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These are the numbers that should really panic Number 10 – politicalbetting.com

Every month as we all know the website Conservativehome carries out a survey of its party member readers to find out their views including the regular cabinet satisfaction ratings.
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https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2022/may/30/johnson-lurch-to-right-adds-momentum-leadership-vote
Considering that, no irrational result should be surprising.
https://www.economist.com/europe/2022/05/29/how-war-has-changed-ukraines-second-city
… Quick thinking saved the first-year psychology student from probable death: she ran from her kitchen to the bathroom as soon as she heard the first thuds. By the time the artillery reached her flat on Shakespeare Street on the afternoon of May 26th, slicing through the сhestnut trees to land outside her window, Ms Rebenko was two walls away from the impact. She walked away with minor cuts. At least nine others ended up in the morgue. Dina Kirsanova, a shopkeeper at a milk kiosk near the 23 August metro station, the main target of the strikes, saw at least 15 missiles in the sky. Air defences intercepted most of them, she said, preventing even greater loss of life: “It’s beyond cruel. There are no military positions here. Just simple people, trying to survive.”..
More propaganda, @Luckyguy1983 ?
And 479 saying 'good on you.'
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-61627796
People are furious and hurt. Only a change of leadership will staunch this wound.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2022/may/30/johnsons-red-meat-policy-proposals-are-telling-of-his-insecurity
"It is a moment often seen in the downward trajectory of embattled prime ministers: a whirl of new policy ideas intended to appeal to voters, but which are in fact more often aimed at placating their own MPs. Boris Johnson is, some would argue, approaching this point.
In recent days Downing Street has briefed in favour of grammar schools and imperial measurements. Earlier weeks saw forays into other Conservative comfort zones, including bashing the EU and talking up fossil fuels.
Such nostalgia politics is routinely promoted by Conservative backbenchers. But it is one of the paradoxes of Tory party politics that the more secure a prime minister is in office, the less they have to indulge these ideas."
EU leaders agree to partial embargo of Russian oil imports
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/may/30/eu-nears-compromise-agreement-for-partial-ban-on-russian-oil
Public service announcement: if you have a Tory mp find their website and write to them today.
Would also be of big significance in countering Russia’s artillery advantage.
Braverman - who appears to be a pretend AG who disregards basics like the rule of law and foams on about Stalin
Clarke - who you know is lying because he's been sent on the morning TV round to defend whatever nonsense position Number 10 will have abandoned by lunchtime
Rees-Mogg - we can't implement the Brexit deal I have passionately championed as it would be self-harm
Dorries - privatising Channel 4 in the mistaken belief it receives public funds
What a state the Tory Party is in if they rate *that*
I’ll do something in 7 months time and only have a few small loopholes. But I promise I’m not talking out of both sides of my mouth
Expect really nasty tactics from team Dog Turd. Everything under the sun short of murder.
I knew at that moment that the private sector was all-too-capable of making appalling decisions, sometimes at the expense of people's lives.
As we seem to be in a more attritional phase of the war, the battle of economics and war of materials becomes significant. Who can sustain the fight longer?
Russia seems casual in its use of artillery to take control of rubble, but Ukraine is less willing to do so to its own cities for obvious reasons. Retaking them without destroying them is not an easy feat, unless the Russians retreat like they did from Kyiv, Sumy and Chernyiv, which doesn't seem likely at present.
Clearly if Boris goes then whoever comes in is likely to put “their” guys in but if it was a fantasy football type game I was trying to work out who would fit where.
For example I thought that Sunak would probably be a good Foreign sec. He’s an intelligent, successful chap. Presents to the outside world quite a good reflection of what the UK can be (successful child of immigrants), global person and would work well in Washington m, Delhi, developing countries.
Hunt in health as he gets a second bite of the cherry having probably learnt a lot since and can mix the scales lifting from his eyes with experience of the department.
Alex Chalk from solicitor general to AG as right experience for role and can’t be worse than Braverman.
Mordant to defence of Wallace PM otherwise Wallace stay at defence.
Nadine Dorries in space cannon to Mars.
I know it’s all pointless but wondered if it was possible to make a fantasy cabinet regardless of factions.
I am aware of an airline that laid off a couple of hundred A380 captains during the pandemic - and is now discovering that A380 captains don’t grow on trees, doubly so when offering less money than before the pandemic.
In my entire landlord career of 20 years, I have never seen an environment turn so quickly and so badly – and that includes the financial crisis and pandemic. The amount of money owed in rental arrears is in the thousands of pounds and quickly rising. Supposedly good tenants are souring quickly and I am left wondering who I can trust."
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/property/buy-to-let/had-evict-three-tenants-year-going-get-worse/
very very ominous
But the play only works if "replacement hires are easy". And what seems to have caught the airport companies with their pants down is the new environment we find ourselves in post-Covid. A whole stack of people - 610k - have decided they may as well stop working completely. Which means big pockets of unfillable jobs in key sectors in certain places.
Which is how we find ourselves here - airports unable to hire the staff they need to function as an airport. As the likes of Manchestoh Airport are council owned and have had months I assume this isn't a salary issue as they must have been offering more and more money to bring in anyone they can get. So its conditions - people just don't want to do the work, don't need to do the work as other jobs available, and likely some could be tempted but shift work and they have kids.
Manchester Airport - to take one example - was not a small business on the brink. It could have kept all its staff on, but chose not to. Because staff are disposable and can easily be replaced. Can't they? Better treatment and relations with staff equals a better job being done equals happier customers. Why haven't companies understood this?
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/may/30/negative-views-of-russia-mainly-limited-to-western-liberal-democracies-poll-shows?utm_term=Autofeed&CMP=twt_b-gdnnews&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1653885569
Apparently Dublin, Schipol, and US airports were all chaotic as well and it is rather simplistic to suggest this is only a UK problem
It is clearly far wider spread than that
Great idea! Elon Musk probably needs a test article for his new rocket.
I know it's state owned but very much run as a private sector company really, no? With a Brit at the helm of course.
Not a joking matter though. Winter with homelessness and fuel crises and food unaffordable.
It's typically vindictive and insecure of Boris Johnson to have her removed because she didn't kneel down and perform fellatio on him.
The practical issue though is that these countries will not support tough sanctions on Russia. Indeed would Britons be keen if they made the mental connection between sanctions and the price of their heating?
At which point Braverman unleashes her inner Patel and starts snarling on about patriotism, ending by saying her heroes are Churchill and Thatcher and that Thornberry's are "Corbyn and Stalin". At which point she firmly gets told to sit down and shut up by Madam Deputy Speaker.
Is it a warning of unemployment to come, or is it a regulatory issue, that tenants have collectively realised they can get away for months without paying rent before they get evicted?
So I've had an extra double espresso this AM so I live a bit longer.
I wonder of China has done a deal with Brazil?
(Done using some NHS data, so expect the 'Tories privatizing the NHS' conspiraloons to be out to play.)
Sorry.
Doh.
I know that some companies have this cycle of "fire people and make those who are left work harder". But for many during the last 2 years the choice was fire / furlough or fold. But that doesn't include the likes of Manchester Airport who could have kept people on and then been able to function when the recovery came.
What they do next is a different question. Councils are going to find it really expensive housing so many evicted tenants in anything other than council houses and they’ve not got enough of those already.
“Dog turd” is Amber Heard not BoJo… one’s a BPD abuser taking advantage of a battered and confused victim… the other is a Texan.
on my bike frame last week...) stresses me out way to much to ever be a landlord!
Quite awkward as thinking about renting with girlfriend to see if we can actually live together - but what do I do with my little flat?
Of course the UK in best having and eating cake style manages to loudly virtual signal over Ukraine while being obstructive over accepting refugees - win, win!
The change is not to do with either unemployment or regulations, just affordability.
Mr. Observer, amused that you manage to try and attack the UK for the EU watering down their sanctions due to Hungary's pro-Russian sympathies.
Could just be the start of the buy-to-let bubble bursting.
We know some things from the profile. The portfolio is geographically spread countrywide, so there will be management fees on everything, which will be costing 13-15% of total income. We know that there has not been major investment in energy efficiency, because it was being written about as a challenge in 2021 by the Secret Landlord - sensible people did that when they renovated or refurbished from about 2014 on and took advantage of the wide range of schemes available throughout.
That would have protected Ts from rising expenses, but it has not been done. Some of mine are challenged, but their bills are 30-40% below what they would have been, so significantly mitigated.
(https://www.telegraph.co.uk/property/buy-to-let/landlord-20-years-everything-learnt/)
We don't know where his problems are, or what sort of tenants they are with. Or what rent levels are charged. Or how hard he drives his rents wrt market - where is his balance between long-term tenancies and maximum rents? It's a choice.
It can't be job losses, as we have full employment.
And arrears significant enough to cause eviction do not occur overnight - it would normally be several months at least. Given that there is a large portfolio, "thousands of ££" could still be quite marginal.
IMO we are not told enough.
https://www.indy100.com/politics/suella-braverman-attorney-general-protocol
I think the tenants are a bit buggered if they try to do the decent thing anyway, aren't they, because the council can then label them intentionally homeless?
"I'm not leaving until the bailiffs come" is very often a Council forcing a T to stay as long as possible so they don't have to provide accommodation. It's been a problem forever.
It also forces the T to get a CCJ plus a couple of thousand extra debt (current court costs) in order to get a priority on the Council list, which means they get no credit for the next 6 years plus the extra debt. It is an abusive policy.
And it's a game that Councils have played forever.
Another one is to go into an HMO and register each room for a Band A council tax as a separate dwelling.
The planes were flying fine a couple of weeks back. They just can't cope with peak demand, similarly dining places can cope on a weekday, but not weekend. Time your pleasures well.
Is it Tory members of whom only a subset read ConHome, or registered readers of ConHome - many of whom are patently not Tories?
But if someone is not paying for the product they are using, why should the supplier continue to provide it?
As for getting away with it, well, they're not paying money they owe and facing no immediate sanction due to the collapse of the legal system. What would you call it?
The bigger issue is the lack of grown-up thinking ont he part of landlords. If a good tenant gets into difficulty and can't pay the full whack, the first thing they should consider is asking for a temporary reduction in the rent. But most won't bother because they know their landlords won't wear it. Which is stupid of the landlords, who will then get nothing at all, have huge legal bills and lose a good tenant.
Bad tenants of course are a somewhat different case, but there are plenty of people who will otherwise have impeccable records feeling the strain right now, and a wise landlord would consider that.
The head housekeeper at Chequers has resigned after claims of tensions with Carrie Johnson https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/chequers-housekeeper-forced-out-by-clash-with-carrie-johnson-86jmv0ljd?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1653952429-1
They should put the new staff on payroll immediately, have them classroom training, and start moaning loudly about whichever government agency (MI5?) issues security clearances.
They are now advertising jobs for immediate start after half term for those with existing Enhanced DBS Only.
Unfortunately. Almost everyone of them is already in education.