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LAB edges up in the Mid Beds betting – politicalbetting.com

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  • Options
    HYUFD said:

    Sam Freedman
    @Samfr
    ·
    12m
    In today's poll from
    @DeltapollUK
    the Tories were on 5% for 18-24 year olds. And 18% for 25-54 year olds. Don't think this evening's announcements are going to help with that.

    It might if they drive a petrol car or live in a rural area reliant on oil boilers
    The petrol car thing is about this mythical 18 year old buying a new petrol car, or not, in 7 years time.

    How many 18 years olds are interested in what they will buy in 7 years?

  • Options
    glwglw Posts: 9,583
    Genuinely starting to think that Sunak could end up a bigger vote loser than Truss, and that bringing back Boris is maybe not completely nuts.
  • Options
    nico679nico679 Posts: 5,238

    Sam Coates Sky
    @SamCoatesSky
    ·
    1h
    Lots of Whitehall blindsided tonight on the car element of the net zero package, and the timing.

    Not least the UK delegation in New York for the climate events at UNGA

    https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1704224035821715651

    Presumably car firms that have been investing on the basis of 2030 will be pretty pissed off as well.

    As a provincial science master, I take comfort in not really understanding business, but I can't help wondering if Rishi understands even less than I do.
    The interesting question is why did Boris advance this target from 2035 to 2030?
    2035 is the Europe wide target so I have no idea why the UK is 5 years earlier
    Slightly different bans.

    The UK's 2030 is for pure petrol/diesel only; hybrids would still be allowed.

    The EU's 2035 is for anything with a combustion engine, so includes hybrids.
    Tory: We left EU to do our own thing and the massive single market next door to us makes not a jot of difference.

    Also Tory: EU says 2035 - we should too.

    Pathetic on stilts.

    It will be hilarious to see the gymnastics performed as the Brexit cabal explain to us why we should be in tune with the EU .
  • Options
    nico679 said:

    And...

    The net zero rumours are moving quickly tonight, with Prime Minister Rishi Sunak unusually jumping in to reiterate he is "committed to net zero".

    It had been circulating that Mr Sunak could be planning on pushing back a ban on new petrol and diesel cars from 2030 to 2035.

    On this, the prime minister said: "No leak will stop me beginning the process of telling the country how and why we need to change.

    "As a first step, I'll be giving a speech this week to set out an important long-term decision we need to make so our country becomes the place I know we all want it to be for our children..."

    "Our politics must again put the long-term interests of our country before the short-term political needs of the moment."


    https://news.sky.com/story/politics-latest-nhs-doctors-strike-as-ministers-consider-extending-strikes-law-starmer-to-meet-macron-in-paris-12593360?postid=6459677#liveblog-body

    What utter drivel . And his last sentence is vomit inducing , he’s clearly putting short term interest first . The best thing Sunak can do for the country and its children is to fxck off back to California.
    He has no clue. Or he does but aussie advisors are whispering crap in his ear.

    Remind me how the last aussie election went?


  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,603

    nico679 said:

    And...

    The net zero rumours are moving quickly tonight, with Prime Minister Rishi Sunak unusually jumping in to reiterate he is "committed to net zero".

    It had been circulating that Mr Sunak could be planning on pushing back a ban on new petrol and diesel cars from 2030 to 2035.

    On this, the prime minister said: "No leak will stop me beginning the process of telling the country how and why we need to change.

    "As a first step, I'll be giving a speech this week to set out an important long-term decision we need to make so our country becomes the place I know we all want it to be for our children..."

    "Our politics must again put the long-term interests of our country before the short-term political needs of the moment."


    https://news.sky.com/story/politics-latest-nhs-doctors-strike-as-ministers-consider-extending-strikes-law-starmer-to-meet-macron-in-paris-12593360?postid=6459677#liveblog-body

    What utter drivel . And his last sentence is vomit inducing , he’s clearly putting short term interest first . The best thing Sunak can do for the country and its children is to fxck off back to California.
    He has no clue. Or he does but aussie advisors are whispering crap in his ear.

    Remind me how the last aussie election went?


    The Coalition actually won most votes on first preferences even if they lost on 2PP
  • Options
    EabhalEabhal Posts: 6,425

    Sam Coates Sky
    @SamCoatesSky
    ·
    1h
    Lots of Whitehall blindsided tonight on the car element of the net zero package, and the timing.

    Not least the UK delegation in New York for the climate events at UNGA

    https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1704224035821715651

    Presumably car firms that have been investing on the basis of 2030 will be pretty pissed off as well.

    As a provincial science master, I take comfort in not really understanding business, but I can't help wondering if Rishi understands even less than I do.
    The interesting question is why did Boris advance this target from 2035 to 2030?
    2035 is the Europe wide target so I have no idea why the UK is 5 years earlier
    Because car manufacturers are going to beat the 2030 deadline, some by several years.

    This is anti-green posturing, with no basis in what is going on in the real world. You must be delighted.

  • Options

    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Headlines from Mail and Express tell us why Sunak has pandered to the ageing tory membership vote yet again.

    Pathetic.

    Hope he can show his face to his daughters tonight with hanging in shame.

    I don't think the Luckyguy vote is likely to save him.

    Great idea taking one of the very few long term consensus policies the country has, and ripping it up. What an utter plonker.
    Whatever you think of stuff like HS2, offshore wind and Net Zero, the success of these policies is being undercut by the seemingly deliberate introduction of uncertainty in each.

    How can the private sector and households make sound investments in the face of all this?

    (It was 2030 for no new ICE cars, and no gas boilers in new homes from 2025. Both seem sensible and achievable to me)
    The 2026 ban on off-grid oil boilers will be delayed to 2035, with only an 80% phase out target at that date too.

    That is sensible as in rural areas like here virtually everyone relies on oil


    Sunak has certainly put the cat amongst the pigeons and it will be fascinating to see how this unfolds

    Not for the feint hearted conservatives I believe
    The ban is on new oil boilers.

  • Options

    FFS. The Guardian's report on Sunak's Net Zero reverse ferret:

    "He is also expected to rule out proposed recycling schemes with multiple bins."

    It's gone full-on Cones Hotline, hasn't it? This is basically Government by Alan Partridge.

    That is absolutely bizarre because I was going to post similarly (been so busy today with work I haven’t had time to post).

    Yes, Cones Hotline Director’s Cut it is. I had a grim moment of clarity in that regard this afternoon.
    Which planet is he on.

    Most of us have had multiple bins for at least that last ten years or more.

  • Options
    nico679nico679 Posts: 5,238
    glw said:

    Genuinely starting to think that Sunak could end up a bigger vote loser than Truss, and that bringing back Boris is maybe not completely nuts.

    If the opposition have any sense they’ll tie Sunaks announcement to Truss who basically said the same thing in her speech. The public will surely think oh dear if it’s a Truss suggestion .
  • Options
    FairlieredFairliered Posts: 4,155

    Sam Coates Sky
    @SamCoatesSky
    ·
    1h
    Lots of Whitehall blindsided tonight on the car element of the net zero package, and the timing.

    Not least the UK delegation in New York for the climate events at UNGA

    https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1704224035821715651

    Presumably car firms that have been investing on the basis of 2030 will be pretty pissed off as well.

    As a provincial science master, I take comfort in not really understanding business, but I can't help wondering if Rishi understands even less than I do.
    The interesting question is why did Boris advance this target from 2035 to 2030?
    2035 is the Europe wide target so I have no idea why the UK is 5 years earlier
    Virtue signalling and having to show we are different to the EU.
  • Options
    nico679 said:

    Sunak will regret this in later life.

    His memoirs will have to try and explain it away.

    He is a better man than this which just shows the pressures of party and media politics on someone who is frankly inexperienced.



    Maybe he’s not a better man . I think many were willing to give him a chance as he seemed the polar opposite to Johnson and were relieved when he took over. We’ve just got nasty , useless and spineless in a posh suit with a now very annoying over enthusiastic manner .
    He is weak.

    He is not standing up to teenage scribbler crap advisors who have looked at Uxbridge and gone 'sir, sir, I know this one, please sir.'

  • Options
    EabhalEabhal Posts: 6,425
    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Headlines from Mail and Express tell us why Sunak has pandered to the ageing tory membership vote yet again.

    Pathetic.

    Hope he can show his face to his daughters tonight with hanging in shame.

    I don't think the Luckyguy vote is likely to save him.

    Great idea taking one of the very few long term consensus policies the country has, and ripping it up. What an utter plonker.
    Whatever you think of stuff like HS2, offshore wind and Net Zero, the success of these policies is being undercut by the seemingly deliberate introduction of uncertainty in each.

    How can the private sector and households make sound investments in the face of all this?

    (It was 2030 for no new ICE cars, and no gas boilers in new homes from 2025. Both seem sensible and achievable to me)
    The 2026 ban on off-grid oil boilers will be delayed to 2035, with only an 80% phase out target at that date too.

    That is sensible as in rural areas like here virtually everyone relies on oil

    Sure (I grew up with one). But only 5% of the population use them. That is not the vote share the Tories are looking for.
    It is, rural areas are the Conservative core vote and it is a big issue for them, it is not a big issue for the other 95%
    They are already voting Tory.
  • Options
    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 27,652
    glw said:

    Genuinely starting to think that Sunak could end up a bigger vote loser than Truss, and that bringing back Boris is maybe not completely nuts.

    Boris returning is certainly a possibility, with an election in January 2025.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,603

    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Headlines from Mail and Express tell us why Sunak has pandered to the ageing tory membership vote yet again.

    Pathetic.

    Hope he can show his face to his daughters tonight with hanging in shame.

    I don't think the Luckyguy vote is likely to save him.

    Great idea taking one of the very few long term consensus policies the country has, and ripping it up. What an utter plonker.
    Whatever you think of stuff like HS2, offshore wind and Net Zero, the success of these policies is being undercut by the seemingly deliberate introduction of uncertainty in each.

    How can the private sector and households make sound investments in the face of all this?

    (It was 2030 for no new ICE cars, and no gas boilers in new homes from 2025. Both seem sensible and achievable to me)
    The 2026 ban on off-grid oil boilers will be delayed to 2035, with only an 80% phase out target at that date too.

    That is sensible as in rural areas like here virtually everyone relies on oil


    Sunak has certainly put the cat amongst the pigeons and it will be fascinating to see how this unfolds

    Not for the feint hearted conservatives I believe
    The ban is on new oil boilers.

    And would energy infrastructure in rural areas be able to cope with the demand for all the new heat pumps?
  • Options

    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Headlines from Mail and Express tell us why Sunak has pandered to the ageing tory membership vote yet again.

    Pathetic.

    Hope he can show his face to his daughters tonight with hanging in shame.

    I don't think the Luckyguy vote is likely to save him.

    Great idea taking one of the very few long term consensus policies the country has, and ripping it up. What an utter plonker.
    Whatever you think of stuff like HS2, offshore wind and Net Zero, the success of these policies is being undercut by the seemingly deliberate introduction of uncertainty in each.

    How can the private sector and households make sound investments in the face of all this?

    (It was 2030 for no new ICE cars, and no gas boilers in new homes from 2025. Both seem sensible and achievable to me)
    The 2026 ban on off-grid oil boilers will be delayed to 2035, with only an 80% phase out target at that date too.

    That is sensible as in rural areas like here virtually everyone relies on oil


    Sunak has certainly put the cat amongst the pigeons and it will be fascinating to see how this unfolds

    Not for the feint hearted conservatives I believe
    The ban is on new oil boilers.

    I didn't mentioned oil boilers (not me)

    The only thing I find surprising is the end of ICE car sales is 5 years earlier than the EU so it would be good if someone could explain the commercial benefits of doing this
  • Options

    Jim Pickard 🐋
    @PickardJE
    ·
    19m
    is he really suggesting that delaying green reforms will make Britain a better place “for our children”?

    This type of commentary is completely divorced from the economic concerns of the average voter. For some people's children it might mean the difference between being able to afford a car and not being able to afford one.
  • Options
    EabhalEabhal Posts: 6,425
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Headlines from Mail and Express tell us why Sunak has pandered to the ageing tory membership vote yet again.

    Pathetic.

    Hope he can show his face to his daughters tonight with hanging in shame.

    I don't think the Luckyguy vote is likely to save him.

    Great idea taking one of the very few long term consensus policies the country has, and ripping it up. What an utter plonker.
    Whatever you think of stuff like HS2, offshore wind and Net Zero, the success of these policies is being undercut by the seemingly deliberate introduction of uncertainty in each.

    How can the private sector and households make sound investments in the face of all this?

    (It was 2030 for no new ICE cars, and no gas boilers in new homes from 2025. Both seem sensible and achievable to me)
    The 2026 ban on off-grid oil boilers will be delayed to 2035, with only an 80% phase out target at that date too.

    That is sensible as in rural areas like here virtually everyone relies on oil


    Sunak has certainly put the cat amongst the pigeons and it will be fascinating to see how this unfolds

    Not for the feint hearted conservatives I believe
    The ban is on new oil boilers.

    And would energy infrastructure in rural areas be able to cope with the demand for all the new heat pumps?
    What infrastructure do you need for a heat pump?
  • Options
    nico679 said:

    Sam Coates Sky
    @SamCoatesSky
    ·
    1h
    Lots of Whitehall blindsided tonight on the car element of the net zero package, and the timing.

    Not least the UK delegation in New York for the climate events at UNGA

    https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1704224035821715651

    Presumably car firms that have been investing on the basis of 2030 will be pretty pissed off as well.

    As a provincial science master, I take comfort in not really understanding business, but I can't help wondering if Rishi understands even less than I do.
    The interesting question is why did Boris advance this target from 2035 to 2030?
    2035 is the Europe wide target so I have no idea why the UK is 5 years earlier
    Slightly different bans.

    The UK's 2030 is for pure petrol/diesel only; hybrids would still be allowed.

    The EU's 2035 is for anything with a combustion engine, so includes hybrids.
    Tory: We left EU to do our own thing and the massive single market next door to us makes not a jot of difference.

    Also Tory: EU says 2035 - we should too.

    Pathetic on stilts.

    It will be hilarious to see the gymnastics performed as the Brexit cabal explain to us why we should be in tune with the EU .
    :lol:
  • Options

    nico679 said:

    And...

    The net zero rumours are moving quickly tonight, with Prime Minister Rishi Sunak unusually jumping in to reiterate he is "committed to net zero".

    It had been circulating that Mr Sunak could be planning on pushing back a ban on new petrol and diesel cars from 2030 to 2035.

    On this, the prime minister said: "No leak will stop me beginning the process of telling the country how and why we need to change.

    "As a first step, I'll be giving a speech this week to set out an important long-term decision we need to make so our country becomes the place I know we all want it to be for our children..."

    "Our politics must again put the long-term interests of our country before the short-term political needs of the moment."


    https://news.sky.com/story/politics-latest-nhs-doctors-strike-as-ministers-consider-extending-strikes-law-starmer-to-meet-macron-in-paris-12593360?postid=6459677#liveblog-body

    What utter drivel . And his last sentence is vomit inducing , he’s clearly putting short term interest first . The best thing Sunak can do for the country and its children is to fxck off back to California.
    He has no clue. Or he does but aussie advisors are whispering crap in his ear.

    Remind me how the last aussie election went?


    Tomorrow's another day, but it's just possible that this will end up annoying people on both sides of the Conservative electorate.

    Teal-curious Conservatives will be hacked off at any watering down of greenery by Sunak. We're starting to see Conservative MPs sounding off about that already.

    Red meat Conservatives will be cross if Sunak wimps out of giving the British people their God given freedom to burn stuff and pollute the atmosphere. (I wonder if that was the reason for the leaks- to try to nail Rishi's underlength trousers to the mast?)

    If he manages to lose votes support ways... that's quite an achievement.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,603
    Eabhal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Headlines from Mail and Express tell us why Sunak has pandered to the ageing tory membership vote yet again.

    Pathetic.

    Hope he can show his face to his daughters tonight with hanging in shame.

    I don't think the Luckyguy vote is likely to save him.

    Great idea taking one of the very few long term consensus policies the country has, and ripping it up. What an utter plonker.
    Whatever you think of stuff like HS2, offshore wind and Net Zero, the success of these policies is being undercut by the seemingly deliberate introduction of uncertainty in each.

    How can the private sector and households make sound investments in the face of all this?

    (It was 2030 for no new ICE cars, and no gas boilers in new homes from 2025. Both seem sensible and achievable to me)
    The 2026 ban on off-grid oil boilers will be delayed to 2035, with only an 80% phase out target at that date too.

    That is sensible as in rural areas like here virtually everyone relies on oil

    Sure (I grew up with one). But only 5% of the population use them. That is not the vote share the Tories are looking for.
    It is, rural areas are the Conservative core vote and it is a big issue for them, it is not a big issue for the other 95%
    They are already voting Tory.
    They may not have all bothered to vote, some may have gone RefUK, this will fire up the rural core vote to turn out
  • Options
    MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 25,769
    nico679 said:

    I wonder what BMW and Land Rover make of this announcement ?

    Planning on the imminent reintroduction of the Morris Minor and the Series 1 Landover respectively.

    The post Brexit 1950s revival is almost complete. Just hanging and flogging to finish the set. And I am not necessarily joking.
  • Options
    glwglw Posts: 9,583
    nico679 said:

    glw said:

    Genuinely starting to think that Sunak could end up a bigger vote loser than Truss, and that bringing back Boris is maybe not completely nuts.

    If the opposition have any sense they’ll tie Sunaks announcement to Truss who basically said the same thing in her speech. The public will surely think oh dear if it’s a Truss suggestion .
    One of the few good things about the Tories is that they finally got serious about the environment. Now Sunak has decided to bin that. It's politically absurd. People who care about the environment vastly outnumber the people this will appeal to.
  • Options
    Eabhal said:

    Sam Coates Sky
    @SamCoatesSky
    ·
    1h
    Lots of Whitehall blindsided tonight on the car element of the net zero package, and the timing.

    Not least the UK delegation in New York for the climate events at UNGA

    https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1704224035821715651

    Presumably car firms that have been investing on the basis of 2030 will be pretty pissed off as well.

    As a provincial science master, I take comfort in not really understanding business, but I can't help wondering if Rishi understands even less than I do.
    The interesting question is why did Boris advance this target from 2035 to 2030?
    2035 is the Europe wide target so I have no idea why the UK is 5 years earlier
    Because car manufacturers are going to beat the 2030 deadline, some by several years.

    This is anti-green posturing, with no basis in what is going on in the real world. You must be delighted.

    I have no particular knowledge of it to be honest and certainly think Sunak is taking a huge gamble

    However as the conservative will lose in 2024 so the issue will be for labour

    You seem to think I am some right wing conservative when nothing is further from the truth
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,603
    Eabhal said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Headlines from Mail and Express tell us why Sunak has pandered to the ageing tory membership vote yet again.

    Pathetic.

    Hope he can show his face to his daughters tonight with hanging in shame.

    I don't think the Luckyguy vote is likely to save him.

    Great idea taking one of the very few long term consensus policies the country has, and ripping it up. What an utter plonker.
    Whatever you think of stuff like HS2, offshore wind and Net Zero, the success of these policies is being undercut by the seemingly deliberate introduction of uncertainty in each.

    How can the private sector and households make sound investments in the face of all this?

    (It was 2030 for no new ICE cars, and no gas boilers in new homes from 2025. Both seem sensible and achievable to me)
    The 2026 ban on off-grid oil boilers will be delayed to 2035, with only an 80% phase out target at that date too.

    That is sensible as in rural areas like here virtually everyone relies on oil


    Sunak has certainly put the cat amongst the pigeons and it will be fascinating to see how this unfolds

    Not for the feint hearted conservatives I believe
    The ban is on new oil boilers.

    And would energy infrastructure in rural areas be able to cope with the demand for all the new heat pumps?
    What infrastructure do you need for a heat pump?
    There is also the cost of installation and finding enough trained engineers to install them
  • Options
    Pippa Crerar

    @PippaCrerar
    ·
    53m
    Tory peer
    @ZacGoldsmith
    , who quit as environment minister in June, describes Sunak’s net zero decision as “a moment of shame” for UK.

    He also raises question of PM’s mandate… unlikely to be the last to do so.
  • Options
    FairlieredFairliered Posts: 4,155

    HYUFD said:

    Sam Freedman
    @Samfr
    ·
    12m
    In today's poll from
    @DeltapollUK
    the Tories were on 5% for 18-24 year olds. And 18% for 25-54 year olds. Don't think this evening's announcements are going to help with that.

    It might if they drive a petrol car or live in a rural area reliant on oil boilers
    The petrol car thing is about this mythical 18 year old buying a new petrol car, or not, in 7 years time.

    How many 18 years olds are interested in what they will buy in 7 years?

    How many 18 year olds can afford a brand new car?
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,603
    glw said:

    nico679 said:

    glw said:

    Genuinely starting to think that Sunak could end up a bigger vote loser than Truss, and that bringing back Boris is maybe not completely nuts.

    If the opposition have any sense they’ll tie Sunaks announcement to Truss who basically said the same thing in her speech. The public will surely think oh dear if it’s a Truss suggestion .
    One of the few good things about the Tories is that they finally got serious about the environment. Now Sunak has decided to bin that. It's politically absurd. People who care about the environment vastly outnumber the people this will appeal to.
    They do until it affects their wallet, see ULEZ and the Uxbridge by election
  • Options
    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Headlines from Mail and Express tell us why Sunak has pandered to the ageing tory membership vote yet again.

    Pathetic.

    Hope he can show his face to his daughters tonight with hanging in shame.

    I don't think the Luckyguy vote is likely to save him.

    Great idea taking one of the very few long term consensus policies the country has, and ripping it up. What an utter plonker.
    Whatever you think of stuff like HS2, offshore wind and Net Zero, the success of these policies is being undercut by the seemingly deliberate introduction of uncertainty in each.

    How can the private sector and households make sound investments in the face of all this?

    (It was 2030 for no new ICE cars, and no gas boilers in new homes from 2025. Both seem sensible and achievable to me)
    The 2026 ban on off-grid oil boilers will be delayed to 2035, with only an 80% phase out target at that date too.

    That is sensible as in rural areas like here virtually everyone relies on oil


    Sunak has certainly put the cat amongst the pigeons and it will be fascinating to see how this unfolds

    Not for the feint hearted conservatives I believe
    The ban is on new oil boilers.

    And would energy infrastructure in rural areas be able to cope with the demand for all the new heat pumps?
    What infrastructure do you need for a heat pump?
    There is also the cost of installation and finding enough trained engineers to install them
    There wont be a sudden demand for alternatives to oil boilers. How long do they last? It is a ban on new ones. They are not all going to fail in 2030.

  • Options
    AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 20,404

    Sam Coates Sky
    @SamCoatesSky
    ·
    1h
    Lots of Whitehall blindsided tonight on the car element of the net zero package, and the timing.

    Not least the UK delegation in New York for the climate events at UNGA

    https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1704224035821715651

    Presumably car firms that have been investing on the basis of 2030 will be pretty pissed off as well.

    As a provincial science master, I take comfort in not really understanding business, but I can't help wondering if Rishi understands even less than I do.
    He doesn't care. It is desperate bid to claw something back against a 20 point Lab lead by pandering to the ageing tory vote who can't understand why it is not 1953 anymore.

    He’ll be banning Apple Pay next.
  • Options
    HYUFD said:

    nico679 said:

    And...

    The net zero rumours are moving quickly tonight, with Prime Minister Rishi Sunak unusually jumping in to reiterate he is "committed to net zero".

    It had been circulating that Mr Sunak could be planning on pushing back a ban on new petrol and diesel cars from 2030 to 2035.

    On this, the prime minister said: "No leak will stop me beginning the process of telling the country how and why we need to change.

    "As a first step, I'll be giving a speech this week to set out an important long-term decision we need to make so our country becomes the place I know we all want it to be for our children..."

    "Our politics must again put the long-term interests of our country before the short-term political needs of the moment."


    https://news.sky.com/story/politics-latest-nhs-doctors-strike-as-ministers-consider-extending-strikes-law-starmer-to-meet-macron-in-paris-12593360?postid=6459677#liveblog-body

    What utter drivel . And his last sentence is vomit inducing , he’s clearly putting short term interest first . The best thing Sunak can do for the country and its children is to fxck off back to California.
    He has no clue. Or he does but aussie advisors are whispering crap in his ear.

    Remind me how the last aussie election went?


    The Coalition actually won most votes on first preferences even if they lost on 2PP
    And because the Greens got > 12%, and the pro-environment Teal independents another 5%
  • Options

    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Headlines from Mail and Express tell us why Sunak has pandered to the ageing tory membership vote yet again.

    Pathetic.

    Hope he can show his face to his daughters tonight with hanging in shame.

    I don't think the Luckyguy vote is likely to save him.

    Great idea taking one of the very few long term consensus policies the country has, and ripping it up. What an utter plonker.
    Whatever you think of stuff like HS2, offshore wind and Net Zero, the success of these policies is being undercut by the seemingly deliberate introduction of uncertainty in each.

    How can the private sector and households make sound investments in the face of all this?

    (It was 2030 for no new ICE cars, and no gas boilers in new homes from 2025. Both seem sensible and achievable to me)
    The 2026 ban on off-grid oil boilers will be delayed to 2035, with only an 80% phase out target at that date too.

    That is sensible as in rural areas like here virtually everyone relies on oil


    Sunak has certainly put the cat amongst the pigeons and it will be fascinating to see how this unfolds

    Not for the feint hearted conservatives I believe
    The ban is on new oil boilers.

    I didn't mentioned oil boilers (not me)

    The only thing I find surprising is the end of ICE car sales is 5 years earlier than the EU so it would be good if someone could explain the commercial benefits of doing this
    Because the bans are not the same. As things stand, I think the UK is still going to allow hybrids after 2030. So the UK's limits on how cars can be powered will be stricter than the EU's until 2030 and looser after 2035. Swings and roundabouts. But the important thing is that the two dates are for different things, so it's a bit tabloid to try to compare them.

    As for why it might be comercially better, it might be that early adoption will bring more car manufacturing investment to the UK; for the home market initially, for export later. I don't know.

    But given that one of the common complaints about ULEZ was insufficient notice, giving seven years notice seems like a good thing to do.
  • Options
    MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 25,769
    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Headlines from Mail and Express tell us why Sunak has pandered to the ageing tory membership vote yet again.

    Pathetic.

    Hope he can show his face to his daughters tonight with hanging in shame.

    I don't think the Luckyguy vote is likely to save him.

    Great idea taking one of the very few long term consensus policies the country has, and ripping it up. What an utter plonker.
    Whatever you think of stuff like HS2, offshore wind and Net Zero, the success of these policies is being undercut by the seemingly deliberate introduction of uncertainty in each.

    How can the private sector and households make sound investments in the face of all this?

    (It was 2030 for no new ICE cars, and no gas boilers in new homes from 2025. Both seem sensible and achievable to me)
    The 2026 ban on off-grid oil boilers will be delayed to 2035, with only an 80% phase out target at that date too.

    That is sensible as in rural areas like here virtually everyone relies on oil

    Sure (I grew up with one). But only 5% of the population use them. That is not the vote share the Tories are looking for.
    It is, rural areas are the Conservative core vote and it is a big issue for them, it is not a big issue for the other 95%
    They are already voting Tory.
    They may not have all bothered to vote, some may have gone RefUK, this will fire up the rural core vote to turn out
    This is either, as you suggest, a stroke of electoral genius, or (one of) the last resort(s) of a scoundrel.
  • Options

    Sam Coates Sky
    @SamCoatesSky
    ·
    1h
    Lots of Whitehall blindsided tonight on the car element of the net zero package, and the timing.

    Not least the UK delegation in New York for the climate events at UNGA

    https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1704224035821715651

    Presumably car firms that have been investing on the basis of 2030 will be pretty pissed off as well.

    As a provincial science master, I take comfort in not really understanding business, but I can't help wondering if Rishi understands even less than I do.
    He doesn't care. It is desperate bid to claw something back against a 20 point Lab lead by pandering to the ageing tory vote who can't understand why it is not 1953 anymore.

    He’ll be banning Apple Pay next.
    Or banning banks from closing branches.

  • Options
    EabhalEabhal Posts: 6,425
    glw said:

    nico679 said:

    glw said:

    Genuinely starting to think that Sunak could end up a bigger vote loser than Truss, and that bringing back Boris is maybe not completely nuts.

    If the opposition have any sense they’ll tie Sunaks announcement to Truss who basically said the same thing in her speech. The public will surely think oh dear if it’s a Truss suggestion .
    One of the few good things about the Tories is that they finally got serious about the environment. Now Sunak has decided to bin that. It's politically absurd. People who care about the environment vastly outnumber the people this will appeal to.
    The RSPB vote hanging by a thread.
  • Options

    Eabhal said:

    Sam Coates Sky
    @SamCoatesSky
    ·
    1h
    Lots of Whitehall blindsided tonight on the car element of the net zero package, and the timing.

    Not least the UK delegation in New York for the climate events at UNGA

    https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1704224035821715651

    Presumably car firms that have been investing on the basis of 2030 will be pretty pissed off as well.

    As a provincial science master, I take comfort in not really understanding business, but I can't help wondering if Rishi understands even less than I do.
    The interesting question is why did Boris advance this target from 2035 to 2030?
    2035 is the Europe wide target so I have no idea why the UK is 5 years earlier
    Because car manufacturers are going to beat the 2030 deadline, some by several years.

    This is anti-green posturing, with no basis in what is going on in the real world. You must be delighted.

    I have no particular knowledge of it to be honest and certainly think Sunak is taking a huge gamble

    However as the conservative will lose in 2024 so the issue will be for labour

    You seem to think I am some right wing conservative when nothing is further from the truth
    The reality is the market is way ahead of Sunak.

    There will be no new petrol cars for sale in 2030.

    It's over.

    He is being appalling advised.

  • Options

    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Headlines from Mail and Express tell us why Sunak has pandered to the ageing tory membership vote yet again.

    Pathetic.

    Hope he can show his face to his daughters tonight with hanging in shame.

    I don't think the Luckyguy vote is likely to save him.

    Great idea taking one of the very few long term consensus policies the country has, and ripping it up. What an utter plonker.
    Whatever you think of stuff like HS2, offshore wind and Net Zero, the success of these policies is being undercut by the seemingly deliberate introduction of uncertainty in each.

    How can the private sector and households make sound investments in the face of all this?

    (It was 2030 for no new ICE cars, and no gas boilers in new homes from 2025. Both seem sensible and achievable to me)
    The 2026 ban on off-grid oil boilers will be delayed to 2035, with only an 80% phase out target at that date too.

    That is sensible as in rural areas like here virtually everyone relies on oil


    Sunak has certainly put the cat amongst the pigeons and it will be fascinating to see how this unfolds

    Not for the feint hearted conservatives I believe
    The ban is on new oil boilers.

    And would energy infrastructure in rural areas be able to cope with the demand for all the new heat pumps?
    What infrastructure do you need for a heat pump?
    There is also the cost of installation and finding enough trained engineers to install them
    There wont be a sudden demand for alternatives to oil boilers. How long do they last? It is a ban on new ones. They are not all going to fail in 2030.

    I assume you accept that I did not raise boilers but now it has come up modern combi boilers will continue to be installed for some years to come and with a life span of 20 years or more
  • Options
    glwglw Posts: 9,583
    Some more top advice for CCHQ why don't you copy the GOP on abortion? If you are courting the same sort of voters you may as well go all-in.
  • Options
    EabhalEabhal Posts: 6,425
    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Headlines from Mail and Express tell us why Sunak has pandered to the ageing tory membership vote yet again.

    Pathetic.

    Hope he can show his face to his daughters tonight with hanging in shame.

    I don't think the Luckyguy vote is likely to save him.

    Great idea taking one of the very few long term consensus policies the country has, and ripping it up. What an utter plonker.
    Whatever you think of stuff like HS2, offshore wind and Net Zero, the success of these policies is being undercut by the seemingly deliberate introduction of uncertainty in each.

    How can the private sector and households make sound investments in the face of all this?

    (It was 2030 for no new ICE cars, and no gas boilers in new homes from 2025. Both seem sensible and achievable to me)
    The 2026 ban on off-grid oil boilers will be delayed to 2035, with only an 80% phase out target at that date too.

    That is sensible as in rural areas like here virtually everyone relies on oil


    Sunak has certainly put the cat amongst the pigeons and it will be fascinating to see how this unfolds

    Not for the feint hearted conservatives I believe
    The ban is on new oil boilers.

    And would energy infrastructure in rural areas be able to cope with the demand for all the new heat pumps?
    What infrastructure do you need for a heat pump?
    There is also the cost of installation and finding enough trained engineers to install them
    Imagine if today's Tories were in charge during the Industrial Revolution.

    "Piss off Brunel, that's all far too expensive"
  • Options
    FarooqFarooq Posts: 11,314
    glw said:

    nico679 said:

    glw said:

    Genuinely starting to think that Sunak could end up a bigger vote loser than Truss, and that bringing back Boris is maybe not completely nuts.

    If the opposition have any sense they’ll tie Sunaks announcement to Truss who basically said the same thing in her speech. The public will surely think oh dear if it’s a Truss suggestion .
    One of the few good things about the Tories is that they finally got serious about the environment. Now Sunak has decided to bin that. It's politically absurd. People who care about the environment vastly outnumber the people this will appeal to.
    They've not just binned it. They've put it in with the food waste, the plastic, the cardboard, and tin cans. And left it in bag in a lay-by down the A-road.
  • Options
    nico679nico679 Posts: 5,238
    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Headlines from Mail and Express tell us why Sunak has pandered to the ageing tory membership vote yet again.

    Pathetic.

    Hope he can show his face to his daughters tonight with hanging in shame.

    I don't think the Luckyguy vote is likely to save him.

    Great idea taking one of the very few long term consensus policies the country has, and ripping it up. What an utter plonker.
    Whatever you think of stuff like HS2, offshore wind and Net Zero, the success of these policies is being undercut by the seemingly deliberate introduction of uncertainty in each.

    How can the private sector and households make sound investments in the face of all this?

    (It was 2030 for no new ICE cars, and no gas boilers in new homes from 2025. Both seem sensible and achievable to me)
    The 2026 ban on off-grid oil boilers will be delayed to 2035, with only an 80% phase out target at that date too.

    That is sensible as in rural areas like here virtually everyone relies on oil

    Sure (I grew up with one). But only 5% of the population use them. That is not the vote share the Tories are looking for.
    It is, rural areas are the Conservative core vote and it is a big issue for them, it is not a big issue for the other 95%
    They are already voting Tory.
    They may not have all bothered to vote, some may have gone RefUK, this will fire up the rural core vote to turn out
    Farmers have been screwed by Brexit and so not sure the rural vote is as solid as it once was . The best thing for the Tories is a period in opposition where hopefully sanity returns.
  • Options
    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 19,432
    Eabhal said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Headlines from Mail and Express tell us why Sunak has pandered to the ageing tory membership vote yet again.

    Pathetic.

    Hope he can show his face to his daughters tonight with hanging in shame.

    I don't think the Luckyguy vote is likely to save him.

    Great idea taking one of the very few long term consensus policies the country has, and ripping it up. What an utter plonker.
    Whatever you think of stuff like HS2, offshore wind and Net Zero, the success of these policies is being undercut by the seemingly deliberate introduction of uncertainty in each.

    How can the private sector and households make sound investments in the face of all this?

    (It was 2030 for no new ICE cars, and no gas boilers in new homes from 2025. Both seem sensible and achievable to me)
    The 2026 ban on off-grid oil boilers will be delayed to 2035, with only an 80% phase out target at that date too.

    That is sensible as in rural areas like here virtually everyone relies on oil


    Sunak has certainly put the cat amongst the pigeons and it will be fascinating to see how this unfolds

    Not for the feint hearted conservatives I believe
    The ban is on new oil boilers.

    And would energy infrastructure in rural areas be able to cope with the demand for all the new heat pumps?
    What infrastructure do you need for a heat pump?
    As I am sure everybody on this site would agree, I have thoughts on heat pumps 😀😀😀
  • Options
    EabhalEabhal Posts: 6,425
    viewcode said:

    Eabhal said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Headlines from Mail and Express tell us why Sunak has pandered to the ageing tory membership vote yet again.

    Pathetic.

    Hope he can show his face to his daughters tonight with hanging in shame.

    I don't think the Luckyguy vote is likely to save him.

    Great idea taking one of the very few long term consensus policies the country has, and ripping it up. What an utter plonker.
    Whatever you think of stuff like HS2, offshore wind and Net Zero, the success of these policies is being undercut by the seemingly deliberate introduction of uncertainty in each.

    How can the private sector and households make sound investments in the face of all this?

    (It was 2030 for no new ICE cars, and no gas boilers in new homes from 2025. Both seem sensible and achievable to me)
    The 2026 ban on off-grid oil boilers will be delayed to 2035, with only an 80% phase out target at that date too.

    That is sensible as in rural areas like here virtually everyone relies on oil


    Sunak has certainly put the cat amongst the pigeons and it will be fascinating to see how this unfolds

    Not for the feint hearted conservatives I believe
    The ban is on new oil boilers.

    And would energy infrastructure in rural areas be able to cope with the demand for all the new heat pumps?
    What infrastructure do you need for a heat pump?
    As I am sure everybody on this site would agree, I have thoughts on heat pumps 😀😀😀
    Cash, 20mph, heat pumps, venison burgers.
  • Options
    FarooqFarooq Posts: 11,314
    nico679 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Headlines from Mail and Express tell us why Sunak has pandered to the ageing tory membership vote yet again.

    Pathetic.

    Hope he can show his face to his daughters tonight with hanging in shame.

    I don't think the Luckyguy vote is likely to save him.

    Great idea taking one of the very few long term consensus policies the country has, and ripping it up. What an utter plonker.
    Whatever you think of stuff like HS2, offshore wind and Net Zero, the success of these policies is being undercut by the seemingly deliberate introduction of uncertainty in each.

    How can the private sector and households make sound investments in the face of all this?

    (It was 2030 for no new ICE cars, and no gas boilers in new homes from 2025. Both seem sensible and achievable to me)
    The 2026 ban on off-grid oil boilers will be delayed to 2035, with only an 80% phase out target at that date too.

    That is sensible as in rural areas like here virtually everyone relies on oil

    Sure (I grew up with one). But only 5% of the population use them. That is not the vote share the Tories are looking for.
    It is, rural areas are the Conservative core vote and it is a big issue for them, it is not a big issue for the other 95%
    They are already voting Tory.
    They may not have all bothered to vote, some may have gone RefUK, this will fire up the rural core vote to turn out
    Farmers have been screwed by Brexit and so not sure the rural vote is as solid as it once was . The best thing for the Tories is a period in opposition where hopefully sanity returns.
    The best thing for the country would be the Conservatives pulling down the shutters and fucking off for good.
    They can't be fixed. It's a new centre-right party that's needed. This party needs a DNR.
  • Options
    viewcode said:

    Jim Pickard 🐋
    @PickardJE
    ·
    19m
    is he really suggesting that delaying green reforms will make Britain a better place “for our children”?

    No, for his children. He's buggering off to California in 2025, remember? He doesn't give a [redacted] about your children.
    Rishi "son-in-law of an Indian oligarch" Sunak.
  • Options

    Eabhal said:

    Sam Coates Sky
    @SamCoatesSky
    ·
    1h
    Lots of Whitehall blindsided tonight on the car element of the net zero package, and the timing.

    Not least the UK delegation in New York for the climate events at UNGA

    https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1704224035821715651

    Presumably car firms that have been investing on the basis of 2030 will be pretty pissed off as well.

    As a provincial science master, I take comfort in not really understanding business, but I can't help wondering if Rishi understands even less than I do.
    The interesting question is why did Boris advance this target from 2035 to 2030?
    2035 is the Europe wide target so I have no idea why the UK is 5 years earlier
    Because car manufacturers are going to beat the 2030 deadline, some by several years.

    This is anti-green posturing, with no basis in what is going on in the real world. You must be delighted.

    I have no particular knowledge of it to be honest and certainly think Sunak is taking a huge gamble

    However as the conservative will lose in 2024 so the issue will be for labour

    You seem to think I am some right wing conservative when nothing is further from the truth
    The reality is the market is way ahead of Sunak.

    There will be no new petrol cars for sale in 2030.

    It's over.

    He is being appalling advised.

    Aren't hybrids petrol cars?
  • Options
    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 19,432
    edited September 2023
    "The Rock" is on ITV. It's still on the SanFran bits so there's still time to jump in. Damn, Michael Biehn was good looking, before alcoholism robbed him of his looks and voice.
  • Options
    nico679nico679 Posts: 5,238
    HYUFD said:

    glw said:

    nico679 said:

    glw said:

    Genuinely starting to think that Sunak could end up a bigger vote loser than Truss, and that bringing back Boris is maybe not completely nuts.

    If the opposition have any sense they’ll tie Sunaks announcement to Truss who basically said the same thing in her speech. The public will surely think oh dear if it’s a Truss suggestion .
    One of the few good things about the Tories is that they finally got serious about the environment. Now Sunak has decided to bin that. It's politically absurd. People who care about the environment vastly outnumber the people this will appeal to.
    They do until it affects their wallet, see ULEZ and the Uxbridge by election
    The Tories fluked a win there as many didn’t bother checking if their cars would be compliant and now seem to have taken a 400 vote win as some huge endorsement on dropping a series of climate proposals . It seems the Tories election campaign will consist of let’s leave the ECHR so we can be like Russia and Belarus and lets junk our net zero plans .


  • Options
    AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 20,404
    Eabhal said:

    Sam Coates Sky
    @SamCoatesSky
    ·
    1h
    Lots of Whitehall blindsided tonight on the car element of the net zero package, and the timing.

    Not least the UK delegation in New York for the climate events at UNGA

    https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1704224035821715651

    Presumably car firms that have been investing on the basis of 2030 will be pretty pissed off as well.

    As a provincial science master, I take comfort in not really understanding business, but I can't help wondering if Rishi understands even less than I do.
    The interesting question is why did Boris advance this target from 2035 to 2030?
    2035 is the Europe wide target so I have no idea why the UK is 5 years earlier
    Because car manufacturers are going to beat the 2030 deadline, some by several years.

    This is anti-green posturing, with no basis in what is going on in the real world. You must be delighted.

    Jim Pickard 🐋
    @PickardJE
    ·
    19m
    is he really suggesting that delaying green reforms will make Britain a better place “for our children”?

    This type of commentary is completely divorced from the economic concerns of the average voter. For some people's children it might mean the difference between being able to afford a car and not being able to afford one.
    Yes, the banning of new ICE cars would have pushed down the price of used ICE cars. So you are right - but in the opposite way to that you are intimating.
  • Options
    AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 20,404

    Pippa Crerar

    @PippaCrerar
    ·
    53m
    Tory peer
    @ZacGoldsmith
    , who quit as environment minister in June, describes Sunak’s net zero decision as “a moment of shame” for UK.

    He also raises question of PM’s mandate… unlikely to be the last to do so.

    Goldsmith has been hinting at defecting to Labour. I wonder if he might now go through with it?
  • Options
    MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 25,769
    ...
    nico679 said:

    HYUFD said:

    glw said:

    nico679 said:

    glw said:

    Genuinely starting to think that Sunak could end up a bigger vote loser than Truss, and that bringing back Boris is maybe not completely nuts.

    If the opposition have any sense they’ll tie Sunaks announcement to Truss who basically said the same thing in her speech. The public will surely think oh dear if it’s a Truss suggestion .
    One of the few good things about the Tories is that they finally got serious about the environment. Now Sunak has decided to bin that. It's politically absurd. People who care about the environment vastly outnumber the people this will appeal to.
    They do until it affects their wallet, see ULEZ and the Uxbridge by election
    The Tories fluked a win there as many didn’t bother checking if their cars would be compliant and now seem to have taken a 400 vote win as some huge endorsement on dropping a series of climate proposals . It seems the Tories election campaign will consist of let’s leave the ECHR so we can be like Russia and Belarus and lets junk our net zero plans .


    It does smack of winning at any cost. Keep the gravy train rolling and to Hell with the consequences.

    I thought I liked Sunak, but he is more malevolent than Johnson. Johnson just sold the nation for a tilt at the top job. Sunak is content to sell the planet.
  • Options
    viewcode said:

    TimS said:

    viewcode said:

    Leon said:

    Hmmm


    “So YouTube suspends Russell Brand from making money on its platform.

    His live shows have been indefinitely postponed and refunds offered.

    His body of work on Channel4 has been scrubbed.

    And yet there is not even an arrest or an interview under caution.

    THIS is cancel culture. “

    https://x.com/therealmissjo/status/1704041193456156907?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw

    She has a point. Is it right to deprive someone of their entire livelihood on the basis of hearsay and anonymous allegations - made to the media not the police?

    I suppose you could argue that Brand has the money to fight libel actions but it still doesn’t seem quite right

    Following the universal rule that social media is getting worse in the 2020s, YouTube has become even more capricious and arbitrary over the past year or two. I posted the other day how many military enthusiasts and historians have set up their own platform (armchairhistory.tv?) to bypass YouTubes habit of demonetizing those with violent content, in the same way as the film/media crowd set up Nebula to get around fair use violations. The future for Brand and his cohort is to set up their own hosting website, a GBNews/YouTube hybrid where they can pontificate to their heart's content.

    Weirdly, because you spend most of your time on Twitter and I live on YouTube, this might be the only time ever where I am ahead of the curve zeitgeist. Does the Knappers Gazette need a YouTube correspondent? :)
    YouTube and TikTok need government legislation banning streaming services from just automatically loading up the next mindless video when the last one ends. Or at least forcing them to do that for under 18s. TikTok is the worst. My son sits staring at it for hours at a time sometimes, constant stream of nothingness. Shows great irritation when we suggest he switches off and gets some fresh air.

    (I recognise the hypocrisy of me writing this on an iPhone I spend far too much time on).
    You can switch that autoplay off on YouTube. Or you could. I'm on a train and cannot check. ☹️
    Youtube autoplay can be turned off for normal videos, but Youtube Shorts, which is basically Tiktok on Youtube, will play the next one as you scroll onto it. Just like Tiktok, then, it means you can lose hours just scrolling.
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,269
    viewcode said:

    Eabhal said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Headlines from Mail and Express tell us why Sunak has pandered to the ageing tory membership vote yet again.

    Pathetic.

    Hope he can show his face to his daughters tonight with hanging in shame.

    I don't think the Luckyguy vote is likely to save him.

    Great idea taking one of the very few long term consensus policies the country has, and ripping it up. What an utter plonker.
    Whatever you think of stuff like HS2, offshore wind and Net Zero, the success of these policies is being undercut by the seemingly deliberate introduction of uncertainty in each.

    How can the private sector and households make sound investments in the face of all this?

    (It was 2030 for no new ICE cars, and no gas boilers in new homes from 2025. Both seem sensible and achievable to me)
    The 2026 ban on off-grid oil boilers will be delayed to 2035, with only an 80% phase out target at that date too.

    That is sensible as in rural areas like here virtually everyone relies on oil


    Sunak has certainly put the cat amongst the pigeons and it will be fascinating to see how this unfolds

    Not for the feint hearted conservatives I believe
    The ban is on new oil boilers.

    And would energy infrastructure in rural areas be able to cope with the demand for all the new heat pumps?
    What infrastructure do you need for a heat pump?
    As I am sure everybody on this site would agree, I have thoughts on heat pumps 😀😀😀
    I actually have a heat pump. In a rural area. Where it is currently raining hard with strong winds and lots of mist.

    What would you like to know?

    😀
  • Options
    AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 20,404

    Sam Coates Sky
    @SamCoatesSky
    ·
    1h
    Lots of Whitehall blindsided tonight on the car element of the net zero package, and the timing.

    Not least the UK delegation in New York for the climate events at UNGA

    https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1704224035821715651

    Presumably car firms that have been investing on the basis of 2030 will be pretty pissed off as well.

    As a provincial science master, I take comfort in not really understanding business, but I can't help wondering if Rishi understands even less than I do.
    He doesn't care. It is desperate bid to claw something back against a 20 point Lab lead by pandering to the ageing tory vote who can't understand why it is not 1953 anymore.

    He’ll be banning Apple Pay next.
    Or banning banks from closing branches.

    Prepare for a big comeback for postal orders.
  • Options
    FairlieredFairliered Posts: 4,155
    nico679 said:

    HYUFD said:

    glw said:

    nico679 said:

    glw said:

    Genuinely starting to think that Sunak could end up a bigger vote loser than Truss, and that bringing back Boris is maybe not completely nuts.

    If the opposition have any sense they’ll tie Sunaks announcement to Truss who basically said the same thing in her speech. The public will surely think oh dear if it’s a Truss suggestion .
    One of the few good things about the Tories is that they finally got serious about the environment. Now Sunak has decided to bin that. It's politically absurd. People who care about the environment vastly outnumber the people this will appeal to.
    They do until it affects their wallet, see ULEZ and the Uxbridge by election
    The Tories fluked a win there as many didn’t bother checking if their cars would be compliant and now seem to have taken a 400 vote win as some huge endorsement on dropping a series of climate proposals . It seems the Tories election campaign will consist of let’s leave the ECHR so we can be like Russia and Belarus and lets junk our net zero plans .


    Did ULEZ help them hold on to Uxbridge or was it the cancelling of a negative Johnson incumbency factor?
  • Options

    Pippa Crerar

    @PippaCrerar
    ·
    53m
    Tory peer
    @ZacGoldsmith
    , who quit as environment minister in June, describes Sunak’s net zero decision as “a moment of shame” for UK.

    He also raises question of PM’s mandate… unlikely to be the last to do so.

    Goldsmith has been hinting at defecting to Labour. I wonder if he might now go through with it?

    Glen O'Hara
    @gsoh31
    ·
    1h
    Hmmm, Tories seem to be ripping themselves apart on #Newsnight. Just feels like 1996 all over again.
  • Options
    nico679nico679 Posts: 5,238

    Pippa Crerar

    @PippaCrerar
    ·
    53m
    Tory peer
    @ZacGoldsmith
    , who quit as environment minister in June, describes Sunak’s net zero decision as “a moment of shame” for UK.

    He also raises question of PM’s mandate… unlikely to be the last to do so.

    Goldsmith has been hinting at defecting to Labour. I wonder if he might now go through with it?
    He wouldn’t be welcome after his controversial London mayoralty campaign against Khan .
  • Options
    nico679nico679 Posts: 5,238

    nico679 said:

    HYUFD said:

    glw said:

    nico679 said:

    glw said:

    Genuinely starting to think that Sunak could end up a bigger vote loser than Truss, and that bringing back Boris is maybe not completely nuts.

    If the opposition have any sense they’ll tie Sunaks announcement to Truss who basically said the same thing in her speech. The public will surely think oh dear if it’s a Truss suggestion .
    One of the few good things about the Tories is that they finally got serious about the environment. Now Sunak has decided to bin that. It's politically absurd. People who care about the environment vastly outnumber the people this will appeal to.
    They do until it affects their wallet, see ULEZ and the Uxbridge by election
    The Tories fluked a win there as many didn’t bother checking if their cars would be compliant and now seem to have taken a 400 vote win as some huge endorsement on dropping a series of climate proposals . It seems the Tories election campaign will consist of let’s leave the ECHR so we can be like Russia and Belarus and lets junk our net zero plans .


    Did ULEZ help them hold on to Uxbridge or was it the cancelling of a negative Johnson incumbency factor?
    Maybe a bit of both . ULEZ certainly played a role helped by a poor Labour campaign .
  • Options
    carnforthcarnforth Posts: 3,338
    Nigelb said:

    .

    HYUFD said:
    Another PPE from bloody Oxford.

    Will this conveyor belt ever end?
    "Poppy Simister-Thomas" is pretty good, though.
    Could only ever be a Tory candidate.
    Really? A classic LibDem name, surely? Double barelled and the rather wet "Poppy"...
  • Options
    AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 20,404
    nico679 said:

    Pippa Crerar

    @PippaCrerar
    ·
    53m
    Tory peer
    @ZacGoldsmith
    , who quit as environment minister in June, describes Sunak’s net zero decision as “a moment of shame” for UK.

    He also raises question of PM’s mandate… unlikely to be the last to do so.

    Goldsmith has been hinting at defecting to Labour. I wonder if he might now go through with it?
    He wouldn’t be welcome after his controversial London mayoralty campaign against Khan .
    Fair point.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,603
    Farooq said:

    nico679 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Headlines from Mail and Express tell us why Sunak has pandered to the ageing tory membership vote yet again.

    Pathetic.

    Hope he can show his face to his daughters tonight with hanging in shame.

    I don't think the Luckyguy vote is likely to save him.

    Great idea taking one of the very few long term consensus policies the country has, and ripping it up. What an utter plonker.
    Whatever you think of stuff like HS2, offshore wind and Net Zero, the success of these policies is being undercut by the seemingly deliberate introduction of uncertainty in each.

    How can the private sector and households make sound investments in the face of all this?

    (It was 2030 for no new ICE cars, and no gas boilers in new homes from 2025. Both seem sensible and achievable to me)
    The 2026 ban on off-grid oil boilers will be delayed to 2035, with only an 80% phase out target at that date too.

    That is sensible as in rural areas like here virtually everyone relies on oil

    Sure (I grew up with one). But only 5% of the population use them. That is not the vote share the Tories are looking for.
    It is, rural areas are the Conservative core vote and it is a big issue for them, it is not a big issue for the other 95%
    They are already voting Tory.
    They may not have all bothered to vote, some may have gone RefUK, this will fire up the rural core vote to turn out
    Farmers have been screwed by Brexit and so not sure the rural vote is as solid as it once was . The best thing for the Tories is a period in opposition where hopefully sanity returns.
    The best thing for the country would be the Conservatives pulling down the shutters and fucking off for good.
    They can't be fixed. It's a new centre-right party that's needed. This party needs a DNR.
    The only viable right of centre party that could replace the Tories is one led by Farage even further right
  • Options
    nico679nico679 Posts: 5,238

    Pippa Crerar

    @PippaCrerar
    ·
    53m
    Tory peer
    @ZacGoldsmith
    , who quit as environment minister in June, describes Sunak’s net zero decision as “a moment of shame” for UK.

    He also raises question of PM’s mandate… unlikely to be the last to do so.

    Goldsmith has been hinting at defecting to Labour. I wonder if he might now go through with it?

    Glen O'Hara
    @gsoh31
    ·
    1h
    Hmmm, Tories seem to be ripping themselves apart on #Newsnight. Just feels like 1996 all over again.
    This is nothing . Wait for the drama when they put leaving the ECHR in their manifesto .
  • Options
    FarooqFarooq Posts: 11,314
    viewcode said:

    "The Rock" is on ITV. It's still on the SanFran bits so there's still time to jump in. Damn, Michael Biehn was good looking, before alcoholism robbed him of his looks and voice.

    Michael Biehn is closer in age to Joe Biden than to Sadiq Khan
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,603
    edited September 2023
    glw said:

    Some more top advice for CCHQ why don't you copy the GOP on abortion? If you are courting the same sort of voters you may as well go all-in.

    Well if they elect Jacob Rees Mogg leader in a few years they might, he certainly takes the Vatican line on abortion like DeSantis.

    Trump is ironically now a moderate on abortion compared to DeSantis and Pence
    https://apnews.com/article/trump-desantis-abortion-ban-republican-primary-5bdbba55f9c2f328d49b5fbe9727677e
  • Options
    EabhalEabhal Posts: 6,425

    Pippa Crerar

    @PippaCrerar
    ·
    53m
    Tory peer
    @ZacGoldsmith
    , who quit as environment minister in June, describes Sunak’s net zero decision as “a moment of shame” for UK.

    He also raises question of PM’s mandate… unlikely to be the last to do so.

    Goldsmith has been hinting at defecting to Labour. I wonder if he might now go through with it?

    Glen O'Hara
    @gsoh31
    ·
    1h
    Hmmm, Tories seem to be ripping themselves apart on #Newsnight. Just feels like 1996 all over again.
    Interesting that Simon Clarke referenced Thatcher, jobs and the market in his thread.

    Old school conservatism versus Sunak's gerontocracy.
  • Options
    SirNorfolkPassmoreSirNorfolkPassmore Posts: 6,532
    edited September 2023

    Pippa Crerar

    @PippaCrerar
    ·
    53m
    Tory peer
    @ZacGoldsmith
    , who quit as environment minister in June, describes Sunak’s net zero decision as “a moment of shame” for UK.

    He also raises question of PM’s mandate… unlikely to be the last to do so.

    Would that be the Zac Goldsmith who lost his seat in the 2019 General Election, but retained his membership of the legislature and role as a Government minister due to his close friendship with the PM of the time and closer friendship with said PM's wife?

    What fun to see him questioning the current PM's mandate.
  • Options
    FarooqFarooq Posts: 11,314
    HYUFD said:

    Farooq said:

    nico679 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Headlines from Mail and Express tell us why Sunak has pandered to the ageing tory membership vote yet again.

    Pathetic.

    Hope he can show his face to his daughters tonight with hanging in shame.

    I don't think the Luckyguy vote is likely to save him.

    Great idea taking one of the very few long term consensus policies the country has, and ripping it up. What an utter plonker.
    Whatever you think of stuff like HS2, offshore wind and Net Zero, the success of these policies is being undercut by the seemingly deliberate introduction of uncertainty in each.

    How can the private sector and households make sound investments in the face of all this?

    (It was 2030 for no new ICE cars, and no gas boilers in new homes from 2025. Both seem sensible and achievable to me)
    The 2026 ban on off-grid oil boilers will be delayed to 2035, with only an 80% phase out target at that date too.

    That is sensible as in rural areas like here virtually everyone relies on oil

    Sure (I grew up with one). But only 5% of the population use them. That is not the vote share the Tories are looking for.
    It is, rural areas are the Conservative core vote and it is a big issue for them, it is not a big issue for the other 95%
    They are already voting Tory.
    They may not have all bothered to vote, some may have gone RefUK, this will fire up the rural core vote to turn out
    Farmers have been screwed by Brexit and so not sure the rural vote is as solid as it once was . The best thing for the Tories is a period in opposition where hopefully sanity returns.
    The best thing for the country would be the Conservatives pulling down the shutters and fucking off for good.
    They can't be fixed. It's a new centre-right party that's needed. This party needs a DNR.
    The only viable right of centre party that could replace the Tories is one led by Farage even further right
    We'll just have to go without then
  • Options

    isam said:

    algarkirk said:

    isam said:

    DavidL said:

    Cyclefree said:

    I did say Labour were value when Dorries did formally stand down.

    Anyhoo.

    Deltapoll Westminster VI

    LAB: 47% (+1)
    CON: 23% (-5)
    LDM: 10% (=)
    GRN: 7% (=)
    RFM: 6% (+1)
    SNP: 4% (+1)

    This isn't a blip. Look at the underlying numbers in both the Deltapoll and Ipsos polls today (helpfully summarised in the threads below). They're awful for the Tories.

    https://twitter.com/DeltapollUK/status/1704101157084205070

    https://twitter.com/keiranpedley/status/1704093526869311566
    At the risk of turning into @Heathener, the prospect of something close to a Tory wipe out is being underplayed.

    Just because it's never happened (ignoring what happened to the Liberals) and just because they've existed for so long (so had the Liberals) doesn't mean it's never going to happen.
    I’m pretty instinctively a Tory kind of guy. A Unionist through and through, proud to be British, a believer in capitalism and private enterprise, encouraging people to work hard to get on and rewarding ambition.

    I really have no idea what this government is about anymore. It is high tax, low service, short sighted and, particularly anywhere near the Home Office, deeply unpleasant bordering on unBritish. I am in something approaching despair. What on earth happened to Cameron’s new Tories?
    Short answer: they lost the referendum.

    Long answer: Cameroonism didn't really have a good answer to the question "what are the Conservatives for?" The coalition was a bit of an "in office, not in power" experience and some sort of reaction against that was probably inevitable. I don't like the form that has taken any more than you, but I can sort of understand it. Add to that the change in the age graph; the Conservatives are a "waiting for God" party now in a way they weren't before. That has consequences.

    As for the higher tax, lower services issue... I'm willing to cut Sunak some slack there, though I wish he'd be honest about it. The UK has been writing post-dated cheques for decades, and the electorate has rewarded governments for doing that. They were bound to be cashed eventually, and it's not entirely Sunak's fault that it's on his watch.
    The medium answer: They lost the referendum, then didn’t stick around to honour the result.
    Yes. It was essential to the Tory project in 2015/16 that Cameron, having given us the choice, remained as PM to see it through. If he had thought that a Leave result was undeliverable and was a resignation issue he should have said so in advance, as giving the people the choice was the manifesto commitment. He didn't.

    That travesty was compounded by failing to appoint a genuine Brexiteer as PM in his place.

    They have never recovered from those two disasters.
    And yet, writing that down highlights quite what a mad gamble Cameron took.

    There is no way he could plausibly remain PM after June 2016; he had recommended one course of action to the British population, and they voted against it. It wasn't technically a vote of confidence, but it had the same weight.

    Besides, Cameron would (presumably) have negotiated an arrangement closer to the EU than May's or Johnson's. Given the buckets of shit poured on May, is it really plausible to think that Cameron negotiating something would have ended better?
    I think so.

    He shouldn’t have taken a prominent role in the referendum, so he could still have been PM no matter what. But even given the way it panned out, he should have hung around to make a deal as he said he would.


    By the way, I hear Aklu Plaza is closing. They couldn’t get permission for the ‘banqueting suite/community space/wedding venue’ on the third floor in time, and the ‘shop’ downstairs was a rat infested front
    Once upon a time it was a Debenhams, I remember mum and dad driving me and my brother there from Ilford every couple of weekends.
    Did your family not know there was a Debenhams in Ilford?
  • Options
    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 27,652
    edited September 2023
    Reading this article in UnHerd about Peep Show, I've just realised that I've never watched even a single minute of this show so far.

    https://unherd.com/2023/09/peep-show-is-a-national-humiliation/
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,603
    Eabhal said:

    Pippa Crerar

    @PippaCrerar
    ·
    53m
    Tory peer
    @ZacGoldsmith
    , who quit as environment minister in June, describes Sunak’s net zero decision as “a moment of shame” for UK.

    He also raises question of PM’s mandate… unlikely to be the last to do so.

    Goldsmith has been hinting at defecting to Labour. I wonder if he might now go through with it?

    Glen O'Hara
    @gsoh31
    ·
    1h
    Hmmm, Tories seem to be ripping themselves apart on #Newsnight. Just feels like 1996 all over again.
    Interesting that Simon Clarke referenced Thatcher, jobs and the market in his thread.

    Old school conservatism versus Sunak's gerontocracy.
    Old school free market liberalism you mean
  • Options
    FarooqFarooq Posts: 11,314
    carnforth said:

    Nigelb said:

    .

    HYUFD said:
    Another PPE from bloody Oxford.

    Will this conveyor belt ever end?
    "Poppy Simister-Thomas" is pretty good, though.
    Could only ever be a Tory candidate.
    Really? A classic LibDem name, surely? Double barelled and the rather wet "Poppy"...
    Con: Benjamin Worthington
    Lab: Olivia Wright
    LD: Sophie Thornton
    SNP: Isla Cameron
    Green: Jasper Moss
    Brexit or whatever the fuck they're called now: Lizzie Knight
    PC: Angharad Roberts
    DUP: Peter Boyd
    SF: Aoife Kelly
  • Options

    isam said:

    algarkirk said:

    isam said:

    DavidL said:

    Cyclefree said:

    I did say Labour were value when Dorries did formally stand down.

    Anyhoo.

    Deltapoll Westminster VI

    LAB: 47% (+1)
    CON: 23% (-5)
    LDM: 10% (=)
    GRN: 7% (=)
    RFM: 6% (+1)
    SNP: 4% (+1)

    This isn't a blip. Look at the underlying numbers in both the Deltapoll and Ipsos polls today (helpfully summarised in the threads below). They're awful for the Tories.

    https://twitter.com/DeltapollUK/status/1704101157084205070

    https://twitter.com/keiranpedley/status/1704093526869311566
    At the risk of turning into @Heathener, the prospect of something close to a Tory wipe out is being underplayed.

    Just because it's never happened (ignoring what happened to the Liberals) and just because they've existed for so long (so had the Liberals) doesn't mean it's never going to happen.
    I’m pretty instinctively a Tory kind of guy. A Unionist through and through, proud to be British, a believer in capitalism and private enterprise, encouraging people to work hard to get on and rewarding ambition.

    I really have no idea what this government is about anymore. It is high tax, low service, short sighted and, particularly anywhere near the Home Office, deeply unpleasant bordering on unBritish. I am in something approaching despair. What on earth happened to Cameron’s new Tories?
    Short answer: they lost the referendum.

    Long answer: Cameroonism didn't really have a good answer to the question "what are the Conservatives for?" The coalition was a bit of an "in office, not in power" experience and some sort of reaction against that was probably inevitable. I don't like the form that has taken any more than you, but I can sort of understand it. Add to that the change in the age graph; the Conservatives are a "waiting for God" party now in a way they weren't before. That has consequences.

    As for the higher tax, lower services issue... I'm willing to cut Sunak some slack there, though I wish he'd be honest about it. The UK has been writing post-dated cheques for decades, and the electorate has rewarded governments for doing that. They were bound to be cashed eventually, and it's not entirely Sunak's fault that it's on his watch.
    The medium answer: They lost the referendum, then didn’t stick around to honour the result.
    Yes. It was essential to the Tory project in 2015/16 that Cameron, having given us the choice, remained as PM to see it through. If he had thought that a Leave result was undeliverable and was a resignation issue he should have said so in advance, as giving the people the choice was the manifesto commitment. He didn't.

    That travesty was compounded by failing to appoint a genuine Brexiteer as PM in his place.

    They have never recovered from those two disasters.
    And yet, writing that down highlights quite what a mad gamble Cameron took.

    There is no way he could plausibly remain PM after June 2016; he had recommended one course of action to the British population, and they voted against it. It wasn't technically a vote of confidence, but it had the same weight.

    Besides, Cameron would (presumably) have negotiated an arrangement closer to the EU than May's or Johnson's. Given the buckets of shit poured on May, is it really plausible to think that Cameron negotiating something would have ended better?
    I think so.

    He shouldn’t have taken a prominent role in the referendum, so he could still have been PM no matter what. But even given the way it panned out, he should have hung around to make a deal as he said he would.


    By the way, I hear Aklu Plaza is closing. They couldn’t get permission for the ‘banqueting suite/community space/wedding venue’ on the third floor in time, and the ‘shop’ downstairs was a rat infested front
    Once upon a time it was a Debenhams, I remember mum and dad driving me and my brother there from Ilford every couple of weekends.
    Did your family not know there was a Debenhams in Ilford?
    That only opened with the Exchange shopping centre c.1991!
  • Options
    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 19,432
    edited September 2023
    Farooq said:

    viewcode said:

    "The Rock" is on ITV. It's still on the SanFran bits so there's still time to jump in. Damn, Michael Biehn was good looking, before alcoholism robbed him of his looks and voice.

    Michael Biehn is closer in age to Joe Biden than to Sadiq Khan
    Tom Cruise is 61. Brad Pitt is 59. The world turns, and we turn with it... :(
  • Options
    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:
    Another PPE from bloody Oxford.

    Will this conveyor belt ever end?
    Probably, Starmer read law at Leeds and Oxford
    The former being one of the finest education establishments in Europe of course.

    I thought it was Hull?
    No idea where you got that from.

    Blackadder explains:

    https://youtu.be/OKuHYO9TM5A?feature=shared
    According to the comments, General Melchett's line was ad libbed by Cambridge man Fry.
  • Options
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    If Sunak was going to be in office longer than 12 months and he actually did row back on new zero policy then it would disprove the old canard that by-elections change nothing.

    Uxbridge.

    By elections have changed things before, the rather small but long overdue planning reform Boris was planning got abandoned after a NIMBY by election defeat to the Lib Dems. For shame.

    image

    I can't think of a by election ever changing things for the better.
    I can tell my local MP in a safe Tory seat is getting nervous. They have sent me a first ever letter, and it is to oppose further expansion of housebuilding in the constituency.

    Desperately hoping the Nimbys can save the Tory bacon.
    Foxy said:

    If Sunak was going to be in office longer than 12 months and he actually did row back on new zero policy then it would disprove the old canard that by-elections change nothing.

    Uxbridge.

    By elections have changed things before, the rather small but long overdue planning reform Boris was planning got abandoned after a NIMBY by election defeat to the Lib Dems. For shame.

    image

    I can't think of a by election ever changing things for the better.
    I can tell my local MP in a safe Tory seat is getting nervous. They have sent me a first ever letter, and it is to oppose further expansion of housebuilding in the constituency.

    Desperately hoping the Nimbys can save the Tory bacon.
    Do you mind if I ask who that MP is?

    Hope he loses his seat if that's his priority.
    It's these three:

    https://www.harboroughmail.co.uk/news/people/harborough-area-mps-come-together-to-call-on-council-leader-to-scrap-plans-to-increase-housing-targets-for-the-town-4337375

    All three deserve to lose their seats then. NIMBY scum.
  • Options
    Is the government planning to force petrol stations to stop selling fossil fuels at some point?

    Perhaps in typical joined-up government fashion they could speed this process up as a way of placating the people who are upset about delaying the ban on new vehicles.
  • Options
    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 27,652
    "The parallels between Argentina and Britain’s inept political class
    Over the past few decades, both countries have experienced near financial catastrophe at the hands of reckless leaders.

    By John Gray"

    https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-politics/2023/09/argentina-britain-political-class-john-gray
  • Options
    HYUFD said:

    glw said:

    Some more top advice for CCHQ why don't you copy the GOP on abortion? If you are courting the same sort of voters you may as well go all-in.

    Well if they elect Jacob Rees Mogg leader in a few years they might, he certainly takes the Vatican line on abortion like DeSantis.

    Trump is ironically now a moderate on abortion compared to DeSantis and Pence
    https://apnews.com/article/trump-desantis-abortion-ban-republican-primary-5bdbba55f9c2f328d49b5fbe9727677e
    Trump always was moderate on abortion. Pence was Trump's link to the evangelical right. Trump complained he was not getting credit from them for delivering their agenda. For Trump, everything was transactional.
  • Options

    isam said:

    algarkirk said:

    isam said:

    DavidL said:

    Cyclefree said:

    I did say Labour were value when Dorries did formally stand down.

    Anyhoo.

    Deltapoll Westminster VI

    LAB: 47% (+1)
    CON: 23% (-5)
    LDM: 10% (=)
    GRN: 7% (=)
    RFM: 6% (+1)
    SNP: 4% (+1)

    This isn't a blip. Look at the underlying numbers in both the Deltapoll and Ipsos polls today (helpfully summarised in the threads below). They're awful for the Tories.

    https://twitter.com/DeltapollUK/status/1704101157084205070

    https://twitter.com/keiranpedley/status/1704093526869311566
    At the risk of turning into @Heathener, the prospect of something close to a Tory wipe out is being underplayed.

    Just because it's never happened (ignoring what happened to the Liberals) and just because they've existed for so long (so had the Liberals) doesn't mean it's never going to happen.
    I’m pretty instinctively a Tory kind of guy. A Unionist through and through, proud to be British, a believer in capitalism and private enterprise, encouraging people to work hard to get on and rewarding ambition.

    I really have no idea what this government is about anymore. It is high tax, low service, short sighted and, particularly anywhere near the Home Office, deeply unpleasant bordering on unBritish. I am in something approaching despair. What on earth happened to Cameron’s new Tories?
    Short answer: they lost the referendum.

    Long answer: Cameroonism didn't really have a good answer to the question "what are the Conservatives for?" The coalition was a bit of an "in office, not in power" experience and some sort of reaction against that was probably inevitable. I don't like the form that has taken any more than you, but I can sort of understand it. Add to that the change in the age graph; the Conservatives are a "waiting for God" party now in a way they weren't before. That has consequences.

    As for the higher tax, lower services issue... I'm willing to cut Sunak some slack there, though I wish he'd be honest about it. The UK has been writing post-dated cheques for decades, and the electorate has rewarded governments for doing that. They were bound to be cashed eventually, and it's not entirely Sunak's fault that it's on his watch.
    The medium answer: They lost the referendum, then didn’t stick around to honour the result.
    Yes. It was essential to the Tory project in 2015/16 that Cameron, having given us the choice, remained as PM to see it through. If he had thought that a Leave result was undeliverable and was a resignation issue he should have said so in advance, as giving the people the choice was the manifesto commitment. He didn't.

    That travesty was compounded by failing to appoint a genuine Brexiteer as PM in his place.

    They have never recovered from those two disasters.
    And yet, writing that down highlights quite what a mad gamble Cameron took.

    There is no way he could plausibly remain PM after June 2016; he had recommended one course of action to the British population, and they voted against it. It wasn't technically a vote of confidence, but it had the same weight.

    Besides, Cameron would (presumably) have negotiated an arrangement closer to the EU than May's or Johnson's. Given the buckets of shit poured on May, is it really plausible to think that Cameron negotiating something would have ended better?
    I think so.

    He shouldn’t have taken a prominent role in the referendum, so he could still have been PM no matter what. But even given the way it panned out, he should have hung around to make a deal as he said he would.


    By the way, I hear Aklu Plaza is closing. They couldn’t get permission for the ‘banqueting suite/community space/wedding venue’ on the third floor in time, and the ‘shop’ downstairs was a rat infested front
    Once upon a time it was a Debenhams, I remember mum and dad driving me and my brother there from Ilford every couple of weekends.
    Did your family not know there was a Debenhams in Ilford?
    That only opened with the Exchange shopping centre c.1991!
    Ah, maybe I'm thinking of Romford then.
  • Options
    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 19,432
    Andy_JS said:

    "The parallels between Argentina and Britain’s inept political class
    Over the past few decades, both countries have experienced near financial catastrophe at the hands of reckless leaders.

    By John Gray"

    https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-politics/2023/09/argentina-britain-political-class-john-gray

    He has a lecture in Oxford this coming weekend. Unfortunately, due to a family thing, I can't attend. ☹️
  • Options
    Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 2,575
    Off topic: Trump is just going back to his roots on abortion. In 2016, I observed that, judging by their past behavior, Trump was the candidate of Playboy magazine, and Clinton was the candidate of Ms. magazine. (Both magazines, as you probably know, were, and are, strong proponents of no limits on abortion.) In practice, Clinton and Trump agreed on other issues, too.

    (Credit where due: If he was trying to make a joke, Trump succeeded brilliantly when he said, recently, he could get the two sides on abortion together, and make everyone happy.)
  • Options
    Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,224

    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Headlines from Mail and Express tell us why Sunak has pandered to the ageing tory membership vote yet again.

    Pathetic.

    Hope he can show his face to his daughters tonight with hanging in shame.

    I don't think the Luckyguy vote is likely to save him.

    Great idea taking one of the very few long term consensus policies the country has, and ripping it up. What an utter plonker.
    Whatever you think of stuff like HS2, offshore wind and Net Zero, the success of these policies is being undercut by the seemingly deliberate introduction of uncertainty in each.

    How can the private sector and households make sound investments in the face of all this?

    (It was 2030 for no new ICE cars, and no gas boilers in new homes from 2025. Both seem sensible and achievable to me)
    The 2026 ban on off-grid oil boilers will be delayed to 2035, with only an 80% phase out target at that date too.

    That is sensible as in rural areas like here virtually everyone relies on oil


    Sunak has certainly put the cat amongst the pigeons and it will be fascinating to see how this unfolds

    Not for the feint hearted conservatives I believe
    The ban is on new oil boilers.

    I didn't mentioned oil boilers (not me)

    The only thing I find surprising is the end of ICE car sales is 5 years earlier than the EU so it would be good if someone could explain the commercial benefits of doing this
    Une fois de plus.


  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,296
    Sandpit said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Responded after the end of the thread.

    Farooq said:

    I don't have cruise control and I don't have a max speed limiter. I have zero problems driving in places like Edinburgh where the limit is 20mph on almost all roads, and can still look where I'm going.

    Am I some kind of driving savant? I don't think I am. Why are people pretending it's difficult?

    It depends on the car. Many cars are designed to work better at certain speeds than others.

    My car if I'm at 20 then I need to be in third gear to maintain that and in third gear minor changes in foot pressure (or slope of the ground) can lead to accelerating or decelerating.

    If I'm at 30 then I can cruise (with or without cruise control) in fifth gear and minor slope/pressure changes don't result in sudden speed changes. Indeed if exiting a 30 and going to National Speed Limit then may need to drop down from fifth to fourth in order to rapidly accelerate.

    Bigger issue is the fuel efficiency. Cruising at 30 in fifth is far more fuel efficient than at 20 in third, in my vehicle at least.
    Despite your Alberto Ascari levels of car control. You can't get away from the drag equation. It takes 2.25x as much energy to move your car through the air at 30mph as it does at 20mph.

    Drag Force = 1/2 x ρ x v^2 x Cd x A
    Yes, but that's not the only factor involved now, is it?

    As many including myself have mentioned whether you are accelerating or not matters a lot more than drag - doing 30 while cruising at 30 is far more efficient than doing 30 while ragging your vehicle from 0 to 70. You might not appreciate this fact, I understand.

    And again, gears matter. While I'm driving I typically have the real time MPG displayed on my dashboard, which I appreciate is an estimate but still a reasonable estimate. Cruising at 30 in fifth displays a better MPG than cruising at 20 in third does.
    IIRC, petrol and diesel cars are typically at their most efficient when driven at their lowest comfortable speed in top gear, typically around 40 to 50 mph. With EVs, of course, the slower the better as far as efficiency is concerned, which makes EVs fantastic for town use. Of course modern cars also have cruise controls / speed limiters which makes keeping to speed limits a doddle.
    Yes exactly, hence why 30 is good for me as my car does handle 30 in its top gear. Though it gets about the same fuel efficiency whether travelling 30-50mph. Below 30 (so lower gears) or above 50 the fuel efficiency drops, increasingly significantly.

    Cruise control aiding sticking to the speed limit is a good point and as many cars cruise controls have a minimum speed of 25mph that's another reason why 30 mph speed limits is better than 20mph ones. 👍
    Cruise controls might be limited to 25 mph, but I don't think speed limiters are.
    My speed limiter goes down to 30km/h, which is just under 20mph. I guess it would be 20mph if I set it to miles.

    Traditional cruise control at town speed is a bad idea, although a lot of modern cars do have “active cruise” which starts and stops with the car in front.
    For the sake of completeness, I did set my car (2005 Mercedes E500) to display in mph, and the speed limiter minimum is indeed 20mph, then going up in 5mph (as opposed to 10km/h) increments.
  • Options
    TazTaz Posts: 11,773
    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Headlines from Mail and Express tell us why Sunak has pandered to the ageing tory membership vote yet again.

    Pathetic.

    Hope he can show his face to his daughters tonight with hanging in shame.

    I don't think the Luckyguy vote is likely to save him.

    Great idea taking one of the very few long term consensus policies the country has, and ripping it up. What an utter plonker.
    Whatever you think of stuff like HS2, offshore wind and Net Zero, the success of these policies is being undercut by the seemingly deliberate introduction of uncertainty in each.

    How can the private sector and households make sound investments in the face of all this?

    (It was 2030 for no new ICE cars, and no gas boilers in new homes from 2025. Both seem sensible and achievable to me)
    The 2026 ban on off-grid oil boilers will be delayed to 2035, with only an 80% phase out target at that date too.

    That is sensible as in rural areas like here virtually everyone relies on oil


    Sunak has certainly put the cat amongst the pigeons and it will be fascinating to see how this unfolds

    Not for the feint hearted conservatives I believe
    The ban is on new oil boilers.

    And would energy infrastructure in rural areas be able to cope with the demand for all the new heat pumps?
    What infrastructure do you need for a heat pump?
    There is also the cost of installation and finding enough trained engineers to install them
    Also the capacity to manufacture them in the quantities needed as well as the entire supply chain to support it.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,296

    Eabhal said:

    Sam Coates Sky
    @SamCoatesSky
    ·
    1h
    Lots of Whitehall blindsided tonight on the car element of the net zero package, and the timing.

    Not least the UK delegation in New York for the climate events at UNGA

    https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1704224035821715651

    Presumably car firms that have been investing on the basis of 2030 will be pretty pissed off as well.

    As a provincial science master, I take comfort in not really understanding business, but I can't help wondering if Rishi understands even less than I do.
    The interesting question is why did Boris advance this target from 2035 to 2030?
    2035 is the Europe wide target so I have no idea why the UK is 5 years earlier
    Because car manufacturers are going to beat the 2030 deadline, some by several years.

    This is anti-green posturing, with no basis in what is going on in the real world. You must be delighted.

    Jim Pickard 🐋
    @PickardJE
    ·
    19m
    is he really suggesting that delaying green reforms will make Britain a better place “for our children”?

    This type of commentary is completely divorced from the economic concerns of the average voter. For some people's children it might mean the difference between being able to afford a car and not being able to afford one.
    Yes, the banning of new ICE cars would have pushed down the price of used ICE cars. So you are right - but in the opposite way to that you are intimating.
    The banning of new ICE cars, is way likely to lead to them going up in value used, as a consequence of the constraint in supply. We saw this in 2021 and 2022 thanks to the pandemic.

    Which is why the policymakers are determined to implement ULEZ everywhere, to stop people holding on to their last car and keep it running, leaving petrol as a weird enthusiast thing that people do on Sundays, as they do with horses at the moment.

    What is really worrying the Germans is a potential EU ban on manufacturing petrol-powered cars, for export to countries that buy lots of cars and aren’t interested in banning petrol.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,296

    Off topic: Trump is just going back to his roots on abortion. In 2016, I observed that, judging by their past behavior, Trump was the candidate of Playboy magazine, and Clinton was the candidate of Ms. magazine. (Both magazines, as you probably know, were, and are, strong proponents of no limits on abortion.) In practice, Clinton and Trump agreed on other issues, too.

    (Credit where due: If he was trying to make a joke, Trump succeeded brilliantly when he said, recently, he could get the two sides on abortion together, and make everyone happy.)

    Trump has his own views on abortion, but his more religious supporters (and religious Republicans in general) are still over the moon that he got Roe overturned and made the subject an issue for individual States.

    For decades, that decision has been seen as an infringement of the rights of the States to decide these moral issues themselves; has been seen as symptomatic of both the outsized influence of liberal NY, CA, and DC, and the centralisation of government in Washington.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,296

    The drone footage of the battlefield south of Bakhmut about 6 minutes in is truly apocolyptic:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J1Hj5I0M4aU&ab_channel=WarthogDefense

    Oh no, not another Russian special forces unit commander Colonel killed in action, and most of his unit taken out defending an already bombed-out village. Damn shame.
  • Options
    ChrisChris Posts: 11,253
    Sandpit said:

    The drone footage of the battlefield south of Bakhmut about 6 minutes in is truly apocolyptic:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J1Hj5I0M4aU&ab_channel=WarthogDefense

    Oh no, not another Russian special forces unit commander Colonel killed in action, and most of his unit taken out defending an already bombed-out village. Damn shame.
    But of course it is a shame for the Russian conscripts. "Soldiers who want to be civilians ..."
  • Options
    IcarusIcarus Posts: 929
    Spent yesterday in Mid Beds - Everyone I spoke to wanted to discuss the best way of defeating the Tories. The voters of Mid Beds have decided, partly because of Nadine but also Boris and Truss that they need a kicking. Quite possible that the Conservatives will end up fourth -behind the independent candidate!

    Postal votes expected to go out next Tuesday. Often postal voters haven't had much literature when they cast their votes but because the campaign has been going on for some time already, thanks to Nadine's delayed resignation, those with postal votes know who to vote for. Only posters evident were Lib Dem diamonds in Barton-le-Clay. The Lib Dem campaign is firing on all cylinders.

  • Options
    Andy_JS said:

    Reading this article in UnHerd about Peep Show, I've just realised that I've never watched even a single minute of this show so far.

    https://unherd.com/2023/09/peep-show-is-a-national-humiliation/

    Peep Show is masterpiece. Only a few comedy programmes of recent decades can be considered its peers IMHO - maybe The Royle Family, Derry Girls, Curb Your Enthusiasm, Succession. I think this article overdoes the bleakness of the show, though, and the era. And the writer fawns over the absurdly overrated Fleabag so is clearly an idiot.
  • Options
    nico679 said:

    Sam Coates Sky
    @SamCoatesSky
    ·
    1h
    Lots of Whitehall blindsided tonight on the car element of the net zero package, and the timing.

    Not least the UK delegation in New York for the climate events at UNGA

    https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1704224035821715651

    Presumably car firms that have been investing on the basis of 2030 will be pretty pissed off as well.

    As a provincial science master, I take comfort in not really understanding business, but I can't help wondering if Rishi understands even less than I do.
    The interesting question is why did Boris advance this target from 2035 to 2030?
    2035 is the Europe wide target so I have no idea why the UK is 5 years earlier
    Slightly different bans.

    The UK's 2030 is for pure petrol/diesel only; hybrids would still be allowed.

    The EU's 2035 is for anything with a combustion engine, so includes hybrids.
    Tory: We left EU to do our own thing and the massive single market next door to us makes not a jot of difference.

    Also Tory: EU says 2035 - we should too.

    Pathetic on stilts.

    It will be hilarious to see the gymnastics performed as the Brexit cabal explain to us why we should be in tune with the EU .
    It’s simple

    You don’t want to be behind the EU because of the political cost.

    The question of whether the political benefit (sorry, I meant “international influence as a result of leading the way on climate change”) from being more aggressive than
    the EU is worth the benefit

    That’s the thing about Brexit: it allows us to choose. Sometimes it will make sense to be the same as the EU, and sometimes it will make sense to be different
  • Options
    EabhalEabhal Posts: 6,425
    edited September 2023
    Sandpit said:

    Eabhal said:

    Sam Coates Sky
    @SamCoatesSky
    ·
    1h
    Lots of Whitehall blindsided tonight on the car element of the net zero package, and the timing.

    Not least the UK delegation in New York for the climate events at UNGA

    https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1704224035821715651

    Presumably car firms that have been investing on the basis of 2030 will be pretty pissed off as well.

    As a provincial science master, I take comfort in not really understanding business, but I can't help wondering if Rishi understands even less than I do.
    The interesting question is why did Boris advance this target from 2035 to 2030?
    2035 is the Europe wide target so I have no idea why the UK is 5 years earlier
    Because car manufacturers are going to beat the 2030 deadline, some by several years.

    This is anti-green posturing, with no basis in what is going on in the real world. You must be delighted.

    Jim Pickard 🐋
    @PickardJE
    ·
    19m
    is he really suggesting that delaying green reforms will make Britain a better place “for our children”?

    This type of commentary is completely divorced from the economic concerns of the average voter. For some people's children it might mean the difference between being able to afford a car and not being able to afford one.
    Yes, the banning of new ICE cars would have pushed down the price of used ICE cars. So you are right - but in the opposite way to that you are intimating.
    The banning of new ICE cars, is way likely to lead to them going up in value used, as a consequence of the constraint in supply. We saw this in 2021 and 2022 thanks to the pandemic.

    Which is why the policymakers are determined to implement ULEZ everywhere, to stop people holding on to their last car and keep it running, leaving petrol as a weird enthusiast thing that people do on Sundays, as they do with horses at the moment.

    What is really worrying the Germans is a potential EU ban on manufacturing petrol-powered cars, for export to countries that buy lots of cars and aren’t interested in banning petrol.
    Except ULEZ is about air pollution in cities, and the transition away from ICE cars is about reducing carbon emissions (though helps a bit with the former).

    A sensible policy would be to allow low emission but air polluting cars to keep driving outside of cities. Which is basically what the policy is at the moment 👍
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,296
    CPI 6.7%, down from 6.8% last month and below the BoE’s 7.1% forecast.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,296
    edited September 2023
    Andy_JS said:

    From today's proceedings at the PO inquiry.

    "Post Office auditor let false information go into her High Court statement"

    https://www.postofficescandal.uk/post/post-office-auditor/

    Is that not otherwise known as perjury?
  • Options
    nico679 said:

    HYUFD said:

    glw said:

    nico679 said:

    glw said:

    Genuinely starting to think that Sunak could end up a bigger vote loser than Truss, and that bringing back Boris is maybe not completely nuts.

    If the opposition have any sense they’ll tie Sunaks announcement to Truss who basically said the same thing in her speech. The public will surely think oh dear if it’s a Truss suggestion .
    One of the few good things about the Tories is that they finally got serious about the environment. Now Sunak has decided to bin that. It's politically absurd. People who care about the environment vastly outnumber the people this will appeal to.
    They do until it affects their wallet, see ULEZ and the Uxbridge by election
    The Tories fluked a win there as many didn’t bother checking if their cars would be compliant and now seem to have taken a 400 vote win as some huge endorsement on dropping a series of climate proposals . It seems the Tories election campaign will consist of let’s leave the ECHR so we can be like Russia and Belarus and lets junk our net zero plans .


    I’d rather that we aren’t like Russia because we *choose* not to be. You seem to rely on international agreements to restrain us.

    What a positive outlook on life you have

  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,777
    Sandpit said:

    CPI 6.7%, down from 6.8% last month and below the BoE’s 7.1% forecast.

    UK inflation remains above average but is converging again with small upticks elsewhere compared with a tiny fall here. We may see one more 0.25% increase but it must be touch and go now.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,296
    DavidL said:

    Sandpit said:

    CPI 6.7%, down from 6.8% last month and below the BoE’s 7.1% forecast.

    UK inflation remains above average but is converging again with small upticks elsewhere compared with a tiny fall here. We may see one more 0.25% increase but it must be touch and go now.
    The key is the oil price, which crashed in November last year, and is now 20% higher than the early December trough of $76. Q1 2024 could see inflation rising again.
  • Options
    Cyclefree said:

    viewcode said:

    Eabhal said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Headlines from Mail and Express tell us why Sunak has pandered to the ageing tory membership vote yet again.

    Pathetic.

    Hope he can show his face to his daughters tonight with hanging in shame.

    I don't think the Luckyguy vote is likely to save him.

    Great idea taking one of the very few long term consensus policies the country has, and ripping it up. What an utter plonker.
    Whatever you think of stuff like HS2, offshore wind and Net Zero, the success of these policies is being undercut by the seemingly deliberate introduction of uncertainty in each.

    How can the private sector and households make sound investments in the face of all this?

    (It was 2030 for no new ICE cars, and no gas boilers in new homes from 2025. Both seem sensible and achievable to me)
    The 2026 ban on off-grid oil boilers will be delayed to 2035, with only an 80% phase out target at that date too.

    That is sensible as in rural areas like here virtually everyone relies on oil


    Sunak has certainly put the cat amongst the pigeons and it will be fascinating to see how this unfolds

    Not for the feint hearted conservatives I believe
    The ban is on new oil boilers.

    And would energy infrastructure in rural areas be able to cope with the demand for all the new heat pumps?
    What infrastructure do you need for a heat pump?
    As I am sure everybody on this site would agree, I have thoughts on heat pumps 😀😀😀
    I actually have a heat pump. In a rural area. Where it is currently raining hard with strong winds and lots of mist.


    What would you like to know?

    😀
    Rain and mist at the same time?

    Are you sure your house hasn’t fallen into the lake?
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,777
    Sandpit said:

    Andy_JS said:

    From today's proceedings at the PO inquiry.

    "Post Office auditor let false information go into her High Court statement"

    https://www.postofficescandal.uk/post/post-office-auditor/

    Is that not otherwise known as perjury?
    In fairness it could also be construed as an attempt to pervert the course of justice. Either way, it is a serious offence and if this was done knowingly jail must be a real possibility.
This discussion has been closed.