Queen Elizabeth. Lessons from a life well lived. – politicalbetting.com
One of the striking features of the national grief is how personally affiliated people felt towards the late Queen. A frequent comment from mourners in The Queue and similar vox pops was “it was like losing my granny”.
An interesting header but, in the fashion of PedanticBetting.com, I should point out HMQEQM was 101 not 102 when she died.
Surprised to see Augsburg beat Bayern Munich. Less so to see Udinese beat Inter Milan.
Apart from a bit of chanting during the minute's applause for the late Queen, their fans were rather quiet.
C'mon the Saints!
A very interesting subject for a thread. You could go into greater dietary detail - the Buckingham Palace menus are public. Lots and lots of eggs I think I remember reading. Eggs with everything.
Twitter seems to think SKSs hierarchy of racism did not go down well with the large Asian Population
Last night's Rumworth (Bolton) council by-election result:
CON: 55.0% (+44.1)
LAB: 37.6% (-35.2)
GRN: 5.3% (-2.6)
LDEM: 1.2% (-0.8)
REF: 0.8% (+0.8)
No UKIP (-6.3) as prev.
Chgs. w/ 2019
Votes cast: 2,928
Conservative GAIN from Labour.
Interesting to see that while females don't have such a life expectancy by decile, the trend for healthy life expectancy is just as marked.
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/health-profile-for-england/chapter-5-inequality-in-health#:~:text=the least deprived areas had,most deprived areas (51.9 years)
For all the areas covered, it is hard to be sure what is cause and what is effect. Does being healthy keep you wealthy or vice versa?
Nonetheless, I think it will be quite some time to the next succession. Having got the top job, I think King Charles will want a decent run in office.
What is "healthy life" and what is moderate exercise. I appreciate that there is a "how long is a piece of string" aspect to these. Maybe there is also an element of "I know when I see it" ?
All good advice
The Queen kept her complexion until late in life, as well, so I imagine she was NOT A SMOKER
Notably unlike her late sister who died so much younger
Bolton council's previous Labour administration is not very popular for a number of reasons.
Bolton Conservative have become well-rgoanised, enthusiastic and energetic, and have been doing very well recently - so well, they've become the largest group on the council, albeit not a majority.
The Tories have also been doing well in this ward - tripling their 2019 vote in 2021 and 2022.
A Labour councillor in this ward, perhaps seeing te writing on the wall, defected to the Cons earlier this year.
This ward has a very high ethnic percentage, and as such the background of candidates can have a significant impact on their support.
All in all, it was a good victory for the Cons, but neither outstanding nor unexpected - at least to those who do some research.
Still in your team did very well, and if these figures can be extrapolated onto the national picture it would result in a humiliation for Starmer. I am surprised no one has Baxtered them yet.
It's interesting how you only come on here to post a days old by-election that just so happens to confirm what your existing beliefs.
"26 is a woman's peak of physical attractiveness so they say."
Not sure that's true. Ample evidence suggests men find women around 18-23 years old the most beautiful
"The graphs show a worrying sliding scale where both 20-year-old and 49-year-old men both cite women aged 20 as what they find the most attractive. The age of a woman men find most attractive never makes it above 24."
This makes Darwinian sense, as it coincides with peak fertility
"the average woman's fertility peaks in her early 20s."
Indeed it would be decidedly odd if men did NOT find the most fertile women the most attractive
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/drugusealcoholandsmoking/bulletins/smokingprevalenceintheukandtheimpactofdatacollectionchanges/2020#:~:text=The proportion of adults aged,downward trend seen since 1974.
Moderate exercise is 30 min per day, sufficient to significantly raise the heart rate.
The healthy life expectancy is pretty important, as John Mortimer once opined "no pleasure is worth forgoing for the prospect of 3 more years in the geriatric ward" or worse to that effect.
One thing though is that the need for social care for the elderly looks to be in inverse ratio to means required to pay for it.
Film at 11.
1) Parent dead at 45, and one at 72 (okish health)
2) Not married or with kids
3) Non-committal with family
5) Snacking on junk food and sedentary
6) Currently in work
Based on that this might well be my final post before I pop my clogs.
Especially since Bolton news says "Tories in Bolton were quite open in saying that this election was not about party identity - they successfully distanced themselves from the Tory brand and campaigned almost as independents."
Its been all downhill since Corbyn Labour got 77% of votes in that ward in 2016
And Nate Cohn at the NYTimes has a piece arguing the opposite:
What have i missed?
The stress of keeping up a healthy life style can do more harm than good . That’s my motto !
On the religion side, I suspect that at least part of the effect is from the sense of community and purpose that matters, rather than God wanting to keep out Christians for as long as possible. Have you considered delivering Focus leaflets and canvassing as a valid alternative? Good for the moderate exercise too 😊
1) How many non-UK citizens are there anyway? Do they really make up a significant proportion? Seems unlikely, so why bother with the effort.
2) Commonwealth Realm citizens shared the Queen as Head of State, equal standing seems reasonable there.
3) How would citizenship be checked, when we do not (thankfully) require people to carry identification papers whereever they go? "Are you a citizen?" "...Yes?"
My only quibble is with the phrase 'this internet community of gamblers'. I think you mean 'this internet community of shrewd investors in the political betting markets'.
This is quite a good article from Sunder Katwala today. Britain is a bizarre mix of the ultra-traditional and the ultra-liberal, and probably has been since the 18th century. Charles's formative years in the ultra-paradoxical Britain of the late '60s, for a while both more socially adventurous and more traditional than the rest of Europe at the same time, will dovetail with that quite neatly.
Russian foreign ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova has condemned Britain's decision not to invite Russian officials to attend the Queen's funeral on Monday.
"We see this British attempt to use the national tragedy, which has touched the hearts of millions of people around the world, for geopolitical purposes to settle scores with our country... as deeply immoral," foreign ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said.
Diplomatic relations between the UK and Russia have all but collapsed since Russia's invasion of Ukraine. A spokesperson for Russian President Vladimir Putin had already said the Russian leader was "not considering" attending the funeral.
Pleased to note I tick most of those boxes, except being stinking rich.
I can't think of a better way of turning Australia into a Republic.
The point of a queue is that no one should have priority. Not Philip Schofield, not Leon, not British people.
You arrive, you get in the queue, and you reach the front in the order you arrive.
On which subject, nothing brings me out in righteous class anger more than queue jump tickets at theme parks.
But such an act of personal spite would be out of character.
Chilling out is another good tip. I've seen a study that says being under repeated and regular heavy stress shorterns your life by up to three years. Of course that's partly covered by no.3 - but arguably the antithesis of #2.
I think not drinking to excess is certainly another tip. According to a random website: "One study found that people drinking more than 25 drinks a week have a shorter life expectancy by four to five years. Another study in Scandinavia concluded that people hospitalized for an alcohol use disorder had a lifespan that was 24 to 28 years fewer [sic] than the general population."
I was wondering about religion too - whether its effect is explained through correlation with other variables. Religious people are I think significantly less likely to smoke and drink and more likely to get and stay married. So it isn't so much the belief in itself, rather that it is covered amongst the other pieces of advice you give.
Can you tell a British citizen from a non-British citizen at a glance? Because I cannot.
That plus a couple of teams calls and in my case an early call from the beeb to talk about tax on the Today programme.
Is Coffey the first health secretary in NHS history to care more about commas than comas?
I'm talking in particular to a certain North London (not) clear thinking progressive here. 🤐
As Gordon Brown says "British queues for British citizens".
Alcohol is another tricky one, sometimes depicted as a U shaped curve with peak health amongst light drinkers, and worse in both teetotalers and heavy drinkers, but we do need to bear in mind that sometimes people become teetotal due to ill health.
In terms of stress, I am aware of the Civil Service health study which showed higher rates of heart disease amongst lower grades. The theory is that stress is particularly bad when the individual cannot exert control over it. Indeed a certain amount of stress may be a necessary seasoning to life.
Leon and Casino to enforce
Be wealthy. The rich tend to live longer than the poor, don't they?
EDIT - just reread the intro. It's there!
In fact, there has been escalating use of lying in state in America — with eight people doing so in Washington since 2018 — whilst this is only the second such British ceremony since Winston Churchill in 1965. It is today *mostly an American occurrence.*
If one is what might be called a Christian Democrat / wet Conservative, that ought to give pause for uncomfortable thought.
The Hobbit King: Charles III is far more interested in the benefits of traditional English hedgerows than the great, global glory of Britain.
I suspect that Leon's successor, if he does not in fact decide to apologise for whatever caused the problem and continue his merrily entertaining discussions of custom made flint sex toys, will be similarly easy to notice...
But that's almost certainly a simple byproduct of poorer countries being more religious.
Churchill - 90
Eden - 80
Macmillan - 92
Douglas-Home - 92
Ted Heath - 89
Wilson - 79
Callaghan - 93
Thatcher - 87
Joe Biden in Westminster Hall https://twitter.com/JohnRentoul/status/1571529824044294151/photo/1
“I felt a great disturbance in the #Bullshit as if millions of @SeanTs suddenly cried out and were suddenly silenced”