Categories
The SNP election – the time table – politicalbetting.com
The SNP election – the time table – politicalbetting.com
NEW: SNP postpone their Special Conference on independence to select a new party leader to succeed @NicolaSturgeon.???????24 Feb – nominations close???????13 March – voting begins at noon ???????27 March – voting ends at noon???????Soon after – new SNP leader announced
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
That change must involve a recognition that independence will only be achieved by a team effort. The messianic leadership model has not worked. The new leader needs to reach out across the party and the movement and to adopt a more collegiate approach. 16/16
https://twitter.com/joannaccherry/status/1626296757721202689?s=20
From the man that brought you Kezia Dugdale is the next First Minister and Salmond in the House of Lords:
https://twitter.com/joannaccherry/status/1626145568169816066?s=20
Mike Russell, the former constitutional relations secretary, said the new SNP leader should build on Sturgeon’s legacy rather than trash it.
He said any effort to overturn the policy, which is backed by most Holyrood parties except the Scottish Conservatives and aims to accelerate the process of legally changing gender, was doomed to fail.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/0729010a-adf0-11ed-91ef-347dcf6a25f6
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-64666356
I won’t be running for leader of the SNP this time. The gerrymandering of the rules for Holyrood selection before the last Scottish election have made it a practical impossibility for me to do so. Our next leader must be able to become First Minister 13/16
https://twitter.com/joannaccherry/status/1626296735487127555?s=20
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2023_Spanish_general_election
1. 27 March is just in time to appeal the UKSC decision on the GRR bill. I wonder if any candidate will make this a plank of their campaign?
2. The leadership election will be overseen by the NEC as refashioned by Angus Robertson and the SNP’s CEO Peter Murrell. Not much chance of any prejudice in the proceedings then.😉
For example changing sex won’t give immunity to another law that makes violence by a man against a women within a relationship an especial crime.
I guess the Spanish Government are just transphobic, sexiest, misogynistic racists.
The New York Times published an article titled “In Defense of J.K. Rowling” today.
Here's what exactly they're "defending" 👇
https://twitter.com/HRC/status/1626295377438687235?s=20
Such as the Ecuadorean individual who is trying to use self id in a custody case. Because Ecuadorean law favours the mother(s) of the child.
Sigh.
The bottom line is, the SNP are massively popular among their Scottish electorate. The two recent MRP give them 50 and 55 MPs on current polling. And the three heat maps posted earlier in the week where Sturgeon slaughtered Starmer and Rishi is a very strong and popular position to bow out on.
The problems SNP are fighting with are two fold, neither of them Starmer or poll rise of Labour. Firstly, moving from a movement primarily campaigning for independence to one primarily running the Scottish government, the business of being in government is distracting from the business of campaigning for independence. Secondly, they signed a deal for a once in a generation vote for independence, and the argument that deal is dead once dragged out of Europe against the wishes of the Scottish voters, is being stubbornly resisted. I think SNP have a pretty decent argument on that count to be honest.
And neither are they so rubbish in talent without Sturgeon. When NATs speak in parliament they speak as well as anyone from other corners of the chamber, they sound very balanced on issues actually.
Robertson is as good example - a cross between George Osborne and Eddie Izard - he was good at Westminster and is never bettered in interviews, he certainly has a quick brain and the gift of the gab, and will do just fine as a leader.
I just don’t see their reasonably solid popularity falling away anytime soon. others are entitled to disagree with me, but I’m sure they have it wrong.
If there are more safeguards in the Spanish approach I don't see the hypocrisy you seem to be implying would be there in that addressing some of the concerns people have, unless you are positing that in fact there are no concerns are everyone saying that is just opposed to trans people on principle.
Like much Rowling hysteria I think actually showing her comments rather than just referring vaguely to them may have been a mistake, as their level of outrage rarely seems proportionate to what she actually said shown in its context.
1. Microsoft’s new Bing chatbot shows how right Sam Altman (CEO of OpenAI) was when he said:
“AI will probably most likely lead to the end of the world, but in the meantime, there'll be great companies.”
https://mobile.twitter.com/erikphoel/status/1626252639678742529
Please don't post any of the Loab images here.
Fox News is running a con on its viewers, as these texts show.
https://mobile.twitter.com/MarkJacob16/status/1626365759789101056
It's already, in limited contexts, producing a pretty good simulation of directed thought - and it's being released in the wild to interact with systems that have real world effects.
That has the potential to be very dangerous indeed within a few years.
Not a surprise that Microsoft is the one that's opened the box for us all.
https://www.statnews.com/2023/02/16/the-haunting-brain-science-of-long-covid/
"the most likely General Election outcome at the moment is for a LAB majority or a hung Parliament."
The most likely outcome is indeed a Labour majority, in which case the SNP leader in Westminster will be less important to the functioning of the UK government.
Unless he or she is the leader of the opposition
xx
FFS what the hell is wrong with some of you?
Unless that was a joke. Actually I assume it must be because no one could be that ridiculous.
Anyway, tootle pip.
Stop hating. Life is much better when you do.
x
https://mobile.twitter.com/colsonwhitehead/status/1626430390691831808
Whacks both Wee Dougie and MacAskill, contributing to the 12th (yes, twelfth) SNP election victory in a row.
The Blue Wall collapses.
SNP now HM Opposition.
Nicola elected leader of SNP parliamentary group, and thus Leader of HM Opposition, the first woman in that post.
Doable.
(Forgot Thatcher, 1975-79.)
If you had the casting vote Stuart, surely you would cast it for the SNP to refuse to be the official opposition?
There is a reason why people in this region vote for the AKP. On top of a large population of ethnic Turks, the region is also home to many Kurds who tend to have more conservative views than Kurds elsewhere. This has helped sustain support for the party even as tensions have risen between the government and the Kurdish community.
Erdogan and other government officials have made numerous trips to the area ahead of the elections. Lots of pro-AKP rallies were held there before the earthquake as the region has historically been a large reservoir of votes for the ruling party. That being said, the situation has changed dramatically since the earthquake as anger and despair grip the region. At the moment, supporting the AKP is the least of these people’s concerns.
The people in quake-stricken areas are now resentful. They feel that money was used to revamp Istanbul’s infrastructure and make it quake-resistant but that nothing was allocated to the regions where the disaster actually hit.
https://france24.com/en/middle-east/20230216-a-political-quake-as-well-will-turkey-s-disaster-rattle-erdogan-s-rule
How would it look? And surely only work to hinder not help the focus being on independence?
But inside the house? Barely a murmur. Thick granite walls do the job.
She does also raise an important point that it’s pretty much essential for the leader to be at Holyrood as otherwise you will have a leader who is rather less powerful than the group leader at Holyrood. Presumably that’s a warning shot to some of her colleagues who were thinking of entering.
She also raises an important point about suspended members. Do they count among the members on the 15th, who will be allowed to vote (an eminently sensible cutoff incidentally and one that would have spared Labour a lot of grief if they used it too)? If not, why not? Or should it be case by case? If so, who decides? And how quickly? That could easily have a bearing on matters.
It’s starting to look like at most a three horse race - Yousaf, Robertson and Forbes if she stands. Robertson will surely start favourite from that field and has the advantage of his position. If the SNP want more of the same - and why would they not, given until a few months ago Sturgeon was master of all she surveyed? - it’s hard to see either of the other two beating him.
Thanks for the piece? Is GRA going to feature in the SNP leadership debate wrt Kate Forbes?
Where can we expect bet offers on the local Elections to come from?
Locally the only one I may be looking for (if anyone offers it) is a smallish bet on long odds against the Ashfield Independents, timescales being a little uncertain.
For my current issue - Active Travel - need to find out whether the Tories or Labour are taking it seriously. AIs are not.
It's worth bearing in mind that the War ended in a truce with both sides wanting to negotiate. The simple fact is that, by 1921, the IRA were running very low on ammunition and were losing a lot of manpower. Contrary to the popular belief, British tactics were having a noticeable effect.
What made the British compromise and want to leave was (1) the increasing PR issue, especially in the US - an important factor given the war debts the U.K. owed to the US plus the other international factors and (2) a recognition that, even if the War had been won, the U.K. would have been stuck in a low level conflict for years.
The British could have 'won' the war if they continued, they just took the view that a 'win' was not that appealing.
Some of us learnt Latin, y'know.
USHRC seem to be over-reaching to me, not least in their own branding depicting their opponents as in some way opposed to "human rights", which is simply offensive.
Have they even characterised JKR's statements correctly?
The differences were that six of the nine counties of Ulster were now definitively excluded and also the context made it clear that Ireland would continue to move further towards full independence instead of having achieved an equilibrium.
What was it Collins and Griffiths said of the Treaty - ‘it gives us the freedom to win freedom?’
So I think this point from Stu has some credibility.
https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/phallus
https://twitter.com/GdnScotland/status/1626475151456862208
Blundell made it look like a barely adequate score.
And now it’s England’s turn to bat under lights…
https://unherd.com/2023/02/nicola-sturgeon-is-rewriting-history/
https://twitter.com/joannaccherry/status/1626485070520373248?s=20
I Also wonder if a new leadership will show an interest in an economic strategy.
Basically fuck the greens and rule as a minority govt if needed.
Another suicide. Seems to be the preferred method of choice with those who are close to the Kremlin
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world/senior-russian-military-official-plunges-16-storeys-to-her-death-falling-from-window/ar-AA17AmsN?ocid=entnewsntp&cvid=719c9118db924baeb5ca5e4fc6c98f84
If not you are slipping.
SNP members who quit in protest at Nicola Sturgeon’s controversial transgender policy will be prohibited from voting for her replacement as leader if they try to rejoin the party.
Party bosses said ballots would be given to members who joined the SNP only before the leadership race formally began on Wednesday night, hours after Sturgeon unexpectedly announced her resignation.
Mike Russell, the SNP president, said the cut-off date was vital to prevent the election being “manipulated” by the party’s critics.
He said former members who became disillusioned with Sturgeon’s regime were welcome to apply for readmission “unless they have publicly left and attacked the party” but would be barred from voting in the leadership election.
The announcement will infuriate the SNP’s feminist wing including Ash Regan, the former community safety minister, and Joanna Cherry, the former party justice spokeswoman, who said members who were suspended or left over Sturgeon’s transgender policies must be given a vote.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/trans-row-snp-defectors-barred-from-voting-for-new-leader-p0frktqnk
Yesterday morning the moment I switched on the TV and Harry Brook lost his wicket, today I switch on the TV and Duckett loses his wicket.
That abortion should be safe legal and rare, that gay partnerships are fine but not the same as marriage, that gender/sex change should be rare and expertly managed are not views especially left, right or extreme. Views like this are widely held by centrists of every sort.
Good luck to anyone on the centre right on economics, and any Scottish leader saying 'low tax, low spend, on your bike, stop blaming England'.
Your observation is well made.
Notably, when Flynn was interviewed on R4 he kept returning to the economy and the cost of living crisis.
The whole point of the coalition with the Greens was “majority at Holyrood for independence” - since that has run out of road a clean break may not be unwise…
Windows Vista and Windows 8 were both worse than 7.
My contribution to England's 2005 Ashes success is sadly overlooked, I was more influential in winning that series than Paul Collingwood.
Actually, having worked on apps for it, Windows CE (their embedded version) was the worst version ever - and we always used to call it wince - which is what it made us do.
Wince was truly awful to work with, at least ~2001/2, it was.
I'm so glad I work for a firm that uses Macs.
Don't Westminster parties have rules about a time gap between getting membership and voting in leadership elections, to stop people joining just to vote for leader?
Seems utterly sensible from the SNP to me. These ex-members threw their toys out of the pram; if they wanted to vote on this sort of thing, they should have stayed in.
Edit - also, interesting to note you're going round abusing the messenger and ignoring the pertinent issues she raises.
#PoliticsNeedsMoreLawyersInCharge