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Penny for your thoughts – politicalbetting.com
Penny for your thoughts – politicalbetting.com
NEW: Penny Mordaunt is STAYING in the race says a source close to herShe sees a route to 100 nominations now Johnson is outShe wants the members to have their sayTune in tomorrow to see if she makes the ballot!https://t.co/41pbsdZjGL
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https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/oct/24/conservative-leadership-grownup-politics-poverty
Either that or she knows he was lying about the nominations, and is herself willing to make the country ungovernable because his vanity project of becoming foreign secretary again was thwarted?
Let's hope the Tories are out of power for a long, long time.
Hopefully now we will see the back of:
Jacob Rees-Mogg's endless drivel
Nadine Dorries' deranged starry-eyed sycophancy
Stanley Johnson telling the nation how wonderful his son is
and
Michael Fabricant's wig
Bond villain Sir Richard Drax
Sir Deadwood Leigh
Christopher NoHope
Peter Bonehead
John Dreadwood
Oh and for @TSE David Campbell-Bannerman
etc. etc. ...
but above all the wicked clown and arch LIAR IN CHIEF, Boris Johnson
Which was a position Boris said wasn't good enough to proceed as the Parliamentary Party wouldn't have been united behind his leadership.
So per these "Boris requirements" Penny should not proceed even if she gets 100 nominations.
Now we know Boris almost certainly didn't have 100 nominations - but the above logic still stands.
The only one we ever seem to hear from is Nadine Dorries, who does not come across as a leader, more an eccentric political loner.
I would guess we will see dissent in the Parliamentary party but Sunak will probably lead more by consensus than his two predecessors who both pursued quite divisive agendas making a forced 2023 GE less likely.
I think the size of the Conservative majority means that the government will limp on until 2024, the odds are about right.
In terms of the constitution, you're correct.
However, I think the clamour for a General Election next year, including from those on the right of the Conservative Party, will grow. They have the capability to make Sunak's reign ungovernable and after an initial phoney peace, I expect them to begin exercising their revenge.
The British Constitution sort-of operates on a fair play basis. Johnson was the last person to understand, let alone follow, that. But most decent people do and there are quite a few moral and ethical reasons why there should be an election next year.
Spring 2023 before the Coronation? Otherwise it gets tricky as we can't have a campaign with that event but June would still be possible.
Braverman’s endorsement of Sunak surprised even some of her allies, with one speculating about whether she had been offered the chance to return as home secretary. “She wouldn’t have settled for much less,” said one.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/boris-johnsons-foes-hasten-to-end-the-only-show-in-town-in-tory-leadership-race-lm98q83k0
What a shame.
F1: despite the first safety car since 2015 making my bet red, did find the race pretty entertaining. Shame for Vettel his pit stop ruined what had been a most promising position.
I want the channel sorted, and that requires a deal with France.
We should put it to good use, and I know he will work with us to do so.
https://twitter.com/pennymordaunt/status/1584423576848867328
Decent enough odds to make it attractive.
We need people of stature.
Now this morning we have just had the first new declaration of the day - Alex Burghart for Rishi.
In terms of MPs who have switched from Boris - Rishi has gained six and Penny one.
Braverman would do well to think about the fact that there are occasional waves of public support for refugees (IE those from Ukraine, the syrian kid who died and got washed up on a beach), and also that it is not that long ago since evidence of systemic racism emerged in the form of the Windrush deportations.
So we enter the Sunak era, probably the least worse option for the Tories.
I hope Rishi keeps him on board.
Not looking great for her, is it?
Meanwhile, Johnson must have imagined for at least 24 hours or so that he was just days away from moving back into number ten and resuming his old ways. Now he slinks away with nothing. He’s going to be insufferable at home and Carrie might be wise to consider booking a long stay at a spa?
With any luck it’ll be downhill all the way now for the clown - sensible Conservatives would be well advised to drive a stake through his heart at privileges committee to make absolutely sure he cannot return.
The voting method (online only) is utterly insane given the membership and a cheats charter
I wonder if Rishi will put his Diwali lights out tonight in Downing St.
It goes deeper than that. Whatever some nasty white Brits might like to believe, this country has been an island nation with an outward facing attitude. For good or ill we have been a global nation, not an insular one. This country has benefitted phenomenally from the rich legacy of that outlook, right down to having our first Asian heritage Prime Minister.
I celebrate that fact. We all should.
Interesting.
Doesn’t mean you are incorrect though!
Okay, I'll concede that you're right.
Asian taxi driver in Leeds this morning thinks Sunak will do a good job but face problems "because of the colour of his skin".
My plan for a 1345 public statement today would have been all based on becoming junior minister for paper clips.
Though TBF the odds are not ungenerous.
If he's any sense, he won't.
He's going to have to toss the odd bone to that wing of the party, though.
Something for Baker, perhaps ?
But I think he will face far fewer problems from his skin colour than some suspect.
The number of people in this country who are reflexively prejudiced because of skin colour is vanishingly small.
The number of people who are reflexively prejudiced because of someone's cultural appearance - for example, beard-without-moustache or hijab - is rather larger, though most of those people will thej internally correct themselves. But Rishi doesn't fall into that category. Withthe minor exception of the teetotalism, Rishi looks entirely British. He is culturally unthreatening.
He says problem is not just the last 6 weeks, it's the last 6 years, including badly negotiated Brexit deal.
Warns IMF bailout now possible.
Hands said poverty was rising up the income scale, not least with many mortgage holders set to get hit in coming months/yrs.
Says the UK is unattractive to investors + returning to reputation as 'the sick man of Europe'.
https://twitter.com/paulwaugh/status/1584430166897745921
Tuesday is the partial solar eclipse. Very inauspicious in Hindu astrology.
All the noise about Suella is just her trying to pretend she’s a big beast. Note to the editor: she isn’t. She’s insaneballs.
Yes, you're right. Britain needs immigration, we're an ageing population and we need young people to wipe bottoms, and we need people to do the jobs us Brits are either too lazy or feckless or simply think it's beneath us to do.
The problem is we also need the infrastructure support that immigration. We need new houses built. New schools. New hospitals. People see expanding class sizes, inability to get a GP's appointment for weeks, rents going up and up and semi-correctly diagnose immigration as the problem. The problem isn't the immigration, it's the lack of infrastructure to keep up with immigration.
My big wish is for JRM to be gone.
If she's going to run she needs nominations. And if she has nominations they aren't kept secret.
We need immigration of skilled individuals who don't hate us.
And while population decline would be bad news, the unprecedented population expolsion of the past 25 years has also brought a lot of challenges and is not sustainable.
If I thought someone was a snake I’d call them a snake. I wouldn’t stop to consider the colour of their skin
Little wonder he’s dodging scrutiny: he’s so dire that just a few weeks ago he was trounced by Liz Truss. 🥬
No mandate. No one voted for this.
#GeneralElectionNow
https://twitter.com/AngelaRayner/status/1584431842471530496
I think it should be a constitutional requirement when the PM changes. OK it would be mainly symbolic, but important to remind everyone that it is absolutely up to MPs (and not eg the membership of any political party) to choose the PM. And that is where any government's mandate comes from - from elected MPs. The "mandate" from members of a party (that Truss claimed to have) is bullshit, in terms of running the country.
It would also offer any Conservative MPs who really believe that anyone except Johnson becoming PM is "Banana Republic 'democracy'" to stand up for what they believe in, and then lose the whip, if they have any guts.
If nothing else, the previous two iterations of Tory government would sneer and belittle, blaming the kids who are starving. If Sunak can act like a human being it will make a change from the last two.
It would be cruel, and nasty, and show prejudice against snakes.
A better one is the pass the parcel habit the Tories have developed with the office of PM.
And, no, we don't just need "skilled" immigration. We need people who are prepared to roll up their sleeves and pick the fruit, dig the potatoes on those dark winter mornings, mop the floors and clean the loos of our hotels, wait on tables etc.
Sorry but your post is off-beam.
https://mobile.twitter.com/maxseddon/status/1584422464276529152
RT has suspended presenter Anton Krasovsky for genocidal hate speech against Ukrainians, which is kind of like the time Lemmy was kicked out of Hawkwind for doing too many drugs
Lets see how Sunak fills his government. He will have to put *some* ERG-types in. I assume Baker will be one of them, but an awful lot of dross is getting flushed - they made *Gulles* a minister for education FFS.
I mean I'm no fan of the Conservative Party or its members but if you were an anti-Sunak process driven party member you might be forgiven for being a tad miffed.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uevRdbeNBeQ
https://twitter.com/RachelReevesMP/status/1584436660472725505
This is the reality of the economic chaos this Conservative government has brought.
Bills up and family finances hit, and all the Tories want to do is keep handing round the job of PM like it’s a game of pass the parcel.
We need a general election now.
https://www.theguardian.com/money/2022/oct/22/more-than-two-million-uk-households-are-in-debt-on-their-electricity-bills
What are the malcontents going to do- trigger a GE? They can read the polls as well as you and I.
Process driven party members would never have gone for Johnson in the first place.