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Some of front pages after Raab’s exit – politicalbetting.com
Some of front pages after Raab’s exit – politicalbetting.com
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Some of front pages after Raab’s exit – politicalbetting.com
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Raab is typical of the current tories. Tone deaf to the stench of sleaze, corruption, and hatred which surrounds almost all their actions and utterances.
Whatever Mike and the Wobblers say, the tories are in for a shellacking and Labour will win a landslide.
20% ahead in the latest opinion poll ...
How did the human race become so crazy??
Labour will win a landslide so vast the land will end up in the sea and form a new island called LabourLand. Labour will have a 30% lead at least and the Conservatives will be lucky if they need a minibus to fit all their MPs in at the end. The minibus will be daubed with 'criminals' and 'shame' and it will be spat at in the street.
Whatever people say THIS IS WHAT IS GOING TO HAPPEN.
A Day of Reckoning is coming.
https://twitter.com/shannonrwatts/status/1649549998260879360
A Missouri man threatened a grocery store worker with his gun because the meat department was closed and he wanted steak. He claims the gun use was meant to communicate: “I need you to help me to get a couple of these steaks. I’m not going to hurt you.”
He's a thoroughly nasty piece of work. I've heard NDA stories about him which would make the blood boil. Mouthing w**ker at Keir Starmer across the floor illustrates the basement level these tories have descended into.
That Sunak, knowing his character, should have appointed him Deputy PM along with people like Braverman and Williamson, shows how weak he is.
I go by the polls, as well as what I'm hearing.
Whatever Mike and the Wobblers think, none of the recent polls have shown a rise in tory fortune: by-and-large stranded in the 20's. Chasing the alleged shy tory vote to bolster a preconceived agenda is a chimera. There is no magic pill that will restore their fortunes, no missing legions waiting to place their cross.
Whilst the Labour level of support remains stubbornly 47% ish, rather than TB's 50's, the LibDem level of support in key constituencies will result in a crushing Lib-Lab double hammer blow to tory fortunes. Add to that Labour's resurgence in Scotland.
It will be a landslide.
Marrying Germany’s far right and far left is a Kremlin goal, according to a trove of Russian documents reviewed by The Washington Post
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/04/21/germany-russia-interference-afd-wagenknecht/
The two extremes of the political spectrum do tend to have quite a lot in common.
The only nod to Kafka I can see is a man turning into a cockroach. Why the hell did the BBC feel obliged to give him a platform for an extended whine?
Responding to claims from supporters of Raab that some complainants were “snowflakes”, Penman told GB News: “I don’t know how you define a snowflake. Someone who can’t take criticism? Someone who blames everyone else for their mistakes? Someone who goes off in a huff? That’s how Dominic Raab has responded to the criticism levelled against him.”
This is in a Conservative-held ward, and the Parliamentary seat is held by a Cabinet miinister, so the Tory organisation ought to be better than seems to be the case.
What is happening elsewhere? Has the Tory organisation collapsed everywhere? Are they in for a real trouncing on 4th May?
Sad to see @DominicRaab leave gov. PM should have backed him. I was Dom's PPS when he was Housing Minister & saw his commitment, grasp of the brief, was always curtious & honest. This has set a dangerous precident. I previously backed him for leader as he is a true Thacherite.
@andreajenkyns
In the leadership hustings he stood out against woke nonsense, whilst other male candidates said they were feminists, he quite rightly said he wasn't. A true brexiteer, we were on the Brexit committee together. Im sure this wouldn't have happened to someone who is left of centre.
Mr. P, I've received zero electoral literature from anyone.
When asked if he wanted to apologise to civil servants, Dominic Raab said that he was sincerely sorry that he didn’t kick the shit out of more of them while he had the chance.
0 Tory
2 LD
3 Lab
FWIW, I've received 2 Tory and 2 Lib Dem but I don't think anyone cares.
I expect a fairly low turnout. And, I don't think it will tell us very much meaningfully about next year.
(Yes, there are some younger Conservative activists even now, and yes there are some very active OAPs, but they add up to not enough. One has to admire the energy of people like Cllr Palmer.)
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/apr/21/dominic-raab-hardman-rishi-sunak-scandal
I know that shitkickers turn to gammony fury insisting that their Second Amendment rights are sacrosanct. But have they ever read it? A "well-regulated" militia. What is regulated about all these lunatics pulling a gun at every opportunity because the local Tesco meat counter is closed?
So I think we will get some information on how well motivated the core vote is for each party, though it is the less committed voters and DKs that are probably key to the next GE.
It was 49% vs 31% including the DK/WNV
No wonder they want to create a trans war against transgender people. They are the real threat. Not the leading men who are bullies or rapists in their organisations. Raab just wanted what was best for Britain. As I assume the CBI people did.
A well-regulated militia would be ensuring that lunatics and crazies and alpha-males like Raab didn't have a gun. Instead they think every lunatic should have one and deploy it when the traffic lights turn red.
Raab can return to the DoJ, but every time a civil servant feels intimidated they can pull a gun on him.
What could possibly go wrong?
But equally, if the polling doesn't drift back towards "Stay out", I don't see how the status quo can persist indefinitely.
And my auntie Vivian, who has voted conservative since she was 3, now hates them so much she had a hysterectomy just in case she might one day give birth to someone who might one day vote conservative. And she’s 85
I actually don’t think they will get any seats at all
I think signing up to the Euro and Schengen would see a much closer result...
In February 2022, soon after the invasion of Ukraine, a user profile matching that of Airman Jack Teixeira began posting secret intelligence on the Russian war effort on a previously undisclosed chat group on Discord, a social media platform popular among gamers. The chat group contained about 600 members.
The case against Airman Teixeira, 21, who was arrested on April 13, pertains to the leaking of classified documents on another Discord group of about 50 members....
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/21/us/politics/jack-teixeira-leaks-russia-ukraine.html
And the feels intrigue me. I can see the UK landing in a place where it doesn't like any of the ways forward. The current model of Brexit makes life a bit worse all round. Full fat rejoin has consequences the UK hasn't begun to consider the costs of. Halfway houses will be worse than the ones negotiated by Maggie (rebate), Major (opt outs) and Dave. The UK is too big and proud to put up with Norwegian arrangements.
What happens when a country doesn't like any of the choices on the table? Often nothing, hence the hysteresis. But what does that do to the national spirit?
1 letter from Conservative candidate
1 flyer from Labour candidate
Letter plus visit to introduce herself from Green candidate
If we listen to the right - the people who whine on about woke and snowflakes - we would just let these true patriots do whatever they want to do and thank them for it. Unless we appoint Jack Nicholson in A Few Good Men to the very top and let them Code Red as they choose, we lose the country.
It's probably measuring a "can we all make it all go away, go back to how things were, and pretend it never happened?" sentiment but that's not on offer. So it would probably be subject to heavy swings during any campaign and, were Rejoin successful, would dominate politics for years and simply land us with a different set of political problems thereafter, similar to pre-2016, or worse.
As always, what people are after is a compromise they can life with, which probably means a closer relationship with the EU than we currently have. Given I've heard from university-educated friends how Rishi has "reversed Brexit" in Northern Ireland, despite having actually extended the scope of sovereignty of HMG, anything that eases everyday life for passage of goods, people and services will probably do the trick.
Think about it this way... if it was the other way around, and it was a senior civil servant who was accused of being 'intimidating' how would it work? I think that there would have been a meeting with HR, and that is about it.
The reaction to this situation is dangerously polarising. Sure a lot of people who don't like the government are celebrating. But I think the 'activist civil servant' narrative, and Raab's own take on the situation, is also very damaging - in that it is really damaging for public trust in the civil service, as evidenced in a lot of reporting.
Sunak needs to fundamentally sort out the Ministerial code to a) set out clearer expectations of ministerial conduct but also b) set out processes to resolve complaints about Ministers without a KC report, 4 month long investigation etc, and with the idea that they should only be sacked for something approaching gross misconduct, not vague allegations.
I believe there will be a much closer relationship with the EU as time passes, and to be fair Sunak has commenced the healing with the WF and his recent warm words to UVDL at the Good Friday Agreement celebrations
Furthermore, he has much improved relationships with Macron and France and it is in everyone's interest to continue this process, whether it is Sunak or Starmer until we arrive at a settled status
I would just say I do not see settled status as full hard Brexit or rejoin
Or just railing against restrictions?
My point is mainly that there is no sign that the country is falling in line behind a Brexit consensus, rather the opposite.
I would say that the "Brexit in Peril" vote is 31% rather than 40% in this poll, as not likely to motivate the Don't Know/Don't Care vote. This is pretty similar to the Tory core vote.
It was always a bit smug and condescending, but there was a large kernel of truth in it. I'm not sure there is so much any more.
I laugh them to scorn and tell them I’m from London where it hits 40C. Gaylords
If Transpennine no longer have enough seats on offer the DfT can impose heavy fare rises and make people drive. Which is the whole idea. Better still, redeploying the fleet over the heads of operators means no new trains are needed. Order books have been closed for a while now (DfT controls all train purchases) and if they keep them closed a bit longer they can succeed in finally closing the remaining factories. Which is the whole idea.
As already discussed, there was a written record made by the civil servant, which Tolley examined and evidently accepted as genuine.
But the question is - why would she? It doesn't seem she was one of the complainants.
Which is presumably why it was accepted as genuine and Raab's 'never spoke to me' was not.
‘I’m the Führer, the king’: inside Boris Johnson’s chaotic world
In July 2019, Boris Johnson, our new prime minister, caused the first of many stirs when he appointed Dominic Cummings as his special adviser. Cummings came to be seen as the power behind the throne. But there was another pretender to that title: Carrie Symonds. By Anthony Seldon and Raymond Newell
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/103012f0-df61-11ed-9cc2-0f7e26ed83eb?shareToken=fa576b61edd849ef4fe01cd8f7aff7c4
His reputation will only get worse over time, as will that of his pet project.
Have a good day, everyone.