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Is the regent about to become the monarch? – politicalbetting.com
Is the regent about to become the monarch? – politicalbetting.com
Interestingly, immediately? a source who would know gets in touch to say they've don't know of examples of the 1922 chair briefing a cabinet minister before the 1922 meeting … The whole point is for questions to be taken and chaired – nothing to prepare Ministers for …. ? https://t.co/wnldXZWzvx
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What people actually think about Brexit, rather than simplistic binary choices.
https://institute.global/policy/moving-how-british-public-views-brexit-and-what-it-wants-future-relationship-european-union
Well worth reading, even if you don't like the source.
That's hardly a public endorsement for joining the EU as it actually is, rather than the romantic utopian view die-hard Remainers have.
Now for
Integration tests
Performance tests
Regressions tests
QA tests
Staging tests
Chaos monkey tests
Etc
Also Bonar Law.
Before that, Pitt the Younger.
This is why I got weak legs and cashed out a little on my Truss gone by Xmas eve bet.
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OT, but I can't help sympathising. Which may not be a good sign. https://metro.co.uk/2022/10/18/chester-woman-discovered-living-in-a-hedge-for-three-years-17584328/
"Woman found living in hedge for three years didn’t want to leave her cat"
This is despite no migrants having been removed to Rwanda, and no prospect of any being sent for months:
https://bit.ly/3TaGFM4
We all know how a budget vote on ending the triple lock will turn out. Labour will decide, after careful consideration, that making poor, vulnerable pensioners with scarcely two pennies to rub together pay the cost of the Kamikwazi budget and multi-million pound bonuses for evil City bankers is abhorrent, and vote against.
All the Tory backbenchers will then be made to leave their fingerprints on the bloody knife. They do it, bye bye grey vote. They refuse, general election. Checkmate, crown Starmer King.
@freddiesayers
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1h
Suddenly there is wide open space for a new populist movement in the UK:
- anti-globalist/technocrat
- pro-freedom
- culturally conservative
- non free market-fundamentalist
Neither Tories or Labour anywhere near. Will anyone emerge to seize the opportunity?
Callaghan went from the backbenches straight to the Home Office. So did Patel.
Edit - George Goschen was appointed CofE in 1886 despite not even being an MP if that counts.
Guaranteed to clean up?
So, free to marry someone of the same sex and against gay marriages for example?
Turns out that freedom and cultural conservatism are fundamentally at odds; that anti-globalism is essentially xenophobia, anti-technocracy essentially philistinism, and that the bond markets won’t wear market denialism.
They just thought they didn't apply to them...
Surely HM opposition simply doesn't have access to all the same information and the army of publicly employed advisers that the government has.
So you can't really be a determinedly anti-globalist, technocratic government.
If Wallace refuses the crown (thrice?) then that only really leaves Hunt as the last one standing with not enough enemies to block his coronation. He did himself no harm on Monday presentationally it must be said.
However he will effectively manage the government with Truss as his puppet until the next leader and PM is chosen by Tory MPs, probably Rishi
https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1582280655953502208?s=20&t=zamITsGRmbKNFgwDwmgcfw
Chancellor hasn't been too bad, until this year, but you have to go back to Hague for a Foreign Secretary who lasted more than just over 2 years (and cannot have been a very impactful one, I forgot he had held the position).
“France (1 November 2022 – 30 April 2023)
New terrorist threats, organised criminality and activity of organised groups of smugglers, risk of arrival of persons who could pose a threat among the flow of refugees, irregular migration, secondary movements, the situation at the external border (Ukraine war); all internal borders as well as sea and air borders”
It's only Gove that you're feeling
Wellington!
Which makes total sense.
If you are a rabid wombat with glaucoma.
Remember, again, until the late nineteenth century there was nothing approaching a definitive list of what was, or wasn't, a cabinet post. Cabinet was whoever the incumbent senior minister summoned to attend it. The only people who were in it as of right were the Foreign Secretary and Lord Chancellor.
It persisted into the late nineteenth century - Gladstone was both in 1881, and Balfour was the First Lord but not Prime Minister.
Your post is extraordinary. You’re not wrong in your analysis, btw. Just pointing out how extraordinary the situation is.
Politics is bonkers.
We’re looking at, surely, the biggest election-to-election seat swing… ever?
"I want never gets...."
These are the true believers: if they’re angry at Liz for anything, it’s for not keeping the mini-Budget. Lord Frost, John Redwood, Kate Hoey, Jacob, Fabbers, the magnificent David Campell Bannerman dragging a suitcase - full, no doubt, of Monetarist literature - and Steve “Muscles” Baker.
Sir William Cash spread his arms like Jolson, and sang, “Here we goooo!”
@Richard_Tyndall - that’s you, that is.
When McKenna finally declined, Baldwin appointed Neville Chamberlain.
I don't know why members would dislike Hunt, who's always struck me as an unobjectionable figure (even the hate at him as Health secretary wasn't that vicious), but it'd probably be best if they could find a new leader not entirely disliked by the members. Frankly, that rules out Rishi too, since even the Truss/Sunak ratio now with them is not overwhelming.
Keir Starmer: -5 (down 7 from 11-12 Oct)
Penny Mordaunt -17
Rishi Sunak: -21 (up 14 from 24-25 Aug)
Boris Johnson: -36 (up 4 from 8-9 Aug)
Jeremy Hunt: -41 (up 7 from 13-14 Jul)
Liz Truss: -70 (down 14 from 11-13 Oct)
https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1582280655953502208?s=20&t=MAp9LD95SgSCT8P5mm2jjQ
*The Unionists lost 246 seats in 1906 but around 20 were Liberal Unionists.