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The Republicans now a 69% betting chance for Senate control – politicalbetting.com
The Republicans now a 69% betting chance for Senate control – politicalbetting.com
The big political betting markets at the moment are on next Tuesday’s midterm elections when the big issue will be whether the Democrats will lose control of the Senate. At the moment it is a 50-50 split with the VP, Kamala Harris, having the casting vote. A loss of House control looks pretty certain.
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Nice.
Will the deal that put Sunak to No10 hold, or backfire and cause collateral damage to his nascent premiership?
@FinancialTimes weekend analysis https://www.ft.com/content/afc7a4b7-6cfa-499d-86ce-41e1766591a7
Could be wrong, very wrong, but that's my angle.
I'm very confident about them taking the House.
By pure fluke I found my way to the homepage, and from there reached the list of accounts I* am following.
*Actually "we", since it is Wor Lass' account. So a heady mixture of Greenery, political wonkery and railways.
Also follow random crazies, boffins, geeks, artists. Keep it varied
Also, everyone seems to agree being VP is usually a thankless job, so why would de Santis want it?
I reckon a lot of Republicans will kowtow and hope that Trump cannot then install one of his kids as a follow up candidate in years to come.
Arts Council England has just released its funding decisions for the next three years - and opera's the one to take the hit. English National Opera no longer getting any regular funding, Royal Opera House down 10%, Welsh National Opera down 34%, Glyndebourne down 50%
https://twitter.com/alexmarshall81/status/1588489054840311808
https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-63488059
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-63525377
"France's far-right National Rally (RN) has confirmed 27-year-old Jordan Bardella as the replacement as party leader for Marine Le Pen.
Ms Le Pen will focus instead on leading the party's group in parliament, after it took 89 seats in the National Assembly earlier this year.
It marks the first time in its 50-year history that the main far-right party has not been led by a Le Pen.
But the move does not mark a major change in direction for the party. "
What about which will rise next?
In Scott Galloway's book The Four he doesn't even include Microsoft (I forget the reasoning).
I recall he looks at a few would be contenders to be next (whilst thinking the big four won't lose dominance for a generation), from Alibaba to Uber to Tesla.
DeSantis wouldn't take it as he knows Trump ends up destroying anyone who works for him.
I watched the England vs Romania ‘test’ match that ended 148 nil. Fun for five minutes, then apparent that the game should not be taking place.
😂😂😂😂😂
Migrants should be spread around the country not just dumped in poorer parts of the country.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-humber-63446845
'An East Yorkshire village hotel has been told it cannot house asylum seekers after a council secured an interim High Court injunction.
On Sunday, East Riding of Yorkshire Council confirmed it had gone to the High Court to stop Humber View Hotel in North Ferriby being used to house those seeking asylum.
[...]
A copy of the injunction, dated 28 October and seen by the BBC, has been attached to the front of the hotel, and halts any plans to house asylum seekers until a hearing on 7 November.
It also prevents other hotels within the East Riding of Yorkshire being used to accommodate asylum seekers.'
Hmm again. The Council is majority Conservative, though the local councillor quoted in extenso is LD. And I *think* Mr Davis D is the MP.
At least the HO is being equal opps, or Ms Braverman is really trying to whip up the troops - whichever interpretation you prefer.
I’d put the Welsh first, then Russia, then France third
Scotland bottom
Facebook
Amazon
Apple
Netflix
Google
But Netflix has cratered, and now MSFT is worth much more than Google.
Which shows that impermanence is the only permanent thing.
Arise, children of the Fatherland,
The day of glory has arrived!
Against us, tyranny's
Bloody standard is raised, (repeated)
Do you hear, in the countryside,
The roar of those ferocious soldiers?
They're coming right into your arms
To cut the throats of your sons, your women!
Refrain:
𝄆 To arms, citizens,
Form your battalions,
March, march!
Let an impure blood
Water our furrows
Politicians even had campaign events in it.
It was best described by a friend of mine as "Second Life is for people who don't have a first life."
I think RDS is too ambitious for DJT. I can't see any of his horrendous kids doing it. DJTJ is Hunter Biden not on crack. Eric appears to have significant mental impairment. Ivanka is a bit too 'Davos'.
He'll probably go for another slavishly loyal god botherer of limited intellect and ambition.
(Well, up until Excel anyway, although... Google Sheets.)
I'd put the US bottom. The Star Spangled Banner is weak musically, and utter nonsense lyrically.
Whether it is right to bet the whole farm on it as he seems to be doing is another matter.
Yes, I know there are numerous 80-somethings who are fully PC/Smartphone/Internet literate but the majority aren't. Mostly their initial 'can't see the point' attitude has now morphed into 'I wish I could but I'm too old to learn now'.
So, I'm in my early 60s, what am I about to miss out on because the technology looks too daunting to get involved in?
Content is a tough business, and the hope was that Netflix would monopolize its production and distribution in the 21st Century. Every household - worldwide - would be a Netflix subscriber, and this would mean it had more money to spend on content than anyone else, and would be dominant.
But they've struggled, because Disney and Amazon and Apple all have increasingly impressive streaming offerings. Four years ago, people only had one streaming offering, and it was almost certainly Netflix. Now, I have Disney+ESPN+Hulu, Netflix, Amazon and Apple. (And I pay $5/month for YouTube + YouTube Music.)
If I wanted to save $15/month, it might well be Netflix I lost.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/nov/05/megathreats-global-leaders-disaster-world
TL-DR: Man who says he predicted the 2008 crash says further shit gonna happen (probably).
"Health officials in China on Saturday dashed hopes there would be a relaxation of the country’s strict Covid-19 restrictions. At a news conference, they insisted China would “unswervingly” stick to its zero-Covid policy which includes lockdowns, quarantining and rigorous testing aimed at stopping the spread of the coronavirus.
The announcement follows several days’ speculation that they were considering changing a disease containment policy that has disrupted economic growth and daily life, and is increasingly out of step with the rest of the world."
(also agree with the positive consensus on the Welsh one)
TrumpsTaxes
@TrumpsTaxes
·
Oct 31
This closing ad for Elaine Luria - in one #VA02, one of the closest House races in the country - is perfect.
https://twitter.com/TrumpsTaxes/status/1587083909971451904
Perhaps someone will listen to Reason….
It’s about attitude - if you live only in your comfort zone, then everything new is impossible.
I've read it half a dozen times:
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-11392027/ANDREW-NEIL-Republicans-poised-victory-midterms-huge-political-crisis-beckons.html
His key prediction is that the Senate will indeed fall to Republican control, with victory in Nevada, and perhaps a few governorships in places as previously Democrat as Oregon. He also highlights a few of the terrible candidates on both sides, for whom the result will be against the expected national swing.
Also that both parties don’t have a clue who to run for the top job, in two years’ time.
I struggle with General Auckinleck and Ritchie competing to see how hard they can tell David Stirling to fuck off, or a trooper on sentry duty telling Stirling (an officer) to fuck off because he tried to play the class card.
Just wasn't like that back then.
Then, KIng County asked me for my vote on a "charter amendment", changing the elections for some offices from odd numbered to even numbered years. The county also asked me to approve of an additional property tax to pay for "open spaces".
Next came a vote on the subject of the header, a choice between Democrat Patty Murray and Republican Tiffany Smiley. (I wrote in the name of a prominent Republican.) For the House seat in Congressional district 1, I had a choice between a law-and-order Republican and the incumbent Democrat, Susan DelBene.
In the special election for Secretary of State, I chose the nonpartisan, Julie Anderson, over the Democrat, Steve Hobbs. (That was the only close decision, for me.)
I voted for the Republican in the state senate seat, Michelle Darnell over the incumbent, Demcrat Patty Kuderer. There were two lower house seats in the legislature, where Democrats were running unopposed.
Then there were 12 judicial races. In only one of them was there a choice.
Washington state asks a lot of its voters.
Loved the anachronistic soundtrack on Blinders. Love it here too.
He'd be shocked by it.
It's also lazy writing. I always question it when screenwriters through a few "fucks" in to jazz it up and get the laughs.
I expect the book is better and have asked for that for Christmas.
But I'm afraid to say that on this, I disagree with you. Stephenson's characters are better drawn, his worldview a little more engaging.
Of course, he can't write an ending for toffee (see The Diamond Age for the worst example of this), but I still pickup his books more often than Gibson
We have that bloody dirge God Save The King.
La Marseillaise Is the only time I envy the French.
It’s why I sing Ou Est La Papier so loud when La Marseillaise is sung.
Rouge Heroes is drippin. Would benefit from the extra budget in places.