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Round-up – how punters see the next general election – politicalbetting.com

SystemSystem Posts: 12,162
edited March 2023 in General
imageRound-up – how punters see the next general election – politicalbetting.com

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  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,564
    edited March 2023
    The SNP implosion does not seem to have maintained its pace of a week ago.

    Therefore Labour's chances of a majority have greatly reduced unless and until the SNP resume shooting their feet off with high-calibre weaponry.

    Or McPlod arrests them all.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,258
    rcs1000 said:

    Driver said:

    biggles said:

    Starmer says he has declared £14 of bank interest. Someone should tell him Toynbee not bother at de minimis levels. Ang accountants in or are they all at parties?

    £14 bank interest? Wow! He must have hundreds of thousands in the account...
    Based on how much my bank gave me in interest last year, he must have approximately infinity pounds in his bank account.
    I tried to use the banks grid to retro-compute the amount he must have in his account.

    This seems to have exceed the size of BigDecimal in Java.

    Which in turn has set off a chain reaction of IT collapse through The City.

    My advice is to start running now.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821

    The SNP implosion does not seem to have maintained its pace of a week ago.

    Therefore Labour's chances of a majority have greatly reduced unless and until the SNP resume shooting their feet off with high-calibre weaponry.

    Or McPlod arrests them all.

    They might still go for Hamza, though. Of course you might have already covered that eventuality under the heading 'shooting their feet off with high-calibre weaponry.'

    And if they don't, the foot-shooting will no doubt resume in a different form under Kate, who would make a very good leader, just not of the SNP.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,258
    edited March 2023

    The SNP implosion does not seem to have maintained its pace of a week ago.

    Therefore Labour's chances of a majority have greatly reduced unless and until the SNP resume shooting their feet off with high-calibre weaponry.

    Or McPlod arrests them all.

    We are really in the waiting period to see what drops next, there, I think.

    Given the amount of astroturfing I am seeing on behalf of Peter Murrell, the Old Guard will not surrender easily.
  • Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 2,998
    Just to follow up on my previous comment, there is a good chance that the Supreme Court will soon find the Elizabeth Warren's Consumer Financial Protection Bureau unconstitutional:
    'The CFPB is unlike any federal law enforcement agency ever created. Floating above the Constitution’s tripartite design of government, it is uniquely sovereign:

    Independent of congressional appropriations, it funds itself by acquiring, in perpetuity, up to 12 percent of the Federal Reserve’s annual operating expenses (the CFPB’s cut might soon be $1 billion), rolling over and investing any year’s surplus. The president or either chamber of Congress can veto any attempt by legislators to gain control of the CFPB. Its director could not be removed for policy reasons, until this provision was declared a violation of the separation of powers because it reduced the president’s authority to direct the executive branch.'
    source$: https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/02/15/consumer-financial-protection-bureau-unconstitutional/

    If the Court kills the CFPB -- as it should -- that might have an effect on banks, and consumers. And our regulators, and risk managers, ought to be thinking about the liekly consequences, now.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,997
    edited March 2023
    rcs1000 said:

    Driver said:

    WillG said:

    kinabalu said:

    Stocky said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ...

    Nigelb said:

    It’s 2025! and we are washing up, with benefit of hindsight, what happened in 2024 election and why. What did we miss?

    Did the 1992 scenario repeated in 2024 simply boil down to Tory’s having a lot more money to spend on it than Labour?

    When do you actually start general election campaign expenditure, and campaigning - about six weeks to go?

    From early 2023 the Tories were clearly up and running with the stronger election unit - aggressive, busy, working effectively together with mainstream media, getting results, whilst Labour’s was non existent until the bill boards appeared about five weeks to go, followed by the now “notorious” mass balloon release.

    So it wasn’t how clever for Tories to sack, disown and politically bury Boris, to already give the voters a government change before the election what won it, as much as it now appears it utterly negated Labours “time for change” campaign - that Sunak was thought of on election day as The NHS. The economy. Stability. Fairness, equality, good, honesty. Reducing immigration. Lower taxes. Helping the country/people. A better Britain. The poor. Hope. whilst Starmer and Labour thought of as Wokeness, higher taxes, Dishonesty, Chaos, Disaster, greed, Bad Money, was actually perceptions engineered, fake and created, cultivated over a long period of time, spending lots of money on it.

    And we should have realised this in advance, from those early 2023 heat maps. 🤷‍♀️

    You appear not to realise that the frequency of the responses is related to the size of print. If you did you would have drawn the opposite conclusions.
    That’s a pointless post, I do know how a word cloud works.

    You don’t actually, as you seem to think the most important ones are the big ones that jump out...
    I hate to break it to you, but...
    I hate to break it to you, but the power of them is how they help to measure trend, the fools gold is getting hung up on each individual one and how pretty they look. Rather like bad excitement over one opinion poll, look at the trend.

    Secondly you need to strip out the more meaningless words. You need it to paint a meaningful picture for you.

    And in this particular case, the meaningful picture - the big take out from todays which I have correctly spotted - is how these Tory clouds are getting strikingly better under Sunak, and the Labour one full of so many bad associations for that party. Of course with so much raw data you can spin it however you like as Wulf has done, but on trend he has got it utterly wrong hasn’t he? And all those words I have used that help paint that full picture are actually there on both charts, the sheer weight of them help fill in a fuller picture.
    You are speaking in tongues again Rabbit. I have not a ScoobyDoo, I'm afraid.
    I shouldn’t pander to you and your special needs, but as you have cried for help, some people here are clearly oblivious to the issues with word clouds and can’t use them properly like I can.

    Do word clouds help you capture complex themes from the data, or in fact distract you if all you do is glance at the biggest words? For example my analysis would try to pick up context. Where you are trying to imply the little words are meaningless, I argue Sunak launches war on the dingy people and suddenly gets little words like tough, leadership, and Starmer gets little words like weak, pro immigration appear. This is important.
    You have a way with words, to coin a phrase.
    I reckon that saying might catch on, you know
    I particularly like the idea of a war on dingy people - accountants to be concerned?
    No. Chartered Accountants are cool and interesting people.
    Of course they are. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LqQlCOmXuHM
    Dated that though. Accountancy (Chartered) went through a revolution in the 80s. It started to attract lots of 21 year old graduates from top unis who were both smart and directionless.
    My youngest wants to go into finance. Perhaps accountancy.

    So given the horrendous student loan system (9% graduate tax for 40 years anyone?) and poor value for money given by university courses (some, perhaps most); does my daughter:

    1) go to a Russell Group university (if she gets the grades and is accepted) 2) go to a non-Russell Group university (if she fails to get the grades) or 3) leave school at 18 and join a large accountancy firm with an apprentice degree-equivalent option (the equivalent being accountancy exams).

    I don't know what to advise her (though she doesn't listen to me anyway).
    With the obvious caveat that I don't know her my advice is for her to study a subject she really likes at the best uni she can get into. Then see how things develop.
    17 year olds choosing degrees based on what they like, without considering employability, is a terrible life decision.
    To an extent, sure. But a 2:1 or better in any course from a half-decent university is at least reasonably employable and if you enjoy the subject you're surely more likely to get a better grade.
    As a man with a Philosophy Degree from a decent University, I don't regret my time there at all. I was not mature enough to enter the workforce at 18. I'm not even sure I was mature enough at 21.

    If someone gets into a third tier University to do a subject without strong obvious job prospects, then - yes - it's probably a waste of money.

    But there simply isn't that much demand for quite bright 18 year olds out there. Employers prefer people who are a little older and a little more mature. University shows that you are able to self manage yourself over a substantial period of time. That's an incredibly important signal to an employer.
    When we get GPT-27, there won't be much demand for "quite" bright people of any age ;-)
  • Wherever Charles goes disorder follows.


  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,153

    rcs1000 said:

    Driver said:

    WillG said:

    kinabalu said:

    Stocky said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ...

    Nigelb said:

    It’s 2025! and we are washing up, with benefit of hindsight, what happened in 2024 election and why. What did we miss?

    Did the 1992 scenario repeated in 2024 simply boil down to Tory’s having a lot more money to spend on it than Labour?

    When do you actually start general election campaign expenditure, and campaigning - about six weeks to go?

    From early 2023 the Tories were clearly up and running with the stronger election unit - aggressive, busy, working effectively together with mainstream media, getting results, whilst Labour’s was non existent until the bill boards appeared about five weeks to go, followed by the now “notorious” mass balloon release.

    So it wasn’t how clever for Tories to sack, disown and politically bury Boris, to already give the voters a government change before the election what won it, as much as it now appears it utterly negated Labours “time for change” campaign - that Sunak was thought of on election day as The NHS. The economy. Stability. Fairness, equality, good, honesty. Reducing immigration. Lower taxes. Helping the country/people. A better Britain. The poor. Hope. whilst Starmer and Labour thought of as Wokeness, higher taxes, Dishonesty, Chaos, Disaster, greed, Bad Money, was actually perceptions engineered, fake and created, cultivated over a long period of time, spending lots of money on it.

    And we should have realised this in advance, from those early 2023 heat maps. 🤷‍♀️

    You appear not to realise that the frequency of the responses is related to the size of print. If you did you would have drawn the opposite conclusions.
    That’s a pointless post, I do know how a word cloud works.

    You don’t actually, as you seem to think the most important ones are the big ones that jump out...
    I hate to break it to you, but...
    I hate to break it to you, but the power of them is how they help to measure trend, the fools gold is getting hung up on each individual one and how pretty they look. Rather like bad excitement over one opinion poll, look at the trend.

    Secondly you need to strip out the more meaningless words. You need it to paint a meaningful picture for you.

    And in this particular case, the meaningful picture - the big take out from todays which I have correctly spotted - is how these Tory clouds are getting strikingly better under Sunak, and the Labour one full of so many bad associations for that party. Of course with so much raw data you can spin it however you like as Wulf has done, but on trend he has got it utterly wrong hasn’t he? And all those words I have used that help paint that full picture are actually there on both charts, the sheer weight of them help fill in a fuller picture.
    You are speaking in tongues again Rabbit. I have not a ScoobyDoo, I'm afraid.
    I shouldn’t pander to you and your special needs, but as you have cried for help, some people here are clearly oblivious to the issues with word clouds and can’t use them properly like I can.

    Do word clouds help you capture complex themes from the data, or in fact distract you if all you do is glance at the biggest words? For example my analysis would try to pick up context. Where you are trying to imply the little words are meaningless, I argue Sunak launches war on the dingy people and suddenly gets little words like tough, leadership, and Starmer gets little words like weak, pro immigration appear. This is important.
    You have a way with words, to coin a phrase.
    I reckon that saying might catch on, you know
    I particularly like the idea of a war on dingy people - accountants to be concerned?
    No. Chartered Accountants are cool and interesting people.
    Of course they are. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LqQlCOmXuHM
    Dated that though. Accountancy (Chartered) went through a revolution in the 80s. It started to attract lots of 21 year old graduates from top unis who were both smart and directionless.
    My youngest wants to go into finance. Perhaps accountancy.

    So given the horrendous student loan system (9% graduate tax for 40 years anyone?) and poor value for money given by university courses (some, perhaps most); does my daughter:

    1) go to a Russell Group university (if she gets the grades and is accepted) 2) go to a non-Russell Group university (if she fails to get the grades) or 3) leave school at 18 and join a large accountancy firm with an apprentice degree-equivalent option (the equivalent being accountancy exams).

    I don't know what to advise her (though she doesn't listen to me anyway).
    With the obvious caveat that I don't know her my advice is for her to study a subject she really likes at the best uni she can get into. Then see how things develop.
    17 year olds choosing degrees based on what they like, without considering employability, is a terrible life decision.
    To an extent, sure. But a 2:1 or better in any course from a half-decent university is at least reasonably employable and if you enjoy the subject you're surely more likely to get a better grade.
    As a man with a Philosophy Degree from a decent University, I don't regret my time there at all. I was not mature enough to enter the workforce at 18. I'm not even sure I was mature enough at 21.

    If someone gets into a third tier University to do a subject without strong obvious job prospects, then - yes - it's probably a waste of money.

    But there simply isn't that much demand for quite bright 18 year olds out there. Employers prefer people who are a little older and a little more mature. University shows that you are able to self manage yourself over a substantial period of time. That's an incredibly important signal to an employer.
    When we get GPT-27, there won't be much demand for "quite" bright people of any age ;-)
    GPT means the demand for the semi-skilled drops further.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,320

    The SNP implosion does not seem to have maintained its pace of a week ago.

    Therefore Labour's chances of a majority have greatly reduced unless and until the SNP resume shooting their feet off with high-calibre weaponry.

    Or McPlod arrests them all.

    We are really in the waiting period to see what drops next, there, I think.

    Given the amount of astroturfing I am seeing on behalf of Peter Murrell, the Old Guard will not surrender easily.
    Some wild stuff on twitter today re him and a certain person etc which I would not repeat here, wild allegations.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559

    The SNP implosion does not seem to have maintained its pace of a week ago.

    Therefore Labour's chances of a majority have greatly reduced unless and until the SNP resume shooting their feet off with high-calibre weaponry.

    Or McPlod arrests them all.

    BUT is the real X-factor here, NOT whether Scottish National Party meltdown proceeds at same rapid clip as over past week, but instead where the SNP ends up and what kind of shape it's in, when the next UK GE finally rolls around?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,258
    malcolmg said:

    The SNP implosion does not seem to have maintained its pace of a week ago.

    Therefore Labour's chances of a majority have greatly reduced unless and until the SNP resume shooting their feet off with high-calibre weaponry.

    Or McPlod arrests them all.

    We are really in the waiting period to see what drops next, there, I think.

    Given the amount of astroturfing I am seeing on behalf of Peter Murrell, the Old Guard will not surrender easily.
    Some wild stuff on twitter today re him and a certain person etc which I would not repeat here, wild allegations.
    I mean people coming up with variations of "Peter Murrell was walking down the road, and saved my cat from being run over. He is awesome. This is witch-hunt."
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559

    The SNP implosion does not seem to have maintained its pace of a week ago.

    Therefore Labour's chances of a majority have greatly reduced unless and until the SNP resume shooting their feet off with high-calibre weaponry.

    Or McPlod arrests them all.

    We are really in the waiting period to see what drops next, there, I think.

    Given the amount of astroturfing I am seeing on behalf of Peter Murrell, the Old Guard will not surrender easily.
    "La Garde meurt mais ne se rend pas!"
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,647

    Wherever Charles goes disorder follows.


    Let them eat brioche!
  • CatManCatMan Posts: 3,058
    Yet another Simpsons prediction comes true:

    https://www.independent.co.uk/arts-entertainment/tv/news/the-simpsons-predictions-michelangelo-b2306758.html#Echobox=1679593638

    "The Simpsons eerily predicts parents’ demands to censor Michelangelo’s David in school

    Current Florida charter school fiasco uncannily reflects early season two episode"
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    Re: Scotland and Westminster, one thing that I noted re: yesterday's HoC vote on Windsor Framework, was that both Alba MPs were recorded as not voting.

    Does anyone know why?

    Of course, all parties had some no-shows, also independents as a group (or rather gaggle). But only Alba 100%.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,258

    The SNP implosion does not seem to have maintained its pace of a week ago.

    Therefore Labour's chances of a majority have greatly reduced unless and until the SNP resume shooting their feet off with high-calibre weaponry.

    Or McPlod arrests them all.

    We are really in the waiting period to see what drops next, there, I think.

    Given the amount of astroturfing I am seeing on behalf of Peter Murrell, the Old Guard will not surrender easily.
    "La Garde meurt mais ne se rend pas!"
    10 minutes before he did.

    Mind you, that’s the long version you are quoting.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    dixiedean said:

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Driver said:

    WillG said:

    kinabalu said:

    Stocky said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ...

    Nigelb said:

    It’s 2025! and we are washing up, with benefit of hindsight, what happened in 2024 election and why. What did we miss?

    Did the 1992 scenario repeated in 2024 simply boil down to Tory’s having a lot more money to spend on it than Labour?

    When do you actually start general election campaign expenditure, and campaigning - about six weeks to go?

    From early 2023 the Tories were clearly up and running with the stronger election unit - aggressive, busy, working effectively together with mainstream media, getting results, whilst Labour’s was non existent until the bill boards appeared about five weeks to go, followed by the now “notorious” mass balloon release.

    So it wasn’t how clever for Tories to sack, disown and politically bury Boris, to already give the voters a government change before the election what won it, as much as it now appears it utterly negated Labours “time for change” campaign - that Sunak was thought of on election day as The NHS. The economy. Stability. Fairness, equality, good, honesty. Reducing immigration. Lower taxes. Helping the country/people. A better Britain. The poor. Hope. whilst Starmer and Labour thought of as Wokeness, higher taxes, Dishonesty, Chaos, Disaster, greed, Bad Money, was actually perceptions engineered, fake and created, cultivated over a long period of time, spending lots of money on it.

    And we should have realised this in advance, from those early 2023 heat maps. 🤷‍♀️

    You appear not to realise that the frequency of the responses is related to the size of print. If you did you would have drawn the opposite conclusions.
    That’s a pointless post, I do know how a word cloud works.

    You don’t actually, as you seem to think the most important ones are the big ones that jump out...
    I hate to break it to you, but...
    I hate to break it to you, but the power of them is how they help to measure trend, the fools gold is getting hung up on each individual one and how pretty they look. Rather like bad excitement over one opinion poll, look at the trend.

    Secondly you need to strip out the more meaningless words. You need it to paint a meaningful picture for you.

    And in this particular case, the meaningful picture - the big take out from todays which I have correctly spotted - is how these Tory clouds are getting strikingly better under Sunak, and the Labour one full of so many bad associations for that party. Of course with so much raw data you can spin it however you like as Wulf has done, but on trend he has got it utterly wrong hasn’t he? And all those words I have used that help paint that full picture are actually there on both charts, the sheer weight of them help fill in a fuller picture.
    You are speaking in tongues again Rabbit. I have not a ScoobyDoo, I'm afraid.
    I shouldn’t pander to you and your special needs, but as you have cried for help, some people here are clearly oblivious to the issues with word clouds and can’t use them properly like I can.

    Do word clouds help you capture complex themes from the data, or in fact distract you if all you do is glance at the biggest words? For example my analysis would try to pick up context. Where you are trying to imply the little words are meaningless, I argue Sunak launches war on the dingy people and suddenly gets little words like tough, leadership, and Starmer gets little words like weak, pro immigration appear. This is important.
    You have a way with words, to coin a phrase.
    I reckon that saying might catch on, you know
    I particularly like the idea of a war on dingy people - accountants to be concerned?
    No. Chartered Accountants are cool and interesting people.
    Of course they are. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LqQlCOmXuHM
    Dated that though. Accountancy (Chartered) went through a revolution in the 80s. It started to attract lots of 21 year old graduates from top unis who were both smart and directionless.
    My youngest wants to go into finance. Perhaps accountancy.

    So given the horrendous student loan system (9% graduate tax for 40 years anyone?) and poor value for money given by university courses (some, perhaps most); does my daughter:

    1) go to a Russell Group university (if she gets the grades and is accepted) 2) go to a non-Russell Group university (if she fails to get the grades) or 3) leave school at 18 and join a large accountancy firm with an apprentice degree-equivalent option (the equivalent being accountancy exams).

    I don't know what to advise her (though she doesn't listen to me anyway).
    With the obvious caveat that I don't know her my advice is for her to study a subject she really likes at the best uni she can get into. Then see how things develop.
    17 year olds choosing degrees based on what they like, without considering employability, is a terrible life decision.
    To an extent, sure. But a 2:1 or better in any course from a half-decent university is at least reasonably employable and if you enjoy the subject you're surely more likely to get a better grade.
    As a man with a Philosophy Degree from a decent University, I don't regret my time there at all. I was not mature enough to enter the workforce at 18. I'm not even sure I was mature enough at 21.

    If someone gets into a third tier University to do a subject without strong obvious job prospects, then - yes - it's probably a waste of money.

    But there simply isn't that much demand for quite bright 18 year olds out there. Employers prefer people who are a little older and a little more mature. University shows that you are able to self manage yourself over a substantial period of time. That's an incredibly important signal to an employer.
    When we get GPT-27, there won't be much demand for "quite" bright people of any age ;-)
    GPT means the demand for the semi-skilled drops further.
    Or maybe we'll simply have to re define "skilled" and "unskilled"?
    The TA's who work in my special school are quite remarkably highly skilled. Most folk with a degree wouldn't last a morning. Chat GPT couldn't do it.
    But they are minimum wage. Because you can't get a GCSE in it. So they aren't valued.
    Quasi-correction: it's the children who aren't valued. Same as with USA.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,838
    Hmm, SKS seems to be paying twice as much tax on his income than Mr Sunak does, pound for pound.

    And one can't accuse him of voting in the Commons for an act to save himself tax.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2023/mar/23/rishi-sunak-saved-tax-capital-gains-cut-voted-for-in-2016
  • TimSTimS Posts: 12,989
    dixiedean said:

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Driver said:

    WillG said:

    kinabalu said:

    Stocky said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ...

    Nigelb said:

    It’s 2025! and we are washing up, with benefit of hindsight, what happened in 2024 election and why. What did we miss?

    Did the 1992 scenario repeated in 2024 simply boil down to Tory’s having a lot more money to spend on it than Labour?

    When do you actually start general election campaign expenditure, and campaigning - about six weeks to go?

    From early 2023 the Tories were clearly up and running with the stronger election unit - aggressive, busy, working effectively together with mainstream media, getting results, whilst Labour’s was non existent until the bill boards appeared about five weeks to go, followed by the now “notorious” mass balloon release.

    So it wasn’t how clever for Tories to sack, disown and politically bury Boris, to already give the voters a government change before the election what won it, as much as it now appears it utterly negated Labours “time for change” campaign - that Sunak was thought of on election day as The NHS. The economy. Stability. Fairness, equality, good, honesty. Reducing immigration. Lower taxes. Helping the country/people. A better Britain. The poor. Hope. whilst Starmer and Labour thought of as Wokeness, higher taxes, Dishonesty, Chaos, Disaster, greed, Bad Money, was actually perceptions engineered, fake and created, cultivated over a long period of time, spending lots of money on it.

    And we should have realised this in advance, from those early 2023 heat maps. 🤷‍♀️

    You appear not to realise that the frequency of the responses is related to the size of print. If you did you would have drawn the opposite conclusions.
    That’s a pointless post, I do know how a word cloud works.

    You don’t actually, as you seem to think the most important ones are the big ones that jump out...
    I hate to break it to you, but...
    I hate to break it to you, but the power of them is how they help to measure trend, the fools gold is getting hung up on each individual one and how pretty they look. Rather like bad excitement over one opinion poll, look at the trend.

    Secondly you need to strip out the more meaningless words. You need it to paint a meaningful picture for you.

    And in this particular case, the meaningful picture - the big take out from todays which I have correctly spotted - is how these Tory clouds are getting strikingly better under Sunak, and the Labour one full of so many bad associations for that party. Of course with so much raw data you can spin it however you like as Wulf has done, but on trend he has got it utterly wrong hasn’t he? And all those words I have used that help paint that full picture are actually there on both charts, the sheer weight of them help fill in a fuller picture.
    You are speaking in tongues again Rabbit. I have not a ScoobyDoo, I'm afraid.
    I shouldn’t pander to you and your special needs, but as you have cried for help, some people here are clearly oblivious to the issues with word clouds and can’t use them properly like I can.

    Do word clouds help you capture complex themes from the data, or in fact distract you if all you do is glance at the biggest words? For example my analysis would try to pick up context. Where you are trying to imply the little words are meaningless, I argue Sunak launches war on the dingy people and suddenly gets little words like tough, leadership, and Starmer gets little words like weak, pro immigration appear. This is important.
    You have a way with words, to coin a phrase.
    I reckon that saying might catch on, you know
    I particularly like the idea of a war on dingy people - accountants to be concerned?
    No. Chartered Accountants are cool and interesting people.
    Of course they are. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LqQlCOmXuHM
    Dated that though. Accountancy (Chartered) went through a revolution in the 80s. It started to attract lots of 21 year old graduates from top unis who were both smart and directionless.
    My youngest wants to go into finance. Perhaps accountancy.

    So given the horrendous student loan system (9% graduate tax for 40 years anyone?) and poor value for money given by university courses (some, perhaps most); does my daughter:

    1) go to a Russell Group university (if she gets the grades and is accepted) 2) go to a non-Russell Group university (if she fails to get the grades) or 3) leave school at 18 and join a large accountancy firm with an apprentice degree-equivalent option (the equivalent being accountancy exams).

    I don't know what to advise her (though she doesn't listen to me anyway).
    With the obvious caveat that I don't know her my advice is for her to study a subject she really likes at the best uni she can get into. Then see how things develop.
    17 year olds choosing degrees based on what they like, without considering employability, is a terrible life decision.
    To an extent, sure. But a 2:1 or better in any course from a half-decent university is at least reasonably employable and if you enjoy the subject you're surely more likely to get a better grade.
    As a man with a Philosophy Degree from a decent University, I don't regret my time there at all. I was not mature enough to enter the workforce at 18. I'm not even sure I was mature enough at 21.

    If someone gets into a third tier University to do a subject without strong obvious job prospects, then - yes - it's probably a waste of money.

    But there simply isn't that much demand for quite bright 18 year olds out there. Employers prefer people who are a little older and a little more mature. University shows that you are able to self manage yourself over a substantial period of time. That's an incredibly important signal to an employer.
    When we get GPT-27, there won't be much demand for "quite" bright people of any age ;-)
    GPT means the demand for the semi-skilled drops further.
    Or maybe we'll simply have to re define "skilled" and "unskilled"?
    The TA's who work in my special school are quite remarkably highly skilled. Most folk with a degree wouldn't last a morning. Chat GPT couldn't do it.
    But they are minimum wage. Because you can't get a GCSE in it. So they aren't valued.
    This is exactly right. ChatGPT threatens clerical jobs where human interaction isn't key: semi-skilled, or early career white collar where there is a focus on technical output rather than soft skills or making judgment calls.

    I have worked out GPT3.5 is currently at the level of our assistant managers, give or take. Not so good at organising team socials but otherwise pretty good - would be getting a highish year end grading.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,432

    Wherever Charles goes disorder follows.


    A banquet at Versailles seems a little tin-eared anyway. Though unfair on Charles, as he won't have been the one making decisions on the programme.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,838

    dixiedean said:

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Driver said:

    WillG said:

    kinabalu said:

    Stocky said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ...

    Nigelb said:

    It’s 2025! and we are washing up, with benefit of hindsight, what happened in 2024 election and why. What did we miss?

    Did the 1992 scenario repeated in 2024 simply boil down to Tory’s having a lot more money to spend on it than Labour?

    When do you actually start general election campaign expenditure, and campaigning - about six weeks to go?

    From early 2023 the Tories were clearly up and running with the stronger election unit - aggressive, busy, working effectively together with mainstream media, getting results, whilst Labour’s was non existent until the bill boards appeared about five weeks to go, followed by the now “notorious” mass balloon release.

    So it wasn’t how clever for Tories to sack, disown and politically bury Boris, to already give the voters a government change before the election what won it, as much as it now appears it utterly negated Labours “time for change” campaign - that Sunak was thought of on election day as The NHS. The economy. Stability. Fairness, equality, good, honesty. Reducing immigration. Lower taxes. Helping the country/people. A better Britain. The poor. Hope. whilst Starmer and Labour thought of as Wokeness, higher taxes, Dishonesty, Chaos, Disaster, greed, Bad Money, was actually perceptions engineered, fake and created, cultivated over a long period of time, spending lots of money on it.

    And we should have realised this in advance, from those early 2023 heat maps. 🤷‍♀️

    You appear not to realise that the frequency of the responses is related to the size of print. If you did you would have drawn the opposite conclusions.
    That’s a pointless post, I do know how a word cloud works.

    You don’t actually, as you seem to think the most important ones are the big ones that jump out...
    I hate to break it to you, but...
    I hate to break it to you, but the power of them is how they help to measure trend, the fools gold is getting hung up on each individual one and how pretty they look. Rather like bad excitement over one opinion poll, look at the trend.

    Secondly you need to strip out the more meaningless words. You need it to paint a meaningful picture for you.

    And in this particular case, the meaningful picture - the big take out from todays which I have correctly spotted - is how these Tory clouds are getting strikingly better under Sunak, and the Labour one full of so many bad associations for that party. Of course with so much raw data you can spin it however you like as Wulf has done, but on trend he has got it utterly wrong hasn’t he? And all those words I have used that help paint that full picture are actually there on both charts, the sheer weight of them help fill in a fuller picture.
    You are speaking in tongues again Rabbit. I have not a ScoobyDoo, I'm afraid.
    I shouldn’t pander to you and your special needs, but as you have cried for help, some people here are clearly oblivious to the issues with word clouds and can’t use them properly like I can.

    Do word clouds help you capture complex themes from the data, or in fact distract you if all you do is glance at the biggest words? For example my analysis would try to pick up context. Where you are trying to imply the little words are meaningless, I argue Sunak launches war on the dingy people and suddenly gets little words like tough, leadership, and Starmer gets little words like weak, pro immigration appear. This is important.
    You have a way with words, to coin a phrase.
    I reckon that saying might catch on, you know
    I particularly like the idea of a war on dingy people - accountants to be concerned?
    No. Chartered Accountants are cool and interesting people.
    Of course they are. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LqQlCOmXuHM
    Dated that though. Accountancy (Chartered) went through a revolution in the 80s. It started to attract lots of 21 year old graduates from top unis who were both smart and directionless.
    My youngest wants to go into finance. Perhaps accountancy.

    So given the horrendous student loan system (9% graduate tax for 40 years anyone?) and poor value for money given by university courses (some, perhaps most); does my daughter:

    1) go to a Russell Group university (if she gets the grades and is accepted) 2) go to a non-Russell Group university (if she fails to get the grades) or 3) leave school at 18 and join a large accountancy firm with an apprentice degree-equivalent option (the equivalent being accountancy exams).

    I don't know what to advise her (though she doesn't listen to me anyway).
    With the obvious caveat that I don't know her my advice is for her to study a subject she really likes at the best uni she can get into. Then see how things develop.
    17 year olds choosing degrees based on what they like, without considering employability, is a terrible life decision.
    To an extent, sure. But a 2:1 or better in any course from a half-decent university is at least reasonably employable and if you enjoy the subject you're surely more likely to get a better grade.
    As a man with a Philosophy Degree from a decent University, I don't regret my time there at all. I was not mature enough to enter the workforce at 18. I'm not even sure I was mature enough at 21.

    If someone gets into a third tier University to do a subject without strong obvious job prospects, then - yes - it's probably a waste of money.

    But there simply isn't that much demand for quite bright 18 year olds out there. Employers prefer people who are a little older and a little more mature. University shows that you are able to self manage yourself over a substantial period of time. That's an incredibly important signal to an employer.
    When we get GPT-27, there won't be much demand for "quite" bright people of any age ;-)
    GPT means the demand for the semi-skilled drops further.
    Or maybe we'll simply have to re define "skilled" and "unskilled"?
    The TA's who work in my special school are quite remarkably highly skilled. Most folk with a degree wouldn't last a morning. Chat GPT couldn't do it.
    But they are minimum wage. Because you can't get a GCSE in it. So they aren't valued.
    Quasi-correction: it's the children who aren't valued. Same as with USA.
    TAs *and* weans, surely ...
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,921

    Wherever Charles goes disorder follows.


    It isn't the King's fault President Macron and his party have tried to push through a deeply unpopular rise in the French pension age to 64 just before his visit
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,087

    Off topic...

    The other day I had a post deleted on another site because it "added nothing to the topic".

    Such a rule here, and we'd need a dozen more moderators.

    (I apologise that this post has added nothing to the topic.)

    It adds to the general gaity of life!

    I'm even missing certain holiday snaps right now.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,921

    Wherever Charles goes disorder follows.


    A banquet at Versailles seems a little tin-eared anyway. Though unfair on Charles, as he won't have been the one making decisions on the programme.
    I am sure it suits Macron's Louis XIV desires admirably
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,087

    Wherever Charles goes disorder follows.


    A banquet at Versailles seems a little tin-eared anyway. Though unfair on Charles, as he won't have been the one making decisions on the programme.
    French Presidents generally are pretty grand, I think? I wonder if the public there complain about him taking a plane to Marseilles or whereever.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,921

    The SNP implosion does not seem to have maintained its pace of a week ago.

    Therefore Labour's chances of a majority have greatly reduced unless and until the SNP resume shooting their feet off with high-calibre weaponry.

    Or McPlod arrests them all.

    It will be back on again once the leadership result comes through next week
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,541

    The SNP implosion does not seem to have maintained its pace of a week ago.

    Therefore Labour's chances of a majority have greatly reduced unless and until the SNP resume shooting their feet off with high-calibre weaponry.

    Or McPlod arrests them all.

    I thought Partygate ended in July.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,087
    rcs1000 said:

    Driver said:

    WillG said:

    kinabalu said:

    Stocky said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ...

    Nigelb said:

    It’s 2025! and we are washing up, with benefit of hindsight, what happened in 2024 election and why. What did we miss?

    Did the 1992 scenario repeated in 2024 simply boil down to Tory’s having a lot more money to spend on it than Labour?

    When do you actually start general election campaign expenditure, and campaigning - about six weeks to go?

    From early 2023 the Tories were clearly up and running with the stronger election unit - aggressive, busy, working effectively together with mainstream media, getting results, whilst Labour’s was non existent until the bill boards appeared about five weeks to go, followed by the now “notorious” mass balloon release.

    So it wasn’t how clever for Tories to sack, disown and politically bury Boris, to already give the voters a government change before the election what won it, as much as it now appears it utterly negated Labours “time for change” campaign - that Sunak was thought of on election day as The NHS. The economy. Stability. Fairness, equality, good, honesty. Reducing immigration. Lower taxes. Helping the country/people. A better Britain. The poor. Hope. whilst Starmer and Labour thought of as Wokeness, higher taxes, Dishonesty, Chaos, Disaster, greed, Bad Money, was actually perceptions engineered, fake and created, cultivated over a long period of time, spending lots of money on it.

    And we should have realised this in advance, from those early 2023 heat maps. 🤷‍♀️

    You appear not to realise that the frequency of the responses is related to the size of print. If you did you would have drawn the opposite conclusions.
    That’s a pointless post, I do know how a word cloud works.

    You don’t actually, as you seem to think the most important ones are the big ones that jump out...
    I hate to break it to you, but...
    I hate to break it to you, but the power of them is how they help to measure trend, the fools gold is getting hung up on each individual one and how pretty they look. Rather like bad excitement over one opinion poll, look at the trend.

    Secondly you need to strip out the more meaningless words. You need it to paint a meaningful picture for you.

    And in this particular case, the meaningful picture - the big take out from todays which I have correctly spotted - is how these Tory clouds are getting strikingly better under Sunak, and the Labour one full of so many bad associations for that party. Of course with so much raw data you can spin it however you like as Wulf has done, but on trend he has got it utterly wrong hasn’t he? And all those words I have used that help paint that full picture are actually there on both charts, the sheer weight of them help fill in a fuller picture.
    You are speaking in tongues again Rabbit. I have not a ScoobyDoo, I'm afraid.
    I shouldn’t pander to you and your special needs, but as you have cried for help, some people here are clearly oblivious to the issues with word clouds and can’t use them properly like I can.

    Do word clouds help you capture complex themes from the data, or in fact distract you if all you do is glance at the biggest words? For example my analysis would try to pick up context. Where you are trying to imply the little words are meaningless, I argue Sunak launches war on the dingy people and suddenly gets little words like tough, leadership, and Starmer gets little words like weak, pro immigration appear. This is important.
    You have a way with words, to coin a phrase.
    I reckon that saying might catch on, you know
    I particularly like the idea of a war on dingy people - accountants to be concerned?
    No. Chartered Accountants are cool and interesting people.
    Of course they are. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LqQlCOmXuHM
    Dated that though. Accountancy (Chartered) went through a revolution in the 80s. It started to attract lots of 21 year old graduates from top unis who were both smart and directionless.
    My youngest wants to go into finance. Perhaps accountancy.

    So given the horrendous student loan system (9% graduate tax for 40 years anyone?) and poor value for money given by university courses (some, perhaps most); does my daughter:

    1) go to a Russell Group university (if she gets the grades and is accepted) 2) go to a non-Russell Group university (if she fails to get the grades) or 3) leave school at 18 and join a large accountancy firm with an apprentice degree-equivalent option (the equivalent being accountancy exams).

    I don't know what to advise her (though she doesn't listen to me anyway).
    With the obvious caveat that I don't know her my advice is for her to study a subject she really likes at the best uni she can get into. Then see how things develop.
    17 year olds choosing degrees based on what they like, without considering employability, is a terrible life decision.
    To an extent, sure. But a 2:1 or better in any course from a half-decent university is at least reasonably employable and if you enjoy the subject you're surely more likely to get a better grade.
    As a man with a Philosophy Degree from a decent University, I don't regret my time there at all. I was not mature enough to enter the workforce at 18. I'm not even sure I was mature enough at 21.

    If someone gets into a third tier University to do a subject without strong obvious job prospects, then - yes - it's probably a waste of money.

    But there simply isn't that much demand for quite bright 18 year olds out there. Employers prefer people who are a little older and a little more mature. University shows that you are able to self manage yourself over a substantial period of time. That's an incredibly important signal to an employer.
    I think this is a very good point. In some ways it just extends time without 'responsibility', but it also gives time to grow up a bit.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    Carnyx said:

    dixiedean said:

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Driver said:

    WillG said:

    kinabalu said:

    Stocky said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ...

    Nigelb said:

    It’s 2025! and we are washing up, with benefit of hindsight, what happened in 2024 election and why. What did we miss?

    Did the 1992 scenario repeated in 2024 simply boil down to Tory’s having a lot more money to spend on it than Labour?

    When do you actually start general election campaign expenditure, and campaigning - about six weeks to go?

    From early 2023 the Tories were clearly up and running with the stronger election unit - aggressive, busy, working effectively together with mainstream media, getting results, whilst Labour’s was non existent until the bill boards appeared about five weeks to go, followed by the now “notorious” mass balloon release.

    So it wasn’t how clever for Tories to sack, disown and politically bury Boris, to already give the voters a government change before the election what won it, as much as it now appears it utterly negated Labours “time for change” campaign - that Sunak was thought of on election day as The NHS. The economy. Stability. Fairness, equality, good, honesty. Reducing immigration. Lower taxes. Helping the country/people. A better Britain. The poor. Hope. whilst Starmer and Labour thought of as Wokeness, higher taxes, Dishonesty, Chaos, Disaster, greed, Bad Money, was actually perceptions engineered, fake and created, cultivated over a long period of time, spending lots of money on it.

    And we should have realised this in advance, from those early 2023 heat maps. 🤷‍♀️

    You appear not to realise that the frequency of the responses is related to the size of print. If you did you would have drawn the opposite conclusions.
    That’s a pointless post, I do know how a word cloud works.

    You don’t actually, as you seem to think the most important ones are the big ones that jump out...
    I hate to break it to you, but...
    I hate to break it to you, but the power of them is how they help to measure trend, the fools gold is getting hung up on each individual one and how pretty they look. Rather like bad excitement over one opinion poll, look at the trend.

    Secondly you need to strip out the more meaningless words. You need it to paint a meaningful picture for you.

    And in this particular case, the meaningful picture - the big take out from todays which I have correctly spotted - is how these Tory clouds are getting strikingly better under Sunak, and the Labour one full of so many bad associations for that party. Of course with so much raw data you can spin it however you like as Wulf has done, but on trend he has got it utterly wrong hasn’t he? And all those words I have used that help paint that full picture are actually there on both charts, the sheer weight of them help fill in a fuller picture.
    You are speaking in tongues again Rabbit. I have not a ScoobyDoo, I'm afraid.
    I shouldn’t pander to you and your special needs, but as you have cried for help, some people here are clearly oblivious to the issues with word clouds and can’t use them properly like I can.

    Do word clouds help you capture complex themes from the data, or in fact distract you if all you do is glance at the biggest words? For example my analysis would try to pick up context. Where you are trying to imply the little words are meaningless, I argue Sunak launches war on the dingy people and suddenly gets little words like tough, leadership, and Starmer gets little words like weak, pro immigration appear. This is important.
    You have a way with words, to coin a phrase.
    I reckon that saying might catch on, you know
    I particularly like the idea of a war on dingy people - accountants to be concerned?
    No. Chartered Accountants are cool and interesting people.
    Of course they are. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LqQlCOmXuHM
    Dated that though. Accountancy (Chartered) went through a revolution in the 80s. It started to attract lots of 21 year old graduates from top unis who were both smart and directionless.
    My youngest wants to go into finance. Perhaps accountancy.

    So given the horrendous student loan system (9% graduate tax for 40 years anyone?) and poor value for money given by university courses (some, perhaps most); does my daughter:

    1) go to a Russell Group university (if she gets the grades and is accepted) 2) go to a non-Russell Group university (if she fails to get the grades) or 3) leave school at 18 and join a large accountancy firm with an apprentice degree-equivalent option (the equivalent being accountancy exams).

    I don't know what to advise her (though she doesn't listen to me anyway).
    With the obvious caveat that I don't know her my advice is for her to study a subject she really likes at the best uni she can get into. Then see how things develop.
    17 year olds choosing degrees based on what they like, without considering employability, is a terrible life decision.
    To an extent, sure. But a 2:1 or better in any course from a half-decent university is at least reasonably employable and if you enjoy the subject you're surely more likely to get a better grade.
    As a man with a Philosophy Degree from a decent University, I don't regret my time there at all. I was not mature enough to enter the workforce at 18. I'm not even sure I was mature enough at 21.

    If someone gets into a third tier University to do a subject without strong obvious job prospects, then - yes - it's probably a waste of money.

    But there simply isn't that much demand for quite bright 18 year olds out there. Employers prefer people who are a little older and a little more mature. University shows that you are able to self manage yourself over a substantial period of time. That's an incredibly important signal to an employer.
    When we get GPT-27, there won't be much demand for "quite" bright people of any age ;-)
    GPT means the demand for the semi-skilled drops further.
    Or maybe we'll simply have to re define "skilled" and "unskilled"?
    The TA's who work in my special school are quite remarkably highly skilled. Most folk with a degree wouldn't last a morning. Chat GPT couldn't do it.
    But they are minimum wage. Because you can't get a GCSE in it. So they aren't valued.
    Quasi-correction: it's the children who aren't valued. Same as with USA.
    TAs *and* weans, surely ...
    TAs ain't of any account precisely BECAUSE they work with & for children. Same as teachers.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,921
    edited March 2023

    rcs1000 said:

    Driver said:

    WillG said:

    kinabalu said:

    Stocky said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ...

    Nigelb said:

    It’s 2025! and we are washing up, with benefit of hindsight, what happened in 2024 election and why. What did we miss?

    Did the 1992 scenario repeated in 2024 simply boil down to Tory’s having a lot more money to spend on it than Labour?

    When do you actually start general election campaign expenditure, and campaigning - about six weeks to go?

    From early 2023 the Tories were clearly up and running with the stronger election unit - aggressive, busy, working effectively together with mainstream media, getting results, whilst Labour’s was non existent until the bill boards appeared about five weeks to go, followed by the now “notorious” mass balloon release.

    So it wasn’t how clever for Tories to sack, disown and politically bury Boris, to already give the voters a government change before the election what won it, as much as it now appears it utterly negated Labours “time for change” campaign - that Sunak was thought of on election day as The NHS. The economy. Stability. Fairness, equality, good, honesty. Reducing immigration. Lower taxes. Helping the country/people. A better Britain. The poor. Hope. whilst Starmer and Labour thought of as Wokeness, higher taxes, Dishonesty, Chaos, Disaster, greed, Bad Money, was actually perceptions engineered, fake and created, cultivated over a long period of time, spending lots of money on it.

    And we should have realised this in advance, from those early 2023 heat maps. 🤷‍♀️

    You appear not to realise that the frequency of the responses is related to the size of print. If you did you would have drawn the opposite conclusions.
    That’s a pointless post, I do know how a word cloud works.

    You don’t actually, as you seem to think the most important ones are the big ones that jump out...
    I hate to break it to you, but...
    I hate to break it to you, but the power of them is how they help to measure trend, the fools gold is getting hung up on each individual one and how pretty they look. Rather like bad excitement over one opinion poll, look at the trend.

    Secondly you need to strip out the more meaningless words. You need it to paint a meaningful picture for you.

    And in this particular case, the meaningful picture - the big take out from todays which I have correctly spotted - is how these Tory clouds are getting strikingly better under Sunak, and the Labour one full of so many bad associations for that party. Of course with so much raw data you can spin it however you like as Wulf has done, but on trend he has got it utterly wrong hasn’t he? And all those words I have used that help paint that full picture are actually there on both charts, the sheer weight of them help fill in a fuller picture.
    You are speaking in tongues again Rabbit. I have not a ScoobyDoo, I'm afraid.
    I shouldn’t pander to you and your special needs, but as you have cried for help, some people here are clearly oblivious to the issues with word clouds and can’t use them properly like I can.

    Do word clouds help you capture complex themes from the data, or in fact distract you if all you do is glance at the biggest words? For example my analysis would try to pick up context. Where you are trying to imply the little words are meaningless, I argue Sunak launches war on the dingy people and suddenly gets little words like tough, leadership, and Starmer gets little words like weak, pro immigration appear. This is important.
    You have a way with words, to coin a phrase.
    I reckon that saying might catch on, you know
    I particularly like the idea of a war on dingy people - accountants to be concerned?
    No. Chartered Accountants are cool and interesting people.
    Of course they are. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LqQlCOmXuHM
    Dated that though. Accountancy (Chartered) went through a revolution in the 80s. It started to attract lots of 21 year old graduates from top unis who were both smart and directionless.
    My youngest wants to go into finance. Perhaps accountancy.

    So given the horrendous student loan system (9% graduate tax for 40 years anyone?) and poor value for money given by university courses (some, perhaps most); does my daughter:

    1) go to a Russell Group university (if she gets the grades and is accepted) 2) go to a non-Russell Group university (if she fails to get the grades) or 3) leave school at 18 and join a large accountancy firm with an apprentice degree-equivalent option (the equivalent being accountancy exams).

    I don't know what to advise her (though she doesn't listen to me anyway).
    With the obvious caveat that I don't know her my advice is for her to study a subject she really likes at the best uni she can get into. Then see how things develop.
    17 year olds choosing degrees based on what they like, without considering employability, is a terrible life decision.
    To an extent, sure. But a 2:1 or better in any course from a half-decent university is at least reasonably employable and if you enjoy the subject you're surely more likely to get a better grade.
    As a man with a Philosophy Degree from a decent University, I don't regret my time there at all. I was not mature enough to enter the workforce at 18. I'm not even sure I was mature enough at 21.

    If someone gets into a third tier University to do a subject without strong obvious job prospects, then - yes - it's probably a waste of money.

    But there simply isn't that much demand for quite bright 18 year olds out there. Employers prefer people who are a little older and a little more mature. University shows that you are able to self manage yourself over a substantial period of time. That's an incredibly important signal to an employer.
    When we get GPT-27, there won't be much demand for "quite" bright people of any age ;-)
    In that case there won't be much demand for full time workers full stop and a UBI funded by a tax on AI would be inevitable
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,921
    Labour most seats but no majority remains my prediction
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,647
    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Driver said:

    WillG said:

    kinabalu said:

    Stocky said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ...

    Nigelb said:

    It’s 2025! and we are washing up, with benefit of hindsight, what happened in 2024 election and why. What did we miss?

    Did the 1992 scenario repeated in 2024 simply boil down to Tory’s having a lot more money to spend on it than Labour?

    When do you actually start general election campaign expenditure, and campaigning - about six weeks to go?

    From early 2023 the Tories were clearly up and running with the stronger election unit - aggressive, busy, working effectively together with mainstream media, getting results, whilst Labour’s was non existent until the bill boards appeared about five weeks to go, followed by the now “notorious” mass balloon release.

    So it wasn’t how clever for Tories to sack, disown and politically bury Boris, to already give the voters a government change before the election what won it, as much as it now appears it utterly negated Labours “time for change” campaign - that Sunak was thought of on election day as The NHS. The economy. Stability. Fairness, equality, good, honesty. Reducing immigration. Lower taxes. Helping the country/people. A better Britain. The poor. Hope. whilst Starmer and Labour thought of as Wokeness, higher taxes, Dishonesty, Chaos, Disaster, greed, Bad Money, was actually perceptions engineered, fake and created, cultivated over a long period of time, spending lots of money on it.

    And we should have realised this in advance, from those early 2023 heat maps. 🤷‍♀️

    You appear not to realise that the frequency of the responses is related to the size of print. If you did you would have drawn the opposite conclusions.
    That’s a pointless post, I do know how a word cloud works.

    You don’t actually, as you seem to think the most important ones are the big ones that jump out...
    I hate to break it to you, but...
    I hate to break it to you, but the power of them is how they help to measure trend, the fools gold is getting hung up on each individual one and how pretty they look. Rather like bad excitement over one opinion poll, look at the trend.

    Secondly you need to strip out the more meaningless words. You need it to paint a meaningful picture for you.

    And in this particular case, the meaningful picture - the big take out from todays which I have correctly spotted - is how these Tory clouds are getting strikingly better under Sunak, and the Labour one full of so many bad associations for that party. Of course with so much raw data you can spin it however you like as Wulf has done, but on trend he has got it utterly wrong hasn’t he? And all those words I have used that help paint that full picture are actually there on both charts, the sheer weight of them help fill in a fuller picture.
    You are speaking in tongues again Rabbit. I have not a ScoobyDoo, I'm afraid.
    I shouldn’t pander to you and your special needs, but as you have cried for help, some people here are clearly oblivious to the issues with word clouds and can’t use them properly like I can.

    Do word clouds help you capture complex themes from the data, or in fact distract you if all you do is glance at the biggest words? For example my analysis would try to pick up context. Where you are trying to imply the little words are meaningless, I argue Sunak launches war on the dingy people and suddenly gets little words like tough, leadership, and Starmer gets little words like weak, pro immigration appear. This is important.
    You have a way with words, to coin a phrase.
    I reckon that saying might catch on, you know
    I particularly like the idea of a war on dingy people - accountants to be concerned?
    No. Chartered Accountants are cool and interesting people.
    Of course they are. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LqQlCOmXuHM
    Dated that though. Accountancy (Chartered) went through a revolution in the 80s. It started to attract lots of 21 year old graduates from top unis who were both smart and directionless.
    My youngest wants to go into finance. Perhaps accountancy.

    So given the horrendous student loan system (9% graduate tax for 40 years anyone?) and poor value for money given by university courses (some, perhaps most); does my daughter:

    1) go to a Russell Group university (if she gets the grades and is accepted) 2) go to a non-Russell Group university (if she fails to get the grades) or 3) leave school at 18 and join a large accountancy firm with an apprentice degree-equivalent option (the equivalent being accountancy exams).

    I don't know what to advise her (though she doesn't listen to me anyway).
    With the obvious caveat that I don't know her my advice is for her to study a subject she really likes at the best uni she can get into. Then see how things develop.
    17 year olds choosing degrees based on what they like, without considering employability, is a terrible life decision.
    To an extent, sure. But a 2:1 or better in any course from a half-decent university is at least reasonably employable and if you enjoy the subject you're surely more likely to get a better grade.
    As a man with a Philosophy Degree from a decent University, I don't regret my time there at all. I was not mature enough to enter the workforce at 18. I'm not even sure I was mature enough at 21.

    If someone gets into a third tier University to do a subject without strong obvious job prospects, then - yes - it's probably a waste of money.

    But there simply isn't that much demand for quite bright 18 year olds out there. Employers prefer people who are a little older and a little more mature. University shows that you are able to self manage yourself over a substantial period of time. That's an incredibly important signal to an employer.
    When we get GPT-27, there won't be much demand for "quite" bright people of any age ;-)
    In that case there won't be much demand for full time workers full stop and a UBI funded by a tax on AI would be inevitable
    Why would AI pay that tax? It isn't dumb!
  • TimSTimS Posts: 12,989
    kle4 said:

    Wherever Charles goes disorder follows.


    A banquet at Versailles seems a little tin-eared anyway. Though unfair on Charles, as he won't have been the one making decisions on the programme.
    French Presidents generally are pretty grand, I think? I wonder if the public there complain about him taking a plane to Marseilles or whereever.
    It would be much more fun to be a French president than British PM. You're head of state for a start. Pay much better, domestic accommodation leagues ahead. People hate you but they hate British PMs too.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,821

    The SNP implosion does not seem to have maintained its pace of a week ago.

    Therefore Labour's chances of a majority have greatly reduced unless and until the SNP resume shooting their feet off with high-calibre weaponry.

    Or McPlod arrests them all.

    We are really in the waiting period to see what drops next, there, I think.

    Given the amount of astroturfing I am seeing on behalf of Peter Murrell, the Old Guard will not surrender easily.
    "La Garde meurt mais ne se rend pas!"
    Unfortunatement, je ne comprends pas le français!
  • TimSTimS Posts: 12,989
    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Driver said:

    WillG said:

    kinabalu said:

    Stocky said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ...

    Nigelb said:

    It’s 2025! and we are washing up, with benefit of hindsight, what happened in 2024 election and why. What did we miss?

    Did the 1992 scenario repeated in 2024 simply boil down to Tory’s having a lot more money to spend on it than Labour?

    When do you actually start general election campaign expenditure, and campaigning - about six weeks to go?

    From early 2023 the Tories were clearly up and running with the stronger election unit - aggressive, busy, working effectively together with mainstream media, getting results, whilst Labour’s was non existent until the bill boards appeared about five weeks to go, followed by the now “notorious” mass balloon release.

    So it wasn’t how clever for Tories to sack, disown and politically bury Boris, to already give the voters a government change before the election what won it, as much as it now appears it utterly negated Labours “time for change” campaign - that Sunak was thought of on election day as The NHS. The economy. Stability. Fairness, equality, good, honesty. Reducing immigration. Lower taxes. Helping the country/people. A better Britain. The poor. Hope. whilst Starmer and Labour thought of as Wokeness, higher taxes, Dishonesty, Chaos, Disaster, greed, Bad Money, was actually perceptions engineered, fake and created, cultivated over a long period of time, spending lots of money on it.

    And we should have realised this in advance, from those early 2023 heat maps. 🤷‍♀️

    You appear not to realise that the frequency of the responses is related to the size of print. If you did you would have drawn the opposite conclusions.
    That’s a pointless post, I do know how a word cloud works.

    You don’t actually, as you seem to think the most important ones are the big ones that jump out...
    I hate to break it to you, but...
    I hate to break it to you, but the power of them is how they help to measure trend, the fools gold is getting hung up on each individual one and how pretty they look. Rather like bad excitement over one opinion poll, look at the trend.

    Secondly you need to strip out the more meaningless words. You need it to paint a meaningful picture for you.

    And in this particular case, the meaningful picture - the big take out from todays which I have correctly spotted - is how these Tory clouds are getting strikingly better under Sunak, and the Labour one full of so many bad associations for that party. Of course with so much raw data you can spin it however you like as Wulf has done, but on trend he has got it utterly wrong hasn’t he? And all those words I have used that help paint that full picture are actually there on both charts, the sheer weight of them help fill in a fuller picture.
    You are speaking in tongues again Rabbit. I have not a ScoobyDoo, I'm afraid.
    I shouldn’t pander to you and your special needs, but as you have cried for help, some people here are clearly oblivious to the issues with word clouds and can’t use them properly like I can.

    Do word clouds help you capture complex themes from the data, or in fact distract you if all you do is glance at the biggest words? For example my analysis would try to pick up context. Where you are trying to imply the little words are meaningless, I argue Sunak launches war on the dingy people and suddenly gets little words like tough, leadership, and Starmer gets little words like weak, pro immigration appear. This is important.
    You have a way with words, to coin a phrase.
    I reckon that saying might catch on, you know
    I particularly like the idea of a war on dingy people - accountants to be concerned?
    No. Chartered Accountants are cool and interesting people.
    Of course they are. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LqQlCOmXuHM
    Dated that though. Accountancy (Chartered) went through a revolution in the 80s. It started to attract lots of 21 year old graduates from top unis who were both smart and directionless.
    My youngest wants to go into finance. Perhaps accountancy.

    So given the horrendous student loan system (9% graduate tax for 40 years anyone?) and poor value for money given by university courses (some, perhaps most); does my daughter:

    1) go to a Russell Group university (if she gets the grades and is accepted) 2) go to a non-Russell Group university (if she fails to get the grades) or 3) leave school at 18 and join a large accountancy firm with an apprentice degree-equivalent option (the equivalent being accountancy exams).

    I don't know what to advise her (though she doesn't listen to me anyway).
    With the obvious caveat that I don't know her my advice is for her to study a subject she really likes at the best uni she can get into. Then see how things develop.
    17 year olds choosing degrees based on what they like, without considering employability, is a terrible life decision.
    To an extent, sure. But a 2:1 or better in any course from a half-decent university is at least reasonably employable and if you enjoy the subject you're surely more likely to get a better grade.
    As a man with a Philosophy Degree from a decent University, I don't regret my time there at all. I was not mature enough to enter the workforce at 18. I'm not even sure I was mature enough at 21.

    If someone gets into a third tier University to do a subject without strong obvious job prospects, then - yes - it's probably a waste of money.

    But there simply isn't that much demand for quite bright 18 year olds out there. Employers prefer people who are a little older and a little more mature. University shows that you are able to self manage yourself over a substantial period of time. That's an incredibly important signal to an employer.
    When we get GPT-27, there won't be much demand for "quite" bright people of any age ;-)
    In that case there won't be much demand for full time workers full stop and a UBI funded by a tax on AI would be inevitable
    Why would AI pay that tax? It isn't dumb!
    Making AI pay their fair share by shutting down all the loopholes they spotted would become an ongoing challenge.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,647
    TimS said:

    kle4 said:

    Wherever Charles goes disorder follows.


    A banquet at Versailles seems a little tin-eared anyway. Though unfair on Charles, as he won't have been the one making decisions on the programme.
    French Presidents generally are pretty grand, I think? I wonder if the public there complain about him taking a plane to Marseilles or whereever.
    It would be much more fun to be a French president than British PM. You're head of state for a start. Pay much better, domestic accommodation leagues ahead. People hate you but they hate British PMs too.
    Though how is this for a man of the people:

    https://twitter.com/maksymeristavi/status/1638595142549479452?t=de_OnM_TXuTcSUmvzlTAow&s=19
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,070
    Not a breakthrough after all.
    The General Staff issued a refutation of its statement: "The occupiers are still temporarily in Nova Kakhovka. Information about the alleged withdrawal of the enemy from this settlement was made public as a result of incorrect use of available data."
    https://twitter.com/Hromadske/status/1638964504636555264
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 12,497

    rcs1000 said:

    Driver said:

    WillG said:

    kinabalu said:

    Stocky said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ...

    Nigelb said:

    It’s 2025! and we are washing up, with benefit of hindsight, what happened in 2024 election and why. What did we miss?

    Did the 1992 scenario repeated in 2024 simply boil down to Tory’s having a lot more money to spend on it than Labour?

    When do you actually start general election campaign expenditure, and campaigning - about six weeks to go?

    From early 2023 the Tories were clearly up and running with the stronger election unit - aggressive, busy, working effectively together with mainstream media, getting results, whilst Labour’s was non existent until the bill boards appeared about five weeks to go, followed by the now “notorious” mass balloon release.

    So it wasn’t how clever for Tories to sack, disown and politically bury Boris, to already give the voters a government change before the election what won it, as much as it now appears it utterly negated Labours “time for change” campaign - that Sunak was thought of on election day as The NHS. The economy. Stability. Fairness, equality, good, honesty. Reducing immigration. Lower taxes. Helping the country/people. A better Britain. The poor. Hope. whilst Starmer and Labour thought of as Wokeness, higher taxes, Dishonesty, Chaos, Disaster, greed, Bad Money, was actually perceptions engineered, fake and created, cultivated over a long period of time, spending lots of money on it.

    And we should have realised this in advance, from those early 2023 heat maps. 🤷‍♀️

    You appear not to realise that the frequency of the responses is related to the size of print. If you did you would have drawn the opposite conclusions.
    That’s a pointless post, I do know how a word cloud works.

    You don’t actually, as you seem to think the most important ones are the big ones that jump out...
    I hate to break it to you, but...
    I hate to break it to you, but the power of them is how they help to measure trend, the fools gold is getting hung up on each individual one and how pretty they look. Rather like bad excitement over one opinion poll, look at the trend.

    Secondly you need to strip out the more meaningless words. You need it to paint a meaningful picture for you.

    And in this particular case, the meaningful picture - the big take out from todays which I have correctly spotted - is how these Tory clouds are getting strikingly better under Sunak, and the Labour one full of so many bad associations for that party. Of course with so much raw data you can spin it however you like as Wulf has done, but on trend he has got it utterly wrong hasn’t he? And all those words I have used that help paint that full picture are actually there on both charts, the sheer weight of them help fill in a fuller picture.
    You are speaking in tongues again Rabbit. I have not a ScoobyDoo, I'm afraid.
    I shouldn’t pander to you and your special needs, but as you have cried for help, some people here are clearly oblivious to the issues with word clouds and can’t use them properly like I can.

    Do word clouds help you capture complex themes from the data, or in fact distract you if all you do is glance at the biggest words? For example my analysis would try to pick up context. Where you are trying to imply the little words are meaningless, I argue Sunak launches war on the dingy people and suddenly gets little words like tough, leadership, and Starmer gets little words like weak, pro immigration appear. This is important.
    You have a way with words, to coin a phrase.
    I reckon that saying might catch on, you know
    I particularly like the idea of a war on dingy people - accountants to be concerned?
    No. Chartered Accountants are cool and interesting people.
    Of course they are. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LqQlCOmXuHM
    Dated that though. Accountancy (Chartered) went through a revolution in the 80s. It started to attract lots of 21 year old graduates from top unis who were both smart and directionless.
    My youngest wants to go into finance. Perhaps accountancy.

    So given the horrendous student loan system (9% graduate tax for 40 years anyone?) and poor value for money given by university courses (some, perhaps most); does my daughter:

    1) go to a Russell Group university (if she gets the grades and is accepted) 2) go to a non-Russell Group university (if she fails to get the grades) or 3) leave school at 18 and join a large accountancy firm with an apprentice degree-equivalent option (the equivalent being accountancy exams).

    I don't know what to advise her (though she doesn't listen to me anyway).
    With the obvious caveat that I don't know her my advice is for her to study a subject she really likes at the best uni she can get into. Then see how things develop.
    17 year olds choosing degrees based on what they like, without considering employability, is a terrible life decision.
    To an extent, sure. But a 2:1 or better in any course from a half-decent university is at least reasonably employable and if you enjoy the subject you're surely more likely to get a better grade.
    As a man with a Philosophy Degree from a decent University, I don't regret my time there at all. I was not mature enough to enter the workforce at 18. I'm not even sure I was mature enough at 21.

    If someone gets into a third tier University to do a subject without strong obvious job prospects, then - yes - it's probably a waste of money.

    But there simply isn't that much demand for quite bright 18 year olds out there. Employers prefer people who are a little older and a little more mature. University shows that you are able to self manage yourself over a substantial period of time. That's an incredibly important signal to an employer.
    When we get GPT-27, there won't be much demand for "quite" bright people of any age ;-)
    No so I suggest. As sectors of work diminish (as has happened throughout the industrial revolution) so sectors of work of all kinds advance to take their place. Look at total employment figures.

    The western world is a vast job creation scheme. This is not going to stop. Many of the jobs replaced by automation of all sorts are pretty dull anyway. Subsistence economies don't have enough time, money or people for Wagner, ballet, social care, nail shops and Ibiza.

  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 10,759
    TimS said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Driver said:

    WillG said:

    kinabalu said:

    Stocky said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ...

    Nigelb said:

    It’s 2025! and we are washing up, with benefit of hindsight, what happened in 2024 election and why. What did we miss?

    Did the 1992 scenario repeated in 2024 simply boil down to Tory’s having a lot more money to spend on it than Labour?

    When do you actually start general election campaign expenditure, and campaigning - about six weeks to go?

    From early 2023 the Tories were clearly up and running with the stronger election unit - aggressive, busy, working effectively together with mainstream media, getting results, whilst Labour’s was non existent until the bill boards appeared about five weeks to go, followed by the now “notorious” mass balloon release.

    So it wasn’t how clever for Tories to sack, disown and politically bury Boris, to already give the voters a government change before the election what won it, as much as it now appears it utterly negated Labours “time for change” campaign - that Sunak was thought of on election day as The NHS. The economy. Stability. Fairness, equality, good, honesty. Reducing immigration. Lower taxes. Helping the country/people. A better Britain. The poor. Hope. whilst Starmer and Labour thought of as Wokeness, higher taxes, Dishonesty, Chaos, Disaster, greed, Bad Money, was actually perceptions engineered, fake and created, cultivated over a long period of time, spending lots of money on it.

    And we should have realised this in advance, from those early 2023 heat maps. 🤷‍♀️

    You appear not to realise that the frequency of the responses is related to the size of print. If you did you would have drawn the opposite conclusions.
    That’s a pointless post, I do know how a word cloud works.

    You don’t actually, as you seem to think the most important ones are the big ones that jump out...
    I hate to break it to you, but...
    I hate to break it to you, but the power of them is how they help to measure trend, the fools gold is getting hung up on each individual one and how pretty they look. Rather like bad excitement over one opinion poll, look at the trend.

    Secondly you need to strip out the more meaningless words. You need it to paint a meaningful picture for you.

    And in this particular case, the meaningful picture - the big take out from todays which I have correctly spotted - is how these Tory clouds are getting strikingly better under Sunak, and the Labour one full of so many bad associations for that party. Of course with so much raw data you can spin it however you like as Wulf has done, but on trend he has got it utterly wrong hasn’t he? And all those words I have used that help paint that full picture are actually there on both charts, the sheer weight of them help fill in a fuller picture.
    You are speaking in tongues again Rabbit. I have not a ScoobyDoo, I'm afraid.
    I shouldn’t pander to you and your special needs, but as you have cried for help, some people here are clearly oblivious to the issues with word clouds and can’t use them properly like I can.

    Do word clouds help you capture complex themes from the data, or in fact distract you if all you do is glance at the biggest words? For example my analysis would try to pick up context. Where you are trying to imply the little words are meaningless, I argue Sunak launches war on the dingy people and suddenly gets little words like tough, leadership, and Starmer gets little words like weak, pro immigration appear. This is important.
    You have a way with words, to coin a phrase.
    I reckon that saying might catch on, you know
    I particularly like the idea of a war on dingy people - accountants to be concerned?
    No. Chartered Accountants are cool and interesting people.
    Of course they are. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LqQlCOmXuHM
    Dated that though. Accountancy (Chartered) went through a revolution in the 80s. It started to attract lots of 21 year old graduates from top unis who were both smart and directionless.
    My youngest wants to go into finance. Perhaps accountancy.

    So given the horrendous student loan system (9% graduate tax for 40 years anyone?) and poor value for money given by university courses (some, perhaps most); does my daughter:

    1) go to a Russell Group university (if she gets the grades and is accepted) 2) go to a non-Russell Group university (if she fails to get the grades) or 3) leave school at 18 and join a large accountancy firm with an apprentice degree-equivalent option (the equivalent being accountancy exams).

    I don't know what to advise her (though she doesn't listen to me anyway).
    With the obvious caveat that I don't know her my advice is for her to study a subject she really likes at the best uni she can get into. Then see how things develop.
    17 year olds choosing degrees based on what they like, without considering employability, is a terrible life decision.
    To an extent, sure. But a 2:1 or better in any course from a half-decent university is at least reasonably employable and if you enjoy the subject you're surely more likely to get a better grade.
    As a man with a Philosophy Degree from a decent University, I don't regret my time there at all. I was not mature enough to enter the workforce at 18. I'm not even sure I was mature enough at 21.

    If someone gets into a third tier University to do a subject without strong obvious job prospects, then - yes - it's probably a waste of money.

    But there simply isn't that much demand for quite bright 18 year olds out there. Employers prefer people who are a little older and a little more mature. University shows that you are able to self manage yourself over a substantial period of time. That's an incredibly important signal to an employer.
    When we get GPT-27, there won't be much demand for "quite" bright people of any age ;-)
    In that case there won't be much demand for full time workers full stop and a UBI funded by a tax on AI would be inevitable
    Why would AI pay that tax? It isn't dumb!
    Making AI pay their fair share by shutting down all the loopholes they spotted would become an ongoing challenge.
    And anyway you could just shut off Nigel #1 and reinstate yourself as Nigel #2. I wonder if a universal money movement tax could work? It could replace all other taxes.
  • The right decision!
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,258
    TimS said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Driver said:

    WillG said:

    kinabalu said:

    Stocky said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ...

    Nigelb said:

    It’s 2025! and we are washing up, with benefit of hindsight, what happened in 2024 election and why. What did we miss?

    Did the 1992 scenario repeated in 2024 simply boil down to Tory’s having a lot more money to spend on it than Labour?

    When do you actually start general election campaign expenditure, and campaigning - about six weeks to go?

    From early 2023 the Tories were clearly up and running with the stronger election unit - aggressive, busy, working effectively together with mainstream media, getting results, whilst Labour’s was non existent until the bill boards appeared about five weeks to go, followed by the now “notorious” mass balloon release.

    So it wasn’t how clever for Tories to sack, disown and politically bury Boris, to already give the voters a government change before the election what won it, as much as it now appears it utterly negated Labours “time for change” campaign - that Sunak was thought of on election day as The NHS. The economy. Stability. Fairness, equality, good, honesty. Reducing immigration. Lower taxes. Helping the country/people. A better Britain. The poor. Hope. whilst Starmer and Labour thought of as Wokeness, higher taxes, Dishonesty, Chaos, Disaster, greed, Bad Money, was actually perceptions engineered, fake and created, cultivated over a long period of time, spending lots of money on it.

    And we should have realised this in advance, from those early 2023 heat maps. 🤷‍♀️

    You appear not to realise that the frequency of the responses is related to the size of print. If you did you would have drawn the opposite conclusions.
    That’s a pointless post, I do know how a word cloud works.

    You don’t actually, as you seem to think the most important ones are the big ones that jump out...
    I hate to break it to you, but...
    I hate to break it to you, but the power of them is how they help to measure trend, the fools gold is getting hung up on each individual one and how pretty they look. Rather like bad excitement over one opinion poll, look at the trend.

    Secondly you need to strip out the more meaningless words. You need it to paint a meaningful picture for you.

    And in this particular case, the meaningful picture - the big take out from todays which I have correctly spotted - is how these Tory clouds are getting strikingly better under Sunak, and the Labour one full of so many bad associations for that party. Of course with so much raw data you can spin it however you like as Wulf has done, but on trend he has got it utterly wrong hasn’t he? And all those words I have used that help paint that full picture are actually there on both charts, the sheer weight of them help fill in a fuller picture.
    You are speaking in tongues again Rabbit. I have not a ScoobyDoo, I'm afraid.
    I shouldn’t pander to you and your special needs, but as you have cried for help, some people here are clearly oblivious to the issues with word clouds and can’t use them properly like I can.

    Do word clouds help you capture complex themes from the data, or in fact distract you if all you do is glance at the biggest words? For example my analysis would try to pick up context. Where you are trying to imply the little words are meaningless, I argue Sunak launches war on the dingy people and suddenly gets little words like tough, leadership, and Starmer gets little words like weak, pro immigration appear. This is important.
    You have a way with words, to coin a phrase.
    I reckon that saying might catch on, you know
    I particularly like the idea of a war on dingy people - accountants to be concerned?
    No. Chartered Accountants are cool and interesting people.
    Of course they are. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LqQlCOmXuHM
    Dated that though. Accountancy (Chartered) went through a revolution in the 80s. It started to attract lots of 21 year old graduates from top unis who were both smart and directionless.
    My youngest wants to go into finance. Perhaps accountancy.

    So given the horrendous student loan system (9% graduate tax for 40 years anyone?) and poor value for money given by university courses (some, perhaps most); does my daughter:

    1) go to a Russell Group university (if she gets the grades and is accepted) 2) go to a non-Russell Group university (if she fails to get the grades) or 3) leave school at 18 and join a large accountancy firm with an apprentice degree-equivalent option (the equivalent being accountancy exams).

    I don't know what to advise her (though she doesn't listen to me anyway).
    With the obvious caveat that I don't know her my advice is for her to study a subject she really likes at the best uni she can get into. Then see how things develop.
    17 year olds choosing degrees based on what they like, without considering employability, is a terrible life decision.
    To an extent, sure. But a 2:1 or better in any course from a half-decent university is at least reasonably employable and if you enjoy the subject you're surely more likely to get a better grade.
    As a man with a Philosophy Degree from a decent University, I don't regret my time there at all. I was not mature enough to enter the workforce at 18. I'm not even sure I was mature enough at 21.

    If someone gets into a third tier University to do a subject without strong obvious job prospects, then - yes - it's probably a waste of money.

    But there simply isn't that much demand for quite bright 18 year olds out there. Employers prefer people who are a little older and a little more mature. University shows that you are able to self manage yourself over a substantial period of time. That's an incredibly important signal to an employer.
    When we get GPT-27, there won't be much demand for "quite" bright people of any age ;-)
    In that case there won't be much demand for full time workers full stop and a UBI funded by a tax on AI would be inevitable
    Why would AI pay that tax? It isn't dumb!
    Making AI pay their fair share by shutting down all the loopholes they spotted would become an ongoing challenge.
    We could create a group of AIs to police the AIs

    Code named - Edge Sprinters?
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,631
    edited March 2023
    What a pathetic people the French are. We are the language of Shakespeare and we let it evolve. IIRC French is from the Old English meaning a nation of eunuchs.

    Excessive use of English by Notre Dame and the French post office have prompted legal action in defence of the French language.

    The cathedral and La Poste are among the targets in a series of lawsuits filed by language defence groups who are particularly outraged by the way that businesses, public institutions and figures including President Macron are adopting English despite decades of state efforts to stem the invasion.

    The most egregious case, in the eyes of the plaintiffs, is “Ma French Bank”, the online bank recently opened by La Poste. Other flagrant abuses include hybrid coinages such as Ouigo, (“We go”) the SNCF railways’ low-cost high-speed trains, and Sarthe Me Up, a punning slogan invented in Le Mans to promote the département of le Sarthe.

    The authority in charge of reconstruction after the Notre Dame fire of 2019 is accused of breaching a 1994 law that requires any translation on public signs to be in two foreign languages. The aim was to avoid giving precedence to English. “If there’s only one foreign language, it’s always Anglo-American,” said Louis Maisonneuve, head of the Observatoire des Libertés, a coalition of groups including his own French Language Defence Association. The association has already scored a victory over the management of the Eiffel Tower, forcing it to add Spanish to its signs in English.

    The campaigners have turned their sights on the organisers of next year’s Paris Olympic Games, who this week advertised for thousands of volunteers with the condition that they must speak French, English or both. No other language was specified.


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/defenders-of-french-go-on-le-attack-against-english-kxl2mgpqf
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,258
    edited March 2023
    Omnium said:

    TimS said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Driver said:

    WillG said:

    kinabalu said:

    Stocky said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ...

    Nigelb said:

    It’s 2025! and we are washing up, with benefit of hindsight, what happened in 2024 election and why. What did we miss?

    Did the 1992 scenario repeated in 2024 simply boil down to Tory’s having a lot more money to spend on it than Labour?

    When do you actually start general election campaign expenditure, and campaigning - about six weeks to go?

    From early 2023 the Tories were clearly up and running with the stronger election unit - aggressive, busy, working effectively together with mainstream media, getting results, whilst Labour’s was non existent until the bill boards appeared about five weeks to go, followed by the now “notorious” mass balloon release.

    So it wasn’t how clever for Tories to sack, disown and politically bury Boris, to already give the voters a government change before the election what won it, as much as it now appears it utterly negated Labours “time for change” campaign - that Sunak was thought of on election day as The NHS. The economy. Stability. Fairness, equality, good, honesty. Reducing immigration. Lower taxes. Helping the country/people. A better Britain. The poor. Hope. whilst Starmer and Labour thought of as Wokeness, higher taxes, Dishonesty, Chaos, Disaster, greed, Bad Money, was actually perceptions engineered, fake and created, cultivated over a long period of time, spending lots of money on it.

    And we should have realised this in advance, from those early 2023 heat maps. 🤷‍♀️

    You appear not to realise that the frequency of the responses is related to the size of print. If you did you would have drawn the opposite conclusions.
    That’s a pointless post, I do know how a word cloud works.

    You don’t actually, as you seem to think the most important ones are the big ones that jump out...
    I hate to break it to you, but...
    I hate to break it to you, but the power of them is how they help to measure trend, the fools gold is getting hung up on each individual one and how pretty they look. Rather like bad excitement over one opinion poll, look at the trend.

    Secondly you need to strip out the more meaningless words. You need it to paint a meaningful picture for you.

    And in this particular case, the meaningful picture - the big take out from todays which I have correctly spotted - is how these Tory clouds are getting strikingly better under Sunak, and the Labour one full of so many bad associations for that party. Of course with so much raw data you can spin it however you like as Wulf has done, but on trend he has got it utterly wrong hasn’t he? And all those words I have used that help paint that full picture are actually there on both charts, the sheer weight of them help fill in a fuller picture.
    You are speaking in tongues again Rabbit. I have not a ScoobyDoo, I'm afraid.
    I shouldn’t pander to you and your special needs, but as you have cried for help, some people here are clearly oblivious to the issues with word clouds and can’t use them properly like I can.

    Do word clouds help you capture complex themes from the data, or in fact distract you if all you do is glance at the biggest words? For example my analysis would try to pick up context. Where you are trying to imply the little words are meaningless, I argue Sunak launches war on the dingy people and suddenly gets little words like tough, leadership, and Starmer gets little words like weak, pro immigration appear. This is important.
    You have a way with words, to coin a phrase.
    I reckon that saying might catch on, you know
    I particularly like the idea of a war on dingy people - accountants to be concerned?
    No. Chartered Accountants are cool and interesting people.
    Of course they are. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LqQlCOmXuHM
    Dated that though. Accountancy (Chartered) went through a revolution in the 80s. It started to attract lots of 21 year old graduates from top unis who were both smart and directionless.
    My youngest wants to go into finance. Perhaps accountancy.

    So given the horrendous student loan system (9% graduate tax for 40 years anyone?) and poor value for money given by university courses (some, perhaps most); does my daughter:

    1) go to a Russell Group university (if she gets the grades and is accepted) 2) go to a non-Russell Group university (if she fails to get the grades) or 3) leave school at 18 and join a large accountancy firm with an apprentice degree-equivalent option (the equivalent being accountancy exams).

    I don't know what to advise her (though she doesn't listen to me anyway).
    With the obvious caveat that I don't know her my advice is for her to study a subject she really likes at the best uni she can get into. Then see how things develop.
    17 year olds choosing degrees based on what they like, without considering employability, is a terrible life decision.
    To an extent, sure. But a 2:1 or better in any course from a half-decent university is at least reasonably employable and if you enjoy the subject you're surely more likely to get a better grade.
    As a man with a Philosophy Degree from a decent University, I don't regret my time there at all. I was not mature enough to enter the workforce at 18. I'm not even sure I was mature enough at 21.

    If someone gets into a third tier University to do a subject without strong obvious job prospects, then - yes - it's probably a waste of money.

    But there simply isn't that much demand for quite bright 18 year olds out there. Employers prefer people who are a little older and a little more mature. University shows that you are able to self manage yourself over a substantial period of time. That's an incredibly important signal to an employer.
    When we get GPT-27, there won't be much demand for "quite" bright people of any age ;-)
    In that case there won't be much demand for full time workers full stop and a UBI funded by a tax on AI would be inevitable
    Why would AI pay that tax? It isn't dumb!
    Making AI pay their fair share by shutting down all the loopholes they spotted would become an ongoing challenge.
    And anyway you could just shut off Nigel #1 and reinstate yourself as Nigel #2. I wonder if a universal money movement tax could work? It could replace all other taxes.
    All these questions were asked by a great man..


    ‘Wait a sec,' Case said. `Are you sentient, or not?'
    ‘Well, it _feels_ like I am, kid, but I'm really just a bunch of ROM. It's one of them, ah, philosophical questions, I guess...' The ugly laughter sensation rattled down Case's spine. `But I ain't likely to write you no poem, if you follow me. Your AI, it just might. But it ain't no way _human.'_
    ‘So you figure we can't get on to its motive?'
    ‘It own itself?'
    ‘Swiss citizen, but T-A own the basic software and the mainframe.'
    ‘That's a good one,' the construct said. ‘Like, I own your brain and what you know, but your thoughts have Swiss citizenship. Sure. Lotsa luck, AI.'
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 10,759

    Omnium said:

    TimS said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Driver said:

    WillG said:

    kinabalu said:

    Stocky said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ...

    Nigelb said:

    It’s 2025! and we are washing up, with benefit of hindsight, what happened in 2024 election and why. What did we miss?

    Did the 1992 scenario repeated in 2024 simply boil down to Tory’s having a lot more money to spend on it than Labour?

    When do you actually start general election campaign expenditure, and campaigning - about six weeks to go?

    From early 2023 the Tories were clearly up and running with the stronger election unit - aggressive, busy, working effectively together with mainstream media, getting results, whilst Labour’s was non existent until the bill boards appeared about five weeks to go, followed by the now “notorious” mass balloon release.

    So it wasn’t how clever for Tories to sack, disown and politically bury Boris, to already give the voters a government change before the election what won it, as much as it now appears it utterly negated Labours “time for change” campaign - that Sunak was thought of on election day as The NHS. The economy. Stability. Fairness, equality, good, honesty. Reducing immigration. Lower taxes. Helping the country/people. A better Britain. The poor. Hope. whilst Starmer and Labour thought of as Wokeness, higher taxes, Dishonesty, Chaos, Disaster, greed, Bad Money, was actually perceptions engineered, fake and created, cultivated over a long period of time, spending lots of money on it.

    And we should have realised this in advance, from those early 2023 heat maps. 🤷‍♀️

    You appear not to realise that the frequency of the responses is related to the size of print. If you did you would have drawn the opposite conclusions.
    That’s a pointless post, I do know how a word cloud works.

    You don’t actually, as you seem to think the most important ones are the big ones that jump out...
    I hate to break it to you, but...
    I hate to break it to you, but the power of them is how they help to measure trend, the fools gold is getting hung up on each individual one and how pretty they look. Rather like bad excitement over one opinion poll, look at the trend.

    Secondly you need to strip out the more meaningless words. You need it to paint a meaningful picture for you.

    And in this particular case, the meaningful picture - the big take out from todays which I have correctly spotted - is how these Tory clouds are getting strikingly better under Sunak, and the Labour one full of so many bad associations for that party. Of course with so much raw data you can spin it however you like as Wulf has done, but on trend he has got it utterly wrong hasn’t he? And all those words I have used that help paint that full picture are actually there on both charts, the sheer weight of them help fill in a fuller picture.
    You are speaking in tongues again Rabbit. I have not a ScoobyDoo, I'm afraid.
    I shouldn’t pander to you and your special needs, but as you have cried for help, some people here are clearly oblivious to the issues with word clouds and can’t use them properly like I can.

    Do word clouds help you capture complex themes from the data, or in fact distract you if all you do is glance at the biggest words? For example my analysis would try to pick up context. Where you are trying to imply the little words are meaningless, I argue Sunak launches war on the dingy people and suddenly gets little words like tough, leadership, and Starmer gets little words like weak, pro immigration appear. This is important.
    You have a way with words, to coin a phrase.
    I reckon that saying might catch on, you know
    I particularly like the idea of a war on dingy people - accountants to be concerned?
    No. Chartered Accountants are cool and interesting people.
    Of course they are. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LqQlCOmXuHM
    Dated that though. Accountancy (Chartered) went through a revolution in the 80s. It started to attract lots of 21 year old graduates from top unis who were both smart and directionless.
    My youngest wants to go into finance. Perhaps accountancy.

    So given the horrendous student loan system (9% graduate tax for 40 years anyone?) and poor value for money given by university courses (some, perhaps most); does my daughter:

    1) go to a Russell Group university (if she gets the grades and is accepted) 2) go to a non-Russell Group university (if she fails to get the grades) or 3) leave school at 18 and join a large accountancy firm with an apprentice degree-equivalent option (the equivalent being accountancy exams).

    I don't know what to advise her (though she doesn't listen to me anyway).
    With the obvious caveat that I don't know her my advice is for her to study a subject she really likes at the best uni she can get into. Then see how things develop.
    17 year olds choosing degrees based on what they like, without considering employability, is a terrible life decision.
    To an extent, sure. But a 2:1 or better in any course from a half-decent university is at least reasonably employable and if you enjoy the subject you're surely more likely to get a better grade.
    As a man with a Philosophy Degree from a decent University, I don't regret my time there at all. I was not mature enough to enter the workforce at 18. I'm not even sure I was mature enough at 21.

    If someone gets into a third tier University to do a subject without strong obvious job prospects, then - yes - it's probably a waste of money.

    But there simply isn't that much demand for quite bright 18 year olds out there. Employers prefer people who are a little older and a little more mature. University shows that you are able to self manage yourself over a substantial period of time. That's an incredibly important signal to an employer.
    When we get GPT-27, there won't be much demand for "quite" bright people of any age ;-)
    In that case there won't be much demand for full time workers full stop and a UBI funded by a tax on AI would be inevitable
    Why would AI pay that tax? It isn't dumb!
    Making AI pay their fair share by shutting down all the loopholes they spotted would become an ongoing challenge.
    And anyway you could just shut off Nigel #1 and reinstate yourself as Nigel #2. I wonder if a universal money movement tax could work? It could replace all other taxes.
    All these questions were asked by a great man..


    ‘Wait a sec,' Case said. `Are you sentient, or not?'
    ‘Well, it _feels_ like I am, kid, but I'm really just a bunch of ROM. It's one of them, ah, philosophical questions, I guess...' The ugly laughter sensation rattled down Case's spine. `But I ain't likely to write you no poem, if you follow me. Your AI, it just might. But it ain't no way _human.'_
    ‘So you figure we can't get on to its motive?'
    ‘It own itself?'
    ‘Swiss citizen, but T-A own the basic software and the mainframe.'
    ‘That's a good one,' the construct said. ‘Like, I own your brain and what you know, but your thoughts have Swiss citizenship. Sure. Lotsa luck, AI.'
    I'll not be shamed by merely following the shadows of the great. I'm sort of imagining that what you quote might be Asimov, but I'm not sure.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,320

    malcolmg said:

    The SNP implosion does not seem to have maintained its pace of a week ago.

    Therefore Labour's chances of a majority have greatly reduced unless and until the SNP resume shooting their feet off with high-calibre weaponry.

    Or McPlod arrests them all.

    We are really in the waiting period to see what drops next, there, I think.

    Given the amount of astroturfing I am seeing on behalf of Peter Murrell, the Old Guard will not surrender easily.
    Some wild stuff on twitter today re him and a certain person etc which I would not repeat here, wild allegations.
    I mean people coming up with variations of "Peter Murrell was walking down the road, and saved my cat from being run over. He is awesome. This is witch-hunt."
    Given what went on and the players it is very believable
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,320

    Re: Scotland and Westminster, one thing that I noted re: yesterday's HoC vote on Windsor Framework, was that both Alba MPs were recorded as not voting.

    Does anyone know why?

    Of course, all parties had some no-shows, also independents as a group (or rather gaggle). But only Alba 100%.

    Nothing to do with Scotland
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,258
    edited March 2023
    Omnium said:

    Omnium said:

    TimS said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Driver said:

    WillG said:

    kinabalu said:

    Stocky said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ...

    Nigelb said:

    It’s 2025! and we are washing up, with benefit of hindsight, what happened in 2024 election and why. What did we miss?

    Did the 1992 scenario repeated in 2024 simply boil down to Tory’s having a lot more money to spend on it than Labour?

    When do you actually start general election campaign expenditure, and campaigning - about six weeks to go?

    From early 2023 the Tories were clearly up and running with the stronger election unit - aggressive, busy, working effectively together with mainstream media, getting results, whilst Labour’s was non existent until the bill boards appeared about five weeks to go, followed by the now “notorious” mass balloon release.

    So it wasn’t how clever for Tories to sack, disown and politically bury Boris, to already give the voters a government change before the election what won it, as much as it now appears it utterly negated Labours “time for change” campaign - that Sunak was thought of on election day as The NHS. The economy. Stability. Fairness, equality, good, honesty. Reducing immigration. Lower taxes. Helping the country/people. A better Britain. The poor. Hope. whilst Starmer and Labour thought of as Wokeness, higher taxes, Dishonesty, Chaos, Disaster, greed, Bad Money, was actually perceptions engineered, fake and created, cultivated over a long period of time, spending lots of money on it.

    And we should have realised this in advance, from those early 2023 heat maps. 🤷‍♀️

    You appear not to realise that the frequency of the responses is related to the size of print. If you did you would have drawn the opposite conclusions.
    That’s a pointless post, I do know how a word cloud works.

    You don’t actually, as you seem to think the most important ones are the big ones that jump out...
    I hate to break it to you, but...
    I hate to break it to you, but the power of them is how they help to measure trend, the fools gold is getting hung up on each individual one and how pretty they look. Rather like bad excitement over one opinion poll, look at the trend.

    Secondly you need to strip out the more meaningless words. You need it to paint a meaningful picture for you.

    And in this particular case, the meaningful picture - the big take out from todays which I have correctly spotted - is how these Tory clouds are getting strikingly better under Sunak, and the Labour one full of so many bad associations for that party. Of course with so much raw data you can spin it however you like as Wulf has done, but on trend he has got it utterly wrong hasn’t he? And all those words I have used that help paint that full picture are actually there on both charts, the sheer weight of them help fill in a fuller picture.
    You are speaking in tongues again Rabbit. I have not a ScoobyDoo, I'm afraid.
    I shouldn’t pander to you and your special needs, but as you have cried for help, some people here are clearly oblivious to the issues with word clouds and can’t use them properly like I can.

    Do word clouds help you capture complex themes from the data, or in fact distract you if all you do is glance at the biggest words? For example my analysis would try to pick up context. Where you are trying to imply the little words are meaningless, I argue Sunak launches war on the dingy people and suddenly gets little words like tough, leadership, and Starmer gets little words like weak, pro immigration appear. This is important.
    You have a way with words, to coin a phrase.
    I reckon that saying might catch on, you know
    I particularly like the idea of a war on dingy people - accountants to be concerned?
    No. Chartered Accountants are cool and interesting people.
    Of course they are. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LqQlCOmXuHM
    Dated that though. Accountancy (Chartered) went through a revolution in the 80s. It started to attract lots of 21 year old graduates from top unis who were both smart and directionless.
    My youngest wants to go into finance. Perhaps accountancy.

    So given the horrendous student loan system (9% graduate tax for 40 years anyone?) and poor value for money given by university courses (some, perhaps most); does my daughter:

    1) go to a Russell Group university (if she gets the grades and is accepted) 2) go to a non-Russell Group university (if she fails to get the grades) or 3) leave school at 18 and join a large accountancy firm with an apprentice degree-equivalent option (the equivalent being accountancy exams).

    I don't know what to advise her (though she doesn't listen to me anyway).
    With the obvious caveat that I don't know her my advice is for her to study a subject she really likes at the best uni she can get into. Then see how things develop.
    17 year olds choosing degrees based on what they like, without considering employability, is a terrible life decision.
    To an extent, sure. But a 2:1 or better in any course from a half-decent university is at least reasonably employable and if you enjoy the subject you're surely more likely to get a better grade.
    As a man with a Philosophy Degree from a decent University, I don't regret my time there at all. I was not mature enough to enter the workforce at 18. I'm not even sure I was mature enough at 21.

    If someone gets into a third tier University to do a subject without strong obvious job prospects, then - yes - it's probably a waste of money.

    But there simply isn't that much demand for quite bright 18 year olds out there. Employers prefer people who are a little older and a little more mature. University shows that you are able to self manage yourself over a substantial period of time. That's an incredibly important signal to an employer.
    When we get GPT-27, there won't be much demand for "quite" bright people of any age ;-)
    In that case there won't be much demand for full time workers full stop and a UBI funded by a tax on AI would be inevitable
    Why would AI pay that tax? It isn't dumb!
    Making AI pay their fair share by shutting down all the loopholes they spotted would become an ongoing challenge.
    And anyway you could just shut off Nigel #1 and reinstate yourself as Nigel #2. I wonder if a universal money movement tax could work? It could replace all other taxes.
    All these questions were asked by a great man..


    ‘Wait a sec,' Case said. `Are you sentient, or not?'
    ‘Well, it _feels_ like I am, kid, but I'm really just a bunch of ROM. It's one of them, ah, philosophical questions, I guess...' The ugly laughter sensation rattled down Case's spine. `But I ain't likely to write you no poem, if you follow me. Your AI, it just might. But it ain't no way _human.'_
    ‘So you figure we can't get on to its motive?'
    ‘It own itself?'
    ‘Swiss citizen, but T-A own the basic software and the mainframe.'
    ‘That's a good one,' the construct said. ‘Like, I own your brain and what you know, but your thoughts have Swiss citizenship. Sure. Lotsa luck, AI.'
    I'll not be shamed by merely following the shadows of the great. I'm sort of imagining that what you quote might be Asimov, but I'm not sure.
    William Gibson - Neuromancer.

    Read it. Just read it.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,432
    kle4 said:

    Wherever Charles goes disorder follows.


    A banquet at Versailles seems a little tin-eared anyway. Though unfair on Charles, as he won't have been the one making decisions on the programme.
    French Presidents generally are pretty grand, I think? I wonder if the public there complain about him taking a plane to Marseilles or whereever.
    Indeed, it was the venue I was referring to rather than the event.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,258
    malcolmg said:

    malcolmg said:

    The SNP implosion does not seem to have maintained its pace of a week ago.

    Therefore Labour's chances of a majority have greatly reduced unless and until the SNP resume shooting their feet off with high-calibre weaponry.

    Or McPlod arrests them all.

    We are really in the waiting period to see what drops next, there, I think.

    Given the amount of astroturfing I am seeing on behalf of Peter Murrell, the Old Guard will not surrender easily.
    Some wild stuff on twitter today re him and a certain person etc which I would not repeat here, wild allegations.
    I mean people coming up with variations of "Peter Murrell was walking down the road, and saved my cat from being run over. He is awesome. This is witch-hunt."
    Given what went on and the players it is very believable
    The wild allegations or the cat saving?
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 8,250
    rcs1000 said:

    Driver said:

    WillG said:

    kinabalu said:

    Stocky said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ...

    Nigelb said:

    It’s 2025! and we are washing up, with benefit of hindsight, what happened in 2024 election and why. What did we miss?

    Did the 1992 scenario repeated in 2024 simply boil down to Tory’s having a lot more money to spend on it than Labour?

    When do you actually start general election campaign expenditure, and campaigning - about six weeks to go?

    From early 2023 the Tories were clearly up and running with the stronger election unit - aggressive, busy, working effectively together with mainstream media, getting results, whilst Labour’s was non existent until the bill boards appeared about five weeks to go, followed by the now “notorious” mass balloon release.

    So it wasn’t how clever for Tories to sack, disown and politically bury Boris, to already give the voters a government change before the election what won it, as much as it now appears it utterly negated Labours “time for change” campaign - that Sunak was thought of on election day as The NHS. The economy. Stability. Fairness, equality, good, honesty. Reducing immigration. Lower taxes. Helping the country/people. A better Britain. The poor. Hope. whilst Starmer and Labour thought of as Wokeness, higher taxes, Dishonesty, Chaos, Disaster, greed, Bad Money, was actually perceptions engineered, fake and created, cultivated over a long period of time, spending lots of money on it.

    And we should have realised this in advance, from those early 2023 heat maps. 🤷‍♀️

    You appear not to realise that the frequency of the responses is related to the size of print. If you did you would have drawn the opposite conclusions.
    That’s a pointless post, I do know how a word cloud works.

    You don’t actually, as you seem to think the most important ones are the big ones that jump out...
    I hate to break it to you, but...
    I hate to break it to you, but the power of them is how they help to measure trend, the fools gold is getting hung up on each individual one and how pretty they look. Rather like bad excitement over one opinion poll, look at the trend.

    Secondly you need to strip out the more meaningless words. You need it to paint a meaningful picture for you.

    And in this particular case, the meaningful picture - the big take out from todays which I have correctly spotted - is how these Tory clouds are getting strikingly better under Sunak, and the Labour one full of so many bad associations for that party. Of course with so much raw data you can spin it however you like as Wulf has done, but on trend he has got it utterly wrong hasn’t he? And all those words I have used that help paint that full picture are actually there on both charts, the sheer weight of them help fill in a fuller picture.
    You are speaking in tongues again Rabbit. I have not a ScoobyDoo, I'm afraid.
    I shouldn’t pander to you and your special needs, but as you have cried for help, some people here are clearly oblivious to the issues with word clouds and can’t use them properly like I can.

    Do word clouds help you capture complex themes from the data, or in fact distract you if all you do is glance at the biggest words? For example my analysis would try to pick up context. Where you are trying to imply the little words are meaningless, I argue Sunak launches war on the dingy people and suddenly gets little words like tough, leadership, and Starmer gets little words like weak, pro immigration appear. This is important.
    You have a way with words, to coin a phrase.
    I reckon that saying might catch on, you know
    I particularly like the idea of a war on dingy people - accountants to be concerned?
    No. Chartered Accountants are cool and interesting people.
    Of course they are. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LqQlCOmXuHM
    Dated that though. Accountancy (Chartered) went through a revolution in the 80s. It started to attract lots of 21 year old graduates from top unis who were both smart and directionless.
    My youngest wants to go into finance. Perhaps accountancy.

    So given the horrendous student loan system (9% graduate tax for 40 years anyone?) and poor value for money given by university courses (some, perhaps most); does my daughter:

    1) go to a Russell Group university (if she gets the grades and is accepted) 2) go to a non-Russell Group university (if she fails to get the grades) or 3) leave school at 18 and join a large accountancy firm with an apprentice degree-equivalent option (the equivalent being accountancy exams).

    I don't know what to advise her (though she doesn't listen to me anyway).
    With the obvious caveat that I don't know her my advice is for her to study a subject she really likes at the best uni she can get into. Then see how things develop.
    17 year olds choosing degrees based on what they like, without considering employability, is a terrible life decision.
    To an extent, sure. But a 2:1 or better in any course from a half-decent university is at least reasonably employable and if you enjoy the subject you're surely more likely to get a better grade.
    As a man with a Philosophy Degree from a decent University, I don't regret my time there at all. I was not mature enough to enter the workforce at 18. I'm not even sure I was mature enough at 21.

    If someone gets into a third tier University to do a subject without strong obvious job prospects, then - yes - it's probably a waste of money.

    But there simply isn't that much demand for quite bright 18 year olds out there. Employers prefer people who are a little older and a little more mature. University shows that you are able to self manage yourself over a substantial period of time. That's an incredibly important signal to an employer.
    I thought you went to Cambridge?
  • mickydroymickydroy Posts: 316
    HYUFD said:

    Labour most seats but no majority remains my prediction

    As much as I would love to see the Tories decimated, I think this is the sensible call, I don't see either party having an overall majority
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,921
    TimS said:

    kle4 said:

    Wherever Charles goes disorder follows.


    A banquet at Versailles seems a little tin-eared anyway. Though unfair on Charles, as he won't have been the one making decisions on the programme.
    French Presidents generally are pretty grand, I think? I wonder if the public there complain about him taking a plane to Marseilles or whereever.
    It would be much more fun to be a French president than British PM. You're head of state for a start. Pay much better, domestic accommodation leagues ahead. People hate you but they hate British PMs too.
    Though being French PM is much worse, all the responsibility and hassle, as she is facing this week, over domestic policy but no control over foreign policy like the UK PM which is in the hands of the President and no Elysee Palace or Chequers to live in like Macron and Sunak
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,817

    What a pathetic people the French are. We are the language of Shakespeare and we let it evolve. IIRC French is from the Old English meaning a nation of eunuchs.

    Excessive use of English by Notre Dame and the French post office have prompted legal action in defence of the French language.

    The cathedral and La Poste are among the targets in a series of lawsuits filed by language defence groups who are particularly outraged by the way that businesses, public institutions and figures including President Macron are adopting English despite decades of state efforts to stem the invasion.

    The most egregious case, in the eyes of the plaintiffs, is “Ma French Bank”, the online bank recently opened by La Poste. Other flagrant abuses include hybrid coinages such as Ouigo, (“We go”) the SNCF railways’ low-cost high-speed trains, and Sarthe Me Up, a punning slogan invented in Le Mans to promote the département of le Sarthe.

    The authority in charge of reconstruction after the Notre Dame fire of 2019 is accused of breaching a 1994 law that requires any translation on public signs to be in two foreign languages. The aim was to avoid giving precedence to English. “If there’s only one foreign language, it’s always Anglo-American,” said Louis Maisonneuve, head of the Observatoire des Libertés, a coalition of groups including his own French Language Defence Association. The association has already scored a victory over the management of the Eiffel Tower, forcing it to add Spanish to its signs in English.

    The campaigners have turned their sights on the organisers of next year’s Paris Olympic Games, who this week advertised for thousands of volunteers with the condition that they must speak French, English or both. No other language was specified.


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/defenders-of-french-go-on-le-attack-against-english-kxl2mgpqf

    They should just give up and start speaking English. Then everyone else would not find them so annoying.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,921
    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Driver said:

    WillG said:

    kinabalu said:

    Stocky said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ...

    Nigelb said:

    It’s 2025! and we are washing up, with benefit of hindsight, what happened in 2024 election and why. What did we miss?

    Did the 1992 scenario repeated in 2024 simply boil down to Tory’s having a lot more money to spend on it than Labour?

    When do you actually start general election campaign expenditure, and campaigning - about six weeks to go?

    From early 2023 the Tories were clearly up and running with the stronger election unit - aggressive, busy, working effectively together with mainstream media, getting results, whilst Labour’s was non existent until the bill boards appeared about five weeks to go, followed by the now “notorious” mass balloon release.

    So it wasn’t how clever for Tories to sack, disown and politically bury Boris, to already give the voters a government change before the election what won it, as much as it now appears it utterly negated Labours “time for change” campaign - that Sunak was thought of on election day as The NHS. The economy. Stability. Fairness, equality, good, honesty. Reducing immigration. Lower taxes. Helping the country/people. A better Britain. The poor. Hope. whilst Starmer and Labour thought of as Wokeness, higher taxes, Dishonesty, Chaos, Disaster, greed, Bad Money, was actually perceptions engineered, fake and created, cultivated over a long period of time, spending lots of money on it.

    And we should have realised this in advance, from those early 2023 heat maps. 🤷‍♀️

    You appear not to realise that the frequency of the responses is related to the size of print. If you did you would have drawn the opposite conclusions.
    That’s a pointless post, I do know how a word cloud works.

    You don’t actually, as you seem to think the most important ones are the big ones that jump out...
    I hate to break it to you, but...
    I hate to break it to you, but the power of them is how they help to measure trend, the fools gold is getting hung up on each individual one and how pretty they look. Rather like bad excitement over one opinion poll, look at the trend.

    Secondly you need to strip out the more meaningless words. You need it to paint a meaningful picture for you.

    And in this particular case, the meaningful picture - the big take out from todays which I have correctly spotted - is how these Tory clouds are getting strikingly better under Sunak, and the Labour one full of so many bad associations for that party. Of course with so much raw data you can spin it however you like as Wulf has done, but on trend he has got it utterly wrong hasn’t he? And all those words I have used that help paint that full picture are actually there on both charts, the sheer weight of them help fill in a fuller picture.
    You are speaking in tongues again Rabbit. I have not a ScoobyDoo, I'm afraid.
    I shouldn’t pander to you and your special needs, but as you have cried for help, some people here are clearly oblivious to the issues with word clouds and can’t use them properly like I can.

    Do word clouds help you capture complex themes from the data, or in fact distract you if all you do is glance at the biggest words? For example my analysis would try to pick up context. Where you are trying to imply the little words are meaningless, I argue Sunak launches war on the dingy people and suddenly gets little words like tough, leadership, and Starmer gets little words like weak, pro immigration appear. This is important.
    You have a way with words, to coin a phrase.
    I reckon that saying might catch on, you know
    I particularly like the idea of a war on dingy people - accountants to be concerned?
    No. Chartered Accountants are cool and interesting people.
    Of course they are. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LqQlCOmXuHM
    Dated that though. Accountancy (Chartered) went through a revolution in the 80s. It started to attract lots of 21 year old graduates from top unis who were both smart and directionless.
    My youngest wants to go into finance. Perhaps accountancy.

    So given the horrendous student loan system (9% graduate tax for 40 years anyone?) and poor value for money given by university courses (some, perhaps most); does my daughter:

    1) go to a Russell Group university (if she gets the grades and is accepted) 2) go to a non-Russell Group university (if she fails to get the grades) or 3) leave school at 18 and join a large accountancy firm with an apprentice degree-equivalent option (the equivalent being accountancy exams).

    I don't know what to advise her (though she doesn't listen to me anyway).
    With the obvious caveat that I don't know her my advice is for her to study a subject she really likes at the best uni she can get into. Then see how things develop.
    17 year olds choosing degrees based on what they like, without considering employability, is a terrible life decision.
    To an extent, sure. But a 2:1 or better in any course from a half-decent university is at least reasonably employable and if you enjoy the subject you're surely more likely to get a better grade.
    As a man with a Philosophy Degree from a decent University, I don't regret my time there at all. I was not mature enough to enter the workforce at 18. I'm not even sure I was mature enough at 21.

    If someone gets into a third tier University to do a subject without strong obvious job prospects, then - yes - it's probably a waste of money.

    But there simply isn't that much demand for quite bright 18 year olds out there. Employers prefer people who are a little older and a little more mature. University shows that you are able to self manage yourself over a substantial period of time. That's an incredibly important signal to an employer.
    When we get GPT-27, there won't be much demand for "quite" bright people of any age ;-)
    In that case there won't be much demand for full time workers full stop and a UBI funded by a tax on AI would be inevitable
    Why would AI pay that tax? It isn't dumb!
    AI does what it is programmed to do, the tax would be imposed on all corporations using AI systems which see a net loss of jobs
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 4,587

    What a pathetic people the French are. We are the language of Shakespeare and we let it evolve. IIRC French is from the Old English meaning a nation of eunuchs.

    Excessive use of English by Notre Dame and the French post office have prompted legal action in defence of the French language.

    The cathedral and La Poste are among the targets in a series of lawsuits filed by language defence groups who are particularly outraged by the way that businesses, public institutions and figures including President Macron are adopting English despite decades of state efforts to stem the invasion.

    The most egregious case, in the eyes of the plaintiffs, is “Ma French Bank”, the online bank recently opened by La Poste. Other flagrant abuses include hybrid coinages such as Ouigo, (“We go”) the SNCF railways’ low-cost high-speed trains, and Sarthe Me Up, a punning slogan invented in Le Mans to promote the département of le Sarthe.

    The authority in charge of reconstruction after the Notre Dame fire of 2019 is accused of breaching a 1994 law that requires any translation on public signs to be in two foreign languages. The aim was to avoid giving precedence to English. “If there’s only one foreign language, it’s always Anglo-American,” said Louis Maisonneuve, head of the Observatoire des Libertés, a coalition of groups including his own French Language Defence Association. The association has already scored a victory over the management of the Eiffel Tower, forcing it to add Spanish to its signs in English.

    The campaigners have turned their sights on the organisers of next year’s Paris Olympic Games, who this week advertised for thousands of volunteers with the condition that they must speak French, English or both. No other language was specified.


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/defenders-of-french-go-on-le-attack-against-english-kxl2mgpqf

    These people are laughable, but I almost agree with them about La Poste starting an online bank called "Ma French Bank". Imagine if the post office here opened "My banque anglais" here.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,871
    algarkirk said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Driver said:

    WillG said:

    kinabalu said:

    Stocky said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ...

    Nigelb said:

    It’s 2025! and we are washing up, with benefit of hindsight, what happened in 2024 election and why. What did we miss?

    Did the 1992 scenario repeated in 2024 simply boil down to Tory’s having a lot more money to spend on it than Labour?

    When do you actually start general election campaign expenditure, and campaigning - about six weeks to go?

    From early 2023 the Tories were clearly up and running with the stronger election unit - aggressive, busy, working effectively together with mainstream media, getting results, whilst Labour’s was non existent until the bill boards appeared about five weeks to go, followed by the now “notorious” mass balloon release.

    So it wasn’t how clever for Tories to sack, disown and politically bury Boris, to already give the voters a government change before the election what won it, as much as it now appears it utterly negated Labours “time for change” campaign - that Sunak was thought of on election day as The NHS. The economy. Stability. Fairness, equality, good, honesty. Reducing immigration. Lower taxes. Helping the country/people. A better Britain. The poor. Hope. whilst Starmer and Labour thought of as Wokeness, higher taxes, Dishonesty, Chaos, Disaster, greed, Bad Money, was actually perceptions engineered, fake and created, cultivated over a long period of time, spending lots of money on it.

    And we should have realised this in advance, from those early 2023 heat maps. 🤷‍♀️

    You appear not to realise that the frequency of the responses is related to the size of print. If you did you would have drawn the opposite conclusions.
    That’s a pointless post, I do know how a word cloud works.

    You don’t actually, as you seem to think the most important ones are the big ones that jump out...
    I hate to break it to you, but...
    I hate to break it to you, but the power of them is how they help to measure trend, the fools gold is getting hung up on each individual one and how pretty they look. Rather like bad excitement over one opinion poll, look at the trend.

    Secondly you need to strip out the more meaningless words. You need it to paint a meaningful picture for you.

    And in this particular case, the meaningful picture - the big take out from todays which I have correctly spotted - is how these Tory clouds are getting strikingly better under Sunak, and the Labour one full of so many bad associations for that party. Of course with so much raw data you can spin it however you like as Wulf has done, but on trend he has got it utterly wrong hasn’t he? And all those words I have used that help paint that full picture are actually there on both charts, the sheer weight of them help fill in a fuller picture.
    You are speaking in tongues again Rabbit. I have not a ScoobyDoo, I'm afraid.
    I shouldn’t pander to you and your special needs, but as you have cried for help, some people here are clearly oblivious to the issues with word clouds and can’t use them properly like I can.

    Do word clouds help you capture complex themes from the data, or in fact distract you if all you do is glance at the biggest words? For example my analysis would try to pick up context. Where you are trying to imply the little words are meaningless, I argue Sunak launches war on the dingy people and suddenly gets little words like tough, leadership, and Starmer gets little words like weak, pro immigration appear. This is important.
    You have a way with words, to coin a phrase.
    I reckon that saying might catch on, you know
    I particularly like the idea of a war on dingy people - accountants to be concerned?
    No. Chartered Accountants are cool and interesting people.
    Of course they are. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LqQlCOmXuHM
    Dated that though. Accountancy (Chartered) went through a revolution in the 80s. It started to attract lots of 21 year old graduates from top unis who were both smart and directionless.
    My youngest wants to go into finance. Perhaps accountancy.

    So given the horrendous student loan system (9% graduate tax for 40 years anyone?) and poor value for money given by university courses (some, perhaps most); does my daughter:

    1) go to a Russell Group university (if she gets the grades and is accepted) 2) go to a non-Russell Group university (if she fails to get the grades) or 3) leave school at 18 and join a large accountancy firm with an apprentice degree-equivalent option (the equivalent being accountancy exams).

    I don't know what to advise her (though she doesn't listen to me anyway).
    With the obvious caveat that I don't know her my advice is for her to study a subject she really likes at the best uni she can get into. Then see how things develop.
    17 year olds choosing degrees based on what they like, without considering employability, is a terrible life decision.
    To an extent, sure. But a 2:1 or better in any course from a half-decent university is at least reasonably employable and if you enjoy the subject you're surely more likely to get a better grade.
    As a man with a Philosophy Degree from a decent University, I don't regret my time there at all. I was not mature enough to enter the workforce at 18. I'm not even sure I was mature enough at 21.

    If someone gets into a third tier University to do a subject without strong obvious job prospects, then - yes - it's probably a waste of money.

    But there simply isn't that much demand for quite bright 18 year olds out there. Employers prefer people who are a little older and a little more mature. University shows that you are able to self manage yourself over a substantial period of time. That's an incredibly important signal to an employer.
    When we get GPT-27, there won't be much demand for "quite" bright people of any age ;-)
    No so I suggest. As sectors of work diminish (as has happened throughout the industrial revolution) so sectors of work of all kinds advance to take their place. Look at total employment figures.

    The western world is a vast job creation scheme. This is not going to stop. Many of the jobs replaced by automation of all sorts are pretty dull anyway. Subsistence economies don't have enough time, money or people for Wagner, ballet, social care, nail shops and Ibiza.

    In the industrial revolution machines replaced a lot of manual workers, manual workers became service workers or knowledge workers or creative workers to keep employed. Now if AI replaces knowledge workers then all thats left is service workers and creative workers. Service workers are also being replaced by machines hence self checkouts etc.

    You really think we are going to keep full employment if the only work left is creative? Just because it happened in the industrial revolution doesn't mean it will be that way again as machines take over ever more roles that humans can do. You sir are complacent
  • DriverDriver Posts: 4,963

    What a pathetic people the French are. We are the language of Shakespeare and we let it evolve. IIRC French is from the Old English meaning a nation of eunuchs.

    Excessive use of English by Notre Dame and the French post office have prompted legal action in defence of the French language.

    The cathedral and La Poste are among the targets in a series of lawsuits filed by language defence groups who are particularly outraged by the way that businesses, public institutions and figures including President Macron are adopting English despite decades of state efforts to stem the invasion.

    The most egregious case, in the eyes of the plaintiffs, is “Ma French Bank”, the online bank recently opened by La Poste. Other flagrant abuses include hybrid coinages such as Ouigo, (“We go”) the SNCF railways’ low-cost high-speed trains, and Sarthe Me Up, a punning slogan invented in Le Mans to promote the département of le Sarthe.

    The authority in charge of reconstruction after the Notre Dame fire of 2019 is accused of breaching a 1994 law that requires any translation on public signs to be in two foreign languages. The aim was to avoid giving precedence to English. “If there’s only one foreign language, it’s always Anglo-American,” said Louis Maisonneuve, head of the Observatoire des Libertés, a coalition of groups including his own French Language Defence Association. The association has already scored a victory over the management of the Eiffel Tower, forcing it to add Spanish to its signs in English.

    The campaigners have turned their sights on the organisers of next year’s Paris Olympic Games, who this week advertised for thousands of volunteers with the condition that they must speak French, English or both. No other language was specified.


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/defenders-of-french-go-on-le-attack-against-english-kxl2mgpqf

    On that last point, they need to be reminded what are the official languages of the Olympic movement.
  • DriverDriver Posts: 4,963
    malcolmg said:

    Re: Scotland and Westminster, one thing that I noted re: yesterday's HoC vote on Windsor Framework, was that both Alba MPs were recorded as not voting.

    Does anyone know why?

    Of course, all parties had some no-shows, also independents as a group (or rather gaggle). But only Alba 100%.

    Nothing to do with Scotland
    Nor is England's Sunday trading hours.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,087
    edited March 2023
    Only that when a party is as dominant as 47/54 seats in an area it does not surprise if said party becomes riven with factional infighting and dodgy behaviour might arise - clearly the national party must think something seriously bad is going on, since much as they might want to they don't normally intervene so dramatically just because they don't like some councillors - it's not worth the trouble since many will, as the article says, stand as Indys, and their influence is, well, local, so it's not normally worth bothering.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,817
    edited March 2023

    Omnium said:

    Omnium said:

    TimS said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Driver said:

    WillG said:

    kinabalu said:

    Stocky said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ...

    Nigelb said:

    It’s 2025! and we are washing up, with benefit of hindsight, what happened in 2024 election and why. What did we miss?

    Did the 1992 scenario repeated in 2024 simply boil down to Tory’s having a lot more money to spend on it than Labour?

    When do you actually start general election campaign expenditure, and campaigning - about six weeks to go?

    From early 2023 the Tories were clearly up and running with the stronger election unit - aggressive, busy, working effectively together with mainstream media, getting results, whilst Labour’s was non existent until the bill boards appeared about five weeks to go, followed by the now “notorious” mass balloon release.

    So it wasn’t how clever for Tories to sack, disown and politically bury Boris, to already give the voters a government change before the election what won it, as much as it now appears it utterly negated Labours “time for change” campaign - that Sunak was thought of on election day as The NHS. The economy. Stability. Fairness, equality, good, honesty. Reducing immigration. Lower taxes. Helping the country/people. A better Britain. The poor. Hope. whilst Starmer and Labour thought of as Wokeness, higher taxes, Dishonesty, Chaos, Disaster, greed, Bad Money, was actually perceptions engineered, fake and created, cultivated over a long period of time, spending lots of money on it.

    And we should have realised this in advance, from those early 2023 heat maps. 🤷‍♀️

    You appear not to realise that the frequency of the responses is related to the size of print. If you did you would have drawn the opposite conclusions.
    That’s a pointless post, I do know how a word cloud works.

    You don’t actually, as you seem to think the most important ones are the big ones that jump out...
    I hate to break it to you, but...
    I hate to break it to you, but the power of them is how they help to measure trend, the fools gold is getting hung up on each individual one and how pretty they look. Rather like bad excitement over one opinion poll, look at the trend.

    Secondly you need to strip out the more meaningless words. You need it to paint a meaningful picture for you.

    And in this particular case, the meaningful picture - the big take out from todays which I have correctly spotted - is how these Tory clouds are getting strikingly better under Sunak, and the Labour one full of so many bad associations for that party. Of course with so much raw data you can spin it however you like as Wulf has done, but on trend he has got it utterly wrong hasn’t he? And all those words I have used that help paint that full picture are actually there on both charts, the sheer weight of them help fill in a fuller picture.
    You are speaking in tongues again Rabbit. I have not a ScoobyDoo, I'm afraid.
    I shouldn’t pander to you and your special needs, but as you have cried for help, some people here are clearly oblivious to the issues with word clouds and can’t use them properly like I can.

    Do word clouds help you capture complex themes from the data, or in fact distract you if all you do is glance at the biggest words? For example my analysis would try to pick up context. Where you are trying to imply the little words are meaningless, I argue Sunak launches war on the dingy people and suddenly gets little words like tough, leadership, and Starmer gets little words like weak, pro immigration appear. This is important.
    You have a way with words, to coin a phrase.
    I reckon that saying might catch on, you know
    I particularly like the idea of a war on dingy people - accountants to be concerned?
    No. Chartered Accountants are cool and interesting people.
    Of course they are. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LqQlCOmXuHM
    Dated that though. Accountancy (Chartered) went through a revolution in the 80s. It started to attract lots of 21 year old graduates from top unis who were both smart and directionless.
    My youngest wants to go into finance. Perhaps accountancy.

    So given the horrendous student loan system (9% graduate tax for 40 years anyone?) and poor value for money given by university courses (some, perhaps most); does my daughter:

    1) go to a Russell Group university (if she gets the grades and is accepted) 2) go to a non-Russell Group university (if she fails to get the grades) or 3) leave school at 18 and join a large accountancy firm with an apprentice degree-equivalent option (the equivalent being accountancy exams).

    I don't know what to advise her (though she doesn't listen to me anyway).
    With the obvious caveat that I don't know her my advice is for her to study a subject she really likes at the best uni she can get into. Then see how things develop.
    17 year olds choosing degrees based on what they like, without considering employability, is a terrible life decision.
    To an extent, sure. But a 2:1 or better in any course from a half-decent university is at least reasonably employable and if you enjoy the subject you're surely more likely to get a better grade.
    As a man with a Philosophy Degree from a decent University, I don't regret my time there at all. I was not mature enough to enter the workforce at 18. I'm not even sure I was mature enough at 21.

    If someone gets into a third tier University to do a subject without strong obvious job prospects, then - yes - it's probably a waste of money.

    But there simply isn't that much demand for quite bright 18 year olds out there. Employers prefer people who are a little older and a little more mature. University shows that you are able to self manage yourself over a substantial period of time. That's an incredibly important signal to an employer.
    When we get GPT-27, there won't be much demand for "quite" bright people of any age ;-)
    In that case there won't be much demand for full time workers full stop and a UBI funded by a tax on AI would be inevitable
    Why would AI pay that tax? It isn't dumb!
    Making AI pay their fair share by shutting down all the loopholes they spotted would become an ongoing challenge.
    And anyway you could just shut off Nigel #1 and reinstate yourself as Nigel #2. I wonder if a universal money movement tax could work? It could replace all other taxes.
    All these questions were asked by a great man..


    ‘Wait a sec,' Case said. `Are you sentient, or not?'
    ‘Well, it _feels_ like I am, kid, but I'm really just a bunch of ROM. It's one of them, ah, philosophical questions, I guess...' The ugly laughter sensation rattled down Case's spine. `But I ain't likely to write you no poem, if you follow me. Your AI, it just might. But it ain't no way _human.'_
    ‘So you figure we can't get on to its motive?'
    ‘It own itself?'
    ‘Swiss citizen, but T-A own the basic software and the mainframe.'
    ‘That's a good one,' the construct said. ‘Like, I own your brain and what you know, but your thoughts have Swiss citizenship. Sure. Lotsa luck, AI.'
    I'll not be shamed by merely following the shadows of the great. I'm sort of imagining that what you quote might be Asimov, but I'm not sure.
    William Gibson - Neuromancer.

    Read it. Just read it.
    Gibson is a brilliant writer. Love all his books. Although the TV series of the Peripheral was even better than the book. Probably the best series I saw last year.
  • DriverDriver Posts: 4,963
    carnforth said:

    What a pathetic people the French are. We are the language of Shakespeare and we let it evolve. IIRC French is from the Old English meaning a nation of eunuchs.

    Excessive use of English by Notre Dame and the French post office have prompted legal action in defence of the French language.

    The cathedral and La Poste are among the targets in a series of lawsuits filed by language defence groups who are particularly outraged by the way that businesses, public institutions and figures including President Macron are adopting English despite decades of state efforts to stem the invasion.

    The most egregious case, in the eyes of the plaintiffs, is “Ma French Bank”, the online bank recently opened by La Poste. Other flagrant abuses include hybrid coinages such as Ouigo, (“We go”) the SNCF railways’ low-cost high-speed trains, and Sarthe Me Up, a punning slogan invented in Le Mans to promote the département of le Sarthe.

    The authority in charge of reconstruction after the Notre Dame fire of 2019 is accused of breaching a 1994 law that requires any translation on public signs to be in two foreign languages. The aim was to avoid giving precedence to English. “If there’s only one foreign language, it’s always Anglo-American,” said Louis Maisonneuve, head of the Observatoire des Libertés, a coalition of groups including his own French Language Defence Association. The association has already scored a victory over the management of the Eiffel Tower, forcing it to add Spanish to its signs in English.

    The campaigners have turned their sights on the organisers of next year’s Paris Olympic Games, who this week advertised for thousands of volunteers with the condition that they must speak French, English or both. No other language was specified.


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/defenders-of-french-go-on-le-attack-against-english-kxl2mgpqf

    These people are laughable, but I almost agree with them about La Poste starting an online bank called "Ma French Bank". Imagine if the post office here opened "My banque anglais" here.
    Or "Credit Suisse".
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,997
    I see the French are engaging in their national sport again today.....
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 4,587
    Driver said:

    carnforth said:

    What a pathetic people the French are. We are the language of Shakespeare and we let it evolve. IIRC French is from the Old English meaning a nation of eunuchs.

    Excessive use of English by Notre Dame and the French post office have prompted legal action in defence of the French language.

    The cathedral and La Poste are among the targets in a series of lawsuits filed by language defence groups who are particularly outraged by the way that businesses, public institutions and figures including President Macron are adopting English despite decades of state efforts to stem the invasion.

    The most egregious case, in the eyes of the plaintiffs, is “Ma French Bank”, the online bank recently opened by La Poste. Other flagrant abuses include hybrid coinages such as Ouigo, (“We go”) the SNCF railways’ low-cost high-speed trains, and Sarthe Me Up, a punning slogan invented in Le Mans to promote the département of le Sarthe.

    The authority in charge of reconstruction after the Notre Dame fire of 2019 is accused of breaching a 1994 law that requires any translation on public signs to be in two foreign languages. The aim was to avoid giving precedence to English. “If there’s only one foreign language, it’s always Anglo-American,” said Louis Maisonneuve, head of the Observatoire des Libertés, a coalition of groups including his own French Language Defence Association. The association has already scored a victory over the management of the Eiffel Tower, forcing it to add Spanish to its signs in English.

    The campaigners have turned their sights on the organisers of next year’s Paris Olympic Games, who this week advertised for thousands of volunteers with the condition that they must speak French, English or both. No other language was specified.


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/defenders-of-french-go-on-le-attack-against-english-kxl2mgpqf

    These people are laughable, but I almost agree with them about La Poste starting an online bank called "Ma French Bank". Imagine if the post office here opened "My banque anglais" here.
    Or "Credit Suisse".
    Sounds less threatening than Schweizer Kredit
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 10,759
    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Driver said:

    WillG said:

    kinabalu said:

    Stocky said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ...

    Nigelb said:

    It’s 2025! and we are washing up, with benefit of hindsight, what happened in 2024 election and why. What did we miss?

    Did the 1992 scenario repeated in 2024 simply boil down to Tory’s having a lot more money to spend on it than Labour?

    When do you actually start general election campaign expenditure, and campaigning - about six weeks to go?

    From early 2023 the Tories were clearly up and running with the stronger election unit - aggressive, busy, working effectively together with mainstream media, getting results, whilst Labour’s was non existent until the bill boards appeared about five weeks to go, followed by the now “notorious” mass balloon release.

    So it wasn’t how clever for Tories to sack, disown and politically bury Boris, to already give the voters a government change before the election what won it, as much as it now appears it utterly negated Labours “time for change” campaign - that Sunak was thought of on election day as The NHS. The economy. Stability. Fairness, equality, good, honesty. Reducing immigration. Lower taxes. Helping the country/people. A better Britain. The poor. Hope. whilst Starmer and Labour thought of as Wokeness, higher taxes, Dishonesty, Chaos, Disaster, greed, Bad Money, was actually perceptions engineered, fake and created, cultivated over a long period of time, spending lots of money on it.

    And we should have realised this in advance, from those early 2023 heat maps. 🤷‍♀️

    You appear not to realise that the frequency of the responses is related to the size of print. If you did you would have drawn the opposite conclusions.
    That’s a pointless post, I do know how a word cloud works.

    You don’t actually, as you seem to think the most important ones are the big ones that jump out...
    I hate to break it to you, but...
    I hate to break it to you, but the power of them is how they help to measure trend, the fools gold is getting hung up on each individual one and how pretty they look. Rather like bad excitement over one opinion poll, look at the trend.

    Secondly you need to strip out the more meaningless words. You need it to paint a meaningful picture for you.

    And in this particular case, the meaningful picture - the big take out from todays which I have correctly spotted - is how these Tory clouds are getting strikingly better under Sunak, and the Labour one full of so many bad associations for that party. Of course with so much raw data you can spin it however you like as Wulf has done, but on trend he has got it utterly wrong hasn’t he? And all those words I have used that help paint that full picture are actually there on both charts, the sheer weight of them help fill in a fuller picture.
    You are speaking in tongues again Rabbit. I have not a ScoobyDoo, I'm afraid.
    I shouldn’t pander to you and your special needs, but as you have cried for help, some people here are clearly oblivious to the issues with word clouds and can’t use them properly like I can.

    Do word clouds help you capture complex themes from the data, or in fact distract you if all you do is glance at the biggest words? For example my analysis would try to pick up context. Where you are trying to imply the little words are meaningless, I argue Sunak launches war on the dingy people and suddenly gets little words like tough, leadership, and Starmer gets little words like weak, pro immigration appear. This is important.
    You have a way with words, to coin a phrase.
    I reckon that saying might catch on, you know
    I particularly like the idea of a war on dingy people - accountants to be concerned?
    No. Chartered Accountants are cool and interesting people.
    Of course they are. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LqQlCOmXuHM
    Dated that though. Accountancy (Chartered) went through a revolution in the 80s. It started to attract lots of 21 year old graduates from top unis who were both smart and directionless.
    My youngest wants to go into finance. Perhaps accountancy.

    So given the horrendous student loan system (9% graduate tax for 40 years anyone?) and poor value for money given by university courses (some, perhaps most); does my daughter:

    1) go to a Russell Group university (if she gets the grades and is accepted) 2) go to a non-Russell Group university (if she fails to get the grades) or 3) leave school at 18 and join a large accountancy firm with an apprentice degree-equivalent option (the equivalent being accountancy exams).

    I don't know what to advise her (though she doesn't listen to me anyway).
    With the obvious caveat that I don't know her my advice is for her to study a subject she really likes at the best uni she can get into. Then see how things develop.
    17 year olds choosing degrees based on what they like, without considering employability, is a terrible life decision.
    To an extent, sure. But a 2:1 or better in any course from a half-decent university is at least reasonably employable and if you enjoy the subject you're surely more likely to get a better grade.
    As a man with a Philosophy Degree from a decent University, I don't regret my time there at all. I was not mature enough to enter the workforce at 18. I'm not even sure I was mature enough at 21.

    If someone gets into a third tier University to do a subject without strong obvious job prospects, then - yes - it's probably a waste of money.

    But there simply isn't that much demand for quite bright 18 year olds out there. Employers prefer people who are a little older and a little more mature. University shows that you are able to self manage yourself over a substantial period of time. That's an incredibly important signal to an employer.
    When we get GPT-27, there won't be much demand for "quite" bright people of any age ;-)
    In that case there won't be much demand for full time workers full stop and a UBI funded by a tax on AI would be inevitable
    Why would AI pay that tax? It isn't dumb!
    AI does what it is programmed to do, the tax would be imposed on all corporations using AI systems which see a net loss of jobs
    AI doesn't exist, but should it do so then the whole point would be that it did much more than it was programmed to do. That doesn't have to be grand stuff, just the everyday stuff like remembering birthdays. I'm not sure what I would make of an AI that congratulated one day late and said it had forgotten mind you.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,557
    edited March 2023
    Average last 10 polls.

    Lab 45.7%
    Con 28.3%

    Includes the poll putting the Tories on 20%.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,997
    edited March 2023
    I don't know what Foden has done or said to Gareth Waistcoast, but doesn't matter if he is England's most gifted and creative player against a team where you need that, bench warming duties again tonight.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,921
    Pagan2 said:

    algarkirk said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Driver said:

    WillG said:

    kinabalu said:

    Stocky said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ...

    Nigelb said:

    It’s 2025! and we are washing up, with benefit of hindsight, what happened in 2024 election and why. What did we miss?

    Did the 1992 scenario repeated in 2024 simply boil down to Tory’s having a lot more money to spend on it than Labour?

    When do you actually start general election campaign expenditure, and campaigning - about six weeks to go?

    From early 2023 the Tories were clearly up and running with the stronger election unit - aggressive, busy, working effectively together with mainstream media, getting results, whilst Labour’s was non existent until the bill boards appeared about five weeks to go, followed by the now “notorious” mass balloon release.

    So it wasn’t how clever for Tories to sack, disown and politically bury Boris, to already give the voters a government change before the election what won it, as much as it now appears it utterly negated Labours “time for change” campaign - that Sunak was thought of on election day as The NHS. The economy. Stability. Fairness, equality, good, honesty. Reducing immigration. Lower taxes. Helping the country/people. A better Britain. The poor. Hope. whilst Starmer and Labour thought of as Wokeness, higher taxes, Dishonesty, Chaos, Disaster, greed, Bad Money, was actually perceptions engineered, fake and created, cultivated over a long period of time, spending lots of money on it.

    And we should have realised this in advance, from those early 2023 heat maps. 🤷‍♀️

    You appear not to realise that the frequency of the responses is related to the size of print. If you did you would have drawn the opposite conclusions.
    That’s a pointless post, I do know how a word cloud works.

    You don’t actually, as you seem to think the most important ones are the big ones that jump out...
    I hate to break it to you, but...
    I hate to break it to you, but the power of them is how they help to measure trend, the fools gold is getting hung up on each individual one and how pretty they look. Rather like bad excitement over one opinion poll, look at the trend.

    Secondly you need to strip out the more meaningless words. You need it to paint a meaningful picture for you.

    And in this particular case, the meaningful picture - the big take out from todays which I have correctly spotted - is how these Tory clouds are getting strikingly better under Sunak, and the Labour one full of so many bad associations for that party. Of course with so much raw data you can spin it however you like as Wulf has done, but on trend he has got it utterly wrong hasn’t he? And all those words I have used that help paint that full picture are actually there on both charts, the sheer weight of them help fill in a fuller picture.
    You are speaking in tongues again Rabbit. I have not a ScoobyDoo, I'm afraid.
    I shouldn’t pander to you and your special needs, but as you have cried for help, some people here are clearly oblivious to the issues with word clouds and can’t use them properly like I can.

    Do word clouds help you capture complex themes from the data, or in fact distract you if all you do is glance at the biggest words? For example my analysis would try to pick up context. Where you are trying to imply the little words are meaningless, I argue Sunak launches war on the dingy people and suddenly gets little words like tough, leadership, and Starmer gets little words like weak, pro immigration appear. This is important.
    You have a way with words, to coin a phrase.
    I reckon that saying might catch on, you know
    I particularly like the idea of a war on dingy people - accountants to be concerned?
    No. Chartered Accountants are cool and interesting people.
    Of course they are. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LqQlCOmXuHM
    Dated that though. Accountancy (Chartered) went through a revolution in the 80s. It started to attract lots of 21 year old graduates from top unis who were both smart and directionless.
    My youngest wants to go into finance. Perhaps accountancy.

    So given the horrendous student loan system (9% graduate tax for 40 years anyone?) and poor value for money given by university courses (some, perhaps most); does my daughter:

    1) go to a Russell Group university (if she gets the grades and is accepted) 2) go to a non-Russell Group university (if she fails to get the grades) or 3) leave school at 18 and join a large accountancy firm with an apprentice degree-equivalent option (the equivalent being accountancy exams).

    I don't know what to advise her (though she doesn't listen to me anyway).
    With the obvious caveat that I don't know her my advice is for her to study a subject she really likes at the best uni she can get into. Then see how things develop.
    17 year olds choosing degrees based on what they like, without considering employability, is a terrible life decision.
    To an extent, sure. But a 2:1 or better in any course from a half-decent university is at least reasonably employable and if you enjoy the subject you're surely more likely to get a better grade.
    As a man with a Philosophy Degree from a decent University, I don't regret my time there at all. I was not mature enough to enter the workforce at 18. I'm not even sure I was mature enough at 21.

    If someone gets into a third tier University to do a subject without strong obvious job prospects, then - yes - it's probably a waste of money.

    But there simply isn't that much demand for quite bright 18 year olds out there. Employers prefer people who are a little older and a little more mature. University shows that you are able to self manage yourself over a substantial period of time. That's an incredibly important signal to an employer.
    When we get GPT-27, there won't be much demand for "quite" bright people of any age ;-)
    No so I suggest. As sectors of work diminish (as has happened throughout the industrial revolution) so sectors of work of all kinds advance to take their place. Look at total employment figures.

    The western world is a vast job creation scheme. This is not going to stop. Many of the jobs replaced by automation of all sorts are pretty dull anyway. Subsistence economies don't have enough time, money or people for Wagner, ballet, social care, nail shops and Ibiza.

    In the industrial revolution machines replaced a lot of manual workers, manual workers became service workers or knowledge workers or creative workers to keep employed. Now if AI replaces knowledge workers then all thats left is service workers and creative workers. Service workers are also being replaced by machines hence self checkouts etc.

    You really think we are going to keep full employment if the only work left is creative? Just because it happened in the industrial revolution doesn't mean it will be that way again as machines take over ever more roles that humans can do. You sir are complacent
    Indeed and only about the top third by IQ are able to do very creative roles
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,587

    rcs1000 said:

    Driver said:

    WillG said:

    kinabalu said:

    Stocky said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ...

    Nigelb said:

    It’s 2025! and we are washing up, with benefit of hindsight, what happened in 2024 election and why. What did we miss?

    Did the 1992 scenario repeated in 2024 simply boil down to Tory’s having a lot more money to spend on it than Labour?

    When do you actually start general election campaign expenditure, and campaigning - about six weeks to go?

    From early 2023 the Tories were clearly up and running with the stronger election unit - aggressive, busy, working effectively together with mainstream media, getting results, whilst Labour’s was non existent until the bill boards appeared about five weeks to go, followed by the now “notorious” mass balloon release.

    So it wasn’t how clever for Tories to sack, disown and politically bury Boris, to already give the voters a government change before the election what won it, as much as it now appears it utterly negated Labours “time for change” campaign - that Sunak was thought of on election day as The NHS. The economy. Stability. Fairness, equality, good, honesty. Reducing immigration. Lower taxes. Helping the country/people. A better Britain. The poor. Hope. whilst Starmer and Labour thought of as Wokeness, higher taxes, Dishonesty, Chaos, Disaster, greed, Bad Money, was actually perceptions engineered, fake and created, cultivated over a long period of time, spending lots of money on it.

    And we should have realised this in advance, from those early 2023 heat maps. 🤷‍♀️

    You appear not to realise that the frequency of the responses is related to the size of print. If you did you would have drawn the opposite conclusions.
    That’s a pointless post, I do know how a word cloud works.

    You don’t actually, as you seem to think the most important ones are the big ones that jump out...
    I hate to break it to you, but...
    I hate to break it to you, but the power of them is how they help to measure trend, the fools gold is getting hung up on each individual one and how pretty they look. Rather like bad excitement over one opinion poll, look at the trend.

    Secondly you need to strip out the more meaningless words. You need it to paint a meaningful picture for you.

    And in this particular case, the meaningful picture - the big take out from todays which I have correctly spotted - is how these Tory clouds are getting strikingly better under Sunak, and the Labour one full of so many bad associations for that party. Of course with so much raw data you can spin it however you like as Wulf has done, but on trend he has got it utterly wrong hasn’t he? And all those words I have used that help paint that full picture are actually there on both charts, the sheer weight of them help fill in a fuller picture.
    You are speaking in tongues again Rabbit. I have not a ScoobyDoo, I'm afraid.
    I shouldn’t pander to you and your special needs, but as you have cried for help, some people here are clearly oblivious to the issues with word clouds and can’t use them properly like I can.

    Do word clouds help you capture complex themes from the data, or in fact distract you if all you do is glance at the biggest words? For example my analysis would try to pick up context. Where you are trying to imply the little words are meaningless, I argue Sunak launches war on the dingy people and suddenly gets little words like tough, leadership, and Starmer gets little words like weak, pro immigration appear. This is important.
    You have a way with words, to coin a phrase.
    I reckon that saying might catch on, you know
    I particularly like the idea of a war on dingy people - accountants to be concerned?
    No. Chartered Accountants are cool and interesting people.
    Of course they are. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LqQlCOmXuHM
    Dated that though. Accountancy (Chartered) went through a revolution in the 80s. It started to attract lots of 21 year old graduates from top unis who were both smart and directionless.
    My youngest wants to go into finance. Perhaps accountancy.

    So given the horrendous student loan system (9% graduate tax for 40 years anyone?) and poor value for money given by university courses (some, perhaps most); does my daughter:

    1) go to a Russell Group university (if she gets the grades and is accepted) 2) go to a non-Russell Group university (if she fails to get the grades) or 3) leave school at 18 and join a large accountancy firm with an apprentice degree-equivalent option (the equivalent being accountancy exams).

    I don't know what to advise her (though she doesn't listen to me anyway).
    With the obvious caveat that I don't know her my advice is for her to study a subject she really likes at the best uni she can get into. Then see how things develop.
    17 year olds choosing degrees based on what they like, without considering employability, is a terrible life decision.
    To an extent, sure. But a 2:1 or better in any course from a half-decent university is at least reasonably employable and if you enjoy the subject you're surely more likely to get a better grade.
    As a man with a Philosophy Degree from a decent University, I don't regret my time there at all. I was not mature enough to enter the workforce at 18. I'm not even sure I was mature enough at 21.

    If someone gets into a third tier University to do a subject without strong obvious job prospects, then - yes - it's probably a waste of money.

    But there simply isn't that much demand for quite bright 18 year olds out there. Employers prefer people who are a little older and a little more mature. University shows that you are able to self manage yourself over a substantial period of time. That's an incredibly important signal to an employer.
    I thought you went to Cambridge?
    Anglia Ruskin is quite decent. ;)
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,997
    edited March 2023

    I see the French are engaging in their national sport again today.....

    Who have they surrendered to?
    Strange lot....quick to surrender to foreign powers, but will never accept any decision from their own without a fight.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 17,405
    Driver said:

    malcolmg said:

    Re: Scotland and Westminster, one thing that I noted re: yesterday's HoC vote on Windsor Framework, was that both Alba MPs were recorded as not voting.

    Does anyone know why?

    Of course, all parties had some no-shows, also independents as a group (or rather gaggle). But only Alba 100%.

    Nothing to do with Scotland
    Nor is England's Sunday trading hours.
    Arguably it is as Scottish shops near the border can be affected.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,997
    Nobody signed Babar Azam, are the people running the Hundred teams mental?
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,629

    I see the French are engaging in their national sport again today.....

    Who have they surrendered to?
    Strange lot....quick to surrender to foreign powers, but will never accept any decision from their own without a fight.
    Perhaps that's how Macron can get his reforms through. Maybe a restoration of the monarchy using a cadet branch of the Windsors.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,862
    HYUFD said:

    Pagan2 said:

    algarkirk said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Driver said:

    WillG said:

    kinabalu said:

    Stocky said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ...

    Nigelb said:

    It’s 2025! and we are washing up, with benefit of hindsight, what happened in 2024 election and why. What did we miss?

    Did the 1992 scenario repeated in 2024 simply boil down to Tory’s having a lot more money to spend on it than Labour?

    When do you actually start general election campaign expenditure, and campaigning - about six weeks to go?

    From early 2023 the Tories were clearly up and running with the stronger election unit - aggressive, busy, working effectively together with mainstream media, getting results, whilst Labour’s was non existent until the bill boards appeared about five weeks to go, followed by the now “notorious” mass balloon release.

    So it wasn’t how clever for Tories to sack, disown and politically bury Boris, to already give the voters a government change before the election what won it, as much as it now appears it utterly negated Labours “time for change” campaign - that Sunak was thought of on election day as The NHS. The economy. Stability. Fairness, equality, good, honesty. Reducing immigration. Lower taxes. Helping the country/people. A better Britain. The poor. Hope. whilst Starmer and Labour thought of as Wokeness, higher taxes, Dishonesty, Chaos, Disaster, greed, Bad Money, was actually perceptions engineered, fake and created, cultivated over a long period of time, spending lots of money on it.

    And we should have realised this in advance, from those early 2023 heat maps. 🤷‍♀️

    You appear not to realise that the frequency of the responses is related to the size of print. If you did you would have drawn the opposite conclusions.
    That’s a pointless post, I do know how a word cloud works.

    You don’t actually, as you seem to think the most important ones are the big ones that jump out...
    I hate to break it to you, but...
    I hate to break it to you, but the power of them is how they help to measure trend, the fools gold is getting hung up on each individual one and how pretty they look. Rather like bad excitement over one opinion poll, look at the trend.

    Secondly you need to strip out the more meaningless words. You need it to paint a meaningful picture for you.

    And in this particular case, the meaningful picture - the big take out from todays which I have correctly spotted - is how these Tory clouds are getting strikingly better under Sunak, and the Labour one full of so many bad associations for that party. Of course with so much raw data you can spin it however you like as Wulf has done, but on trend he has got it utterly wrong hasn’t he? And all those words I have used that help paint that full picture are actually there on both charts, the sheer weight of them help fill in a fuller picture.
    You are speaking in tongues again Rabbit. I have not a ScoobyDoo, I'm afraid.
    I shouldn’t pander to you and your special needs, but as you have cried for help, some people here are clearly oblivious to the issues with word clouds and can’t use them properly like I can.

    Do word clouds help you capture complex themes from the data, or in fact distract you if all you do is glance at the biggest words? For example my analysis would try to pick up context. Where you are trying to imply the little words are meaningless, I argue Sunak launches war on the dingy people and suddenly gets little words like tough, leadership, and Starmer gets little words like weak, pro immigration appear. This is important.
    You have a way with words, to coin a phrase.
    I reckon that saying might catch on, you know
    I particularly like the idea of a war on dingy people - accountants to be concerned?
    No. Chartered Accountants are cool and interesting people.
    Of course they are. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LqQlCOmXuHM
    Dated that though. Accountancy (Chartered) went through a revolution in the 80s. It started to attract lots of 21 year old graduates from top unis who were both smart and directionless.
    My youngest wants to go into finance. Perhaps accountancy.

    So given the horrendous student loan system (9% graduate tax for 40 years anyone?) and poor value for money given by university courses (some, perhaps most); does my daughter:

    1) go to a Russell Group university (if she gets the grades and is accepted) 2) go to a non-Russell Group university (if she fails to get the grades) or 3) leave school at 18 and join a large accountancy firm with an apprentice degree-equivalent option (the equivalent being accountancy exams).

    I don't know what to advise her (though she doesn't listen to me anyway).
    With the obvious caveat that I don't know her my advice is for her to study a subject she really likes at the best uni she can get into. Then see how things develop.
    17 year olds choosing degrees based on what they like, without considering employability, is a terrible life decision.
    To an extent, sure. But a 2:1 or better in any course from a half-decent university is at least reasonably employable and if you enjoy the subject you're surely more likely to get a better grade.
    As a man with a Philosophy Degree from a decent University, I don't regret my time there at all. I was not mature enough to enter the workforce at 18. I'm not even sure I was mature enough at 21.

    If someone gets into a third tier University to do a subject without strong obvious job prospects, then - yes - it's probably a waste of money.

    But there simply isn't that much demand for quite bright 18 year olds out there. Employers prefer people who are a little older and a little more mature. University shows that you are able to self manage yourself over a substantial period of time. That's an incredibly important signal to an employer.
    When we get GPT-27, there won't be much demand for "quite" bright people of any age ;-)
    No so I suggest. As sectors of work diminish (as has happened throughout the industrial revolution) so sectors of work of all kinds advance to take their place. Look at total employment figures.

    The western world is a vast job creation scheme. This is not going to stop. Many of the jobs replaced by automation of all sorts are pretty dull anyway. Subsistence economies don't have enough time, money or people for Wagner, ballet, social care, nail shops and Ibiza.

    In the industrial revolution machines replaced a lot of manual workers, manual workers became service workers or knowledge workers or creative workers to keep employed. Now if AI replaces knowledge workers then all thats left is service workers and creative workers. Service workers are also being replaced by machines hence self checkouts etc.

    You really think we are going to keep full employment if the only work left is creative? Just because it happened in the industrial revolution doesn't mean it will be that way again as machines take over ever more roles that humans can do. You sir are complacent
    Indeed and only about the top third by IQ are able to do very creative roles
    Best stick to grunt work, then?
  • DriverDriver Posts: 4,963
    edited March 2023

    Nobody signed Babar Azam, are the people running the Hundred teams mental?

    They run teams in the Hundred.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,175

    I don't know what Foden has done or said to Gareth Waistcoast, but doesn't matter if he is England's most gifted and creative player against a team where you need that, bench warming duties again tonight.

    To be fair to Southgate, Foden doesn't always get into the City team and Saka is at least as good as Mahrez.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,817

    Nobody signed Babar Azam, are the people running the Hundred teams mental?

    Extraordinary.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,821
    The Italians are trolling us by holding the footy at the Maradona Stadium, Naples?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,997
    edited March 2023
    tlg86 said:

    I don't know what Foden has done or said to Gareth Waistcoast, but doesn't matter if he is England's most gifted and creative player against a team where you need that, bench warming duties again tonight.

    To be fair to Southgate, Foden doesn't always get into the City team and Saka is at least as good as Mahrez.
    Foden form dipped after WC / he had an injury, but has past few weeks been absolutely brilliant. At the same time, Phillips is in the starting lineup, who has played about 20s for Man City in past 18 months....while England is also playing Rice / Bellingham to cover the defensive part of the midfield.

    Its consistent with Southgate, he picked everybody but Foden in the WC to start with, despite Foden having an amazing season for Man City.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,921
    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Pagan2 said:

    algarkirk said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Driver said:

    WillG said:

    kinabalu said:

    Stocky said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ...

    Nigelb said:

    It’s 2025! and we are washing up, with benefit of hindsight, what happened in 2024 election and why. What did we miss?

    Did the 1992 scenario repeated in 2024 simply boil down to Tory’s having a lot more money to spend on it than Labour?

    When do you actually start general election campaign expenditure, and campaigning - about six weeks to go?

    From early 2023 the Tories were clearly up and running with the stronger election unit - aggressive, busy, working effectively together with mainstream media, getting results, whilst Labour’s was non existent until the bill boards appeared about five weeks to go, followed by the now “notorious” mass balloon release.

    So it wasn’t how clever for Tories to sack, disown and politically bury Boris, to already give the voters a government change before the election what won it, as much as it now appears it utterly negated Labours “time for change” campaign - that Sunak was thought of on election day as The NHS. The economy. Stability. Fairness, equality, good, honesty. Reducing immigration. Lower taxes. Helping the country/people. A better Britain. The poor. Hope. whilst Starmer and Labour thought of as Wokeness, higher taxes, Dishonesty, Chaos, Disaster, greed, Bad Money, was actually perceptions engineered, fake and created, cultivated over a long period of time, spending lots of money on it.

    And we should have realised this in advance, from those early 2023 heat maps. 🤷‍♀️

    You appear not to realise that the frequency of the responses is related to the size of print. If you did you would have drawn the opposite conclusions.
    That’s a pointless post, I do know how a word cloud works.

    You don’t actually, as you seem to think the most important ones are the big ones that jump out...
    I hate to break it to you, but...
    I hate to break it to you, but the power of them is how they help to measure trend, the fools gold is getting hung up on each individual one and how pretty they look. Rather like bad excitement over one opinion poll, look at the trend.

    Secondly you need to strip out the more meaningless words. You need it to paint a meaningful picture for you.

    And in this particular case, the meaningful picture - the big take out from todays which I have correctly spotted - is how these Tory clouds are getting strikingly better under Sunak, and the Labour one full of so many bad associations for that party. Of course with so much raw data you can spin it however you like as Wulf has done, but on trend he has got it utterly wrong hasn’t he? And all those words I have used that help paint that full picture are actually there on both charts, the sheer weight of them help fill in a fuller picture.
    You are speaking in tongues again Rabbit. I have not a ScoobyDoo, I'm afraid.
    I shouldn’t pander to you and your special needs, but as you have cried for help, some people here are clearly oblivious to the issues with word clouds and can’t use them properly like I can.

    Do word clouds help you capture complex themes from the data, or in fact distract you if all you do is glance at the biggest words? For example my analysis would try to pick up context. Where you are trying to imply the little words are meaningless, I argue Sunak launches war on the dingy people and suddenly gets little words like tough, leadership, and Starmer gets little words like weak, pro immigration appear. This is important.
    You have a way with words, to coin a phrase.
    I reckon that saying might catch on, you know
    I particularly like the idea of a war on dingy people - accountants to be concerned?
    No. Chartered Accountants are cool and interesting people.
    Of course they are. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LqQlCOmXuHM
    Dated that though. Accountancy (Chartered) went through a revolution in the 80s. It started to attract lots of 21 year old graduates from top unis who were both smart and directionless.
    My youngest wants to go into finance. Perhaps accountancy.

    So given the horrendous student loan system (9% graduate tax for 40 years anyone?) and poor value for money given by university courses (some, perhaps most); does my daughter:

    1) go to a Russell Group university (if she gets the grades and is accepted) 2) go to a non-Russell Group university (if she fails to get the grades) or 3) leave school at 18 and join a large accountancy firm with an apprentice degree-equivalent option (the equivalent being accountancy exams).

    I don't know what to advise her (though she doesn't listen to me anyway).
    With the obvious caveat that I don't know her my advice is for her to study a subject she really likes at the best uni she can get into. Then see how things develop.
    17 year olds choosing degrees based on what they like, without considering employability, is a terrible life decision.
    To an extent, sure. But a 2:1 or better in any course from a half-decent university is at least reasonably employable and if you enjoy the subject you're surely more likely to get a better grade.
    As a man with a Philosophy Degree from a decent University, I don't regret my time there at all. I was not mature enough to enter the workforce at 18. I'm not even sure I was mature enough at 21.

    If someone gets into a third tier University to do a subject without strong obvious job prospects, then - yes - it's probably a waste of money.

    But there simply isn't that much demand for quite bright 18 year olds out there. Employers prefer people who are a little older and a little more mature. University shows that you are able to self manage yourself over a substantial period of time. That's an incredibly important signal to an employer.
    When we get GPT-27, there won't be much demand for "quite" bright people of any age ;-)
    No so I suggest. As sectors of work diminish (as has happened throughout the industrial revolution) so sectors of work of all kinds advance to take their place. Look at total employment figures.

    The western world is a vast job creation scheme. This is not going to stop. Many of the jobs replaced by automation of all sorts are pretty dull anyway. Subsistence economies don't have enough time, money or people for Wagner, ballet, social care, nail shops and Ibiza.

    In the industrial revolution machines replaced a lot of manual workers, manual workers became service workers or knowledge workers or creative workers to keep employed. Now if AI replaces knowledge workers then all thats left is service workers and creative workers. Service workers are also being replaced by machines hence self checkouts etc.

    You really think we are going to keep full employment if the only work left is creative? Just because it happened in the industrial revolution doesn't mean it will be that way again as machines take over ever more roles that humans can do. You sir are complacent
    Indeed and only about the top third by IQ are able to do very creative roles
    Best stick to grunt work, then?
    Which there won't be any of if AI replaces it all and knowledge workers, hence an inevitable UBI in that case
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821
    carnforth said:


    These people are laughable, but I almost agree with them about La Poste starting an online bank called "Ma French Bank". Imagine if the post office here opened "My banque anglais" here.

    We have Pret A Manger, although I suppose that's mitigated by everyone mispronouncing the first word.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,821
    Andy_JS said:

    Average last 10 polls.

    Lab 45.7%
    Con 28.3%

    Includes the poll putting the Tories on 20%.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election

    And the one putting the Blues on 35%?
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 41,958
    DavidL said:

    What a pathetic people the French are. We are the language of Shakespeare and we let it evolve. IIRC French is from the Old English meaning a nation of eunuchs.

    Excessive use of English by Notre Dame and the French post office have prompted legal action in defence of the French language.

    The cathedral and La Poste are among the targets in a series of lawsuits filed by language defence groups who are particularly outraged by the way that businesses, public institutions and figures including President Macron are adopting English despite decades of state efforts to stem the invasion.

    The most egregious case, in the eyes of the plaintiffs, is “Ma French Bank”, the online bank recently opened by La Poste. Other flagrant abuses include hybrid coinages such as Ouigo, (“We go”) the SNCF railways’ low-cost high-speed trains, and Sarthe Me Up, a punning slogan invented in Le Mans to promote the département of le Sarthe.

    The authority in charge of reconstruction after the Notre Dame fire of 2019 is accused of breaching a 1994 law that requires any translation on public signs to be in two foreign languages. The aim was to avoid giving precedence to English. “If there’s only one foreign language, it’s always Anglo-American,” said Louis Maisonneuve, head of the Observatoire des Libertés, a coalition of groups including his own French Language Defence Association. The association has already scored a victory over the management of the Eiffel Tower, forcing it to add Spanish to its signs in English.

    The campaigners have turned their sights on the organisers of next year’s Paris Olympic Games, who this week advertised for thousands of volunteers with the condition that they must speak French, English or both. No other language was specified.


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/defenders-of-french-go-on-le-attack-against-english-kxl2mgpqf

    They should just give up and start speaking English. Then everyone else would not find them so annoying.
    Appears not to have worked for the English.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,779

    carnforth said:


    These people are laughable, but I almost agree with them about La Poste starting an online bank called "Ma French Bank". Imagine if the post office here opened "My banque anglais" here.

    We have Pret A Manger, although I suppose that's mitigated by everyone mispronouncing the first word.
    It's not pronounced "pret"? This is messing with my mind.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,485
    Test
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,485
    Ah, seems it’s working now. Thanks to @TheScreamingEagles @LostPassword @bondegezou and @Carnyx for helping liberate me from the spam trap!
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,284
    edited March 2023

    Test

    You're out of Mike's sin bin :D
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,087

    DavidL said:

    What a pathetic people the French are. We are the language of Shakespeare and we let it evolve. IIRC French is from the Old English meaning a nation of eunuchs.

    Excessive use of English by Notre Dame and the French post office have prompted legal action in defence of the French language.

    The cathedral and La Poste are among the targets in a series of lawsuits filed by language defence groups who are particularly outraged by the way that businesses, public institutions and figures including President Macron are adopting English despite decades of state efforts to stem the invasion.

    The most egregious case, in the eyes of the plaintiffs, is “Ma French Bank”, the online bank recently opened by La Poste. Other flagrant abuses include hybrid coinages such as Ouigo, (“We go”) the SNCF railways’ low-cost high-speed trains, and Sarthe Me Up, a punning slogan invented in Le Mans to promote the département of le Sarthe.

    The authority in charge of reconstruction after the Notre Dame fire of 2019 is accused of breaching a 1994 law that requires any translation on public signs to be in two foreign languages. The aim was to avoid giving precedence to English. “If there’s only one foreign language, it’s always Anglo-American,” said Louis Maisonneuve, head of the Observatoire des Libertés, a coalition of groups including his own French Language Defence Association. The association has already scored a victory over the management of the Eiffel Tower, forcing it to add Spanish to its signs in English.

    The campaigners have turned their sights on the organisers of next year’s Paris Olympic Games, who this week advertised for thousands of volunteers with the condition that they must speak French, English or both. No other language was specified.


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/defenders-of-french-go-on-le-attack-against-english-kxl2mgpqf

    They should just give up and start speaking English. Then everyone else would not find them so annoying.
    Appears not to have worked for the English.
    Yes, but that's for other reasons than our speaking English.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,997

    Ah, seems it’s working now. Thanks to @TheScreamingEagles @LostPassword @bondegezou and @Carnyx for helping liberate me from the spam trap!

    Did you make a comment about Radiohead?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,087
    Whilst I don't think this is true in every instance - some people do just try to magnify grievances - it is a thought I have when people quibble over whether culture wars are 'real'. It's semantic at the end of the day.

    If you want to shift cultural norms, you're fighting a culture war! And that's OK - some wars are just! Own it. Argue for it. Don't just dismiss any opposition as beneath you. Gobsmacking arrogance.
    https://twitter.com/mrianleslie/status/1638891094997086208?cxt=HHwWgMDR7ZCxwb4tAAAA
  • Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 8,377

    carnforth said:


    These people are laughable, but I almost agree with them about La Poste starting an online bank called "Ma French Bank". Imagine if the post office here opened "My banque anglais" here.

    We have Pret A Manger, although I suppose that's mitigated by everyone mispronouncing the first word.
    And fancy the French nicking the more generic 'café' from us Brits. Honestly.
  • boulayboulay Posts: 5,486

    carnforth said:


    These people are laughable, but I almost agree with them about La Poste starting an online bank called "Ma French Bank". Imagine if the post office here opened "My banque anglais" here.

    We have Pret A Manger, although I suppose that's mitigated by everyone mispronouncing the first word.
    How is it being mispronounced? Have never heard anyone do so personally.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,175

    tlg86 said:

    I don't know what Foden has done or said to Gareth Waistcoast, but doesn't matter if he is England's most gifted and creative player against a team where you need that, bench warming duties again tonight.

    To be fair to Southgate, Foden doesn't always get into the City team and Saka is at least as good as Mahrez.
    Foden form dipped after WC / he had an injury, but has past few weeks been absolutely brilliant. At the same time, Phillips is in the starting lineup, who has played about 20s for Man City in past 18 months....while England is also playing Rice / Bellingham to cover the defensive part of the midfield.

    Its consistent with Southgate, he picked everybody but Foden in the WC to start with, despite Foden having an amazing season for Man City.
    Saka’s not been too shabby either and I guess there’s only room for him or Foden in Southgate’s formation.

    Phillips is a good example of why the minimum number of homegrown or English players rule needs scrapping. City only signed him because he’s English and he helps get their numbers up.

This discussion has been closed.