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CON leadership latest – politicalbetting.com
CON leadership latest – politicalbetting.com
CONHome survey of members has Mordaunt 20% Badenoch 19%Rishi Sunak 12%Suella Braverman 10%Liz Truss 10%
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This is a great example, if you’d been following the markets, papers, media, you’d have thought Sunak was notably ahead in the last few days. A quick perusal of PB would have told you No, Mordaunt is at least equal and maybe the likeliest, she’s got fewer flaws and will be more popular with members
Now the markets catch up
Not a good place to be attracting new endorsements from.
I reckon at least 3 fail to get that including PP
Never mind the ship of fools election news, the important question of the day is whether mustard should be chilled as per Macedonian law or is ok outside.
Wikipedia notes that the pungency can be maintained by being chilled.
Labour seems unable to elect a woman
Cathy Newman asks Keir Starmer to tell her one interesting thing about himself. Without skipping a beat he replies: “I did violin lessons with fat boy slim back in the day.” @Channel4News
This is the only country I’ve ever been to where they keep all mustard in the chill cabinet and it is sold in obviously temporary packaging - like yoghurt or cream
I wanted a good old fashioned jar of mustard but needs must, so I bought the chilled version. And it is, I believe, better. More vivid and tasty and aromatic
Isn't tonight the deadline?
He refused to deny that energy bills could hit **£3,200** by October - £400 higher than assumed back in May
It means new PM would need to announce another multi-billion energy bailout
I think the polls are going to get worse. They'll get an initial Brown bounce then they're going down.
This is 2010 repeat.
Harry Cole@MrHarryCole·1m
Brady:
-Nominations open and close Tues
-First Ballot Weds, 2nd Thurs
-Nominations 20 names
-Any candidate to proceed must have 30 in first round.
I am!
(*) This does seem a bit of glory-grabbing by Biden. As far as I can tell, the first images were due for release tomorrow, but suddenly *one* is being released today by the president, a day early. Can't really blame him for it though; it's an easy positive.
Be very interesting if Badenoch can sustain attention - as someone who's only been an MP for 5 years she won't be as well known to many of the crusty coves on the backbenches will they feel they know enough to pick her?
Mordaunt is fine with me, seems a decent person.
It makes sense. I have always taken cheese out of the fridge for a half hour or hour before tucking in as it seems to taste just that little bit better. Tomatoes are the same.
The temporary thing though implies you are expected to use the whole pot in one sitting.
Maybe you need to lash the meal with the stuff to be a proper stand-up Macedonian man?
He needs a stronger and better media team
And why don't you keep it in the fridge?
"It was me that changed maternity legislation that was drafted in gender neutral language ( by another) to use female terms"
Carefully worded, no doubt (as any lawyer will surely appreciate) but what she wrote is not strictly a lie, and it's some distance short of "claiming, wrongly, that she was the one who fought to remove the gender neutral language in the Maternity Bill"
Not sure @leon has the time what with all the binocular work.
(In Montenegro, not Macedonia)
The tories will go <200 seats at the GE
Good spotting by the PBer who actually spotted the 'tard in the photo'!
A 42 year old with sod all experience at the higher levels and utterly untested under serious fire is possibly going to be fingering the nuclear button in six weeks or so time.
This country is having a nervous breakdown.
If it does come down to Mordaunt -Badenoch, what happens?
So Kemi vs Mordaunt then?
Venturing out...
And how does she intend to deal with CoL and the incoming recession?
That may change. None of the male candidates interest me overly, except from Hunt - and that's a yawning interest. Mordaunt would be interesting, and would perhaps give Starmer some issues, Badenoch is also interesting, and might give him real issues. Truss... I can't get over her leaving the G20 - and she seems of a very familiar form.
Of the candidates, who would be interesting? who would have new ideas? for this reason alone, I'd discount anyone who'd ever travelled for Oxford, let alone been to Oxford Uni or done PPE.
It wouldn't the first Conservative leadership election where those who started well failed to finish.
But as a rule NOT during meals.
Am I the only Labour person who thinks she might be quite a good fight for us??
That's how this stuff goes I think.
And how much longer will a (UK) pence be worth more than a (US) penny?
First ballot on Wednesday and second on Thursday; more ballots will follow thereafter until all but two candidates have been eliminated.
20 nominations needed to reach first ballot, and 30 votes needed to proceed to second ballot. Lowest-scoring candidate eliminated each time.
https://twitter.com/HugoGye/status/1546565896881246208
Maybe they’ll find some, maybe not.
Very Boris-like. But also not really in keeping with all the big hoo-ha she's making over having integrity.
And the fact she appears to be a lot people's second choice.
I'm enjoying @Leon wanderings. It makes an interesting distraction from hitting refresh on BF 'Next PM' market.
I would refuse to answer such things on basis if there was something interesting about us, it’s for others to spot and remark on - it could never sound great coming from ourselves.
Mail Online
I don't think currently that I'll vote for her, but I might.
Badenoch “confessed to hacking into the website of a Labour MP in 2008”
I’m impressed. It would be great to have, as PM, someone who has actually got a fucking clue about how these newfangled computer thingys work.
But Kemi winning before her time (she is best seen as leader after next - possibly LOTO) is just like Hague.
Destroyed his long term chances of being PM by going too early??
I think that if you worry about being a 'top' Northern Soul dancer, then it's a dodgy claim.
AIUI (and I have a monthly Northern Soul with several hundred turning up just down the road from home) NS is all about individual, rather isolated, self-expression.
First time I went it was quite disconcerting dancing with myself.
Something to go to in a group - you certainly won't meet anyone on the dance floor.
I would struggle to tell you anything interesting about myself, kind. Let's think...
I once delivered a pizza to Britpop also-rans Northern Uproar.
I once got locked in a car hire shop in Cyprus and escaped using only a stapler.
Beyond that, I'm struggling.
If Badenoch gets transfers from Patel and Braverman, she will be well ahead of Truss and Truss could then potentially be eliminated in 4th or 5th place (depending upon whether she can get ahead of Tugendhat).
Wait a minute. You have my attention!
Apart from a couple of platitudes, we know next to nothing about her politics and any proposals - the sense is somehow she must be the hardest opponent for Starmer and Labour, based on what I've no clue.
The Tory membership want a coup. They are largely favouring those drawn from outside government rather than those at its upper echelons. They have decided the Boris gang need to be excised.
This is a radical and novel idea because it requires parachuting someone with limited government experience into the leadership, something no party has ever really tried before whilst in government. It could do them the world of good, but it could also be seen as irresponsible.
It will also take him past Sunny Jim
But he will end 2 weeks shy of Henry Addington
AND if Enoch Powell was still alive, reelected MP and regained Tory whip, would he vote FOR Bad Enoch?
If not, why not?