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Memo to the “Bring Back Boris” brigade – politicalbetting.com

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Comments

  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,353
    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Good afternoon

    Re Starmer's proposals on EU citizens, I do believe that anyone living here with settled status and paying tax should be entitled to vote

    However, I also believe that this is a mistep by Starmer as well as his proposals for votes for 16 and 17 year olds

    In the next fortnight the UK immigration figures for this year are due out and reportedly will be near one million, no doubt largely from Ukraine, Hong Kong, and Afghanistan which is a huge number

    Braverman ( no I do not like her) in a speech today apparently attacked this level of immigration and also Starmer

    The red wall and others will not be impressed with this high level of immigration, and add into the mix that Starmer is wanting to give votes to upto 5 million EU citizens then you can see a big row over immigration on the horizon

    Again I have to ask why you believe that we should be the one exception amongst first world countries in allowing non citizens to vote in our national elections? In fact we should be moving the other way and removing the franchise from the anomolies (Commonwealth and Irish citizens)
    Whether or not other countries do the same thing is strictly irrelevant. Sometimes (just sometimes) everyone else is wrong about something. The task is to decide on the merits of the case.
    If you take your view to its logical conclusion, then we should abolish the concept of citizenship altogether in favour of residency and turn the national goverment into a kind of supersized local council.
    I don't agree with the characterisation in the latter half of your post about "supersized local council"... national government is qualitatively different to that. But otherwise... yes. Exactly. If someone is here legally for a period of time, say, five years in the last ten (I'm flexible on details) then yeah, give them the vote.
    Flip side, if someone's been living in another country for a period (e.g. >5 years in the last ten) then they shouldn't have a vote here.

    If you live here legally or if you don't, that's what's important in my mind.
    In what ways do you think migration to the UK should be limited?
    You should have to fight a wild tiger in the arena
    It was a serious question. If in an ideal world you'd want free movement to be extended, then what is the distinction between legal and non-legal residence?
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 8,496
    rcs1000 said:
    But Fortress is going to buy it

    Which will sooo make the world a better place…. 😂😂
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,777
    Carnyx said:

    EU Commissioner Timmermans on the benefits of English as a lingua franca:

    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/SPEECH_23_2731

    By the way, this is the first time in human history that we have in Lingua Franca that is not just for the elites. For the first time in human history, we have a global Lingua Franca that transcends societal layers. Thanks to the internet, thanks to other developments, thanks to the predominance of Anglo-Saxon culture, English is an instrument for all. And this is the first time, in human history, that we have a true Lingua Franca for all: bad English.

    For maximum trolling, should it not now be Lingua Anglia?
    No; either lingua angliae [genitive of the country name] or [edit] lingua anglica [the adjectival form].
    Thanks.

    Although this sort of chat is why I did science and not languages at school.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,904

    EU Commissioner Timmermans on the benefits of English as a lingua franca:

    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/SPEECH_23_2731

    By the way, this is the first time in human history that we have in Lingua Franca that is not just for the elites. For the first time in human history, we have a global Lingua Franca that transcends societal layers. Thanks to the internet, thanks to other developments, thanks to the predominance of Anglo-Saxon culture, English is an instrument for all. And this is the first time, in human history, that we have a true Lingua Franca for all: bad English.

    This is so true and in some respects it puts native English speakers at a disadvantage, especially non-Americans (because it is a limited vocabulary version of American English that is the global lingua franca). British English in particular has a lot of ideosyncratic phrases that are extremely confusing to Global Bad English speakers. And try speaking to a Global Bad English speaker in a regional accent.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 8,496
    rcs1000 said:

    Cookie said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Mogg's admission today has to be very serious for the government. Let's see what Starmer can do with it.

    Sigh. What's he done now?
    Claimed that the aim of the Voter ID legislation was to suppress opposition votes and bemoaning the fact that it backfired and had more effect on Tory votes.
    Has he? I thought all he'd said was the measure has been negative for the Tories - not that it was designed to be positive for the Tories.
    The quote was:

    " “Parties that try and gerrymander end up finding their clever scheme comes back to bite them, as dare I say we found by insisting on voter ID for elections."
    If anything, the quote is actually more damning than I'd thought.
    It doesn’t quite say that it was gerrymandering… but it’s designed to be a reasonable inference

  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,705
    edited May 2023
    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Good afternoon

    Re Starmer's proposals on EU citizens, I do believe that anyone living here with settled status and paying tax should be entitled to vote

    However, I also believe that this is a mistep by Starmer as well as his proposals for votes for 16 and 17 year olds

    In the next fortnight the UK immigration figures for this year are due out and reportedly will be near one million, no doubt largely from Ukraine, Hong Kong, and Afghanistan which is a huge number

    Braverman ( no I do not like her) in a speech today apparently attacked this level of immigration and also Starmer

    The red wall and others will not be impressed with this high level of immigration, and add into the mix that Starmer is wanting to give votes to upto 5 million EU citizens then you can see a big row over immigration on the horizon

    Again I have to ask why you believe that we should be the one exception amongst first world countries in allowing non citizens to vote in our national elections? In fact we should be moving the other way and removing the franchise from the anomolies (Commonwealth and Irish citizens)
    Whether or not other countries do the same thing is strictly irrelevant. Sometimes (just sometimes) everyone else is wrong about something. The task is to decide on the merits of the case.
    But in this case they are not wrong and the reasons are clear. If someone is unwilling to take citizenship (and I would accept we need to make that a lot cheaper) then they are not making a commitment to the country. So why should they be able to vote on its future? Every other developed country seems to recognise this. I have yet to see any cogent argument against it.

    The counterargument is as I have stated downthread: that there are coherent reasons why you might want to preserve your foreign passport despite having made your life in this country. Not just the cost, but also the basis of being concerned about having the flexibility to visit family abroad at short notice without having to apply for a visa. Taking British citizenship can result in losing your other passport.
    We want the same thing: people who are allowed to vote should be the ones who have a stake in this country. I think your attitude towards those who live here but do not take citizenship is a little too unforgiving, possibly even a little paranoid about their motives. The passport is no reliable indicator of loyalty, the long pattern of living an sensible, ordinary life somewhere is a much better indicator in my view.
    Not paranoid just realistic. They may not set out to do anything that harms the country but if the decisions they helped enact do serious harm to the country then they always have the option of leaving for another country. Not something that most of us have.

    Just look at the justifiable criticism of those who voted for Brexit and are now taking advantage of their alternative nationality to bugger off elsewhere. Now as you know I don't think Brexit has been bad for the UK but clearly they do and are running away based on that perception.

    Or the alternative. In a decade we have another EU referendum and the 6 million or so EU citizens who are being referenced by the Guardian are able to vote. Many of them are here to work but then plan to retire back to their own countries. Should they be able to decide the future of a country which they do not consider they have a future in?
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,098

    EU Commissioner Timmermans on the benefits of English as a lingua franca:

    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/SPEECH_23_2731

    By the way, this is the first time in human history that we have in Lingua Franca that is not just for the elites. For the first time in human history, we have a global Lingua Franca that transcends societal layers. Thanks to the internet, thanks to other developments, thanks to the predominance of Anglo-Saxon culture, English is an instrument for all. And this is the first time, in human history, that we have a true Lingua Franca for all: bad English.

    This is so true and in some respects it puts native English speakers at a disadvantage, especially non-Americans (because it is a limited vocabulary version of American English that is the global lingua franca). British English in particular has a lot of ideosyncratic phrases that are extremely confusing to Global Bad English speakers. And try speaking to a Global Bad English speaker in a regional accent.
    I would argue - though I am aware this is not what the article meant! - that the UK leads the world in Bad English.
    Specifically, today, people who say 'them' when they mean 'those'. Including the head of HR at our place. Ugh.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,777
    rcs1000 said:

    Cookie said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Mogg's admission today has to be very serious for the government. Let's see what Starmer can do with it.

    Sigh. What's he done now?
    Claimed that the aim of the Voter ID legislation was to suppress opposition votes and bemoaning the fact that it backfired and had more effect on Tory votes.
    Has he? I thought all he'd said was the measure has been negative for the Tories - not that it was designed to be positive for the Tories.
    The quote was:

    " “Parties that try and gerrymander end up finding their clever scheme comes back to bite them, as dare I say we found by insisting on voter ID for elections."
    If anything, the quote is actually more damning than I'd thought.
    Having said that, despite being generally cream-crackers, there is a small tiny part of common sense in JRM that's being held hostage and is aching to get out.

    We see this in revealing statements like this, his belated backing of TM's original Brexit deal on the basis it was "half a loaf", his recognition that changing leader again before the next GE would be suicide and, also, his popularity with left-wing female MPs, like Mhairi Black and Jess Phillips, which never ceases to knock me off my chair.
  • maxhmaxh Posts: 1,338

    Cookie said:

    pm215 said:

    maxh said:


    I get that there isn't an easy alternative to our current exam system (although Canada seems to manage it) but if we have an education system that judges kids by their ability to produce knowledge under severe stress, we are entrenching disadvantage.

    But many professional jobs require just that. If the issue cannot be solved, the young man needs to be guided toward a future career without these sorts of challenges.
    Certainly some jobs require performance under significant stress. And some jobs require a certain level of education. But the two sets are far from perfectly overlapping. My job, as an example, certainly needs the kind of skills typically tested and honed through a degree level education (and often job ads mandate having a degree), but it is far from being stressful, and I rarely have to think on my feet. Conversely I'm sure there are jobs which you could walk into without any formal qualifications but which are way more day to day stress than I could handle.
    I was brilliant at exams. Quite enjoyed them. Didn't have to work too hard in preparation for them. They were an enjoyable three hours doing puzzles (maths) or developing an argument (geography etc), preceded by a few weeks of no homework in which the physical effort of writing or producing any measurable results was required. And I always did pretty well. An observer of me at 14 or 16 or 18 might have thought measured by the metrics of exam success I was destined for great things.

    Real life however turned out to be rather more difficult than just knowing stuff, and stressful situations in real life are rather harder and more unpleasant to deal with than a jolly jaunt through an A Level. Regrettably, I think what school taught me was that life was pretty easy and you don't need to try particularly hard and you'll still do well, which probably wasn't the best lesson to take.

    I mean, I've done ok. I'm in a job which I find interesting and which pays me pretty well and in which I am dry and warm and secure and which affords me little moments to come and argue good-naturedly with you lot. But most of my mates at school, despite doing in most cases less well at school, have done rather better with their careers, and in all honesty I don't envy them one bit as their jobs strike me as a mix of unexciting white collar tasks coupled with terrifying levels of responsibility. I can't help wondering whether I'd have been considerably better suited to learning a trade.

    Know what you mean
    I harbour a suspicion that we do a disservice to those like you Cookie who don’t find school challenging - it’s like lulling you into a false sense of security. I got through GCSEs and A levels with almost no work, and it was only by nearly failing the first year at uni that I recognised the need for (and rewards of) genuine hard work.

    I also wholeheartedly share the disinclination towards high responsibility low stimulation jobs that you mention!
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,489
    Completely o/t but this will be a change from JRM and interest our cyclists - how to park a bike in Japan.

    https://twitter.com/Rainmaker1973/status/1658113024568246275?cxt=HHwWhoC2rdjA5oIuAAAA
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,951
    rcs1000 said:

    Cookie said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Mogg's admission today has to be very serious for the government. Let's see what Starmer can do with it.

    Sigh. What's he done now?
    Claimed that the aim of the Voter ID legislation was to suppress opposition votes and bemoaning the fact that it backfired and had more effect on Tory votes.
    Has he? I thought all he'd said was the measure has been negative for the Tories - not that it was designed to be positive for the Tories.
    The quote was:

    " “Parties that try and gerrymander end up finding their clever scheme comes back to bite them, as dare I say we found by insisting on voter ID for elections."
    If anything, the quote is actually more damning than I'd thought.
    It's quite Gerald Ratnerish really - though Mogg and everyone else has a lot less to lose than Ratner. But it is a sort of humorous 'true' speech 'amongst friends' that is likely to cause a lot of trouble.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,705
    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Good afternoon

    Re Starmer's proposals on EU citizens, I do believe that anyone living here with settled status and paying tax should be entitled to vote

    However, I also believe that this is a mistep by Starmer as well as his proposals for votes for 16 and 17 year olds

    In the next fortnight the UK immigration figures for this year are due out and reportedly will be near one million, no doubt largely from Ukraine, Hong Kong, and Afghanistan which is a huge number

    Braverman ( no I do not like her) in a speech today apparently attacked this level of immigration and also Starmer

    The red wall and others will not be impressed with this high level of immigration, and add into the mix that Starmer is wanting to give votes to upto 5 million EU citizens then you can see a big row over immigration on the horizon

    Again I have to ask why you believe that we should be the one exception amongst first world countries in allowing non citizens to vote in our national elections? In fact we should be moving the other way and removing the franchise from the anomolies (Commonwealth and Irish citizens)
    Whether or not other countries do the same thing is strictly irrelevant. Sometimes (just sometimes) everyone else is wrong about something. The task is to decide on the merits of the case.
    But in this case they are not wrong and the reasons are clear. If someone is unwilling to take citizenship (and I would accept we need to make that a lot cheaper) then they are not making a commitment to the country. So why should they be able to vote on its future? Every other developed country seems to recognise this. I have yet to see any cogent argument against it.

    The counterargument is as I have stated downthread: that there are coherent reasons why you might want to preserve your foreign passport despite having made your life in this country. Not just the cost, but also the basis of being concerned about having the flexibility to visit family abroad at short notice without having to apply for a visa. Taking British citizenship can result in losing your other passport.
    We want the same thing: people who are allowed to vote should be the ones who have a stake in this country. I think your attitude towards those who live here but do not take citizenship is a little too unforgiving, possibly even a little paranoid about their motives. The passport is no reliable indicator of loyalty, the long pattern of living an sensible, ordinary life somewhere is a much better indicator in my view.
    Why are you so concerned with people potentially losing their other passport if you don't think a passport should confer any special rights?
    People need passports and, in some cases, visas or visa waivers to travel. If they have family in their birth country, they may be in a situation where they want to visit at short notice. That's a normal part of life, with ageing parents, siblings having children, friends' weddings etc.
    For some people, taking a British passport might complicate that and so they might decide it's better to keep hold of their other passport.

    I simply think that such a decision shouldn't be a bar to voting in the country where you live. I mean really, if you've got a long term job, 2 kids in the school, a gym membership, and you're running the local parkrun each weekend, are you really someone with no stake in this society?
    You can have all those things and still be planning on leaving again in 2 or 3 years. In fact that is how millions of people do work around the world.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,904
    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Good afternoon

    Re Starmer's proposals on EU citizens, I do believe that anyone living here with settled status and paying tax should be entitled to vote

    However, I also believe that this is a mistep by Starmer as well as his proposals for votes for 16 and 17 year olds

    In the next fortnight the UK immigration figures for this year are due out and reportedly will be near one million, no doubt largely from Ukraine, Hong Kong, and Afghanistan which is a huge number

    Braverman ( no I do not like her) in a speech today apparently attacked this level of immigration and also Starmer

    The red wall and others will not be impressed with this high level of immigration, and add into the mix that Starmer is wanting to give votes to upto 5 million EU citizens then you can see a big row over immigration on the horizon

    Again I have to ask why you believe that we should be the one exception amongst first world countries in allowing non citizens to vote in our national elections? In fact we should be moving the other way and removing the franchise from the anomolies (Commonwealth and Irish citizens)
    Whether or not other countries do the same thing is strictly irrelevant. Sometimes (just sometimes) everyone else is wrong about something. The task is to decide on the merits of the case.
    But in this case they are not wrong and the reasons are clear. If someone is unwilling to take citizenship (and I would accept we need to make that a lot cheaper) then they are not making a commitment to the country. So why should they be able to vote on its future? Every other developed country seems to recognise this. I have yet to see any cogent argument against it.

    The counterargument is as I have stated downthread: that there are coherent reasons why you might want to preserve your foreign passport despite having made your life in this country. Not just the cost, but also the basis of being concerned about having the flexibility to visit family abroad at short notice without having to apply for a visa. Taking British citizenship can result in losing your other passport.
    We want the same thing: people who are allowed to vote should be the ones who have a stake in this country. I think your attitude towards those who live here but do not take citizenship is a little too unforgiving, possibly even a little paranoid about their motives. The passport is no reliable indicator of loyalty, the long pattern of living an sensible, ordinary life somewhere is a much better indicator in my view.
    Why are you so concerned with people potentially losing their other passport if you don't think a passport should confer any special rights?
    People need passports and, in some cases, visas or visa waivers to travel. If they have family in their birth country, they may be in a situation where they want to visit at short notice. That's a normal part of life, with ageing parents, siblings having children, friends' weddings etc.
    For some people, taking a British passport might complicate that and so they might decide it's better to keep hold of their other passport.

    I simply think that such a decision shouldn't be a bar to voting in the country where you live. I mean really, if you've got a long term job, 2 kids in the school, a gym membership, and you're running the local parkrun each weekend, are you really someone with no stake in this society?
    Yeah this is precisely where I am. There are a lot of people out there who perhaps have never lived overseas and don't have recent immigrant experience in their family history. But we live in a world of growing international mobility, and I think that democracies have to show some flexibility in terms of the franchise to ensure that fewer people fall into the taxation without representation trap simply because of the complexities of often competing citizenship frameworks.
    People also really need to break out of this mindset that somehow migration is inherently bad or threatening. The fact that even a child of immigrants like Suella Braverman can adopt this line of reasoning just illustrates what a strangely seductive mindset it is.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,558
    rcs1000 said:

    Cookie said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Mogg's admission today has to be very serious for the government. Let's see what Starmer can do with it.

    Sigh. What's he done now?
    Claimed that the aim of the Voter ID legislation was to suppress opposition votes and bemoaning the fact that it backfired and had more effect on Tory votes.
    Has he? I thought all he'd said was the measure has been negative for the Tories - not that it was designed to be positive for the Tories.
    The quote was:

    " “Parties that try and gerrymander end up finding their clever scheme comes back to bite them, as dare I say we found by insisting on voter ID for elections."
    If anything, the quote is actually more damning than I'd thought.
    Yet another indication that, for all his appearances, JRM is actually quite, quite stupid.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,705
    edited May 2023
    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Good afternoon

    Re Starmer's proposals on EU citizens, I do believe that anyone living here with settled status and paying tax should be entitled to vote

    However, I also believe that this is a mistep by Starmer as well as his proposals for votes for 16 and 17 year olds

    In the next fortnight the UK immigration figures for this year are due out and reportedly will be near one million, no doubt largely from Ukraine, Hong Kong, and Afghanistan which is a huge number

    Braverman ( no I do not like her) in a speech today apparently attacked this level of immigration and also Starmer

    The red wall and others will not be impressed with this high level of immigration, and add into the mix that Starmer is wanting to give votes to upto 5 million EU citizens then you can see a big row over immigration on the horizon

    Again I have to ask why you believe that we should be the one exception amongst first world countries in allowing non citizens to vote in our national elections? In fact we should be moving the other way and removing the franchise from the anomolies (Commonwealth and Irish citizens)
    Whether or not other countries do the same thing is strictly irrelevant. Sometimes (just sometimes) everyone else is wrong about something. The task is to decide on the merits of the case.
    But in this case they are not wrong and the reasons are clear. If someone is unwilling to take citizenship (and I would accept we need to make that a lot cheaper) then they are not making a commitment to the country. So why should they be able to vote on its future? Every other developed country seems to recognise this. I have yet to see any cogent argument against it.

    The counterargument is as I have stated downthread: that there are coherent reasons why you might want to preserve your foreign passport despite having made your life in this country. Not just the cost, but also the basis of being concerned about having the flexibility to visit family abroad at short notice without having to apply for a visa. Taking British citizenship can result in losing your other passport.
    We want the same thing: people who are allowed to vote should be the ones who have a stake in this country. I think your attitude towards those who live here but do not take citizenship is a little too unforgiving, possibly even a little paranoid about their motives. The passport is no reliable indicator of loyalty, the long pattern of living an sensible, ordinary life somewhere is a much better indicator in my view.
    Not paranoid jjust realistic. They may not set out to do anything that harms the country but if the decisions they helped enact do serious harm to the country then they always have the option of leaving for another country. Not something that most of us have.

    Just look at the justifiable criticism of those who voted for Brexit and are now taking advantage of their alternative nationality to bugger off elsewhere. Now as you know I don't think Brexit has been bad for the UK but clearly they do and are running away based on that perception.

    Or the alternative. In a decade we have another EU referendum and the 6 million or so EU citizens who are being referenced by the Guardian are able to vote. Many of them are here to work but then plan to retire back to their own countries. Should they be able to decide the future of a country which they do not consider they have a future in?
    Again, I refer you to the fact that people with British passports ARE allowed to vote in this country, even if they have already retired to another country.
    If I had moved to Spain back when Gordon Brown was PM, I might still be eligible to vote in the next election.

    We have to have a test that says this person has a stake in this country, this other person doesn't. On this we agree. I say let people put their money where their mouth is. You vote where you live. I'm entirely comfortable with EU citizens voting without any reference to whether their vote will work with or against mine (fuck knows who I'm going to vote for next time anyway). If they've been living here for a period of time.
    And again I refer you to the fact I have stated already that they should not be able to vote. You keep bringing up examples of people who can vote - all of whom I have already said should not be able to - and try to use that as a justification for extending the franchise even further. In fact what we should be doing is reducing the franchise for National elections to those who actually have a vested interest in the long term future of this country. So no Commonwealth or Irish voting (we can except N Ireland given its strange status), no one who lives overseas for more than, say 5 years - they get the vote back when they resettle in the UK - and no one who does not hold UK citizenship.

    This is a coherent set of rules and is what works in practically every other country.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 23,156

    Good afternoon

    Re Starmer's proposals on EU citizens, I do believe that anyone living here with settled status and paying tax should be entitled to vote

    However, I also believe that this is a mistep by Starmer as well as his proposals for votes for 16 and 17 year olds

    In the next fortnight the UK immigration figures for this year are due out and reportedly will be near one million, no doubt largely from Ukraine, Hong Kong, and Afghanistan which is a huge number

    Braverman ( no I do not like her) in a speech today apparently attacked this level of immigration and also Starmer

    The red wall and others will not be impressed with this high level of immigration, and add into the mix that Starmer is wanting to give votes to upto 5 million EU citizens then you can see a big row over immigration on the horizon

    Again I have to ask why you believe that we should be the one exception amongst first world countries in allowing non citizens to vote in our national elections? In fact we should be moving the other way and removing the franchise from the anomolies (Commonwealth and Irish citizens)
    I understand that to qualify they have to have 5 years settled status and be a taxpayer, but on reading more on the subject I do believe Starmer has opened a can of worms
    Starmer said this in 2020. It is Boris and his proxies who opened the current can of worms, one the hand creating fear of Starmer whilst also lobbing a grenade at Sunak and the Tory establishments direction for gerrymandering.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,777
    maxh said:

    Cookie said:

    pm215 said:

    maxh said:


    I get that there isn't an easy alternative to our current exam system (although Canada seems to manage it) but if we have an education system that judges kids by their ability to produce knowledge under severe stress, we are entrenching disadvantage.

    But many professional jobs require just that. If the issue cannot be solved, the young man needs to be guided toward a future career without these sorts of challenges.
    Certainly some jobs require performance under significant stress. And some jobs require a certain level of education. But the two sets are far from perfectly overlapping. My job, as an example, certainly needs the kind of skills typically tested and honed through a degree level education (and often job ads mandate having a degree), but it is far from being stressful, and I rarely have to think on my feet. Conversely I'm sure there are jobs which you could walk into without any formal qualifications but which are way more day to day stress than I could handle.
    I was brilliant at exams. Quite enjoyed them. Didn't have to work too hard in preparation for them. They were an enjoyable three hours doing puzzles (maths) or developing an argument (geography etc), preceded by a few weeks of no homework in which the physical effort of writing or producing any measurable results was required. And I always did pretty well. An observer of me at 14 or 16 or 18 might have thought measured by the metrics of exam success I was destined for great things.

    Real life however turned out to be rather more difficult than just knowing stuff, and stressful situations in real life are rather harder and more unpleasant to deal with than a jolly jaunt through an A Level. Regrettably, I think what school taught me was that life was pretty easy and you don't need to try particularly hard and you'll still do well, which probably wasn't the best lesson to take.

    I mean, I've done ok. I'm in a job which I find interesting and which pays me pretty well and in which I am dry and warm and secure and which affords me little moments to come and argue good-naturedly with you lot. But most of my mates at school, despite doing in most cases less well at school, have done rather better with their careers, and in all honesty I don't envy them one bit as their jobs strike me as a mix of unexciting white collar tasks coupled with terrifying levels of responsibility. I can't help wondering whether I'd have been considerably better suited to learning a trade.

    Know what you mean
    I harbour a suspicion that we do a disservice to those like you Cookie who don’t find school challenging - it’s like lulling you into a false sense of security. I got through GCSEs and A levels with almost no work, and it was only by nearly failing the first year at uni that I recognised the need for (and rewards of) genuine hard work.

    I also wholeheartedly share the disinclination towards high responsibility low stimulation jobs that you mention!
    I had nightmares (for years) about failing my university finals in Civil Engineering.

    In reality, I got a solid 2:1 but I had to work for it and some sort of guilt about that set in afterwards, possibly coupled with the fact I forgot most of the equations/theory at a conscious level, whilst still retaining them at a sub-conscious level.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,904
    Cookie said:

    EU Commissioner Timmermans on the benefits of English as a lingua franca:

    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/SPEECH_23_2731

    By the way, this is the first time in human history that we have in Lingua Franca that is not just for the elites. For the first time in human history, we have a global Lingua Franca that transcends societal layers. Thanks to the internet, thanks to other developments, thanks to the predominance of Anglo-Saxon culture, English is an instrument for all. And this is the first time, in human history, that we have a true Lingua Franca for all: bad English.

    This is so true and in some respects it puts native English speakers at a disadvantage, especially non-Americans (because it is a limited vocabulary version of American English that is the global lingua franca). British English in particular has a lot of ideosyncratic phrases that are extremely confusing to Global Bad English speakers. And try speaking to a Global Bad English speaker in a regional accent.
    I would argue - though I am aware this is not what the article meant! - that the UK leads the world in Bad English.
    Specifically, today, people who say 'them' when they mean 'those'. Including the head of HR at our place. Ugh.
    If I ever get convicted for murder it will be because someone has said "yourself" to me when they mean "you".
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,353

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Good afternoon

    Re Starmer's proposals on EU citizens, I do believe that anyone living here with settled status and paying tax should be entitled to vote

    However, I also believe that this is a mistep by Starmer as well as his proposals for votes for 16 and 17 year olds

    In the next fortnight the UK immigration figures for this year are due out and reportedly will be near one million, no doubt largely from Ukraine, Hong Kong, and Afghanistan which is a huge number

    Braverman ( no I do not like her) in a speech today apparently attacked this level of immigration and also Starmer

    The red wall and others will not be impressed with this high level of immigration, and add into the mix that Starmer is wanting to give votes to upto 5 million EU citizens then you can see a big row over immigration on the horizon

    Again I have to ask why you believe that we should be the one exception amongst first world countries in allowing non citizens to vote in our national elections? In fact we should be moving the other way and removing the franchise from the anomolies (Commonwealth and Irish citizens)
    Whether or not other countries do the same thing is strictly irrelevant. Sometimes (just sometimes) everyone else is wrong about something. The task is to decide on the merits of the case.
    But in this case they are not wrong and the reasons are clear. If someone is unwilling to take citizenship (and I would accept we need to make that a lot cheaper) then they are not making a commitment to the country. So why should they be able to vote on its future? Every other developed country seems to recognise this. I have yet to see any cogent argument against it.

    The counterargument is as I have stated downthread: that there are coherent reasons why you might want to preserve your foreign passport despite having made your life in this country. Not just the cost, but also the basis of being concerned about having the flexibility to visit family abroad at short notice without having to apply for a visa. Taking British citizenship can result in losing your other passport.
    We want the same thing: people who are allowed to vote should be the ones who have a stake in this country. I think your attitude towards those who live here but do not take citizenship is a little too unforgiving, possibly even a little paranoid about their motives. The passport is no reliable indicator of loyalty, the long pattern of living an sensible, ordinary life somewhere is a much better indicator in my view.
    Why are you so concerned with people potentially losing their other passport if you don't think a passport should confer any special rights?
    People need passports and, in some cases, visas or visa waivers to travel. If they have family in their birth country, they may be in a situation where they want to visit at short notice. That's a normal part of life, with ageing parents, siblings having children, friends' weddings etc.
    For some people, taking a British passport might complicate that and so they might decide it's better to keep hold of their other passport.

    I simply think that such a decision shouldn't be a bar to voting in the country where you live. I mean really, if you've got a long term job, 2 kids in the school, a gym membership, and you're running the local parkrun each weekend, are you really someone with no stake in this society?
    Yeah this is precisely where I am. There are a lot of people out there who perhaps have never lived overseas and don't have recent immigrant experience in their family history. But we live in a world of growing international mobility, and I think that democracies have to show some flexibility in terms of the franchise to ensure that fewer people fall into the taxation without representation trap simply because of the complexities of often competing citizenship frameworks.
    People also really need to break out of this mindset that somehow migration is inherently bad or threatening. The fact that even a child of immigrants like Suella Braverman can adopt this line of reasoning just illustrates what a strangely seductive mindset it is.
    Do you think we should abolish controls on migration and have unilateral free movement? We’d gain first mover advantage over the rest of the world.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,975

    If this is the sort of thing Labour tries to pull in opposition, what do you think they'll do in Government?

    They could try to pull a massive voter suppression scheme I suppose, as JRM has just confirmed the Tories have recently embarked upon.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,137
    edited May 2023

    The nationalist Tory right currently planning for a decade in opposition in the full glare of publicity really is quite a thing, isn't it? Who on earth inside the Tory party is in a position to stop them, though?

    Not necessarily guaranteed the Nationalist right will be in opposition for ten years is it? Look who has won the most recent elections for the right in the western world. Trump, Meloni, Johnson, Morrison, Netanyahu and Le Pen got closer than many expected in 2022. In Sweden and Finland and Austria too the centre right only won with the support of a Nationalist right party.

    Indeed since Trump won in 2016 only in Greece and Ireland have mainstream parties of the centre right in the West won a general election outright on a non Nationalist platform and in Ireland that was technically a coalition of FF and FG with SF winning most votes and seats

  • kamskikamski Posts: 5,209

    EU Commissioner Timmermans on the benefits of English as a lingua franca:

    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/SPEECH_23_2731

    By the way, this is the first time in human history that we have in Lingua Franca that is not just for the elites. For the first time in human history, we have a global Lingua Franca that transcends societal layers. Thanks to the internet, thanks to other developments, thanks to the predominance of Anglo-Saxon culture, English is an instrument for all. And this is the first time, in human history, that we have a true Lingua Franca for all: bad English.

    This is so true and in some respects it puts native English speakers at a disadvantage, especially non-Americans (because it is a limited vocabulary version of American English that is the global lingua franca). British English in particular has a lot of ideosyncratic phrases that are extremely confusing to Global Bad English speakers. And try speaking to a Global Bad English speaker in a regional accent.
    It's much easier for a native English speaker to speak an internationally understandable English, than it is for a non-native speaker. So long as the native speaker isn't so arrogant as to not bother to make sure their listeners can understand what they are saying.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,705

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Good afternoon

    Re Starmer's proposals on EU citizens, I do believe that anyone living here with settled status and paying tax should be entitled to vote

    However, I also believe that this is a mistep by Starmer as well as his proposals for votes for 16 and 17 year olds

    In the next fortnight the UK immigration figures for this year are due out and reportedly will be near one million, no doubt largely from Ukraine, Hong Kong, and Afghanistan which is a huge number

    Braverman ( no I do not like her) in a speech today apparently attacked this level of immigration and also Starmer

    The red wall and others will not be impressed with this high level of immigration, and add into the mix that Starmer is wanting to give votes to upto 5 million EU citizens then you can see a big row over immigration on the horizon

    Again I have to ask why you believe that we should be the one exception amongst first world countries in allowing non citizens to vote in our national elections? In fact we should be moving the other way and removing the franchise from the anomolies (Commonwealth and Irish citizens)
    Whether or not other countries do the same thing is strictly irrelevant. Sometimes (just sometimes) everyone else is wrong about something. The task is to decide on the merits of the case.
    But in this case they are not wrong and the reasons are clear. If someone is unwilling to take citizenship (and I would accept we need to make that a lot cheaper) then they are not making a commitment to the country. So why should they be able to vote on its future? Every other developed country seems to recognise this. I have yet to see any cogent argument against it.

    The counterargument is as I have stated downthread: that there are coherent reasons why you might want to preserve your foreign passport despite having made your life in this country. Not just the cost, but also the basis of being concerned about having the flexibility to visit family abroad at short notice without having to apply for a visa. Taking British citizenship can result in losing your other passport.
    We want the same thing: people who are allowed to vote should be the ones who have a stake in this country. I think your attitude towards those who live here but do not take citizenship is a little too unforgiving, possibly even a little paranoid about their motives. The passport is no reliable indicator of loyalty, the long pattern of living an sensible, ordinary life somewhere is a much better indicator in my view.
    Why are you so concerned with people potentially losing their other passport if you don't think a passport should confer any special rights?
    People need passports and, in some cases, visas or visa waivers to travel. If they have family in their birth country, they may be in a situation where they want to visit at short notice. That's a normal part of life, with ageing parents, siblings having children, friends' weddings etc.
    For some people, taking a British passport might complicate that and so they might decide it's better to keep hold of their other passport.

    I simply think that such a decision shouldn't be a bar to voting in the country where you live. I mean really, if you've got a long term job, 2 kids in the school, a gym membership, and you're running the local parkrun each weekend, are you really someone with no stake in this society?
    Yeah this is precisely where I am. There are a lot of people out there who perhaps have never lived overseas and don't have recent immigrant experience in their family history. But we live in a world of growing international mobility, and I think that democracies have to show some flexibility in terms of the franchise to ensure that fewer people fall into the taxation without representation trap simply because of the complexities of often competing citizenship frameworks.
    People also really need to break out of this mindset that somehow migration is inherently bad or threatening. The fact that even a child of immigrants like Suella Braverman can adopt this line of reasoning just illustrates what a strangely seductive mindset it is.
    Migration is certainly not bad or threatening. But when migrants settle somewhere they should take citizenship of the country in which they settle. At least if they want to take part in the democratic process of that country.

    And millions of people fall into the taxation without representation trap as you call it. They do so without even living in the country tacxing them. I worked on and off for 15 years in Norway and paid Norwegian taxes. But there was no way in a million years Norway was going to let me vote in their elections. Nor did I expect them to. I was there to do a job and then go home. Even if I kept going back for 15 years.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 23,156

    If this is the sort of thing Labour tries to pull in opposition, what do you think they'll do in Government?

    They could try to pull a massive voter suppression scheme I suppose, as JRM has just confirmed the Tories have recently embarked upon.
    Which one? I think the Tories are trialling two variations at the moment, the one where they rule out 2m voters without ID, and the other where they piss off their own supporters so much they don't show up.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,705
    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Good afternoon

    Re Starmer's proposals on EU citizens, I do believe that anyone living here with settled status and paying tax should be entitled to vote

    However, I also believe that this is a mistep by Starmer as well as his proposals for votes for 16 and 17 year olds

    In the next fortnight the UK immigration figures for this year are due out and reportedly will be near one million, no doubt largely from Ukraine, Hong Kong, and Afghanistan which is a huge number

    Braverman ( no I do not like her) in a speech today apparently attacked this level of immigration and also Starmer

    The red wall and others will not be impressed with this high level of immigration, and add into the mix that Starmer is wanting to give votes to upto 5 million EU citizens then you can see a big row over immigration on the horizon

    Again I have to ask why you believe that we should be the one exception amongst first world countries in allowing non citizens to vote in our national elections? In fact we should be moving the other way and removing the franchise from the anomolies (Commonwealth and Irish citizens)
    Whether or not other countries do the same thing is strictly irrelevant. Sometimes (just sometimes) everyone else is wrong about something. The task is to decide on the merits of the case.
    But in this case they are not wrong and the reasons are clear. If someone is unwilling to take citizenship (and I would accept we need to make that a lot cheaper) then they are not making a commitment to the country. So why should they be able to vote on its future? Every other developed country seems to recognise this. I have yet to see any cogent argument against it.

    The counterargument is as I have stated downthread: that there are coherent reasons why you might want to preserve your foreign passport despite having made your life in this country. Not just the cost, but also the basis of being concerned about having the flexibility to visit family abroad at short notice without having to apply for a visa. Taking British citizenship can result in losing your other passport.
    We want the same thing: people who are allowed to vote should be the ones who have a stake in this country. I think your attitude towards those who live here but do not take citizenship is a little too unforgiving, possibly even a little paranoid about their motives. The passport is no reliable indicator of loyalty, the long pattern of living an sensible, ordinary life somewhere is a much better indicator in my view.
    Why are you so concerned with people potentially losing their other passport if you don't think a passport should confer any special rights?
    People need passports and, in some cases, visas or visa waivers to travel. If they have family in their birth country, they may be in a situation where they want to visit at short notice. That's a normal part of life, with ageing parents, siblings having children, friends' weddings etc.
    For some people, taking a British passport might complicate that and so they might decide it's better to keep hold of their other passport.

    I simply think that such a decision shouldn't be a bar to voting in the country where you live. I mean really, if you've got a long term job, 2 kids in the school, a gym membership, and you're running the local parkrun each weekend, are you really someone with no stake in this society?
    You can have all those things and still be planning on leaving again in 2 or 3 years. In fact that is how millions of people do work around the world.
    Yes, you can, and that applies to people with British passports too.
    I don't think intentions is a realistic test though. You can't ask everyone where they see themselves in five years' time as a basis for enfranchisement, so you have to use something else. You say passport, I say residency in the years immediately prior. I don't think either option is unreasonable but I do think "my" way is better.
    In the end, I think more democracy is better than less. Getting people involved in the political process helps people become better citizens. People often talk about integration... well, what better way than asking people to speak up for how they think their communities should be run?
    They already can. They can vote in local elections. That is directly addressing how their communities are run.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,904

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Good afternoon

    Re Starmer's proposals on EU citizens, I do believe that anyone living here with settled status and paying tax should be entitled to vote

    However, I also believe that this is a mistep by Starmer as well as his proposals for votes for 16 and 17 year olds

    In the next fortnight the UK immigration figures for this year are due out and reportedly will be near one million, no doubt largely from Ukraine, Hong Kong, and Afghanistan which is a huge number

    Braverman ( no I do not like her) in a speech today apparently attacked this level of immigration and also Starmer

    The red wall and others will not be impressed with this high level of immigration, and add into the mix that Starmer is wanting to give votes to upto 5 million EU citizens then you can see a big row over immigration on the horizon

    Again I have to ask why you believe that we should be the one exception amongst first world countries in allowing non citizens to vote in our national elections? In fact we should be moving the other way and removing the franchise from the anomolies (Commonwealth and Irish citizens)
    Whether or not other countries do the same thing is strictly irrelevant. Sometimes (just sometimes) everyone else is wrong about something. The task is to decide on the merits of the case.
    But in this case they are not wrong and the reasons are clear. If someone is unwilling to take citizenship (and I would accept we need to make that a lot cheaper) then they are not making a commitment to the country. So why should they be able to vote on its future? Every other developed country seems to recognise this. I have yet to see any cogent argument against it.

    The counterargument is as I have stated downthread: that there are coherent reasons why you might want to preserve your foreign passport despite having made your life in this country. Not just the cost, but also the basis of being concerned about having the flexibility to visit family abroad at short notice without having to apply for a visa. Taking British citizenship can result in losing your other passport.
    We want the same thing: people who are allowed to vote should be the ones who have a stake in this country. I think your attitude towards those who live here but do not take citizenship is a little too unforgiving, possibly even a little paranoid about their motives. The passport is no reliable indicator of loyalty, the long pattern of living an sensible, ordinary life somewhere is a much better indicator in my view.
    Why are you so concerned with people potentially losing their other passport if you don't think a passport should confer any special rights?
    People need passports and, in some cases, visas or visa waivers to travel. If they have family in their birth country, they may be in a situation where they want to visit at short notice. That's a normal part of life, with ageing parents, siblings having children, friends' weddings etc.
    For some people, taking a British passport might complicate that and so they might decide it's better to keep hold of their other passport.

    I simply think that such a decision shouldn't be a bar to voting in the country where you live. I mean really, if you've got a long term job, 2 kids in the school, a gym membership, and you're running the local parkrun each weekend, are you really someone with no stake in this society?
    Yeah this is precisely where I am. There are a lot of people out there who perhaps have never lived overseas and don't have recent immigrant experience in their family history. But we live in a world of growing international mobility, and I think that democracies have to show some flexibility in terms of the franchise to ensure that fewer people fall into the taxation without representation trap simply because of the complexities of often competing citizenship frameworks.
    People also really need to break out of this mindset that somehow migration is inherently bad or threatening. The fact that even a child of immigrants like Suella Braverman can adopt this line of reasoning just illustrates what a strangely seductive mindset it is.
    Do you think we should abolish controls on migration and have unilateral free movement? We’d gain first mover advantage over the rest of the world.
    No. But equally we shouldn't constantly be talking about immigration like it is a terrible problem with no beneficial aspects and talking about immigrants like they are dangerous parasites rather than people like anyone else. When I contrast what I read here with what I experience among friends, family and colleagues who have come here from other parts of the world I just don't recognise the picture that is painted here at all. Why resent people who have done so much to enrich this country? It's just so dumb and mean-spirited.
  • Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 3,047
    maxh - A few years ago, I read about a heart medicine -- that was being used (off label) by a few symphony musicians because if kept them calm during performances. It's been a while, so I can't think of the name of the medicine.

    I should add that the article where I read about this medicine wasn't entirely sympthetic. (It was probably in the NYT.)
  • VerulamiusVerulamius Posts: 1,550
    Over the past few years the countries with higher immigration rates to the UK has changed. We have less people from the EU and more from the commonwealth.

    A knock on consequence of this is that the new immigrants can vote in UK general elections whereas the EU immigrants mainly could not.

    Which party will benefit from this?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,137
    rcs1000 said:

    ...

    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @jonsopel

    Don’t want to go over the top, but this is absolutely jaw-dropping. Someone who was in the cabinet when legislation on voter ID was agreed and went through parliament acknowledges it WAS an attempt to gerrymander the elections

    https://twitter.com/jonsopel/status/1658076536350601216

    Said at the conference of loons.
    Which appears to be taking some of its themes from the US right.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2023/may/15/low-birthrate-is-uk-top-priority-tory-mp-tells-rightwing-conference-miriam-cates
    ...The UK’s low birthrate is the most pressing policy issue of the generation and is caused in part by “cultural Marxism” stripping young people of any hope, a Conservative MP has argued at the start of a populist-tinged conference in London.

    Addressing the National Conservatism gathering, run by a US-based thinktank, Miriam Cates said western countries faced an existential threat from falling reproduction..
    The whole purpose of this well funded conference is to import the craziness of the US right into UK politics. See also recent attempts to rig the franchise (which a former Tory cabinet minister has admitted was gerrymandering). The Tories are utterly toxic now.
    Yes, falling birth rates in the West have long been a preoccupation of the US hard-Right. I don't know if the reason they give for this concern - Christian white folk being outbred by the Muslims - was made explicit on this occasion.
    More a case of atheist white folk being outbred by Muslims, Christian evangelicals also have lots of children and Catholics used to have more too
    Dear, oh Lord!

    Atheists, go forth and multiply.
    Outside of a few small groups (like Ultra Orthodox Jews) there is bugger all correlation between religiosity and TFR.

    Italy, for example, is way more religious than the UK (73% say religion is important vs 25% in the UK), and yet has a much worse TFR.
    You clearly did not read any of the links I posted which ALL showed that the religious have a much higher birthrate than the non religious.
    https://www.oeaw.ac.at/en/news/religious-people-have-more-children
    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/religious-belief-makes-you-have-more-children-gttxqqxvx
    https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/bering-in-mind/gods-little-rabbits-religious-people-out-reproduce-secular-ones-by-a-landslide/

    In Italy the most religious are pensioners, so obviously irrelevant to birthrate. The point is only relevant to those aged 16-45
  • GhedebravGhedebrav Posts: 3,860
    Nigelb said:

    Good afternoon

    Re Starmer's proposals on EU citizens, I do believe that anyone living here with settled status and paying tax should be entitled to vote

    However, I also believe that this is a mistep by Starmer as well as his proposals for votes for 16 and 17 year olds

    In the next fortnight the UK immigration figures for this year are due out and reportedly will be near one million, no doubt largely from Ukraine, Hong Kong, and Afghanistan which is a huge number

    Braverman ( no I do not like her) in a speech today apparently attacked this level of immigration and also Starmer

    The red wall and others will not be impressed with this high level of immigration, and add into the mix that Starmer is wanting to give votes to upto 5 million EU citizens then you can see a big row over immigration on the horizon

    The difficulty Braverman has with the level of immigration is that she is in government and immigration is part of her brief. If she really dislikes government policy in that area, she really ought to resign.

    (Who was the minister who called for Bozza to resign, but decided not to resign herself... oh bloody hell it was Braverman, wasn't it?)

    “I don’t want to resign because I have that duty and we need an Attorney in government”

    Attorney General SuellaBraverman says that, despite calling for the Prime Minister to resign, she will continue in her role.


    https://twitter.com/itvpeston/status/1544804556588158977
    The difficulty she has is common to many leading Tories - overweening ambition, and not much else.
    Starmer was quite right in noting in response to her 'fruit picker' screed that, er, they've been in power for 13 years so have had ample time to do something about it.

    The madder end of the Cabinet all seem to be railing against an establishment that is... themselves. It is really weird.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,705
    HYUFD said:

    The nationalist Tory right currently planning for a decade in opposition in the full glare of publicity really is quite a thing, isn't it? Who on earth inside the Tory party is in a position to stop them, though?

    Not necessarily guaranteed the Nationalist right will be in opposition for ten years is it? Look who has won the most recent elections for the right in the western world. Trump, Meloni, Johnson, Morrison, Netanyahu and Le Pen got closer than many expected in 2022. In Sweden and Finland and Austria too the centre right only won with the support of a Nationalist right party.

    Indeed since Trump won in 2016 only in Greece and Ireland have mainstream parties of the centre right in the West won a general election outright on a non Nationalist platform and in Ireland that was technically a coalition of FF and FG with SF winning most votes and seats

    There is no viable Nationalist Right other than the Tories in the UK. Nor will there be, at least until the Tories are thoroughly broken. And the rogues gallery you listed of Nationalist right leaders are only in that position because of decades of building support so that they were ready to take advantage of circumstance - with the possible exception of Trump but even he relied upon decades old organsiations and movements on the fringes of politcis.

    The UK doesn't really do Nationalist right. Just as it doesn't really do true solcialist left. And I for one am content with that.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,904
    kamski said:

    EU Commissioner Timmermans on the benefits of English as a lingua franca:

    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/SPEECH_23_2731

    By the way, this is the first time in human history that we have in Lingua Franca that is not just for the elites. For the first time in human history, we have a global Lingua Franca that transcends societal layers. Thanks to the internet, thanks to other developments, thanks to the predominance of Anglo-Saxon culture, English is an instrument for all. And this is the first time, in human history, that we have a true Lingua Franca for all: bad English.

    This is so true and in some respects it puts native English speakers at a disadvantage, especially non-Americans (because it is a limited vocabulary version of American English that is the global lingua franca). British English in particular has a lot of ideosyncratic phrases that are extremely confusing to Global Bad English speakers. And try speaking to a Global Bad English speaker in a regional accent.
    It's much easier for a native English speaker to speak an internationally understandable English, than it is for a non-native speaker. So long as the native speaker isn't so arrogant as to not bother to make sure their listeners can understand what they are saying.
    Yes, for sure. Sometimes though you don't realise how unknown some parts of British English are until you've used one of them and are faced with a roomful of blank looks. It takes some time to learn how to speak Gobal Bad English.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,975

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Good afternoon

    Re Starmer's proposals on EU citizens, I do believe that anyone living here with settled status and paying tax should be entitled to vote

    However, I also believe that this is a mistep by Starmer as well as his proposals for votes for 16 and 17 year olds

    In the next fortnight the UK immigration figures for this year are due out and reportedly will be near one million, no doubt largely from Ukraine, Hong Kong, and Afghanistan which is a huge number

    Braverman ( no I do not like her) in a speech today apparently attacked this level of immigration and also Starmer

    The red wall and others will not be impressed with this high level of immigration, and add into the mix that Starmer is wanting to give votes to upto 5 million EU citizens then you can see a big row over immigration on the horizon

    Again I have to ask why you believe that we should be the one exception amongst first world countries in allowing non citizens to vote in our national elections? In fact we should be moving the other way and removing the franchise from the anomolies (Commonwealth and Irish citizens)
    Whether or not other countries do the same thing is strictly irrelevant. Sometimes (just sometimes) everyone else is wrong about something. The task is to decide on the merits of the case.
    But in this case they are not wrong and the reasons are clear. If someone is unwilling to take citizenship (and I would accept we need to make that a lot cheaper) then they are not making a commitment to the country. So why should they be able to vote on its future? Every other developed country seems to recognise this. I have yet to see any cogent argument against it.

    The counterargument is as I have stated downthread: that there are coherent reasons why you might want to preserve your foreign passport despite having made your life in this country. Not just the cost, but also the basis of being concerned about having the flexibility to visit family abroad at short notice without having to apply for a visa. Taking British citizenship can result in losing your other passport.
    We want the same thing: people who are allowed to vote should be the ones who have a stake in this country. I think your attitude towards those who live here but do not take citizenship is a little too unforgiving, possibly even a little paranoid about their motives. The passport is no reliable indicator of loyalty, the long pattern of living an sensible, ordinary life somewhere is a much better indicator in my view.
    Why are you so concerned with people potentially losing their other passport if you don't think a passport should confer any special rights?
    People need passports and, in some cases, visas or visa waivers to travel. If they have family in their birth country, they may be in a situation where they want to visit at short notice. That's a normal part of life, with ageing parents, siblings having children, friends' weddings etc.
    For some people, taking a British passport might complicate that and so they might decide it's better to keep hold of their other passport.

    I simply think that such a decision shouldn't be a bar to voting in the country where you live. I mean really, if you've got a long term job, 2 kids in the school, a gym membership, and you're running the local parkrun each weekend, are you really someone with no stake in this society?
    Yeah this is precisely where I am. There are a lot of people out there who perhaps have never lived overseas and don't have recent immigrant experience in their family history. But we live in a world of growing international mobility, and I think that democracies have to show some flexibility in terms of the franchise to ensure that fewer people fall into the taxation without representation trap simply because of the complexities of often competing citizenship frameworks.
    People also really need to break out of this mindset that somehow migration is inherently bad or threatening. The fact that even a child of immigrants like Suella Braverman can adopt this line of reasoning just illustrates what a strangely seductive mindset it is.
    Migration is certainly not bad or threatening. But when migrants settle somewhere they should take citizenship of the country in which they settle. At least if they want to take part in the democratic process of that country.

    And millions of people fall into the taxation without representation trap as you call it. They do so without even living in the country tacxing them. I worked on and off for 15 years in Norway and paid Norwegian taxes. But there was no way in a million years Norway was going to let me vote in their elections. Nor did I expect them to. I was there to do a job and then go home. Even if I kept going back for 15 years.
    Although you and I are diametrically opposed politically I read your views with interest. I am surprised you are so alarmed by a discussion about the extension of the franchise, which let's face it is as we speak no more than a discussion, yet seen relatively comfortable with ID cards introduced in order to facilitate what has now been busted as a cast iron voter suppression attempt. I am surprised
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 72,396
    Carnyx said:

    Completely o/t but this will be a change from JRM and interest our cyclists - how to park a bike in Japan.

    https://twitter.com/Rainmaker1973/status/1658113024568246275?cxt=HHwWhoC2rdjA5oIuAAAA

    Strong Matrix vibes.
  • kamskikamski Posts: 5,209

    kamski said:

    EU Commissioner Timmermans on the benefits of English as a lingua franca:

    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/SPEECH_23_2731

    By the way, this is the first time in human history that we have in Lingua Franca that is not just for the elites. For the first time in human history, we have a global Lingua Franca that transcends societal layers. Thanks to the internet, thanks to other developments, thanks to the predominance of Anglo-Saxon culture, English is an instrument for all. And this is the first time, in human history, that we have a true Lingua Franca for all: bad English.

    This is so true and in some respects it puts native English speakers at a disadvantage, especially non-Americans (because it is a limited vocabulary version of American English that is the global lingua franca). British English in particular has a lot of ideosyncratic phrases that are extremely confusing to Global Bad English speakers. And try speaking to a Global Bad English speaker in a regional accent.
    It's much easier for a native English speaker to speak an internationally understandable English, than it is for a non-native speaker. So long as the native speaker isn't so arrogant as to not bother to make sure their listeners can understand what they are saying.
    Yes, for sure. Sometimes though you don't realise how unknown some parts of British English are until you've used one of them and are faced with a roomful of blank looks. It takes some time to learn how to speak Gobal Bad English.
    That's true, but hopefully less time if you already speak British English of whatever variety, than if you start off only speaking Chinese!
  • GhedebravGhedebrav Posts: 3,860

    If this is the sort of thing Labour tries to pull in opposition, what do you think they'll do in Government?

    They could try to pull a massive voter suppression scheme I suppose, as JRM has just confirmed the Tories have recently embarked upon.
    He really is a prize pillock. Presumably he thought in some sort of 4D chess way it'll help precipitate Bozzageddon mk. 2 prior to next year's election, so he can stand on a dream ticket with Spaffer and Nads.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,688
    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ...

    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @jonsopel

    Don’t want to go over the top, but this is absolutely jaw-dropping. Someone who was in the cabinet when legislation on voter ID was agreed and went through parliament acknowledges it WAS an attempt to gerrymander the elections

    https://twitter.com/jonsopel/status/1658076536350601216

    Said at the conference of loons.
    Which appears to be taking some of its themes from the US right.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2023/may/15/low-birthrate-is-uk-top-priority-tory-mp-tells-rightwing-conference-miriam-cates
    ...The UK’s low birthrate is the most pressing policy issue of the generation and is caused in part by “cultural Marxism” stripping young people of any hope, a Conservative MP has argued at the start of a populist-tinged conference in London.

    Addressing the National Conservatism gathering, run by a US-based thinktank, Miriam Cates said western countries faced an existential threat from falling reproduction..
    The whole purpose of this well funded conference is to import the craziness of the US right into UK politics. See also recent attempts to rig the franchise (which a former Tory cabinet minister has admitted was gerrymandering). The Tories are utterly toxic now.
    Yes, falling birth rates in the West have long been a preoccupation of the US hard-Right. I don't know if the reason they give for this concern - Christian white folk being outbred by the Muslims - was made explicit on this occasion.
    More a case of atheist white folk being outbred by Muslims, Christian evangelicals also have lots of children and Catholics used to have more too
    Dear, oh Lord!

    Atheists, go forth and multiply.
    Outside of a few small groups (like Ultra Orthodox Jews) there is bugger all correlation between religiosity and TFR.

    Italy, for example, is way more religious than the UK (73% say religion is important vs 25% in the UK), and yet has a much worse TFR.
    You clearly did not read any of the links I posted which ALL showed that the religious have a much higher birthrate than the non religious.
    https://www.oeaw.ac.at/en/news/religious-people-have-more-children
    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/religious-belief-makes-you-have-more-children-gttxqqxvx
    https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/bering-in-mind/gods-little-rabbits-religious-people-out-reproduce-secular-ones-by-a-landslide/

    In Italy the most religious are pensioners, so obviously irrelevant to birthrate. The point is only relevant to those aged 16-45
    So, those religious pensioners gave birth to non religious folk*?

    * While younger, obviously
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,137
    edited May 2023

    HYUFD said:

    The nationalist Tory right currently planning for a decade in opposition in the full glare of publicity really is quite a thing, isn't it? Who on earth inside the Tory party is in a position to stop them, though?

    Not necessarily guaranteed the Nationalist right will be in opposition for ten years is it? Look who has won the most recent elections for the right in the western world. Trump, Meloni, Johnson, Morrison, Netanyahu and Le Pen got closer than many expected in 2022. In Sweden and Finland and Austria too the centre right only won with the support of a Nationalist right party.

    Indeed since Trump won in 2016 only in Greece and Ireland have mainstream parties of the centre right in the West won a general election outright on a non Nationalist platform and in Ireland that was technically a coalition of FF and FG with SF winning most votes and seats

    There is no viable Nationalist Right other than the Tories in the UK. Nor will there be, at least until the Tories are thoroughly broken. And the rogues gallery you listed of Nationalist right leaders are only in that position because of decades of building support so that they were ready to take advantage of circumstance - with the possible exception of Trump but even he relied upon decades old organsiations and movements on the fringes of politcis.

    The UK doesn't really do Nationalist right. Just as it doesn't really do true solcialist left. And I for one am content with that.
    For now. With PR RefUK would win 50-100 seats. Remember in 2015 even under FPTP UKIP got 13%.

    Having said that a new Corbynite Left Party would also win 50-100 seats under PR.

    The UK only doesn't really do nationalist right and socialist left (with the brief exceptions of Johnson and Corbyn becoming Tory and Labour leaders) due to FPTP. Under PR a sixth to a third of MPs+ would always be from the Nationalist right or socialist left
  • Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 3,047
    eek - Living, as I do, half way between them, I know that there is a second Vancouver in Washington state: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vancouver,_Washington

    It's much smaller than the one in BC, but has a fascinating history, and an interesting relationship with Portland, Oregon, across the Columbia. Washington has no state income tax; Oregon has no state sales tax, so, in principle, one could avoid both taxes by working in Vancouver, and shopping in Portland. And, no doubt some do just that, but I have never seen estimates on how big the effect is.

    (I believe, in theory one is supposed to pay sales tax on goods brought into Washington from Oregon, but don't think that is enforced other than for expensive items like new cars.)
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 72,396

    maxh - A few years ago, I read about a heart medicine -- that was being used (off label) by a few symphony musicians because if kept them calm during performances. It's been a while, so I can't think of the name of the medicine.

    I should add that the article where I read about this medicine wasn't entirely sympthetic. (It was probably in the NYT.)

    Beta blockers ?
    Also once used by snooker players.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,705

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Good afternoon

    Re Starmer's proposals on EU citizens, I do believe that anyone living here with settled status and paying tax should be entitled to vote

    However, I also believe that this is a mistep by Starmer as well as his proposals for votes for 16 and 17 year olds

    In the next fortnight the UK immigration figures for this year are due out and reportedly will be near one million, no doubt largely from Ukraine, Hong Kong, and Afghanistan which is a huge number

    Braverman ( no I do not like her) in a speech today apparently attacked this level of immigration and also Starmer

    The red wall and others will not be impressed with this high level of immigration, and add into the mix that Starmer is wanting to give votes to upto 5 million EU citizens then you can see a big row over immigration on the horizon

    Again I have to ask why you believe that we should be the one exception amongst first world countries in allowing non citizens to vote in our national elections? In fact we should be moving the other way and removing the franchise from the anomolies (Commonwealth and Irish citizens)
    Whether or not other countries do the same thing is strictly irrelevant. Sometimes (just sometimes) everyone else is wrong about something. The task is to decide on the merits of the case.
    But in this case they are not wrong and the reasons are clear. If someone is unwilling to take citizenship (and I would accept we need to make that a lot cheaper) then they are not making a commitment to the country. So why should they be able to vote on its future? Every other developed country seems to recognise this. I have yet to see any cogent argument against it.

    The counterargument is as I have stated downthread: that there are coherent reasons why you might want to preserve your foreign passport despite having made your life in this country. Not just the cost, but also the basis of being concerned about having the flexibility to visit family abroad at short notice without having to apply for a visa. Taking British citizenship can result in losing your other passport.
    We want the same thing: people who are allowed to vote should be the ones who have a stake in this country. I think your attitude towards those who live here but do not take citizenship is a little too unforgiving, possibly even a little paranoid about their motives. The passport is no reliable indicator of loyalty, the long pattern of living an sensible, ordinary life somewhere is a much better indicator in my view.
    Why are you so concerned with people potentially losing their other passport if you don't think a passport should confer any special rights?
    People need passports and, in some cases, visas or visa waivers to travel. If they have family in their birth country, they may be in a situation where they want to visit at short notice. That's a normal part of life, with ageing parents, siblings having children, friends' weddings etc.
    For some people, taking a British passport might complicate that and so they might decide it's better to keep hold of their other passport.

    I simply think that such a decision shouldn't be a bar to voting in the country where you live. I mean really, if you've got a long term job, 2 kids in the school, a gym membership, and you're running the local parkrun each weekend, are you really someone with no stake in this society?
    Yeah this is precisely where I am. There are a lot of people out there who perhaps have never lived overseas and don't have recent immigrant experience in their family history. But we live in a world of growing international mobility, and I think that democracies have to show some flexibility in terms of the franchise to ensure that fewer people fall into the taxation without representation trap simply because of the complexities of often competing citizenship frameworks.
    People also really need to break out of this mindset that somehow migration is inherently bad or threatening. The fact that even a child of immigrants like Suella Braverman can adopt this line of reasoning just illustrates what a strangely seductive mindset it is.
    Migration is certainly not bad or threatening. But when migrants settle somewhere they should take citizenship of the country in which they settle. At least if they want to take part in the democratic process of that country.

    And millions of people fall into the taxation without representation trap as you call it. They do so without even living in the country tacxing them. I worked on and off for 15 years in Norway and paid Norwegian taxes. But there was no way in a million years Norway was going to let me vote in their elections. Nor did I expect them to. I was there to do a job and then go home. Even if I kept going back for 15 years.
    Although you and I are diametrically opposed politically I read your views with interest. I am surprised you are so alarmed by a discussion about the extension of the franchise, which let's face it is as we speak no more than a discussion, yet seen relatively comfortable with ID cards introduced in order to facilitate what has now been busted as a cast iron voter suppression attempt. I am surprised
    No you have me wrong. I was vehemently opposed to ID cards for voting (and indeed ID cards in any form that demands presentation to the authorities). I posted at length about it in the run up to the locals. It was a clear what the reasons were for it and that it was an abuse of power.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,777
    I can only think of one example where a party successfully managed to rig the deck, and that was Labour to devolution in Wales.

    I can't think of any other examples?

    I don't think PR would do it either. I think far too many Labour/Lib Dem establishment types think it would lock them in power forever, but it might just as easily open Pandora's Box.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,546

    malcolmg said:

    Carnyx said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ...

    rcs1000 said:

    Foxy said:
    It has the same sugar/fat ratio as breast milk, that is apparently why we like it. I have ice cream nearly every night, go me.
    Technically, it's the same carbohydrates/fat ratio. Breast milk contains relatively little in the way of straight sugar: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5331577/#:~:text=Fructose, glucose, and lactose were,associated with infant body composition.
    Look, Luckyguy is allowed to justify being a tit man any way he needs to.
    Can breast milk be turned into ice cream?
    It is often turned into ice cream, it's just usually cow's breast milk.
    Albeit they do add lots of sugar to it.
    I'm confused - the suggestion earlier that breast milk contains relatively little in the way of straight sugar (and implying that much of the carbohydrate in it isn't stdraight sugar) when in fact any soluble mono- or di-saccharide IS a sugar.

    Unless the milk contains starches etc., in which case it'd be more like sweet wallpaper paste? What am I missing?
    Worrying Carnyx , you seem very au fait with cows udders
    The specialty of oldest restaurant in Berlin, Zur Letzten Instanz, is stuffed cow udder. I did not partake.
    Wise move
  • Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 3,047
    Nigelb - Beta blockers sounds right, but I would advise anyone thinking about using them off label to do some serious research, rather than relying on my hazy memory.
  • TresTres Posts: 2,724

    Andy_JS said:

    Mogg's admission today has to be very serious for the government. Let's see what Starmer can do with it.

    Sigh. What's he done now?
    Claimed that the aim of the Voter ID legislation was to suppress opposition votes and bemoaning the fact that it backfired and had more effect on Tory votes.
    Also attempted to cancel Jim Bob of Carter USM fame.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,777
    I can only think of one example where a party successfully managed to rig the deck, and that was Labour to devolution in Wales.

    I can't think of any other examples?

    I don't think PR would do it either. I think far too many Labour/Lib Dem establishment types think it would lock them in power forever, but it might just as easily open Pandora's Box.
  • FossFoss Posts: 1,030
    Nigelb said:

    Carnyx said:

    Completely o/t but this will be a change from JRM and interest our cyclists - how to park a bike in Japan.

    https://twitter.com/Rainmaker1973/status/1658113024568246275?cxt=HHwWhoC2rdjA5oIuAAAA

    Strong Matrix vibes.
    They have a version for cars as well. Tom Scott did a video on it earlier this year.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,777
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    The nationalist Tory right currently planning for a decade in opposition in the full glare of publicity really is quite a thing, isn't it? Who on earth inside the Tory party is in a position to stop them, though?

    Not necessarily guaranteed the Nationalist right will be in opposition for ten years is it? Look who has won the most recent elections for the right in the western world. Trump, Meloni, Johnson, Morrison, Netanyahu and Le Pen got closer than many expected in 2022. In Sweden and Finland and Austria too the centre right only won with the support of a Nationalist right party.

    Indeed since Trump won in 2016 only in Greece and Ireland have mainstream parties of the centre right in the West won a general election outright on a non Nationalist platform and in Ireland that was technically a coalition of FF and FG with SF winning most votes and seats

    There is no viable Nationalist Right other than the Tories in the UK. Nor will there be, at least until the Tories are thoroughly broken. And the rogues gallery you listed of Nationalist right leaders are only in that position because of decades of building support so that they were ready to take advantage of circumstance - with the possible exception of Trump but even he relied upon decades old organsiations and movements on the fringes of politcis.

    The UK doesn't really do Nationalist right. Just as it doesn't really do true solcialist left. And I for one am content with that.
    For now. With PR RefUK would win 50-100 seats. Remember in 2015 even under FPTP UKIP got 13%.

    Having said that a new Corbynite Left Party would also win 50-100 seats under PR.

    The UK only doesn't really do nationalist right and socialist left (with the brief exceptions of Johnson and Corbyn becoming Tory and Labour leaders) due to FPTP. Under PR a sixth to a third of MPs+ would always be from the Nationalist right or socialist left
    In 2015, under PR, the Tories + UKIP had an absolute majority of the vote, and so that's the Government we would have got.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,137
    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ...

    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @jonsopel

    Don’t want to go over the top, but this is absolutely jaw-dropping. Someone who was in the cabinet when legislation on voter ID was agreed and went through parliament acknowledges it WAS an attempt to gerrymander the elections

    https://twitter.com/jonsopel/status/1658076536350601216

    Said at the conference of loons.
    Which appears to be taking some of its themes from the US right.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2023/may/15/low-birthrate-is-uk-top-priority-tory-mp-tells-rightwing-conference-miriam-cates
    ...The UK’s low birthrate is the most pressing policy issue of the generation and is caused in part by “cultural Marxism” stripping young people of any hope, a Conservative MP has argued at the start of a populist-tinged conference in London.

    Addressing the National Conservatism gathering, run by a US-based thinktank, Miriam Cates said western countries faced an existential threat from falling reproduction..
    The whole purpose of this well funded conference is to import the craziness of the US right into UK politics. See also recent attempts to rig the franchise (which a former Tory cabinet minister has admitted was gerrymandering). The Tories are utterly toxic now.
    Yes, falling birth rates in the West have long been a preoccupation of the US hard-Right. I don't know if the reason they give for this concern - Christian white folk being outbred by the Muslims - was made explicit on this occasion.
    More a case of atheist white folk being outbred by Muslims, Christian evangelicals also have lots of children and Catholics used to have more too
    Dear, oh Lord!

    Atheists, go forth and multiply.
    Outside of a few small groups (like Ultra Orthodox Jews) there is bugger all correlation between religiosity and TFR.

    Italy, for example, is way more religious than the UK (73% say religion is important vs 25% in the UK), and yet has a much worse TFR.
    You clearly did not read any of the links I posted which ALL showed that the religious have a much higher birthrate than the non religious.
    https://www.oeaw.ac.at/en/news/religious-people-have-more-children
    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/religious-belief-makes-you-have-more-children-gttxqqxvx
    https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/bering-in-mind/gods-little-rabbits-religious-people-out-reproduce-secular-ones-by-a-landslide/

    In Italy the most religious are pensioners, so obviously irrelevant to birthrate. The point is only relevant to those aged 16-45
    So, those religious pensioners gave birth to non religious folk*?

    * While younger, obviously
    'Data from around 34,000 people between the ages of 18 and 45 from eight European countries – Austria, France, the Netherlands, Sweden, Poland, Russia, Bulgaria, and Georgia – were evaluated in this longitudinal study..Religion still plays a central role in family planning today, as the results suggest. "Our study confirms that practicing Christians, i.e., those who regularly attend church services, want and actually have more children than nominal Christians and non-religious people," says OeAW demographer Isabella Buber-Ennser.

    An example of this: in Austria, practicing Christians between the ages of 20 and 29 stated that they would like two to three children. The 35- to 44-year-old practicing Christian women then had an average of two children (1.8). In comparison, for women without a religion, the desired number of children in the age group 20 to 29 was two children (1.9) and the age group 35 to 44 then only had one child (0.9).

    Although the data differ from country to country, the general trend is similar: in the eight countries examined, practicing Christian women in the 20 to 29 age group want an average of 2.5 children, and the 35- to 44-year-olds have an average of two. On the other hand, those who do not have a denomination only want two children and have an average of 1.5 children.'
    https://www.oeaw.ac.at/en/news/religious-people-have-more-children

    “In the past 15 years there has been an increasing effort to explain the evolution of religiousness,” said Janko Međedović, writing in the Journal of Biosocial Science..He looked at 461 parents of psychology students at Singidunum University in the Serbian capital, Belgrade, and asked them how many children they had and also how many they had planned to have when they were young adults.

    The more religious the parents were the more children they originally desired and the more they ended up having — and the effect was particularly marked among men. In 2016, a review of census data from almost 4 million women in 32 countries found that those who were religious were less likely to be childless.'
    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/religious-belief-makes-you-have-more-children-gttxqqxvx

    'Even flailing religious denominations placing their emphasis on converting outsiders, such as Yehova’s witnesses, are out-reproducing nonreligious mothers. Hindus (2.79 births per woman), Muslims (2.44), and Jews (2.06), meanwhile, are prolific producers of human beings. Nonreligious Swiss mothers bear a measly 1.11 children.'
    https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/bering-in-mind/gods-little-rabbits-religious-people-out-reproduce-secular-ones-by-a-landslide/
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,983
    "Braverman's immigration speech interrupted by protesters after Rees-Mogg heckled on stage

    Mr Rees-Mogg was moments into his speech when a protester warned of 'facism' before being hauled off stage by security."

    https://news.sky.com/story/jacob-rees-mogg-protester-storms-stage-during-speech-to-warn-of-fascism-12881437
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,904

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Good afternoon

    Re Starmer's proposals on EU citizens, I do believe that anyone living here with settled status and paying tax should be entitled to vote

    However, I also believe that this is a mistep by Starmer as well as his proposals for votes for 16 and 17 year olds

    In the next fortnight the UK immigration figures for this year are due out and reportedly will be near one million, no doubt largely from Ukraine, Hong Kong, and Afghanistan which is a huge number

    Braverman ( no I do not like her) in a speech today apparently attacked this level of immigration and also Starmer

    The red wall and others will not be impressed with this high level of immigration, and add into the mix that Starmer is wanting to give votes to upto 5 million EU citizens then you can see a big row over immigration on the horizon

    Again I have to ask why you believe that we should be the one exception amongst first world countries in allowing non citizens to vote in our national elections? In fact we should be moving the other way and removing the franchise from the anomolies (Commonwealth and Irish citizens)
    Whether or not other countries do the same thing is strictly irrelevant. Sometimes (just sometimes) everyone else is wrong about something. The task is to decide on the merits of the case.
    But in this case they are not wrong and the reasons are clear. If someone is unwilling to take citizenship (and I would accept we need to make that a lot cheaper) then they are not making a commitment to the country. So why should they be able to vote on its future? Every other developed country seems to recognise this. I have yet to see any cogent argument against it.

    The counterargument is as I have stated downthread: that there are coherent reasons why you might want to preserve your foreign passport despite having made your life in this country. Not just the cost, but also the basis of being concerned about having the flexibility to visit family abroad at short notice without having to apply for a visa. Taking British citizenship can result in losing your other passport.
    We want the same thing: people who are allowed to vote should be the ones who have a stake in this country. I think your attitude towards those who live here but do not take citizenship is a little too unforgiving, possibly even a little paranoid about their motives. The passport is no reliable indicator of loyalty, the long pattern of living an sensible, ordinary life somewhere is a much better indicator in my view.
    Why are you so concerned with people potentially losing their other passport if you don't think a passport should confer any special rights?
    People need passports and, in some cases, visas or visa waivers to travel. If they have family in their birth country, they may be in a situation where they want to visit at short notice. That's a normal part of life, with ageing parents, siblings having children, friends' weddings etc.
    For some people, taking a British passport might complicate that and so they might decide it's better to keep hold of their other passport.

    I simply think that such a decision shouldn't be a bar to voting in the country where you live. I mean really, if you've got a long term job, 2 kids in the school, a gym membership, and you're running the local parkrun each weekend, are you really someone with no stake in this society?
    Yeah this is precisely where I am. There are a lot of people out there who perhaps have never lived overseas and don't have recent immigrant experience in their family history. But we live in a world of growing international mobility, and I think that democracies have to show some flexibility in terms of the franchise to ensure that fewer people fall into the taxation without representation trap simply because of the complexities of often competing citizenship frameworks.
    People also really need to break out of this mindset that somehow migration is inherently bad or threatening. The fact that even a child of immigrants like Suella Braverman can adopt this line of reasoning just illustrates what a strangely seductive mindset it is.
    Migration is certainly not bad or threatening. But when migrants settle somewhere they should take citizenship of the country in which they settle. At least if they want to take part in the democratic process of that country.

    And millions of people fall into the taxation without representation trap as you call it. They do so without even living in the country tacxing them. I worked on and off for 15 years in Norway and paid Norwegian taxes. But there was no way in a million years Norway was going to let me vote in their elections. Nor did I expect them to. I was there to do a job and then go home. Even if I kept going back for 15 years.
    I understand your position and respect it. It is clean and consistent and is the norm internationally. I just don't think it captures the complexity of people's lives and ends up disenfranchising internationally mobile people. Perhaps that's what people have signed up to in making that choice, but I think it is unfortunate that that's what happens, and I think it's possible to be a bit more flexible about the franchise in response.
  • FossFoss Posts: 1,030
    Farooq said:

    I can only think of one example where a party successfully managed to rig the deck, and that was Labour to devolution in Wales.

    I can't think of any other examples?

    I don't think PR would do it either. I think far too many Labour/Lib Dem establishment types think it would lock them in power forever, but it might just as easily open Pandora's Box.

    "establishment types"
    It's not unreasonable to suggest that PR might lead to an Alternative-for-Bolsover type of group and a Neo-Respect - both of which would draw at least some support from traditional Labour blocks.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,137

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    The nationalist Tory right currently planning for a decade in opposition in the full glare of publicity really is quite a thing, isn't it? Who on earth inside the Tory party is in a position to stop them, though?

    Not necessarily guaranteed the Nationalist right will be in opposition for ten years is it? Look who has won the most recent elections for the right in the western world. Trump, Meloni, Johnson, Morrison, Netanyahu and Le Pen got closer than many expected in 2022. In Sweden and Finland and Austria too the centre right only won with the support of a Nationalist right party.

    Indeed since Trump won in 2016 only in Greece and Ireland have mainstream parties of the centre right in the West won a general election outright on a non Nationalist platform and in Ireland that was technically a coalition of FF and FG with SF winning most votes and seats

    There is no viable Nationalist Right other than the Tories in the UK. Nor will there be, at least until the Tories are thoroughly broken. And the rogues gallery you listed of Nationalist right leaders are only in that position because of decades of building support so that they were ready to take advantage of circumstance - with the possible exception of Trump but even he relied upon decades old organsiations and movements on the fringes of politcis.

    The UK doesn't really do Nationalist right. Just as it doesn't really do true solcialist left. And I for one am content with that.
    For now. With PR RefUK would win 50-100 seats. Remember in 2015 even under FPTP UKIP got 13%.

    Having said that a new Corbynite Left Party would also win 50-100 seats under PR.

    The UK only doesn't really do nationalist right and socialist left (with the brief exceptions of Johnson and Corbyn becoming Tory and Labour leaders) due to FPTP. Under PR a sixth to a third of MPs+ would always be from the Nationalist right or socialist left
    In 2015, under PR, the Tories + UKIP had an absolute majority of the vote, and so that's the Government we would have got.
    Yes with Farage maybe replacing Clegg as Deputy PM and Boris becoming PM 4 years earlier as a price of Farage's support
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,434
    Tres said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Mogg's admission today has to be very serious for the government. Let's see what Starmer can do with it.

    Sigh. What's he done now?
    Claimed that the aim of the Voter ID legislation was to suppress opposition votes and bemoaning the fact that it backfired and had more effect on Tory votes.
    Also attempted to cancel Jim Bob of Carter USM fame.
    Which would make it Carter the Stoppable Sex Machine... 😀
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 23,156

    I can only think of one example where a party successfully managed to rig the deck, and that was Labour to devolution in Wales.

    I can't think of any other examples?

    I don't think PR would do it either. I think far too many Labour/Lib Dem establishment types think it would lock them in power forever, but it might just as easily open Pandora's Box.

    Maybe some people actually believe in PR. It was wrong UKIP had virtually no Westminster representation. It is unhealthy to have politics so dominated by two parties, especially nowadays when they are both very vulnerable to weird entryists.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,176
    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ...

    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @jonsopel

    Don’t want to go over the top, but this is absolutely jaw-dropping. Someone who was in the cabinet when legislation on voter ID was agreed and went through parliament acknowledges it WAS an attempt to gerrymander the elections

    https://twitter.com/jonsopel/status/1658076536350601216

    Said at the conference of loons.
    Which appears to be taking some of its themes from the US right.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2023/may/15/low-birthrate-is-uk-top-priority-tory-mp-tells-rightwing-conference-miriam-cates
    ...The UK’s low birthrate is the most pressing policy issue of the generation and is caused in part by “cultural Marxism” stripping young people of any hope, a Conservative MP has argued at the start of a populist-tinged conference in London.

    Addressing the National Conservatism gathering, run by a US-based thinktank, Miriam Cates said western countries faced an existential threat from falling reproduction..
    The whole purpose of this well funded conference is to import the craziness of the US right into UK politics. See also recent attempts to rig the franchise (which a former Tory cabinet minister has admitted was gerrymandering). The Tories are utterly toxic now.
    Yes, falling birth rates in the West have long been a preoccupation of the US hard-Right. I don't know if the reason they give for this concern - Christian white folk being outbred by the Muslims - was made explicit on this occasion.
    More a case of atheist white folk being outbred by Muslims, Christian evangelicals also have lots of children and Catholics used to have more too
    Dear, oh Lord!

    Atheists, go forth and multiply.
    Outside of a few small groups (like Ultra Orthodox Jews) there is bugger all correlation between religiosity and TFR.

    Italy, for example, is way more religious than the UK (73% say religion is important vs 25% in the UK), and yet has a much worse TFR.
    You clearly did not read any of the links I posted which ALL showed that the religious have a much higher birthrate than the non religious.
    https://www.oeaw.ac.at/en/news/religious-people-have-more-children
    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/religious-belief-makes-you-have-more-children-gttxqqxvx
    https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/bering-in-mind/gods-little-rabbits-religious-people-out-reproduce-secular-ones-by-a-landslide/

    In Italy the most religious are pensioners, so obviously irrelevant to birthrate. The point is only relevant to those aged 16-45
    It doesn't mean God exists :lol:
  • TresTres Posts: 2,724
    What training does Braverman believe is required in order to pick fruit? Another Tory with no idea of the real word.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,137
    edited May 2023
    Andy_JS said:

    "Braverman's immigration speech interrupted by protesters after Rees-Mogg heckled on stage

    Mr Rees-Mogg was moments into his speech when a protester warned of 'facism' before being hauled off stage by security."

    https://news.sky.com/story/jacob-rees-mogg-protester-storms-stage-during-speech-to-warn-of-fascism-12881437

    Jacob still called him 'a jolly good fellow' and said 'we believe in freedom of speech'. Well handled Jacob!

    Braverman less quick with any riposte as her protestors were booed and carried out of the hall
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 18,962

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    The nationalist Tory right currently planning for a decade in opposition in the full glare of publicity really is quite a thing, isn't it? Who on earth inside the Tory party is in a position to stop them, though?

    Not necessarily guaranteed the Nationalist right will be in opposition for ten years is it? Look who has won the most recent elections for the right in the western world. Trump, Meloni, Johnson, Morrison, Netanyahu and Le Pen got closer than many expected in 2022. In Sweden and Finland and Austria too the centre right only won with the support of a Nationalist right party.

    Indeed since Trump won in 2016 only in Greece and Ireland have mainstream parties of the centre right in the West won a general election outright on a non Nationalist platform and in Ireland that was technically a coalition of FF and FG with SF winning most votes and seats

    There is no viable Nationalist Right other than the Tories in the UK. Nor will there be, at least until the Tories are thoroughly broken. And the rogues gallery you listed of Nationalist right leaders are only in that position because of decades of building support so that they were ready to take advantage of circumstance - with the possible exception of Trump but even he relied upon decades old organsiations and movements on the fringes of politcis.

    The UK doesn't really do Nationalist right. Just as it doesn't really do true solcialist left. And I for one am content with that.
    For now. With PR RefUK would win 50-100 seats. Remember in 2015 even under FPTP UKIP got 13%.

    Having said that a new Corbynite Left Party would also win 50-100 seats under PR.

    The UK only doesn't really do nationalist right and socialist left (with the brief exceptions of Johnson and Corbyn becoming Tory and Labour leaders) due to FPTP. Under PR a sixth to a third of MPs+ would always be from the Nationalist right or socialist left
    In 2015, under PR, the Tories + UKIP had an absolute majority of the vote, and so that's the Government we would have got.
    Well, if that looked likely in the run-up to the election it might have pushed some centrist Tori voters into voting Lib Dem instead.

    It's a mistake to read across vote shares from our FPTP GEs and predict PR election results on that basis. I know the Electoral Reform Society do that for every GE and I tend to think - what's the point?

    The greatest advantage of a non-FPTP system is precisely that it gives voters better choices then they have with FPTP, and so I'd hope that voters would use those choices to vote differently (though I'm not naive enough to think that they'd vote in a way that made me happy, given that one of my local TDs in Ireland is a complete bell-end by the name of Michael Collins).
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,353
    Farooq said:

    Foss said:

    Farooq said:

    I can only think of one example where a party successfully managed to rig the deck, and that was Labour to devolution in Wales.

    I can't think of any other examples?

    I don't think PR would do it either. I think far too many Labour/Lib Dem establishment types think it would lock them in power forever, but it might just as easily open Pandora's Box.

    "establishment types"
    It's not unreasonable to suggest that PR might lead to an Alternative-for-Bolsover type of group and a Neo-Respect - both of which would draw at least some support from traditional Labour blocks.
    Sure, let the big parties fragment.
    I'm just wondering to what extent you can call a party that hasn't led a government for 13 years, and another party that hasn't led a government for a hundred years, "establishment types".
    It doesn't get much more establishment than being a member of the privy council.
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,085
    Spent the day hiking on Dartmoor after working the weekend. Bliss.

    There is only one Conservative I fear fighting against at the next General Election and his name is Boris Johnson.

    The guy is a shit but that's part of the point.

    Anyone other than him, it's a Labour landslide.
  • maxhmaxh Posts: 1,338
    Nigelb said:

    maxh - A few years ago, I read about a heart medicine -- that was being used (off label) by a few symphony musicians because if kept them calm during performances. It's been a while, so I can't think of the name of the medicine.

    I should add that the article where I read about this medicine wasn't entirely sympthetic. (It was probably in the NYT.)

    Beta blockers ?
    Also once used by snooker players.
    Back in the mists of time I ran a citizens assembly on recreational drug use, and was surprised that part of the discussion was about performance enhancing drugs in schools and universities.

    As I recall they were quite experimental drugs and I think there was rightly a much more vociferous reaction against their use in young people than against most
    recreational drugs.

    Since then I have never come across a case of them actually being used, though. Perhaps at uni?

    In any case, if our solution to any problem is to encourage a teenager to take experimental drugs I think we’re probably asking the wrong questions!
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,983
    Heathener said:

    Spent the day hiking on Dartmoor after working the weekend. Bliss.

    There is only one Conservative I fear fighting against at the next General Election and his name is Boris Johnson.

    The guy is a shit but that's part of the point.

    Anyone other than him, it's a Labour landslide.

    I have a suspicion Johnson will replace Sunak in the next 12 months if the polls continue to show a 15 to 20 point Labour lead.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,175
    Tres said:

    What training does Braverman believe is required in order to pick fruit? Another Tory with no idea of the real word.

    All such jobs usually do require training as the are rarely so easy as they might seem. A lifetime ago I emptied dustbins - tough work and the training was a lifesaver. Maybe you need some idea about the real world yourself?
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 8,496

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Good afternoon

    Re Starmer's proposals on EU citizens, I do believe that anyone living here with settled status and paying tax should be entitled to vote

    However, I also believe that this is a mistep by Starmer as well as his proposals for votes for 16 and 17 year olds

    In the next fortnight the UK immigration figures for this year are due out and reportedly will be near one million, no doubt largely from Ukraine, Hong Kong, and Afghanistan which is a huge number

    Braverman ( no I do not like her) in a speech today apparently attacked this level of immigration and also Starmer

    The red wall and others will not be impressed with this high level of immigration, and add into the mix that Starmer is wanting to give votes to upto 5 million EU citizens then you can see a big row over immigration on the horizon

    Again I have to ask why you believe that we should be the one exception amongst first world countries in allowing non citizens to vote in our national elections? In fact we should be moving the other way and removing the franchise from the anomolies (Commonwealth and Irish citizens)
    Whether or not other countries do the same thing is strictly irrelevant. Sometimes (just sometimes) everyone else is wrong about something. The task is to decide on the merits of the case.
    But in this case they are not wrong and the reasons are clear. If someone is unwilling to take citizenship (and I would accept we need to make that a lot cheaper) then they are not making a commitment to the country. So why should they be able to vote on its future? Every other developed country seems to recognise this. I have yet to see any cogent argument against it.

    The counterargument is as I have stated downthread: that there are coherent reasons why you might want to preserve your foreign passport despite having made your life in this country. Not just the cost, but also the basis of being concerned about having the flexibility to visit family abroad at short notice without having to apply for a visa. Taking British citizenship can result in losing your other passport.
    We want the same thing: people who are allowed to vote should be the ones who have a stake in this country. I think your attitude towards those who live here but do not take citizenship is a little too unforgiving, possibly even a little paranoid about their motives. The passport is no reliable indicator of loyalty, the long pattern of living an sensible, ordinary life somewhere is a much better indicator in my view.
    Why are you so concerned with people potentially losing their other passport if you don't think a passport should confer any special rights?
    People need passports and, in some cases, visas or visa waivers to travel. If they have family in their birth country, they may be in a situation where they want to visit at short notice. That's a normal part of life, with ageing parents, siblings having children, friends' weddings etc.
    For some people, taking a British passport might complicate that and so they might decide it's better to keep hold of their other passport.

    I simply think that such a decision shouldn't be a bar to voting in the country where you live. I mean really, if you've got a long term job, 2 kids in the school, a gym membership, and you're running the local parkrun each weekend, are you really someone with no stake in this society?
    Yeah this is precisely where I am. There are a lot of people out there who perhaps have never lived overseas and don't have recent immigrant experience in their family history. But we live in a world of growing international mobility, and I think that democracies have to show some flexibility in terms of the franchise to ensure that fewer people fall into the taxation without representation trap simply because of the complexities of often competing citizenship frameworks.
    People also really need to break out of this mindset that somehow migration is inherently bad or threatening. The fact that even a child of immigrants like Suella Braverman can adopt this line of reasoning just illustrates what a strangely seductive mindset it is.
    The issue isn’t migration as such (apart from a small group). The issue is competition for scarce resources.

    Ordinary people saw wages held down, it was harder to get into local schools, the impossibility of GP appointments, council house waiting lists etc

    They not unreasonably made the connection between more people demanding services = more scarcity

    If governments had appropriately expanded *capacity* (not just increased spending) in public services then I think people would be more relaxed about immigration
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 8,496

    Cookie said:

    EU Commissioner Timmermans on the benefits of English as a lingua franca:

    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/SPEECH_23_2731

    By the way, this is the first time in human history that we have in Lingua Franca that is not just for the elites. For the first time in human history, we have a global Lingua Franca that transcends societal layers. Thanks to the internet, thanks to other developments, thanks to the predominance of Anglo-Saxon culture, English is an instrument for all. And this is the first time, in human history, that we have a true Lingua Franca for all: bad English.

    This is so true and in some respects it puts native English speakers at a disadvantage, especially non-Americans (because it is a limited vocabulary version of American English that is the global lingua franca). British English in particular has a lot of ideosyncratic phrases that are extremely confusing to Global Bad English speakers. And try speaking to a Global Bad English speaker in a regional accent.
    I would argue - though I am aware this is not what the article meant! - that the UK leads the world in Bad English.
    Specifically, today, people who say 'them' when they mean 'those'. Including the head of HR at our place. Ugh.
    If I ever get convicted for murder it will be because someone has said "yourself" to me when they mean "you".
    How about “you yourself”?

  • TresTres Posts: 2,724
    felix said:

    Tres said:

    What training does Braverman believe is required in order to pick fruit? Another Tory with no idea of the real word.

    All such jobs usually do require training as the are rarely so easy as they might seem. A lifetime ago I emptied dustbins - tough work and the training was a lifesaver. Maybe you need some idea about the real world yourself?
    On the job training you can do on your first morning on the job. How is that a barrier to recruitment?
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,558
    maxh said:

    O/T (apologies) anecdote alert:

    TL;DR - even if we dealt with all the myriad problems with the underfunding of our education system, it would still entrench disadvantage - here's how.

    I am lucky enough to run a mentoring system for kids in school who have been through the foster system. They're awesome, and the programme transforms lives. But some of them still fail exams unnecessarily.

    I had my final mentoring session with one student before his first maths exam on Friday. He could answer almost every question confidently on the foundation paper, and without a doubt deserves a grade 5. He has a fantastic work ethic and would make a good apprentice engineer.

    But he will almost certainly fail maths. Not because he doesn't know things, but because he has experienced sufficient early childhood trauma that when he feels stress his body floods with adrenalin and his brain goes into primate mode.

    I get that there isn't an easy alternative to our current exam system (although Canada seems to manage it) but if we have an education system that judges kids by their ability to produce knowledge under severe stress, we are entrenching disadvantage.

    Thanks for the work you do - it is vital.

    But life produces such stresses and strains. A differing anecdote: one of the calmest, nicest people I know was adopted. He is calm and doesn't get flustered by anything, and has done well in life. His adopted sister (from a different birth mother and father), is... less so. Same adoptive parents, different starts in life.

    I had a lot going on in my life when I was going through GCSE and A levels. I did well at my GCSEs, and horribly at my A-levels. That was my responsibility, not my circumstances - especially as I was in a worse state during my GCSE's than me A-levels...

    People are different. I am against qualifications being purely exam-based, but ability to perform under a little pressure is vital as well.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,489

    I can only think of one example where a party successfully managed to rig the deck, and that was Labour to devolution in Wales.

    I can't think of any other examples?

    I don't think PR would do it either. I think far too many Labour/Lib Dem establishment types think it would lock them in power forever, but it might just as easily open Pandora's Box.

    Scottish Parliament, albeit Labour + LDs in collusion (for an everlasting coalition).
  • RandallFlaggRandallFlagg Posts: 1,315
    Deltapoll
    @DeltapollUK
    ·
    39m
    🚨🚨New Voting Intention🚨🚨
    Labour lead is sixteen points in latest results from Deltapoll.
    Con 29% (+1)
    Lab 45% (-2)
    Lib Dem 12% (+3)
    Other 15% (-1)
    Fieldwork: 12th - 15th May 2023
    Sample: 1,511 GB adults
    (Changes from 5th-9th May 2023)
  • TimSTimS Posts: 13,228
    Boris or not (and I think not), I’m pretty sure

    Cookie said:

    EU Commissioner Timmermans on the benefits of English as a lingua franca:

    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/SPEECH_23_2731

    By the way, this is the first time in human history that we have in Lingua Franca that is not just for the elites. For the first time in human history, we have a global Lingua Franca that transcends societal layers. Thanks to the internet, thanks to other developments, thanks to the predominance of Anglo-Saxon culture, English is an instrument for all. And this is the first time, in human history, that we have a true Lingua Franca for all: bad English.

    This is so true and in some respects it puts native English speakers at a disadvantage, especially non-Americans (because it is a limited vocabulary version of American English that is the global lingua franca). British English in particular has a lot of ideosyncratic phrases that are extremely confusing to Global Bad English speakers. And try speaking to a Global Bad English speaker in a regional accent.
    I would argue - though I am aware this is not what the article meant! - that the UK leads the world in Bad English.
    Specifically, today, people who say 'them' when they mean 'those'. Including the head of HR at our place. Ugh.
    If I ever get convicted for murder it will be because someone has said "yourself" to me when they mean "you".
    How about “you yourself”?

    Not as bad as just “yourself”, which is a clumsy attempt at formality and also a little servile. Hate it.

    “Them” for those isn’t so bad because it is, I think, genuine dialect.

    As for Haitch though. Particular beloved of Haitch R managers.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,046
    Carnyx said:

    I can only think of one example where a party successfully managed to rig the deck, and that was Labour to devolution in Wales.

    I can't think of any other examples?

    I don't think PR would do it either. I think far too many Labour/Lib Dem establishment types think it would lock them in power forever, but it might just as easily open Pandora's Box.

    Scottish Parliament, albeit Labour + LDs in collusion (for an everlasting coalition).
    How'd that work out for them?
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,489
    RobD said:

    Carnyx said:

    I can only think of one example where a party successfully managed to rig the deck, and that was Labour to devolution in Wales.

    I can't think of any other examples?

    I don't think PR would do it either. I think far too many Labour/Lib Dem establishment types think it would lock them in power forever, but it might just as easily open Pandora's Box.

    Scottish Parliament, albeit Labour + LDs in collusion (for an everlasting coalition).
    How'd that work out for them?
    Pretty well to begin with. And who knows what will happen in the future?
  • RandallFlaggRandallFlagg Posts: 1,315
    Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    @RedfieldWilton
    ·
    1h
    Labour leads by 14%, up two points from last week.

    Westminster VI (14 May):

    Labour 42% (+1)
    Conservative 28% (-1)
    Liberal Democrat 11% (-5)
    Reform UK 8% (+3)
    Green 5% (+1)
    SNP 4% (+1)
    Other 2% (+1)

    Changes +/- 7 May
  • TimSTimS Posts: 13,228

    Deltapoll
    @DeltapollUK
    ·
    39m
    🚨🚨New Voting Intention🚨🚨
    Labour lead is sixteen points in latest results from Deltapoll.
    Con 29% (+1)
    Lab 45% (-2)
    Lib Dem 12% (+3)
    Other 15% (-1)
    Fieldwork: 12th - 15th May 2023
    Sample: 1,511 GB adults
    (Changes from 5th-9th May 2023)

    Bloody annoying how they lump together others making an LLG to RefCon comparison impossible unless you delve into the details. Still it looks like LLG of at least 60 unless the Greens have bombed.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,353
    edited May 2023
    TimS said:

    Boris or not (and I think not), I’m pretty sure

    Cookie said:

    EU Commissioner Timmermans on the benefits of English as a lingua franca:

    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/SPEECH_23_2731

    By the way, this is the first time in human history that we have in Lingua Franca that is not just for the elites. For the first time in human history, we have a global Lingua Franca that transcends societal layers. Thanks to the internet, thanks to other developments, thanks to the predominance of Anglo-Saxon culture, English is an instrument for all. And this is the first time, in human history, that we have a true Lingua Franca for all: bad English.

    This is so true and in some respects it puts native English speakers at a disadvantage, especially non-Americans (because it is a limited vocabulary version of American English that is the global lingua franca). British English in particular has a lot of ideosyncratic phrases that are extremely confusing to Global Bad English speakers. And try speaking to a Global Bad English speaker in a regional accent.
    I would argue - though I am aware this is not what the article meant! - that the UK leads the world in Bad English.
    Specifically, today, people who say 'them' when they mean 'those'. Including the head of HR at our place. Ugh.
    If I ever get convicted for murder it will be because someone has said "yourself" to me when they mean "you".
    How about “you yourself”?

    Not as bad as just “yourself”, which is a clumsy attempt at formality and also a little servile. Hate it.

    “Them” for those isn’t so bad because it is, I think, genuine dialect.

    As for Haitch though. Particular beloved of Haitch R managers.
    Presumably ChatGPT can produce unlimited content in the style of an estate agent.
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 10,924

    TimS said:

    Boris or not (and I think not), I’m pretty sure

    Cookie said:

    EU Commissioner Timmermans on the benefits of English as a lingua franca:

    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/SPEECH_23_2731

    By the way, this is the first time in human history that we have in Lingua Franca that is not just for the elites. For the first time in human history, we have a global Lingua Franca that transcends societal layers. Thanks to the internet, thanks to other developments, thanks to the predominance of Anglo-Saxon culture, English is an instrument for all. And this is the first time, in human history, that we have a true Lingua Franca for all: bad English.

    This is so true and in some respects it puts native English speakers at a disadvantage, especially non-Americans (because it is a limited vocabulary version of American English that is the global lingua franca). British English in particular has a lot of ideosyncratic phrases that are extremely confusing to Global Bad English speakers. And try speaking to a Global Bad English speaker in a regional accent.
    I would argue - though I am aware this is not what the article meant! - that the UK leads the world in Bad English.
    Specifically, today, people who say 'them' when they mean 'those'. Including the head of HR at our place. Ugh.
    If I ever get convicted for murder it will be because someone has said "yourself" to me when they mean "you".
    How about “you yourself”?

    Not as bad as just “yourself”, which is a clumsy attempt at formality and also a little servile. Hate it.

    “Them” for those isn’t so bad because it is, I think, genuine dialect.

    As for Haitch though. Particular beloved of Haitch R managers.
    Presumably ChatGPT can produce unlimited content in the style of an estate agent.
    It's not that bad!
  • TimSTimS Posts: 13,228

    Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    @RedfieldWilton
    ·
    1h
    Labour leads by 14%, up two points from last week.

    Westminster VI (14 May):

    Labour 42% (+1)
    Conservative 28% (-1)
    Liberal Democrat 11% (-5)
    Reform UK 8% (+3)
    Green 5% (+1)
    SNP 4% (+1)
    Other 2% (+1)

    Changes +/- 7 May

    LLG 58%, down 3 points. RefCon up 2.
  • RandallFlaggRandallFlagg Posts: 1,315
    edited May 2023
    In respect to the infamous Scottish subsample, Labour have a lead of 10 with Deltapoll, while the SNP lead by 8 with R&W.
  • RandallFlaggRandallFlagg Posts: 1,315
    J
    @Beyond_Topline
    ·
    43m
    Sunak now at -16 with Deltapoll. Starmer's ratings back to where they were pre-Locals, too.

    In-line with Opinium (-19) and Omnisis (-14) who also show Sunak's ratings significantly down.

    Meanwhile, R&W have Sunak on, erm, the best ratings he's had this year.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,777
    Andy_JS said:

    "Braverman's immigration speech interrupted by protesters after Rees-Mogg heckled on stage

    Mr Rees-Mogg was moments into his speech when a protester warned of 'facism' before being hauled off stage by security."

    https://news.sky.com/story/jacob-rees-mogg-protester-storms-stage-during-speech-to-warn-of-fascism-12881437

    She handled that well.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,777
    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Foss said:

    Farooq said:

    I can only think of one example where a party successfully managed to rig the deck, and that was Labour to devolution in Wales.

    I can't think of any other examples?

    I don't think PR would do it either. I think far too many Labour/Lib Dem establishment types think it would lock them in power forever, but it might just as easily open Pandora's Box.

    "establishment types"
    It's not unreasonable to suggest that PR might lead to an Alternative-for-Bolsover type of group and a Neo-Respect - both of which would draw at least some support from traditional Labour blocks.
    Sure, let the big parties fragment.
    I'm just wondering to what extent you can call a party that hasn't led a government for 13 years, and another party that hasn't led a government for a hundred years, "establishment types".
    It doesn't get much more establishment than being a member of the privy council.
    Right, ok then, so everybody is the establishment. Nadine Dorries, Angela Rayner, everyone. I guess Sinn Fein are the only ones to vote for if you don't like that.
    I said it with a small "e" - it's a sign of bubble thinking where you think everyone else thinks precisely the same way you do.

    Be careful what you wish for.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,777

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    The nationalist Tory right currently planning for a decade in opposition in the full glare of publicity really is quite a thing, isn't it? Who on earth inside the Tory party is in a position to stop them, though?

    Not necessarily guaranteed the Nationalist right will be in opposition for ten years is it? Look who has won the most recent elections for the right in the western world. Trump, Meloni, Johnson, Morrison, Netanyahu and Le Pen got closer than many expected in 2022. In Sweden and Finland and Austria too the centre right only won with the support of a Nationalist right party.

    Indeed since Trump won in 2016 only in Greece and Ireland have mainstream parties of the centre right in the West won a general election outright on a non Nationalist platform and in Ireland that was technically a coalition of FF and FG with SF winning most votes and seats

    There is no viable Nationalist Right other than the Tories in the UK. Nor will there be, at least until the Tories are thoroughly broken. And the rogues gallery you listed of Nationalist right leaders are only in that position because of decades of building support so that they were ready to take advantage of circumstance - with the possible exception of Trump but even he relied upon decades old organsiations and movements on the fringes of politcis.

    The UK doesn't really do Nationalist right. Just as it doesn't really do true solcialist left. And I for one am content with that.
    For now. With PR RefUK would win 50-100 seats. Remember in 2015 even under FPTP UKIP got 13%.

    Having said that a new Corbynite Left Party would also win 50-100 seats under PR.

    The UK only doesn't really do nationalist right and socialist left (with the brief exceptions of Johnson and Corbyn becoming Tory and Labour leaders) due to FPTP. Under PR a sixth to a third of MPs+ would always be from the Nationalist right or socialist left
    In 2015, under PR, the Tories + UKIP had an absolute majority of the vote, and so that's the Government we would have got.
    Well, if that looked likely in the run-up to the election it might have pushed some centrist Tori voters into voting Lib Dem instead.

    It's a mistake to read across vote shares from our FPTP GEs and predict PR election results on that basis. I know the Electoral Reform Society do that for every GE and I tend to think - what's the point?

    The greatest advantage of a non-FPTP system is precisely that it gives voters better choices then they have with FPTP, and so I'd hope that voters would use those choices to vote differently (though I'm not naive enough to think that they'd vote in a way that made me happy, given that one of my local TDs in Ireland is a complete bell-end by the name of Michael Collins).
    That's possible, and of course the opposite is true - UKIP votes might have increased under PR, and not necessarily at the expense of the Tories. Labour could have edged down further.

    The point is that right-wing coalitions will emerge just as often as left-wing ones do.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,650
    Andy_JS said:

    Heathener said:

    Spent the day hiking on Dartmoor after working the weekend. Bliss.

    There is only one Conservative I fear fighting against at the next General Election and his name is Boris Johnson.

    The guy is a shit but that's part of the point.

    Anyone other than him, it's a Labour landslide.

    I have a suspicion Johnson will replace Sunak in the next 12 months if the polls continue to show a 15 to 20 point Labour lead.
    The switcheroo is becoming inevitable isn’t it. It’s 2019 all over again.

    Even “Labour landslide nailed on” Heathener is now qualifying it with “except if Boris Johnson is leader.”

    When all that’s left (the moment will be after Sunak’s damp squib of a party conference) is to press the Black Swan button, of course they will press the button.

    The problem Labour and Lib Dem PBers have, quite simply, in their hatred of Boris they don’t understand how or why he appeals. The cold water to chuck in their faces, the hint, is it’s got nothing to do with the real Boris Johnson. It’s to do with how he is imagined. Like Mrs Moore in the passage to India. Or like the anti democracy bloodthirsty psychopath Oliver Cromwell, who people think was a good guy and happy to use the b******* as their avatar. Or people thinking Thomas Moor was the nice bloke in that play.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,046
    Carnyx said:

    RobD said:

    Carnyx said:

    I can only think of one example where a party successfully managed to rig the deck, and that was Labour to devolution in Wales.

    I can't think of any other examples?

    I don't think PR would do it either. I think far too many Labour/Lib Dem establishment types think it would lock them in power forever, but it might just as easily open Pandora's Box.

    Scottish Parliament, albeit Labour + LDs in collusion (for an everlasting coalition).
    How'd that work out for them?
    Pretty well to begin with. And who knows what will happen in the future?
    But not now, so I don't think you can describe it as successfully rigging the deck.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 72,396
    Freedom of speech seems to be the topic of the day.

    Article in the New Yorker by the fine legal commentator Jeannie Suk Gersen:
    My piece on defamation and democracy, in this week's
    @NewYorker , asks whether we can do better than NYT v. Sullvan, and better hold liars to account, for the sake of our democracy. https://newyorker.com/magazine/2023/05/22/the-dark-side-of-defamation-law. I know, not a popular opinion among journalists, but hear me out.

    https://twitter.com/JeannieSGersen/status/1657508191477825537

    FWIW, I like the US attitude towards a fairly maximalist view of free speech, but I agree with her conclusion that the "actual malice" standard could do with re-examining.
  • pm215pm215 Posts: 1,168
    TimS said:

    Deltapoll
    @DeltapollUK
    ·
    39m
    🚨🚨New Voting Intention🚨🚨
    Labour lead is sixteen points in latest results from Deltapoll.
    Con 29% (+1)
    Lab 45% (-2)
    Lib Dem 12% (+3)
    Other 15% (-1)
    Fieldwork: 12th - 15th May 2023
    Sample: 1,511 GB adults
    (Changes from 5th-9th May 2023)

    Bloody annoying how they lump together others making an LLG to RefCon comparison impossible unless you delve into the details. Still it looks like LLG of at least 60 unless the Greens have bombed.
    I'm pretty sure the Greens are against the bomb...
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,777
    How is Joe Biden still available at 1.33?

    Seriously tempted to drop a big one on that.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,592

    Andy_JS said:

    Heathener said:

    Spent the day hiking on Dartmoor after working the weekend. Bliss.

    There is only one Conservative I fear fighting against at the next General Election and his name is Boris Johnson.

    The guy is a shit but that's part of the point.

    Anyone other than him, it's a Labour landslide.

    I have a suspicion Johnson will replace Sunak in the next 12 months if the polls continue to show a 15 to 20 point Labour lead.
    The switcheroo is becoming inevitable isn’t it. It’s 2019 all over again.

    Even “Labour landslide nailed on” Heathener is now qualifying it with “except if Boris Johnson is leader.”

    When all that’s left (the moment will be after Sunak’s damp squib of a party conference) is to press the Black Swan button, of course they will press the button.

    The problem Labour and Lib Dem PBers have, quite simply, in their hatred of Boris they don’t understand how or why he appeals. The cold water to chuck in their faces, the hint, is it’s got nothing to do with the real Boris Johnson. It’s to do with how he is imagined. Like Mrs Moore in the passage to India. Or like the anti democracy bloodthirsty psychopath Oliver Cromwell, who people think was a good guy and happy to use the b******* as their avatar. Or people thinking Thomas Moor was the nice bloke in that play.
    My dislike of Bozo is that he's a lying crook with less morals than an alley cat on heat.

    But I don't think it's worth thinking about him until the Standards committee recommend their punishment and the Tory party is forced to make a painful decision.

  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,650
    edited May 2023

    Andy_JS said:

    "Braverman's immigration speech interrupted by protesters after Rees-Mogg heckled on stage

    Mr Rees-Mogg was moments into his speech when a protester warned of 'facism' before being hauled off stage by security."

    https://news.sky.com/story/jacob-rees-mogg-protester-storms-stage-during-speech-to-warn-of-fascism-12881437

    She handled that well.
    “Right… Anyone else?” 🙂

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H_fbASHIMJc
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,650

    Andy_JS said:

    "Braverman's immigration speech interrupted by protesters after Rees-Mogg heckled on stage

    Mr Rees-Mogg was moments into his speech when a protester warned of 'facism' before being hauled off stage by security."

    https://news.sky.com/story/jacob-rees-mogg-protester-storms-stage-during-speech-to-warn-of-fascism-12881437

    She handled that well.
    “Right… Anyone else?” 🙂
    Will be interesting to see how her naked pitch for the Tory leadership is greeted in the Tory press tomorrow.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,180
    edited May 2023

    So with JRM admitting the voter ID change was a voter suppression thing, I wouldn't be surprised to see the police launch a criminal investigation into Sunak, Johnson et al.

    The snivelling little shits that defended this should reflect on their Trumpesque like behaviour.

    Deploy the tent!



  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,777
    Boris Johnson isn't coming back.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,025

    Boris Johnson isn't coming back.

    He and his supporters think he is.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,975

    So with JRM admitting the voter ID change was a voter suppression thing, I wouldn't be surprised to see the police launch a criminal investigation into Sunak, Johnson et al.

    The snivelling little shits that defended this should reflect on their Trumpesque like behaviour.

    Can we have a big old thread header on this massive scandal please?

    This should be enormous but PBers seem more outraged that Starmer has suggested a review to widen voter participation. Maybe it's for party gain, maybe not.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,025

    So with JRM admitting the voter ID change was a voter suppression thing, I wouldn't be surprised to see the police launch a criminal investigation into Sunak, Johnson et al.

    The snivelling little shits that defended this should reflect on their Trumpesque like behaviour.

    Can we have a big old thread header on this massive scandal please?

    This should be enormous but PBers seem more outraged that Starmer has suggested a review to widen voter participation. Maybe it's for party gain, maybe not.
    I'm sure Mike will publish one, I'm sure the PBers that told Mike he was wrong on this topic will be eager to apologise to him.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,650
    HYUFD said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Braverman's immigration speech interrupted by protesters after Rees-Mogg heckled on stage

    Mr Rees-Mogg was moments into his speech when a protester warned of 'facism' before being hauled off stage by security."

    https://news.sky.com/story/jacob-rees-mogg-protester-storms-stage-during-speech-to-warn-of-fascism-12881437

    Jacob still called him 'a jolly good fellow' and said 'we believe in freedom of speech'. Well handled Jacob!

    Braverman less quick with any riposte as her protestors were booed and carried out of the hall
    Nonsense. Have you not seen it? Braverman was just like Lady Thatcher how she dealt with it.
This discussion has been closed.