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The Celts are revolting – politicalbetting.com
The Celts are revolting – politicalbetting.com
YouGov's @PME_Politics has identified a new group of seats where the Tories should be worried: the "Conservative Celtic Fringe". These are 41 South West seats that have returned a Tory MP since 2015 and voted Leave in 2016https://t.co/Dl7wCkjRd4 pic.twitter.com/AJIbyN3GRR
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There's your first target for defending these, blues. Make sure you scoop them up, esp as they wont be standing everywhere without drastic cash input.
https://www.politico.eu/article/germany-uk-tough-brexit-johnson-scholz-merkel/
I have two questions. Sure it shows big Tory drop, but not much Lib Dem rise, does this suggest fireworks?
Secondly is it right to call this part of the world Celtic? Tiverton and Horniton have ton on end which is Saxon.
For a “lawyer” to be doing so is particularly repugnant.
Now back to the cricket.
Personally I would be comparing today's figures not with the 2019 election but the 2017 one. That will tell you where the real Tory votes are turning towards - it's not Reform because the only reason the Tories got those votes in 2019 was because Reform didn't stand so Reform voters had a choice of Bozo or not voting.
It’s that bloody partnership again, Blundell and Mitchell.
There is no need to live up to the stereotype all the time Stuart, especially when you don't even live here.
You are my Alba,
my only Alba…
And there are more than enough Tory MPs who are indeed repulsive, but an insufficient number who are revolting.
https://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2017/09/16/infamy-infamy-theyve-all-got-in-for-may/
Scots don't talk about sunshine much, we don't often see it.
You'll get your honorary certificate of Englishness confiscated if you're not careful.
(Thinks about England’s 200 7th wicket partnership in the first innings!)
A brief interlude between household duties - it's the same question we're asking elsewhere. Assuming the Conservative vote share is down a third nationally (putting the party on or about 30%), the diaspora of its former voters is off in all directions and the applied efficiency of that vote is only going to be maximised if it concentrates around one candidate able to defeat an incumbent Conservative MP.
Even then, this notion the south west was an LD "stronghold" needs a little challenging. The party never won Tiverton & Honiton until last Thursday (close in 1997) - much of rural Devon remained Conservative in 1997 and let's forget Labour won Camborne & Falmouth before the LDs.
The area still returns a 38% Conservative share suggesting more tremor than earthquake and the Conservatives still hold 26-30 of the 41 seats so it's hardly being driven back to the core albeit if reflected nationally it would almost certainly mean a heavy defeat for the party and the loss of in excess of 100 seats.
All it will do is amplify the concerns of more backbenchers as to whether Boris Johnson is their meal ticket or their poisoned chalice.
As an aside, of the now 9 Conservative-held constituencies in Devon, Labour are second in three, the LDs second in five and there's Claire Wright in East Devon. There are of course those who think there is already an informal pact between anti-Conservative parties - no, there's an informal pact among anti-Conservative voters.
Stretford and Urmston CLP selected Andrew Western. He is the Trafford council leader. Was supported by retiring MP Kate Green. In 2017 and 2019 he stood in Altrincham and Sale West.
Alba eyes, how can you close and fail?
https://twitter.com/Acyn/status/1540852015693037568?s=20&t=aaBhEX_Ig86iABDMuhD_DA
I was bitten a couple of nights ago as I was falling asleep - felt it at the time, almost like a bee or wasp sting without the dull ache afterwards. Couldn’t see the culprit by the time I had light.
What I now have is about 8 or ten puncture wounds that are like small cuts in an almost circular area the size of a two pence piece. No swelling just scabbing around the punctures.
Cannot find anything similar online so was intrigued and thought someone here might have had similar and know what it was. Thanks and apologies!
https://twitter.com/lyzl/status/1540495065386303488
This a video of a truck running down two peaceful protesters at a pro-abortion march in Cedar Rapids, Iowa…
… A couple of other facts from this event:
-Protestors were ending the protest and walking in the crosswalk
-The truck had the red light
-The truck drove around other cars in order to hit protestors
-The driver was screaming and a woman was in the car with him begging him to stop
Wasps like to hide in the bed. They fly through the window, say what’s all this then. Oh, that looks cosy
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/06/25/roe-antiabortion-lawmakers-restrictions-state-legislatures/
On the heels of their greatest victory, antiabortion activists are eager to capitalize on their momentum by enshrining constitutional abortion bans, pushing Congress to pass a national prohibition, blocking abortion pills, and limiting people’s ability to get abortions across state lines.
At the National Association of Christian Lawmakers conference in Branson, Mo., on Friday several dozen state legislators from across the country brainstormed ideas — all in agreement that their wildly successful movement would not end with Roe v. Wade.…
I wondered about a bedbug but I've been bitten by one (in a zoology lesson) and it was itchy. Though it varies.
https://www.nhs.uk/conditions/bedbugs/
https://www.nhs.uk/conditions/insect-bites-and-stings/symptoms/
GOOD PLACES TO WATCH CRICKET
“The British are Revolting” - Horrible Histories
https://www.heyuguys.com/horrible-histories-the-movie-rotten-romans-trailer/
“The French are Revolting” - Unherd
https://unherd.com/2021/09/why-the-french-love-fighting/
“The Germans are Revolting” - Catholic News
https://catholicnewslive.com/story/644457
“The Gays are Revolting” - Apple Podcasts
https://podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/the-gays-are-revolting/id1410548625
And it goes on. Yet you are the most oppressed person on Earth, managing to take offence as a Scot in Sweden about a blog post referring to Cornwall, Devon and Somerset. Must have struck to your core.
Well. Hallelujah.
They're catching on.
Note the several dozen state legislators - out of.........?
What a cracking test series. Maybe the format isn’t finished. If teams can consistently unify 20-20 aggression with the prolonged theatre of classic tests then yay
’5 more years’
https://youtube.com/watch?v=NC6fQ8EkASE
but with more inherent vice than TSE’s pornhub history when you click the button and look at the detail. 🫦 🍆
Firstly, we are breaking international law, the ministerial code say you must adhere to.
Secondly screws emerging economies likely prompting retaliation and trade war. “No one wants a trade war” Boris will say. Then why did you fire the first shot?
Thirdly, it screws British business relying on steel imports on price their business model is based on.
Fourth! It makes a mockery of what I posted in previous thread, about Boris takes this rubbish with him, here he saddles the next leader with policy which only exists because of operation save big dog, or else it wouldn’t be happening as well as lots of crap wouldn’t be happening.
A government only existing to save the boss is not a government at all.
Also French say Boris showed "beacoup d'enthousiasme" for Macron's 2 speed EU plan that could see UK re-engage with bloc.
No10 failed to even mention it had been discussed.
Nor did PM raise NIP.
Clear attempt to avoid a dust up like last year's G7... but something of a missed opportunity.
For months HMG have privately been saying relations will get easier once Macron re-elected.
But abject surrender today to Paris on big issues other than UKR.
https://twitter.com/MrHarryCole/status/1541071746085933057
This is Harry "Tory Bear" Cole. If even he is unhappy with the Big Dog there may be trouble ahead...
People in the steel industries can't vote against Johnson before the next election.
Conservative backbenchers can vote against him tomorrow.
Of course Johnson is going to promise dumb stuff to Conservative MPs. The bigger question is why are people who demand dumb stuff getting to be Conservative MPs.
Also possible that being a Con MP rots the brain and/or backbone (moral).
Important reading on Ukraine.
I am also reading recently (and I don't have sources or even know that this is a fact), that one of the reasons that Russia is gaining ground is that they have massive missile stockpiles and that their production speed is such that they can carry this on indefinitely. The West doesn't have huge stockpiles, and the production process is a lot slower and more expensive - like years. This would make sense - it's not shortage of sophisticated weaponry to send; it's physically not having the ammo.
The lessons I draw are these:
*Britain needs to produce sensibly priced missiles, in vastly higher quantities and at greater speeds, if we're to be equipped for future conflicts - this type of reform will make our future far more secure than 'dealing with Putin', which it seems has never been on the cards anyway.
*We also need an even more diverse and robust energy supply, so we're not affected economically by Russia's commodities or the withdrawal of them
*We should use any sort of influence we might have with the US (don't laugh) to persuade them to encourage a negotiated settlement in Ukraine asap.
(and a personal one)
*We should take the opportunity of limited supply of nitrogen fertiliser to strongly encourage all UK farmers to remineralise their soils, to improve not just yield but overall quality of produce, and seek to wean ourselves off imported fertilisers for good.
Since my bank swapped my Visa debit card for a Mastercard, I just realised I don't have a single Visa card in my wallet anymore. Every card is a Mastercard.
I just looked online and it looks like Barclaycard is about the only UK bank left offering Visa.
Is that a problem?
We're getting dangerously close to the point now at which Labour sounds exactly like the Conservatives on the whole issue of Champagne and bonuses for bosses and shit pay settlements for everybody else, because wage-price spiral or whatever today's lame excuse is. It's small wonder that some of the common criticisms apparently made of the Labour leader in opinion polls and focus groups are that he is grey, weak and stands for absolutely nothing.
Labour is going to need to get its act together and ultimately present an election manifesto that offers necessary reform, rather than minor tweaks and more competent implementation of Conservative ideas. If the public ends up being asked to choose between Blue Tories and Red Tories, then Starmer ought not to be surprised if people end up sticking with the genuine full-fat article rather than an insipid and vacuous facsimile.
In what sense is a phone call with the President next door “abject surrender”?
This is the casual xenophobia that wrought Brexit.
Whether such a compromise ever comes to pass is, of course, anyone's guess.
It was not Cameron that won them for the Tories as most of them stayed LD in 2010, it was the coalition which saw leftwing LD voters switch en masse to Labour dividing the anti Tory vote in the SW and enabling the Tories to win them. The SW also voted for Brexit and hence both May and Johnson won more seats in Cornwall, Devon, Dorset and Somerset in 2017 and 2019 than Cameron did in 2010.
The only seats in the SW Cameron really made a difference was Remain seats like Bath which were Tory in 2015 but went LD in 2017 after the Brexit vote
Realistically they ahould focus on just making abortion mostly illegal in the minority of States which have a GOP governor and legislature, mainly Trump voting states in the South.
That would at least be an improvement for them than the situation before the SC overturned Roe v Wade where abortion on demand was legal US wide
That needs to unwind to unseat the government. This is a start if no more.
First Direct are switching over to Mastercard and it is expected their parent HSBC will do so as well. RBS and Natwest are moving over as well.
TSB do have plans (since 2018) to move over to Mastercard but they've been on hold because of their epic IT fuck up.
What's happened is VISA Europe were taken over by VISA Inc, previously VISA Europe were owned by UK and European banks and now they are owned by Yanks who are taking the piss with their fees.
Mastercard have taken advantage, it is expected VISA Inc will start taking the piss over credit card fees, they want to charge AMEX level of fees.