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The king over the water for the Tories? – politicalbetting.com
The king over the water for the Tories? – politicalbetting.com
Do you think Nigel Farage would make a good or a bad leader of the Conservative Party?Very good leader: 8% (Con 2019 voter 18%)Fairly good leader: 13% (Con 23%)Fairly bad leader: 12% (Con 14%)Very bad leader: 45% (Con 27%)https://t.co/zCTLptqUkk pic.twitter.com/foXY7VdAa7
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An ingenious study by @xianghui90 @oren_reshef @Zhou_Yu_AI looked at what happened on a huge online freelancing platform after ChatGPT launched last year.
The answer? Freelancers got fewer jobs, and earned much less.
https://x.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1722938749519077688?s=20
Nice one @IanB2
Also ignore that he’ll never be a Tory MP.
(Or indeed any past topic.)
Rees-Mogg said: “I think Nigel is broadly a Tory and always has been. If he wanted to join I can’t think his membership would be refused.”
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2023/oct/03/sunak-refuses-to-rule-out-welcoming-farage-back-into-tory-party
I just cannot see that.
Also he’s just a bit past it. Or so I sense. He’s in semi retirement - does he want the massive hassle and work load of being an opposition leader, even if he can overcome the many obstacles before he even gets there?
Not ever going to happen
The Tories need to look to the future and think how they can appeal to most people in this country in the middle, not lurch to extremes or comfort blankets of the past.
Farage is 59
Braverman is 43
Just sayin’
https://www.google.co.uk/books/edition/_/at1kEAAAQBAJ?hl=en&gbpv=1
How many stories do we have about whacky councillors and activists, from all parties?
He will be seen as a pivotal figure by history - love him or loathe him. However he’s never going to be Tory leader, the concept is nonsense
He can't even deliver himself a seat in Westminster. He wouldn't have delivered Brexit. He needed Boris to be the front man for that to happen.
The odious twat can carry on being snug in Trump's lower intestine.
Next time will probably make it three times in a row that when Downing Street has changed parties, the incoming Prime Minister was not even an MP when his party lost power.
Keir Starmer - MP since 2015, party lost office in 2010
David Cameron - MP since 2001, party lost office in 1997
Tony Blair - MP since 1983, party lost office in 1979
If the trend continues, the next Tory PM will probably be first elected to Parliament around 2028.
My hunch is that Burnham has enough of the natural toe-rag about him that he'll never be PM.
It feels that the Tories *need* to elect someone as Braverman as leader in opposition, howl at the moon for a term or two, and then decide they actually prefer being in the mess of power to the comfort zone of impotent opposition. It's when you elect a Starmer not a Corbyn, or a Cameron not an IDS, as leader. But that comfort zone phase seems like it's a psychological crutch, and needed, before you get to that point.
However Tory MPs wouldn't put him in the final 2 and CCHQ wouldn't allow him on the approved parliamentary candidates list anyway so it is a non starter. Farage's best chance to lead the Tories probably came in early 2019 if May had stayed and the Brexit party then beaten the Tories as Brexit continued to be delayed and the 2 parties merged to get Brexit done
Very few Nazis exulted in their brutal murder of Jews. For many it was an appalling task (hence the gas chambers run by Ukrainian guards, so the Nazis could avoid the worst personal experiences). For others it was a dull, messy necessity. Like running a slaughterhouse
There were nonetheless some psychos who loved it but they were rare
On the contrary most of the Hamas militants DO seem to have exulted in their appalling crimes
If Murray has, however, come right out and said October 7 was “worse than the Holocaust” then that is foolish hyperbole
You still hold out hope they won't lose then?
However, he has definitely overstepped the mark, repeatedly saying if the UK government doesn't kick out a number of Iranian and Hamas leaders who live in the UK, he will a) give out their addresses and b) will take personal legal action...the issue being of course they have British citizenship and guessing have been very careful about not breaking the law.
Giving out addresses to all and sundry of such individuals I imagine would get yourself in legal trouble. And of course we don't actually know why a former Iranian leader is here, it could be that the British system has let somebody who really should be undesirable live here, or is there some sort of intelligence quid pro quo going on....same as Sailisbury Novachok target.
Farage makes either of them look... marginally serious.
He a smart articulate voice on the right. It would be a shame if he got himself cancelled
The fix of course is that BF (and others) pay interest on your funds, and of course that's not happening. I'll miss it.
I thoroughly enjoyed it, FWIW. (Gratuitous violence trigger warning.)
With counter protests and the likes of Tommy Robinson any trouble can and will be painted as “ugly football hooligans” blah blah
“The German government is considering a ‘Rwanda-style’ plan to process asylum applications outside the EU. It would be nothing short of a sea change in immigration policy.
But can it keep the AfD at bay?
My analysis @spectator 🗞️✍️”
https://x.com/hoyer_kat/status/1722957895917007191?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw
In remembrance of our fallen heroes, brave Suella Braverman goes over the top
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/nov/10/remembrance-suella-braverman-home-secretary
Only if he then loses the general election after that will the party go full ideologue eg IDS or Corbyn and look to a leader like Rees Mogg or Braverman or even Farage if he was a Conservative MP by then
My sense is that he hasn’t got a clue. Nothing. He doesn’t even have a Rwanda style policy (however dramatic or unworkable, it is at least a concrete proposal)
I reckon Starmer will do virtually nothing and thus the problem will get worse, and worse. And it could destroy his government in one term
Just let that sink in...
According to quick searches, CAA is the Coalition Against Apartheid and DUSP is the Department of Urban Studies and Planning. https://dusp.mit.edu/ Both names strike me as ironic.
(For the record: I believe these charges, but do not have an independent way to check them.)
But since its not a major problem. that will be enough.
“The Palestine Solidarity Campaign, the Muslim Association of Britain, Friends of Al-Aqsa, Palestinian Forum in Britain, Stop the War and CND.”
And it will be addressed by - amongst others - Jeremy Corbyn
So if you go on that march you are knowingly attending a march organised by anti-Semites and quasi-Islamists, which will be addressed by a man so anti-Semitic he was expelled from the Labour Party
That really is quite something
But students and staff being antisemitic, hassling Israeli and Jewish students, well its complicated....
It is why the big ecofascists marches have died off, people realised that they might well agree with general premise that we should do more about combatting climate change, but actually XR etc are Marxists who want to overthrow the state, not put up a few more windmills.
Also the student fees ones, soon as there was violence that was it, people went I don't want to be associated with coked up privileged wankers swinging on the Cenotaph and smashing up the wrong building that they thought was Tory HQ.
https://www.reviewjournal.com/opinion/michael-ramirez/cartoon-what-hamas-is-really-doing-2934584/
As I said yesterday, I thought he came close to the line of acceptability, but did not -- for me -- cross it.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/p00v5cvh/doctor-who-19631996-season-8-the-claws-of-axos-episode-1
The next biggest problem with the Rwanda plan is it is illegal in several aspects, and the government for all its bluster is unwilling or doesnt have the votes to change the law.
Then we get to it costing far more than alternative solutions.
Whether it is racist or not is hardly relevant.
Whilst she cannot say such things as Home Secretary, Braverman has a point about it being a hate march. Organised in part by hateful people to draw in hateful people and the people sympathetic enough to ignore the hateful part because America bad.
*to give him the benefit of the doubt, although the literal translation is "self-described" it can also mean "supposedly", but given he lives in Switzerland and invites people to sympathise with the WW2 Wehrmacht, I think the nod and wink was obvious.
** founder has a swastika tattooed on his left arm and quoted The Protocols of the Elders of Zion in a 2012 speech to parliament
"Free speech is still worth fighting for
No one is entitled to intellectual safety"
https://unherd.com/2023/11/free-speech-is-still-worth-fighting-for/
Processing applications overseas is not the same as sending people to claim asylum in Rwanda.
This is the German proposal
“He proposed approaching countries in north Africa which are situated along migration routes to build asylum processing centres there. Refugees entering the EU could then be taken to them to have their claims checked.”
So the Germans will take asylum seekers from Germany or elsewhere in the EU to countries like Morocco or chad and they will have their asylum claims processed in Africa
The intent is clearly the same as the uk Rwanda plan. To introduce an element of deterrent. If your asylum claim fails then you could end up stuck in chad or Libya or wherever
Do you approve of this German variant of the uk plan?
I reckon Doogie would just edge the 'who is the most assiduous user of photo filters' competition.
https://time.com/6047155/final-account-holocaust-documentary/
Have you read this book ?
https://www.amazon.co.uk/Ordinary-Men-Reserve-Battalion-Solution-ebook/dp/B01G1F0F84