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The US Midterms are looking more challenging for the GOP – politicalbetting.com

The US mid-term elections take place on November 8th and the general experience is that these are almost always a challenge for the party that controls the White House.
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I take these stories with a pinch of salt. This was Max Rushden in The Guardian yesterday:
https://www.theguardian.com/football/blog/2022/sep/15/silence-football-links-with-sexual-and-domestic-violence
So what should happen to players accused of these crimes? They are, of course, innocent until proven guilty. But since the conviction rate is so low, this kind of all-or-nothing solution feels inadequate. Should football’s authorities become some kind of civil court – on the balance of probability rather than reasonable doubt? Clearly this isn’t what the Premier League or any other governing body was set up to do. “Where there have been allegations there needs to be a serious investigation. And I do think it has to come from an independent ombudsman because the clubs will protect their own, and not every woman wants to go to the police. It is about the clubs taking allegations seriously. And then when there are ongoing investigations, the players shouldn’t be on the pitch.”
Everything before the but...
And the thing is, Mason Greenwood's career is over whatever happens with criminal proceedings. So it's kind of happening anyway where evidence is in the public domain.
It does annoy me that the Guardian goes into bat for people accused of some serious crimes, but not others.
If they were getting pissy about 23 degrees I'd say a disciplinary would be in order, because most non-air-conditioned rooms (I.e. most rooms) in England must exceed that on a regular basis in summer.
Prince William will be flanked by Zara Tindall and Peter Phillips, Prince Harry by Princesses Beatrice and Eugenie with Lady Louise and Viscount Severn in the middle of the #Queen’s coffin
“The grandchildren, at the King’s invitation, are very keen to pay their respects - just as their parents are doing the evening before,” says a royal source. #Queen #KingCharles
https://twitter.com/RoyaNikkhah/status/1570693797000126464
“Light work” is defined as exerting 200 kcal/hr., which can include sitting or standing performing light hand or arm work. The permissible heat level is 86 degrees Fahrenheit.
Which is 30 C
That doesn't seem unreasonable to me.
The Democrats should hold the Senate
Its virtually unprecedented in recent years for the House not to switch in the first term that a new party has the White House. 2002 in the aftermath of 9/11 being an obvious exception to the rule.
Hopefully this year is another exception and helps make the point to sensible GOPers that Trump and Trumpists are the problem and not the solution.
Of 12 occasions that the White House switched party since the start of the 20th Century, in 10/12 times the party that had just gained the White House at the previous occasion kept it at the next one. Carter and Trump are the only exceptions to that rule.
23c seems extremely low, especially when the officers are not wearing a dress shirt, wooly trousers, a waist coat, tails, a court gown and a ridiculous horsehair wig to stop any heat getting out the top. But then only dafties would wear something so ridiculous.
Edit, talking of which, show time.
Random sample looking this minute at the live stream (for @thart if he's still with us).
Asian woman
White bloke (a rev as it turns out)
White couple
White woman
White woman
White woman
White woman
White bloke
White bloke
White woman
White woman
OK I am prepared to say that the queue to pay respect is pretty white.
Don't like this double line business either. Would be well stressed if I was on the outer line.
Anyway, enough with queues.
The deal between the Unions and Rail companies was a massive relief for the WH . A strike would have been a disaster for the economy and the Dems would have been blamed ,
That deal still has to be ratified by union members , the voting is not due to be completed until mid October . Even if the deal is rejected by one or more Unions it’s unlikely there would be an immediate strike with more time for negotiations so for the mid terms the possibility for a freight strike now looks unlikely to happen before those .
Of course the GOP were desperate for the strike !
Certainly when I spent a few minutes watching a couple of nights ago there seemed to be more women than men.
Trying to remember/work out who all these people were I allowed myself a moment of sadness that the Queen isn't being succeeded by her daughter. She'd be much better. Or at least more like what we're used to.
Ah well. That's the point - we don't get to choose.
Anne didn't want titles for her kids.
Andrew demanded them.
Edward is letting his kids choose when they turn 18
https://twitter.com/BritainElects/status/1570697210496524289?ref_src=twsrc^google|twcamp^serp|twgr^tweet
This is a pretty deprived ward, and very heavily Asian.
I also note that she was wearing a Naval Good Conduct medal the other day. You get those after 15 years of service without disciplinary offence.That spot on my rack remains consipicuously bare.
"I can't bear that man. I mean, he's so awful, he really is."
https://twitter.com/Haruspexut/status/1570582230241783809
Refusing to take part in the special military operation now gets your face posted above a urinal.
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/15/world/europe/princess-anne-royal-influence.html
Queue Hard With A Vengeance
"Holy Toledo! Somebody had fun."
Techne this morning if not reported yet is a 41 35 six point Labour lead, last week was apparantly 8 points but was not reported, probably because of HMQ
https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1570676754997727232
Baza reports that >8 prison transport trucks are transporting 400 prisoners in Tambov to a training area in southern Russia (possibly Wagner’s base in Molkino) likely before going to Ukraine. They say 10-12 prison trucks were seen in Belgorod last night.
I think a lot of people are travelling from outside London - at Buckingham Palace they were. My wife went to Westminster yesterday and said the same - lots of people talking about their travel to London, which way was best to get home etc.
Edit - I see this one is based on 70. I watched the other night for 10-20 mins and saw loads of mix in terms of race, age, social class. I didn’t care to count.
One thing I will say is that I am very glad to see the queue taking place in South East London, the centre of the known universe. The map on the queue tracker App includes our house!
"Loads of mix, didn't care to count." Polling expertise right there.
So that is out.
30C inside ins't pleasant, but I have worked in those conditions.
I am not going to post it as it is far too long but worth a read
Trump calls McConnell an ‘absolute Loser’
https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/3645397-trump-calls-mcconnell-an-absolute-loser/
What are you views on
- Pineapple on pizza
- Python as a coding language
- The band Radiohead
- The quality of the Russian batting order in the recent Test matches
?
AIUI a large chunk of especially younger Londoners are of mixed heritage so which column are you putting them into to try and make your point?
Take a random example, the Duchess of Sussex, I and many others had absolutely no idea that she was mixed heritage with a black mother and identifies as “black” until the day of her wedding. I thought she was of Latino or Spanish heritage.
Are you counting people who look similar to her as white? Mixed? Black?
Or will this fuck up your pointless stirring?
I am sure PB Tories will be lining up to pay this back
As others have noted, The Trussketeers argument seems to be that the treasury have been explicitly avoiding growth until they arrived, which is clearly bollocks.
Also, they get no points for effort. Rewarding millionaires, trashing environmental standards and working conditions in pursuit of "growth" that doesn't deliver growth is not a reason for applause.
Lab 41% (-1)
Con 35% (+1)
LibDem 10% (-1)
Green 5% (+1)
SNP 4% (nc)
1,647 questioned on 14-15 September. Changes with 7-8 September.
Details & data at http://www.technetracker.co.uk https://twitter.com/techneUK/status/1570667926449004546/photo/1
The number of UK businesses exporting goods to the EU fell BY A THIRD to 18,357 in 2021, from 27,321 in 2020, according to data from HMRC.
https://www.cityam.com/brexit-onslaught-deepens-as-a-third-of-all-uk-firms-exporting-to-eu-simply-vanish-due-to-red-tape-knockout/
I was going to do a count, but the beeb livestream is off air. Realistically, you can classify people as DG for definite gammon, and EO everyone else. This obv tends to overstate racial minorities. And having eyeballed the feed to formulate this sophisticated methodology I have to say DGs look to be 90%+ to me.
Not sure why this subject is tendentious. It is surely important and interesting, and if you want to construct a narrative out of it I would have thought both L and R wing variants were available.
I get that you've got all the complexity of Morrissey singing Heaven Knows I'm Miserable Now since the Brexit vote, but maybe give more than one week to determine if new policies do or don't deliver growth.