Even the deterrence 'benefit' was very sketchy and unevidenced.

    Don't let the government spin that it was the courts' fault the policy failed - it was a bad policy and the government never grappled with its potential unlawfulness.

    https://twitter.com/AdamWagner1/status/1724736538523697397

    Note the Court said Rwanda is “a state which, in very recent times, has instigated political killings, and has led British police to warn Rwandan nationals living in Britain of credible plans to kill them on the part of that state”.

    We were basically proposing to outsource our asylum claims processing to Rwanda - without setting aside existing protections in UK, not international law.

    The ECHR brouhaha is a Tory headbanger distraction - though it's possible some of them are stupid enough to believe it.
    I have been puzzled as to the selection of Rwanda. Nothing against the country, but why there especially? Even within Africa it seems an unusual choice.
    A confluence of factors. It is a young and rapidly-expanding economy, surprisingly prosperous. It dealt with its internal tensions via vicious mass murder and is now stable. It's capable of processing international refugees, willing to do so and thanks to its geography (it's landlocked and high-up) escape is difficult.

    In short, it's one of the few countries that were legally trustworthy and able and willing to do so. I would have gone for the Western Sahara but I am stupid.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rwanda
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GG0ecfs4ArU
    I don't see that we should want to prevent people from escaping Rwanda. I would envisage most being sent there making their way home in fairly short order.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,051
    nico679 said:

    Apparently Braverman thought a different plan could be UK officials process the claims in Rwanda and those successful could be returned to the UK . That would have been lawful . Instead the government seems to think that if parliament deems Rwanda safe then that would help , this is delusional .

    Just saying a country is safe doesn’t make it so .

    But they would be in our custody and we’d still have a duty of care. What would happen to the unsuccessful ones? Left to their own devices in a country they knew nothing of and which might not treat them well. Wouldn’t some of them have a case to claim asylum from… Rwanda?
  • RogerRoger Posts: 19,908
    So the UK's race to the bottom has been thwarted by the courts.

    Well done to the lawyers and the judiciary!
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,717
    Sunak: "we will finalise that [a new treaty with Rwanda] in the light of today's judgement and furthermore, if necessary, I am prepared to revisit our domestic legal framework. Let me assure the house my commitment to stopping the boats is unwavering"
    Seems to me that though the SC has not given the green light, it has given an amber and certainly not a red light.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,990
    Roger said:

    So the UK's race to the bottom has been thwarted by the courts.

    Well done to the lawyers and the judiciary!

    @JackElsom

    New Home Sec James Cleverly describes the unanimous Supreme Court judgement as a "temporary setback"
  • eristdooferistdoof Posts: 5,065

    So, an honesty thing:

    I went for a swim today, and found that the leisure centre's chip-and-pin system was not working. As I did not have cash on me, they let me swim for free, as long as I paid double next time I come. They did not debit any account, or take any note of my entry.

    I will, of course, mention this on Friday when I next swim. But how many people would not?

    Good of the swimming pool to allow that. Even if a few people do sneak a one time free swim, it costs the pool very little extra money (may be the price of running a hot air hand dryer a couple of times and some more hot water in the shower). The good marketing they get from this is surely much better in the long term.

    Also a thumbs up for your honesty.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,990
    geoffw said:

    Sunak: "we will finalise that [a new treaty with Rwanda] in the light of today's judgement and furthermore, if necessary, I am prepared to revisit our domestic legal framework. Let me assure the house my commitment to stopping the boats is unwavering"
    Seems to me that though the SC has not given the green light, it has given an amber and certainly not a red light.

    @BethRigby

    I guess this the point Braverman made about going back to ‘square one’ in letter. Surely now no chance of flights taking off to Rwanda before at GE. PM’s signature immigration policy very much grounded
  • RogerRoger Posts: 19,908
    The British shame has been temporarily averted.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,419
    biggles said:

    nico679 said:

    Apparently Braverman thought a different plan could be UK officials process the claims in Rwanda and those successful could be returned to the UK . That would have been lawful . Instead the government seems to think that if parliament deems Rwanda safe then that would help , this is delusional .

    Just saying a country is safe doesn’t make it so .

    But they would be in our custody and we’d still have a duty of care. What would happen to the unsuccessful ones? Left to their own devices in a country they knew nothing of and which might not treat them well. Wouldn’t some of them have a case to claim asylum from… Rwanda?
    The unsuccessful ones wouldn't be assylum seekers would they? They would just be people. The UK Government is not responsible for looking after everyone in the world who leaves somewhere and ends up somewhere else. The whole point is that they'd be left to their own devices somewhere they don't want to be, rather than the UK.

    If Suella really suggested and prepared the groundwork for that Plan B, she deserves credit from every PBer, including myself, who criticised the Rwanda scheme as being unfair to genuine claimants.
  • Sandpit said:

    Cookie said:

    I’m no fan of the Rwanda plan. But what I do like about it – and what many of its critics seem not to recognise – is its recognition that huge numbers of immigrants arriving daily is a problem which needs to be addressed in some way. If not this, then what? More of the same – even better funded more of the same – is not an answer, because we don’t actually deport anyone – so either we just fill our countryside with detention centres or unprocessed immigrants just seep into the country and remain under the radar indefinitely.
    There certainly isn’t an answer which is both a good answer and a nice answer. (Though of course that doesn’t mean that an answer such as Rwanda which is neither good nor nice must therefore be the right answer).
    I haven’t yet seen an answer to the problem better than @rcs1000’s Switzerland solution.

    This whinging that there is no alternative answer being offered is silly. As you say at the end Switzerland have a solution. We could copy it, whinge, do nothing, or try and do something both ineffective and illegal. I say copy it.
    The Switzerland solution, is a solution to illegal immigration and people working unlawfully, rather than a solution to asylum claims. A subtle but important difference.
    Asylum claims are pretty simple. Dont wait three years to process a claim because you ideologically want to skimp on staff and court costs. Process them in weeks rather than years, which means the vast majority can work rather than rely on the state.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,990
    @realBenBloch

    The prime minister’s spokesperson dodged questions from journalists about Lee Anderson’s suggestion the UK should break the law, and said they “understand our MPs have strong views”.

    He remains the Tory party deputy chairman.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,582

    So, an honesty thing:

    I went for a swim today, and found that the leisure centre's chip-and-pin system was not working. As I did not have cash on me, they let me swim for free, as long as I paid double next time I come. They did not debit any account, or take any note of my entry.

    I will, of course, mention this on Friday when I next swim. But how many people would not?

    The marginal cost to the swimming pool of a freeloading guest is almost nothing, the failure was their problem, and the vast majority of people will be honest on their next visit. Good customer service in my book.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 4,586

    Sandpit said:

    Cookie said:

    I’m no fan of the Rwanda plan. But what I do like about it – and what many of its critics seem not to recognise – is its recognition that huge numbers of immigrants arriving daily is a problem which needs to be addressed in some way. If not this, then what? More of the same – even better funded more of the same – is not an answer, because we don’t actually deport anyone – so either we just fill our countryside with detention centres or unprocessed immigrants just seep into the country and remain under the radar indefinitely.
    There certainly isn’t an answer which is both a good answer and a nice answer. (Though of course that doesn’t mean that an answer such as Rwanda which is neither good nor nice must therefore be the right answer).
    I haven’t yet seen an answer to the problem better than @rcs1000’s Switzerland solution.

    This whinging that there is no alternative answer being offered is silly. As you say at the end Switzerland have a solution. We could copy it, whinge, do nothing, or try and do something both ineffective and illegal. I say copy it.
    The Switzerland solution, is a solution to illegal immigration and people working unlawfully, rather than a solution to asylum claims. A subtle but important difference.
    Asylum claims are pretty simple. Dont wait three years to process a claim because you ideologically want to skimp on staff and court costs. Process them in weeks rather than years, which means the vast majority can work rather than rely on the state.
    When there are 20000 one year, 100000 the next, and 20000 the next, how do you staff it?
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,990
    @MrHarryCole

    NEW: PM’s press secretary challenges Braverman to publish any document she believes that Sunak signed up to last October.

    Confirms they did have policy priority conversation ahead of her endorsement.
  • eristdooferistdoof Posts: 5,065
    TimS said:

    eristdoof said:

    TimS said:

    algarkirk said:

    Cookie said:

    I’m no fan of the Rwanda plan. But what I do like about it – and what many of its critics seem not to recognise – is its recognition that huge numbers of immigrants arriving daily is a problem which needs to be addressed in some way. If not this, then what? More of the same – even better funded more of the same – is not an answer, because we don’t actually deport anyone – so either we just fill our countryside with detention centres or unprocessed immigrants just seep into the country and remain under the radar indefinitely.
    There certainly isn’t an answer which is both a good answer and a nice answer. (Though of course that doesn’t mean that an answer such as Rwanda which is neither good nor nice must therefore be the right answer).
    I haven’t yet seen an answer to the problem better than @rcs1000’s Switzerland solution.

    Of course there are no answers in any conventional sense. Something has to give. Where?

    One area of possibility is this: The rights of refugees in practice varies according to where to can get to. If you land in country X (poor and war torn) your prospects are rather grey. If you land in Westernrich country, your rights and prospects are greater. Cox's Bazaar and a hotel room in UK are very different.

    The Refugee Convention could simply create a level playing field. Asylum claims can be made, but all seeker's rights are identical: a tent in a desert and 3 UN supplied meals a day and transport home the moment the precipitating crisis ends.

    A further convention charges the UN with the duty to create conditions in states from which people are fleeing conducive to their return.

    No, I don't like it either, but it would concentrate minds.
    This would take the absolute worst aspects of refugee experience around the world and apply them everywhere. The most miserable existences, some of which people are born into and live their entire lives, are in those fly-blown tented refugee camps on the borders of warzones. Take the Sahrawis, there for decades, or the Kakuma camp and several others in the Kenyan desert, or the camps housing thousands of Syrians in Jordan. These are refugees from largely intractable disputes who may never return, yet they are stuck in a sort of economically inactive limbo. Surely better to try to phase out this type of camp, where the refugees have no meaningful prospect of integration into the host country. Integration should be an option, after a period (say 2 years), and if neighbouring host countries can't afford this they should be funded by richer countries to do so.
    Isn't the scenario in the first half of your comment exactly what the populist right wants?
    They want that + not having to pay for it, yes. But from the point of view of geopolitical stability and economic efficiency it makes no sense at all.
    Agree. There is very little that comes from populism that bears scrutiny, despite most populists claiming they are the ones talking "common sense".
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,582
    NZ off to a good start, but they need to be closer to 8 an over than 6 an over.
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,664
    edited November 2023
    Sandpit said:

    NZ off to a good start, but they need to be closer to 8 an over than 6 an over.

    Wides tonking it about at the moment. No panic yet.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,051

    biggles said:

    nico679 said:

    Apparently Braverman thought a different plan could be UK officials process the claims in Rwanda and those successful could be returned to the UK . That would have been lawful . Instead the government seems to think that if parliament deems Rwanda safe then that would help , this is delusional .

    Just saying a country is safe doesn’t make it so .

    But they would be in our custody and we’d still have a duty of care. What would happen to the unsuccessful ones? Left to their own devices in a country they knew nothing of and which might not treat them well. Wouldn’t some of them have a case to claim asylum from… Rwanda?
    The unsuccessful ones wouldn't be assylum seekers would they? They would just be people. The UK Government is not responsible for looking after everyone in the world who leaves somewhere and ends up somewhere else. The whole point is that they'd be left to their own devices somewhere they don't want to be, rather than the UK.

    If Suella really suggested and prepared the groundwork for that Plan B, she deserves credit from every PBer, including myself, who criticised the Rwanda scheme as being unfair to genuine claimants.
    We would have transported them there. How could we not be responsible for their welfare?
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,677

    Andy_JS said:

    "Rishi Sunak says he could tear up UK's ties to Europe's human rights laws to revive Rwanda plan"

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12752487/Rishi-Sunak-Rwanda-human-rights-laws-Supreme-Court-Channel-Boats-Suella-Braverman.html

    The word is 'could' but listening to Cleverly I do not think it will be necessary

    If I did bet my money would be on Cleverly for the LOTO after GE24 even though he has the hardest job in government
    And we're back to potential tory leader speed-dating.
  • carnforth said:

    Sandpit said:

    Cookie said:

    I’m no fan of the Rwanda plan. But what I do like about it – and what many of its critics seem not to recognise – is its recognition that huge numbers of immigrants arriving daily is a problem which needs to be addressed in some way. If not this, then what? More of the same – even better funded more of the same – is not an answer, because we don’t actually deport anyone – so either we just fill our countryside with detention centres or unprocessed immigrants just seep into the country and remain under the radar indefinitely.
    There certainly isn’t an answer which is both a good answer and a nice answer. (Though of course that doesn’t mean that an answer such as Rwanda which is neither good nor nice must therefore be the right answer).
    I haven’t yet seen an answer to the problem better than @rcs1000’s Switzerland solution.

    This whinging that there is no alternative answer being offered is silly. As you say at the end Switzerland have a solution. We could copy it, whinge, do nothing, or try and do something both ineffective and illegal. I say copy it.
    The Switzerland solution, is a solution to illegal immigration and people working unlawfully, rather than a solution to asylum claims. A subtle but important difference.
    Asylum claims are pretty simple. Dont wait three years to process a claim because you ideologically want to skimp on staff and court costs. Process them in weeks rather than years, which means the vast majority can work rather than rely on the state.
    When there are 20000 one year, 100000 the next, and 20000 the next, how do you staff it?
    https://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/SN01403/SN01403.pdf

    If you look at the annual numbers here, the key table to answer your question is on page 16. The asylum "work in progress" number has risen every year since 2012 despite fairly steady number of applications from 2004-2020.

    The system was already under resourced and breaking in the steady state, that is why it has collapsed with the recent spikes. And in the end putting people in hotels whilst banning them from work just costs more than funding the system and getting them processed and either working or deported.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,582
    Good catch, just what the Kiwis could have done without. 30/1
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,812
    Nigelb said:

    One thing that is clear from the Braverman letter is that the Home Secretary herself, who was previously Attorney General (so the government's legal advisor) knew that the Rwanda policy was a huge legal risk, and advised the government of this.

    It was always a bad policy because as well as being inhumane, to work it required fundamental constitutional changes including withdrawing from the European Convention on Human Rights and making exceptions in our domestic human rights laws ('notwithstanding clauses') which would have targeted and excluded the most vulnerable, which the courts would have been very wary indeed of.

    Because (as Braverman's letter very obviously points out) even this government was not willing to remove protection for the most vulnerable refugees, and rightly so, the policy was built on the shakiest of foundations, and was therefore a bad policy. Even the deterrence 'benefit' was very sketchy and unevidenced.

    Don't let the government spin that it was the courts' fault the policy failed - it was a bad policy and the government never grappled with its potential unlawfulness.

    https://twitter.com/AdamWagner1/status/1724736538523697397

    The Court has done the government a real favour here. Short term pain but long term gain. Had this policy been allowed to proceed it would have caused endless embarrassment and other legal challenges. It was always a really, really stupid idea.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,582
    DavidL said:

    Nigelb said:

    One thing that is clear from the Braverman letter is that the Home Secretary herself, who was previously Attorney General (so the government's legal advisor) knew that the Rwanda policy was a huge legal risk, and advised the government of this.

    It was always a bad policy because as well as being inhumane, to work it required fundamental constitutional changes including withdrawing from the European Convention on Human Rights and making exceptions in our domestic human rights laws ('notwithstanding clauses') which would have targeted and excluded the most vulnerable, which the courts would have been very wary indeed of.

    Because (as Braverman's letter very obviously points out) even this government was not willing to remove protection for the most vulnerable refugees, and rightly so, the policy was built on the shakiest of foundations, and was therefore a bad policy. Even the deterrence 'benefit' was very sketchy and unevidenced.

    Don't let the government spin that it was the courts' fault the policy failed - it was a bad policy and the government never grappled with its potential unlawfulness.

    https://twitter.com/AdamWagner1/status/1724736538523697397

    The Court has done the government a real favour here. Short term pain but long term gain. Had this policy been allowed to proceed it would have caused endless embarrassment and other legal challenges. It was always a really, really stupid idea.
    What would be your preferred solution? It seems like an intractable legal problem at this point.
  • theProletheProle Posts: 1,206
    edited November 2023
    biggles said:

    biggles said:

    nico679 said:

    Apparently Braverman thought a different plan could be UK officials process the claims in Rwanda and those successful could be returned to the UK . That would have been lawful . Instead the government seems to think that if parliament deems Rwanda safe then that would help , this is delusional .

    Just saying a country is safe doesn’t make it so .

    But they would be in our custody and we’d still have a duty of care. What would happen to the unsuccessful ones? Left to their own devices in a country they knew nothing of and which might not treat them well. Wouldn’t some of them have a case to claim asylum from… Rwanda?
    The unsuccessful ones wouldn't be assylum seekers would they? They would just be people. The UK Government is not responsible for looking after everyone in the world who leaves somewhere and ends up somewhere else. The whole point is that they'd be left to their own devices somewhere they don't want to be, rather than the UK.

    If Suella really suggested and prepared the groundwork for that Plan B, she deserves credit from every PBer, including myself, who criticised the Rwanda scheme as being unfair to genuine claimants.
    We would have transported them there. How could we not be responsible for their welfare?
    Surely once their claim is denied we give them the option of either being plonked on the next plane to back where they came from, or staying in Rwanda. If they chose to stay, they're on their own, if they leave, they become their own governments problem.
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,275
    Scott_xP said:

    @realBenBloch

    The prime minister’s spokesperson dodged questions from journalists about Lee Anderson’s suggestion the UK should break the law, and said they “understand our MPs have strong views”.

    He remains the Tory party deputy chairman.

    Shameful but par for the course with this bunch of moronic MPs.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,419
    ...
    biggles said:

    biggles said:

    nico679 said:

    Apparently Braverman thought a different plan could be UK officials process the claims in Rwanda and those successful could be returned to the UK . That would have been lawful . Instead the government seems to think that if parliament deems Rwanda safe then that would help , this is delusional .

    Just saying a country is safe doesn’t make it so .

    But they would be in our custody and we’d still have a duty of care. What would happen to the unsuccessful ones? Left to their own devices in a country they knew nothing of and which might not treat them well. Wouldn’t some of them have a case to claim asylum from… Rwanda?
    The unsuccessful ones wouldn't be assylum seekers would they? They would just be people. The UK Government is not responsible for looking after everyone in the world who leaves somewhere and ends up somewhere else. The whole point is that they'd be left to their own devices somewhere they don't want to be, rather than the UK.

    If Suella really suggested and prepared the groundwork for that Plan B, she deserves credit from every PBer, including myself, who criticised the Rwanda scheme as being unfair to genuine claimants.
    We would have transported them there. How could we not be responsible for their welfare?
    It wouldn't be a surprise. The overseas centre would be the only processing centre for irregular overseas arrivals.
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 12,496
    TimS said:

    algarkirk said:

    Cookie said:

    I’m no fan of the Rwanda plan. But what I do like about it – and what many of its critics seem not to recognise – is its recognition that huge numbers of immigrants arriving daily is a problem which needs to be addressed in some way. If not this, then what? More of the same – even better funded more of the same – is not an answer, because we don’t actually deport anyone – so either we just fill our countryside with detention centres or unprocessed immigrants just seep into the country and remain under the radar indefinitely.
    There certainly isn’t an answer which is both a good answer and a nice answer. (Though of course that doesn’t mean that an answer such as Rwanda which is neither good nor nice must therefore be the right answer).
    I haven’t yet seen an answer to the problem better than @rcs1000’s Switzerland solution.

    Of course there are no answers in any conventional sense. Something has to give. Where?

    One area of possibility is this: The rights of refugees in practice varies according to where to can get to. If you land in country X (poor and war torn) your prospects are rather grey. If you land in Westernrich country, your rights and prospects are greater. Cox's Bazaar and a hotel room in UK are very different.

    The Refugee Convention could simply create a level playing field. Asylum claims can be made, but all seeker's rights are identical: a tent in a desert and 3 UN supplied meals a day and transport home the moment the precipitating crisis ends.

    A further convention charges the UN with the duty to create conditions in states from which people are fleeing conducive to their return.

    No, I don't like it either, but it would concentrate minds.
    This would take the absolute worst aspects of refugee experience around the world and apply them everywhere. The most miserable existences, some of which people are born into and live their entire lives, are in those fly-blown tented refugee camps on the borders of warzones. Take the Sahrawis, there for decades, or the Kakuma camp and several others in the Kenyan desert, or the camps housing thousands of Syrians in Jordan. These are refugees from largely intractable disputes who may never return, yet they are stuck in a sort of economically inactive limbo. Surely better to try to phase out this type of camp, where the refugees have no meaningful prospect of integration into the host country. Integration should be an option, after a period (say 2 years), and if neighbouring host countries can't afford this they should be funded by richer countries to do so.
    Yes. My (unhappy) suggestion is that you start with a level playing field, so that destination shopping is not doable. A tent in the desert and 3 meals a day.

    That does not prevent further action in terms of local or international integration above and beyond this. But my suggestion is that there should be no advantage in destination shopping. This can only be done by the horrible measure I describe.

    It is, by the way, remarkable how little interest there is in the west in the places you mention, whereas very small (in relation to the whole) numbers in the west are causing political mayhem.

    Worst of all of course is that after all these years of the UN and its agencies there are as many potential refugees as ever. The UN needs much greater resource to do its job.
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,275
    Scott_xP said:

    @MrHarryCole

    NEW: PM’s press secretary challenges Braverman to publish any document she believes that Sunak signed up to last October.

    Confirms they did have policy priority conversation ahead of her endorsement.

    I think it’s more likely some email exchange . It could still be very difficult for Sunak regardless .
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,073
    edited November 2023
    Dura_Ace said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Rishi Sunak says he could tear up UK's ties to Europe's human rights laws to revive Rwanda plan"

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12752487/Rishi-Sunak-Rwanda-human-rights-laws-Supreme-Court-Channel-Boats-Suella-Braverman.html

    The word is 'could' but listening to Cleverly I do not think it will be necessary

    If I did bet my money would be on Cleverly for the LOTO after GE24 even though he has the hardest job in government
    And we're back to potential tory leader speed-dating.
    Did anybody, other than New York sophisticates and romcom characters, ever go speed-dating?
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,134
    Cleverly seems a decent guy but I'm not sure there's quite enough nominative determinism going on there for him to be a good choice for leader. If I were a Con member I'd be looking elsewhere.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,368

    BBC WATO is so shite these days. Nick Clarke and William Hardcastle must be turning in their graves.

    Today's expert analyst of the Supreme Court adjudication is...John Hayes. FFS!

    And for a balanced argument- another pro-Rwanda Conservative MP.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,298
    Who does Dominic Cummings mean by “we”?

    It's v helpful the Supreme Court has wrapped up a load of UN bullshit in their judgment, it means that we can smash that AND the powers of the Supreme Court in one fell swoop while the pro campaign has to defend taxpayers cash spent on Bellfield's wedding.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,134
    DavidL said:

    Nigelb said:

    One thing that is clear from the Braverman letter is that the Home Secretary herself, who was previously Attorney General (so the government's legal advisor) knew that the Rwanda policy was a huge legal risk, and advised the government of this.

    It was always a bad policy because as well as being inhumane, to work it required fundamental constitutional changes including withdrawing from the European Convention on Human Rights and making exceptions in our domestic human rights laws ('notwithstanding clauses') which would have targeted and excluded the most vulnerable, which the courts would have been very wary indeed of.

    Because (as Braverman's letter very obviously points out) even this government was not willing to remove protection for the most vulnerable refugees, and rightly so, the policy was built on the shakiest of foundations, and was therefore a bad policy. Even the deterrence 'benefit' was very sketchy and unevidenced.

    Don't let the government spin that it was the courts' fault the policy failed - it was a bad policy and the government never grappled with its potential unlawfulness.

    https://twitter.com/AdamWagner1/status/1724736538523697397

    The Court has done the government a real favour here. Short term pain but long term gain. Had this policy been allowed to proceed it would have caused endless embarrassment and other legal challenges. It was always a really, really stupid idea.
    My thoughts too. They're off the hook now unless they insist on clambering back onto it.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,812
    Sandpit said:

    DavidL said:

    Nigelb said:

    One thing that is clear from the Braverman letter is that the Home Secretary herself, who was previously Attorney General (so the government's legal advisor) knew that the Rwanda policy was a huge legal risk, and advised the government of this.

    It was always a bad policy because as well as being inhumane, to work it required fundamental constitutional changes including withdrawing from the European Convention on Human Rights and making exceptions in our domestic human rights laws ('notwithstanding clauses') which would have targeted and excluded the most vulnerable, which the courts would have been very wary indeed of.

    Because (as Braverman's letter very obviously points out) even this government was not willing to remove protection for the most vulnerable refugees, and rightly so, the policy was built on the shakiest of foundations, and was therefore a bad policy. Even the deterrence 'benefit' was very sketchy and unevidenced.

    Don't let the government spin that it was the courts' fault the policy failed - it was a bad policy and the government never grappled with its potential unlawfulness.

    https://twitter.com/AdamWagner1/status/1724736538523697397

    The Court has done the government a real favour here. Short term pain but long term gain. Had this policy been allowed to proceed it would have caused endless embarrassment and other legal challenges. It was always a really, really stupid idea.
    What would be your preferred solution? It seems like an intractable legal problem at this point.
    Short term I would grant amnesties and leave to remain to anyone who has, without fault on their side, been waiting more than 2 years for their application to be processed. That would bring the waiting lists under control.

    I would take substantial steps to increase the number of people actually removed. At the moment the courts decisions are not being implemented nearly often enough.

    I would insist that all new applications are determined with 3 months with possible extensions where additional evidence is required.

    I would take the model of the Albanian agreement and seek to extend it to other suitable countries so that even more applications could be dealt with peremptorily. Conversely, I would have a number of countries where the default assumption was that they should be granted unless there is some compelling reason why not, again with a view to accelerating the system.

    Longer term, I would be seeking to raise with the EU and other western countries whether the UN Convention is still appropriate and seek to replace rights of asylum with discretion on the part of the receiving state. I do not see an alternative in the medium to longer term.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,677
    I wonder if Rwanda are going to send back the £140m the tories have already given them. They must be laughing their dicks off in Kigali.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,188
    With Ravindra out, that's probably that for NZ.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,134

    Who does Dominic Cummings mean by “we”?

    It's v helpful the Supreme Court has wrapped up a load of UN bullshit in their judgment, it means that we can smash that AND the powers of the Supreme Court in one fell swoop while the pro campaign has to defend taxpayers cash spent on Bellfield's wedding.

    He's looking forward to running the Leave campaign in the ECHR referendum? That's what it sounds like.
  • El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 4,239

    Who does Dominic Cummings mean by “we”?

    It's v helpful the Supreme Court has wrapped up a load of UN bullshit in their judgment, it means that we can smash that AND the powers of the Supreme Court in one fell swoop while the pro campaign has to defend taxpayers cash spent on Bellfield's wedding.

    The movement, obviously. Haven't you been following Nadine's Explosive Revelations™?
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,677

    Who does Dominic Cummings mean by “we”?

    It's v helpful the Supreme Court has wrapped up a load of UN bullshit in their judgment, it means that we can smash that AND the powers of the Supreme Court in one fell swoop while the pro campaign has to defend taxpayers cash spent on Bellfield's wedding.

    He's just annoyed that he didn't get an invitation to the nuptials of a fellow 'career psychopath'.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,419
    Dura_Ace said:

    I wonder if Rwanda are going to send back the £140m the tories have already given them. They must be laughing their dicks off in Kigali.

    Likelier than the French are to send back what they've spent on vacuum cleaners, microwaives and mounties.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,812
    Sandpit said:

    Good catch, just what the Kiwis could have done without. 30/1

    The Indians seem to be turning 400 into the new 300. NZ have a decent bowling attack plus Boult who is exceptional. To score all but 400 against them is remarkable.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,582
    DavidL said:

    Sandpit said:

    Good catch, just what the Kiwis could have done without. 30/1

    The Indians seem to be turning 400 into the new 300. NZ have a decent bowling attack plus Boult who is exceptional. To score all but 400 against them is remarkable.
    40/2 now, at 5 an over. Total domination by the Indians. The Kiwis are going to be 100 runs short, even if they can keep the wickets down.
  • Who does Dominic Cummings mean by “we”?

    It's v helpful the Supreme Court has wrapped up a load of UN bullshit in their judgment, it means that we can smash that AND the powers of the Supreme Court in one fell swoop while the pro campaign has to defend taxpayers cash spent on Bellfield's wedding.

    Bless him. He thinks he still matters.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,990
    @ShehabKhan

    NEW: Can confirm at least one Labour shadow minister has written their resignation letter ready to step down today ahead of the potential Gaza vote.

    They’ll be voting for a ceasefire.

    Several others are expecting to be sacked today
  • sladeslade Posts: 2,040
    Another mixed bag of local by-elections tomorrow. There is a double by-election in Bolton with defences from Con and Resident; an Ind elected as PC in Ceredigion; a Lab defence in Doncaster; an SNP defence in South Lanarkshire; and an Ind defence in North Somerset.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,572
    eristdoof said:

    So, an honesty thing:

    I went for a swim today, and found that the leisure centre's chip-and-pin system was not working. As I did not have cash on me, they let me swim for free, as long as I paid double next time I come. They did not debit any account, or take any note of my entry.

    I will, of course, mention this on Friday when I next swim. But how many people would not?

    Good of the swimming pool to allow that. Even if a few people do sneak a one time free swim, it costs the pool very little extra money (may be the price of running a hot air hand dryer a couple of times and some more hot water in the shower). The good marketing they get from this is surely much better in the long term.

    Also a thumbs up for your honesty.
    Well, I haven't paid yet. ;)

    But it got me thinking a little about society and the nature of trust and honesty. Then I'd realise I was thinking of that instead of concentrating on my breathing, and that I was not-so-gently drowning...
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,582
    Scott_xP said:

    @ShehabKhan

    NEW: Can confirm at least one Labour shadow minister has written their resignation letter ready to step down today ahead of the potential Gaza vote.

    They’ll be voting for a ceasefire.

    Several others are expecting to be sacked today

    Tory civil war or Labour civil war, which will be the biggest headline tomorrow?
  • Who does Dominic Cummings mean by “we”?

    It's v helpful the Supreme Court has wrapped up a load of UN bullshit in their judgment, it means that we can smash that AND the powers of the Supreme Court in one fell swoop while the pro campaign has to defend taxpayers cash spent on Bellfield's wedding.

    Had to Google 'Bellfield's Wedding'. Didn't the same happen with Peter Sutcliffe? What is the mentality?
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,051
    Sandpit said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @ShehabKhan

    NEW: Can confirm at least one Labour shadow minister has written their resignation letter ready to step down today ahead of the potential Gaza vote.

    They’ll be voting for a ceasefire.

    Several others are expecting to be sacked today

    Tory civil war or Labour civil war, which will be the biggest headline tomorrow?
    Still time for a late bid from the LibDems or the SNP.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,368
    Scott_xP said:

    @ShehabKhan

    NEW: Can confirm at least one Labour shadow minister has written their resignation letter ready to step down today ahead of the potential Gaza vote.

    They’ll be voting for a ceasefire.

    Several others are expecting to be sacked today

    Claire Short was on LBC yesterday saying sacrificing ideology for power was a faulty prospectus. So permanent opposition it is.
  • OK I am calling it. We are entering the last days of Rishi Sunak. This has the same stench to is as the Lizaster did. A massive policy FUBAR, another massive policy FUBAR being imposed with a massive whip for no reason, rival groups of MPs activating a plan to remove her whilst other MPs activate a plan to sound like they have an IQ of 12.

    Hard to see that this government has a majority for anything right now - and the thing the various factions hate most are the other rival factions.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,812
    kinabalu said:

    DavidL said:

    Nigelb said:

    One thing that is clear from the Braverman letter is that the Home Secretary herself, who was previously Attorney General (so the government's legal advisor) knew that the Rwanda policy was a huge legal risk, and advised the government of this.

    It was always a bad policy because as well as being inhumane, to work it required fundamental constitutional changes including withdrawing from the European Convention on Human Rights and making exceptions in our domestic human rights laws ('notwithstanding clauses') which would have targeted and excluded the most vulnerable, which the courts would have been very wary indeed of.

    Because (as Braverman's letter very obviously points out) even this government was not willing to remove protection for the most vulnerable refugees, and rightly so, the policy was built on the shakiest of foundations, and was therefore a bad policy. Even the deterrence 'benefit' was very sketchy and unevidenced.

    Don't let the government spin that it was the courts' fault the policy failed - it was a bad policy and the government never grappled with its potential unlawfulness.

    https://twitter.com/AdamWagner1/status/1724736538523697397

    The Court has done the government a real favour here. Short term pain but long term gain. Had this policy been allowed to proceed it would have caused endless embarrassment and other legal challenges. It was always a really, really stupid idea.
    My thoughts too. They're off the hook now unless they insist on clambering back onto it.
    Sadly, that seems to be the immediate inclination. Sigh.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,051

    OK I am calling it. We are entering the last days of Rishi Sunak. This has the same stench to is as the Lizaster did. A massive policy FUBAR, another massive policy FUBAR being imposed with a massive whip for no reason, rival groups of MPs activating a plan to remove her whilst other MPs activate a plan to sound like they have an IQ of 12.

    Hard to see that this government has a majority for anything right now - and the thing the various factions hate most are the other rival factions.

    Are you watching Cleverly? The usual suspects seem to be giving him a hearing.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,552
    India giving away a lot of extras in the shape of wides and byes.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277
    I am about to eat a ant
  • Actually, Rishi is playing a bit of a blinder with the Rwanda judgement: spinning it as a UAT session that has merely flagged up a few bugs to iron out before Go-Live. May not convince everyone, but better than going all fire and brimstone at the 'enemies of the people' (as I suspect would have been Suella's tack).
  • OK I am calling it. We are entering the last days of Rishi Sunak. This has the same stench to is as the Lizaster did. A massive policy FUBAR, another massive policy FUBAR being imposed with a massive whip for no reason, rival groups of MPs activating a plan to remove her whilst other MPs activate a plan to sound like they have an IQ of 12.

    Hard to see that this government has a majority for anything right now - and the thing the various factions hate most are the other rival factions.

    But is there any reason to think that a different leader would do any better? The problem is the Conservative movement in general and MPs in particular. There's nothing that they can agree on that conforms to any sort of reality.

    Is there still time to call a cheeky General Election before Christmas? Limping off into opposition is pretty much the only way out I can see.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277
    Scott_xP said:

    @SophyRidgeSky

    Key Q from former Home Secretary Theresa May, who points out the Supreme Court ruling was not "contingent on ECHR" - ie they would have ruled the Rwanda plan unlawful even if the UK wasn't part of ECHR

    So, whatever law we broke, change the law. We are a sovereign nation. What IS THE ISSUE
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,485
    edited November 2023

    eristdoof said:

    So, an honesty thing:

    I went for a swim today, and found that the leisure centre's chip-and-pin system was not working. As I did not have cash on me, they let me swim for free, as long as I paid double next time I come. They did not debit any account, or take any note of my entry.

    I will, of course, mention this on Friday when I next swim. But how many people would not?

    Good of the swimming pool to allow that. Even if a few people do sneak a one time free swim, it costs the pool very little extra money (may be the price of running a hot air hand dryer a couple of times and some more hot water in the shower). The good marketing they get from this is surely much better in the long term.

    Also a thumbs up for your honesty.
    Well, I haven't paid yet. ;)

    But it got me thinking a little about society and the nature of trust and honesty. Then I'd realise I was thinking of that instead of concentrating on my breathing, and that I was not-so-gently drowning...
    The vast majority of people would be honest in that scenario. Very few would deliberately steal from a local swimming pool, they’re simply forgetting is a more likely risk.

    In any case, you are rumbled. You once claimed you always kept a £20 note in your wallet/phone case. Gotcha!
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,582
    Leon said:

    I am about to eat a ant

    An ant. Can’t you write properly?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,067

    Who does Dominic Cummings mean by “we”?

    It's v helpful the Supreme Court has wrapped up a load of UN bullshit in their judgment, it means that we can smash that AND the powers of the Supreme Court in one fell swoop while the pro campaign has to defend taxpayers cash spent on Bellfield's wedding.

    The movement, obviously. Haven't you been following Nadine's Explosive Revelations™?
    That sounds messy.
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,275
    Sandpit said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @ShehabKhan

    NEW: Can confirm at least one Labour shadow minister has written their resignation letter ready to step down today ahead of the potential Gaza vote.

    They’ll be voting for a ceasefire.

    Several others are expecting to be sacked today

    Tory civil war or Labour civil war, which will be the biggest headline tomorrow?
    Starmer has been lucky because of the timing . The right wing papers will of course be desperate to big up Labour splits but it looks rather desperate given Sunaks flagship policy has just sunk without trace .
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,419
    biggles said:

    OK I am calling it. We are entering the last days of Rishi Sunak. This has the same stench to is as the Lizaster did. A massive policy FUBAR, another massive policy FUBAR being imposed with a massive whip for no reason, rival groups of MPs activating a plan to remove her whilst other MPs activate a plan to sound like they have an IQ of 12.

    Hard to see that this government has a majority for anything right now - and the thing the various factions hate most are the other rival factions.

    Are you watching Cleverly? The usual suspects seem to be giving him a hearing.
    I think he's more of a caretaker than someone who can snatch victory from the jaws of defeat. I admit the pickings are slim. I am almost certain it won't be Braverman, though she might be Kingmaker again. If it's someone of the right, there will be rampant disloyal briefings from the wet faction again, despite urging everyone to be loyal 'for the sake of the party' when their lot are in the driving seat.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,067
    .
    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @SophyRidgeSky

    Key Q from former Home Secretary Theresa May, who points out the Supreme Court ruling was not "contingent on ECHR" - ie they would have ruled the Rwanda plan unlawful even if the UK wasn't part of ECHR

    So, whatever law we broke, change the law. We are a sovereign nation. What IS THE ISSUE
    Was that a psychoactive ant you just ate ?
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,812
    nico679 said:

    Sandpit said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @ShehabKhan

    NEW: Can confirm at least one Labour shadow minister has written their resignation letter ready to step down today ahead of the potential Gaza vote.

    They’ll be voting for a ceasefire.

    Several others are expecting to be sacked today

    Tory civil war or Labour civil war, which will be the biggest headline tomorrow?
    Starmer has been lucky because of the timing . The right wing papers will of course be desperate to big up Labour splits but it looks rather desperate given Sunaks flagship policy has just sunk without trace .
    As the Ukrainians put it, it has joined the submarine branch.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,624
    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @SophyRidgeSky

    Key Q from former Home Secretary Theresa May, who points out the Supreme Court ruling was not "contingent on ECHR" - ie they would have ruled the Rwanda plan unlawful even if the UK wasn't part of ECHR

    So, whatever law we broke, change the law. We are a sovereign nation. What IS THE ISSUE
    It wouldn’t be a good look. Joe Biden would snub us.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,829

    Carnyx said:

    Just look at question 4.

    Risk disorder!


    Conflates Remembrance Day with the entire weekend. And the march was not on RD, pace what a number of Tory media outlets and PBTories thought or liked to imply.

    Naughty.
    Well, sort of. The Palestine March was on Remembrance Day if that is used as a synonym for Armistice Day. It was, of course, the day before Remembrance Sunday.
    Sure, but the ceremonial bit is Remembrance Sunday. But your point also helps show how easy it was to conflate them all for political advantage.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,067

    Who does Dominic Cummings mean by “we”?

    It's v helpful the Supreme Court has wrapped up a load of UN bullshit in their judgment, it means that we can smash that AND the powers of the Supreme Court in one fell swoop while the pro campaign has to defend taxpayers cash spent on Bellfield's wedding.

    Bless him. He thinks he still matters.
    Non-com* Dom.

    (*compos mentis)
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,275
    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @SophyRidgeSky

    Key Q from former Home Secretary Theresa May, who points out the Supreme Court ruling was not "contingent on ECHR" - ie they would have ruled the Rwanda plan unlawful even if the UK wasn't part of ECHR

    So, whatever law we broke, change the law. We are a sovereign nation. What IS THE ISSUE
    International law trumps domestic law .
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,317

    I made that point this morning when Heathener was frotagging themselves senseless over that poll.
    I think you have made the point a few times
    Hello G, Hope you and your good wife are back to 100%. We are both down with Covid, wife got it first and worse than me but still nasty. Think we got it visiting her ill sister in hospital as she is in isolation as well with it to go along with her broken hip & arm.
  • nico679 said:

    Sandpit said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @ShehabKhan

    NEW: Can confirm at least one Labour shadow minister has written their resignation letter ready to step down today ahead of the potential Gaza vote.

    They’ll be voting for a ceasefire.

    Several others are expecting to be sacked today

    Tory civil war or Labour civil war, which will be the biggest headline tomorrow?
    Starmer has been lucky because of the timing . The right wing papers will of course be desperate to big up Labour splits but it looks rather desperate given Sunaks flagship policy has just sunk without trace .
    The difference between the parties is simple. Starmer has proposed a compromise amendment and will sack anyone who votes with the government. Issue then over as the malcontents slink off to the back benches.

    Sunak? What is his way out of this? The nutjobs are massing and they want policies drawn by Braverman in crayon to just be done regardless of legality or practicality. And if Sunak pleads reality they just point to ReFUK for whom reality is a dirty word.

    Nineteen percent in the latest poll (and they did publish their full tables). A Remoaner as Foreign Secretary, and a Rwanda-Refuser in the Home Office. A putsch is brewing.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,073
    Nigelb said:

    .

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @SophyRidgeSky

    Key Q from former Home Secretary Theresa May, who points out the Supreme Court ruling was not "contingent on ECHR" - ie they would have ruled the Rwanda plan unlawful even if the UK wasn't part of ECHR

    So, whatever law we broke, change the law. We are a sovereign nation. What IS THE ISSUE
    Was that a psychoactive ant you just ate ?
    It's the bats. He hasn't come down yet. Shhh, you'll wake him.
  • Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @SophyRidgeSky

    Key Q from former Home Secretary Theresa May, who points out the Supreme Court ruling was not "contingent on ECHR" - ie they would have ruled the Rwanda plan unlawful even if the UK wasn't part of ECHR

    So, whatever law we broke, change the law. We are a sovereign nation. What IS THE ISSUE
    I think we would need to change laws plural going off the court ruling. Doable - parliament is sovereign - but at what cost?

    Then we have the elephant in the room. Change the law to make it legal and you still can't enact it as it isn't practical. Replace it with Rwanda 2 based on sanity and we can debate it. But the whine seems to be "you promised us we could send the forrin to the moon and now we can't. Waaaaaa"
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 17,405
    Leon said:

    I am about to eat a ant

    Followed up with Dec for later? Are you a big enough Celeb to be on IACGMOOH?
  • Sandpit said:

    Leon said:

    I am about to eat a ant

    An ant. Can’t you write properly?
    That's what you took from that sentence?
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,317

    So, an honesty thing:

    I went for a swim today, and found that the leisure centre's chip-and-pin system was not working. As I did not have cash on me, they let me swim for free, as long as I paid double next time I come. They did not debit any account, or take any note of my entry.

    I will, of course, mention this on Friday when I next swim. But how many people would not?

    Shedloads would not pay it , the country is a cesspit.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277
    Seriously. What is the point in national sovereignty if, because of some mad offshore law, which no one knows about, you can’t protect your own borders from people just invading illegally in dinghies

    This is ridiculous. It is fundamental. Lawyers exist to explain and interpret law. They are not law MAKERS. We have elected tribunes for that, and that is the essence of Democracy. Fuck all this shit, change the law, impose the new law, tell the judges to go jump in Hampstead ponds
  • Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @SophyRidgeSky

    Key Q from former Home Secretary Theresa May, who points out the Supreme Court ruling was not "contingent on ECHR" - ie they would have ruled the Rwanda plan unlawful even if the UK wasn't part of ECHR

    So, whatever law we broke, change the law. We are a sovereign nation. What IS THE ISSUE
    That's the point Rishi has been making. He clearly wants to portray himself as cool Mr Technocrat, finally getting round to untangling the legal messes of previous governments. That's his only hope I think. Suella's victim status was cutting no ice.
  • Rory Stewart ranks Prime Ministers (not TRiP)
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UiBKPxj1L-Y
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277
    Sandpit said:

    Leon said:

    I am about to eat a ant

    An ant. Can’t you write properly?
    A ant is funnier

    I am about to eat a ant

    Try it. S’funny
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,073

    Rory Stewart ranks Prime Ministers (not TRiP)
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UiBKPxj1L-Y

    Is he trying to be an influencer now?
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,829

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @SophyRidgeSky

    Key Q from former Home Secretary Theresa May, who points out the Supreme Court ruling was not "contingent on ECHR" - ie they would have ruled the Rwanda plan unlawful even if the UK wasn't part of ECHR

    So, whatever law we broke, change the law. We are a sovereign nation. What IS THE ISSUE
    I think we would need to change laws plural going off the court ruling. Doable - parliament is sovereign - but at what cost?

    Then we have the elephant in the room. Change the law to make it legal and you still can't enact it as it isn't practical. Replace it with Rwanda 2 based on sanity and we can debate it. But the whine seems to be "you promised us we could send the forrin to the moon and now we can't. Waaaaaa"
    I was quite struck by Mr Anderson demanding that the law be ignored, tout court (so to speak).

    Tories used to be the party of Law and Order.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,624
    nico679 said:

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @SophyRidgeSky

    Key Q from former Home Secretary Theresa May, who points out the Supreme Court ruling was not "contingent on ECHR" - ie they would have ruled the Rwanda plan unlawful even if the UK wasn't part of ECHR

    So, whatever law we broke, change the law. We are a sovereign nation. What IS THE ISSUE
    International law trumps domestic law .
    That's not true. There is no international sovereign.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,829
    edited November 2023
    viewcode said:

    Rory Stewart ranks Prime Ministers (not TRiP)
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UiBKPxj1L-Y

    Is he trying to be an influencer now?
    Surely he isn't getting his Y-fronts off the internet, trying them on for photos, and then returning them unwashed to the shop?
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,419

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @SophyRidgeSky

    Key Q from former Home Secretary Theresa May, who points out the Supreme Court ruling was not "contingent on ECHR" - ie they would have ruled the Rwanda plan unlawful even if the UK wasn't part of ECHR

    So, whatever law we broke, change the law. We are a sovereign nation. What IS THE ISSUE
    It wouldn’t be a good look. Joe Biden would snub us.
    Being snarled at by Joe Biden, and being able to deflect such an attack politely, generously, diplomatically, and firmly, without creating an ongoing rift, is what I want to see in a future PM.

    Liz Truss was bold enough to piss him off but unable or unwilling to defend her policy when he attacked it. Rishi Sunak would never have the stones even to differ politely. Boris said 'fuck the Americans' - but after he left office. Nobody can just be normal. We know the USA is a hugely dominant force, yet other countries seem to carry on without cravenly acquiescing on every single issue. How does Ireland keep a 12% Corporation Tax level against what must be huge US pressure in its campaign to force everyone else to raise it?
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,275
    Leon said:

    Seriously. What is the point in national sovereignty if, because of some mad offshore law, which no one knows about, you can’t protect your own borders from people just invading illegally in dinghies

    This is ridiculous. It is fundamental. Lawyers exist to explain and interpret law. They are not law MAKERS. We have elected tribunes for that, and that is the essence of Democracy. Fuck all this shit, change the law, impose the new law, tell the judges to go jump in Hampstead ponds

    You’re blaming the judges because no 10 didn’t do their homework . You’re moaning because they sided against what you would have liked , the next time they might rule on something that you agree with them on . You can’t pick and choose what judgements you think should be ignored .
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,317
    Sandpit said:

    Cookie said:

    I’m no fan of the Rwanda plan. But what I do like about it – and what many of its critics seem not to recognise – is its recognition that huge numbers of immigrants arriving daily is a problem which needs to be addressed in some way. If not this, then what? More of the same – even better funded more of the same – is not an answer, because we don’t actually deport anyone – so either we just fill our countryside with detention centres or unprocessed immigrants just seep into the country and remain under the radar indefinitely.
    There certainly isn’t an answer which is both a good answer and a nice answer. (Though of course that doesn’t mean that an answer such as Rwanda which is neither good nor nice must therefore be the right answer).
    I haven’t yet seen an answer to the problem better than @rcs1000’s Switzerland solution.

    This whinging that there is no alternative answer being offered is silly. As you say at the end Switzerland have a solution. We could copy it, whinge, do nothing, or try and do something both ineffective and illegal. I say copy it.
    The Switzerland solution, is a solution to illegal immigration and people working unlawfully, rather than a solution to asylum claims. A subtle but important difference.
    Most are bogus asylum claims despite the pathetically lax UK allowing them because it takes years to process them, majority in reality are just illegal immigration so would fit nicely.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277
    nico679 said:

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @SophyRidgeSky

    Key Q from former Home Secretary Theresa May, who points out the Supreme Court ruling was not "contingent on ECHR" - ie they would have ruled the Rwanda plan unlawful even if the UK wasn't part of ECHR

    So, whatever law we broke, change the law. We are a sovereign nation. What IS THE ISSUE
    International law trumps domestic law .
    No. It really doesn’t. Not if you are a civilized self respecting confident sovereign nation. Let us be that, and make our own laws

    Fuck all the lawyers. I despise lawyers. First, let’s kill the lawyers. There is no international law which trumps the law of a nation with the gumption to say F off to lawyers. Let us be that nation
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,812
    Sandpit said:

    Leon said:

    I am about to eat a ant

    An ant. Can’t you write properly?
    Are you sure it wasn't an aunt? That would be more interesting.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,419

    nico679 said:

    Sandpit said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @ShehabKhan

    NEW: Can confirm at least one Labour shadow minister has written their resignation letter ready to step down today ahead of the potential Gaza vote.

    They’ll be voting for a ceasefire.

    Several others are expecting to be sacked today

    Tory civil war or Labour civil war, which will be the biggest headline tomorrow?
    Starmer has been lucky because of the timing . The right wing papers will of course be desperate to big up Labour splits but it looks rather desperate given Sunaks flagship policy has just sunk without trace .
    The difference between the parties is simple. Starmer has proposed a compromise amendment and will sack anyone who votes with the government. Issue then over as the malcontents slink off to the back benches.

    Sunak? What is his way out of this? The nutjobs are massing and they want policies drawn by Braverman in crayon to just be done regardless of legality or practicality. And if Sunak pleads reality they just point to ReFUK for whom reality is a dirty word.

    Nineteen percent in the latest poll (and they did publish their full tables). A Remoaner as Foreign Secretary, and a Rwanda-Refuser in the Home Office. A putsch is brewing.
    Suella claims she had taken legal advice and done the preliminary work on her policy submissions to Sunak. I see no reason to doubt her on that.
This discussion has been closed.