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Memo to the “Bring Back Boris” brigade – politicalbetting.com

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  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,176

    Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    @RedfieldWilton
    ·
    1h
    Labour leads by 14%, up two points from last week.

    Westminster VI (14 May):

    Labour 42% (+1)
    Conservative 28% (-1)
    Liberal Democrat 11% (-5)
    Reform UK 8% (+3)
    Green 5% (+1)
    SNP 4% (+1)
    Other 2% (+1)

    Changes +/- 7 May

    Broken, sleazy Tories and LibDems on the slide!
  • maxhmaxh Posts: 1,338

    maxh said:

    O/T (apologies) anecdote alert:

    TL;DR - even if we dealt with all the myriad problems with the underfunding of our education system, it would still entrench disadvantage - here's how.

    I am lucky enough to run a mentoring system for kids in school who have been through the foster system. They're awesome, and the programme transforms lives. But some of them still fail exams unnecessarily.

    I had my final mentoring session with one student before his first maths exam on Friday. He could answer almost every question confidently on the foundation paper, and without a doubt deserves a grade 5. He has a fantastic work ethic and would make a good apprentice engineer.

    But he will almost certainly fail maths. Not because he doesn't know things, but because he has experienced sufficient early childhood trauma that when he feels stress his body floods with adrenalin and his brain goes into primate mode.

    I get that there isn't an easy alternative to our current exam system (although Canada seems to manage it) but if we have an education system that judges kids by their ability to produce knowledge under severe stress, we are entrenching disadvantage.

    Thanks for the work you do - it is vital.

    But life produces such stresses and strains. A differing anecdote: one of the calmest, nicest people I know was adopted. He is calm and doesn't get flustered by anything, and has done well in life. His adopted sister (from a different birth mother and father), is... less so. Same adoptive parents, different starts in life.

    I had a lot going on in my life when I was going through GCSE and A levels. I did well at my GCSEs, and horribly at my A-levels. That was my responsibility, not my circumstances - especially as I was in a worse state during my GCSE's than me A-levels...

    People are different. I am against qualifications being purely exam-based, but ability to perform under a little pressure is vital as well.
    I agree with all you say - and reflecting on your and others' replies I'm not sure my original post was that clear.

    It's not that any form of stress causes him to lose the ability to perform. It's the particular form of stress that exams create. He is just an extreme example of what many kids experience - he just says his mind goes blank; he knows that he knows how to e.g. factorise a quadratic, but he can't access that info in the moment.

    Of course that is a weakness, but it shouldn't be one that bars him from a whole range of life choices after a set of exams at 16.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,777
    On voting rights, I'd say what's in the long-term interests of the Conservative and Labour parties on Commonwealth and EU voters, respectively, is probably precisely the other way round.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,688
    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ...

    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @jonsopel

    Don’t want to go over the top, but this is absolutely jaw-dropping. Someone who was in the cabinet when legislation on voter ID was agreed and went through parliament acknowledges it WAS an attempt to gerrymander the elections

    https://twitter.com/jonsopel/status/1658076536350601216

    Said at the conference of loons.
    Which appears to be taking some of its themes from the US right.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2023/may/15/low-birthrate-is-uk-top-priority-tory-mp-tells-rightwing-conference-miriam-cates
    ...The UK’s low birthrate is the most pressing policy issue of the generation and is caused in part by “cultural Marxism” stripping young people of any hope, a Conservative MP has argued at the start of a populist-tinged conference in London.

    Addressing the National Conservatism gathering, run by a US-based thinktank, Miriam Cates said western countries faced an existential threat from falling reproduction..
    The whole purpose of this well funded conference is to import the craziness of the US right into UK politics. See also recent attempts to rig the franchise (which a former Tory cabinet minister has admitted was gerrymandering). The Tories are utterly toxic now.
    Yes, falling birth rates in the West have long been a preoccupation of the US hard-Right. I don't know if the reason they give for this concern - Christian white folk being outbred by the Muslims - was made explicit on this occasion.
    More a case of atheist white folk being outbred by Muslims, Christian evangelicals also have lots of children and Catholics used to have more too
    Dear, oh Lord!

    Atheists, go forth and multiply.
    Outside of a few small groups (like Ultra Orthodox Jews) there is bugger all correlation between religiosity and TFR.

    Italy, for example, is way more religious than the UK (73% say religion is important vs 25% in the UK), and yet has a much worse TFR.
    You clearly did not read any of the links I posted which ALL showed that the religious have a much higher birthrate than the non religious.
    https://www.oeaw.ac.at/en/news/religious-people-have-more-children
    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/religious-belief-makes-you-have-more-children-gttxqqxvx
    https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/bering-in-mind/gods-little-rabbits-religious-people-out-reproduce-secular-ones-by-a-landslide/

    In Italy the most religious are pensioners, so obviously irrelevant to birthrate. The point is only relevant to those aged 16-45
    So, those religious pensioners gave birth to non religious folk*?

    * While younger, obviously
    'Data from around 34,000 people between the ages of 18 and 45 from eight European countries – Austria, France, the Netherlands, Sweden, Poland, Russia, Bulgaria, and Georgia – were evaluated in this longitudinal study..Religion still plays a central role in family planning today, as the results suggest. "Our study confirms that practicing Christians, i.e., those who regularly attend church services, want and actually have more children than nominal Christians and non-religious people," says OeAW demographer Isabella Buber-Ennser.

    An example of this: in Austria, practicing Christians between the ages of 20 and 29 stated that they would like two to three children. The 35- to 44-year-old practicing Christian women then had an average of two children (1.8). In comparison, for women without a religion, the desired number of children in the age group 20 to 29 was two children (1.9) and the age group 35 to 44 then only had one child (0.9).

    Although the data differ from country to country, the general trend is similar: in the eight countries examined, practicing Christian women in the 20 to 29 age group want an average of 2.5 children, and the 35- to 44-year-olds have an average of two. On the other hand, those who do not have a denomination only want two children and have an average of 1.5 children.'
    https://www.oeaw.ac.at/en/news/religious-people-have-more-children

    “In the past 15 years there has been an increasing effort to explain the evolution of religiousness,” said Janko Međedović, writing in the Journal of Biosocial Science..He looked at 461 parents of psychology students at Singidunum University in the Serbian capital, Belgrade, and asked them how many children they had and also how many they had planned to have when they were young adults.

    The more religious the parents were the more children they originally desired and the more they ended up having — and the effect was particularly marked among men. In 2016, a review of census data from almost 4 million women in 32 countries found that those who were religious were less likely to be childless.'
    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/religious-belief-makes-you-have-more-children-gttxqqxvx

    'Even flailing religious denominations placing their emphasis on converting outsiders, such as Yehova’s witnesses, are out-reproducing nonreligious mothers. Hindus (2.79 births per woman), Muslims (2.44), and Jews (2.06), meanwhile, are prolific producers of human beings. Nonreligious Swiss mothers bear a measly 1.11 children.'
    https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/bering-in-mind/gods-little-rabbits-religious-people-out-reproduce-secular-ones-by-a-landslide/
    To repeat my question,

    So, those religious pensioners gave birth to non religious folk*?

    * While younger, obviously
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 12,913
    edited May 2023
    TimS said:

    Boris or not (and I think not), I’m pretty sure

    Cookie said:

    EU Commissioner Timmermans on the benefits of English as a lingua franca:

    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/SPEECH_23_2731

    By the way, this is the first time in human history that we have in Lingua Franca that is not just for the elites. For the first time in human history, we have a global Lingua Franca that transcends societal layers. Thanks to the internet, thanks to other developments, thanks to the predominance of Anglo-Saxon culture, English is an instrument for all. And this is the first time, in human history, that we have a true Lingua Franca for all: bad English.

    This is so true and in some respects it puts native English speakers at a disadvantage, especially non-Americans (because it is a limited vocabulary version of American English that is the global lingua franca). British English in particular has a lot of ideosyncratic phrases that are extremely confusing to Global Bad English speakers. And try speaking to a Global Bad English speaker in a regional accent.
    I would argue - though I am aware this is not what the article meant! - that the UK leads the world in Bad English.
    Specifically, today, people who say 'them' when they mean 'those'. Including the head of HR at our place. Ugh.
    If I ever get convicted for murder it will be because someone has said "yourself" to me when they mean "you".
    How about “you yourself”?

    Not as bad as just “yourself”, which is a clumsy attempt at formality and also a little servile. Hate it.

    “Them” for those isn’t so bad because it is, I think, genuine dialect.

    As for Haitch though. Particular beloved of Haitch R managers.
    "I had went to them shops, thems were barie but then I had to gan yam to me mam's" is perfectly good English, still to be heard.

  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,025
    England’s selectors have discussed the idea of Ben Stokes opening the batting in the Ashes amid fresh concerns over his fitness to bowl in this summer’s Test matches.

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/ben-stokess-bowling-struggles-renew-ashes-injury-fears-flxb5rqph
  • maxhmaxh Posts: 1,338
    Andy_JS said:

    "Braverman's immigration speech interrupted by protesters after Rees-Mogg heckled on stage

    Mr Rees-Mogg was moments into his speech when a protester warned of 'facism' before being hauled off stage by security."

    https://news.sky.com/story/jacob-rees-mogg-protester-storms-stage-during-speech-to-warn-of-fascism-12881437

    I mean, if you choose to call your conference 'National Conservatism' it does rather echo another 'National ...ism' that isn't quite the best look for Braverman et al. right now.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 23,156

    On voting rights, I'd say what's in the long-term interests of the Conservative and Labour parties on Commonwealth and EU voters, respectively, is probably precisely the other way round.

    I'd imagine EU, Commonwealth, or other nationals, who have been here 10 years and paying taxes, who live in constituency X will be pretty closely aligned with the existing electorate of constituency X. So the ones in London might be metropolitan city liberal/lefty types and the ones in Wiltshire more rural and conservative.

    It won't change many Westminster seats at all, none is a runner.

  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,951
    edited May 2023

    Boris Johnson isn't coming back.

    If the current miserable excuse for a Prime Minister was doing a half tolerable job, nobody would be discussing it. As he isn't, hope of some sort of intervention springs eternal.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,225

    England’s selectors have discussed the idea of Ben Stokes opening the batting in the Ashes amid fresh concerns over his fitness to bowl in this summer’s Test matches.

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/ben-stokess-bowling-struggles-renew-ashes-injury-fears-flxb5rqph

    I have a ticket for the first day at Lord's. I'm praying for no rain and for England to bat first.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,137
    edited May 2023
    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ...

    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @jonsopel

    Don’t want to go over the top, but this is absolutely jaw-dropping. Someone who was in the cabinet when legislation on voter ID was agreed and went through parliament acknowledges it WAS an attempt to gerrymander the elections

    https://twitter.com/jonsopel/status/1658076536350601216

    Said at the conference of loons.
    Which appears to be taking some of its themes from the US right.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2023/may/15/low-birthrate-is-uk-top-priority-tory-mp-tells-rightwing-conference-miriam-cates
    ...The UK’s low birthrate is the most pressing policy issue of the generation and is caused in part by “cultural Marxism” stripping young people of any hope, a Conservative MP has argued at the start of a populist-tinged conference in London.

    Addressing the National Conservatism gathering, run by a US-based thinktank, Miriam Cates said western countries faced an existential threat from falling reproduction..
    The whole purpose of this well funded conference is to import the craziness of the US right into UK politics. See also recent attempts to rig the franchise (which a former Tory cabinet minister has admitted was gerrymandering). The Tories are utterly toxic now.
    Yes, falling birth rates in the West have long been a preoccupation of the US hard-Right. I don't know if the reason they give for this concern - Christian white folk being outbred by the Muslims - was made explicit on this occasion.
    More a case of atheist white folk being outbred by Muslims, Christian evangelicals also have lots of children and Catholics used to have more too
    Dear, oh Lord!

    Atheists, go forth and multiply.
    Outside of a few small groups (like Ultra Orthodox Jews) there is bugger all correlation between religiosity and TFR.

    Italy, for example, is way more religious than the UK (73% say religion is important vs 25% in the UK), and yet has a much worse TFR.
    You clearly did not read any of the links I posted which ALL showed that the religious have a much higher birthrate than the non religious.
    https://www.oeaw.ac.at/en/news/religious-people-have-more-children
    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/religious-belief-makes-you-have-more-children-gttxqqxvx
    https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/bering-in-mind/gods-little-rabbits-religious-people-out-reproduce-secular-ones-by-a-landslide/

    In Italy the most religious are pensioners, so obviously irrelevant to birthrate. The point is only relevant to those aged 16-45
    So, those religious pensioners gave birth to non religious folk*?

    * While younger, obviously
    'Data from around 34,000 people between the ages of 18 and 45 from eight European countries – Austria, France, the Netherlands, Sweden, Poland, Russia, Bulgaria, and Georgia – were evaluated in this longitudinal study..Religion still plays a central role in family planning today, as the results suggest. "Our study confirms that practicing Christians, i.e., those who regularly attend church services, want and actually have more children than nominal Christians and non-religious people," says OeAW demographer Isabella Buber-Ennser.

    An example of this: in Austria, practicing Christians between the ages of 20 and 29 stated that they would like two to three children. The 35- to 44-year-old practicing Christian women then had an average of two children (1.8). In comparison, for women without a religion, the desired number of children in the age group 20 to 29 was two children (1.9) and the age group 35 to 44 then only had one child (0.9).

    Although the data differ from country to country, the general trend is similar: in the eight countries examined, practicing Christian women in the 20 to 29 age group want an average of 2.5 children, and the 35- to 44-year-olds have an average of two. On the other hand, those who do not have a denomination only want two children and have an average of 1.5 children.'
    https://www.oeaw.ac.at/en/news/religious-people-have-more-children

    “In the past 15 years there has been an increasing effort to explain the evolution of religiousness,” said Janko Međedović, writing in the Journal of Biosocial Science..He looked at 461 parents of psychology students at Singidunum University in the Serbian capital, Belgrade, and asked them how many children they had and also how many they had planned to have when they were young adults.

    The more religious the parents were the more children they originally desired and the more they ended up having — and the effect was particularly marked among men. In 2016, a review of census data from almost 4 million women in 32 countries found that those who were religious were less likely to be childless.'
    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/religious-belief-makes-you-have-more-children-gttxqqxvx

    'Even flailing religious denominations placing their emphasis on converting outsiders, such as Yehova’s witnesses, are out-reproducing nonreligious mothers. Hindus (2.79 births per woman), Muslims (2.44), and Jews (2.06), meanwhile, are prolific producers of human beings. Nonreligious Swiss mothers bear a measly 1.11 children.'
    https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/bering-in-mind/gods-little-rabbits-religious-people-out-reproduce-secular-ones-by-a-landslide/
    To repeat my question,

    So, those religious pensioners gave birth to non religious folk*?

    * While younger, obviously
    Quite possibly, as the younger population in Italy is less Roman Catholic than the older population Italy's birthrate too is in decline.

    Whatever the results as the studies I showed above demonstrate atheists have a lower birthrate than Christians, Hindus, Muslims and Jews, especially those who actively worship and practice their faith
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,650

    Good afternoon

    Re Starmer's proposals on EU citizens, I do believe that anyone living here with settled status and paying tax should be entitled to vote

    However, I also believe that this is a mistep by Starmer as well as his proposals for votes for 16 and 17 year olds

    In the next fortnight the UK immigration figures for this year are due out and reportedly will be near one million, no doubt largely from Ukraine, Hong Kong, and Afghanistan which is a huge number

    Braverman ( no I do not like her) in a speech today apparently attacked this level of immigration and also Starmer

    The red wall and others will not be impressed with this high level of immigration, and add into the mix that Starmer is wanting to give votes to upto 5 million EU citizens then you can see a big row over immigration on the horizon

    Obviously the Tories are planning to be active the day the migration figures are published - no one has said what the day is, can the government control the timing for Friday afternoon before whitsun holidays? They are obviously going to distract from the bad news with something.

    I reckon if they put a plane in the air to Rwanda the day the immigration figures come out, the Tories will go up in the following polls. Imagine the front pages if Braverman can get a plane in the air to Rwanda the day the immigration figures come out.
  • RandallFlaggRandallFlagg Posts: 1,315

    Boris Johnson isn't coming back.

    He and his supporters think he is.
    Any gossip on how many letters Brady may have received?
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,025

    Boris Johnson isn't coming back.

    He and his supporters think he is.
    Any gossip on how many letters Brady may have received?
    Sir Graham isn't accepting letters until the end of October.

    As Truss and Johnson found out, you don't need letters to be ousted.
  • RandallFlaggRandallFlagg Posts: 1,315
    There's also the matter of how Mad Nad, JRM etc. convince 180 odd MPs to no confidence Rishi even if they manage to get enough letters in...
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,025

    There's also the matter of how Mad Nad, JRM etc. convince 180 odd MPs to no confidence Rishi even if they manage to get enough letters in...

    Keep on pointing Sunak is a loser.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,025
    tlg86 said:

    England’s selectors have discussed the idea of Ben Stokes opening the batting in the Ashes amid fresh concerns over his fitness to bowl in this summer’s Test matches.

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/ben-stokess-bowling-struggles-renew-ashes-injury-fears-flxb5rqph

    I have a ticket for the first day at Lord's. I'm praying for no rain and for England to bat first.
    Fingers crossed for you. England to be 600/1 at stumps on Day 1.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,975

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Good afternoon

    Re Starmer's proposals on EU citizens, I do believe that anyone living here with settled status and paying tax should be entitled to vote

    However, I also believe that this is a mistep by Starmer as well as his proposals for votes for 16 and 17 year olds

    In the next fortnight the UK immigration figures for this year are due out and reportedly will be near one million, no doubt largely from Ukraine, Hong Kong, and Afghanistan which is a huge number

    Braverman ( no I do not like her) in a speech today apparently attacked this level of immigration and also Starmer

    The red wall and others will not be impressed with this high level of immigration, and add into the mix that Starmer is wanting to give votes to upto 5 million EU citizens then you can see a big row over immigration on the horizon

    Again I have to ask why you believe that we should be the one exception amongst first world countries in allowing non citizens to vote in our national elections? In fact we should be moving the other way and removing the franchise from the anomolies (Commonwealth and Irish citizens)
    Whether or not other countries do the same thing is strictly irrelevant. Sometimes (just sometimes) everyone else is wrong about something. The task is to decide on the merits of the case.
    But in this case they are not wrong and the reasons are clear. If someone is unwilling to take citizenship (and I would accept we need to make that a lot cheaper) then they are not making a commitment to the country. So why should they be able to vote on its future? Every other developed country seems to recognise this. I have yet to see any cogent argument against it.

    The counterargument is as I have stated downthread: that there are coherent reasons why you might want to preserve your foreign passport despite having made your life in this country. Not just the cost, but also the basis of being concerned about having the flexibility to visit family abroad at short notice without having to apply for a visa. Taking British citizenship can result in losing your other passport.
    We want the same thing: people who are allowed to vote should be the ones who have a stake in this country. I think your attitude towards those who live here but do not take citizenship is a little too unforgiving, possibly even a little paranoid about their motives. The passport is no reliable indicator of loyalty, the long pattern of living an sensible, ordinary life somewhere is a much better indicator in my view.
    Why are you so concerned with people potentially losing their other passport if you don't think a passport should confer any special rights?
    People need passports and, in some cases, visas or visa waivers to travel. If they have family in their birth country, they may be in a situation where they want to visit at short notice. That's a normal part of life, with ageing parents, siblings having children, friends' weddings etc.
    For some people, taking a British passport might complicate that and so they might decide it's better to keep hold of their other passport.

    I simply think that such a decision shouldn't be a bar to voting in the country where you live. I mean really, if you've got a long term job, 2 kids in the school, a gym membership, and you're running the local parkrun each weekend, are you really someone with no stake in this society?
    Yeah this is precisely where I am. There are a lot of people out there who perhaps have never lived overseas and don't have recent immigrant experience in their family history. But we live in a world of growing international mobility, and I think that democracies have to show some flexibility in terms of the franchise to ensure that fewer people fall into the taxation without representation trap simply because of the complexities of often competing citizenship frameworks.
    People also really need to break out of this mindset that somehow migration is inherently bad or threatening. The fact that even a child of immigrants like Suella Braverman can adopt this line of reasoning just illustrates what a strangely seductive mindset it is.
    Migration is certainly not bad or threatening. But when migrants settle somewhere they should take citizenship of the country in which they settle. At least if they want to take part in the democratic process of that country.

    And millions of people fall into the taxation without representation trap as you call it. They do so without even living in the country tacxing them. I worked on and off for 15 years in Norway and paid Norwegian taxes. But there was no way in a million years Norway was going to let me vote in their elections. Nor did I expect them to. I was there to do a job and then go home. Even if I kept going back for 15 years.
    Although you and I are diametrically opposed politically I read your views with interest. I am surprised you are so alarmed by a discussion about the extension of the franchise, which let's face it is as we speak no more than a discussion, yet seen relatively comfortable with ID cards introduced in order to facilitate what has now been busted as a cast iron voter suppression attempt. I am surprised
    No you have me wrong. I was vehemently opposed to ID cards for voting (and indeed ID cards in any form that demands presentation to the authorities). I posted at length about it in the run up to the locals. It was a clear what the reasons were for it and that it was an abuse of power.
    Fair enough. My point was clumsy. You have always been David Davis like in your opposition to compulsory ID cards. I meant the requirement for ID in order to vote. You have countered my point clearly and concisely.
  • RandallFlaggRandallFlagg Posts: 1,315

    There's also the matter of how Mad Nad, JRM etc. convince 180 odd MPs to no confidence Rishi even if they manage to get enough letters in...

    Keep on pointing Sunak is a loser.
    If the alternative is Boris though...
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,688
    maxh said:



    Nigelb said:

    maxh - A few years ago, I read about a heart medicine -- that was being used (off label) by a few symphony musicians because if kept them calm during performances. It's been a while, so I can't think of the name of the medicine.

    I should add that the article where I read about this medicine wasn't entirely sympthetic. (It was probably in the NYT.)

    Beta blockers ?
    Also once used by snooker players.
    Back in the mists of time I ran a citizens assembly on recreational drug use, and was surprised that part of the discussion was about performance enhancing drugs in schools and universities.

    As I recall they were quite experimental drugs and I think there was rightly a much more vociferous reaction against their use in young people than against most
    recreational drugs.

    Since then I have never come across a case of them actually being used, though. Perhaps at uni?

    In any case, if our solution to any problem is to encourage a teenager to take experimental drugs I think we’re probably asking the wrong questions!
    As I understand it, Adderall and Ritalin are widely abused in older (15+) kids and university students.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,137
    edited May 2023

    There's also the matter of how Mad Nad, JRM etc. convince 180 odd MPs to no confidence Rishi even if they manage to get enough letters in...

    Indeed, short of losing another 1000+ seats at next May's local elections, in which case there would be barely any Tory councillors left, Rishi will lead the Tories into the general election in autumn 2024.

    Remember last October 197 Tory MPs nominated Rishi but only 62 MPs nominated Boris, I doubt much has changed since. Only once the membership get a say again if Rishi and Hunt lose the next general election will a more rightwing leader be elected again
  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 14,486

    Cookie said:

    EU Commissioner Timmermans on the benefits of English as a lingua franca:

    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/SPEECH_23_2731

    By the way, this is the first time in human history that we have in Lingua Franca that is not just for the elites. For the first time in human history, we have a global Lingua Franca that transcends societal layers. Thanks to the internet, thanks to other developments, thanks to the predominance of Anglo-Saxon culture, English is an instrument for all. And this is the first time, in human history, that we have a true Lingua Franca for all: bad English.

    This is so true and in some respects it puts native English speakers at a disadvantage, especially non-Americans (because it is a limited vocabulary version of American English that is the global lingua franca). British English in particular has a lot of ideosyncratic phrases that are extremely confusing to Global Bad English speakers. And try speaking to a Global Bad English speaker in a regional accent.
    I would argue - though I am aware this is not what the article meant! - that the UK leads the world in Bad English.
    Specifically, today, people who say 'them' when they mean 'those'. Including the head of HR at our place. Ugh.
    If I ever get convicted for murder it will be because someone has said "yourself" to me when they mean "you".
    How about “you yourself”?

    I have already murdered several people for saying 'This moment in time' when they meant 'now'.

    They deserved it.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,025

    There's also the matter of how Mad Nad, JRM etc. convince 180 odd MPs to no confidence Rishi even if they manage to get enough letters in...

    Keep on pointing Sunak is a loser.
    If the alternative is Boris though...
    They are hoping Tory MPs remember 2019 rather than the fact Boris Johnson was ousted for putting a known sexual predator into a position of authority then lying about it.

    If Boris Johnson makes the final two he wins.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,975
    edited May 2023

    Boris Johnson isn't coming back.

    He and his supporters think he is.
    Any gossip on how many letters Brady may have received?
    Sir Graham isn't accepting letters until the end of October.

    As Truss and Johnson found out, you don't need letters to be ousted.
    As our man on the spot, who gets the gig after Richie Rich?

    If the Cons could parachute Zelensky into Mid Beds, he challenges as leader and six weeks later you could have a landslide.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,025

    NEW THREAD

  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,263
    What are the key differences between National Conservatism and National Socialism?
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,705
    FF43 said:

    What are the key differences between National Conservatism and National Socialism?
    Worse dress sense?
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,975

    Cookie said:

    EU Commissioner Timmermans on the benefits of English as a lingua franca:

    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/SPEECH_23_2731

    By the way, this is the first time in human history that we have in Lingua Franca that is not just for the elites. For the first time in human history, we have a global Lingua Franca that transcends societal layers. Thanks to the internet, thanks to other developments, thanks to the predominance of Anglo-Saxon culture, English is an instrument for all. And this is the first time, in human history, that we have a true Lingua Franca for all: bad English.

    This is so true and in some respects it puts native English speakers at a disadvantage, especially non-Americans (because it is a limited vocabulary version of American English that is the global lingua franca). British English in particular has a lot of ideosyncratic phrases that are extremely confusing to Global Bad English speakers. And try speaking to a Global Bad English speaker in a regional accent.
    I would argue - though I am aware this is not what the article meant! - that the UK leads the world in Bad English.
    Specifically, today, people who say 'them' when they mean 'those'. Including the head of HR at our place. Ugh.
    If I ever get convicted for murder it will be because someone has said "yourself" to me when they mean "you".
    How about “you yourself”?

    I have already murdered several people for saying 'This moment in time' when they meant 'now'.

    They deserved it.
    Having lived in South Wales for nearly 40 years I have developed a contradictory time related verbal tic. "I'll be along, now in a minute".
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,353

    Boris Johnson isn't coming back.

    He and his supporters think he is.
    IIRC you think he is, so are you in that category despite yourself?
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,558
    maxh said:

    maxh said:

    O/T (apologies) anecdote alert:

    TL;DR - even if we dealt with all the myriad problems with the underfunding of our education system, it would still entrench disadvantage - here's how.

    I am lucky enough to run a mentoring system for kids in school who have been through the foster system. They're awesome, and the programme transforms lives. But some of them still fail exams unnecessarily.

    I had my final mentoring session with one student before his first maths exam on Friday. He could answer almost every question confidently on the foundation paper, and without a doubt deserves a grade 5. He has a fantastic work ethic and would make a good apprentice engineer.

    But he will almost certainly fail maths. Not because he doesn't know things, but because he has experienced sufficient early childhood trauma that when he feels stress his body floods with adrenalin and his brain goes into primate mode.

    I get that there isn't an easy alternative to our current exam system (although Canada seems to manage it) but if we have an education system that judges kids by their ability to produce knowledge under severe stress, we are entrenching disadvantage.

    Thanks for the work you do - it is vital.

    But life produces such stresses and strains. A differing anecdote: one of the calmest, nicest people I know was adopted. He is calm and doesn't get flustered by anything, and has done well in life. His adopted sister (from a different birth mother and father), is... less so. Same adoptive parents, different starts in life.

    I had a lot going on in my life when I was going through GCSE and A levels. I did well at my GCSEs, and horribly at my A-levels. That was my responsibility, not my circumstances - especially as I was in a worse state during my GCSE's than me A-levels...

    People are different. I am against qualifications being purely exam-based, but ability to perform under a little pressure is vital as well.
    I agree with all you say - and reflecting on your and others' replies I'm not sure my original post was that clear.

    It's not that any form of stress causes him to lose the ability to perform. It's the particular form of stress that exams create. He is just an extreme example of what many kids experience - he just says his mind goes blank; he knows that he knows how to e.g. factorise a quadratic, but he can't access that info in the moment.

    Of course that is a weakness, but it shouldn't be one that bars him from a whole range of life choices after a set of exams at 16.
    IMV there is *one* process that is set to define it; something that suits this gentleman might disadvantage someone more exam-based; someone who performs well under stress, or in that sort of situation.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 17,701

    So with JRM admitting the voter ID change was a voter suppression thing, I wouldn't be surprised to see the police launch a criminal investigation into Sunak, Johnson et al.

    The snivelling little shits that defended this should reflect on their Trumpesque like behaviour.

    I thought voter ID originated at the Electoral Commission?
This discussion has been closed.