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Now the big story will be what he does next – politicalbetting.com
Now the big story will be what he does next – politicalbetting.com
We have reached another crossroads in the colourful political career of Boris Johnson who won the last election with a landslide majority for his party. The situation of having to leave a job is not new to him and in just about every case he’s been fired for not telling the truth. This latest move fits into that pattern.
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Jesus Christ this short Truss administration is going to be an absolute sh*tshow. Even Johnson sort of knew not to give Rees-Mogg too much power, but it appears he has enough as it it.
Talking of third rate, I’ve found the only people on the planet surprised by the Nordstream closure - the NYT:
In a Surprise, Russia Says the Gas Pipeline to Germany Will Remain Closed
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/02/business/gazprom-nordstream.html?
Rishi is not very liquid. The price on Liz Truss is a more reliable signal, or would be if it moved.
Betfair next prime minister
1.05 Liz Truss 95%
18.5 Rishi Sunak 5%
Next Conservative leader
1.05 Liz Truss 95%
20 Rishi Sunak 5%
https://mobile.twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1565977656306409473
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2022/sep/03/bus-fares-in-england-to-be-capped-at-2-for-three-months-says-dft
Which was taken through the courts.
Boris and his fans need to stop desperately hoping for the Tories to fail, and think about how they can help the party (which does not appear to be his or their focus). Perhaps he could spend his time touring the Red Wall for Liz and try to regain some of the old magic up there?
If he sits and pouts then either he doesn't care about the Tories winning if he does not get to lead them, or he actively wants them to fail as punishment.
The gas isn’t coming back, the only way out is to defeat Putin’s army on the battlefield and liberate Ukraine.
Russia will be losing hundreds of millions per day shitting off Nordstream 1. It’s a game of chicken that I don’t think Russia can win.
So basically, within an hour, everyone within spitting distance of SW1 will know.
That's why the new pumped storage station at Loch Lochy is interesting. Torness will close by 2030, not sure what the plan is with Peterhead.
It wouldn’t even be much of a surprise, it’s the sort of thing we except to happen next in UK politics, since Brexit reset dividing lines and heartlands, this age of populism, like Boris and Corbyn. Corbyn survived the rebellion of his parliamentary party easily by getting on the ballot, so would Boris if he was in this final two.
It could well be that it’s not just the Tory membership who prefer Boris than Truss as PM, Boris may even be the Tories best hope at retaining voters in the marginals.
This is where according to Russian authorities an oil leak was discovered which, combined with the absence of maintenance help from Germany, has caused them to suspend the supply of gas along the Nordstream 1 pipeline to much of the rest of Europe - indefinitely.
In short, this is supposed to be why your lights may soon go out (assuming you could afford to turn them on if the grid supply were still on): an "accident", during wartime, at a compressor plant very close to the border.
Whoopsadaisy!
Portovaya is on land that used to be in Finland. It's even closer to the border than Vyborg, once Finland's second city.
Meanwhile, strange how AFAICT the US and Britain are still importing Russian uranium.
The SG (as a green/SNP coalition) is a bit confused on the subject. Oil/gas = good for Scotland, but we are doing everything we can to avoid getting it out the ground or using it in our power stations.
Tory leadership election is weird. You have one candidate whose pitch is 'you know from the pandemic response, which I hated by the way, that I have the experience to deliver', while the other is 'the last three years were great. We need to change everything about the party'.
https://twitter.com/stephenkb/status/1565050045539524608?cxt=HHwWgIC9wa6ulrgrAAAA
* party in the political sense rather than wine and cheese!
Will he therefore be rooting for Truss to flop and big Labour poll leads?
"Our colleagues get an extra day off when their kids have their first day at school, so you may notice a different colleague in your local Timpson shop next week, helping cover for this important day in a families life."
https://twitter.com/JamesTCobbler/status/1565977459664850945
But even that little compromise with reality is not where the Conservatives are right now.
Time is fleeting
Madness takes its toll
But listen closely
Not for very much longer
I've got to keep control
As both BJO and HY praised Boris for a jump to the left (couldn’t see it myself) here comes a clear step to the right…
From Monday - Thatcherism.
That sead, if I was able to bet, and we would then find out for defiant, I would put every penny I had available on Russia deliberately disabling its planed/system and then saying we cant send oil/gas to Europe, but you cant complain because its because of yore actions in not sending us new/refurbished pumps/equipment.
Why am I so confidant, about something I don't know?
1) This is start out of the Kremlins go to play book, that has been done dozens of times before.
2) It just happening to be the plant that is close to and visible form an EU boarder, is a big.
3) Timing,
4) It also played on the environmental consensus that some in the EU have, and as such is an attempt to divide the EU.
The chance of the being Sabotage by a Ukrainian team I think is close to zero.
but interested if others have thoughts/ideas
We pay our colleagues as much as we can afford, rather than as little as we can get away with. In addition to receiving a basic wage, every single colleague is part of a bonus scheme relevant to their part of the business.
We believe that sharing our profits with our colleagues is one of the keys to our success. We offer a wide variety of other benefits to our colleagues; from having your birthday off, to free to use holiday homes, we also offer you use of the company limousine if you get married, as well getting an extra £100 in your wages and a week off work! .
If he's serious about sticking around he needs to rein in his fanboys, since even a supporter like Truss cannot bring him into the Cabinet at some point if it is well known he wants to take over again.
And even if the6 did evict Truss, they won’t go back to the liar.
Amongst other things it devolves and lot of power/decition making alterity to the lowest level possible.
Is consistently ranked as the best or near best of all UK large company's. for looking after there employees.
Actively recruits ex-convicts to give them a second chance in life.
It's also the largest UK company still owned by the founding family, and one of the last vestiges of what I consider proper capitalism, where entrappers put there name on the company, and their reputation and the companies reputation become one and the same.
Though more than enough insanity to go round.
(And don't diss Thatcherism. For most of her Premiership, Maggie was a model of moderation and pragmatism, certainly compared with what seems to be incoming.)
You can't claim Scotland would be energy self-reliant while not actually using our resources.
But I suggest it’s not the gap we should look at, but the Tory share, currently on average herded less than 33 so the coming bounce can be measured by how it goes above 33, to the 35s and 36s.
Based on historical precedent, Will the coming bounce begin instantly next week or take a few weeks
Woolie has but one tip for you - shes not getting a bounce worth the name, and once we reach the usual bounce sweet spot (2 to 3 months), all hell will have broken loose as we spend every day awaiting national lights on, cooking permitted hour.
Our winter national anthem should be a badly off key Ode to Joy mashed with Fat Les' Vindaloo
May had no support for her principal policy and in effect lost control of parliament entirely as a result, yet it took several months for there to be a challenge, and a further 6-7 months before she was actually made to stand down.
Boris rocketed from scandal to scandal relating to his personal conduct for 7-9 months before he faced a challenge and was then made to stand down.
Each had a couple of years under their belts as leader.
Truss will get a bit of a honeymoon among the party members at least, and whilst some of her ideas are crazy and her planned appointments include some terrible ones from my perspective they should please the party. She isn't notably incompetent amongst her peers.
So even though her policies might make things worse, and even if they do not we are set for a terrible time, and the party may well remain in the doldrums poll wise, even if she had some minor scandals she's probably safe for at least a year before the rumblings truly start. And then it would take quite a while to come to a point of true challenge, since MPs are cautious, and suddenly you're into 2024 and if you switch leaders the new one has very little time to do anything before a GE, maximum 1 year.
It's not IDS being removed relatively quickly in opposition, and even he got 2 years. Doing it to a PM in quicker than that seems unlikely.
The reputation thing is interesting. None of us really know who owns/runs anything in the UK, so what's the incentive for a manager to be a good steward?
I do like the company history on wikipedia - seems like a black sheep of the family ousted the current chair's dad and sold it off, until the true heir reacquired it.
In the early-1960s, family member and graduate of the University of Nottingham John Timpson returned from a post-graduate management training scheme to join the family-owned business, becoming director responsible for buying in 1970.[3] In 1973, after John's father Anthony was ousted as chairman by his uncle Geoffrey, the company was acquired for £28,600,000 by United Drapery Stores.[2] John stayed with the firm, became managing director of leather and fur retailers Swears & Wells, then in 1975; appointed managing director of the former family business, William Timpson Ltd.[3]
In 1983, John led a £42,000,000 management buyout of William Timpson from then-owners Hanson Trust plc.
F1: third practice underway.
And Piastri will join Norris at McLaren next year. Gasp!
'We had such trust, we feel such fools’: how shocking hospital mistakes led to our daughter’s death'
I thought hospitals had improved!
However providing Truss looks headed for a hung parliament still, even if the Tories majority is lost, she likely stays
It speaks well of you that you didn't know.
So the question is will things change to the point where he looks like a GE winner again, since it was losing that which did for him more than repeated scandals. And how would such a personal resurgence be demonstrated?
I can think of a couple of examples of companies where the offspring were not up to the job, leading to serious decline.
Meritocracy over monarchy when it comes to business...
But you have to concede Stu, it was economically and fiscally a dry ideology governing the UK, we arguably havn’t had since 1990. It was that I was referring to, especially feeling the winds of change compared to the tax raising cash splashing of Boris and Rishi.
Any taxes cut can equate to something else cut to pay for it - but it’s only the tax cut that will be mentioned in the Emergency Fiscal Event end of the month.
I bet he was not invited to family gatherings thereafter.
https://www.timpson-group.co.uk/our-story/history/
https://www.timpson-group.co.uk/our-story/meet-the-timpsons/
I might even come out of retirement to take advantage.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kongō_Gumi
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2022/09/02/mag-weiss-kidsbooks-00053509
Bongo the gorilla has a problem. Well, two of them. First, a group of hyenas armed with coconut cannons is invading his village and snatching the residents’ cupcakes. To make matters worse, Bongo wants to shoot the invaders with his own coconut cannon, but some of his peacenik animal neighbors want to outlaw all cannons, instead. When the cannon-control advocates get pelted with coconuts in a hyena attack, Bongo pulls out his arsenal and shows them the error of their ways. The best way to stop a bad cartoon animal with a gun is with a good cartoon animal with a gun.
That’s the message, at least, in Paws Off My Cannon, a children’s book co-written by former National Rifle Association spokeswoman Dana Loesch and published by a year-old Texas company called Brave Books....
...Brave Books, with its growing catalog of brightly-colored paperbacks, isn’t aiming for nuanced arguments. Its goal is something bigger: to become a literary hub for the wee and anti-woke, searing a conservative viewpoint — and, sometimes, conservative talking points — into the youngest minds.
It might be vaguely amusing to hear his plans for the introduction of the spinning jenny and establishment of mills in Manchester I suppose.
The reality is that an independent Scotland would find it rather easier than rUK to become energy self sufficient. And more likely to be exporting energy to us down the road.
As far as extricable is concerned, GW interconnect with Norway - as we have now - is only a billion or so to construct.
There are good arguments against independence; this isn't really one of them.
If Truss's policies don't work, well, that's a shame. If Labour has a big poll lead and the hypotheticals show others doing better, or if she continues to lose by-elections, Liz Truss is toast.