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Penny Mordaunt now favourite in next CON leader betting – politicalbetting.com

The chart from Smarkets shows the latest betting on who will be the next Conservative leader. The big change is that Jeremy Hunt’s position at the top of the betting has now been moved and Penny Mordaunt takes his place.
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Edit: Punters betting with the contents of their trousers, rather than their heads?
I'm tempted to say that they could have chosen a better judge to preside over the Banks v Cadwalladr case, but then I suspect many judges would have such conflicts of interest.
Refilling my hire car is going to cost 2.06 EUR l by the look of it
Should we send these Remainer liberal leftie judges to Rwanda where they belong?
The Venus Rosewater Dish for the Ladies' Singles is much more special than the Gentemen's, which with the pineapple on top is just bizarre.
The snooker world championship is this one:
But this is something the North American sports tend to get right. The Stanley Cup and the Vince Lombardi trophy are great, and I like the MLB Commmissioner's Trophy with all the flags. The NBA one is kind of a lame knockoff of the Lombardi, though.
Palermo is unfortunately not the jewel in the Sicilian crown. Enjoy the fruit nonetheless!
Boris Johnson will lead the Brexit Revolutionary Party to defeat at the next general election.
Bairstow.
Next wicket and the Black Caps are in to the tail.
"And those numbers are already in the hundreds of thousands per year - and are rising"
This is the chart on the boat crossings of the Med:
Given that the judgement was, and I paraphrase, that Mr Banks was defamed, but that it’s not possible to cause him material harm with words, it’s hardly surprising that he is now looking to appeal the decision.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-61799914
Remarkable considering the developments of cricket in recent years that record hasn't yet been broken in 120 years.
According to polling the country is split on this issue. The Opposition’s best approach is to lead on the inefficacy of this measure.
Guido has no intention of impugning the integrity of the judge in this case...
Yeh, right, of course he doesn't. So why publish this tittle tattle?
I’m still not a fan of this summer sprint stuff. My Nan used to do it everyday, but I was out playing this time of year. It’s all a bit like the Olympic sprint races. Exciting to watch, but, would you really bet on Olympic sprint races?
Brazil 5/1
France 13/2
England 13/2
Castile & satellite states 8/1
Argentina 9/1
Germany 11/1
Portugal 14/1
Netherlands 14/1
Flanders & Wallonia 16/1
Denmark 33/1
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Many of the fours had well cleared the boundary, but the laws of cricket in 1902 meant that to obtain six runs the ball had to be hit out of the ground. One of these "fours" was caught on the players' balcony. A newspaper managed to keep a detailed record of his innings, which shows that Jessop reached his hundred off 76 balls – one of the fastest Test centuries of all time.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gilbert_Jessop
286 out of 335 in 175 minutes for Gloucestershire against Sussex at Brighton, 1903 (he and J. H. Board adding 320 for the sixth wicket);
240 out of 337 in 200 minutes for Gloucestershire v. Sussex at Bristol, 1907;
234 out of 346 in 155 minutes for Gloucestershire v. Somerset at Bristol, 1905;
233 out of 318 in 150 minutes for An England XI v. Yorkshire at Lord's, 1901;
206 out of 317 in 150 minutes for Gloucestershire v. Nottinghamshire at Trent Bridge, 1904.
58 needed from 29, required run rate down to 2.0 per over.
"All three have something else in common: They’re benefiting, either directly or indirectly, from a cluster of Democratic-associated groups spending millions of dollars in contested Republican primaries this month. In some cases these groups are attacking more mainstream Republicans and in others they are amplifying messages from the election-denying candidates.
The apparent bet these organizations are placing is that such far-right candidates, who hold polarizing views on various issues, would be easier to defeat in the November midterms when a broader slice of the electorate will be casting ballots."
source($): https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/06/13/democrats-interference-primaries/
The organizations are probably correct that, in most general elections, Trumpistas will be easier to defeat than more rational Republicans -- but there is the obvious risk of backfire with such tactics.
https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2021/12/06/the-secretive-libyan-prisons-that-keep-migrants-out-of-europe
Tired of migrants arriving from Africa, the E.U. has created a shadow immigration system that captures them before they reach its shores, and sends them to brutal Libyan detention centers run by militias.
Expenditure is tens to hundreds of millions.
The camps have recently closed, so the numbers this year can be expected to readjust:
https://www.newyorker.com/news/news-desk/a-migrant-prison-officially-closes-but-how-much-has-changed
Do I have an easy answer - probably not. Does anyone else?
Mordaunt 7
Hunt 7.4
Truss 8.8
Wallace 11
Sunak 12
Tugendhat 13
Zahawi 13
Javid 23
Gove 29
Raab 38
Patel 44
Harper 46
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https://stats.espncricinfo.com/i/content/records/283002.html
Streeting 7
Burnham 7
Nandy 8.5
Reeves 9
Rayner 11
Cooper 15
Phillipson 26
Allin-Khan 29
Phillips 34
Khan 36
Jarvis 41
Haigh 41
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FWIW, the weekly numbers are currently tracking down year-over-year, so if the end of this deal with the militias is having a negative effective on migrants we've not seen it yet.
If I need a *headdesk* moment, I'll start speculating as to why the Scottish Government paper uses GDP data from 2020 - when the UK economy had fallen faster than elsewhere - rather than 2021, when it had recovered more rapidly than elesewhere, in their so-called 'analysis'.
Or look at the selection of countries they have chosen to compare Scotland with this time round, and the ones they have left out, and wonder why there is not actually very much data about Scotland itself
Also... the numbers are very volatile, which probably reflects weather conditions. And also one quiet month usually presages a very busy subsequent month as presumably people were waiting for the right conditions to cross. *And* the period from July to September accounts for about 45% of all Med sea crossings, so one shouldn't read too much into these numbers.
My guess, fwiw, is that 2022 will see a very similar outcome to the previous four-five years:
Previous years Arrivals * Dead and missing
2021 123,318 3,231
2020 95,774 1,881
2019 123,663 1,510
2018 141,472 2,277
2017 185,139 3,139
2016 373,652 5,096
2015 1,032,408 3,771
2014 225,455 3,538
Its Test Cricket, but not as we know it.
https://stats.espncricinfo.com/ci/content/records/283122.html
5 wickets left to get 27 runs at the rate of approximately 1 per over required.
Hope people here aren't on the draw.
Red Wall Voting Intention (12-13 June):
Labour 46% (+8)
Conservative 36% (-11)
Reform UK 6% (-1)
Liberal Democrat 5% (+1)
Green 4% (+3)
Plaid Cymru 2% (+1)
Other 2% (–)
Changes +/- 2019 General Election
https://t.co/QH9VBsMRjq https://t.co/81i1fv6YHh
Its win or lose territory now.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Minister_(TV_series)
I genuinely grieve for the country we were before that bloody referendum.
He could always return to hit a few sixes if necessary.
Foakes isn't normally one to smash it out of the ground but might feel he has to.
To work, it needs those who want to come here to believe the posters going up in Calais “you could be sent to Rwanda” and take fright and think up another option or end goal? Do you think that will happen? Really?
I don’t, because what I know will be in their heads is airplanes to Rwanda with about 5 people on them. If a government spokesperson says the numbers will increase but can’t say how, just shake your head at the pitiful creatures. This policy is expensive drain on UK tax payers and households at time of difficulties, it rips up Britains long standing reputation for decency, it makes it impossible for Daily Mail to complain about Hollywood luvvie air miles with the most unnecessary and ungreen flights ever, and end of the day it doesn’t even work, it’s just to disguise this government has no working policy on this issue the last few years, and still doesn’t - just their desperation to cover up they havn’t.
More effectual, the migrants will glance at the posters and see “you could be be sent Rwanda” but they will instead know full employment, employers gagging for staff, huge black market economy, here’s the kicker, a job and life in one of the most liberal, free and fair society’s in the world. Are gay people coming here as economic migrants, or the fact they have never met another gay person in their life in own country? Why does anyone think there is a solution when we are so bloody brilliant place for migrants to want to be, so so desperately want to be here. I don’t want to come over all Schopenhauer about how powerful wanting to have something is, but Patel’s posters in Calais are laughable example of a deterrent policy that has snowflake in hells chance of deterring. UK are like the best shit of all to the hungriest flies - you reckon this policy competes with that?
There's no run rate pressure anymore.
https://twitter.com/SuzyJourno/status/1536727299248340995?s=20&t=8syepJ2Q8dHdzHGduJTY7g
It is madness beyond belief.
Going to be over soon.