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The GE1992 polling disaster – the lessons learnt – politicalbetting.com
The GE1992 polling disaster – the lessons learnt – politicalbetting.com
The biggest election shock certainly since I started taking an interest in politics was in 1992 when against all the odds John Majors tories managed to hang on to a majority
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I would imagine if anything polling has got even harder since then. It seems like pollsters have got better at dealing with these difficulties in the meantime, but it wouldn't surprise me to see another big polling miss next year, in one direction or another.
My word. This is comedy gold.
Yousaf, asked how much money the SNP owes Peter Murrell, says he’ll answer after the “transparency review”. unsurpassable.
https://twitter.com/euanmccolm/status/1649023256135974914?s=46
You keep using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means.
I much preferred May 1997. The great irony is I felt I could celebrate only when the infamous Johnson sympathetic Brexiteer Gisela Stuart won Edgbaston for Labour.
What was it Ridcully said? ‘Transparency can mean two things - that you can see all there is, or you see nothing at all.’
.......
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/814e9242-dec9-11ed-a0a8-657f9e54fc6a?shareToken=d6e3ed45001ae57762ad8aafe131cbec
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-1wcilQ58hI
Ukraine will eventually join NATO, Jens Stoltenberg says during his unannounced visit to Kyiv
"Ukraine's rightful place is in NATO, and over time our support will help to make this possible. We stand by you today & for the long haul," NATO's Chief said.
https://mobile.twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1649037649582145539
"On Saturday 11 February 2023, a Network Rail vehicle being used by a member of the Overhead
Line Equipment (OLE) team in Doncaster was forced off the road by three other vehicles as it
entered the motorway. Once stopped, persons wearing balaclavas and carrying crowbars forced the driver from the vehicle before it was driven away from the location. No one was injured during the theft. "
https://twitter.com/NoelDolphin/status/1648796217449611267/photo/1
I did know some people who were charged by Thames Valley Police during "Operation Symphony". Fair enough, Plod did entrap them and it was thrown out of court after 18 months of heartache, but you have to give the Old Bill marks for effort.
And will see it through…
Light it, or they're going to die...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bwTqRc4W3lE
I had the buffiest buffed nails in Christendom the next day....
I also reckon it lost a few first-stage engines.
And kaboom!
I only wish Musk didn’t own it so I could be truly happy for them.
If so, then that's actually a positive, as it means an engine failing hasn't destroyed the stage.
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/uknews/snp-still-owes-money-to-ex-chief-executive-yousaf-confirms/ar-AA1a6pWk?ocid=entnewsntp&cvid=f462b0e4e54c432abb3060fb5aa40ef0&ei=15
No way anyone is going to trust Russia, otherwise.
How you square that is, of course, not likely to be simple.
ETA: For test flights, maybe the crowd should do a count up from moment of launch to see how far they can get before the boom
Then again not paying him could also cause issues.
A bit of a pickle for Yousaf and the SNP.
The asymmetric forces must be pretty large when several go out on one side (as was the case here). That might have messed up the ability to separate the stages. It's a huge object, so the forces going through the stage coupling won't be small.
https://youtube.com/watch?v=-1wcilQ58hI
T-0 = 44:59 on the video.
Three failed engines as the graphic came up as it vehicle cleared the tower
Two more failures before Max Q
Gets out of shape starting around T+2:20
MECO was called at T+2.50, on time, but the engines were clearly still running and the vehicle was well out of shape.