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An Exodus of sitting Tory MPs on the way? – politicalbetting.com

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  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 23,889

    “this cretinous idea”

    But the UK isn’t really metric though, and never will be, is it? Do you know your own size and weight in metric? When planning your journey, are you using miles or kilometres? How far is the Grand National in metric? In the pub do you buy pints?
    Yes I do know my own height and weight in metric. When planning my journey I use netionalrail.com I have no idea how long the grand national is. Drinks for myself come in half-pints, drinks for others come as they wish.

  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,581

    “this cretinous idea”

    But the UK isn’t really metric though, and never will be, is it? Do you know your own size and weight in metric? When planning your journey, are you using miles or kilometres? How far is the Grand National in metric? In the pub do you buy pints?
    When someone tells me their height or mass in metric units I have no idea how tall or heavy they are.

    Not the sort of person you want to have a pint with.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,987
    kle4 said:

    From the looks of the Code of Hammurabi the Babylonians had their own non-British measures, if you can believe it, so that's clearly a no go.

    fifty ka of corn
    one-third of a mina of gold
    for each ten gan (area) ten gur of grain shall be paid

    I can see they were bloody nimby's too though, so many building regs.

    59. If any man, without the knowledge of the owner of a garden, fell a tree in a garden he shall pay half a mina in money.

    233. If a builder build a house for some one, even though he has not yet completed it; if then the walls seem toppling, the builder must make the walls solid from his own means.

    How far to the nearest post office?

    About the time it takes to boil three lots of rice. But we instantly know how long it takes to boil three lots of rice, don’t we, more so than knowing how 4.3 kilometres will take?
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,870

    We sailed from Newcastle to Oslo in 1964 on our honeymoon

    Indeed we have been to Norway quite a few times but the best way to see the coast is on the Hurtigruten coastal express which bobs in and out of the fjords all the way up to the North Cape

    Indeed it was Hurtigruten who took us on our Antarctica expedition
    Jealous of Antarctica!

    I think to appreciate the fjords you do need to go inland as well - I think I'd find 'which fjord is it today?' a bit dull after a while. You don't really get a good view of the glaciers and high mountains from below. Besides, some of the roads are quite amusing, even at Norwegian speed limits.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,617

    Christ will this government just fuck off, I am so utterly sick of them.
    And that’s the thing. The losing side of a conflict can still do a lot of damage. Indeed often deliberately do a lot of damage as a kind of final up yours to the other side. I think the imperial nonsense is a symptom of that. They know it won’t swing any votes but it’s a delicious little victory against the remoaners.
  • On the temperature thing, our barometer has two scales. One is Farenheit. The other is Reamur, where water boils at 80. It's a real obsolete18th century temperature unit just right for our friend JRM.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,845
    kle4 said:

    This was the predictable missing-the-point response. I use them for my height and weight, and turns out I don't need any government action to do so.

    With government policies we should always ask:

    i) what problem is the problem trying to be fixed?
    ii) is it actually a problem?
    iii) does the proposal actually address that problem?
    iv) does it have any other negative effects?

    You tell me, what problem is being fixed by 'restoring' imperial measurements?

    As far as I know you will not get arrested for saying you are 5ft 8 inches, and no one is harmed if they should see reference to 2.2 litres on a milk container.

    Are we saying people are too confused after 40 years? What an insulting thing to say.

    Are they simply going to not 'punish' people who sell sausages only by the pound with no reference to kilos? Fine, no harm done - but what benefit is there?

    To announce things like this they must think it a winner. Why?
    It's such a bloody winner they announce it three or four times a year.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 50,680

    “this cretinous idea”

    But the UK isn’t really metric though, and never will be, is it? Do you know your own size and weight in metric? When planning your journey, are you using miles or kilometres? How far is the Grand National in metric? In the pub do you buy pints?
    Canada, Australia and New Zealand all use metric units for those.

    We should embrace it as part of CANZUK, or "The British Empire" as it used to be known.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,038
    Incidentally, whilst talking about measures, whenever I go into the butchers and ask for six links of sausage, I always complain if each sausage is not twenty centimetres long ... ;)
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,987

    I spoke to a Brexiteer the other day, he reckons the Tories are out of power until they embrace Rejoin.

    A sort of Nixon goes to China moment*.

    Ironically the person he thinks who could pull this off is the person he rather despises , one Boris Johnson.

    *I did point out joining the EC/EU has been standard Tory orthodoxy for most of the last 70 years. Brexit was the Nixon goes to China moment.
    "only Nixon could go to China" is an old Vulcan proverb.

    It was a truly intergalactic moment.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,656
    kle4 said:

    I cannot read it on twitter right now, but even if it is the case things have not simply collapsed on the Russian side it would seem pretty dumb to declare the Ukrainian offensive a failure at this point. It took them months to get into place to take Kherson, and that without taking on areas of massive entrenchment and mining.
    Armchair war analyses tend to have a lot of wishcasting, including journalists just out for a contrarian story. Objectively, the small advances that are happening are mostly Ukrainian, but a major breakthrough before the autumn wet season seems unlikely. The question is whether everyone on both sides will want to keep pumping in money and and arms and Ukrainian and Russian lives indefinitely.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,861
    edited July 2023

    Jealous of Antarctica!

    I think to appreciate the fjords you do need to go inland as well - I think I'd find 'which fjord is it today?' a bit dull after a while. You don't really get a good view of the glaciers and high mountains from below. Besides, some of the roads are quite amusing, even at Norwegian speed limits.
    Antarctica to South Georgia and the Falklands was our retirement present to each other, and it exceeded all expectations but you do need to be prepared to experience very heavy seas but the beauty, serenity, and perfection is beyond description and we would recommend anyone who is given the opportunity to to there takes it
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,213

    How far to the nearest post office?

    About the time it takes to boil three lots of rice. But we instantly know how long it takes to boil three lots of rice, don’t we, more so than knowing how 4.3 kilometres will take?
    I cannot even figure out what point you think you are making. No once disputes people use Imperial measurements.

    The complaint is some nostalgic 'restoration', which isn't even nostalgic for anyone under the age of 70.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 23,984
    dixiedean said:

    It's such a bloody winner they announce it three or four times a year.
    A dozen times per quadrennial please, else I shall have no idea what you are babbling on about.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,129

    "only Nixon could go to China" is an old Vulcan proverb.

    It was a truly intergalactic moment.
    So we have to make John Redwood PM?

    Blimey.

    Need must, though...
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,987
    Foxy said:

    Canada, Australia and New Zealand all use metric units for those.

    We should embrace it as part of CANZUK, or "The British Empire" as it used to be known.
    “We should embrace it”

    Should we surrender a bit of our local heritage, for no actual reason and no gain whatsoever?
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,581

    I know, why do you think I mentioned it! Any excuse to move PB onto arcane railway trivia!

    (There used to be a series of books called 'miles and chains', showing the stations and structures across the railways. I note HS1 - and HS2 to come - will use km instead, and there were plans for the entire network to move over to metric.)
    I know you know. I don't think others know. But now, you know, they know.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 5,489
    Janan Ganesh on form, on Starmer:

    https://archive.ph/Z13mT

    "He is the most underrated politician I have covered, and I have covered Joe Biden."

    "So how, despite all this, despite a spent-looking Conservative government, mightn’t Starmer win? Why does that 22-point poll lead seem to me a chimera?"

    "To be clear, voters are sick of Tory nonsense. But they haven’t even begun to consider Labour nonsense."
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,352
    dixiedean said:

    I am firmly of the opinion that, at some point during the next Labour decade, a Tory leadership contender will run on a Rejoin platform.
    And do surprisingly well.
    He/she probably isn't in government yet, and maybe not in Parliament.
    To get a decade in power Labour will have to find a solution to the doctors 35% pay demand.

    Don't pay it and get continuous NHS strikes, pay it and get equivalent pay demands from the rest of the public sector.

    Perhaps they could pay everyone by taxing property but that will create other sets of people angry at losing out.

    Juggling the different groups isn't going to be easy especially as those who gain forget quicker than those who lose out.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,373
    Andy_JS said:

    Most people use imperial measurements for height, weight, long distances.
    Do they? I'm an old codger (68) so I expect people younger than me to be more metric. I measure my weight in kg, I measure my height in feet and inches, but I'm guessing that is because I achieved my maximum height when that was the norm and long distances depending upon what I am doing and where I am, so I only use miles for journeys in the UK (which of course is the majority of long distance measurements). Note when I posted here all my cycling distances on my holiday they were all in km.

    Imperial for me is limited to: pints of beer, mpg, distance of journeys in the uk, height of people. I think that is about it.
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,542

    Scotland, because of Kelvin Hall.

    Glasgow's a *cool* place...
    I am currently resisting the urge to turn the heating on. So I wholeheartedly agree.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,309
    dixiedean said:

    I am firmly of the opinion that, at some point during the next Labour decade, a Tory leadership contender will run on a Rejoin platform.
    And do surprisingly well.
    He/she probably isn't in government yet, and maybe not in Parliament.
    IMHO, that’s just wishful thinking. It was joining the EU that was the break with Conservative orthodoxy. Heath was committed to creating a nation called Europe, but for the rest, it was about opposing Communism.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 50,680

    Jealous of Antarctica!

    I think to appreciate the fjords you do need to go inland as well - I think I'd find 'which fjord is it today?' a bit dull after a while. You don't really get a good view of the glaciers and high mountains from below. Besides, some of the roads are quite amusing, even at Norwegian speed limits.
    The last place to go...

    https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2023/07/antarctica-tourism-overcrowding-environmental-threat/674600/?utm_source=copy-link&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=share
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,581

    How far to the nearest post office?

    About the time it takes to boil three lots of rice. But we instantly know how long it takes to boil three lots of rice, don’t we, more so than knowing how 4.3 kilometres will take?
    Why not just use a bigger pot and boil all of the rice at once?
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    edited July 2023

    Both Fahrenheit and Celsius are nasty foreign measurements.

    We should be using Kelvin.
    Allow me to tout fellow American 9albeit loyal royalist) Count Rumford, inventor of the chafing dish and the Caloric Theory.

    Later should appeal greatly to Today's Tories (esp. Liz Trussites). Simple, logical, anti-woke AND total crap.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,355
    A deal has been reached for Ursula von der Leyen to become the next Nato Secretary General and the first woman to head the alliance, The National understands.

    The year-long extension of incumbent Jens Stoltenberg’s tenure has been arranged so Ms von der Leyen can finish her five-year term as President of the European Commission in 2024, a Nato insider has said.


    https://www.thenationalnews.com/world/europe/2023/07/04/nato-treads-water-with-stoltenberg-until-ursula-von-der-leyen-can-take-over/
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,430

    The Tories are on course for ceasing to be the main party of the right if they embrace the blood and soil nationalism of the New Tories.
    No they aren't, they are still about 25-30% with another 5-10% voting Reform.

    Embrace Rejoin and they would collapse to 10% or less, probably fall to even fewer seats than the SNP and LDs under FPTP, Reform would get 30-35% and become the main opposition to Starmer's Labour government
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,213
    edited July 2023
    I only trust measures named after those with impressive beards - kelvin, joule etc (sorry Newton and Watt)

    Being serious, I'm a huge fan of history and retaining charming rituals or nomenclature, where this is not a hindrance or something much more universal and effective exists.

    Other than people implying others are too stupid to figure out metric or handle temporary disruption from a change I've not seen other serious defences.
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,542
    kle4 said:

    From the looks of the Code of Hammurabi the Babylonians had their own non-British measures, if you can believe it, so that's clearly a no go.

    fifty ka of corn
    one-third of a mina of gold
    for each ten gan (area) ten gur of grain shall be paid

    I can see they were bloody nimby's too though, so many building regs.

    59. If any man, without the knowledge of the owner of a garden, fell a tree in a garden he shall pay half a mina in money.

    233. If a builder build a house for some one, even though he has not yet completed it; if then the walls seem toppling, the builder must make the walls solid from his own means.

    Let's not even mention the damn Canaanites.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 23,984

    To get a decade in power Labour will have to find a solution to the doctors 35% pay demand.

    Don't pay it and get continuous NHS strikes, pay it and get equivalent pay demands from the rest of the public sector.

    Perhaps they could pay everyone by taxing property but that will create other sets of people angry at losing out.

    Juggling the different groups isn't going to be easy especially as those who gain forget quicker than those who lose out.
    Paying something in between instead of paying the same people agency fees of £2k+ per shift to cover themselves striking will save money, improve retention and productivity.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,987
    EPG said:

    Put more simply, a long time ago in a galaxy far far away.
    Light sabres came in UK Imperial length, 3 feet (0.91 metres)
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,941
    Foxy said:

    Canada, Australia and New Zealand all use metric units for those.

    We should embrace it as part of CANZUK, or "The British Empire" as it used to be known.
    Agree totally! Metric martyrdom is just sooooo pre-Brexit. And let's rename our currency the dollar and drive on the right while we're at it. People need to get with the Global Britain programme. The old national romanticism of the EU-membership years is something we can no longer afford.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,861

    To get a decade in power Labour will have to find a solution to the doctors 35% pay demand.

    Don't pay it and get continuous NHS strikes, pay it and get equivalent pay demands from the rest of the public sector.

    Perhaps they could pay everyone by taxing property but that will create other sets of people angry at losing out.

    Juggling the different groups isn't going to be easy especially as those who gain forget quicker than those who lose out.
    And don't forget the train drivers who said yesterday they could strike for 20 years ( I kid you not)
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,352
    carnforth said:

    Janan Ganesh on form, on Starmer:

    https://archive.ph/Z13mT

    "He is the most underrated politician I have covered, and I have covered Joe Biden."

    "So how, despite all this, despite a spent-looking Conservative government, mightn’t Starmer win? Why does that 22-point poll lead seem to me a chimera?"

    "To be clear, voters are sick of Tory nonsense. But they haven’t even begun to consider Labour nonsense."

    Starmer's been a lucky opposition leader - that's no criticism as luck is the most important attribute.

    We would see his abilities as PM.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 30,794

    How far to the nearest post office?

    About the time it takes to boil three lots of rice. But we instantly know how long it takes to boil three lots of rice, don’t we, more so than knowing how 4.3 kilometres will take?
    Working in "thou" rather than mm will be a big learning requirement for engineers below the age of retirement.

    Exhuming imperial measurement is the last resort of a scoundrel Government.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 23,889

    A dozen times per quadrennial please, else I shall have no idea what you are babbling on about.
    Indeed. A hundred sesterces to the coruncainus for a responsa from the iudex on the matter: cubits or royal cubits. Freedom from Mesopotamia and their foreign muck, that's what I say... 😀
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,430
    edited July 2023

    Starmer's been a lucky opposition leader - that's no criticism as luck is the most important attribute.

    We would see his abilities as PM.
    Yes, he will win but end up our Francois Hollande in my view, who presented himself as just as decent but dull and beat the more charismatic Sarkozy in 2012 but more narrowly than expected. Starmer may well only be a one term PM at most, perhaps Wes Streeting Labour's Macron?
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,861
    Foxy said:

    The last place to go...

    https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2023/07/antarctica-tourism-overcrowding-environmental-threat/674600/?utm_source=copy-link&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=share
    Our ship was ice strengthen and halved its capacity to just 200 guests

    We landed on several sites under strict environmental protection and safety procedures and everything was decontamination

    There are large cruise ships that sail by the peninsula which frankly is not acceptable but expeditions are very different
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,213
    edited July 2023

    Armchair war analyses tend to have a lot of wishcasting, including journalists just out for a contrarian story. Objectively, the small advances that are happening are mostly Ukrainian, but a major breakthrough before the autumn wet season seems unlikely. The question is whether everyone on both sides will want to keep pumping in money and and arms and Ukrainian and Russian lives indefinitely.
    Given a successful invasion would probably make further attempts, and imitators elsewhere in the world, much more likely than an unsuccessful one, money and arms now seems like a lesser cost to money and arms later, so long as the Ukrainians are still willing to fight (as they will so long as they are supported).

    You will call that wishcasting and armchair analysis, and of course everyone not on the front line is soing so in armchair style of various style, but it seems like fairly basic logic that if invasions work and then things go back to normal, that they will be tried again. You would agree with that?

    We know that for a fact since the world ignored the 2014 invasion, and I imagine many of us supported doing nothing as doing something seemed even worse unfortunately, but we have been proven dead wrong.

    The Russians believe the West will eventually get tired of things and let them win. They might be right, and if Donald Trump wins they will definitely be right. The Ukrainians hope that is not the case. Hence, both are still wanting to fight.
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,542
    viewcode said:

    And yet some measures have succeeded more than I expected. Petrol in litres, car speeds in kph, temperatures in Celsius.
    I remember as a child cookery shows using both units. Then a long period of just Celsius. Then as international rights sales/social-media took off a return to referencing both units again.

    Noticeable that US youtube'ers give zero f**ks about Celsius though, in the other direction.
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,870
    edited July 2023
    Foxy said:

    The last place to go...

    https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2023/07/antarctica-tourism-overcrowding-environmental-threat/674600/?utm_source=copy-link&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=share
    I partially agree, and would definitely think twice for that reason. I would never go on some massive cruise ship (which the Hurtigruten isn't, or at least wasn't).

    We have contacts in the Antarctic Survey so maybe that's the way to go about it...
  • CiceroCicero Posts: 3,310

    Did they have any interest in flint knapping perchance?
    So a week after Prigrozhin´s internet troll farm has an existence failure, a leading internet troll is found to be fake.

    In other news, Leading friends of Putin explain why, without Putin, Russia will be a bigger threat to world peace which would be bad. As opposed to a bigger threat to Russian peace, which is the reality and would be good.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,309
    edited July 2023

    We should, for as long as Russia keeps on doing this sort of thing:

    "At least 43 people, including twelve children, have been injured after a missile struck the carpark of a residential building in Ukraine's Kharkiv region, local officials say."

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-66102096

    Or the 700,000 children *Moscow* say they've taken from Ukraine.

    https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/moscow-says-700000-children-ukraine-conflict-zones-now-russia-2023-07-03/

    We cannot let this evil win. I feel sorry for future generations of Russians, who will live with the practical and moral consequences of the current fascist Russian government. Damn the Russian regime to Hell.
    The problem I have with the subtext of the post you’re responding to is that somehow, we do the Ukrainians no favours by helping them to resist. Peter Hitchens makes this bad argument, all the time. If we did nothing, and Ukrainian resistance collapsed, lives would be saved in the short term, but certainly not in the long term.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,352

    Paying something in between instead of paying the same people agency fees of £2k+ per shift to cover themselves striking will save money, improve retention and productivity.
    What's something in between ?

    20% ? 25% ? 30% ?

    That demand for 35% is likely to increase with a Labour government.

    Whatever the doctors are given will become the minimum demand for the rest of the public sector.

    And why not - if the high paid get a big pay rise the low paid deserve the same.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,213
    TimS said:

    It took 6 years to defeat the Nazis but it seems westerners are already getting bored of Ukraine after 16 months.
    Because we're not fully involved, even though we are directly. I've been pleasantly surprised support has held up as long as it has. It is not an idle fear for Ukraine that a lack of forward progress puts pressure on the government's which support it though.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 29,784
    edited July 2023

    A deal has been reached for Ursula von der Leyen to become the next Nato Secretary General and the first woman to head the alliance, The National understands.

    The year-long extension of incumbent Jens Stoltenberg’s tenure has been arranged so Ms von der Leyen can finish her five-year term as President of the European Commission in 2024, a Nato insider has said.


    https://www.thenationalnews.com/world/europe/2023/07/04/nato-treads-water-with-stoltenberg-until-ursula-von-der-leyen-can-take-over/

    As predicted by pb's own @Dura_Ace iirc (or at least, he noted the strange coincidence of JS's extension and UvdL becoming available).
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 9,901

    avoid.like.plague
    I actually made that call last weekend: 999, "Police", "Mountain Rescue please".

    Provided grid reference with OS Locate app (download it now!). Then received a text message from Police Scotland that pinged my phone and sent the same grid reference again to Mountain Rescue.

    They hate W3W. Rarely get all three of the words, particularly over a radio, and have to guess. Almost always used by people who only have a vague idea of what mountain they are on, so impossible to scan a W3W map and work it out.

    Anyway, top tip I learnt. If very windy, chuck your jacket over your head so you can get your message across. Simple, but I didn't think of it till the MR guy asked me too. Also, bivvy bags are great.
  • WillGWillG Posts: 2,366
    HYUFD said:

    No they aren't, they are still about 25-30% with another 5-10% voting Reform.

    Embrace Rejoin and they would collapse to 10% or less, probably fall to even fewer seats than the SNP and LDs under FPTP, Reform would get 30-35% and become the main opposition to Starmer's Labour government
    Someone on here once described the Rejoiners as the 21st Century Jacobites. It is a very apt description. Just like the Jacobites of the 18th Century, they increasingly find reasons to believe their glorious restoration is round the corner. And they also can't even accurately describe their opponents. "Blood and soil nationalism" isn't espoused by anyone in UK politics since the BNP collapsed. Even UKIP don't believe that crap, let alone anyone in the Tory party.

    The Rejoiners are just a bit thick and it's the only way they can argue against common sense immigration restrictions against illegal, unskilled, or unintegrating populations is by screaming 'racist!'
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,581
    ohnotnow said:

    I remember as a child cookery shows using both units. Then a long period of just Celsius. Then as international rights sales/social-media took off a return to referencing both units again.

    Noticeable that US youtube'ers give zero f**ks about Celsius though, in the other direction.
    Cooking instructions would also state "Gas Regulo 4" or whatever. Not sure if that counts as metric or imperial.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,430

    As predicted by pb's own @Dura_Ace iirc (or at least, he noted the strange coincidence of JS's extension and UvdL becoming available).
    I am sure Putin is quaking in his boots at von der Leyen as Nato Secretary General
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,327
    viewcode said:

    Indeed. A hundred sesterces to the coruncainus for a responsa from the iudex on the matter: cubits or royal cubits. Freedom from Mesopotamia and their foreign muck, that's what I say... 😀
    Sesterces are only legal tender at Marcus et Spencius.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,213

    A deal has been reached for Ursula von der Leyen to become the next Nato Secretary General and the first woman to head the alliance, The National understands.

    The year-long extension of incumbent Jens Stoltenberg’s tenure has been arranged so Ms von der Leyen can finish her five-year term as President of the European Commission in 2024, a Nato insider has said.


    https://www.thenationalnews.com/world/europe/2023/07/04/nato-treads-water-with-stoltenberg-until-ursula-von-der-leyen-can-take-over/

    That would be quite the coup by the EU. I assume they lobbied very hard to have the next head be from the EU, and a woman would have been high on the list as well since they've not had a female secretary-general yet.

    She seems to have a poor record when she was a minister IIRC, but she does diplomatic gladhanding well enough and looks and sounds credible to partners.

    Wallace probably never had a shot.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 75,661

    Armchair war analyses tend to have a lot of wishcasting, including journalists just out for a contrarian story. Objectively, the small advances that are happening are mostly Ukrainian, but a major breakthrough before the autumn wet season seems unlikely. ..
    Isn’t that the wishcasting of an armchair analyst ?

  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,038
    kle4 said:

    I only trust measures named after those with impressive beards - kelvin, joule etc (sorry Newton and Watt)

    Being serious, I'm a huge fan of history and retaining charming rituals or nomenclature, where this is not a hindrance or something much more universal and effective exists.

    Other than people implying others are too stupid to figure out metric or handle temporary disruption from a change I've not seen other serious defences.

    I'm fifty, and measure distances in miles or km (miles when walking, km when running, oddly enough). They're easy to translate between in your head, as 8km is pretty much 5 miles. I measure my height in feet and inches (but know it in cm), and weight in kg. Volume in litres (yes, I drink pints, but never have to measure pints). I find stones, pounds and ounces fairly incomprehensible.

    I've managed fifty years of my life in this happy state, and see little reason to change it. In most cases, metric rules!
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,861
    HYUFD said:

    No they aren't, they are still about 25-30% with another 5-10% voting Reform.

    Embrace Rejoin and they would collapse to 10% or less, probably fall to even fewer seats than the SNP and LDs under FPTP, Reform would get 30-35% and become the main opposition to Starmer's Labour government
    The next election will be a blood bath for many conservatives not least the 25 deluded mps who want to stop carers coming here

    I doubt any of them will be in the next parliament

    The ERG and yourself are quickly running out of road and indeed relevance
  • PJHPJH Posts: 775
    kle4 said:

    This was the predictable missing-the-point response. I use them for my height and weight, and turns out I don't need any government action to do so.

    With government policies we should always ask:

    i) what problem is the problem trying to be fixed?
    ii) is it actually a problem?
    iii) does the proposal actually address that problem?
    iv) does it have any other negative effects?

    You tell me, what problem is being fixed by 'restoring' imperial measurements?

    As far as I know you will not get arrested for saying you are 5ft 8 inches, and no one is harmed if they should see reference to 2.2 litres on a milk container.

    Are we saying people are too confused after 40 years? What an insulting thing to say.

    Are they simply going to not 'punish' people who sell sausages only by the pound with no reference to kilos? Fine, no harm done - but what benefit is there?

    To announce things like this they must think it a winner. Why?
    This would be bonkers. I'm in my mid-50s and basically use metric for everything except distance, and that's only because road signs persist in showing miles. I buy pints in a pub because that's the quantity they sell beer in; if it was 50cl or 60cl I really wouldn't care. I do know my height in imperial because that's what older people understood when I reached my full height. I have to stop and think to know how many ounces in a pound or pounds in a stone. I know a hundredweight isn't 100lb despite the name and I'm glad I don't have to know how much it actually is. Who, under 70, cares about any of this?
  • WillGWillG Posts: 2,366

    As predicted by pb's own @Dura_Ace iirc (or at least, he noted the strange coincidence of JS's extension and UvdL becoming available).
    A German aristocrat being parachuted into a job despite little personal achievement or democratic mandate in her history. I suppose it isn't quite as egregious as how she got the EU job. There she was given it in a backroom deal over the rules that got Juncker the job.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,352
    kle4 said:

    I cannot read it on twitter right now, but even if it is the case things have not simply collapsed on the Russian side it would seem pretty dumb to declare the Ukrainian offensive a failure at this point. It took them months to get into place to take Kherson, and that without taking on areas of massive entrenchment and mining.
    Russian defeats at Kyiv, Kharkov, Kherson and Snake Island have come 'slowly then quickly'.

    If the Ukrainian daily claims of casualties they are inflicting:

    https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0AmsRNDw2cxQwu8dop8qSZKhvjpbXG5gXcZ62o2UswvuYCXTQBQxCDGmx98xKUEhsl

    are anything near accurate then the Russian military will collapse as they did previously.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 5,489
    HYUFD said:

    I am sure Putin is quaking in his boots at von der Leyen as Nato Secretary General
    She'll be able to produce resolutions very quickly, using only copy & paste:

    https://www.dw.com/en/german-defense-minister-von-der-leyen-denies-plagiarism/a-18745011
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,067
    edited July 2023
    carnforth said:

    Janan Ganesh on form, on Starmer:

    https://archive.ph/Z13mT

    "He is the most underrated politician I have covered, and I have covered Joe Biden."

    "So how, despite all this, despite a spent-looking Conservative government, mightn’t Starmer win? Why does that 22-point poll lead seem to me a chimera?"

    "To be clear, voters are sick of Tory nonsense. But they haven’t even begun to consider Labour nonsense."

    I find that I can read FT articles for free if I type/copy the headline into Google. Maybe they and the FT have some sort of agreement.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 50,916
    Sean_F said:

    IMHO, that’s just wishful thinking. It was joining the EU that was the break with Conservative orthodoxy. Heath was committed to creating a nation called Europe, but for the rest, it was about opposing Communism.
    ….

  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,617
    HYUFD said:

    I am sure Putin is quaking in his boots at von der Leyen as Nato Secretary General
    She’s been a hell of a lot more effective at strategy in this war than Vlad has. The EC, much more than the individual member states, has played it pretty well.

    What is it with you right wingers and this idea that wars must be won by muscly hetero Russian types with scowls on their faces rather than those woke westerners and ladies who wear suits? It’s all over American alt-right social media and evidently exists here too.
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,542
    Andy_JS said:

    Most people use imperial measurements for height, weight, long distances.
    I've noticed the generation below me (not even a whole generation really) will respond with '185cm' or the like if you ask them their height. Distance I suspect is a side-effect of road signage. I've never been so impolite as to ask about their weight. Though I've noticed metric being somewhat more common in cooking outside of 'a teaspoon of...' kinda measures.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 23,984

    What's something in between ?

    20% ? 25% ? 30% ?

    That demand for 35% is likely to increase with a Labour government.

    Whatever the doctors are given will become the minimum demand for the rest of the public sector.

    And why not - if the high paid get a big pay rise the low paid deserve the same.
    Less than those numbers, at least per year. And anything over inflation should be for junior doctors (£40-60k) rather than the higher paid more experienced doctors who might be earning £100k+.

    It would be better if we moved to make doctor pay significantly flatter over their careers rather than quite so back loaded, especially with long degrees and higher student debt, tax and house prices.

    But regardless, paying regularly someone £2k to cover a single shift of a striking worker (possibly themself!) because we are not willing to give a £5k annual pay rise makes absolutely zero mathematical sense. I don't quite get why people think it saves us any taxpayer money.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 50,916

    Seriously though.

    what3words has raised £100m+ so far.

    In their last published accounts, they lost £43m on turnover of £444,000. Turnover was actually down on the previous year. Their chief commercial officer is by all accounts amazing and talks the talk (I know several people who've worked with her) but it doesn't alter the fact there's no path to profitability in sight.

    To call w3w a basketcase would be unfair to Guatemalan artisan basket-weavers, who at least have a viable business model.
    Judged as one of Leon’s hot tips, however, that’s pretty close to a median outcome.
  • WillGWillG Posts: 2,366
    kle4 said:

    Given a successful invasion would probably make further attempts, and imitators elsewhere in the world, much more likely than an unsuccessful one, money and arms now seems like a lesser cost to money and arms later, so long as the Ukrainians are still willing to fight (as they will so long as they are supported).

    You will call that wishcasting and armchair analysis, and of course everyone not on the front line is soing so in armchair style of various style, but it seems like fairly basic logic that if invasions work and then things go back to normal, that they will be tried again. You would agree with that?

    We know that for a fact since the world ignored the 2014 invasion, and I imagine many of us supported doing nothing as doing something seemed even worse unfortunately, but we have been proven dead wrong.

    The Russians believe the West will eventually get tired of things and let them win. They might be right, and if Donald Trump wins they will definitely be right. The Ukrainians hope that is not the case. Hence, both are still wanting to fight.
    I can't remember whether NickP is an old Trot or ex-Stalinist, but he has been wanting to appease Putin from the start. Old sympathies die hard.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,352
    PJH said:

    This would be bonkers. I'm in my mid-50s and basically use metric for everything except distance, and that's only because road signs persist in showing miles. I buy pints in a pub because that's the quantity they sell beer in; if it was 50cl or 60cl I really wouldn't care. I do know my height in imperial because that's what older people understood when I reached my full height. I have to stop and think to know how many ounces in a pound or pounds in a stone. I know a hundredweight isn't 100lb despite the name and I'm glad I don't have to know how much it actually is. Who, under 70, cares about any of this?
    Fresh milk
    Football distances
    Cricket distances
    Male clothes sizes

    People are able to use different systems for different things as appropriate.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,430
    edited July 2023
    TimS said:

    She’s been a hell of a lot more effective at strategy in this war than Vlad has. The EC, much more than the individual member states, has played it pretty well.

    What is it with you right wingers and this idea that wars must be won by muscly hetero Russian types with scowls on their faces rather than those woke westerners and ladies who wear suits? It’s all over American alt-right social media and evidently exists here too.
    It was Boris who gave Zelensky the weapons to hold Putin off at the initial invasion, not the EU.

    The biggest military aid to the Ukranians since the war began has come from the US, not the EU.

    Outer sphere EU nations like Poland have also been tougher on Putin than France and Germany
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,430

    The next election will be a blood bath for many conservatives not least the 25 deluded mps who want to stop carers coming here

    I doubt any of them will be in the next parliament

    The ERG and yourself are quickly running out of road and indeed relevance
    The party would move increasingly right in opposition, if Sunak and Hunt lose the next general election their wing of the party will be blamed for the defeat
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 23,984
    ohnotnow said:

    I've noticed the generation below me (not even a whole generation really) will respond with '185cm' or the like if you ask them their height. Distance I suspect is a side-effect of road signage. I've never been so impolite as to ask about their weight. Though I've noticed metric being somewhat more common in cooking outside of 'a teaspoon of...' kinda measures.
    Vincent:
    And you know what they call a... a... a Quarter Pounder with Cheese in Paris?

    Jules:
    They don't call it a Quarter Pounder with cheese?

    Vincent:
    No man, they got the metric system. They wouldn't know what the f*** a Quarter Pounder is.

    Jules:
    Then what do they call it?

    Vincent:
    They call it a Royale with cheese.

    Jules:
    A Royale with cheese. What do they call a Big Mac?

    Vincent:
    Well, a Big Mac's a Big Mac, but they call it le Big-Mac.

    Jules:
    Le Big-Mac. Ha ha ha ha. What do they call a Whopper?

    Vincent:
    I dunno, I didn't go into Burger King.
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,870
    Eabhal said:

    I actually made that call last weekend: 999, "Police", "Mountain Rescue please".

    Provided grid reference with OS Locate app (download it now!). Then received a text message from Police Scotland that pinged my phone and sent the same grid reference again to Mountain Rescue.

    They hate W3W. Rarely get all three of the words, particularly over a radio, and have to guess. Almost always used by people who only have a vague idea of what mountain they are on, so impossible to scan a W3W map and work it out.

    Anyway, top tip I learnt. If very windy, chuck your jacket over your head so you can get your message across. Simple, but I didn't think of it till the MR guy asked me too. Also, bivvy bags are great.
    I hope it wasn't too serious.

    The problem with bivvy bags is you have to keep buying new ones after wearing them out them sledging. Though one does always live in my rucksack.

    Have you ever tried one of these sitting shelter things? They pack quite small (though not as small as a bivvy bag) but I do wonder how effective they are in a wind. I have carried one a few times but never felt the need to get it out as there's usually somewhere to shelter when there's snow.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,067
    Every year at Wimbledon: thousands queueing to get in, and lots of empty seats in the evening.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,581

    Fresh milk
    Football distances
    Cricket distances
    Male clothes sizes

    People are able to use different systems for different things as appropriate.
    And we all end up six feet under.
  • sarissasarissa Posts: 2,083
    edited July 2023
    kle4 said:

    Shady bankers or shady politicians, it is not an easy one.
    Stuart Campbell, who also suffered a similar cancellation, is doing 2+2=5 on the reasons:
    https://wingsoverscotland.com/ruined-in-a-day/
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,542
    PJH said:

    This would be bonkers. I'm in my mid-50s and basically use metric for everything except distance, and that's only because road signs persist in showing miles. I buy pints in a pub because that's the quantity they sell beer in; if it was 50cl or 60cl I really wouldn't care. I do know my height in imperial because that's what older people understood when I reached my full height. I have to stop and think to know how many ounces in a pound or pounds in a stone. I know a hundredweight isn't 100lb despite the name and I'm glad I don't have to know how much it actually is. Who, under 70, cares about any of this?
    I have zero ideas how many pounds are in a stone, or how much an ounce is. Sometimes someone will mention those units and I just nod vaguely as if they a character from a deranged Chaucer story.

    "Three and a half kettles of water with a quarter spludgeon of butter you say? And a furlong of salt? Sounds good!"
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,997

    They're not the full shilling.
    But they are sovereign.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,352

    Less than those numbers, at least per year. And anything over inflation should be for junior doctors (£40-60k) rather than the higher paid more experienced doctors who might be earning £100k+.

    It would be better if we moved to make doctor pay significantly flatter over their careers rather than quite so back loaded, especially with long degrees and higher student debt, tax and house prices.

    But regardless, paying regularly someone £2k to cover a single shift of a striking worker (possibly themself!) because we are not willing to give a £5k annual pay rise makes absolutely zero mathematical sense. I don't quite get why people think it saves us any taxpayer money.
    Why would the doctors accept less than even 20% ?

    It would be an admittance that their initial demands were based upon greed and lies and that all the damage they've done by striking was unnecessary.

    As to the current costs well doesn't that apply to every dispute ? But the cost of giving way is in the further demands it prompts. In this case whatever the doctors get will be the immediate demand for the rest of the public sector.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 23,889

    Sesterces are only legal tender at Marcus et Spencius.
    But they do allow you to take the stola back if it doesn't fit.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,861
    HYUFD said:

    The party would move increasingly right in opposition, if Sunak and Hunt lose the next general election their wing of the party will be blamed for the defeat
    And if so march into oblivion and irrelevance

    A carbon copy of Corbyn and his disciples
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 23,889
    ydoethur said:

    But they are sovereign.
    But definitely not tender.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,987

    Why not just use a bigger pot and boil all of the rice at once?
    Exactly.

    Not only is it good sense to remove the “but how big is your pot” from working and doing business together, but there’s been a lot of Britishness in coming up with metric down the centuries, it shouldn’t be a Brexit related thing at all, but a smart UK thing. The Gunter Chain is 20 metres and one tenth of a furlong, and British. Having difficulties in communicating with German scientists, the Scottish inventor James Watt, in 1783, called for the creation of a global decimal measurement system. A letter of invitation, in 1790, from the French National Assembly to the British Parliament, to help create such a system together using the length of a pendulum as the base unit of length received the support of the British Parliament, but the French decided to use the meridional definition of the metre as their base unit, Britain withdrew support. Despite that UK still wanted to use metric throughout the 19th century. In 1863, a bill which would have mandated the use of the metric system throughout the British Empire passed its first and second readings in the House of Commons.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,581
    Cars.

    Engine capacity in cubic centimetres. Grunt in horsepower.

    Fuel sold in litres. Fuel consumption stated in miles per gallon.

    Buy tyres to fit the sixteen inch wheels. Measure the tread depth in millimetres.

    Bit of a dog's breakfast.

  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,327

    As predicted by pb's own Russian Troll @Dura_Ace
    Corrected it for you :innocent:

  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,617
    HYUFD said:

    It was Boris who gave Zelensky the weapons to hold Putin off at the initial invasion, not the EU.

    The biggest military aid to the Ukranians since the war began has come from the US, not the EU.

    Outer sphere EU nations like Poland have also been tougher on Putin than France and Germany
    Oh give me a break. Have you actually considered what powers the European Commission has and what it’s been able to achieve, including a more comprehensive sanctions regime than anyone expected and the near total elimination of Russian hydrocarbons from the EU? And then considered what the role of the NATO Secretary general actually involves (hint, like the EC president it doesn’t include supplying weapons)? Do you seriously think Boris would do a good job in that overwhelmingly diplomatic post?
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,572

    Cars.

    Engine capacity in cubic centimetres. Grunt in horsepower.

    Fuel sold in litres. Fuel consumption stated in miles per gallon.

    Buy tyres to fit the sixteen inch wheels. Measure the tread depth in millimetres.

    Bit of a dog's breakfast.

    We really should have gone fully metric.
  • sarissasarissa Posts: 2,083
    Andy_JS said:

    Most people use imperial measurements for height, weight, long distances.
    Setting the construction industry back 50+ years would be a novel form of stimulus.
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 5,449
    dixiedean said:

    Doesn't this imperial measure thingie come around every few months?
    Then we discuss it for a day and nowt happens.
    Then it comes around again.
    It's a less frequent version of our weekly Russian troll.

    We should resuscitate the discussion on Saturday and see what this week’s troll has to contribute.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 23,984

    Why would the doctors accept less than even 20% ?

    It would be an admittance that their initial demands were based upon greed and lies and that all the damage they've done by striking was unnecessary.

    As to the current costs well doesn't that apply to every dispute ? But the cost of giving way is in the further demands it prompts. In this case whatever the doctors get will be the immediate demand for the rest of the public sector.
    I don't think it applies to every dispute at all. Sometimes employers have more power. But not when we need to recruit a load more people, the existing ones are leaving and we have a backlog of 7m operations.

    We have just gone through a decade where a lot of public sector was heavily squeezed, initially correctly so, but it has increasingly become a doctrine done out of political belief rather than common sense and pragmatism. It is now hugely counter productive and a big part of why the government is failing.
  • TimS said:

    Oh give me a break. Have you actually considered what powers the European Commission has and what it’s been able to achieve, including a more comprehensive sanctions regime than anyone expected and the near total elimination of Russian hydrocarbons from the EU? And then considered what the role of the NATO Secretary general actually involves (hint, like the EC president it doesn’t include supplying weapons)? Do you seriously think Boris would do a good job in that overwhelmingly diplomatic post?
    Probably he would, yes, he did well on the international sphere consistently. But does it matter?

    Its absurd the amount people want to take their own national petty politics and big it up on the international stage where is not frigging relevant.

    What do David Cameron, Theresa May, Boris Johnson, Rishi Sunak and Keir Starmer have in common? They've all handled the situation in Ukraine well. Besides the abberation of Jeremy Corbyn, who is sui generis, this isn't a Labour or Tory issue - the UK has rallied behind Ukraine consistently now since 2014 at the very least.

    And the EU and Germany and France have done well too since the 2022 invasion as well.

    Some things are bigger than petty party politics. The UK has done well helping Ukraine. So has the EU. So has America. So have many international allies and partners.

    Labour isn't the enemy when it comes to Ukraine, nor are the Conservatives, nor is the EU or anyone else. There's only one villain in this piece. Russia as led by Vladimir Putin, and anyone who supports them or excuses them. That is it.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,348
    kle4 said:

    If anyone can name any of the pledges they win PB for the day. It turns out there were six.

    According to wikipedia sometime PB reader John Rentoul called it the "most absurd, ugly, embarrassing, childish, silly, patronising, idiotic, insane, ridiculous gimmick I have ever seen". He left out hilarious.
    'An NHS with time to care' - nobody could forget something that heinous.
  • MiklosvarMiklosvar Posts: 1,855
    Eabhal said:

    I actually made that call last weekend: 999, "Police", "Mountain Rescue please".

    Provided grid reference with OS Locate app (download it now!). Then received a text message from Police Scotland that pinged my phone and sent the same grid reference again to Mountain Rescue.

    They hate W3W. Rarely get all three of the words, particularly over a radio, and have to guess. Almost always used by people who only have a vague idea of what mountain they are on, so impossible to scan a W3W map and work it out.

    Anyway, top tip I learnt. If very windy, chuck your jacket over your head so you can get your message across. Simple, but I didn't think of it till the MR guy asked me too. Also, bivvy bags are great.
    No, two different issues here. There's no money in it but it's still a brilliant idea because it is inherently error correcting. A word can only be confused with one or two other words, a 6 digit map ref is no more or less likely than any other 6 digit number.

    If you are calling out mountain rescue in this weather, either you had really bad luck or you are not much of an oracle on safety issues anyway
  • sarissasarissa Posts: 2,083

    I could have sworn I saw a TV advert for W3W the other day when visiting Flatlander Sr.

    That seems insane to me. They must be doomed, surely.
    Born.Every.Minute
  • sarissasarissa Posts: 2,083
    IanB2 said:

    Since when was a light-year an imperial measurement?
    Well, Han Solo used parsecs for the Kessel Run…
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,941
    kle4 said:

    If anyone can name any of the pledges they win PB for the day. It turns out there were six.

    According to wikipedia sometime PB reader John Rentoul called it the "most absurd, ugly, embarrassing, childish, silly, patronising, idiotic, insane, ridiculous gimmick I have ever seen". He left out hilarious.
    Boris's rallying cry to his Telegraph readers - 'Let's turn it into the heaviest suicide note in history' - was one of his better efforts I thought.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,352

    I don't think it applies to every dispute at all. Sometimes employers have more power. But not when we need to recruit a load more people, the existing ones are leaving and we have a backlog of 7m operations.

    We have just gone through a decade where a lot of public sector was heavily squeezed, initially correctly so, but it has increasingly become a doctrine done out of political belief rather than common sense and pragmatism. It is now hugely counter productive and a big part of why the government is failing.
    But it always comes back to my initial point.

    That if the doctors got their big pay rise then the rest of the public sector will want the same.

    We can discuss the details of individual cases on the internet but in the real world it will be "they got X% so we want X%".

    So its going to be strikes or more taxation.
This discussion has been closed.