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Dear Prime Minister, the trend is not your friend – politicalbetting.com

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  • TazTaz Posts: 10,704

    Taz said:

    So if the dollar now climbs in value again against the pound is that going to send petrol prices even more northward?

    Petrol pricing are coming down. 7p a litre so far round here. Local garage was 189.9 for unleaded now 182.9 seen it as low as 179.9 at a shell garage just off the A1 in North Yorks.

    Forecast is further falls too.

    I know that but I’m referring to the Fed’s interest rate rise yesterday
    The dollar value is only a part of the equation. If oil prices continue to fall, as they have been, based on slowing demand then a rising dollar will merely not see prices come down as quickly.
  • vikvik Posts: 157


    Andrew Lilico
    @andrew_lilico
    ·
    1h
    People said Sunak would expose Truss' weaknesses easily once they were head to head. A weak later the decaying remains of Sunak's campaign are twisting gently in the wind whilst they're picked at by crows.
    Can't wait to see what she does to Starmer.

    @iainmartin1
    How @trussliz routed the Tory establishment. Call her crackers all you like. She's winning, having outwitted Sunak's team.

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/9ff053a2-0dc3-11ed-93cf-b011fa7fe86b?shareToken=2e0019997ec742ef0bc939df1248d478


    https://twitter.com/iainmartin1/status/1552414657389928448
    I agree. I think a lot of people are really under-estimating Truss as a politician.

    She has excellent political antennae and knew exactly the right things to say & do (tax cuts & showing loyalty) to win over the Conservative party membership. And if she is able to understand the needs & desires of the party membership, then there is a high probability that she will also have a good understanding of the general voting public.

    I think her "stiffness" doesn't really matter in a parliamentary system. The US wants a President to be an inspirational public speaker because he is viewed as an elected Monarch, but a Prime Minister is viewed differently and brilliant public speaking skills is not an essential job requirement.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 38,517
    Owen Jones appears to have lost the plot. When did he last give any real insight, instead of Father Jack-style rantings against the real enemy - the Labour Party?
  • TazTaz Posts: 10,704
    vik said:


    Andrew Lilico
    @andrew_lilico
    ·
    1h
    People said Sunak would expose Truss' weaknesses easily once they were head to head. A weak later the decaying remains of Sunak's campaign are twisting gently in the wind whilst they're picked at by crows.
    Can't wait to see what she does to Starmer.

    @iainmartin1
    How @trussliz routed the Tory establishment. Call her crackers all you like. She's winning, having outwitted Sunak's team.

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/9ff053a2-0dc3-11ed-93cf-b011fa7fe86b?shareToken=2e0019997ec742ef0bc939df1248d478


    https://twitter.com/iainmartin1/status/1552414657389928448
    I agree. I think a lot of people are really under-estimating Truss as a politician.

    She has excellent political antennae and knew exactly the right things to say & do (tax cuts & showing loyalty) to win over the Conservative party membership. And if she is able to understand the needs & desires of the party membership, then there is a high probability that she will also have a good understanding of the general voting public.

    I think her "stiffness" doesn't really matter in a parliamentary system. The US wants a President to be an inspirational public speaker because he is viewed as an elected Monarch, but a Prime Minister is viewed differently and brilliant public speaking skills is not an essential job requirement.
    The US may want an inspirational public speaker. They got this guy

    https://twitter.com/realdailywire/status/1552324684695437315?s=21&t=2B2f20ER29H9hBeJH6AJxw
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 38,517
    On one hand:
    It looks as though the Russians have lost 75,000 troops killed and injured during their invasion of Ukraine. This far exceeds the troops they lost during ten years of the Soviet-Afghan war.

    On the other hand:
    Rumours are that Russia is making a broad push along the entire eastern front. Worrying hours and days for Ukraine ahead.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,614
    Oh dear, Team Rishi plays the race card:

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2022/07/27/uk-will-seen-racist-tories-reject-rishi-sunak-warns-donor/

    Britain will be seen as “racist” if Rishi Sunak loses the Tory leadership election, a Conservative donor has said.

    “Lord Ranger, the founder of Sun Mark, a supply and distribution firm, urged the party to ensure a “watershed moment” in politics by making Mr Sunak the first British Asian prime minister.

    “He said he was supporting Mr Sunak because he considered him the best candidate and warned of reputational consequences for the Conservatives if party members opted for Liz Truss instead.

    ““If people reject him, it will be a bad name for the party and the country because this will be perceived as racist,” Lord Ranger told Bharat Tak, an Indian news network.”
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,226

    On one hand:
    It looks as though the Russians have lost 75,000 troops killed and injured during their invasion of Ukraine. This far exceeds the troops they lost during ten years of the Soviet-Afghan war.

    On the other hand:
    Rumours are that Russia is making a broad push along the entire eastern front. Worrying hours and days for Ukraine ahead.

    There’s a chance that in the next few weeks one side or the other crumbles, either because Ukraine leaves the backdoor open going for Kherson (as your rumours imply), or because the loss of Kherson and potentially thousands of troops triggers a collapse in Russian morale and chain of command.

    To figure out which is more likely, consider which side has had the intelligence edge throughout.
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,226
    Sandpit said:

    Oh dear, Team Rishi plays the race card:

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2022/07/27/uk-will-seen-racist-tories-reject-rishi-sunak-warns-donor/

    Britain will be seen as “racist” if Rishi Sunak loses the Tory leadership election, a Conservative donor has said.

    “Lord Ranger, the founder of Sun Mark, a supply and distribution firm, urged the party to ensure a “watershed moment” in politics by making Mr Sunak the first British Asian prime minister.

    “He said he was supporting Mr Sunak because he considered him the best candidate and warned of reputational consequences for the Conservatives if party members opted for Liz Truss instead.

    ““If people reject him, it will be a bad name for the party and the country because this will be perceived as racist,” Lord Ranger told Bharat Tak, an Indian news network.”

    Lord Ranger sounds a right piece of work.

  • TazTaz Posts: 10,704
    Sandpit said:

    Oh dear, Team Rishi plays the race card:

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2022/07/27/uk-will-seen-racist-tories-reject-rishi-sunak-warns-donor/

    Britain will be seen as “racist” if Rishi Sunak loses the Tory leadership election, a Conservative donor has said.

    “Lord Ranger, the founder of Sun Mark, a supply and distribution firm, urged the party to ensure a “watershed moment” in politics by making Mr Sunak the first British Asian prime minister.

    “He said he was supporting Mr Sunak because he considered him the best candidate and warned of reputational consequences for the Conservatives if party members opted for Liz Truss instead.

    ““If people reject him, it will be a bad name for the party and the country because this will be perceived as racist,” Lord Ranger told Bharat Tak, an Indian news network.”

    They’re getting increasingly desperate. The times article linked up thread is a cracking read as to how Truss has totally wrong footed Sunak campaign and will win.

    Sunaks campaign can say what they want and offer what they want it is too late now.

  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,083
    vik said:


    Andrew Lilico
    @andrew_lilico
    ·
    1h
    People said Sunak would expose Truss' weaknesses easily once they were head to head. A weak later the decaying remains of Sunak's campaign are twisting gently in the wind whilst they're picked at by crows.
    Can't wait to see what she does to Starmer.

    @iainmartin1
    How @trussliz routed the Tory establishment. Call her crackers all you like. She's winning, having outwitted Sunak's team.

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/9ff053a2-0dc3-11ed-93cf-b011fa7fe86b?shareToken=2e0019997ec742ef0bc939df1248d478


    https://twitter.com/iainmartin1/status/1552414657389928448
    I agree. I think a lot of people are really under-estimating Truss as a politician.

    She has excellent political antennae and knew exactly the right things to say & do (tax cuts & showing loyalty) to win over the Conservative party membership. And if she is able to understand the needs & desires of the party membership, then there is a high probability that she will also have a good understanding of the general voting public.

    I think her "stiffness" doesn't really matter in a parliamentary system. The US wants a President to be an inspirational public speaker because he is viewed as an elected Monarch, but a Prime Minister is viewed differently and brilliant public speaking skills is not an essential job requirement.
    The evidence in the actual article is less of Truss’s brilliance than of Sunak’s tin ear, tbf - like many intelligent people he appears simply to have assumed that when it comes to it the Tories won’t vote for another maniac.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,933
    Good morning, everyone.

    Playing the race card is pathetic.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 23,926
    Sandpit said:

    Oh dear, Team Rishi plays the race card:

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2022/07/27/uk-will-seen-racist-tories-reject-rishi-sunak-warns-donor/

    Britain will be seen as “racist” if Rishi Sunak loses the Tory leadership election, a Conservative donor has said.

    “Lord Ranger, the founder of Sun Mark, a supply and distribution firm, urged the party to ensure a “watershed moment” in politics by making Mr Sunak the first British Asian prime minister.

    “He said he was supporting Mr Sunak because he considered him the best candidate and warned of reputational consequences for the Conservatives if party members opted for Liz Truss instead.

    ““If people reject him, it will be a bad name for the party and the country because this will be perceived as racist,” Lord Ranger told Bharat Tak, an Indian news network.”

    Not a good look but older PBers might remember a time when Tories were gleefully sticking it to pale, male, stale Labour that the shortlist was, erm, not. When was that — last week, yesterday, tomorrow?
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,226
    https://twitter.com/natashabertrand/status/1552399068722257920?s=21&t=3KSGlGNKHnIbJARQHYcOpA

    “We were briefed that over 75,000 Russians have either been killed or wounded [in Ukraine], which is huge...over 80% of their land forces are bogged down, and they're tired,” @RepSlotkin told @MZanona re: classified briefing House members just got from Biden admin officials.


    This indicates that about a third of Russia’s total fighting force is now out the game, which military analysts indicate is the average point when a fighting force ceases to be effective and risks collapse. A lot depends on the force’s ability to capably reconstitute it’s fragmented forces into coherent new units. An interesting few weeks ahead.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 23,926
    New thread.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 113,969

    NEW THREAD

This discussion has been closed.