A suggested betting market for Mid-Bedfordshire – politicalbetting.com
A suggested betting market for Mid-Bedfordshire – politicalbetting.com
LDs gearing up for a Mid Bedfordshire by-election. But is Dorries really going to quit? pic.twitter.com/jJaRK8srFx
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I usually love @MikeSmithson's LD tips. I did well out of Chesham & Amersham.
As he points out here and previously though, this one is not straightforward because we're trying to second guess Nadine Dorries who appears to be a law unto herself, like her BJ mentor.
For this reason it's a market that I'm avoiding for now.
https://www.politico.com/news/2023/08/22/trump-witness-reversal-testimony-jack-smith-00112355
Do I need to attend to my password?
F1: probably no bets this weekend for time reasons.
Takeaway drivers are pestering customers to have sex with them using contact details they provide for deliveries, the data watchdog has warned.
Close to a third (29pc) of 18-34-year-olds have been targeted by so-called “text pests”, individuals who use personal information such as a phone number or email address given to them in a business context for “romantic” or sexual proposition, according to the Information Commissioner’s Office.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/consumer-affairs/delivery-drivers-text-customers-data-protection/ (£££)
Great headlines of our time but a concerning story that shows the importance of data protection and privacy. That 29 per cent figure looks very high.
Since I was unbanned I assume the matter was resolved, but I have no warning to change my password, which would be difficult to guess and is unique to PP; indeed so difficult to guess that only my computers can remember it; I am not sure I can.
A Times investigation reveals that ‘Robin Zhang’ has been offering cash and contracts on an industrial scale for at least five years
... [big snip] ...
Western security services believe the operative, whose main alias is Robin Zhang, is the most prolific spy for a hostile state working against British interests in a generation. He is understood to have operated almost entirely from behind a desk, probably from the Chinese Ministry of State Security’s headquarters in Beijing.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/chinese-spy-linkedin-investigation-dxtq8mz7w (£££)
Another data security problem.
“People have the right to order a pizza, or give their email for a receipt, or have shopping delivered, without then being asked for sex or a date a little while later. They have a right to know that when they hand over their personal information, that it will not then be used in ways that they would not be comfortable with. But our research today shows a disturbingly high number of people, particularly young people, are falling prey to these text pests.
“There may be, amongst some, an outdated notion that to use someone’s personal details given to you in a business context to ask them out is romantic or charming. Put quite simply, it is not – it is against the law.
“If you are running a customer facing business, you have a responsibility to protect the data of your customers, including from your employees misusing it. We are writing to major businesses, including food and parcel delivery, to remind them that there are no excuses, and there can be no looking the other way.
“We’ve launched this call for evidence today because we want to hear directly from the public how this misuse of personal information has affected them. As the data regulator, we can then use this to inform our work protecting the public.”
The ICO call for evidence on unwanted employee contact and customer experience will be open from 22 August to 15 September. People can share their experiences through the ICO’s online form. The ICO encourages everyone who has been impacted by this to share their experiences.
https://ico.org.uk/about-the-ico/media-centre/news-and-blogs/2023/08/one-in-three-young-people-falling-prey-to-text-pests-as-ico-calls-for-victims-to-come-forward/
Sunak blocked from overruling ‘nightmare’ Ulez expansion
Ministers had considered use of little-known law to thwart Greater London charge, but lawyers said move would fail in the courts
No 10 has been blocked from overruling London’s ultra-low emission zone (Ulez) expansion after government lawyers warned its bid would be rejected by the courts.
Cabinet ministers were considering using a little-known legal power that allows them to reject a London mayor’s transport strategy if it is “inconsistent with national policies”.
However, The Telegraph understands the formal legal advice commissioned concluded that the move would fail if challenged....
....The little-known part of the 1999 law – the Greater London Authority Act – says that a transport secretary can in effect block a London mayor’s policy if the “transport strategy (or any part of it) is inconsistent with national policies relating to transport” and if the “inconsistency is detrimental to any area outside Greater London”.
The Government then privately commissioned formal legal advice, as first reported by GB News, in a sign of how seriously it was considering the move.
But government lawyers concluded that such a move would likely be quashed in the courts if challenged, given the UK Government itself is promoting air pollution improvement moves – meaning the Ulez would not be “inconsistent” with the Government’s stance.
The Telegraph understands that No 10 chose to drop the move and look for other options.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2023/08/22/rishi-sunak-blocked-overruling-ulez-expansion-london/
They had one opportunity to pick someone sensible, attractive to the electorate, dynamic, interesting. I'm not suggesting Rory Stewart, but obviously someone of that kind of ilk who had a presence and who might galvanise moderate left voters in the way that Boris once did. They could have won this election in May, possibly with ease.
It's a measure of how disconnected the Conservative Party is becoming from power that at its moment of golden opportunity it managed to select someone so repulsively unelectable as Susan Hall.
Waitrose launches first ever meal deal for £5
High-end supermarket under pressure to win back cash-strapped customers
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2023/08/22/waitrose-launches-first-ever-meal-deal-for-5/
Next Fortnum & Mason to launch BOGOF offers.
The brand is too toxic.
So it doesn’t matter who they field.
So we are stuck with the useless apparatchik, Sadiq Khan.
It will come and pass and people will forget it.
When historians write about the absolute moral collapse of the Tory Party under Johnson they will not be short of material.
https://nfsp.org.uk/news/view?name=dvla-seeks-to-end-contract-with-post-office
I’m not sure why they are bothering to stand at all. Tories would be better off throwing their support behind an independent candidate.
Jeremy Clarkson?
I'm unsure about the exact diversion route (it was *into* London, perhaps Rickmansworth), and whether it went into where the new ULEZ would be. But if such official diversions are in place, is the ULEZ charge in place? If so, it's rather sh*t.
If the M25 is closed, and the official diversion route is into the ULEZ< charges should not be applied. I hope that's the case.
Great advice, with only one weakness….
Ukraine blows up five jets ‘deep within Russian territory’
MoD says drone attacks included destruction of supersonic bomber at air base near St Petersburg 400 miles from border
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/22/five-jets-blown-up-three-days-inside-russia-ukraine-mod/
Surely there would have been someone with star appeal who might, necessarily and playfully, distance themselves from the mainstream party in that way that Londoners love.
But Susan Hall? Of all the odious people to choose, I mean really ...
Can we take the other side to court for implementing our policy? What do you mean no? Bloody leftie lawyers.
What does this government stand for? Want to achieve?
If so there is a short section of the M25 in the East which is in London (Upminster ward in Havering). Will vehicles be charged on this section of the M25?
I don't know what is wrong with work-shy British layabouts. Who wouldn't want to work on a pox-ridden firetrap prison scow?
Banks in Britain may be free to award even bigger bonuses from January but new pay perks are unlikely to help the country's financial industry outshine its rivals because top bankers are wary of swapping handsome fixed salaries for uncertain rewards.
Scrapping the near decade-old cap on bonuses is a core plank of Britain's post-Brexit easing of rules the European Union adopted to stop excessive risk-taking after taxpayers had to bail out banks in the global financial crisis.
https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/bonus-freedom-pay-paltry-brexit-dividend-britains-banks-2023-08-23/
Giving bankers bigger bonuses will help the Tories in the polls.
The idea that there is a “moment of golden opportunity” for the Conservatives is dubious. ULEZ may have allowed the party to hold on to a by-election, but there was still a swing against them. They start from behind in the London mayoralty. They don’t stand a chance until the national polling changes, and that’s not going to happen until Labour are in no. 10 and a Tory mayoral candidate can benefit from a midterm effect.
Zimbabweans are going to the polls in presidential and parliamentary elections after a campaign dominated by the country's soaring inflation.
The day has been declared a public holiday to allow the 6.62 million registered voters a chance to vote.
President Emmerson Mnangagwa faces 10 challengers, including Nelson Chamisa of the main opposition Citizens Coalition for Change (CCC).
A presidential candidate needs more than 50% of the vote to win.
If there is no outright victor, a presidential run-off will be held in six weeks on 2 October.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-66582584
https://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2023/07/23/could-jeremy-corbyn-hand-the-tories-the-london-mayoralty-next-year/
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-august-22-2023
On the specifics, which I'm guessing is questioning Susan Hall rather than Rob Blackie, the former is awful. She has made so many dreadful comments that she gets routinely criticised, including from within the Conservative Party. I'm sure you know that she is a big supporter of Donald Trump and also Liz Truss and she's pro-Brexit. None of those traits even remotely square with the London demographic.
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/londoners-diary/susan-hall-donald-trump-brixton-london-mayor-b1088034.html
https://www.desmog.com/2023/07/24/tory-london-mayor-candidate-susan-hall-fracking-net-zero-climate-science-denial/
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/breaking-tories-unveil-candidate-face-30500748
https://www.theguardian.com/culture/2023/aug/22/tory-london-mayor-candidate-criticised-notting-hill-carnival
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/london/tory-mayoral-candidate-hateful-messages-twitter-susan-hall-gemma-collins-b1093859.html
And I'm sure you also know that the rumpus over her being selected is so bad that the Conservative Party are in uproar about it, with calls from within the party for her candidacy to be reversed
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/conservative-party-london-mayoral-selection-susan-hall-uxbridge-b1099551.html
https://www.standard.co.uk/comment/comment/tory-mayoral-selection-process-humiliation-comment-iain-dale-susan-hall-b1095369.html
Or make a short sentence of nonsense words. Add a number somewhere in it.
https://xkcd.com/936/
Right I'm orrff. Have a nice day everyone. Gorgeous weather down here in the SW.
xx
Finally one of the banks my consulting business banks with is getting a barrage of questions about transactions. Who is this other company that money is being sent and received from? As apparently it having the same name - being the same company - is confusing. I expect that next I need to explain capital reserves and working capital and who HMRC are.
"An airport in France will be renamed in honour of Queen Elizabeth II after receiving permission from the King, officials in the town have said.
Le Touquet, in northern France, received the blessing from the King on Monday, its town hall said."
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-66577824
Interestingly I notice that the boundary now seems to be much closer to the GLA boundary in general than a version I saw some months ago.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/p0g3ws64?partner=uk.co.bbc&origin=share-mobile
1a. Jezbollah runs for mayor. The crank left resurrect themselves and spend most of the campaign screaming about that Tory Keir Starmer. Labour's vote share increases to a new high.
1b. Jezza proposes sensible things like abolishing the posher boroughs so that Kensington toffs get to pay to fix Tower Hamlets
2. Tories win the mayoralty. We then enjoy the rapid decline and global dishonour of London being declared a "woke-free zone" and fines for commuters who refuse to drive into the centre.
I then wondered how to rank him compared to his predecessors, and poor as he is, he is still better from my POV than either Johnson or Livingstone. Bur perhaps Livingstone was the most effective, in his first term rather than his second maybe.
Three duds in a row.
I comment on your posts a fair bit as most are just anti Tory comments. Its a ritual for you.
Fwiw, I think the Tories are awful and need time in opposition. I am waiting for Labour to F things up like they usually when in office.
But he finally blew it with the Megan article. Even his daughter Emily condemned him. He might win a certain narrow demographic of older, white, male suburban car drivers. But all London? Forget it.
The problem is that for a job as high-profile as the London mayorality you can't be a court jester. (Although Boris tried).
Which AIUI means it is primarily under Barbadian law, as well as the law of the sea. I presume there has been some sort of sign-over in the contract, but it does add a potential further complication just waiting for a lawyer to have fun with if the gash were to hit the fan.
What happens then? Months of cost and faff. For a single barge. Which houses one week's worth of migrants. What about all the rest?
The barge is no different to Rwanda - a policy chimera written in crayon to placate morons. It isn't a solution, or even part of a solution. The Tories very literally have no plan for the migration "crisis".
We have
1) ULEZ itself - policy of all serious parties
2) ULEZ enforcement - by flat, large charges per day.
It seems that the moderate voices, calling for a better, less regressive taxation method are being left out of the debate.
Some people, including some here, are defending the enforcement in a totemic “if they hate it, we must love it” way.
Other countries have come up with better schemes. Based on vehicle type and mikes driven for instance. Systems that will smoothly adapt to congestion charging in a world where more and more cars are EVs. Systems that reward drivers of small cars.
I love days off and getting to walk without houses in the way
Certainly one example of UK law not being triggered is that workers on ships don't instantly gain UK workers' rights when their ship ties up. As at least one major UK corporation exploits to the workers' detriment.
On the other hand, there are certain powers to intervene in the case of unseaworthy vessels even of foreign registry.
So I'm not sure how it works. But, for things like insurance, I do wonder.
BTW I don't suppose the Tories are worried about the local constituency. Portland is literally waaaaay out on the edge ofd South Dorset, where the MP is a local chap, Richard Drax, with a vote you could shovel with one of the dozer tanks from Bovington Camp - about 58% in 2019, Labour being 25% and the LDs 11%. So although the locals are bitching like hell the Tories must be hoping it doesn't affect Weymouth too much.
See eg Manchester where the proposed charged-for zone was scrapped as it was (a) unfair and (b) wouldn't work anyway, and replaced with a better alternative.
https://www.itfglobal.org/en
Expansion of ULEZ = less pollution in the areas affected.
Which means that ANY HMG argument based on HMG reversing its policy of less pollution was sunk ab initio.
If HMG had argued on the efficiency or the social equity, that might have been different, I suppse. But that would have meant admitting that they weren't really friends of the reactionary backless glove merchants, and losing the latter's votes. .
I am very fearful that the western consensus to help Ukraine will dissipate over the next year, especially as the US gets further into its electoral fever. Russia knows it has to buy time, and sadly too many people on 'our' side are keen to give them the impression that time is all they need.
Doesn't mean its government policy. Or a good idea.
If there's better ways to reach the objective, without a regressive tax, then that is a better alternative is it not?
I still think the Norwegians missed a trick in not calling the airport that serves Trondheim, Hell International Airport, since the airport is actually in Hell.
Like you say the delivery person should be plugged directly into the CRM, so that they can update it to say they delivery had been completed, and then there's no need for a hardcopy of the phone number. But not everyone can afford consultant IT day rates, and they're apparently not able to do it themselves.
You need to separate the personal and political please.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HM_Prison_Weare