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Just 31% of CON MPs think LAB will secure a majority – politicalbetting.com
Just 31% of CON MPs think LAB will secure a majority – politicalbetting.com
As can be seen the betting markets are rating the chance of a CON majority as an 10.4% chance which is way off the YouGov polling of Tory MPs. This is of course backed up by real money.
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Or have they gone paperless and just use their phones?
Rome 33
Naples 31
Lisbon 26
Milan 28
Nice 28
Barcelona 29
This just out. Wonder which will take longer to build, the henge with every stone shaped and ground by hand, or the tunnel with modern project management and machinery?
In America it goes much further, with share options a tiny fraction of face value etc….
Putin invaded Ukraine because he thought he could easily defeat it.
In a sensible world everyone would have smaller armed forces - but that means everyone.
@Carnyx I replied to your kind comment on the last thread because I type so bloody slow.
@Peck I didn't even get around to replying to your comment because I was typing so slow in replying to Carnyx, but in reply to your comment about why companies use cheques in those circumstances - that is very cynical of you. I hope you are wrong, but there is that sneaky feeling you might not be.
Jaguars used to use the M55 before it opened but it's hard to see where this could be done in the UK without causing fucking chaos.
You can literally advertise the post career stuff on your personal website. One leak about one envelope and you are toast.
The Borders line strikes me as a good example. Delivered on time and in budget and very popular from all I hear - but what prat decided not to electrify it, run it with clapped out two car DMUs and terminate it at Tweedbank?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LuANURnBzWQ
Besides is there a conceivable situation for which Russia commit to a conventional attack on the UK? They cant even get past Ukraine, I'd imagine Poland would be 10x harder and our islander would be on the puffin diet if he even tried.
@LOS_Fisher
·
Jul 9
I’ve been to Uxbridge twice in the past fortnight to speak to voters in different parts of the seat.
Most striking thing was how many people said variations of ‘it’s time for a change’.
V good news for Labour if it’s a UK-wide trend…
https://twitter.com/LOS_Fisher
Though there are more and sometimews longer trains now.
The Russians can't take Kharkov which is 30 fucking km from their border so the idea that they are any sort of conventional threat to the UK is as threadbare as Sunak's undescended testicles.
The M45, perhaps?
You'd have to take down a few smart motorway gantries.
Does anyone known whether QR codes can usually be scanned from laptop screens? If so it would make life slightly easier.
You could break your motorway speed record.
(Also, have you ever taken the M5 past Bristol?)
Coz we is the UK innit.
Will also make it easier to fortify it with razor wire and charge more folk (for seeing it was what I meant, but I daresay it will increase the tactical options for the next Battle of the Beanfield).
I think it's a shame they are burying the road. Yes it is often at a standstill but it was great to see the stones come into sight as you drive over the hill at O Fuck Hundred hours. And for me it will stand out as being the road where I have driven the fastest I have ever driven.
130mph plus and a Vauxhall Senator (replacement hire car) if you must know.
The pressure did something or other inside the car I'm sure Dura can explain.
I cycled up from Salisbury and went along the public footpath behind the fence.
I don't think I lost anything by doing so either, except possibly some weight I could easily do without.
Lovely cycle run too.
The only scary bit was crossing the A303...
I don't know what is a sadder reflection on this country, the fact that this 98 year old D Day veteran is treated so shabbily, or that his Tory MP's only response is to try to blame it on refugees. This government really is out of answers.
... banks can share people’s personal information as long as it is done "transparently and proportionately"
https://www.racingpost.com/news/gambling-review/privacy-watchdog-backs-plans-allowing-financial-data-to-be-shared-with-gambling-firms-a5Yud4N5v7Ua/
Maybe cash under the bed would be safer, or at least more discreet.
https://www.google.com/search?client=firefox-b-d&q=air+race+harrier+st+pancras#fpstate=ive&vld=cid:6419c1d1,vid:Dt45BENU7_0
ISTR it was made out as a major triumph in the Cold War preparations, but they wernt and cancelled the VTOL transport needed to supply it. And as you say it couldn't take off unless it had a field as well to run along. No idea how well it could operate off grass.
This is exactly the kind of story that provokes fascist clickbait "info"graphics of the kind my moron aunt reposts. "Why do we give homes to asylum seekers when we don't look after our own veterans?" posts a front org for Britain First etc.
We don't. Upskirt Chope notes the cash being spent on a barge. Because there's nowhere to house anyone. Perhaps the issue is the lack of affordable housing, and the lack of council/HA housing due to the exact policies he and his have spent decades championing?
The light red bar is a Hung Parliament with a Labour led Govt (18%)
"Like so many, Brydon learnt his trade at the barstool of Barry Cryer and shared one of the last jokes he heard from the maestro about a vicar taking a funeral who asks the widower if he has any questions. “Yes, what’s the wifi code?” the man asks. The vicar is shocked at this callous response. “We are burying your wife,” he says, to which the man replies: “All lower case?” "
It must be true because Strava says so (well, actually a highlighter mark on an old map, as it was 30 years ago).
Not the finest decision ever although the traffic wasn't quite as mental then.
To be fair, the time trials they used to run on the A63 west of Hull were higher up the "is this a good idea?" scale.
...
... talk of a reshuffle next Friday growing, some [ministers] admit privately they have signalled a desire to move to the backbenches. Doing so allows them to start running down the clock on the up-to-two-year ban that can be imposed on taking up a private sector job after leaving Whitehall.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2023/jul/14/no-point-climbing-the-greasy-pole-tory-ministers-want-out-in-reshuffle
What price Nadine Dorries next Chancellor of the Exchequer?
Tonnes of anger about it, with even those not directly affected concerned.
Some affronted on the part of family/friends impacted, others furious bc they predict local businesses will pass on costs to customers'
https://twitter.com/LOS_Fisher/status/1678002084942082049?s=20
I am told by someone reliable that the runway is many many metres of concrete and therefore bomb proof.
Not as if the Vulcans were going to return to base, though, was it?
Thanks for the warning. For some reason, I am reminded of this bit from one of my favorite authors:
"Notoriously insensitive to suble shifts in mood, childen will persist in discussing the color of a recently sighted cement-mixer, long after one's own interest in the topic has waned."
source$: https://www.amazon.com/Metropolitan-Life-Fran-Lebowitz/dp/0525155627
(From her "Children: Pro or Con?")
The odd part is that the article doesn't explain why the three of them cannot rent another flat or house, given they were renting privately before. Perhaps they were on a very advantageous rent.
It may not be relatively cheap - but that is because tastes have changed since the days of draughty car-dependent houses in distant new towns, and developing on urban sites is more expensive.
“All I’ve ever wanted is to own my own home,” Waring says. She lives with her parents in Goole, a 25-minute drive from Selby. The 22-year-old graduated from York St John’s University with a degree in English literature and creative writing in 2022 and works as a lettings negotiator, earning about £18,000 a year.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/why-housing-will-dominate-the-selby-by-election-jzr8dzl3p
£18,000 a year is less than minimum wage for a 35 hour week.
Given we have full employment and rising wages that suggests a creative writing degree from a crap university has had a negative effect on her earning potential.
And I suspect that few people at any time have been able to buy a house when earning so little.
Amusingly the Times reports that 'Selby has had a Tory MP “for as long as anyone can remember”, says one local'
Bad memories in Selby as it had a Labour MP between 1997 and 2010.
I'm betting on Uxbridge and it would be good to know.
And estate agents don't practise creative writing??
Presumably you have your house on it?
George Will says that neither Trump nor DeSantis will get the Republican nomination:
"Inevitably, there comes a rebellion against inevitability. Voters have been told that Donald Trump is the all-but-inevitable Republican nominee and that Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, operating atop a mountain of cash, will inevitably be Trump’s only significant challenger.
Voters, however, become contrary when told that the game’s outcome is known in the top of the first inning. Hence what G.K. Chesterton called the game of “Cheat the Prophet”: People listen politely to explanations of what is inevitable, then make something else happen."
source$: https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/07/14/trump-desantis-not-inevitable/
(There are examples that support his argument, but I must should add this cautionary note: For decades, I have thought that Will was better with words than numbers.)