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Opinium has Starmer with an 8% “Best PM” lead over Truss – politicalbetting.com
Opinium has Starmer with an 8% “Best PM” lead over Truss – politicalbetting.com
Neither of the two Conservative leadership candidates currently perform well against Keir Starmer.> 29% think Starmer would be the best PM vs Rishi Sunak on 23% (+6 pt lead)> 31% tink Starmer would be the best PM vs Liz Truss on 23% (+8 pt lead) pic.twitter.com/VSvr1fluUT
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Does nobody learn grammar any more?
Edit: And First too!
Here is the under the bonnet number that matters.
13% of those who voted Tory at the last election say they will now vote Labour. This is *almost* 1997 levels of switching.
The public like Starmer's plan, even if it came from the Lib Dems and undoubtedly has holes in it. (Getting away with plans with holes is one of the few perks of opposition.)
The public don't like the government's lack of a plan. Possibly fixable, but the public demand and Truss's instincts go in opposite directions.
The public have made their mind up about Truss, in which case it's going to be damn hard to persuade them otherwise.
1.08 Liz Truss 93%
9.4 Rishi Sunak 11%
Next Conservative leader
1.07 Liz Truss 93%
14 Rishi Sunak 7%
https://www.twitter.com/JimmySecUK/status/1561056419989934082
Is it illegal for a British citizen to join the regular armed forces of a foreign country? I am thinking of people like Rick Rescorla, the heroic Cornishman who served with the British Parachute Regiment but then joined the US 7th Cavalry and fought at Ia Drang under Hal Moore (who described as the best platoon leader he ever saw)
Was he technically breaking the law? Or does it not apply to regular forces of allies - which would make sense?
This is not meant to reignite the discussion from previously, just a matter of genuine interest.
Incidentally, for anyone who has not heard of Rescorla and his life do read up about it. It ever there was a heroic figure it was him. He died on 911 but was responsible for saving over 2,500 Morgan Stanley employees in the South Tower.
So by the time the Maggie clone moves into no 10 the economy will be nose diving . This really wasn’t the time for this length of leadership campaign and Brady should have decided on a short one or better still not give the final decision to the members .
In effect by the time Truss gets her likely bottom of the barrel cabinet team together and they have decided on a course of action re the energy costs the ship will be taking on water and about to sink .
Edit: Does seem as if Nam came before the citizenship.
'Born in Hayle, England in 1939, Rescorla served with the British Army in Cyprus and northern Rhodesia. In 1963, he immigrated to the United States and joined the Army. After graduating from Officer Candidate School, he fought in Vietnam as a second lieutenant with the 2nd Battalion, 7th Cavalry from 1965 to 1966. The following year, he became an American citizen.'
https://www.911memorial.org/connect/blog/recognizing-war-hero-who-led-wtc-survivors-safety-911
https://www.history.co.uk/articles/rick-rescorla-the-cornish-hero-of-911
Edit: on checking, lol.
https://revistaselectronicas.ujaen.es/index.php/grove/article/view/2856
The polls are reflecting the reality for the conservative party that the electorate have lost all patience with them
As a conservative supporter I acknowledge Strarmer has put the ball in the net, (for the first time) and he must be favourite for next PM
I do understand things are going on in the a background and I agree that Truss is best not revealing anything at this stage, as really things are as much near rock bottom as they could be
The critical moment will be the emergency budget on the 21st September, and unless a serious package of help is announced the conservatives are heading into deserved opposition
I would comment I have not rejoined yet but no matter I do remain a conservative but a very disillusioned and annoyed one
Truss hinting at a reverse ferret on energy bills but still in cloud cuckooland. The one good thing i see here is targetted help for small businesses is on the agenda re energy bills. Its a big thing missing from the Starmer plan
Women in Finland are posting videos of themselves partying while tagging Prime Minister Sanna Marin.
https://twitter.com/meghamohan/status/1560999055769030656?s=21&t=2ogukd59y8MvcVWC-7GTQg
Will women in the UK be showing solidarity with Liz by making dim pronouncements and immediately recanting?
The longer she's been on display the more crumpled the image has looked. Matthew Parris's description of "a planet-sized mass of overconfidence and ambition teetering upon a pinhead of a political brain" can't really be bettered
Swept away by the torrent would be my prediction. Leadership election next summer to rearrange deckchairs.
37 billion has been spent to date and as I said earlier the emergency budget is needed to increase these payments
I understand the government is in discussion with the energy suppliers to cancel the rise for 2 years in energy costs and this is one to look out for in the emergency budget
https://lucytalksdata.com/i-receated-famous-album-covers-with-dalle/
The government has been missing in action for quite a long time now. This may not be that unusual in August, but this year it coincides with people/voters feeling somewhat anxious. And yet all they hear from their 'rulers' is silence, while the PM is on his second holiday and has clearly given up the job. It would have been better if BJ had simply gone and handed over the reins to Raab or whoever until the leadership was decided. But 'them's the breaks'.
The trouble is the Tories abandoned fiscal prudence and Truss has continued that in order to cut taxes, and so the above argument would ring hollow coming from her.
The other problem is the general public disagrees with me on this issue and thinks the government should step in to help them. Even if they are well off. So Truss will likely offer some support that will be much less than proposed by the Opposition.
So I don't think Truss will see any sustained poll bounce in these conditions.
GPs would be able to write prescriptions to give needy Brits money off their energy bills under proposals.
The blueprint is one of a bunch of options No11 boffins are kicking around.
What the fuck
Its for the new PM to make the decisions she wants to make. She could come to power if she chose to and have an emergency budget a few days later with any decisions of emergency importance. If she doesn't, that's her choice.
Labour presents a plan
Not like that!!!
Starmer: 31% (+3)
Truss: 23% (-6)
Starmer vs Sunak
Starmer: 29% (+1)
Sunak: 23% (-1)
Fieldwork 18-19 August; changes w/ 3-5 Aug.
Disaster for Truss
Bringing it forwards to September implies to me, if it happens, a plan to announce plans before the price cap rises. Otherwise the Budget should be after it has.
The main issue here is will this be extended and increased and will the price cap be cancelled for 2 years by Truss
That's all to play for. Starmer having a meagre 8% lead with 46% expressing don't know after Starmer has announced his plan but before Truss announces her emergency budget seems very disappointing for Starmer.
https://inews.co.uk/news/consumer/energy-price-cap-when-announced-ofgem-announcement-date-how-much-prices-rise-october-1803963
Given both Truss and Sunak have said freezing the cap is not an option they would consider, they are going to have to do a very rapid u-turn next week to stave off a shitstorm of bad publicity.
They do show a bounce for Starmer and labour, but also reflect the conservative party abdication from running the country this August
EXCL - Latest on Treasury plans to ease the cost of living crisis.
GPs would be able to write prescriptions to give needy Brits money off their energy bills under proposals.
The blueprint is one of a bunch of options No11 boffins are kicking around.
The other is, if she does do that, how is it paid for?
We have unfortunately due to the shortsightedness and procrastination of multiple governments over the last 30 years ended up in a situation where there are no good options.
What's also frustrating is it was entirely foreseeable. Not necessarily Russia invading Ukraine for Putin to prove his penis size, but given where we get most of our oil and gas from and given it's running short anyway, it was inevitable there would be a huge price spike at some point unless we took drastic action to be ready for it.
But because there would have been short term costs it just didn't happen.
It works well politically from opposition because it's easy to understand. But it would be a very poor policy in government, rather than something more targeted.
(Btw, any joy with your DBS yet?)
The cap is going up because there's a shortage of energy. Freezing the cap doesn't fix that.
Having the cap rise, but providing whatever support is deemed appropriate post-cap rise is far more logical.
Something has to be done for both. Because if it isn't a lot of businesses will close and unemployment will rise.
The BofE meets September 15 to push rates up another 50 basis points (probably).
So there is some scope for a way to fall in the next month.
An approach that will quickly unravel me thinks.
This seems to be the scheme in discussion
https://www.energylivenews.com/2022/08/15/fresh-calls-for-price-cap-freeze/
There won't be any Dad's Army or any bastard else if they can't get DBS back.
Seven weeks and counting.
https://twitter.com/kamilkazani/status/1561070599539249152
… One of my friends had served in a Legion and judging from his observations, the Legion does not accept:
1. Muslims
2. Communists
Everyone else is welcome, including the Western European Neo-Nazis with swastikas/eagles all over their chest. Nobody cares…
… They would not accept you though if they think you are mental. Like one Swedish Neo-Nazi told to an interviewer he wants to join the Legion to die in battle and get to Valhalla. Rejected. …
I hope it gets sorted soon. This may sound silly but - is there any way you could apply again via another organisation and see if that works?
Of course, freezing the cap will cost more than is saved, but it would be interesting to try to work through the calculation.
The costs of freezing the cap at the current £1,971 average, rather than allowing it to go to the suggested £3,582 (according to MSE) is what?... £1,600 * 28m households = £45bn pa. approx.?
Personally I think the Government would rather allow the poor to freeze or starve to death, but there's only so far even they can go in their cruelty and so a price cap fiddle seems the most likely solution. AIUI the energy companies have already proposed a scheme involving a state-subsidised freeze to get us over the next couple of years, on the assumption that the current massive price hike will be temporary, rather than plateauing at the current level. The sums borrowed will presumably be compensated for by more taxes for proles aged under 66 (not pensioners, and not the rich either) further down the road.
They are very good. They send me an email every week to say no news.
I didn't have any issues in the past either. And I've lived in the same Police authority for 16 years during which time I had several. Have only moved house once in that time.
I don't know if this is at all typical, but, if it is, it's a new scandal about to break. I applied well before the end of last term.
The fund could be underwritten by the government, or a willing financial institution, and repaid over a 10-15 year period to smooth out the costs.
The GP would then effectively write a prescription saying the person should get money off their bills."
It takes a GP to establish that you are old, or poor?
Daughter currently has a painful internal infection. On antibiotics. They are not making it better. As this has happened repeatedly in recent months, the GP wants to do some tests and asked for a sample - provided.
But no joy in getting a time to speak to the GP. The only times are when Daughter is working (she's doing a new job organising & running weddings and cannot simply drop everything to wait for the GP to call). So now the next phone appointment just to get the result of one test is 3 weeks away. Meanwhile she's in pain and God knows what's happening inside: a kidney infection? Appendicitis? Something else? Blood in urine is not a good sign.
If we can't get to a GP it will have to be A&E.
It is no use the NHS advising people to stay away from A&E if primary care can't do its job. The GPsare fine when you get to talk to them. But the whole administration seems not to realise that working patients can't drop everything to wait by the phone. It seems designed to make it as hard as possible to see a bloody doctor.
By contrast seeing a vet is dead easy, quick & convenient.
It's notable that on the 4 recent occasions when Husband and I have needed medical help we had to go to A&E because the GP simply was not available. No wonder A&E departments are under stress. But lecturing patients isn't the answer either.
I am seriously considering finding a private GP.
Or am I being a tad too cynical?