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This looks good the LAB and Starmer – politicalbetting.com

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  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 40,521

    AlistairM said:

    Some of the railway enthusiasts on here may well appreciate this.

    On this day 197 years ago the world's first ever public railway was opened in northern England.

    And a whole new form of architecture was born: the train station.

    So, to celebrate, here are some of the world's greatest train stations...

    https://x.com/culturaltutor/status/1707114027497701761?s=20

    Well they've let themselves down bigtime. "Train station", ffs.
    Also arguable when the first proper railway station emerged. Didn't the Stockton and Darlington just sell tickets in the local pub, like any self-respecting stagecoach firm?
  • Options
    PhilPhil Posts: 1,964
    I regret to inform you that HS2 is woke now: https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/24157181/rishi-sunak-derail-woke-hs2-billions-could-saved/

    It’s going to be all culture war, all the time from now till the election isn’t it?
  • Options
    CookieCookie Posts: 11,763
    Carnyx said:

    Cookie said:

    Carnyx said:

    Cookie said:

    kinabalu said:

    darkage said:

    FPT

    HYUFD said:

    Andy_JS said:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-stoke-staffordshire-66934545

    "The ex-partner of a man who suffocated their three-month-old daughter said she feels "let down" and scared to learn of his imminent release.

    Simon Smith killed baby Lauren in 1994 in Staffordshire. An investigation led to the grim discovery he had also murdered his two other children.

    He was convicted of all three murders and jailed for life in 1996.

    Lauren's mother Rachel Playfair said the public would be horrified to know a triple murderer was being released.

    The Parole Board confirmed it had directed the release of Smith on licence following a hearing."

    Unless we lock 'em up and throw away the key, we shall continue to hear these stories whenever a murderer is released or paroled. Some will say life should mean life, or even death.
    For these type of cases it would now be a whole life term if sentenced in the present day.

    Since the Police, Crime, Sentencing and Courts Act was passed by this Conservative government last year, premeditated murder of a child means judges must give an automatic whole life term order
    The issue people should consider more this is the cost of 'throwing away the key'. If you aren't going to execute the prisoner, you have to accept that they have some rights, IE the right not to be murdered or assaulted by another inmate. They need to be fed etc. The cost is I believe about £47,000 per prisoner per year in the UK, but higher in very high security prisons. Even if you got rid of human rights and have poor conditions with jails like in the USA, the cost does not reduce that much (it is something like $40,000 per prisoner per year at federal level).

    Maybe we should send them all to private school instead?
    On which point, it seems Starmer may agree with me and you:

    "Labour drops plan to strip public schools of charitable status"

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-66942985
    Let's all agree that Labour has adopted a sensible compromise that raises money to fund education for the majority without being unnecessarily punitive on this persecuted minority.
    Good morning

    Our son works in this sector and it is clear that the likes of Eton and other elite schools will see little effect as the wealthy will pay it, but there are many more less elite schools who are at risk of losing so many students they may well close with the loss of many jobs, a problem for local state schools having to admit more students, and the loss to the community of a facility that provides bursaries to the poorest and charitable work to and in the community

    I do not want to argue over this, but I am seeing it first hand and it is going to affect those fairly normal families who sacrifice considerably to provide their children with the education they want them to have

    Furthermore, it will not raise anything like the expected income and is likely to face legal challenges from the sector

    So no, I do not accept labour have adopted a sensible compromise as the 20% VAT charge and possibly the cancellation of gift aid will have a detrimental effect on the sector as I have outlined and an adverse effect for their communities and add to the numbers moving to state schools
    The IFS have run the numbers and say it will raise a material amount of money, which will help to improve things for the 93% of children who attend state schools. If we're going to trade personal anecdotes, my three children are all at state schools - our local primary, our local secondary and a Sixth form college - and they are crying out for more money, while the party you support so loyally is cutting real terms funding per pupil - so thanks for harming their life chances every day with your support for the Tories.
    You need to see what is happening to our grandchildren education here in Wales which is the responsibility of Welsh Labour government, and I simply do not accept for the reasons I have stated the net income to Labour will be anywhere near the figures quoted and may be negative

    As an example of the support the school provides to the community they allow him all the time he needs to fulfil his duties as RNLI crew including attending shouts, extensive time in training and indeed for the three days he has been away in Poole this week at RNLI training headquarters

    But the schools can absorb the VAT charge by lowering their fees. Successive Conservative governments have demanded that state schools spend less per pupil, so there is surely scope for private schools to do the same.

    Private schools could lower spending per pupil to state school levels, keep fees the same, and double the number of pupils on free scholarships. What's not to love about this? Fee paying parents are only sending their kids private for the good of society as a whole, so they will be happy to contribute. Private schools' real purpose as charities is educating the great unwashed, not giving the already privileged an additional leg up, so they will love this change. And resentful chippy fellows like me will be satisfied that we have a level playing field at last. There, problem solved. You're welcome.
    Yep, that works. Or there's my idea (a touch more radical but worth a look, I think) whereby ALL schools become private, and all parents get a 'voucher' from the government of the same value per child to be spent at the school of their choice, fees at all schools capped at an amount equal to the voucher, no top ups. Then hands off and let the magic happen. A first class 'free at the point of delivery' private school for every child in every nook and cranny of the land. Aspiration for all!
    I don't want to sound like I'm surprised to ever agree with you, but I'm surprised to find I agree with you. That's exactly what I'd do. Not dissimilar to nurseries.

    You'd need to build an element of redundancy into the system - otherwise the choice aspect would be illusory: you'd just go where there was space.

    But - like nurseries - you motivate schools to provide the sort of education the parents want their kids to have. And parents get to choose. And niches get to flourish (albeit probably only in urban areas where density of population makes choice realistic).

    I don't feel strongly about the 'no top-ups' aspect. It wouldn't necessarily have been the way I'd have done it. But I don't feel particularly strongly against it. My motivation is that schools be responsive to what parents want.

    The downside of course is that there is a minority of parents who potentially want a very weird education for their children (I'm thinking in particular of the hardcore religious - obviously the Islamic schools tend to get the attention, but I passed this place a few months back and thought it looked a bit, well, odd: http://solacademy.org.uk/). There's not very many of these, but they are there, and do you want the state to be funding that sort of education? That said, maybe the state already does fund that sort of thing?

    Still, I think your idea (which is also my idea) is worth pursuing.
    Hmm, the state already funds C of E/Episcopalian and RC schools, and you can't argue that it's because the C of E is Established as that doesn't account for the other three nations, or RC schools in England. So either extend that to every other sect, or ban religious schools of any kind from state funding. Anything else is prima facie unjust.
    There are a few non-Christian state-funded schools. To quote Wikipedia:

    "In 2011, about one third of the 20,000 state funded schools in England were faith schools,[9] approximately 7,000 in total, of which 68% were Church of England schools and 30% were Roman Catholic. There were 42 Jewish, 12 Muslim, 3 Sikh and 1 Hindu faith schools.[1]"
    I'm not particularly comfortable with the state funding religious schools of any stripe. Though I appreciate this would be a logical outcome of the system which I'm proposing!
    I presume there are so many C of E schools because many of them predate state education? I don't really understand why there are others. Catholic schools appear to punch well above their weight in the actual population. There are at least two Catholic primary schools within a mile of my house.
    Schools were historically Christian and it was the local parish vicar who got the gig by default, basically.

    But school history is complex - essentially a mix of voluntary/charsitable and parish operations many brought under the umbrella of government funding and supervision over time both national and local. Quite a few schools began as parish schools linked to the parish church, anyway.

    In Scotland it was the local C of S minister who was usually on the school committee and was involved. But in latter years those in Episcopalian or RC-dense areas protested at paying rates for Presbyterian schools, hence the introduction of Episcopalian and RC schools.
    Yes, like much of the British state, our schools are a hodge-podge of things that are there for historical reasons and haven't gone away.
    Which is untidy and inefficient. But new big bangs are always a risk and tend to create louder losers than winners.
    Basically, doing anything at all in this or any other sector is very very difficult.
  • Options
    RandallFlaggRandallFlagg Posts: 1,180
    edited September 2023
    Phil said:

    I regret to inform you that HS2 is woke now: https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/24157181/rishi-sunak-derail-woke-hs2-billions-could-saved/

    It’s going to be all culture war, all the time from now till the election isn’t it?

    Who knew building a railway to Manchester would promote CRT and self ID, and cause white characters in Charles Dickens novels to get race swapped in film and tv?
  • Options
    TimSTimS Posts: 10,205

    Phil said:

    I regret to inform you that HS2 is woke now: https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/24157181/rishi-sunak-derail-woke-hs2-billions-could-saved/

    It’s going to be all culture war, all the time from now till the election isn’t it?

    Who knew building a railway to Manchester would promote CRT and self ID, and cause white characters in Charles Dickens novels to get race swapped in film and tv?
    Next we’ll find there are EU companies and migrant workers involved in the contracting process.
  • Options
    AlsoLeiAlsoLei Posts: 1,002

    A

    AlsoLei said:

    Police officers are accused of mishandling body-worn video in more than 150 incidents, including switching off cameras and sharing footage on WhatsApp, a BBC investigation has found.

    Body-worn video is widely used by police in England and Wales but cases released under freedom of information detail a catalogue of misuse.

    While the footage is intended to benefit the public and the police, officers are accused of switching off cameras during incidents and failing to disclose inconvenient evidence they record.

    In some incidents where cameras were switched off officers faced no sanctions, with one force saying an officer may have been “confused”, the BBC reported.

    Misuse of footage appears to be widespread. The BBC uncovered cases in seven forces where officers shared footage with colleagues or friends, either in person or using social media. In one instance, images of a naked person were shared between officers on email, according to the BBC.

    In some instances video was lost, deleted or not marked as evidence.

    The National Police Chiefs’ Council’s lead for body-worn video, Jim Colwell, an acting chief constable, said the NPCC would be updating its guidance for body-worn video next month and it would be “more strongly worded to recommend that forces need to take action towards officers who are not using BWV correctly”.

    He said the technology was “an important policing tool which helps to provide greater transparency and scrutiny of police powers”.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2023/sep/28/police-accused-widely-misusing-body-worn-video-england-wales

    what?!

    How have we got ourselves into a situation where individual officers are responsible for handling the footage from their own cameras?

    It should be being being sent automatically to a central site, with access strictly controlled. The access logs should be available for review, the integrity of the system should be regularly tested, and any attempt to tamper or interfere with the data should be treated as a crime.

    This is really, really basic stuff.
    Next you’ll be suggesting that police officers shouldn’t re-write their notebooks after the fact.
    That's the point though, isn't it? We know that that sort of thing goes on.

    So why, when introducing a new system like BWV, did we set it up to be vulnerable to exactly the same class of problem? And now that it works that way, the police federation will fight tooth and nail against any changes...
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 63,687
    Scott_xP said:


    @KevinASchofield

    Asked about the behaviour of Nadine Dorries this morning, Rishi Sunak said: "I'm not focused on the past, I'm focused on the future."

    Asked whether HS2 will go to Manchester, he said: "I'm not speculating on future things."

    🤷‍♂️

    He's just existing in the moment.

    Very zen.
  • Options
    CookieCookie Posts: 11,763
    edited September 2023
    Carnyx said:

    AlistairM said:

    Some of the railway enthusiasts on here may well appreciate this.

    On this day 197 years ago the world's first ever public railway was opened in northern England.

    And a whole new form of architecture was born: the train station.

    So, to celebrate, here are some of the world's greatest train stations...

    https://x.com/culturaltutor/status/1707114027497701761?s=20

    Well they've let themselves down bigtime. "Train station", ffs.
    Also arguable when the first proper railway station emerged. Didn't the Stockton and Darlington just sell tickets in the local pub, like any self-respecting stagecoach firm?
    My understanding from my time in the North East is that the station currently called Darlington North Road was the first railway station. What people at Stockton did, I don't know. Maybe passengers were just dumped in a skip upon termination.

    EDIT: Hm. Wikipedia has it that Darlington NR station building was opened in 1842. Which postdates Liverpool Road Manchester and Crown Street Liverpool (1830) by a good 12 years.
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 40,521
    Cookie said:

    Carnyx said:

    AlistairM said:

    Some of the railway enthusiasts on here may well appreciate this.

    On this day 197 years ago the world's first ever public railway was opened in northern England.

    And a whole new form of architecture was born: the train station.

    So, to celebrate, here are some of the world's greatest train stations...

    https://x.com/culturaltutor/status/1707114027497701761?s=20

    Well they've let themselves down bigtime. "Train station", ffs.
    Also arguable when the first proper railway station emerged. Didn't the Stockton and Darlington just sell tickets in the local pub, like any self-respecting stagecoach firm?
    My understanding from my time in the North East is that the station currently called Darlington North Road was the first railway station. What people at Stockton did, I don't know. Maybe passengers were just dumped in a skip upon termination.
    The tweeter seems to be equating railway station with station building for passengers. But that was an optional extra (still is today, unless you count a bus shelter as a proper building). I'll let our NR railway experts opine!
  • Options
    AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 20,391
    Nigelb said:

    Scott_xP said:


    @KevinASchofield

    Asked about the behaviour of Nadine Dorries this morning, Rishi Sunak said: "I'm not focused on the past, I'm focused on the future."

    Asked whether HS2 will go to Manchester, he said: "I'm not speculating on future things."

    🤷‍♂️

    He's just existing in the moment.

    Very zen.
    Schrödinger's HS2.
  • Options
    Carnyx said:

    Cookie said:

    Carnyx said:

    AlistairM said:

    Some of the railway enthusiasts on here may well appreciate this.

    On this day 197 years ago the world's first ever public railway was opened in northern England.

    And a whole new form of architecture was born: the train station.

    So, to celebrate, here are some of the world's greatest train stations...

    https://x.com/culturaltutor/status/1707114027497701761?s=20

    Well they've let themselves down bigtime. "Train station", ffs.
    Also arguable when the first proper railway station emerged. Didn't the Stockton and Darlington just sell tickets in the local pub, like any self-respecting stagecoach firm?
    My understanding from my time in the North East is that the station currently called Darlington North Road was the first railway station. What people at Stockton did, I don't know. Maybe passengers were just dumped in a skip upon termination.
    The tweeter seems to be equating railway station with station building for passengers. But that was an optional extra (still is today, unless you count a bus shelter as a proper building). I'll let our NR railway experts opine!
    A railway station is a location where the railway company is stationed. Passenger facilities are not essential for this.
  • Options
    glwglw Posts: 9,583
    Nigelb said:

    Scott_xP said:


    @KevinASchofield

    Asked about the behaviour of Nadine Dorries this morning, Rishi Sunak said: "I'm not focused on the past, I'm focused on the future."

    Asked whether HS2 will go to Manchester, he said: "I'm not speculating on future things."

    🤷‍♂️

    He's just existing in the moment.

    Very zen.
    He's simply no good at politics, or thinking on his feet, or leading, or planning.
  • Options
    glw said:

    Nigelb said:

    Scott_xP said:


    @KevinASchofield

    Asked about the behaviour of Nadine Dorries this morning, Rishi Sunak said: "I'm not focused on the past, I'm focused on the future."

    Asked whether HS2 will go to Manchester, he said: "I'm not speculating on future things."

    🤷‍♂️

    He's just existing in the moment.

    Very zen.
    He's simply no good at politics, or thinking on his feet, or leading, or planning.
    Pretty good at marrying the daughter of a billionaire, however.
  • Options

    Fewer than half of trainee GPs go on to work full time for the NHS
    High dropout rate has left health service increasingly reliant on foreign doctors to fill vacancies, report warns

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/09/27/trainee-doctors-full-time-nhs/ (£££)

    Link to the source think tank report:-
    https://www.nuffieldtrust.org.uk/research/waste-not-want-not-strategies-to-improve-the-supply-of-clinical-staff-to-the-nhs

    Every analysis of work and why people stay in jobs, comes to the conclusion that salary is just a part of it. A big part, but not the deciding factor, for many.

    NHS employment practises and organisation resembles those of the 1970s U.K. car industry. Incompetent and pointless strife everywhere.

    When other car companies came to the U.K. in the 80s, they achieved harmony, productivity and a satisfied workforce. All the while, in the legacy industry, the same old nonsense staggered on. And this was with the same pool of workers and management - most of the people working in the new industry were from the old.

    An organisation is a machine to help humans achieve things en masse. Ergonomics, anyone?
    I'd agree. In the case of doctors, it probably starts from admitting the wrong medical students. Any bright 16-18 year-old on the science side will see medicine as the holy grail, or at least a route to £100,000 a year, whether suited to it (whatever that means, which we do not know) or not. And retention seems to have got worse since the personal statement was needed to get into medical school, which is counter-intuitive but if it is not working, scrap it.

    In the case of GPs in particular, we are 950 full-time GPs short, apparently, which likely creates a vicious circle making the work more stressful for those remaining, so GPs and trainee GPs are more likely to drop out, which... and so on.

    We know from recent allegations that life for trainees, and especially female ones, can be fraught owing to sexualised banter or worse.

    We can see from fly-on-the-wall documentaries that the first problem on a new job is finding out where everything is because no-one in the NHS has thought to label the cupboards, let alone bought windowed doors like your granny had for her saucers in 1956.

    And whisper this, sometimes lady doctors want time off for babies.

    Foundation years training has to be committed to long in advance, which ought to be unnecessary now we have computers.

    Surgical training requires trainees to badger their seniors to be allowed into theatre. This could easily be arranged in advance.

    And so on. There are lots of these "small" irritations that could easily be removed but aren't because ministers are more interested in top-down revolutions every five to ten years.
  • Options
    AlsoLeiAlsoLei Posts: 1,002
    https://nitter.net/AdamBienkov/status/1707303033518891092

    It sounds like Sunak's pre-conference local media round went about as well as it did for Truss last year.

    I get that he's nervous, and that he's determined to stick to his talking points - but he really needs to do better when faced with this sort of questioning. His answers are what you might expect from a candidate for a council by-election, not someone with his hands on the levers of power.
  • Options
    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,385
    Chris said:

    I think we need to recognise that Labour's lead has slipped a few points. Nothing too worrying yet, but if the Tories have a good conference we could see that sub-10% point, which in turn may affect the by-election betting.
    I think we'd need to see this consistently in more polls to be sure it's not just statistical variation.
    Yes, perhaps - the YouGov 5-point bounce for Labour seems to suggest a return to as we were. I think there were enough polls last week to suggest an initial positive impact to Sunak's anti-green stuff, but it may have been quite transient. More polls needed as usual...
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    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,725

    There is a remarkable lack of analysis of the latest YouGov poll, in stark contrast to that a few days earlier.

    I can't put my finger on why.

    Funny old world.

    So I am on the YouGov panel and have been working my way up to the 50 quid payment for a while. As I've got closer to the points needed, I seem to get asked less and less. I don't think they want to pay me... Anyone else experience this?
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    EabhalEabhal Posts: 6,393
    The tree at Sycamore Gap on Hadrian's Wall has been cut down overnight.
  • Options

    ...

    darkage said:

    FPT

    HYUFD said:

    Andy_JS said:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-stoke-staffordshire-66934545

    "The ex-partner of a man who suffocated their three-month-old daughter said she feels "let down" and scared to learn of his imminent release.

    Simon Smith killed baby Lauren in 1994 in Staffordshire. An investigation led to the grim discovery he had also murdered his two other children.

    He was convicted of all three murders and jailed for life in 1996.

    Lauren's mother Rachel Playfair said the public would be horrified to know a triple murderer was being released.

    The Parole Board confirmed it had directed the release of Smith on licence following a hearing."

    Unless we lock 'em up and throw away the key, we shall continue to hear these stories whenever a murderer is released or paroled. Some will say life should mean life, or even death.
    For these type of cases it would now be a whole life term if sentenced in the present day.

    Since the Police, Crime, Sentencing and Courts Act was passed by this Conservative government last year, premeditated murder of a child means judges must give an automatic whole life term order
    The issue people should consider more this is the cost of 'throwing away the key'. If you aren't going to execute the prisoner, you have to accept that they have some rights, IE the right not to be murdered or assaulted by another inmate. They need to be fed etc. The cost is I believe about £47,000 per prisoner per year in the UK, but higher in very high security prisons. Even if you got rid of human rights and have poor conditions with jails like in the USA, the cost does not reduce that much (it is something like $40,000 per prisoner per year at federal level).

    Maybe we should send them all to private school instead?
    On which point, it seems Starmer may agree with me and you:

    "Labour drops plan to strip public schools of charitable status"

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-66942985
    Let's all agree that Labour has adopted a sensible compromise that raises money to fund education for the majority without being unnecessarily punitive on this persecuted minority.
    Good morning

    Our son works in this sector and it is clear that the likes of Eton and other elite schools will see little effect as the wealthy will pay it, but there are many more less elite schools who are at risk of losing so many students they may well close with the loss of many jobs, a problem for local state schools having to admit more students, and the loss to the community of a facility that provides bursaries to the poorest and charitable work to and in the community

    I do not want to argue over this, but I am seeing it first hand and it is going to affect those fairly normal families who sacrifice considerably to provide their children with the education they want them to have

    Furthermore, it will not raise anything like the expected income and is likely to face legal challenges from the sector

    So no, I do not accept labour have adopted a sensible compromise as the 20% VAT charge and possibly the cancellation of gift aid will have a detrimental effect on the sector as I have outlined and an adverse effect for their communities and add to the numbers moving to state schools
    The IFS have run the numbers and say it will raise a material amount of money, which will help to improve things for the 93% of children who attend state schools. If we're going to trade personal anecdotes, my three children are all at state schools - our local primary, our local secondary and a Sixth form college - and they are crying out for more money, while the party you support so loyally is cutting real terms funding per pupil - so thanks for harming their life chances every day with your support for the Tories.
    You need to see what is happening to our grandchildren education here in Wales which is the responsibility of Welsh Labour government, and I simply do not accept for the reasons I have stated the net income to Labour will be anywhere near the figures quoted and may be negative

    As an example of the support the school provides to the community they allow him all the time he needs to fulfil his duties as RNLI crew including attending shouts, extensive time in training and indeed for the three days he has been away in Poole this week at RNLI training headquarters

    Both my children had an excellent education in a state sector comprehensive here in Wales. Both went on to graduate with 2:1s which is better than my Desmond (post grammar school).

    I have no problem with you sending your offspring to a Headmasters Conference School or one of those Mickey Mouse local private schools, normally prefixed with "St." It's your money, spend as you see fit, but I don't want my taxes supplementing other people's social climbing plans, when that money could be used to fill my potholes or replace the WRAAC in my local hospital or fund teaching assistants for my local state primary school.
    And that highlights an interesting issue: the quality of state schools can be just as spotty and varied as that of (say) GP services. One school in a town can be excellent; another poor, despite being only a couple of miles apart.

    There's a significant chance that some increased funding goes to the 'excellent' school; perhaps because results matter, or the parents, PTA and staff are much more inclined to fight for the funding.

    I don't expect Labour to improve education much where it matters: at the bottom end of attainment, because the problems are really difficult and much depends on parenting. I don't expect the Conservatives or Lib Dems to do much there, either.
    Funding following pupils sounds great but means unpopular schools decline in a vicious circle. Maintaining funding would mean staff/student ratios in unpopular schools will improve, which will organically improve both their standards and their standing. Both parties' obsession with faux-marketisation of public services needs to end.
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    SelebianSelebian Posts: 7,699

    Phil said:

    I regret to inform you that HS2 is woke now: https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/24157181/rishi-sunak-derail-woke-hs2-billions-could-saved/

    It’s going to be all culture war, all the time from now till the election isn’t it?

    Who knew building a railway to Manchester would promote CRT and self ID, and cause white characters in Charles Dickens novels to get race swapped in film and tv?
    Exporting weird ideas to the provinces from that there London. If they do stage 2, before you know it Manchester will be voting Labour and considering congestion/pollution charges :open_mouth:
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    SelebianSelebian Posts: 7,699
    Eabhal said:

    The tree at Sycamore Gap on Hadrian's Wall has been cut down overnight.

    Publicity stunt by a popular clothing retailer, to have the place renamed simply as 'Gap' :wink:

    Seriously though, that's really sad. Whywould anyone do that? I do like the 'we have reason to believe it has been deliberately felled' from the police - given the cut marks it would require extreme carelessness with a chainsaw to have done it by accident!
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    AlistairMAlistairM Posts: 2,004
    If this is true then it is an absolute tragedy. Such a beautiful location. What makes people do things like this? This is like what they did to the Crooked House pub.

    Absolutely disgusted to hear about Sycamore Gap this morning & that someone has chainsawed down this beautiful tree. I literally cannot understand why someone would do something like that.

    At least I'll have the memory of shooting the Milky Way here, one cold January night.


    https://x.com/stumeech/status/1707330571003662808?s=20
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    EabhalEabhal Posts: 6,393
    During our cycle tour across northern England a few weeks ago. My girlfriend gave it a hug.


  • Options
    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,725
    edited September 2023
    Eabhal said:

    The tree at Sycamore Gap on Hadrian's Wall has been cut down overnight.

    Vandalism or something else? And isn't that just outside Dover (as per Robin Hood: PoT)?
  • Options
    EabhalEabhal Posts: 6,393
    Eabhal said:

    During our cycle tour across northern England a few weeks ago. My girlfriend gave it a hug.


    I can't think of anything that sums up the state of things more.

    https://twitter.com/TwiceBrewedCo/status/1707325696064766325?t=hBziXHXYplKVPTwxFFAIkA&s=19
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    Carnyx said:

    Cookie said:

    Carnyx said:

    AlistairM said:

    Some of the railway enthusiasts on here may well appreciate this.

    On this day 197 years ago the world's first ever public railway was opened in northern England.

    And a whole new form of architecture was born: the train station.

    So, to celebrate, here are some of the world's greatest train stations...

    https://x.com/culturaltutor/status/1707114027497701761?s=20

    Well they've let themselves down bigtime. "Train station", ffs.
    Also arguable when the first proper railway station emerged. Didn't the Stockton and Darlington just sell tickets in the local pub, like any self-respecting stagecoach firm?
    My understanding from my time in the North East is that the station currently called Darlington North Road was the first railway station. What people at Stockton did, I don't know. Maybe passengers were just dumped in a skip upon termination.
    The tweeter seems to be equating railway station with station building for passengers. But that was an optional extra (still is today, unless you count a bus shelter as a proper building). I'll let our NR railway experts opine!
    It's yet another definitional issue - like what was the first 'railway'. was it the S&D, or the L&M a few years later? Arguments can be made for either.

    But in other news, I rejoice at the work that has been at North Wingfield to preserve it from its derelict state. A very early railway station - 1839 - which is also in a fairly original condition.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e6n8_cb7sy4
  • Options
    .
    Eabhal said:

    The tree at Sycamore Gap on Hadrian's Wall has been cut down overnight.

    I'd be open to having a one-off death penalty sentence for the low life that did this if it was done deliberately. If it was done by accident, then I'll accept whole of life jail time.
  • Options
    SelebianSelebian Posts: 7,699

    Fewer than half of trainee GPs go on to work full time for the NHS
    High dropout rate has left health service increasingly reliant on foreign doctors to fill vacancies, report warns

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/09/27/trainee-doctors-full-time-nhs/ (£££)

    Link to the source think tank report:-
    https://www.nuffieldtrust.org.uk/research/waste-not-want-not-strategies-to-improve-the-supply-of-clinical-staff-to-the-nhs

    Every analysis of work and why people stay in jobs, comes to the conclusion that salary is just a part of it. A big part, but not the deciding factor, for many.

    NHS employment practises and organisation resembles those of the 1970s U.K. car industry. Incompetent and pointless strife everywhere.

    When other car companies came to the U.K. in the 80s, they achieved harmony, productivity and a satisfied workforce. All the while, in the legacy industry, the same old nonsense staggered on. And this was with the same pool of workers and management - most of the people working in the new industry were from the old.

    An organisation is a machine to help humans achieve things en masse. Ergonomics, anyone?
    I'd agree. In the case of doctors, it probably starts from admitting the wrong medical students. Any bright 16-18 year-old on the science side will see medicine as the holy grail, or at least a route to £100,000 a year, whether suited to it (whatever that means, which we do not know) or not. And retention seems to have got worse since the personal statement was needed to get into medical school, which is counter-intuitive but if it is not working, scrap it.

    In the case of GPs in particular, we are 950 full-time GPs short, apparently, which likely creates a vicious circle making the work more stressful for those remaining, so GPs and trainee GPs are more likely to drop out, which... and so on.

    We know from recent allegations that life for trainees, and especially female ones, can be fraught owing to sexualised banter or worse.

    We can see from fly-on-the-wall documentaries that the first problem on a new job is finding out where everything is because no-one in the NHS has thought to label the cupboards, let alone bought windowed doors like your granny had for her saucers in 1956.

    And whisper this, sometimes lady doctors want time off for babies.

    Foundation years training has to be committed to long in advance, which ought to be unnecessary now we have computers.

    Surgical training requires trainees to badger their seniors to be allowed into theatre. This could easily be arranged in advance.

    And so on. There are lots of these "small" irritations that could easily be removed but aren't because ministers are more interested in top-down revolutions every five to ten years.
    BIB. Don't whisper this, shout it from the rooftops. Its a feature, not a bug.

    Healthcare is increasingly feminised. Arguably nursing always was, but not Pharmacy is trending more and more female too. I just met my new first year tutees (7 of them). It was a shock that 5 were male, as the cohort overall will skew heavily female.

    It is an issue to be dealt with that women will have babies and when they do, many of them decide that part time work or even stopping for a few years is what they want. This shouldn't be a surprise, but we should plan for it.

    My wife is in her ninth month of maternity leave and will be going back in the new year to a 60% role, rather than 100%. Having babies changes people. Its up to those who plan workforces to understand that and deal with it.
    Agree entirely, with both of you.

    We need more clinical staff. If women (in particular) are leaving, then we need to find ways to make it more attractive to stay (probably not pay, but more conditions/flexibility at least for docs). The implication from some, apparently, that we should instead focus on recruiting more male medics is... interesting. Halving the recruitment pool doesn't seem smart when you want to increase recruitment overall (and also retention, but we need to recruit more, whatever).
  • Options
    FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,026
    edited September 2023
    Eabhal said:

    The tree at Sycamore Gap on Hadrian's Wall has been cut down overnight.

    Well, it was a non-native species...

    Seriously, though, I wonder what lead to such an act of vandalism. Has there been a local dispute? Land access problems?

    It was a big tree and it looks like someone did a professional job of cutting it so this wasn't just some random idiot.
  • Options
    AlistairM said:

    If this is true then it is an absolute tragedy. Such a beautiful location. What makes people do things like this? This is like what they did to the Crooked House pub.

    Absolutely disgusted to hear about Sycamore Gap this morning & that someone has chainsawed down this beautiful tree. I literally cannot understand why someone would do something like that.

    At least I'll have the memory of shooting the Milky Way here, one cold January night.


    https://x.com/stumeech/status/1707330571003662808?s=20

    That was on my list. I'll never get to shoot that now.
  • Options
    EabhalEabhal Posts: 6,393

    Eabhal said:

    The tree at Sycamore Gap on Hadrian's Wall has been cut down overnight.

    Well, it was a non-native tree...

    Seriously, though, I wonder what lead to such an act of vandalism. Has there been a local dispute?

    It was a big tree and it looks like someone did a professional job of cutting it so this wasn't just some random idiot.
    They'll have to take whoever did it into protective custody.
  • Options
    SelebianSelebian Posts: 7,699

    .

    Eabhal said:

    The tree at Sycamore Gap on Hadrian's Wall has been cut down overnight.

    I'd be open to having a one-off death penalty sentence for the low life that did this if it was done deliberately. If it was done by accident, then I'll accept whole of life jail time.
    Most death penalty sentences are one off, aren't they? As apparently famously said, most recipients of the death penalty don't reoffend :wink:

    I wouldn't go so far as to hang the person from the tree (wouldn't work well now, anyway) but would be up for hanging the tree from the person, preferably a delicate area, if male.
  • Options
    EabhalEabhal Posts: 6,393

    AlistairM said:

    If this is true then it is an absolute tragedy. Such a beautiful location. What makes people do things like this? This is like what they did to the Crooked House pub.

    Absolutely disgusted to hear about Sycamore Gap this morning & that someone has chainsawed down this beautiful tree. I literally cannot understand why someone would do something like that.

    At least I'll have the memory of shooting the Milky Way here, one cold January night.


    https://x.com/stumeech/status/1707330571003662808?s=20

    That was on my list. I'll never get to shoot that now.
    :(
  • Options
    AlsoLei said:

    Nigelb said:

    .

    Nigelb said:

    Nigelb said:

    Nigelb said:

    A geoengineering proposal to address global warming.
    Looks pretty good to me.

    https://nephewjonathan.substack.com/p/diy-geoengineering-the-whitepaper
    ...Global warming, though not ocean acidification, is quickly and cheaply reversed by ejecting calcite nanoparticles (with an average radius in the ~90nm range) into the stratosphere, using a propeller-based system to prevent particle clumping. The particles should be carried up by hydrogen balloons, and very preferably released over the tropics. The total amount needed will be on the order of several hundred kilotons yearly, and the total cost should be somewhere between $1B and $5B yearly.

    Let's go through this piece by piece...


    Even if the cost is out by an order of magnitude, it could easily be funded by (for instance) the EU on its own.

    If it goes wrong, how easily can it be reversed? And who is to judge whether or not it works?
    It's OK, you do it over the tropics so if anything goes wrong it's not us who will be affected. Genius!
    Can you suggest what there is to "go wrong" ?

    Point is that if it works, it works. If it doesn't, it's just a lot of non toxic dust in the atmosphere for a fairly short time. Which happens every time a wind blows across the Sahara.

    The reason did doing it in the tropics is that that's where the effect (as we've seen with what happened with the marine diesel sulphur ban) is most pronounced.
    What can possibly go wrong with reducing the amount of sunlight reaching areas of the world where people rely on it to grow food and are already often food-insecure... Hmm let me think.
    We've already done much the same experiment (unwittingly) while freight shipping was pumping sulphur dioxide aerosol into the atmosphere. Setting aside the ocean acidification resulting (which isn't a thing with this idea) there weren't such effects.

    And in any event, the effects of excessive temperatures on crop growth will be far greater than anything resulting from a small increase in solar energy being reflected back into space.

    If there are possible objections to the experiment, I think this one is pretty feeble.
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Year_Without_a_Summer

    Seems a bit risky to me. Why not just decarbonise our economy instead of creating additional potential risks for the poorest people in the world, who have played almost no role in creating this problem.
    You're comparing a controlled, measured process with a massive volcanic eruption ?

    Sounds a bit bollocks to me.

    And not 'instead'; as well as.
    We need both, since decarbonisation will take too long to prevent serious consequences for precisely those 'poorest people in the world'.
    Human meddling has screwed up the planet.

    What do we need? More human meddling!

    Fecking genius.
    I think it sounds something that should be considered, particularly as hoping that the West, let alone China and India, going to all start wearing hair shirts as many green activists would like is just not going to happen. However, in answer to the question "what could go wrong", I would suggest that as the Earth has so many variables then it could result in an extreme "correction" which could, in extremis, lead to rapid cooling. IMHO an ice age would be even less palatable than global warming. Proceed with extreme caution might be sensible.
    To be fair, mitigation of the temperature rise through reduced insolation (as proposed here) is less likely to result in an overcorrection than most of the other large-scale geoengineering schemes that have been suggested (such as enhanced weathering).

    The big problem is that it would do nothing to stop ocean acidification, so only solves part of the problem.

    It's the sort of thing we might want to test on a limited basis, but keep full-scale deployment in reserve to be used only in an emergency situation.
    There's some analysis that blames sulphate emissions from North America for an increase in Sahel region drought - which hasn't been so bad since sulphate emissions were reduced. The mechanism is that changing patterns of solar insolation changes patterns of rainfall. Put most simply, less sunlight, leads to less evaporation, leads to less rainfall. But also the large-scale weather patterns are fundamentally created by heating at the tropics and cooling at the poles, and you change that, you change the winds, you move rainfall around.

    So my big worry with something like this is that you would mess with rainfall patterns. When you do that you create droughts in some areas and floods in others and, given the immature economies in many countries, famine then follows. No. Just no.

    We have the technology to replace all use of fossil fuels. It's simply a matter of investment to replace one set of technology with the other, and that is happening. We could argue about policies that would speed this up a bit, or make it slower, but I'm struggling to see how there could be much significant fossil fuel combustion in the last few decades of this century.

    Any temptation to engage in solar geoengineering would be better directed to CO2 sequestration, or speeding up the now inevitable phasing out of fossil fuels.
  • Options
    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,725
    .. "Vanilla.....:" in the Style of Kirk
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 40,521
    edited September 2023
    Eabhal said:

    AlistairM said:

    If this is true then it is an absolute tragedy. Such a beautiful location. What makes people do things like this? This is like what they did to the Crooked House pub.

    Absolutely disgusted to hear about Sycamore Gap this morning & that someone has chainsawed down this beautiful tree. I literally cannot understand why someone would do something like that.

    At least I'll have the memory of shooting the Milky Way here, one cold January night.


    https://x.com/stumeech/status/1707330571003662808?s=20

    That was on my list. I'll never get to shoot that now.
    :(
    That really is upsetting. Mrs C and I had soem days in a farm near the wall about 25 years ago to explore it and the Gap was a highlight. We were discussing the tree only a few days ago.
  • Options
    algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 10,898
    edited September 2023
    edit
  • Options
    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,327
    algarkirk said:

    This is a big story in the far north of England. For many it's the most memorable tree there is.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-tyne-66947040

    Oh no, that's really sad. I visited it in 2022.
  • Options
    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,725

    AlsoLei said:

    Nigelb said:

    .

    Nigelb said:

    Nigelb said:

    Nigelb said:

    A geoengineering proposal to address global warming.
    Looks pretty good to me.

    https://nephewjonathan.substack.com/p/diy-geoengineering-the-whitepaper
    ...Global warming, though not ocean acidification, is quickly and cheaply reversed by ejecting calcite nanoparticles (with an average radius in the ~90nm range) into the stratosphere, using a propeller-based system to prevent particle clumping. The particles should be carried up by hydrogen balloons, and very preferably released over the tropics. The total amount needed will be on the order of several hundred kilotons yearly, and the total cost should be somewhere between $1B and $5B yearly.

    Let's go through this piece by piece...


    Even if the cost is out by an order of magnitude, it could easily be funded by (for instance) the EU on its own.

    If it goes wrong, how easily can it be reversed? And who is to judge whether or not it works?
    It's OK, you do it over the tropics so if anything goes wrong it's not us who will be affected. Genius!
    Can you suggest what there is to "go wrong" ?

    Point is that if it works, it works. If it doesn't, it's just a lot of non toxic dust in the atmosphere for a fairly short time. Which happens every time a wind blows across the Sahara.

    The reason did doing it in the tropics is that that's where the effect (as we've seen with what happened with the marine diesel sulphur ban) is most pronounced.
    What can possibly go wrong with reducing the amount of sunlight reaching areas of the world where people rely on it to grow food and are already often food-insecure... Hmm let me think.
    We've already done much the same experiment (unwittingly) while freight shipping was pumping sulphur dioxide aerosol into the atmosphere. Setting aside the ocean acidification resulting (which isn't a thing with this idea) there weren't such effects.

    And in any event, the effects of excessive temperatures on crop growth will be far greater than anything resulting from a small increase in solar energy being reflected back into space.

    If there are possible objections to the experiment, I think this one is pretty feeble.
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Year_Without_a_Summer

    Seems a bit risky to me. Why not just decarbonise our economy instead of creating additional potential risks for the poorest people in the world, who have played almost no role in creating this problem.
    You're comparing a controlled, measured process with a massive volcanic eruption ?

    Sounds a bit bollocks to me.

    And not 'instead'; as well as.
    We need both, since decarbonisation will take too long to prevent serious consequences for precisely those 'poorest people in the world'.
    Human meddling has screwed up the planet.

    What do we need? More human meddling!

    Fecking genius.
    I think it sounds something that should be considered, particularly as hoping that the West, let alone China and India, going to all start wearing hair shirts as many green activists would like is just not going to happen. However, in answer to the question "what could go wrong", I would suggest that as the Earth has so many variables then it could result in an extreme "correction" which could, in extremis, lead to rapid cooling. IMHO an ice age would be even less palatable than global warming. Proceed with extreme caution might be sensible.
    To be fair, mitigation of the temperature rise through reduced insolation (as proposed here) is less likely to result in an overcorrection than most of the other large-scale geoengineering schemes that have been suggested (such as enhanced weathering).

    The big problem is that it would do nothing to stop ocean acidification, so only solves part of the problem.

    It's the sort of thing we might want to test on a limited basis, but keep full-scale deployment in reserve to be used only in an emergency situation.
    There's some analysis that blames sulphate emissions from North America for an increase in Sahel region drought - which hasn't been so bad since sulphate emissions were reduced. The mechanism is that changing patterns of solar insolation changes patterns of rainfall. Put most simply, less sunlight, leads to less evaporation, leads to less rainfall. But also the large-scale weather patterns are fundamentally created by heating at the tropics and cooling at the poles, and you change that, you change the winds, you move rainfall around.

    So my big worry with something like this is that you would mess with rainfall patterns. When you do that you create droughts in some areas and floods in others and, given the immature economies in many countries, famine then follows. No. Just no.

    We have the technology to replace all use of fossil fuels. It's simply a matter of investment to replace one set of technology with the other, and that is happening. We could argue about policies that would speed this up a bit, or make it slower, but I'm struggling to see how there could be much significant fossil fuel combustion in the last few decades of this century.

    Any temptation to engage in solar geoengineering would be better directed to CO2 sequestration, or speeding up the now inevitable phasing out of fossil fuels.
    My big worry is that humans have a reputation and track record of trying to fix one problem and making other things worse. Cane toads spring to mind.

    I do not necessarily think that something like this would or could happen with this, but you don't know our luck...

    I also take issue a bit with the idea that the planet's temperature was "correct" in the pre-industrial age, and that we should return to it, or at least stop where we are. Generally in UK terms more people die of cold than heat (by a long way).

    There are global impacts of climate change and we should do everything we can to help countries affected, but we also need to understand that natural disasters have always happened. The best approach is to build better homes in places that won't be flooded out.

    The arguments that crops will suffer in hotter weather doesn't really match food production graphs for the last 100 years.

    But I still cycle back to - what should the best temperature for the world be?
  • Options
    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,616
    edited September 2023
    algarkirk said:

    This is a big story in the far north of England. For many it's the most memorable tree there is.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-tyne-66947040

    What a shocking act of vandalism

    When our eldest was a youngster he sowed acorns in our front garden and from them we have a greatly admired oak tree which we maintain each year with a tree surgeon

    It has been in our garden for 47 years and is very much cherished
  • Options
    FoxyFoxy Posts: 45,373

    There is a remarkable lack of analysis of the latest YouGov poll, in stark contrast to that a few days earlier.

    I can't put my finger on why.

    Funny old world.

    So I am on the YouGov panel and have been working my way up to the 50 quid payment for a while. As I've got closer to the points needed, I seem to get asked less and less. I don't think they want to pay me... Anyone else experience this?
    Me too, but I don't think it stinginess, more that they want to use a variety of their pool for surveys, and that seems a good policy.

  • Options
    algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 10,898
    Eabhal said:

    During our cycle tour across northern England a few weeks ago. My girlfriend gave it a hug.


    Saw it just last week. For the far north of England it is probably the single most memorable tree there is. Or was.

  • Options
    EabhalEabhal Posts: 6,393
    edited September 2023
    Trying to think of an equivalent.

    Palmyra? Buddhas of Bamiyan? Not as important as those, but in terms of the emotional harm and outrage it is going to cause, particularly in the north. It doesn't help that it kind of fits in with the prevailing anti-green narrative.
  • Options
    Eabhal said:

    The tree at Sycamore Gap on Hadrian's Wall has been cut down overnight.

    Christ, who the hell would do that? Utterly unforgivable.
  • Options
    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 45,196
    A
    Phil said:

    I regret to inform you that HS2 is woke now: https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/24157181/rishi-sunak-derail-woke-hs2-billions-could-saved/

    It’s going to be all culture war, all the time from now till the election isn’t it?

    Why not? It gets both sides nicely mobilised.

    See how the ULEZ discussion has become warped into love/hate it. The sane approach is that we need a better congestion/pollution charging scheme. There are plenty around the world.
  • Options
    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,616
    edited September 2023
    Eabhal said:

    Trying to think of an equivalent.

    Palmyra? Buddhas of Bamiyan? Not as important as those, but in terms of the emotional harm and outrage it is going to cause, particularly in the north. It doesn't help that it kind of fits in with the prevailing anti-green narrative.

    We do not agree very often, but on this we are unified in our horror and condemnation for such an act of vandalism and evil

    I have no idea what goes through a mind as sick as this to do this and it must have been planned

    I have just showed my wife the photos and she literally burst into tears

    Shame on the culprits
  • Options
    AlistairMAlistairM Posts: 2,004
    edited September 2023
    Who goes out at night to the middle of nowhere armed with a chainsaw to topple an iconic tree? This, the crooked house pub and similar incidents make me absolutely furious. I never got to see it but it was on my "Want to go" list. :(



    Edit: Noticed that someone must have changed the name in Google already :(
  • Options
    FoxyFoxy Posts: 45,373
    Phil said:

    I regret to inform you that HS2 is woke now: https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/24157181/rishi-sunak-derail-woke-hs2-billions-could-saved/

    It’s going to be all culture war, all the time from now till the election isn’t it?

    Woke is now a meaningless word meaning "I don't like it". Bully XL are now woke.
  • Options

    AlsoLei said:

    Nigelb said:

    .

    Nigelb said:

    Nigelb said:

    Nigelb said:

    A geoengineering proposal to address global warming.
    Looks pretty good to me.

    https://nephewjonathan.substack.com/p/diy-geoengineering-the-whitepaper
    ...Global warming, though not ocean acidification, is quickly and cheaply reversed by ejecting calcite nanoparticles (with an average radius in the ~90nm range) into the stratosphere, using a propeller-based system to prevent particle clumping. The particles should be carried up by hydrogen balloons, and very preferably released over the tropics. The total amount needed will be on the order of several hundred kilotons yearly, and the total cost should be somewhere between $1B and $5B yearly.

    Let's go through this piece by piece...


    Even if the cost is out by an order of magnitude, it could easily be funded by (for instance) the EU on its own.

    If it goes wrong, how easily can it be reversed? And who is to judge whether or not it works?
    It's OK, you do it over the tropics so if anything goes wrong it's not us who will be affected. Genius!
    Can you suggest what there is to "go wrong" ?

    Point is that if it works, it works. If it doesn't, it's just a lot of non toxic dust in the atmosphere for a fairly short time. Which happens every time a wind blows across the Sahara.

    The reason did doing it in the tropics is that that's where the effect (as we've seen with what happened with the marine diesel sulphur ban) is most pronounced.
    What can possibly go wrong with reducing the amount of sunlight reaching areas of the world where people rely on it to grow food and are already often food-insecure... Hmm let me think.
    We've already done much the same experiment (unwittingly) while freight shipping was pumping sulphur dioxide aerosol into the atmosphere. Setting aside the ocean acidification resulting (which isn't a thing with this idea) there weren't such effects.

    And in any event, the effects of excessive temperatures on crop growth will be far greater than anything resulting from a small increase in solar energy being reflected back into space.

    If there are possible objections to the experiment, I think this one is pretty feeble.
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Year_Without_a_Summer

    Seems a bit risky to me. Why not just decarbonise our economy instead of creating additional potential risks for the poorest people in the world, who have played almost no role in creating this problem.
    You're comparing a controlled, measured process with a massive volcanic eruption ?

    Sounds a bit bollocks to me.

    And not 'instead'; as well as.
    We need both, since decarbonisation will take too long to prevent serious consequences for precisely those 'poorest people in the world'.
    Human meddling has screwed up the planet.

    What do we need? More human meddling!

    Fecking genius.
    I think it sounds something that should be considered, particularly as hoping that the West, let alone China and India, going to all start wearing hair shirts as many green activists would like is just not going to happen. However, in answer to the question "what could go wrong", I would suggest that as the Earth has so many variables then it could result in an extreme "correction" which could, in extremis, lead to rapid cooling. IMHO an ice age would be even less palatable than global warming. Proceed with extreme caution might be sensible.
    To be fair, mitigation of the temperature rise through reduced insolation (as proposed here) is less likely to result in an overcorrection than most of the other large-scale geoengineering schemes that have been suggested (such as enhanced weathering).

    The big problem is that it would do nothing to stop ocean acidification, so only solves part of the problem.

    It's the sort of thing we might want to test on a limited basis, but keep full-scale deployment in reserve to be used only in an emergency situation.
    There's some analysis that blames sulphate emissions from North America for an increase in Sahel region drought - which hasn't been so bad since sulphate emissions were reduced. The mechanism is that changing patterns of solar insolation changes patterns of rainfall. Put most simply, less sunlight, leads to less evaporation, leads to less rainfall. But also the large-scale weather patterns are fundamentally created by heating at the tropics and cooling at the poles, and you change that, you change the winds, you move rainfall around.

    So my big worry with something like this is that you would mess with rainfall patterns. When you do that you create droughts in some areas and floods in others and, given the immature economies in many countries, famine then follows. No. Just no.

    We have the technology to replace all use of fossil fuels. It's simply a matter of investment to replace one set of technology with the other, and that is happening. We could argue about policies that would speed this up a bit, or make it slower, but I'm struggling to see how there could be much significant fossil fuel combustion in the last few decades of this century.

    Any temptation to engage in solar geoengineering would be better directed to CO2 sequestration, or speeding up the now inevitable phasing out of fossil fuels.
    My big worry is that humans have a reputation and track record of trying to fix one problem and making other things worse. Cane toads spring to mind.

    I do not necessarily think that something like this would or could happen with this, but you don't know our luck...

    I also take issue a bit with the idea that the planet's temperature was "correct" in the pre-industrial age, and that we should return to it, or at least stop where we are. Generally in UK terms more people die of cold than heat (by a long way).

    There are global impacts of climate change and we should do everything we can to help countries affected, but we also need to understand that natural disasters have always happened. The best approach is to build better homes in places that won't be flooded out.

    The arguments that crops will suffer in hotter weather doesn't really match food production graphs for the last 100 years.

    But I still cycle back to - what should the best temperature for the world be?
    Two points I would make.

    1. Change itself is disruptive. You might be able to argue that a different temperature was more optimal, in an abstract way but generally our agriculture, infrastructure and societies have grown up in a way adapted to the current temperature, and adapting to a different temperature would be massively disruptive and a lot of people would suffer during the transition.

    It feels like a very Stalinist approach to people to argue that purposefully changing global temperature, with all its knock-on effects will be more optimal for society as a whole. Eventually.

    2. Almost all the time it's not temperature itself that is directly the biggest problem, but the impact the change in temperature has on water.

    Increase the temperature and you melt ice, you expand the oceans and so then you flood coastal infrastructure and immensely agriculturally important river deltas.

    Increase the temperature, see ice melts at the poles, reduce the temperature gradient between the tropics and the poles and you change wind (and therefore rainfall) patterns everywhere. Why do we grow the crops we grow where we grow them? Mainly due to water availability. Mess with that and you potentially wreck our ability to grow enough food to feed everyone.
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 48,287
    The felling of the tree is mind-bendingly despicable. Whoever did it needs to be thrown in the cold North Sea, on a stormy night. From a high cliff. Tied in barbed wire

    But why? What is the possible motive? Drive a long long way at midnight to carefully fell a tree with a heavy chainsaw. Why??

  • Options
    FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,026
    edited September 2023
    algarkirk said:

    Eabhal said:

    During our cycle tour across northern England a few weeks ago. My girlfriend gave it a hug.


    Saw it just last week. For the far north of England it is probably the single most memorable tree there is. Or was.

    I think I'll have to visit the Major Oak next week just in case.


    Sycamore will coppice unless someone treats the stump but it is going to look pretty miserable for a good 30-50 years and the shape will never be quite as photogenic.

    I have been there but any photographs are probably on slides...
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 48,287

    algarkirk said:

    Eabhal said:

    During our cycle tour across northern England a few weeks ago. My girlfriend gave it a hug.


    Saw it just last week. For the far north of England it is probably the single most memorable tree there is. Or was.

    I think I'll have to visit the Major Oak next week just in case.


    Sycamore will coppice unless someone treats the stump but it is going to look pretty miserable for a good 30-50 years and the shape will never be quite as photogenic.

    I have been there but any photographs are probably on slides...
    I don’t know enough about trees but can’t they replant a fairly mature one? At least give it a head start

    The anger about this is off the dial on X. Possibly worse than The Crooked Pub. At least there you could see a hideous, venal motivation
  • Options
    EabhalEabhal Posts: 6,393
    I'm surprised there hasn't been a BBC push notification about it.

    I was getting 5 a day for Russell Brand.
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    LeonLeon Posts: 48,287
    Foxy said:

    Phil said:

    I regret to inform you that HS2 is woke now: https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/24157181/rishi-sunak-derail-woke-hs2-billions-could-saved/

    It’s going to be all culture war, all the time from now till the election isn’t it?

    Woke is now a meaningless word meaning "I don't like it". Bully XL are now woke.
    Woke is not meaningless. You just don’t like it because it is an effective pejorative
  • Options
    Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 25,848
    edited September 2023
    Carnyx said:

    How does the Sun know? They haven't even got any trains yet, never mind run them in rainbow colour schemes.
    I believe this all stems from @Leon's journalist friend writing a piece about HS2's woke policies in the Spectator - not the first time I've seen this referred to online, so a bit of a scoop for him I think. Suffice it to say they're extremely woke.
  • Options
    AlistairMAlistairM Posts: 2,004
    Leon said:

    The felling of the tree is mind-bendingly despicable. Whoever did it needs to be thrown in the cold North Sea, on a stormy night. From a high cliff. Tied in barbed wire

    But why? What is the possible motive? Drive a long long way at midnight to carefully fell a tree with a heavy chainsaw. Why??

    It must have been one of the most iconic and photogenic trees in this country, if not the world.

    To cheer me up, what are the others in the UK and further afield? Anyone have any suggestions?
  • Options
    EabhalEabhal Posts: 6,393
    edited September 2023
    Leon said:

    algarkirk said:

    Eabhal said:

    During our cycle tour across northern England a few weeks ago. My girlfriend gave it a hug.


    Saw it just last week. For the far north of England it is probably the single most memorable tree there is. Or was.

    I think I'll have to visit the Major Oak next week just in case.


    Sycamore will coppice unless someone treats the stump but it is going to look pretty miserable for a good 30-50 years and the shape will never be quite as photogenic.

    I have been there but any photographs are probably on slides...
    I don’t know enough about trees but can’t they replant a fairly mature one? At least give it a head start

    The anger about this is off the dial on X. Possibly worse than The Crooked Pub. At least there you could see a hideous, venal motivation
    People were tying themselves to trees in Sheffield.

    If you had come across them approaching the Sycamore with a chainsaw, what would you have done?
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 40,521
    Leon said:

    The felling of the tree is mind-bendingly despicable. Whoever did it needs to be thrown in the cold North Sea, on a stormy night. From a high cliff. Tied in barbed wire

    But why? What is the possible motive? Drive a long long way at midnight to carefully fell a tree with a heavy chainsaw. Why??

    It's not that far from the road. Though you'd need final pedestrian access unless with a quad bike or similar.

    Another point: the choice of a stormy night.
  • Options
    Eabhal said:

    I'm surprised there hasn't been a BBC push notification about it.

    I was getting 5 a day for Russell Brand.

    Sky reporting on it just now
  • Options
    Leon said:

    The felling of the tree is mind-bendingly despicable. Whoever did it needs to be thrown in the cold North Sea, on a stormy night. From a high cliff. Tied in barbed wire

    But why? What is the possible motive? Drive a long long way at midnight to carefully fell a tree with a heavy chainsaw. Why??

    It could be trolling.

    I've never understood what motivates trolls, but perhaps someone has decided they needed to troll more people in a more dramatic way.
  • Options
    eristdooferistdoof Posts: 4,951

    AlsoLei said:

    Nigelb said:

    .

    Nigelb said:

    Nigelb said:

    Nigelb said:

    A geoengineering proposal to address global warming.
    Looks pretty good to me.

    https://nephewjonathan.substack.com/p/diy-geoengineering-the-whitepaper
    ...Global warming, though not ocean acidification, is quickly and cheaply reversed by ejecting calcite nanoparticles (with an average radius in the ~90nm range) into the stratosphere, using a propeller-based system to prevent particle clumping. The particles should be carried up by hydrogen balloons, and very preferably released over the tropics. The total amount needed will be on the order of several hundred kilotons yearly, and the total cost should be somewhere between $1B and $5B yearly.

    Let's go through this piece by piece...


    Even if the cost is out by an order of magnitude, it could easily be funded by (for instance) the EU on its own.

    If it goes wrong, how easily can it be reversed? And who is to judge whether or not it works?
    It's OK, you do it over the tropics so if anything goes wrong it's not us who will be affected. Genius!
    Can you suggest what there is to "go wrong" ?

    Point is that if it works, it works. If it doesn't, it's just a lot of non toxic dust in the atmosphere for a fairly short time. Which happens every time a wind blows across the Sahara.

    The reason did doing it in the tropics is that that's where the effect (as we've seen with what happened with the marine diesel sulphur ban) is most pronounced.
    What can possibly go wrong with reducing the amount of sunlight reaching areas of the world where people rely on it to grow food and are already often food-insecure... Hmm let me think.
    We've already done much the same experiment (unwittingly) while freight shipping was pumping sulphur dioxide aerosol into the atmosphere. Setting aside the ocean acidification resulting (which isn't a thing with this idea) there weren't such effects.

    And in any event, the effects of excessive temperatures on crop growth will be far greater than anything resulting from a small increase in solar energy being reflected back into space.

    If there are possible objections to the experiment, I think this one is pretty feeble.
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Year_Without_a_Summer

    Seems a bit risky to me. Why not just decarbonise our economy instead of creating additional potential risks for the poorest people in the world, who have played almost no role in creating this problem.
    You're comparing a controlled, measured process with a massive volcanic eruption ?

    Sounds a bit bollocks to me.

    And not 'instead'; as well as.
    We need both, since decarbonisation will take too long to prevent serious consequences for precisely those 'poorest people in the world'.
    Human meddling has screwed up the planet.

    What do we need? More human meddling!

    Fecking genius.
    I think it sounds something that should be considered, particularly as hoping that the West, let alone China and India, going to all start wearing hair shirts as many green activists would like is just not going to happen. However, in answer to the question "what could go wrong", I would suggest that as the Earth has so many variables then it could result in an extreme "correction" which could, in extremis, lead to rapid cooling. IMHO an ice age would be even less palatable than global warming. Proceed with extreme caution might be sensible.
    To be fair, mitigation of the temperature rise through reduced insolation (as proposed here) is less likely to result in an overcorrection than most of the other large-scale geoengineering schemes that have been suggested (such as enhanced weathering).

    The big problem is that it would do nothing to stop ocean acidification, so only solves part of the problem.

    It's the sort of thing we might want to test on a limited basis, but keep full-scale deployment in reserve to be used only in an emergency situation.
    There's some analysis that blames sulphate emissions from North America for an increase in Sahel region drought - which hasn't been so bad since sulphate emissions were reduced. The mechanism is that changing patterns of solar insolation changes patterns of rainfall. Put most simply, less sunlight, leads to less evaporation, leads to less rainfall. But also the large-scale weather patterns are fundamentally created by heating at the tropics and cooling at the poles, and you change that, you change the winds, you move rainfall around.

    So my big worry with something like this is that you would mess with rainfall patterns. When you do that you create droughts in some areas and floods in others and, given the immature economies in many countries, famine then follows. No. Just no.

    We have the technology to replace all use of fossil fuels. It's simply a matter of investment to replace one set of technology with the other, and that is happening. We could argue about policies that would speed this up a bit, or make it slower, but I'm struggling to see how there could be much significant fossil fuel combustion in the last few decades of this century.

    Any temptation to engage in solar geoengineering would be better directed to CO2 sequestration, or speeding up the now inevitable phasing out of fossil fuels.
    "We have the technology to replace all use of fossil fuels. It's simply a matter of investment to replace one set of technology with the other, and that is happening."

    The real challenge will be to geniunely *replace* the use of fossil fuels. There will be massive pressure to make use of sustainable energy sources AND to use the fossil fuels as well. As sustainable energy gets cheaper and more practical so too will the price of oil and coal.* Our appetite for energy is almost limitless.




    *I remember a comment on PB that this won't happen because it will become unprofitable to extract. This can only happen on a very long term effect if left to the free market, as once a few "extractors" give up bringing coal/oil to market, the supply decreases and so the price will hold up.
  • Options
    boulayboulay Posts: 4,325
    Leon said:

    algarkirk said:

    Eabhal said:

    During our cycle tour across northern England a few weeks ago. My girlfriend gave it a hug.


    Saw it just last week. For the far north of England it is probably the single most memorable tree there is. Or was.

    I think I'll have to visit the Major Oak next week just in case.


    Sycamore will coppice unless someone treats the stump but it is going to look pretty miserable for a good 30-50 years and the shape will never be quite as photogenic.

    I have been there but any photographs are probably on slides...
    I don’t know enough about trees but can’t they replant a fairly mature one? At least give it a head start

    The anger about this is off the dial on X. Possibly worse than The Crooked Pub. At least there you could see a hideous, venal motivation
    They should make a stake from the remains of the tree, stick it in the ruins of the Crooked Pub and allow people to come and lob bricks from the ruins at the culprit. Any other mindless vandals can then receive the same fate.

    I cannot work out any reason for cutting it down, it doesn’t block a right of way, or block a sea view from a new sandbanks type house - not that they are justifiable but that happens. Just plain disgraceful.
  • Options
    darkagedarkage Posts: 4,835

    Fewer than half of trainee GPs go on to work full time for the NHS
    High dropout rate has left health service increasingly reliant on foreign doctors to fill vacancies, report warns

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/09/27/trainee-doctors-full-time-nhs/ (£££)

    Link to the source think tank report:-
    https://www.nuffieldtrust.org.uk/research/waste-not-want-not-strategies-to-improve-the-supply-of-clinical-staff-to-the-nhs

    Every analysis of work and why people stay in jobs, comes to the conclusion that salary is just a part of it. A big part, but not the deciding factor, for many.

    NHS employment practises and organisation resembles those of the 1970s U.K. car industry. Incompetent and pointless strife everywhere.

    When other car companies came to the U.K. in the 80s, they achieved harmony, productivity and a satisfied workforce. All the while, in the legacy industry, the same old nonsense staggered on. And this was with the same pool of workers and management - most of the people working in the new industry were from the old.

    An organisation is a machine to help humans achieve things en masse. Ergonomics, anyone?
    I'd agree. In the case of doctors, it probably starts from admitting the wrong medical students. Any bright 16-18 year-old on the science side will see medicine as the holy grail, or at least a route to £100,000 a year, whether suited to it (whatever that means, which we do not know) or not. And retention seems to have got worse since the personal statement was needed to get into medical school, which is counter-intuitive but if it is not working, scrap it.

    In the case of GPs in particular, we are 950 full-time GPs short, apparently, which likely creates a vicious circle making the work more stressful for those remaining, so GPs and trainee GPs are more likely to drop out, which... and so on.

    We know from recent allegations that life for trainees, and especially female ones, can be fraught owing to sexualised banter or worse.

    We can see from fly-on-the-wall documentaries that the first problem on a new job is finding out where everything is because no-one in the NHS has thought to label the cupboards, let alone bought windowed doors like your granny had for her saucers in 1956.

    And whisper this, sometimes lady doctors want time off for babies.

    Foundation years training has to be committed to long in advance, which ought to be unnecessary now we have computers.

    Surgical training requires trainees to badger their seniors to be allowed into theatre. This could easily be arranged in advance.

    And so on. There are lots of these "small" irritations that could easily be removed but aren't because ministers are more interested in top-down revolutions every five to ten years.
    BIB. Don't whisper this, shout it from the rooftops. Its a feature, not a bug.

    Healthcare is increasingly feminised. Arguably nursing always was, but now Pharmacy is trending more and more female too. I just met my new first year tutees (7 of them). It was a shock that 5 were male, as the cohort overall will skew heavily female.

    It is an issue to be dealt with that women will have babies and when they do, many of them decide that part time work or even stopping for a few years is what they want. This shouldn't be a surprise, but we should plan for it.

    My wife is in her ninth month of maternity leave and will be going back in the new year to a 60% role, rather than 100%. Having babies changes people. Its up to those who plan workforces to understand that and deal with it.
    I suppose the question this poses is whether it is acceptable to say that a) women are more likely than men to go in to part time working (assuming this is actually true?), and b) that it may be desirable to find ways of getting more men to train as doctors.

    The one thing I would observe though is that medicine doesn't seem to be a particularly financially lucrative career, it seems to be highly stressed, particularly given that things will go wrong and it is literally a matter of life or death. There are much easier ways of earning the same amount of money if you are highly skilled. I am aware of some male doctors that I knew at University (20 years ago) dropping out for this reason.

  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 48,287
    AlistairM said:

    Leon said:

    The felling of the tree is mind-bendingly despicable. Whoever did it needs to be thrown in the cold North Sea, on a stormy night. From a high cliff. Tied in barbed wire

    But why? What is the possible motive? Drive a long long way at midnight to carefully fell a tree with a heavy chainsaw. Why??

    It must have been one of the most iconic and photogenic trees in this country, if not the world.

    To cheer me up, what are the others in the UK and further afield? Anyone have any suggestions?
    Elizabeth’s oak at Hatfield. Not remotely as photogenic, but in a beautiful place with that gorgeous history…

    The giant sequoias in California - obviously. They are so impressive they made me cry

    The famous banyan tree growing out of the temple at Angkor Wat. Fabulous

    I’ll try and think of more…
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 48,287
    The tree has actually made me quite depressed
  • Options
    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,327

    Leon said:

    The felling of the tree is mind-bendingly despicable. Whoever did it needs to be thrown in the cold North Sea, on a stormy night. From a high cliff. Tied in barbed wire

    But why? What is the possible motive? Drive a long long way at midnight to carefully fell a tree with a heavy chainsaw. Why??

    It could be trolling.

    I've never understood what motivates trolls, but perhaps someone has decided they needed to troll more people in a more dramatic way.
    But how many people would be able to chop a tree down like that without injuring or killing themselves in the process? That's the odd bit about it.
  • Options
    FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,026
    Leon said:

    algarkirk said:

    Eabhal said:

    During our cycle tour across northern England a few weeks ago. My girlfriend gave it a hug.


    Saw it just last week. For the far north of England it is probably the single most memorable tree there is. Or was.

    I think I'll have to visit the Major Oak next week just in case.


    Sycamore will coppice unless someone treats the stump but it is going to look pretty miserable for a good 30-50 years and the shape will never be quite as photogenic.

    I have been there but any photographs are probably on slides...
    I don’t know enough about trees but can’t they replant a fairly mature one? At least give it a head start

    The anger about this is off the dial on X. Possibly worse than The Crooked Pub. At least there you could see a hideous, venal motivation

    They won't need to replant it. It will sprout like mad unless it is also poisoned.

    In the very long term this will actually prolong the life of the tree but I don't think that was the intention.

    There's no way to plant a large tree without it blowing down - you just can't get the roots in properly, particularly in the sort of ground available there.


    Perhaps it was the Russians in revenge for Sevastopol...but I'd guess at local planning issues.
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 40,521
    edited September 2023
    Leon said:

    AlistairM said:

    Leon said:

    The felling of the tree is mind-bendingly despicable. Whoever did it needs to be thrown in the cold North Sea, on a stormy night. From a high cliff. Tied in barbed wire

    But why? What is the possible motive? Drive a long long way at midnight to carefully fell a tree with a heavy chainsaw. Why??

    It must have been one of the most iconic and photogenic trees in this country, if not the world.

    To cheer me up, what are the others in the UK and further afield? Anyone have any suggestions?
    Elizabeth’s oak at Hatfield. Not remotely as photogenic, but in a beautiful place with that gorgeous history…

    The giant sequoias in California - obviously. They are so impressive they made me cry

    The famous banyan tree growing out of the temple at Angkor Wat. Fabulous

    I’ll try and think of more…
    The Oxford Plane. Not at its best here, but I remember visiting and being woken up by my host to go and see it early on a sunny Sunday morning before the traffic came.

    https://www.google.com/maps/@51.7527553,-1.251459,3a,75y,295.21h,85.9t/data=!3m6!1e1!3m4!1s5IwAtoK5Qi2ZLafQLcvG6Q!2e0!7i16384!8i8192?entry=ttu

    Edit: it fits so superbly into the curve of the High Street, and has for many. many decades.
  • Options

    Carnyx said:

    How does the Sun know? They haven't even got any trains yet, never mind run them in rainbow colour schemes.
    I believe this all stems from @Leon's journalist friend writing a piece about HS2's woke policies in the Spectator - not the first time I've seen this referred to online, so a bit of a scoop for him I think. Suffice it to say they're extremely woke.
    I know someone - a gay woman - who used to work for HS2. If being seen as a gay-friendly employer helped them to hire good people, I don't really see why that is such a bad thing. As an explanation for being six times over budget, "woke" doesn't strike me as a plausible candidate, not gonna lie.
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 40,521
    edited September 2023
    tlg86 said:

    Leon said:

    The felling of the tree is mind-bendingly despicable. Whoever did it needs to be thrown in the cold North Sea, on a stormy night. From a high cliff. Tied in barbed wire

    But why? What is the possible motive? Drive a long long way at midnight to carefully fell a tree with a heavy chainsaw. Why??

    It could be trolling.

    I've never understood what motivates trolls, but perhaps someone has decided they needed to troll more people in a more dramatic way.
    But how many people would be able to chop a tree down like that without injuring or killing themselves in the process? That's the odd bit about it.
    In the dark too and in windy weather ...
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 40,521
    Leon said:

    The tree has actually made me quite depressed

    Not the only one.
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 48,287
    edited September 2023

    Leon said:

    algarkirk said:

    Eabhal said:

    During our cycle tour across northern England a few weeks ago. My girlfriend gave it a hug.


    Saw it just last week. For the far north of England it is probably the single most memorable tree there is. Or was.

    I think I'll have to visit the Major Oak next week just in case.


    Sycamore will coppice unless someone treats the stump but it is going to look pretty miserable for a good 30-50 years and the shape will never be quite as photogenic.

    I have been there but any photographs are probably on slides...
    I don’t know enough about trees but can’t they replant a fairly mature one? At least give it a head start

    The anger about this is off the dial on X. Possibly worse than The Crooked Pub. At least there you could see a hideous, venal motivation

    They won't need to replant it. It will sprout like mad unless it is also poisoned.

    In the very long term this will actually prolong the life of the tree but I don't think that was the intention.

    There's no way to plant a large tree without it blowing down - you just can't get the roots in properly, particularly in the sort of ground available there.


    Perhaps it was the Russians in revenge for Sevastopol...but I'd guess at local planning issues.

    Weirdly I hope there is a motive, and we find the evil villain

    The idea it is mindless sociopathic vandalism is even bleaker. But I struggle to see any planning issues all the way up there?!
  • Options
    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 45,196
    eristdoof said:

    AlsoLei said:

    Nigelb said:

    .

    Nigelb said:

    Nigelb said:

    Nigelb said:

    A geoengineering proposal to address global warming.
    Looks pretty good to me.

    https://nephewjonathan.substack.com/p/diy-geoengineering-the-whitepaper
    ...Global warming, though not ocean acidification, is quickly and cheaply reversed by ejecting calcite nanoparticles (with an average radius in the ~90nm range) into the stratosphere, using a propeller-based system to prevent particle clumping. The particles should be carried up by hydrogen balloons, and very preferably released over the tropics. The total amount needed will be on the order of several hundred kilotons yearly, and the total cost should be somewhere between $1B and $5B yearly.

    Let's go through this piece by piece...


    Even if the cost is out by an order of magnitude, it could easily be funded by (for instance) the EU on its own.

    If it goes wrong, how easily can it be reversed? And who is to judge whether or not it works?
    It's OK, you do it over the tropics so if anything goes wrong it's not us who will be affected. Genius!
    Can you suggest what there is to "go wrong" ?

    Point is that if it works, it works. If it doesn't, it's just a lot of non toxic dust in the atmosphere for a fairly short time. Which happens every time a wind blows across the Sahara.

    The reason did doing it in the tropics is that that's where the effect (as we've seen with what happened with the marine diesel sulphur ban) is most pronounced.
    What can possibly go wrong with reducing the amount of sunlight reaching areas of the world where people rely on it to grow food and are already often food-insecure... Hmm let me think.
    We've already done much the same experiment (unwittingly) while freight shipping was pumping sulphur dioxide aerosol into the atmosphere. Setting aside the ocean acidification resulting (which isn't a thing with this idea) there weren't such effects.

    And in any event, the effects of excessive temperatures on crop growth will be far greater than anything resulting from a small increase in solar energy being reflected back into space.

    If there are possible objections to the experiment, I think this one is pretty feeble.
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Year_Without_a_Summer

    Seems a bit risky to me. Why not just decarbonise our economy instead of creating additional potential risks for the poorest people in the world, who have played almost no role in creating this problem.
    You're comparing a controlled, measured process with a massive volcanic eruption ?

    Sounds a bit bollocks to me.

    And not 'instead'; as well as.
    We need both, since decarbonisation will take too long to prevent serious consequences for precisely those 'poorest people in the world'.
    Human meddling has screwed up the planet.

    What do we need? More human meddling!

    Fecking genius.
    I think it sounds something that should be considered, particularly as hoping that the West, let alone China and India, going to all start wearing hair shirts as many green activists would like is just not going to happen. However, in answer to the question "what could go wrong", I would suggest that as the Earth has so many variables then it could result in an extreme "correction" which could, in extremis, lead to rapid cooling. IMHO an ice age would be even less palatable than global warming. Proceed with extreme caution might be sensible.
    To be fair, mitigation of the temperature rise through reduced insolation (as proposed here) is less likely to result in an overcorrection than most of the other large-scale geoengineering schemes that have been suggested (such as enhanced weathering).

    The big problem is that it would do nothing to stop ocean acidification, so only solves part of the problem.

    It's the sort of thing we might want to test on a limited basis, but keep full-scale deployment in reserve to be used only in an emergency situation.
    There's some analysis that blames sulphate emissions from North America for an increase in Sahel region drought - which hasn't been so bad since sulphate emissions were reduced. The mechanism is that changing patterns of solar insolation changes patterns of rainfall. Put most simply, less sunlight, leads to less evaporation, leads to less rainfall. But also the large-scale weather patterns are fundamentally created by heating at the tropics and cooling at the poles, and you change that, you change the winds, you move rainfall around.

    So my big worry with something like this is that you would mess with rainfall patterns. When you do that you create droughts in some areas and floods in others and, given the immature economies in many countries, famine then follows. No. Just no.

    We have the technology to replace all use of fossil fuels. It's simply a matter of investment to replace one set of technology with the other, and that is happening. We could argue about policies that would speed this up a bit, or make it slower, but I'm struggling to see how there could be much significant fossil fuel combustion in the last few decades of this century.

    Any temptation to engage in solar geoengineering would be better directed to CO2 sequestration, or speeding up the now inevitable phasing out of fossil fuels.
    "We have the technology to replace all use of fossil fuels. It's simply a matter of investment to replace one set of technology with the other, and that is happening."

    The real challenge will be to geniunely *replace* the use of fossil fuels. There will be massive pressure to make use of sustainable energy sources AND to use the fossil fuels as well. As sustainable energy gets cheaper and more practical so too will the price of oil and coal.* Our appetite for energy is almost limitless.




    *I remember a comment on PB that this won't happen because it will become unprofitable to extract. This can only happen on a very long term effect if left to the free market, as once a few "extractors" give up bringing coal/oil to market, the supply decreases and so the price will hold up.
    In the US, the remaining coal companies are in trouble. Building solar and wind is a better investment for power generation in many states - Texas! - than coal fired power stations.

    This has the interesting effect that the coal lobby in politics is shrinking as the money goes away.

    Big Wind (ha!!) and Big Solar lobbies are forming…
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 48,287

    Carnyx said:

    How does the Sun know? They haven't even got any trains yet, never mind run them in rainbow colour schemes.
    I believe this all stems from @Leon's journalist friend writing a piece about HS2's woke policies in the Spectator - not the first time I've seen this referred to online, so a bit of a scoop for him I think. Suffice it to say they're extremely woke.
    I know someone - a gay woman - who used to work for HS2. If being seen as a gay-friendly employer helped them to hire good people, I don't really see why that is such a bad thing. As an explanation for being six times over budget, "woke" doesn't strike me as a plausible candidate, not gonna lie.
    You need to read the original source article in the Spectator. The Sun has clearly lifted its article from there; likewise the Mail


    https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/the-deep-absurdity-of-hs2-diversitys-agenda/
  • Options
    FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,026
    Carnyx said:

    tlg86 said:

    Leon said:

    The felling of the tree is mind-bendingly despicable. Whoever did it needs to be thrown in the cold North Sea, on a stormy night. From a high cliff. Tied in barbed wire

    But why? What is the possible motive? Drive a long long way at midnight to carefully fell a tree with a heavy chainsaw. Why??

    It could be trolling.

    I've never understood what motivates trolls, but perhaps someone has decided they needed to troll more people in a more dramatic way.
    But how many people would be able to chop a tree down like that without injuring or killing themselves in the process? That's the odd bit about it.
    In the dark too and in windy weather ...
    It is a very professional job. That's not something a random troll off the street could do.
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 48,287

    Carnyx said:

    tlg86 said:

    Leon said:

    The felling of the tree is mind-bendingly despicable. Whoever did it needs to be thrown in the cold North Sea, on a stormy night. From a high cliff. Tied in barbed wire

    But why? What is the possible motive? Drive a long long way at midnight to carefully fell a tree with a heavy chainsaw. Why??

    It could be trolling.

    I've never understood what motivates trolls, but perhaps someone has decided they needed to troll more people in a more dramatic way.
    But how many people would be able to chop a tree down like that without injuring or killing themselves in the process? That's the odd bit about it.
    In the dark too and in windy weather ...
    It is a very professional job. That's not something a random troll off the street could do.
    If they do find the person, that person will have to emigrate. It’s that bad
  • Options
    Leon said:

    AlistairM said:

    Leon said:

    The felling of the tree is mind-bendingly despicable. Whoever did it needs to be thrown in the cold North Sea, on a stormy night. From a high cliff. Tied in barbed wire

    But why? What is the possible motive? Drive a long long way at midnight to carefully fell a tree with a heavy chainsaw. Why??

    It must have been one of the most iconic and photogenic trees in this country, if not the world.

    To cheer me up, what are the others in the UK and further afield? Anyone have any suggestions?
    Elizabeth’s oak at Hatfield. Not remotely as photogenic, but in a beautiful place with that gorgeous history…

    The giant sequoias in California - obviously. They are so impressive they made me cry

    The famous banyan tree growing out of the temple at Angkor Wat. Fabulous

    I’ll try and think of more…
    There's the The Oak of Honor in Honor Oak Park.

    OK, it's south London, but you can't have everything.

    What kind of sicko goes to the trouble cutting down a tree like that?

    Oh, and Collingwood's Oaks. There was a man with the right attitude. Annoy a Frenchman, plant a tree.
  • Options
    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 19,419
    Foil Arms and Hog (comedy sketchshow)
    Today's episode: Getting Past Northern Irish Immigration
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GV9XZxmJFDM
  • Options
    LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 15,994
    edited September 2023
    darkage said:

    Fewer than half of trainee GPs go on to work full time for the NHS
    High dropout rate has left health service increasingly reliant on foreign doctors to fill vacancies, report warns

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/09/27/trainee-doctors-full-time-nhs/ (£££)

    Link to the source think tank report:-
    https://www.nuffieldtrust.org.uk/research/waste-not-want-not-strategies-to-improve-the-supply-of-clinical-staff-to-the-nhs

    Every analysis of work and why people stay in jobs, comes to the conclusion that salary is just a part of it. A big part, but not the deciding factor, for many.

    NHS employment practises and organisation resembles those of the 1970s U.K. car industry. Incompetent and pointless strife everywhere.

    When other car companies came to the U.K. in the 80s, they achieved harmony, productivity and a satisfied workforce. All the while, in the legacy industry, the same old nonsense staggered on. And this was with the same pool of workers and management - most of the people working in the new industry were from the old.

    An organisation is a machine to help humans achieve things en masse. Ergonomics, anyone?
    I'd agree. In the case of doctors, it probably starts from admitting the wrong medical students. Any bright 16-18 year-old on the science side will see medicine as the holy grail, or at least a route to £100,000 a year, whether suited to it (whatever that means, which we do not know) or not. And retention seems to have got worse since the personal statement was needed to get into medical school, which is counter-intuitive but if it is not working, scrap it.

    In the case of GPs in particular, we are 950 full-time GPs short, apparently, which likely creates a vicious circle making the work more stressful for those remaining, so GPs and trainee GPs are more likely to drop out, which... and so on.

    We know from recent allegations that life for trainees, and especially female ones, can be fraught owing to sexualised banter or worse.

    We can see from fly-on-the-wall documentaries that the first problem on a new job is finding out where everything is because no-one in the NHS has thought to label the cupboards, let alone bought windowed doors like your granny had for her saucers in 1956.

    And whisper this, sometimes lady doctors want time off for babies.

    Foundation years training has to be committed to long in advance, which ought to be unnecessary now we have computers.

    Surgical training requires trainees to badger their seniors to be allowed into theatre. This could easily be arranged in advance.

    And so on. There are lots of these "small" irritations that could easily be removed but aren't because ministers are more interested in top-down revolutions every five to ten years.
    BIB. Don't whisper this, shout it from the rooftops. Its a feature, not a bug.

    Healthcare is increasingly feminised. Arguably nursing always was, but now Pharmacy is trending more and more female too. I just met my new first year tutees (7 of them). It was a shock that 5 were male, as the cohort overall will skew heavily female.

    It is an issue to be dealt with that women will have babies and when they do, many of them decide that part time work or even stopping for a few years is what they want. This shouldn't be a surprise, but we should plan for it.

    My wife is in her ninth month of maternity leave and will be going back in the new year to a 60% role, rather than 100%. Having babies changes people. Its up to those who plan workforces to understand that and deal with it.
    I suppose the question this poses is whether it is acceptable to say that a) women are more likely than men to go in to part time working (assuming this is actually true?), and b) that it may be desirable to find ways of getting more men to train as doctors.

    The one thing I would observe though is that medicine doesn't seem to be a particularly financially lucrative career, it seems to be highly stressed, particularly given that things will go wrong and it is literally a matter of life or death. There are much easier ways of earning the same amount of money if you are highly skilled. I am aware of some male doctors that I knew at University (20 years ago) dropping out for this reason.
    We should encourage men to play an equal role in parenting. If mother's and father's are, on average, taking the same amount of parental leave then there's no temptation to introduce discriminatory hiring processes.
  • Options

    Leon said:

    The felling of the tree is mind-bendingly despicable. Whoever did it needs to be thrown in the cold North Sea, on a stormy night. From a high cliff. Tied in barbed wire

    But why? What is the possible motive? Drive a long long way at midnight to carefully fell a tree with a heavy chainsaw. Why??

    It could be trolling.

    I've never understood what motivates trolls, but perhaps someone has decided they needed to troll more people in a more dramatic way.
    Yes, some people don't care how much damage they do; for them it's all worth it if it upsets the right people.
  • Options
    darkage said:

    Fewer than half of trainee GPs go on to work full time for the NHS
    High dropout rate has left health service increasingly reliant on foreign doctors to fill vacancies, report warns

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/09/27/trainee-doctors-full-time-nhs/ (£££)

    Link to the source think tank report:-
    https://www.nuffieldtrust.org.uk/research/waste-not-want-not-strategies-to-improve-the-supply-of-clinical-staff-to-the-nhs

    Every analysis of work and why people stay in jobs, comes to the conclusion that salary is just a part of it. A big part, but not the deciding factor, for many.

    NHS employment practises and organisation resembles those of the 1970s U.K. car industry. Incompetent and pointless strife everywhere.

    When other car companies came to the U.K. in the 80s, they achieved harmony, productivity and a satisfied workforce. All the while, in the legacy industry, the same old nonsense staggered on. And this was with the same pool of workers and management - most of the people working in the new industry were from the old.

    An organisation is a machine to help humans achieve things en masse. Ergonomics, anyone?
    I'd agree. In the case of doctors, it probably starts from admitting the wrong medical students. Any bright 16-18 year-old on the science side will see medicine as the holy grail, or at least a route to £100,000 a year, whether suited to it (whatever that means, which we do not know) or not. And retention seems to have got worse since the personal statement was needed to get into medical school, which is counter-intuitive but if it is not working, scrap it.

    In the case of GPs in particular, we are 950 full-time GPs short, apparently, which likely creates a vicious circle making the work more stressful for those remaining, so GPs and trainee GPs are more likely to drop out, which... and so on.

    We know from recent allegations that life for trainees, and especially female ones, can be fraught owing to sexualised banter or worse.

    We can see from fly-on-the-wall documentaries that the first problem on a new job is finding out where everything is because no-one in the NHS has thought to label the cupboards, let alone bought windowed doors like your granny had for her saucers in 1956.

    And whisper this, sometimes lady doctors want time off for babies.

    Foundation years training has to be committed to long in advance, which ought to be unnecessary now we have computers.

    Surgical training requires trainees to badger their seniors to be allowed into theatre. This could easily be arranged in advance.

    And so on. There are lots of these "small" irritations that could easily be removed but aren't because ministers are more interested in top-down revolutions every five to ten years.
    BIB. Don't whisper this, shout it from the rooftops. Its a feature, not a bug.

    Healthcare is increasingly feminised. Arguably nursing always was, but now Pharmacy is trending more and more female too. I just met my new first year tutees (7 of them). It was a shock that 5 were male, as the cohort overall will skew heavily female.

    It is an issue to be dealt with that women will have babies and when they do, many of them decide that part time work or even stopping for a few years is what they want. This shouldn't be a surprise, but we should plan for it.

    My wife is in her ninth month of maternity leave and will be going back in the new year to a 60% role, rather than 100%. Having babies changes people. Its up to those who plan workforces to understand that and deal with it.
    I suppose the question this poses is whether it is acceptable to say that a) women are more likely than men to go in to part time working (assuming this is actually true?), and b) that it may be desirable to find ways of getting more men to train as doctors.

    The one thing I would observe though is that medicine doesn't seem to be a particularly financially lucrative career, it seems to be highly stressed, particularly given that things will go wrong and it is literally a matter of life or death. There are much easier ways of earning the same amount of money if you are highly skilled. I am aware of some male doctors that I knew at University (20 years ago) dropping out for this reason.

    On the subject of pay, maybe junior doctors' salaries need to be bumped up more aggressively to avoid young doctors being quite so envious that their old school chums who went into management consultancy, law or finance are so far ahead of them in their careers.
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 48,287
    The tree is making me sick at heart. Perhaps we are over-reacting to a tree? Nonetheless it strikes something deep in me. At times like this only poetry can solace. Beauty from destruction


    Binsey Poplars - felled 1879

    By GERARD MANLEY HOPKINS



    My aspens dear, whose airy cages quelled,
    Quelled or quenched in leaves the leaping sun,
    All felled, felled, are all felled;
    Of a fresh and following folded rank
    Not spared, not one
    That dandled a sandalled
    Shadow that swam or sank
    On meadow & river & wind-wandering weed-winding bank.

    O if we but knew what we do
    When we delve or hew —
    Hack and rack the growing green!
    Since country is so tender
    To touch, her being só slender,
    That, like this sleek and seeing ball
    But a prick will make no eye at all,
    Where we, even where we mean
    To mend her we end her,
    When we hew or delve:
    After-comers cannot guess the beauty been.
    Ten or twelve, only ten or twelve
    Strokes of havoc unselve
    The sweet especial scene,
    Rural scene, a rural scene,
    Sweet especial rural scene.
  • Options
    There's a wild hedge near me. Most of it's still there but a few years ago some newcomers who bought adjacent houses hacked it back and, in places, destroyed it entirely (which is technically illegal, I believe). The hedge is reckoned to be 200 years old or so going by the variety of species.

    It was there long before those jesters arrived. Hopefully it'll be there long after they go.

    The felling of that tree will unite almost everyone against it.
  • Options
    AlistairMAlistairM Posts: 2,004
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    algarkirk said:

    Eabhal said:

    During our cycle tour across northern England a few weeks ago. My girlfriend gave it a hug.


    Saw it just last week. For the far north of England it is probably the single most memorable tree there is. Or was.

    I think I'll have to visit the Major Oak next week just in case.


    Sycamore will coppice unless someone treats the stump but it is going to look pretty miserable for a good 30-50 years and the shape will never be quite as photogenic.

    I have been there but any photographs are probably on slides...
    I don’t know enough about trees but can’t they replant a fairly mature one? At least give it a head start

    The anger about this is off the dial on X. Possibly worse than The Crooked Pub. At least there you could see a hideous, venal motivation

    They won't need to replant it. It will sprout like mad unless it is also poisoned.

    In the very long term this will actually prolong the life of the tree but I don't think that was the intention.

    There's no way to plant a large tree without it blowing down - you just can't get the roots in properly, particularly in the sort of ground available there.


    Perhaps it was the Russians in revenge for Sevastopol...but I'd guess at local planning issues.

    Weirdly I hope there is a motive, and we find the evil villain

    The idea it is mindless sociopathic vandalism is even bleaker. But I struggle to see any planning issues all the way up there?!
    The only possible motive would be if a time travelling Roman came forward in time and wanted to rebuild Hadrian's wall and this tree was in the way. Barring that it is pure, mindless vandalism.
  • Options

    darkage said:

    Fewer than half of trainee GPs go on to work full time for the NHS
    High dropout rate has left health service increasingly reliant on foreign doctors to fill vacancies, report warns

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/09/27/trainee-doctors-full-time-nhs/ (£££)

    Link to the source think tank report:-
    https://www.nuffieldtrust.org.uk/research/waste-not-want-not-strategies-to-improve-the-supply-of-clinical-staff-to-the-nhs

    Every analysis of work and why people stay in jobs, comes to the conclusion that salary is just a part of it. A big part, but not the deciding factor, for many.

    NHS employment practises and organisation resembles those of the 1970s U.K. car industry. Incompetent and pointless strife everywhere.

    When other car companies came to the U.K. in the 80s, they achieved harmony, productivity and a satisfied workforce. All the while, in the legacy industry, the same old nonsense staggered on. And this was with the same pool of workers and management - most of the people working in the new industry were from the old.

    An organisation is a machine to help humans achieve things en masse. Ergonomics, anyone?
    I'd agree. In the case of doctors, it probably starts from admitting the wrong medical students. Any bright 16-18 year-old on the science side will see medicine as the holy grail, or at least a route to £100,000 a year, whether suited to it (whatever that means, which we do not know) or not. And retention seems to have got worse since the personal statement was needed to get into medical school, which is counter-intuitive but if it is not working, scrap it.

    In the case of GPs in particular, we are 950 full-time GPs short, apparently, which likely creates a vicious circle making the work more stressful for those remaining, so GPs and trainee GPs are more likely to drop out, which... and so on.

    We know from recent allegations that life for trainees, and especially female ones, can be fraught owing to sexualised banter or worse.

    We can see from fly-on-the-wall documentaries that the first problem on a new job is finding out where everything is because no-one in the NHS has thought to label the cupboards, let alone bought windowed doors like your granny had for her saucers in 1956.

    And whisper this, sometimes lady doctors want time off for babies.

    Foundation years training has to be committed to long in advance, which ought to be unnecessary now we have computers.

    Surgical training requires trainees to badger their seniors to be allowed into theatre. This could easily be arranged in advance.

    And so on. There are lots of these "small" irritations that could easily be removed but aren't because ministers are more interested in top-down revolutions every five to ten years.
    BIB. Don't whisper this, shout it from the rooftops. Its a feature, not a bug.

    Healthcare is increasingly feminised. Arguably nursing always was, but now Pharmacy is trending more and more female too. I just met my new first year tutees (7 of them). It was a shock that 5 were male, as the cohort overall will skew heavily female.

    It is an issue to be dealt with that women will have babies and when they do, many of them decide that part time work or even stopping for a few years is what they want. This shouldn't be a surprise, but we should plan for it.

    My wife is in her ninth month of maternity leave and will be going back in the new year to a 60% role, rather than 100%. Having babies changes people. Its up to those who plan workforces to understand that and deal with it.
    I suppose the question this poses is whether it is acceptable to say that a) women are more likely than men to go in to part time working (assuming this is actually true?), and b) that it may be desirable to find ways of getting more men to train as doctors.

    The one thing I would observe though is that medicine doesn't seem to be a particularly financially lucrative career, it seems to be highly stressed, particularly given that things will go wrong and it is literally a matter of life or death. There are much easier ways of earning the same amount of money if you are highly skilled. I am aware of some male doctors that I knew at University (20 years ago) dropping out for this reason.
    We should encourage men to play an equal role in parenting. If mother's and father's are, on average, taking the same amount of parental leave then there's no temptation to introduce discriminatory hiring processes.
    There's an argument for making it mandatory for both parents to take time off work when they have a baby. A rather tricky argument, admittedly, but something along those lines.
  • Options
    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 27,635
    "GB News should be taken off air, says Conservative MP

    Caroline Nokes calls for Ofcom to shut down the channel after it suspended Dan Wootton and Laurence Fox over a misogyny scandal"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/09/28/caroline-nokes-gb-news-laurence-fox-ava-evans-dan-wootton/
  • Options
    Mr. Password, you can encourage men and women to have equal leave but men won't take it in the same numbers. It's a good thing to have that equal possibility, but for the most part men are career-focused and women are family-focused.

    Little girls are allowed to own toy guns. And yet it's little boys who have them on their Christmas list.
  • Options
    EabhalEabhal Posts: 6,393

    darkage said:

    Fewer than half of trainee GPs go on to work full time for the NHS
    High dropout rate has left health service increasingly reliant on foreign doctors to fill vacancies, report warns

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/09/27/trainee-doctors-full-time-nhs/ (£££)

    Link to the source think tank report:-
    https://www.nuffieldtrust.org.uk/research/waste-not-want-not-strategies-to-improve-the-supply-of-clinical-staff-to-the-nhs

    Every analysis of work and why people stay in jobs, comes to the conclusion that salary is just a part of it. A big part, but not the deciding factor, for many.

    NHS employment practises and organisation resembles those of the 1970s U.K. car industry. Incompetent and pointless strife everywhere.

    When other car companies came to the U.K. in the 80s, they achieved harmony, productivity and a satisfied workforce. All the while, in the legacy industry, the same old nonsense staggered on. And this was with the same pool of workers and management - most of the people working in the new industry were from the old.

    An organisation is a machine to help humans achieve things en masse. Ergonomics, anyone?
    I'd agree. In the case of doctors, it probably starts from admitting the wrong medical students. Any bright 16-18 year-old on the science side will see medicine as the holy grail, or at least a route to £100,000 a year, whether suited to it (whatever that means, which we do not know) or not. And retention seems to have got worse since the personal statement was needed to get into medical school, which is counter-intuitive but if it is not working, scrap it.

    In the case of GPs in particular, we are 950 full-time GPs short, apparently, which likely creates a vicious circle making the work more stressful for those remaining, so GPs and trainee GPs are more likely to drop out, which... and so on.

    We know from recent allegations that life for trainees, and especially female ones, can be fraught owing to sexualised banter or worse.

    We can see from fly-on-the-wall documentaries that the first problem on a new job is finding out where everything is because no-one in the NHS has thought to label the cupboards, let alone bought windowed doors like your granny had for her saucers in 1956.

    And whisper this, sometimes lady doctors want time off for babies.

    Foundation years training has to be committed to long in advance, which ought to be unnecessary now we have computers.

    Surgical training requires trainees to badger their seniors to be allowed into theatre. This could easily be arranged in advance.

    And so on. There are lots of these "small" irritations that could easily be removed but aren't because ministers are more interested in top-down revolutions every five to ten years.
    BIB. Don't whisper this, shout it from the rooftops. Its a feature, not a bug.

    Healthcare is increasingly feminised. Arguably nursing always was, but now Pharmacy is trending more and more female too. I just met my new first year tutees (7 of them). It was a shock that 5 were male, as the cohort overall will skew heavily female.

    It is an issue to be dealt with that women will have babies and when they do, many of them decide that part time work or even stopping for a few years is what they want. This shouldn't be a surprise, but we should plan for it.

    My wife is in her ninth month of maternity leave and will be going back in the new year to a 60% role, rather than 100%. Having babies changes people. Its up to those who plan workforces to understand that and deal with it.
    I suppose the question this poses is whether it is acceptable to say that a) women are more likely than men to go in to part time working (assuming this is actually true?), and b) that it may be desirable to find ways of getting more men to train as doctors.

    The one thing I would observe though is that medicine doesn't seem to be a particularly financially lucrative career, it seems to be highly stressed, particularly given that things will go wrong and it is literally a matter of life or death. There are much easier ways of earning the same amount of money if you are highly skilled. I am aware of some male doctors that I knew at University (20 years ago) dropping out for this reason.
    We should encourage men to play an equal role in parenting. If mother's and father's are, on average, taking the same amount of parental leave then there's no temptation to introduce discriminatory hiring processes.
    There's an argument for making it mandatory for both parents to take time off work when they have a baby. A rather tricky argument, admittedly, but something along those lines.
    Would've saved us from Boris.
  • Options
    EabhalEabhal Posts: 6,393

    darkage said:

    Fewer than half of trainee GPs go on to work full time for the NHS
    High dropout rate has left health service increasingly reliant on foreign doctors to fill vacancies, report warns

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/09/27/trainee-doctors-full-time-nhs/ (£££)

    Link to the source think tank report:-
    https://www.nuffieldtrust.org.uk/research/waste-not-want-not-strategies-to-improve-the-supply-of-clinical-staff-to-the-nhs

    Every analysis of work and why people stay in jobs, comes to the conclusion that salary is just a part of it. A big part, but not the deciding factor, for many.

    NHS employment practises and organisation resembles those of the 1970s U.K. car industry. Incompetent and pointless strife everywhere.

    When other car companies came to the U.K. in the 80s, they achieved harmony, productivity and a satisfied workforce. All the while, in the legacy industry, the same old nonsense staggered on. And this was with the same pool of workers and management - most of the people working in the new industry were from the old.

    An organisation is a machine to help humans achieve things en masse. Ergonomics, anyone?
    I'd agree. In the case of doctors, it probably starts from admitting the wrong medical students. Any bright 16-18 year-old on the science side will see medicine as the holy grail, or at least a route to £100,000 a year, whether suited to it (whatever that means, which we do not know) or not. And retention seems to have got worse since the personal statement was needed to get into medical school, which is counter-intuitive but if it is not working, scrap it.

    In the case of GPs in particular, we are 950 full-time GPs short, apparently, which likely creates a vicious circle making the work more stressful for those remaining, so GPs and trainee GPs are more likely to drop out, which... and so on.

    We know from recent allegations that life for trainees, and especially female ones, can be fraught owing to sexualised banter or worse.

    We can see from fly-on-the-wall documentaries that the first problem on a new job is finding out where everything is because no-one in the NHS has thought to label the cupboards, let alone bought windowed doors like your granny had for her saucers in 1956.

    And whisper this, sometimes lady doctors want time off for babies.

    Foundation years training has to be committed to long in advance, which ought to be unnecessary now we have computers.

    Surgical training requires trainees to badger their seniors to be allowed into theatre. This could easily be arranged in advance.

    And so on. There are lots of these "small" irritations that could easily be removed but aren't because ministers are more interested in top-down revolutions every five to ten years.
    BIB. Don't whisper this, shout it from the rooftops. Its a feature, not a bug.

    Healthcare is increasingly feminised. Arguably nursing always was, but now Pharmacy is trending more and more female too. I just met my new first year tutees (7 of them). It was a shock that 5 were male, as the cohort overall will skew heavily female.

    It is an issue to be dealt with that women will have babies and when they do, many of them decide that part time work or even stopping for a few years is what they want. This shouldn't be a surprise, but we should plan for it.

    My wife is in her ninth month of maternity leave and will be going back in the new year to a 60% role, rather than 100%. Having babies changes people. Its up to those who plan workforces to understand that and deal with it.
    I suppose the question this poses is whether it is acceptable to say that a) women are more likely than men to go in to part time working (assuming this is actually true?), and b) that it may be desirable to find ways of getting more men to train as doctors.

    The one thing I would observe though is that medicine doesn't seem to be a particularly financially lucrative career, it seems to be highly stressed, particularly given that things will go wrong and it is literally a matter of life or death. There are much easier ways of earning the same amount of money if you are highly skilled. I am aware of some male doctors that I knew at University (20 years ago) dropping out for this reason.

    On the subject of pay, maybe junior doctors' salaries need to be bumped up more aggressively to avoid young doctors being quite so envious that their old school chums who went into management consultancy, law or finance are so far ahead of them in their careers.
    The big news in Melbourne is them training up all the UK cops that are coming over. Over 1,000 apparently.

    DA has been warning us about the number of submariners moving over here too.
  • Options
    boulayboulay Posts: 4,325

    darkage said:

    Fewer than half of trainee GPs go on to work full time for the NHS
    High dropout rate has left health service increasingly reliant on foreign doctors to fill vacancies, report warns

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/09/27/trainee-doctors-full-time-nhs/ (£££)

    Link to the source think tank report:-
    https://www.nuffieldtrust.org.uk/research/waste-not-want-not-strategies-to-improve-the-supply-of-clinical-staff-to-the-nhs

    Every analysis of work and why people stay in jobs, comes to the conclusion that salary is just a part of it. A big part, but not the deciding factor, for many.

    NHS employment practises and organisation resembles those of the 1970s U.K. car industry. Incompetent and pointless strife everywhere.

    When other car companies came to the U.K. in the 80s, they achieved harmony, productivity and a satisfied workforce. All the while, in the legacy industry, the same old nonsense staggered on. And this was with the same pool of workers and management - most of the people working in the new industry were from the old.

    An organisation is a machine to help humans achieve things en masse. Ergonomics, anyone?
    I'd agree. In the case of doctors, it probably starts from admitting the wrong medical students. Any bright 16-18 year-old on the science side will see medicine as the holy grail, or at least a route to £100,000 a year, whether suited to it (whatever that means, which we do not know) or not. And retention seems to have got worse since the personal statement was needed to get into medical school, which is counter-intuitive but if it is not working, scrap it.

    In the case of GPs in particular, we are 950 full-time GPs short, apparently, which likely creates a vicious circle making the work more stressful for those remaining, so GPs and trainee GPs are more likely to drop out, which... and so on.

    We know from recent allegations that life for trainees, and especially female ones, can be fraught owing to sexualised banter or worse.

    We can see from fly-on-the-wall documentaries that the first problem on a new job is finding out where everything is because no-one in the NHS has thought to label the cupboards, let alone bought windowed doors like your granny had for her saucers in 1956.

    And whisper this, sometimes lady doctors want time off for babies.

    Foundation years training has to be committed to long in advance, which ought to be unnecessary now we have computers.

    Surgical training requires trainees to badger their seniors to be allowed into theatre. This could easily be arranged in advance.

    And so on. There are lots of these "small" irritations that could easily be removed but aren't because ministers are more interested in top-down revolutions every five to ten years.
    BIB. Don't whisper this, shout it from the rooftops. Its a feature, not a bug.

    Healthcare is increasingly feminised. Arguably nursing always was, but now Pharmacy is trending more and more female too. I just met my new first year tutees (7 of them). It was a shock that 5 were male, as the cohort overall will skew heavily female.

    It is an issue to be dealt with that women will have babies and when they do, many of them decide that part time work or even stopping for a few years is what they want. This shouldn't be a surprise, but we should plan for it.

    My wife is in her ninth month of maternity leave and will be going back in the new year to a 60% role, rather than 100%. Having babies changes people. Its up to those who plan workforces to understand that and deal with it.
    I suppose the question this poses is whether it is acceptable to say that a) women are more likely than men to go in to part time working (assuming this is actually true?), and b) that it may be desirable to find ways of getting more men to train as doctors.

    The one thing I would observe though is that medicine doesn't seem to be a particularly financially lucrative career, it seems to be highly stressed, particularly given that things will go wrong and it is literally a matter of life or death. There are much easier ways of earning the same amount of money if you are highly skilled. I am aware of some male doctors that I knew at University (20 years ago) dropping out for this reason.
    We should encourage men to play an equal role in parenting. If mother's and father's are, on average, taking the same amount of parental leave then there's no temptation to introduce discriminatory hiring processes.
    There still seems, although hopefully fading, a cultural bias to women doing an unequal share.

    I used to get immensely fucked off when my Head of Operations would come and tell me she needed to leave or take time off suddenly due to a sick child. It was never her husband, always her, and it was something I couldn’t force them to change and I would likely have got into some sort of trouble if I had said to her “ X, you are head of ops in a bank, you earn several times what your husband does (I knew him for years and his job and approximate earnings) and your job pays the mortgage and most of your lifestyle - perhaps it would be more appropriate that Y takes the time off and disrupts his business he works for as if it led to one of you losing your job then it makes sense it’s him not you”.

  • Options
    AlsoLeiAlsoLei Posts: 1,002

    Carnyx said:

    How does the Sun know? They haven't even got any trains yet, never mind run them in rainbow colour schemes.
    I believe this all stems from @Leon's journalist friend writing a piece about HS2's woke policies in the Spectator - not the first time I've seen this referred to online, so a bit of a scoop for him I think. Suffice it to say they're extremely woke.
    I know someone - a gay woman - who used to work for HS2. If being seen as a gay-friendly employer helped them to hire good people, I don't really see why that is such a bad thing. As an explanation for being six times over budget, "woke" doesn't strike me as a plausible candidate, not gonna lie.
    Yeah, it just seems like a bog standard set of modern HR policies. You'd expect a relatively young organisation, like HS2, to be a bit more progressive than the average, but none of the stuff complained about feels excessive or unusual to me. If other large employers aren't yet doing similar, it just means that they haven't had a full policy review in the last decade.

    Like it or not, this is the sort of thing you need to do to attract and retain quality staff. It may not be particularly sincere, but then what HR policy is?
  • Options
    Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 4,927
    TSE was going on about leaving B&Q last night with a running chainsaw.

    Just saying.

    But, asides from that :(
  • Options
    algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 10,898
    Leon said:

    The tree is making me sick at heart. Perhaps we are over-reacting to a tree? Nonetheless it strikes something deep in me. At times like this only poetry can solace. Beauty from destruction


    Binsey Poplars - felled 1879

    By GERARD MANLEY HOPKINS



    My aspens dear, whose airy cages quelled,
    Quelled or quenched in leaves the leaping sun,
    All felled, felled, are all felled;
    Of a fresh and following folded rank
    Not spared, not one
    That dandled a sandalled
    Shadow that swam or sank
    On meadow & river & wind-wandering weed-winding bank.

    O if we but knew what we do
    When we delve or hew —
    Hack and rack the growing green!
    Since country is so tender
    To touch, her being só slender,
    That, like this sleek and seeing ball
    But a prick will make no eye at all,
    Where we, even where we mean
    To mend her we end her,
    When we hew or delve:
    After-comers cannot guess the beauty been.
    Ten or twelve, only ten or twelve
    Strokes of havoc unselve
    The sweet especial scene,
    Rural scene, a rural scene,
    Sweet especial rural scene.



    Cowper:

    The Poplars are fell’d, farewell to the shade
    And the whispering sound of the cool colonnade,
    The winds play no longer and sing in the leaves,
    Nor Ouse on his bosom their image receives.

    Twelve years have elapsed since I last took a view
    Of my favourite field and the bank where they grew,
    And now in the grass behold they are laid,
    And the tree is my seat that once lent me a shade.

    The black-bird has fled to another retreat
    Where the hazels afford him a screen from the heat,
    And the scene where his melody charm’d me before,
    Resounds with his sweet-flowing ditty no more.

    My fugitive years are all hasting away,
    And I must e’er long lie as lowly as they,
    With a turf on my breast and a stone at my head
    E’er another such grove shall arise in its stead.

    ’Tis a sight to engage me if any thing can
    To muse on the perishing pleasures of Man;
    Though his life be a dream, his enjoyments, I see,
    Have a Being less durable even than he.

  • Options
    EabhalEabhal Posts: 6,393
    AlsoLei said:

    Carnyx said:

    How does the Sun know? They haven't even got any trains yet, never mind run them in rainbow colour schemes.
    I believe this all stems from @Leon's journalist friend writing a piece about HS2's woke policies in the Spectator - not the first time I've seen this referred to online, so a bit of a scoop for him I think. Suffice it to say they're extremely woke.
    I know someone - a gay woman - who used to work for HS2. If being seen as a gay-friendly employer helped them to hire good people, I don't really see why that is such a bad thing. As an explanation for being six times over budget, "woke" doesn't strike me as a plausible candidate, not gonna lie.
    Yeah, it just seems like a bog standard set of modern HR policies. You'd expect a relatively young organisation, like HS2, to be a bit more progressive than the average, but none of the stuff complained about feels excessive or unusual to me. If other large employers aren't yet doing similar, it just means that they haven't had a full policy review in the last decade.

    Like it or not, this is the sort of thing you need to do to attract and retain quality staff. It may not be particularly sincere, but then what HR policy is?
    The author of that Spectator article seems to think that the length of the reports published represents the proportion of funds that are going on each area.

    I'd much rather the HR team were busy writing reports than doing any tunneling. That could go badly wrong.
  • Options
    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,385

    There is a remarkable lack of analysis of the latest YouGov poll, in stark contrast to that a few days earlier.

    I can't put my finger on why.

    Funny old world.

    So I am on the YouGov panel and have been working my way up to the 50 quid payment for a while. As I've got closer to the points needed, I seem to get asked less and less. I don't think they want to pay me... Anyone else experience this?
    Yes!
  • Options
    LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 15,994
    edited September 2023

    Mr. Password, you can encourage men and women to have equal leave but men won't take it in the same numbers. It's a good thing to have that equal possibility, but for the most part men are career-focused and women are family-focused.

    Little girls are allowed to own toy guns. And yet it's little boys who have them on their Christmas list.

    I don't agree that these differences are fixed and innate and unchangeable. I saw such a large difference in my daughter after she went to school (trains* -> horses) that the social effects seem pretty obvious and large.

    * Though she's now started working for Network Rail.
  • Options
    AlistairMAlistairM Posts: 2,004

    There is a remarkable lack of analysis of the latest YouGov poll, in stark contrast to that a few days earlier.

    I can't put my finger on why.

    Funny old world.

    So I am on the YouGov panel and have been working my way up to the 50 quid payment for a while. As I've got closer to the points needed, I seem to get asked less and less. I don't think they want to pay me... Anyone else experience this?
    Yes!
    Speaking of YouGov. Got this on a question for them today. I'd love to know how many people select any of the options except "Watched TV"?

  • Options
    boulay said:

    darkage said:

    Fewer than half of trainee GPs go on to work full time for the NHS
    High dropout rate has left health service increasingly reliant on foreign doctors to fill vacancies, report warns

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/09/27/trainee-doctors-full-time-nhs/ (£££)

    Link to the source think tank report:-
    https://www.nuffieldtrust.org.uk/research/waste-not-want-not-strategies-to-improve-the-supply-of-clinical-staff-to-the-nhs

    Every analysis of work and why people stay in jobs, comes to the conclusion that salary is just a part of it. A big part, but not the deciding factor, for many.

    NHS employment practises and organisation resembles those of the 1970s U.K. car industry. Incompetent and pointless strife everywhere.

    When other car companies came to the U.K. in the 80s, they achieved harmony, productivity and a satisfied workforce. All the while, in the legacy industry, the same old nonsense staggered on. And this was with the same pool of workers and management - most of the people working in the new industry were from the old.

    An organisation is a machine to help humans achieve things en masse. Ergonomics, anyone?
    I'd agree. In the case of doctors, it probably starts from admitting the wrong medical students. Any bright 16-18 year-old on the science side will see medicine as the holy grail, or at least a route to £100,000 a year, whether suited to it (whatever that means, which we do not know) or not. And retention seems to have got worse since the personal statement was needed to get into medical school, which is counter-intuitive but if it is not working, scrap it.

    In the case of GPs in particular, we are 950 full-time GPs short, apparently, which likely creates a vicious circle making the work more stressful for those remaining, so GPs and trainee GPs are more likely to drop out, which... and so on.

    We know from recent allegations that life for trainees, and especially female ones, can be fraught owing to sexualised banter or worse.

    We can see from fly-on-the-wall documentaries that the first problem on a new job is finding out where everything is because no-one in the NHS has thought to label the cupboards, let alone bought windowed doors like your granny had for her saucers in 1956.

    And whisper this, sometimes lady doctors want time off for babies.

    Foundation years training has to be committed to long in advance, which ought to be unnecessary now we have computers.

    Surgical training requires trainees to badger their seniors to be allowed into theatre. This could easily be arranged in advance.

    And so on. There are lots of these "small" irritations that could easily be removed but aren't because ministers are more interested in top-down revolutions every five to ten years.
    BIB. Don't whisper this, shout it from the rooftops. Its a feature, not a bug.

    Healthcare is increasingly feminised. Arguably nursing always was, but now Pharmacy is trending more and more female too. I just met my new first year tutees (7 of them). It was a shock that 5 were male, as the cohort overall will skew heavily female.

    It is an issue to be dealt with that women will have babies and when they do, many of them decide that part time work or even stopping for a few years is what they want. This shouldn't be a surprise, but we should plan for it.

    My wife is in her ninth month of maternity leave and will be going back in the new year to a 60% role, rather than 100%. Having babies changes people. Its up to those who plan workforces to understand that and deal with it.
    I suppose the question this poses is whether it is acceptable to say that a) women are more likely than men to go in to part time working (assuming this is actually true?), and b) that it may be desirable to find ways of getting more men to train as doctors.

    The one thing I would observe though is that medicine doesn't seem to be a particularly financially lucrative career, it seems to be highly stressed, particularly given that things will go wrong and it is literally a matter of life or death. There are much easier ways of earning the same amount of money if you are highly skilled. I am aware of some male doctors that I knew at University (20 years ago) dropping out for this reason.
    We should encourage men to play an equal role in parenting. If mother's and father's are, on average, taking the same amount of parental leave then there's no temptation to introduce discriminatory hiring processes.
    There still seems, although hopefully fading, a cultural bias to women doing an unequal share.

    I used to get immensely fucked off when my Head of Operations would come and tell me she needed to leave or take time off suddenly due to a sick child. It was never her husband, always her, and it was something I couldn’t force them to change and I would likely have got into some sort of trouble if I had said to her “ X, you are head of ops in a bank, you earn several times what your husband does (I knew him for years and his job and approximate earnings) and your job pays the mortgage and most of your lifestyle - perhaps it would be more appropriate that Y takes the time off and disrupts his business he works for as if it led to one of you losing your job then it makes sense it’s him not you”.

    Yes, it's a similar story at my missus's workplace. She's a clinical scientist - a well-paid job - and most of her colleagues are female. Yet whenever a child is sick or some other family emergency occurs, there always seems to be some reason why their typically less well-paid other halves can't possibly take time off work right now. She also finds it rather irritating to say the least.
This discussion has been closed.