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Moves against abortion could help the Dems in the midterms – politicalbetting.com

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  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,409

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    I've got a radical idea, how about we treat everyone the same and do not discriminate based upon race.
    What’s that got to do with the question?
    If someone presents to you as, say, Pakistani, are you going to demand a genetic test?

    I hope not.
    No. But it won't make a difference to me, so why would I?

    If on the other hand you're saying "this job is reserved only for Pakistanis" and then a white Geordie with a thick Geordie accent who's never left the country applies for it saying he's Pakistani - what's meant to happen there?

    The nature of identity only matters if you're discriminating based on identity. If you're not discriminating you can identify as whatever you choose and it doesn't make a difference. Call yourself Pakistani, Kiwi, Geordie, Jew, Jedi or Klingon - its none of my business whatever you say.
    Well you’re not saying anything I disagree with here. As you say it’s none of your business, and I’m not sure why @Malmesbury is so keen to make it otherwise.
    I don't think he is, I think he's pointing out the rather obvious problem elsewhere . . .
    He seems worked up about “fake” First Australian activists.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 51,600
    edited May 2022
    Farooq said:

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    Are you saying that "races" are not identifiable genetically?
    I'd be surprised if it was at all simple.
    It isn't. For a start the concept of "race" among humans has a large measure of bollocks in it - given the originators of the various racial classifications, that would only be expected.

    But you can, fairly reliably, tell if someone has ancestry in one of the Native American tribes. For example. There is actually a fair bit of law on this in the US, since the invention of the Indian Reservation Casino loophole/advantage. Which has meant quite a few people claiming to belong to various tribes.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,035
    Sandpit said:

    TimT said:

    Interesting trends in Russian equipment losses (Ukraine claims thereof). Looks like Manpads, counter-battery radar and longer range artillery deliveries are now at the front line and beginning to make an impact:

    https://twitter.com/Villager1244/status/1522230180894457857/photo/1

    Another 15 tanks, a hundred other vehicles and a couple of aircraft today.

    This must be something of a modern-era record for equipment losses in a war? 70 days in, and the Russian forces are already 20-30% depleted, more in some areas. Also a huge number of senior officers and the better-trained men.
    Would be interesting to compare to the percentage losses in the recent Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 51,600

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    I've got a radical idea, how about we treat everyone the same and do not discriminate based upon race.
    What’s that got to do with the question?
    If someone presents to you as, say, Pakistani, are you going to demand a genetic test?

    I hope not.
    No. But it won't make a difference to me, so why would I?

    If on the other hand you're saying "this job is reserved only for Pakistanis" and then a white Geordie with a thick Geordie accent who's never left the country applies for it saying he's Pakistani - what's meant to happen there?

    The nature of identity only matters if you're discriminating based on identity. If you're not discriminating you can identify as whatever you choose and it doesn't make a difference. Call yourself Pakistani, Kiwi, Geordie, Jew, Jedi or Klingon - its none of my business whatever you say.
    Well you’re not saying anything I disagree with here. As you say it’s none of your business, and I’m not sure why @Malmesbury is so keen to make it otherwise.
    I don't think he is, I think he's pointing out the rather obvious problem elsewhere . . .
    He seems worked up about “fake” First Australian activists.
    Not worked up - commenting on an inevitable problem. One that First Americans have been dealing with for years.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,409
    Sandpit said:

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    I've got a radical idea, how about we treat everyone the same and do not discriminate based upon race.
    What’s that got to do with the question?
    If someone presents to you as, say, Pakistani, are you going to demand a genetic test?

    I hope not.
    No. But it won't make a difference to me, so why would I?

    If on the other hand you're saying "this job is reserved only for Pakistanis" and then a white Geordie with a thick Geordie accent who's never left the country applies for it saying he's Pakistani - what's meant to happen there?

    The nature of identity only matters if you're discriminating based on identity. If you're not discriminating you can identify as whatever you choose and it doesn't make a difference. Call yourself Pakistani, Kiwi, Geordie, Jew, Jedi or Klingon - its none of my business whatever you say.
    Indeed. It’s only problematic if you’re treating people differently according to their race. So don’t do that.
    That’s nice, but in NZ the Māori seats have been around since 1867 and are reasonably uncontroversial.

    You can self-identify if you wish to enrol in one of those seats. As I said, it’s hard to think of a way to avoid self-identification that doesn’t lead you into a very strange place.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,409

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    I've got a radical idea, how about we treat everyone the same and do not discriminate based upon race.
    What’s that got to do with the question?
    If someone presents to you as, say, Pakistani, are you going to demand a genetic test?

    I hope not.
    No. But it won't make a difference to me, so why would I?

    If on the other hand you're saying "this job is reserved only for Pakistanis" and then a white Geordie with a thick Geordie accent who's never left the country applies for it saying he's Pakistani - what's meant to happen there?

    The nature of identity only matters if you're discriminating based on identity. If you're not discriminating you can identify as whatever you choose and it doesn't make a difference. Call yourself Pakistani, Kiwi, Geordie, Jew, Jedi or Klingon - its none of my business whatever you say.
    Well you’re not saying anything I disagree with here. As you say it’s none of your business, and I’m not sure why @Malmesbury is so keen to make it otherwise.
    I don't think he is, I think he's pointing out the rather obvious problem elsewhere . . .
    He seems worked up about “fake” First Australian activists.
    Not worked up - commenting on an inevitable problem. One that First Americans have been dealing with for years.
    Why you should care about the integrity of race campaigners is totally beyond me, I must admit. In the universe of problems we now face, these seems pretty much bottom of the list.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,637
    edited May 2022

    Sandpit said:

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    I've got a radical idea, how about we treat everyone the same and do not discriminate based upon race.
    What’s that got to do with the question?
    If someone presents to you as, say, Pakistani, are you going to demand a genetic test?

    I hope not.
    No. But it won't make a difference to me, so why would I?

    If on the other hand you're saying "this job is reserved only for Pakistanis" and then a white Geordie with a thick Geordie accent who's never left the country applies for it saying he's Pakistani - what's meant to happen there?

    The nature of identity only matters if you're discriminating based on identity. If you're not discriminating you can identify as whatever you choose and it doesn't make a difference. Call yourself Pakistani, Kiwi, Geordie, Jew, Jedi or Klingon - its none of my business whatever you say.
    Indeed. It’s only problematic if you’re treating people differently according to their race. So don’t do that.
    That’s nice, but in NZ the Māori seats have been around since 1867 and are reasonably uncontroversial.

    You can self-identify if you wish to enrol in one of those seats. As I said, it’s hard to think of a way to avoid self-identification that doesn’t lead you into a very strange place.
    Presumably the caandidate's opponents, not to mention the voters, will flag up any particular nonsense? Or is there an electoral offence of pretending to be Māori?
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 8,577
    Scott_xP said:

    I get the impression that, unless Cummings can claim credit for it, anything that Johnson does must now be wrong as far as he is concerned.

    The interesting line is this

    "Only point of 🛒 as PM was to act as spokesman for the Vote Leave agenda while we pushed everything in a different direction"

    In other words

    We did everything we could to ensure BoZo would be PM, on the basis that he wouldn't do anything as PM.

    That seems stupid. Really, really, really stupid.
    That was what I told them at the time….

  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,935

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    Are you saying that "races" are not identifiable genetically?
    I actually don’t know.

    If pushed, I’d say they could be informative but only to a certain level.

    I’m assuming then that you’re ok with these kind of invasive tests?
    See Adam Rutherford's book.
    "HOW TO ARGUE WITH A RACIST dismantles outdated notions of race by illuminating what modern genetics can and can't tell us about human difference."
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,256

    Sandpit said:

    TimT said:

    Interesting trends in Russian equipment losses (Ukraine claims thereof). Looks like Manpads, counter-battery radar and longer range artillery deliveries are now at the front line and beginning to make an impact:

    https://twitter.com/Villager1244/status/1522230180894457857/photo/1

    Another 15 tanks, a hundred other vehicles and a couple of aircraft today.

    This must be something of a modern-era record for equipment losses in a war? 70 days in, and the Russian forces are already 20-30% depleted, more in some areas. Also a huge number of senior officers and the better-trained men.
    Would be interesting to compare to the percentage losses in the recent Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict.
    Good question, to which I don’t know the answer in terms of equipment. Wiki claims that there have been 30 deaths and 40 injuries among the belligerents, so not many tanks likely to have been blown up there.
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021–2022_Armenia–Azerbaijan_border_crisis
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 51,600

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    I've got a radical idea, how about we treat everyone the same and do not discriminate based upon race.
    What’s that got to do with the question?
    If someone presents to you as, say, Pakistani, are you going to demand a genetic test?

    I hope not.
    No. But it won't make a difference to me, so why would I?

    If on the other hand you're saying "this job is reserved only for Pakistanis" and then a white Geordie with a thick Geordie accent who's never left the country applies for it saying he's Pakistani - what's meant to happen there?

    The nature of identity only matters if you're discriminating based on identity. If you're not discriminating you can identify as whatever you choose and it doesn't make a difference. Call yourself Pakistani, Kiwi, Geordie, Jew, Jedi or Klingon - its none of my business whatever you say.
    Well you’re not saying anything I disagree with here. As you say it’s none of your business, and I’m not sure why @Malmesbury is so keen to make it otherwise.
    I don't think he is, I think he's pointing out the rather obvious problem elsewhere . . .
    He seems worked up about “fake” First Australian activists.
    Not worked up - commenting on an inevitable problem. One that First Americans have been dealing with for years.
    Why you should care about the integrity of race campaigners is totally beyond me, I must admit. In the universe of problems we now face, these seems pretty much bottom of the list.
    It goes towards the whole philosophical concept of identity and the legal consequences thereof.

    Once you try and divide humans into neat little packets - well, the blighters keep on scattering themselves about and mixing themselves together. And inventing new identities, almost as if they own their own identity. And borrowing other people's like a t-shirt in charity shop....

    As Putin is finding out....
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,409
    Carnyx said:

    Sandpit said:

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    I've got a radical idea, how about we treat everyone the same and do not discriminate based upon race.
    What’s that got to do with the question?
    If someone presents to you as, say, Pakistani, are you going to demand a genetic test?

    I hope not.
    No. But it won't make a difference to me, so why would I?

    If on the other hand you're saying "this job is reserved only for Pakistanis" and then a white Geordie with a thick Geordie accent who's never left the country applies for it saying he's Pakistani - what's meant to happen there?

    The nature of identity only matters if you're discriminating based on identity. If you're not discriminating you can identify as whatever you choose and it doesn't make a difference. Call yourself Pakistani, Kiwi, Geordie, Jew, Jedi or Klingon - its none of my business whatever you say.
    Indeed. It’s only problematic if you’re treating people differently according to their race. So don’t do that.
    That’s nice, but in NZ the Māori seats have been around since 1867 and are reasonably uncontroversial.

    You can self-identify if you wish to enrol in one of those seats. As I said, it’s hard to think of a way to avoid self-identification that doesn’t lead you into a very strange place.
    Presumably the caandidate's opponents, not to mention the voters, will flag up any particular nonsense? Or is there an electoral offence of pretending to be Māori?
    I am not aware of any nonsense, or any offence.

    It would be weird to enrol in one of the Māori seats if you were not actually Māori, but not detrimental to the overall democratic process.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 8,577

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    You can self-identify.

    NZ has long had “Māori seats”.
    There are now 7 (out of 72).
    You can choose whether to enrol in them or not, if you do so you cannot enrol in the general seats.

    In practice about 1/3 of Māori vote in the general seats.

    When NZ moved to PR it was recommended that the Māori seats be scrapped, but they have stayed and are pretty much a permanent fixture. There are more Māori in Parliament as a percentage than in the general population.

    The above is pretty uncontroversial.

    It has started to be reproduced at a local government level, which is more controversial.

    What Ardern tried to do in Rotorua goes further. It proposed that 3 Māori seats be elected by 22,000 Māori voters, and 3 general seats be elected by 56,000 voters.

    It has been found to contravene the Bill of Rights Act and Ardern/Labour have now withdrawn support.
    Do Māori typically lean more to the left or right than other New Zealanders? It looks like an attempt to stitch up the political balance
  • pingping Posts: 3,805
    Miserable day for US stocks
  • MattWMattW Posts: 24,152
    edited May 2022

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    I've got a radical idea, how about we treat everyone the same and do not discriminate based upon race.
    What’s that got to do with the question?
    If someone presents to you as, say, Pakistani, are you going to demand a genetic test?

    I hope not.
    No. But it won't make a difference to me, so why would I?

    If on the other hand you're saying "this job is reserved only for Pakistanis" and then a white Geordie with a thick Geordie accent who's never left the country applies for it saying he's Pakistani - what's meant to happen there?

    The nature of identity only matters if you're discriminating based on identity. If you're not discriminating you can identify as whatever you choose and it doesn't make a difference. Call yourself Pakistani, Kiwi, Geordie, Jew, Jedi or Klingon - its none of my business whatever you say.
    Well you’re not saying anything I disagree with here. As you say it’s none of your business, and I’m not sure why @Malmesbury is so keen to make it otherwise.
    I don't think he is, I think he's pointing out the rather obvious problem elsewhere . . .
    He seems worked up about “fake” First Australian activists.
    Not worked up - commenting on an inevitable problem. One that First Americans have been dealing with for years.
    Why you should care about the integrity of race campaigners is totally beyond me, I must admit. In the universe of problems we now face, these seems pretty much bottom of the list.
    Because it is a means of asserting control, and linking that to a non-objective criteria - say self-ID - renders it a nonsense. Plus the promotion of identity politics is a bad idea.

    Consider if a government grant, or say discriminatory selection at a top University, were to be built on a platform of self-ID. Phew.

    If there is going to be discrimination then it is far better, surely, to be using something like income levels.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 24,152

    Sandpit said:

    TimT said:

    Interesting trends in Russian equipment losses (Ukraine claims thereof). Looks like Manpads, counter-battery radar and longer range artillery deliveries are now at the front line and beginning to make an impact:

    https://twitter.com/Villager1244/status/1522230180894457857/photo/1

    Another 15 tanks, a hundred other vehicles and a couple of aircraft today.

    This must be something of a modern-era record for equipment losses in a war? 70 days in, and the Russian forces are already 20-30% depleted, more in some areas. Also a huge number of senior officers and the better-trained men.
    Would be interesting to compare to the percentage losses in the recent Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict.
    The only potential comparable loss rates I can think of would be the Yom Kippur war, or Iraq 1991.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 51,600
    MattW said:

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    I've got a radical idea, how about we treat everyone the same and do not discriminate based upon race.
    What’s that got to do with the question?
    If someone presents to you as, say, Pakistani, are you going to demand a genetic test?

    I hope not.
    No. But it won't make a difference to me, so why would I?

    If on the other hand you're saying "this job is reserved only for Pakistanis" and then a white Geordie with a thick Geordie accent who's never left the country applies for it saying he's Pakistani - what's meant to happen there?

    The nature of identity only matters if you're discriminating based on identity. If you're not discriminating you can identify as whatever you choose and it doesn't make a difference. Call yourself Pakistani, Kiwi, Geordie, Jew, Jedi or Klingon - its none of my business whatever you say.
    Well you’re not saying anything I disagree with here. As you say it’s none of your business, and I’m not sure why @Malmesbury is so keen to make it otherwise.
    I don't think he is, I think he's pointing out the rather obvious problem elsewhere . . .
    He seems worked up about “fake” First Australian activists.
    Not worked up - commenting on an inevitable problem. One that First Americans have been dealing with for years.
    Why you should care about the integrity of race campaigners is totally beyond me, I must admit. In the universe of problems we now face, these seems pretty much bottom of the list.
    Because it is a means of asserting control, and linking that to a non-objective criteria - say self-ID - renders it a nonsense.

    Consider if a government grant, or say discriminatory selection at a top University, were to be built on a platform of self-ID.
    As I mentioned below, the Casinos and the resultant payouts (in the US) has "found" a whole raft of shady characters, liars and scumbags.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,256
    ping said:

    Miserable day for US stocks

    Pretty much the inevitable consequence of interest rate rises.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,409
    edited May 2022

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    You can self-identify.

    NZ has long had “Māori seats”.
    There are now 7 (out of 72).
    You can choose whether to enrol in them or not, if you do so you cannot enrol in the general seats.

    In practice about 1/3 of Māori vote in the general seats.

    When NZ moved to PR it was recommended that the Māori seats be scrapped, but they have stayed and are pretty much a permanent fixture. There are more Māori in Parliament as a percentage than in the general population.

    The above is pretty uncontroversial.

    It has started to be reproduced at a local government level, which is more controversial.

    What Ardern tried to do in Rotorua goes further. It proposed that 3 Māori seats be elected by 22,000 Māori voters, and 3 general seats be elected by 56,000 voters.

    It has been found to contravene the Bill of Rights Act and Ardern/Labour have now withdrawn support.
    Do Māori typically lean more to the left or right than other New Zealanders? It looks like an attempt to stitch up the political balance
    Left.

    Up until 1993 they voted consistently for Labour.

    That fascinating figure, Winston Peters (a kind of Māori Nigel Farage), managed to convert most of them to his populist party, but it only lasted one term.

    Nowadays the only rival for them is the Māori Party, who these days can perhaps be described as far left.

    Under First Past the Post, they were considered necessary to protect Māori interests given that Māori votes would otherwise be drowned out by Pakeha ones.

    Under our version of PR, it doesn’t matter so much as seats in Parliament are ultimately determined by the Party Vote which pretty much ignores how constituencies are divided up.
  • SirNorfolkPassmoreSirNorfolkPassmore Posts: 7,191
    edited May 2022

    Personally I think the Met’s purdah is appropriate. Comey was indeed an example of spectactular incompetence.

    I don't agree.

    The point of purdah rules is to stop the party which controls the government (national or local) from using that to influence an election by stacking major positive announcements into the immediate pre-election period. It's a bit of levelling for those who don't control the machinery of the state.

    Police investigations are not like that - they are not in the control of the party in office. Clearly, great care is needed in presenting developments. But there is no reason why proceedings should be stayed, or major developments not announced in the usual way. If there was, then Parliament could legislate on that - but it has not seen fit to do so, with good reason.
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,085

    Carnyx said:

    Sandpit said:

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    I've got a radical idea, how about we treat everyone the same and do not discriminate based upon race.
    What’s that got to do with the question?
    If someone presents to you as, say, Pakistani, are you going to demand a genetic test?

    I hope not.
    No. But it won't make a difference to me, so why would I?

    If on the other hand you're saying "this job is reserved only for Pakistanis" and then a white Geordie with a thick Geordie accent who's never left the country applies for it saying he's Pakistani - what's meant to happen there?

    The nature of identity only matters if you're discriminating based on identity. If you're not discriminating you can identify as whatever you choose and it doesn't make a difference. Call yourself Pakistani, Kiwi, Geordie, Jew, Jedi or Klingon - its none of my business whatever you say.
    Indeed. It’s only problematic if you’re treating people differently according to their race. So don’t do that.
    That’s nice, but in NZ the Māori seats have been around since 1867 and are reasonably uncontroversial.

    You can self-identify if you wish to enrol in one of those seats. As I said, it’s hard to think of a way to avoid self-identification that doesn’t lead you into a very strange place.
    Presumably the caandidate's opponents, not to mention the voters, will flag up any particular nonsense? Or is there an electoral offence of pretending to be Māori?
    I am not aware of any nonsense, or any offence.

    It would be weird to enrol in one of the Māori seats if you were not actually Māori, but not detrimental to the overall democratic process.
    At the slight risk of controversy, Maori are not really indigenous people as such. Certainly not in the way Aboriginals are.

    They were migrants from Polynesia in c. 13th.

    Does this affect anything? I'm not sure. But the issue of people movements and rights gets sticky.
  • northern_monkeynorthern_monkey Posts: 1,640
    I love these guys, this sketch
    Is well worth two mins of your time…



    https://twitter.com/larryandpaul/status/1522244451330142211?s=21&t=0PZ9oDtA1RGFZPCxT1IZJA
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 51,600
    MattW said:

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    I've got a radical idea, how about we treat everyone the same and do not discriminate based upon race.
    What’s that got to do with the question?
    If someone presents to you as, say, Pakistani, are you going to demand a genetic test?

    I hope not.
    No. But it won't make a difference to me, so why would I?

    If on the other hand you're saying "this job is reserved only for Pakistanis" and then a white Geordie with a thick Geordie accent who's never left the country applies for it saying he's Pakistani - what's meant to happen there?

    The nature of identity only matters if you're discriminating based on identity. If you're not discriminating you can identify as whatever you choose and it doesn't make a difference. Call yourself Pakistani, Kiwi, Geordie, Jew, Jedi or Klingon - its none of my business whatever you say.
    Well you’re not saying anything I disagree with here. As you say it’s none of your business, and I’m not sure why @Malmesbury is so keen to make it otherwise.
    I don't think he is, I think he's pointing out the rather obvious problem elsewhere . . .
    He seems worked up about “fake” First Australian activists.
    Not worked up - commenting on an inevitable problem. One that First Americans have been dealing with for years.
    Why you should care about the integrity of race campaigners is totally beyond me, I must admit. In the universe of problems we now face, these seems pretty much bottom of the list.
    Because it is a means of asserting control, and linking that to a non-objective criteria - say self-ID - renders it a nonsense.

    Consider if a government grant, or say discriminatory selection at a top University, were to be built on a platform of self-ID.
    It already has, in some ways.

    Some children are doing their last year (or part year*) of A-Levels, nominally at Sixth Form college or local state school. In reality they actually are being heavily tutored in all subjects.

    So they can claim to be state school pupils when applying to go to university.

    *One enterprising parent moved her daughter 1 month before the exams. In her private school, they had finished the syllabus and were just revising. So she kept the tutors they were using and signed her up to do her A-levels at the local FE.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,256
    MattW said:

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    I've got a radical idea, how about we treat everyone the same and do not discriminate based upon race.
    What’s that got to do with the question?
    If someone presents to you as, say, Pakistani, are you going to demand a genetic test?

    I hope not.
    No. But it won't make a difference to me, so why would I?

    If on the other hand you're saying "this job is reserved only for Pakistanis" and then a white Geordie with a thick Geordie accent who's never left the country applies for it saying he's Pakistani - what's meant to happen there?

    The nature of identity only matters if you're discriminating based on identity. If you're not discriminating you can identify as whatever you choose and it doesn't make a difference. Call yourself Pakistani, Kiwi, Geordie, Jew, Jedi or Klingon - its none of my business whatever you say.
    Well you’re not saying anything I disagree with here. As you say it’s none of your business, and I’m not sure why @Malmesbury is so keen to make it otherwise.
    I don't think he is, I think he's pointing out the rather obvious problem elsewhere . . .
    He seems worked up about “fake” First Australian activists.
    Not worked up - commenting on an inevitable problem. One that First Americans have been dealing with for years.
    Why you should care about the integrity of race campaigners is totally beyond me, I must admit. In the universe of problems we now face, these seems pretty much bottom of the list.
    Because it is a means of asserting control, and linking that to a non-objective criteria - say self-ID - renders it a nonsense. Plus the promotion of identity politics is a bad idea.

    Consider if a government grant, or say discriminatory selection at a top University, were to be built on a platform of self-ID. Phew.

    If there is going to be discrimination then it is far better, surely, to be using something like income levels.
    So much of the American discourse especially, would be improved if more people understood that social class, rather than race, is the key determinant of life chances. If everyone focussed their efforts on the lower income groups, irrespective of race, then things might improve for those at the bottom. But instead, the activists see race everywhere and can’t let it go.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,409
    Heathener said:

    Carnyx said:

    Sandpit said:

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    I've got a radical idea, how about we treat everyone the same and do not discriminate based upon race.
    What’s that got to do with the question?
    If someone presents to you as, say, Pakistani, are you going to demand a genetic test?

    I hope not.
    No. But it won't make a difference to me, so why would I?

    If on the other hand you're saying "this job is reserved only for Pakistanis" and then a white Geordie with a thick Geordie accent who's never left the country applies for it saying he's Pakistani - what's meant to happen there?

    The nature of identity only matters if you're discriminating based on identity. If you're not discriminating you can identify as whatever you choose and it doesn't make a difference. Call yourself Pakistani, Kiwi, Geordie, Jew, Jedi or Klingon - its none of my business whatever you say.
    Indeed. It’s only problematic if you’re treating people differently according to their race. So don’t do that.
    That’s nice, but in NZ the Māori seats have been around since 1867 and are reasonably uncontroversial.

    You can self-identify if you wish to enrol in one of those seats. As I said, it’s hard to think of a way to avoid self-identification that doesn’t lead you into a very strange place.
    Presumably the caandidate's opponents, not to mention the voters, will flag up any particular nonsense? Or is there an electoral offence of pretending to be Māori?
    I am not aware of any nonsense, or any offence.

    It would be weird to enrol in one of the Māori seats if you were not actually Māori, but not detrimental to the overall democratic process.
    At the slight risk of controversy, Maori are not really indigenous people as such. Certainly not in the way Aboriginals are.

    They were migrants from Polynesia in c. 13th.

    Does this affect anything? I'm not sure. But the issue of people movements and rights gets sticky.
    It fascinates me that Māori only arrived in NZ around 400 years or so before Captain Cook.
    Much later than was assumed when I was a child.

    Having said that, it’s not longevity that confers indigenous status, is it?
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,085
    I found out recently that I have a Ukrainian relative. Rather distant to be sure, but genetic nonetheless.

    This may or may not perpetuate BR's myth about trolling :smiley:
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,935
    Nigelb said:

    Here's the Gallup data on American attitudes on abortion: https://news.gallup.com/poll/1576/abortion.aspx

    Note that the numbers describing themselves as "pro-life" and "pro-choice" have been quite close for years.

    (Some years ago, Gallup looked at the voters who would vote on the abortion issue. The numbers were small on both sides, less than 10 percent, as I recall, but the pro-life voters outnumbered the pro-choice voters by about 3-2.)

    I don't know that those figures hold if and when abortion gets banned.
    That would radically change the motivations.
    I wonder how the question is usually worded. Ask are you 'pro-life' or 'pro-choice' (?) and you'll get one split. Ask do you support a legal ban on abortion (?) and I can imagine you might get a quite different one.

    Eg you feel abortion is a moral wrong, therefore identify as 'pro-life', but you wouldn't seek to impose this view upon those who don't share it, therefore would not support a ban on abortion.

    There must be plenty of people like this. I certainly know a few.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 51,600
    MattW said:

    Sandpit said:

    TimT said:

    Interesting trends in Russian equipment losses (Ukraine claims thereof). Looks like Manpads, counter-battery radar and longer range artillery deliveries are now at the front line and beginning to make an impact:

    https://twitter.com/Villager1244/status/1522230180894457857/photo/1

    Another 15 tanks, a hundred other vehicles and a couple of aircraft today.

    This must be something of a modern-era record for equipment losses in a war? 70 days in, and the Russian forces are already 20-30% depleted, more in some areas. Also a huge number of senior officers and the better-trained men.
    Would be interesting to compare to the percentage losses in the recent Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict.
    The only potential comparable loss rates I can think of would be the Yom Kippur war, or Iraq 1991.
    The loss rates resemble the projection for peer-on-peer combat. Iraq 1991 was staggeringly one-sided. This isn't - the Ukrainians are taking heavy loses as well.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,409
    Sandpit said:

    MattW said:

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    I've got a radical idea, how about we treat everyone the same and do not discriminate based upon race.
    What’s that got to do with the question?
    If someone presents to you as, say, Pakistani, are you going to demand a genetic test?

    I hope not.
    No. But it won't make a difference to me, so why would I?

    If on the other hand you're saying "this job is reserved only for Pakistanis" and then a white Geordie with a thick Geordie accent who's never left the country applies for it saying he's Pakistani - what's meant to happen there?

    The nature of identity only matters if you're discriminating based on identity. If you're not discriminating you can identify as whatever you choose and it doesn't make a difference. Call yourself Pakistani, Kiwi, Geordie, Jew, Jedi or Klingon - its none of my business whatever you say.
    Well you’re not saying anything I disagree with here. As you say it’s none of your business, and I’m not sure why @Malmesbury is so keen to make it otherwise.
    I don't think he is, I think he's pointing out the rather obvious problem elsewhere . . .
    He seems worked up about “fake” First Australian activists.
    Not worked up - commenting on an inevitable problem. One that First Americans have been dealing with for years.
    Why you should care about the integrity of race campaigners is totally beyond me, I must admit. In the universe of problems we now face, these seems pretty much bottom of the list.
    Because it is a means of asserting control, and linking that to a non-objective criteria - say self-ID - renders it a nonsense. Plus the promotion of identity politics is a bad idea.

    Consider if a government grant, or say discriminatory selection at a top University, were to be built on a platform of self-ID. Phew.

    If there is going to be discrimination then it is far better, surely, to be using something like income levels.
    So much of the American discourse especially, would be improved if more people understood that social class, rather than race, is the key determinant of life chances. If everyone focussed their efforts on the lower income groups, irrespective of race, then things might improve for those at the bottom. But instead, the activists see race everywhere and can’t let it go.
    It is also much easier for capitalism to focus on colour, gender, and sexuality because to do so doesn’t ultimately disturb the making of money.

    A focus on class implies redistribution, which is far too awkward for everyone.
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,085

    Heathener said:

    Carnyx said:

    Sandpit said:

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    I've got a radical idea, how about we treat everyone the same and do not discriminate based upon race.
    What’s that got to do with the question?
    If someone presents to you as, say, Pakistani, are you going to demand a genetic test?

    I hope not.
    No. But it won't make a difference to me, so why would I?

    If on the other hand you're saying "this job is reserved only for Pakistanis" and then a white Geordie with a thick Geordie accent who's never left the country applies for it saying he's Pakistani - what's meant to happen there?

    The nature of identity only matters if you're discriminating based on identity. If you're not discriminating you can identify as whatever you choose and it doesn't make a difference. Call yourself Pakistani, Kiwi, Geordie, Jew, Jedi or Klingon - its none of my business whatever you say.
    Indeed. It’s only problematic if you’re treating people differently according to their race. So don’t do that.
    That’s nice, but in NZ the Māori seats have been around since 1867 and are reasonably uncontroversial.

    You can self-identify if you wish to enrol in one of those seats. As I said, it’s hard to think of a way to avoid self-identification that doesn’t lead you into a very strange place.
    Presumably the caandidate's opponents, not to mention the voters, will flag up any particular nonsense? Or is there an electoral offence of pretending to be Māori?
    I am not aware of any nonsense, or any offence.

    It would be weird to enrol in one of the Māori seats if you were not actually Māori, but not detrimental to the overall democratic process.
    At the slight risk of controversy, Maori are not really indigenous people as such. Certainly not in the way Aboriginals are.

    They were migrants from Polynesia in c. 13th.

    Does this affect anything? I'm not sure. But the issue of people movements and rights gets sticky.
    It fascinates me that Māori only arrived in NZ around 400 years or so before Captain Cook.
    Much later than was assumed when I was a child.

    Having said that, it’s not longevity that confers indigenous status, is it?
    No, you're right that it isn't. But I found myself on very sticky ground with a white South African. You can imagine how that argument was developing. He, probably correctly, pointed to people movements into southern Africa and then white European settlers.

    Like a lot of things in this world it's more complex than it might at first seem.
  • state_go_awaystate_go_away Posts: 5,826
    ping said:

    Miserable day for US stocks

    Yes FTSE doing well before US markets opened. Pity those who topped up before US markets opened and blasted the gains away!
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379

    Heathener said:

    Carnyx said:

    Sandpit said:

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    I've got a radical idea, how about we treat everyone the same and do not discriminate based upon race.
    What’s that got to do with the question?
    If someone presents to you as, say, Pakistani, are you going to demand a genetic test?

    I hope not.
    No. But it won't make a difference to me, so why would I?

    If on the other hand you're saying "this job is reserved only for Pakistanis" and then a white Geordie with a thick Geordie accent who's never left the country applies for it saying he's Pakistani - what's meant to happen there?

    The nature of identity only matters if you're discriminating based on identity. If you're not discriminating you can identify as whatever you choose and it doesn't make a difference. Call yourself Pakistani, Kiwi, Geordie, Jew, Jedi or Klingon - its none of my business whatever you say.
    Indeed. It’s only problematic if you’re treating people differently according to their race. So don’t do that.
    That’s nice, but in NZ the Māori seats have been around since 1867 and are reasonably uncontroversial.

    You can self-identify if you wish to enrol in one of those seats. As I said, it’s hard to think of a way to avoid self-identification that doesn’t lead you into a very strange place.
    Presumably the caandidate's opponents, not to mention the voters, will flag up any particular nonsense? Or is there an electoral offence of pretending to be Māori?
    I am not aware of any nonsense, or any offence.

    It would be weird to enrol in one of the Māori seats if you were not actually Māori, but not detrimental to the overall democratic process.
    At the slight risk of controversy, Maori are not really indigenous people as such. Certainly not in the way Aboriginals are.

    They were migrants from Polynesia in c. 13th.

    Does this affect anything? I'm not sure. But the issue of people movements and rights gets sticky.
    It fascinates me that Māori only arrived in NZ around 400 years or so before Captain Cook.
    Much later than was assumed when I was a child.

    Having said that, it’s not longevity that confers indigenous status, is it?
    No, it's being there before Evil Whitey.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,409
    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    Carnyx said:

    Sandpit said:

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    I've got a radical idea, how about we treat everyone the same and do not discriminate based upon race.
    What’s that got to do with the question?
    If someone presents to you as, say, Pakistani, are you going to demand a genetic test?

    I hope not.
    No. But it won't make a difference to me, so why would I?

    If on the other hand you're saying "this job is reserved only for Pakistanis" and then a white Geordie with a thick Geordie accent who's never left the country applies for it saying he's Pakistani - what's meant to happen there?

    The nature of identity only matters if you're discriminating based on identity. If you're not discriminating you can identify as whatever you choose and it doesn't make a difference. Call yourself Pakistani, Kiwi, Geordie, Jew, Jedi or Klingon - its none of my business whatever you say.
    Indeed. It’s only problematic if you’re treating people differently according to their race. So don’t do that.
    That’s nice, but in NZ the Māori seats have been around since 1867 and are reasonably uncontroversial.

    You can self-identify if you wish to enrol in one of those seats. As I said, it’s hard to think of a way to avoid self-identification that doesn’t lead you into a very strange place.
    Presumably the caandidate's opponents, not to mention the voters, will flag up any particular nonsense? Or is there an electoral offence of pretending to be Māori?
    I am not aware of any nonsense, or any offence.

    It would be weird to enrol in one of the Māori seats if you were not actually Māori, but not detrimental to the overall democratic process.
    At the slight risk of controversy, Maori are not really indigenous people as such. Certainly not in the way Aboriginals are.

    They were migrants from Polynesia in c. 13th.

    Does this affect anything? I'm not sure. But the issue of people movements and rights gets sticky.
    It fascinates me that Māori only arrived in NZ around 400 years or so before Captain Cook.
    Much later than was assumed when I was a child.

    Having said that, it’s not longevity that confers indigenous status, is it?
    No, you're right that it isn't. But I found myself on very sticky ground with a white South African. You can imagine how that argument was developing. He, probably correctly, pointed to people movements into southern Africa and then white European settlers.

    Like a lot of things in this world it's more complex than it might at first seem.
    It is true that white South Africans have been around for a very long time. Long enough ineeed to be considered indigenous by some measures.

    I’d have more sympathy with them though if they hadn’t embarked on a project of white supremacy.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,409
    Applicant said:

    Heathener said:

    Carnyx said:

    Sandpit said:

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    I've got a radical idea, how about we treat everyone the same and do not discriminate based upon race.
    What’s that got to do with the question?
    If someone presents to you as, say, Pakistani, are you going to demand a genetic test?

    I hope not.
    No. But it won't make a difference to me, so why would I?

    If on the other hand you're saying "this job is reserved only for Pakistanis" and then a white Geordie with a thick Geordie accent who's never left the country applies for it saying he's Pakistani - what's meant to happen there?

    The nature of identity only matters if you're discriminating based on identity. If you're not discriminating you can identify as whatever you choose and it doesn't make a difference. Call yourself Pakistani, Kiwi, Geordie, Jew, Jedi or Klingon - its none of my business whatever you say.
    Indeed. It’s only problematic if you’re treating people differently according to their race. So don’t do that.
    That’s nice, but in NZ the Māori seats have been around since 1867 and are reasonably uncontroversial.

    You can self-identify if you wish to enrol in one of those seats. As I said, it’s hard to think of a way to avoid self-identification that doesn’t lead you into a very strange place.
    Presumably the caandidate's opponents, not to mention the voters, will flag up any particular nonsense? Or is there an electoral offence of pretending to be Māori?
    I am not aware of any nonsense, or any offence.

    It would be weird to enrol in one of the Māori seats if you were not actually Māori, but not detrimental to the overall democratic process.
    At the slight risk of controversy, Maori are not really indigenous people as such. Certainly not in the way Aboriginals are.

    They were migrants from Polynesia in c. 13th.

    Does this affect anything? I'm not sure. But the issue of people movements and rights gets sticky.
    It fascinates me that Māori only arrived in NZ around 400 years or so before Captain Cook.
    Much later than was assumed when I was a child.

    Having said that, it’s not longevity that confers indigenous status, is it?
    No, it's being there before Evil Whitey.
    I don’t know him. Relation of Evil Knieval?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 51,600
    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    Carnyx said:

    Sandpit said:

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    I've got a radical idea, how about we treat everyone the same and do not discriminate based upon race.
    What’s that got to do with the question?
    If someone presents to you as, say, Pakistani, are you going to demand a genetic test?

    I hope not.
    No. But it won't make a difference to me, so why would I?

    If on the other hand you're saying "this job is reserved only for Pakistanis" and then a white Geordie with a thick Geordie accent who's never left the country applies for it saying he's Pakistani - what's meant to happen there?

    The nature of identity only matters if you're discriminating based on identity. If you're not discriminating you can identify as whatever you choose and it doesn't make a difference. Call yourself Pakistani, Kiwi, Geordie, Jew, Jedi or Klingon - its none of my business whatever you say.
    Indeed. It’s only problematic if you’re treating people differently according to their race. So don’t do that.
    That’s nice, but in NZ the Māori seats have been around since 1867 and are reasonably uncontroversial.

    You can self-identify if you wish to enrol in one of those seats. As I said, it’s hard to think of a way to avoid self-identification that doesn’t lead you into a very strange place.
    Presumably the caandidate's opponents, not to mention the voters, will flag up any particular nonsense? Or is there an electoral offence of pretending to be Māori?
    I am not aware of any nonsense, or any offence.

    It would be weird to enrol in one of the Māori seats if you were not actually Māori, but not detrimental to the overall democratic process.
    At the slight risk of controversy, Maori are not really indigenous people as such. Certainly not in the way Aboriginals are.

    They were migrants from Polynesia in c. 13th.

    Does this affect anything? I'm not sure. But the issue of people movements and rights gets sticky.
    It fascinates me that Māori only arrived in NZ around 400 years or so before Captain Cook.
    Much later than was assumed when I was a child.

    Having said that, it’s not longevity that confers indigenous status, is it?
    No, you're right that it isn't. But I found myself on very sticky ground with a white South African. You can imagine how that argument was developing. He, probably correctly, pointed to people movements into southern Africa and then white European settlers.

    Like a lot of things in this world it's more complex than it might at first seem.
    The non-nutty version(generally) is the white South Africans who describe themselves as African - they think of themselves as just the nth arrivals in a long list. Which is ongoing.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,409
    Lukashenko just gave an interview calling for the war to end.
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,277
    The media seem easily duped by expectations management games played by the Tories .

    The Tories saying they could lose 800 seats is nonsense given the last time comparable elections were held was at the height of Mays unpopularity and they did very badly then .

    So Johnson and the rest of the Tories have their lines ready to go and most of the media will not bother to explain why it’s nonsense .

  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,581
    @AAhronheim
    Russian President Putin has apologized to Israel’s PM Bennett for FM Lavrov’s Hitler comments. Bennett has accepted his apology.


    https://twitter.com/AAhronheim/status/1522246787209302017
  • nico679 said:

    The media seem easily duped by expectations management games played by the Tories .

    The Tories saying they could lose 800 seats is nonsense given the last time comparable elections were held was at the height of Mays unpopularity and they did very badly then .

    So Johnson and the rest of the Tories have their lines ready to go and most of the media will not bother to explain why it’s nonsense .

    The equivalent set weren't at the height of May's unpopularity - 2019 was the real nadir for her, although Labour also did poorly. I agree with your broad point that 800 losses is obviously heavy expectation management, but four years ago wasn't terrible for the Tories.
  • nico679 said:

    The media seem easily duped by expectations management games played by the Tories .

    The Tories saying they could lose 800 seats is nonsense given the last time comparable elections were held was at the height of Mays unpopularity and they did very badly then .

    So Johnson and the rest of the Tories have their lines ready to go and most of the media will not bother to explain why it’s nonsense .

    Point of order: It is next year's elections that were last held at the height of May's unpopularity.
  • Applicant said:

    Heathener said:

    Carnyx said:

    Sandpit said:

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    I've got a radical idea, how about we treat everyone the same and do not discriminate based upon race.
    What’s that got to do with the question?
    If someone presents to you as, say, Pakistani, are you going to demand a genetic test?

    I hope not.
    No. But it won't make a difference to me, so why would I?

    If on the other hand you're saying "this job is reserved only for Pakistanis" and then a white Geordie with a thick Geordie accent who's never left the country applies for it saying he's Pakistani - what's meant to happen there?

    The nature of identity only matters if you're discriminating based on identity. If you're not discriminating you can identify as whatever you choose and it doesn't make a difference. Call yourself Pakistani, Kiwi, Geordie, Jew, Jedi or Klingon - its none of my business whatever you say.
    Indeed. It’s only problematic if you’re treating people differently according to their race. So don’t do that.
    That’s nice, but in NZ the Māori seats have been around since 1867 and are reasonably uncontroversial.

    You can self-identify if you wish to enrol in one of those seats. As I said, it’s hard to think of a way to avoid self-identification that doesn’t lead you into a very strange place.
    Presumably the caandidate's opponents, not to mention the voters, will flag up any particular nonsense? Or is there an electoral offence of pretending to be Māori?
    I am not aware of any nonsense, or any offence.

    It would be weird to enrol in one of the Māori seats if you were not actually Māori, but not detrimental to the overall democratic process.
    At the slight risk of controversy, Maori are not really indigenous people as such. Certainly not in the way Aboriginals are.

    They were migrants from Polynesia in c. 13th.

    Does this affect anything? I'm not sure. But the issue of people movements and rights gets sticky.
    It fascinates me that Māori only arrived in NZ around 400 years or so before Captain Cook.
    Much later than was assumed when I was a child.

    Having said that, it’s not longevity that confers indigenous status, is it?
    No, it's being there before Evil Whitey.
    I don’t know him. Relation of Evil Knieval?
    Cousin of Snow Whitey, who went to university with Michael Gove.
  • mickydroymickydroy Posts: 316
    nico679 said:

    The media seem easily duped by expectations management games played by the Tories .

    The Tories saying they could lose 800 seats is nonsense given the last time comparable elections were held was at the height of Mays unpopularity and they did very badly then .

    So Johnson and the rest of the Tories have their lines ready to go and most of the media will not bother to explain why it’s nonsense .

    The media are only there to constantly churn out Tory propaganda, so its obvious what they are up too, its difficult to really find out where the partys are popularity wise after tonight, I can see lib dems doing well, but doubt that it will be a true reflection of where they stand nationally
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,935
    Sandpit said:

    ping said:

    Miserable day for US stocks

    Pretty much the inevitable consequence of interest rate rises.
    Seems the latest rise wasn't quite "priced in".
  • MattWMattW Posts: 24,152
    edited May 2022

    Sandpit said:

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    I've got a radical idea, how about we treat everyone the same and do not discriminate based upon race.
    What’s that got to do with the question?
    If someone presents to you as, say, Pakistani, are you going to demand a genetic test?

    I hope not.
    No. But it won't make a difference to me, so why would I?

    If on the other hand you're saying "this job is reserved only for Pakistanis" and then a white Geordie with a thick Geordie accent who's never left the country applies for it saying he's Pakistani - what's meant to happen there?

    The nature of identity only matters if you're discriminating based on identity. If you're not discriminating you can identify as whatever you choose and it doesn't make a difference. Call yourself Pakistani, Kiwi, Geordie, Jew, Jedi or Klingon - its none of my business whatever you say.
    Indeed. It’s only problematic if you’re treating people differently according to their race. So don’t do that.
    That’s nice, but in NZ the Māori seats have been around since 1867 and are reasonably uncontroversial.

    You can self-identify if you wish to enrol in one of those seats. As I said, it’s hard to think of a way to avoid self-identification that doesn’t lead you into a very strange place.
    I think that's an interesting comment.

    Needing such arrangements in the first place is an admission of failure, and a need to apply a sticky plaster, perhaps, and is it a narrow line between what works and what doesn't?

    Are the cases of Israel and Lebanon pertinent with allocation of representation by community?

    We could maybe add Pakistan, and how does it work in NI? Is NI self-identity as Nationalist of Unionist?

  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,237
    edited May 2022
    If this polling is in anyway correct I don’t really see SLab regaining largest party status in Glasgow.



    https://twitter.com/survation/status/1522224142275203076?s=21&t=KnCvt3bbalksr5U7FL20KA

  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379
    nico679 said:

    The media seem easily duped by expectations management games played by the Tories .

    The Tories saying they could lose 800 seats is nonsense given the last time comparable elections were held was at the height of Mays unpopularity and they did very badly then .

    So Johnson and the rest of the Tories have their lines ready to go and most of the media will not bother to explain why it’s nonsense .

    The last time comparable elections were held, Labour gained 46 councillors.
  • Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 3,064
    Gardenwalker said: "A focus on class implies redistribution, which is far too awkward for everyone."

    You may want to learn about the Earned income tax credit: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earned_income_tax_credit
    In 1969, Richard Nixon proposed the Family Assistance Plan, which included a guaranteed minimum income in the form of a negative income tax. The House of Representatives passed this plan, but the Senate did not. During his 1972 Presidential campaign, George McGovern proposed a demogrant of $1,000 for every American. Critics during this time complained about implying people don't have to work for a living, and saw the program as having too little stigma; during this time, Hawaii had an established residency requirement for public aid, which one Hawaii State Senator suggested was necessary to discourage "parasites in paradise".[9]

    Proposed by Russell Long and enacted in 1975, the EITC provides benefits to working recipients with earned income, but not to non-working recipients. The initially modest EITC has been expanded by tax legislation on a number of occasions, including the widely publicized Tax Reform Act of 1986, and was further expanded in 1990, 1993, 2001, and 2009, regardless of whether the act in general raised taxes (1990, 1993), lowered taxes (2001), or eliminated other deductions and credits (1986).[10] In 1993, President Clinton tripled the EITC.[11] Today, the EITC is one of the largest anti-poverty tools in the United States.[12] Also, the EITC is mainly used to "promote and support work."[11] Most income measures, including the poverty rate, do not account for the credit.
    If I recall correctly, the Urban Institute, a left-leaning think tank, found that the introduction of the EITC resulted in a net shift of 25 percent for poor families. Before it, they paid about 10 percent of their income in taxes; after it was fully implemented, they got about 15 percent back. I haven't seen recent numbers.

  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 51,600

    Applicant said:

    Heathener said:

    Carnyx said:

    Sandpit said:

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    I've got a radical idea, how about we treat everyone the same and do not discriminate based upon race.
    What’s that got to do with the question?
    If someone presents to you as, say, Pakistani, are you going to demand a genetic test?

    I hope not.
    No. But it won't make a difference to me, so why would I?

    If on the other hand you're saying "this job is reserved only for Pakistanis" and then a white Geordie with a thick Geordie accent who's never left the country applies for it saying he's Pakistani - what's meant to happen there?

    The nature of identity only matters if you're discriminating based on identity. If you're not discriminating you can identify as whatever you choose and it doesn't make a difference. Call yourself Pakistani, Kiwi, Geordie, Jew, Jedi or Klingon - its none of my business whatever you say.
    Indeed. It’s only problematic if you’re treating people differently according to their race. So don’t do that.
    That’s nice, but in NZ the Māori seats have been around since 1867 and are reasonably uncontroversial.

    You can self-identify if you wish to enrol in one of those seats. As I said, it’s hard to think of a way to avoid self-identification that doesn’t lead you into a very strange place.
    Presumably the caandidate's opponents, not to mention the voters, will flag up any particular nonsense? Or is there an electoral offence of pretending to be Māori?
    I am not aware of any nonsense, or any offence.

    It would be weird to enrol in one of the Māori seats if you were not actually Māori, but not detrimental to the overall democratic process.
    At the slight risk of controversy, Maori are not really indigenous people as such. Certainly not in the way Aboriginals are.

    They were migrants from Polynesia in c. 13th.

    Does this affect anything? I'm not sure. But the issue of people movements and rights gets sticky.
    It fascinates me that Māori only arrived in NZ around 400 years or so before Captain Cook.
    Much later than was assumed when I was a child.

    Having said that, it’s not longevity that confers indigenous status, is it?
    No, it's being there before Evil Whitey.
    I don’t know him. Relation of Evil Knieval?
    Cousin of Snow Whitey, who went to university with Michael Gove.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QKGbguoildA
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,277
    Point taken re the local elections but because of where they’re taking place it’s impossible for the Tories to lose anything close to the Tories expectation management .

    To lose even 500 would be something .
  • MattWMattW Posts: 24,152
    Applicant said:

    nico679 said:

    The media seem easily duped by expectations management games played by the Tories .

    The Tories saying they could lose 800 seats is nonsense given the last time comparable elections were held was at the height of Mays unpopularity and they did very badly then .

    So Johnson and the rest of the Tories have their lines ready to go and most of the media will not bother to explain why it’s nonsense .

    The last time comparable elections were held, Labour gained 46 councillors.
    Which is a little under 1%, I think.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 11,775
    MattW said:

    Sandpit said:

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    I've got a radical idea, how about we treat everyone the same and do not discriminate based upon race.
    What’s that got to do with the question?
    If someone presents to you as, say, Pakistani, are you going to demand a genetic test?

    I hope not.
    No. But it won't make a difference to me, so why would I?

    If on the other hand you're saying "this job is reserved only for Pakistanis" and then a white Geordie with a thick Geordie accent who's never left the country applies for it saying he's Pakistani - what's meant to happen there?

    The nature of identity only matters if you're discriminating based on identity. If you're not discriminating you can identify as whatever you choose and it doesn't make a difference. Call yourself Pakistani, Kiwi, Geordie, Jew, Jedi or Klingon - its none of my business whatever you say.
    Indeed. It’s only problematic if you’re treating people differently according to their race. So don’t do that.
    That’s nice, but in NZ the Māori seats have been around since 1867 and are reasonably uncontroversial.

    You can self-identify if you wish to enrol in one of those seats. As I said, it’s hard to think of a way to avoid self-identification that doesn’t lead you into a very strange place.
    I think that's an interesting comment.

    Needing such arrangements in the first place is an admission of failure, and a need to apply a sticky plaster, perhaps, and is it a narrow line between what works and what doesn't?

    Are the cases of Israel and Lebanon are pertinent with allocation of representation by community?

    We could maybe add Pakistan, and how does it work in NI? Is NI self-identity as Nationalist of Unionist?

    Lebanon like Northern Ireland has a consociational system. Israel does not (but does have a deliberately very proportional/low threshold system that allows parties representing a specific community to do well).

    In NI, Assembly members at the start of a session choose to identify as Nationalist, Unionist or Other. They are allowed to change once per session. AMs identify per party; I'm not aware of any party's AMs identifying other than as a block, although they're allowed to.

    Lots of other countries have small-scale measures to ensure minority representation, e.g. Germany has a lower electoral threshold for parties identifying with the Danish, Frisians, Sorbs or Romani minorities.
  • nico679 said:

    Point taken re the local elections but because of where they’re taking place it’s impossible for the Tories to lose anything close to the Tories expectation management .

    To lose even 500 would be something .

    500 would, I think, be more than a third of seats being defended. That's quite a bit more as a proportion than May lost in 2019. I don't really expect that level - that would be catastrophic.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 24,152

    MattW said:

    Sandpit said:

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    I've got a radical idea, how about we treat everyone the same and do not discriminate based upon race.
    What’s that got to do with the question?
    If someone presents to you as, say, Pakistani, are you going to demand a genetic test?

    I hope not.
    No. But it won't make a difference to me, so why would I?

    If on the other hand you're saying "this job is reserved only for Pakistanis" and then a white Geordie with a thick Geordie accent who's never left the country applies for it saying he's Pakistani - what's meant to happen there?

    The nature of identity only matters if you're discriminating based on identity. If you're not discriminating you can identify as whatever you choose and it doesn't make a difference. Call yourself Pakistani, Kiwi, Geordie, Jew, Jedi or Klingon - its none of my business whatever you say.
    Indeed. It’s only problematic if you’re treating people differently according to their race. So don’t do that.
    That’s nice, but in NZ the Māori seats have been around since 1867 and are reasonably uncontroversial.

    You can self-identify if you wish to enrol in one of those seats. As I said, it’s hard to think of a way to avoid self-identification that doesn’t lead you into a very strange place.
    I think that's an interesting comment.

    Needing such arrangements in the first place is an admission of failure, and a need to apply a sticky plaster, perhaps, and is it a narrow line between what works and what doesn't?

    Are the cases of Israel and Lebanon are pertinent with allocation of representation by community?

    We could maybe add Pakistan, and how does it work in NI? Is NI self-identity as Nationalist of Unionist?

    Lebanon like Northern Ireland has a consociational system. Israel does not (but does have a deliberately very proportional/low threshold system that allows parties representing a specific community to do well).

    In NI, Assembly members at the start of a session choose to identify as Nationalist, Unionist or Other. They are allowed to change once per session. AMs identify per party; I'm not aware of any party's AMs identifying other than as a block, although they're allowed to.

    Lots of other countries have small-scale measures to ensure minority representation, e.g. Germany has a lower electoral threshold for parties identifying with the Danish, Frisians, Sorbs or Romani minorities.
    Thanks.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 29,072

    @AAhronheim
    Russian President Putin has apologized to Israel’s PM Bennett for FM Lavrov’s Hitler comments. Bennett has accepted his apology.


    https://twitter.com/AAhronheim/status/1522246787209302017

    Very bad day at the office for Lavrov.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,502
    Applicant said:

    nico679 said:

    The media seem easily duped by expectations management games played by the Tories .

    The Tories saying they could lose 800 seats is nonsense given the last time comparable elections were held was at the height of Mays unpopularity and they did very badly then .

    So Johnson and the rest of the Tories have their lines ready to go and most of the media will not bother to explain why it’s nonsense .

    The last time comparable elections were held, Labour gained 46 councillors.
    Everyone plays the expectations management game.
    Having said that, the 800 losses was utterly ludicrous from even a cursory glance at the figures.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,409
    MattW said:

    Sandpit said:

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    I've got a radical idea, how about we treat everyone the same and do not discriminate based upon race.
    What’s that got to do with the question?
    If someone presents to you as, say, Pakistani, are you going to demand a genetic test?

    I hope not.
    No. But it won't make a difference to me, so why would I?

    If on the other hand you're saying "this job is reserved only for Pakistanis" and then a white Geordie with a thick Geordie accent who's never left the country applies for it saying he's Pakistani - what's meant to happen there?

    The nature of identity only matters if you're discriminating based on identity. If you're not discriminating you can identify as whatever you choose and it doesn't make a difference. Call yourself Pakistani, Kiwi, Geordie, Jew, Jedi or Klingon - its none of my business whatever you say.
    Indeed. It’s only problematic if you’re treating people differently according to their race. So don’t do that.
    That’s nice, but in NZ the Māori seats have been around since 1867 and are reasonably uncontroversial.

    You can self-identify if you wish to enrol in one of those seats. As I said, it’s hard to think of a way to avoid self-identification that doesn’t lead you into a very strange place.
    I think that's an interesting comment.

    Needing such arrangements in the first place is an admission of failure, and a need to apply a sticky plaster, perhaps, and is it a narrow line between what works and what doesn't?

    Are the cases of Israel and Lebanon pertinent with allocation of representation by community?

    We could maybe add Pakistan, and how does it work in NI? Is NI self-identity as Nationalist of Unionist?

    Just one note.

    The Māori seats were invented in 1867 because at the time there was a property qualification for general seats which rendered most Māori ineligible.

    Yes I think it’s a fine line between what works and what doesn’t, but I don’t think it’s an “admission of failure”.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,502
    nico679 said:

    Point taken re the local elections but because of where they’re taking place it’s impossible for the Tories to lose anything close to the Tories expectation management .

    To lose even 500 would be something .

    I reckon 200 is about a par score tbh. That's what I'll be looking out for.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,637

    If this polling is in anyway correct I don’t really see SLab regaining largest party status in Glasgow.



    https://twitter.com/survation/status/1522224142275203076?s=21&t=KnCvt3bbalksr5U7FL20KA

    Interesting. Also pretty much a tie between indy and union parties - a win for indy if you allow for the split within Labour voters, not so much if you allow for the fact that most 'independents' are tulchan Tories. No wonder the official Tories are campaigning on greenery and dog shite on street corners.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 51,600

    @AAhronheim
    Russian President Putin has apologized to Israel’s PM Bennett for FM Lavrov’s Hitler comments. Bennett has accepted his apology.


    https://twitter.com/AAhronheim/status/1522246787209302017

    Very bad day at the office for Lavrov.
    Meeting without chair?
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559

    Gardenwalker said: "A focus on class implies redistribution, which is far too awkward for everyone."

    You may want to learn about the Earned income tax credit: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earned_income_tax_credit

    In 1969, Richard Nixon proposed the Family Assistance Plan, which included a guaranteed minimum income in the form of a negative income tax. The House of Representatives passed this plan, but the Senate did not. During his 1972 Presidential campaign, George McGovern proposed a demogrant of $1,000 for every American. Critics during this time complained about implying people don't have to work for a living, and saw the program as having too little stigma; during this time, Hawaii had an established residency requirement for public aid, which one Hawaii State Senator suggested was necessary to discourage "parasites in paradise".[9]

    Proposed by Russell Long and enacted in 1975, the EITC provides benefits to working recipients with earned income, but not to non-working recipients. The initially modest EITC has been expanded by tax legislation on a number of occasions, including the widely publicized Tax Reform Act of 1986, and was further expanded in 1990, 1993, 2001, and 2009, regardless of whether the act in general raised taxes (1990, 1993), lowered taxes (2001), or eliminated other deductions and credits (1986).[10] In 1993, President Clinton tripled the EITC.[11] Today, the EITC is one of the largest anti-poverty tools in the United States.[12] Also, the EITC is mainly used to "promote and support work."[11] Most income measures, including the poverty rate, do not account for the credit.
    If I recall correctly, the Urban Institute, a left-leaning think tank, found that the introduction of the EITC resulted in a net shift of 25 percent for poor families. Before it, they paid about 10 percent of their income in taxes; after it was fully implemented, they got about 15 percent back. I haven't seen recent numbers.



    Russell Long had a personality and political career quite different from his daddy's. The earned income tax credit testifies to the fact that Huey Long's son did share his commitment to economic justice for working people: "share our wealth".
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,131
    Well that’s me done my public duty. I voted Conservative. And Lib Dem. And Labour. But principally Conservative so I voted for them twice.

    Whether these other choices do any good heaven alone knows. It’s far too complicated for the likes of me.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,278
    nico679 said:

    Point taken re the local elections but because of where they’re taking place it’s impossible for the Tories to lose anything close to the Tories expectation management .

    To lose even 500 would be something .

    Yup. We have come a long way from a competent media doing its job. Call me old fashioned but I do like to at least start with indisputable facts.
  • BlancheLivermoreBlancheLivermore Posts: 6,040

    @AAhronheim
    Russian President Putin has apologized to Israel’s PM Bennett for FM Lavrov’s Hitler comments. Bennett has accepted his apology.


    https://twitter.com/AAhronheim/status/1522246787209302017

    Very bad day at the office for Lavrov.
    Did you ever find out how many people died in the attack on the Mariupol theatre? Or work why it might take them so long to count the dead?
    https://t.co/RUKxdGW7fS
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,932
    MattW said:

    Sandpit said:

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    I've got a radical idea, how about we treat everyone the same and do not discriminate based upon race.
    What’s that got to do with the question?
    If someone presents to you as, say, Pakistani, are you going to demand a genetic test?

    I hope not.
    No. But it won't make a difference to me, so why would I?

    If on the other hand you're saying "this job is reserved only for Pakistanis" and then a white Geordie with a thick Geordie accent who's never left the country applies for it saying he's Pakistani - what's meant to happen there?

    The nature of identity only matters if you're discriminating based on identity. If you're not discriminating you can identify as whatever you choose and it doesn't make a difference. Call yourself Pakistani, Kiwi, Geordie, Jew, Jedi or Klingon - its none of my business whatever you say.
    Indeed. It’s only problematic if you’re treating people differently according to their race. So don’t do that.
    That’s nice, but in NZ the Māori seats have been around since 1867 and are reasonably uncontroversial.

    You can self-identify if you wish to enrol in one of those seats. As I said, it’s hard to think of a way to avoid self-identification that doesn’t lead you into a very strange place.
    I think that's an interesting comment.

    Needing such arrangements in the first place is an admission of failure, and a need to apply a sticky plaster, perhaps, and is it a narrow line between what works and what doesn't?

    Are the cases of Israel and Lebanon pertinent with allocation of representation by community?

    We could maybe add Pakistan, and how does it work in NI? Is NI self-identity as Nationalist of Unionist?

    Majoritarian democracy often tends to be a disaster in ethnically or religiously divided countries.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,409
    DavidL said:

    Well that’s me done my public duty. I voted Conservative. And Lib Dem. And Labour. But principally Conservative so I voted for them twice.

    Whether these other choices do any good heaven alone knows. It’s far too complicated for the likes of me.

    You get 10 marks for the public declaration.

    5 marks off for voting Tory and then pretending it’s because “stuff is too complicated”.

    Still, I don’t think we’ve had that excuse before, so one mark can be restored.
  • MISTYMISTY Posts: 1,594
    More on the BoE's forecast

    2023: No growth, possible recession
    2024: No growth.

    Unemployment: to rise from 3.8% to 5.5%.

    These are nightmare numbers for the tories

    Inflation?

    The tories better hope sterling doesn't tank too badly and that stops inflation coming down like the BoE predicts.

    Otherwise, well...

  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 49,325

    MattW said:

    Sandpit said:

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    I've got a radical idea, how about we treat everyone the same and do not discriminate based upon race.
    What’s that got to do with the question?
    If someone presents to you as, say, Pakistani, are you going to demand a genetic test?

    I hope not.
    No. But it won't make a difference to me, so why would I?

    If on the other hand you're saying "this job is reserved only for Pakistanis" and then a white Geordie with a thick Geordie accent who's never left the country applies for it saying he's Pakistani - what's meant to happen there?

    The nature of identity only matters if you're discriminating based on identity. If you're not discriminating you can identify as whatever you choose and it doesn't make a difference. Call yourself Pakistani, Kiwi, Geordie, Jew, Jedi or Klingon - its none of my business whatever you say.
    Indeed. It’s only problematic if you’re treating people differently according to their race. So don’t do that.
    That’s nice, but in NZ the Māori seats have been around since 1867 and are reasonably uncontroversial.

    You can self-identify if you wish to enrol in one of those seats. As I said, it’s hard to think of a way to avoid self-identification that doesn’t lead you into a very strange place.
    I think that's an interesting comment.

    Needing such arrangements in the first place is an admission of failure, and a need to apply a sticky plaster, perhaps, and is it a narrow line between what works and what doesn't?

    Are the cases of Israel and Lebanon pertinent with allocation of representation by community?

    We could maybe add Pakistan, and how does it work in NI? Is NI self-identity as Nationalist of Unionist?

    Just one note.

    The Māori seats were invented in 1867 because at the time there was a property qualification for general seats which rendered most Māori ineligible.

    Yes I think it’s a fine line between what works and what doesn’t, but I don’t think it’s an “admission of failure”.
    Yes, and I think New Zealands rather unique founding treaty establishes Maori as full citizens with equal rights, a very different position to indigenous peoples in other colonies. Indeed I recall that Australian Aboriginies only got counted in the census as citizens in 1967.

    While the treaty was not always implemented fairly, generally race relations in NZ seemed pretty relaxed when I was there, and biculturalism uncontroversial.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,278

    DavidL said:

    Well that’s me done my public duty. I voted Conservative. And Lib Dem. And Labour. But principally Conservative so I voted for them twice.

    Whether these other choices do any good heaven alone knows. It’s far too complicated for the likes of me.

    You get 10 marks for the public declaration.

    5 marks off for voting Tory and then pretending it’s because “stuff is too complicated”.

    Still, I don’t think we’ve had that excuse before, so one mark can be restored.
    To be fair there have been local elections (we don’t have any this time), where I’ve had to scratch my head and think “hang on, I’d have to vote for everyone”.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,256

    @AAhronheim
    Russian President Putin has apologized to Israel’s PM Bennett for FM Lavrov’s Hitler comments. Bennett has accepted his apology.


    https://twitter.com/AAhronheim/status/1522246787209302017

    Very bad day at the office for Lavrov.
    Meeting without chair?
    Tea and biscuits with the boss. With no tea and no biscuits.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 51,600
    biggles said:

    nico679 said:

    Point taken re the local elections but because of where they’re taking place it’s impossible for the Tories to lose anything close to the Tories expectation management .

    To lose even 500 would be something .

    Yup. We have come a long way from a competent media doing its job. Call me old fashioned but I do like to at least start with indisputable facts.
    The media took six months to discover reporting day vs day-of statistics, during COVID.

    Gell-Mann Amnesia.....
  • Sandpit said:

    @AAhronheim
    Russian President Putin has apologized to Israel’s PM Bennett for FM Lavrov’s Hitler comments. Bennett has accepted his apology.


    https://twitter.com/AAhronheim/status/1522246787209302017

    Very bad day at the office for Lavrov.
    Meeting without chair?
    Tea and biscuits with the boss. With no tea and no biscuits.
    Sandpit said:

    @AAhronheim
    Russian President Putin has apologized to Israel’s PM Bennett for FM Lavrov’s Hitler comments. Bennett has accepted his apology.


    https://twitter.com/AAhronheim/status/1522246787209302017

    Very bad day at the office for Lavrov.
    Meeting without chair?
    Tea and biscuits with the boss. With no tea and no biscuits.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jLaCqrisEac
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,278
    MISTY said:

    More on the BoE's forecast

    2023: No growth, possible recession
    2024: No growth.

    Unemployment: to rise from 3.8% to 5.5%.

    These are nightmare numbers for the tories

    Inflation?

    The tories better hope sterling doesn't tank too badly and that stops inflation coming down like the BoE predicts.

    Otherwise, well...

    So based on its average forecasting performance, steady growth and full employment?
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 63,295
    Sandpit said:

    @AAhronheim
    Russian President Putin has apologized to Israel’s PM Bennett for FM Lavrov’s Hitler comments. Bennett has accepted his apology.


    https://twitter.com/AAhronheim/status/1522246787209302017

    Very bad day at the office for Lavrov.
    Meeting without chair?
    Tea and biscuits with the boss. With no tea and no biscuits.
    Just wtf is going on in Putin's inner circle? Why would Lavrov have gone way out on a limb like this and changed overnight Russian middle eastern policy if Putin had no idea?
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,278
    edited May 2022

    biggles said:

    nico679 said:

    Point taken re the local elections but because of where they’re taking place it’s impossible for the Tories to lose anything close to the Tories expectation management .

    To lose even 500 would be something .

    Yup. We have come a long way from a competent media doing its job. Call me old fashioned but I do like to at least start with indisputable facts.
    The media took six months to discover reporting day vs day-of statistics, during COVID.

    Gell-Mann Amnesia.....
    And don’t get me started on asking any journalist to manage basic maths when discussing percentages - e.g. percentage point rises versus percentage rises, or basic compound interest.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 63,295
    Mitt Romney predicts Trump will be nominee if he runs.

  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 49,325
    biggles said:

    MISTY said:

    More on the BoE's forecast

    2023: No growth, possible recession
    2024: No growth.

    Unemployment: to rise from 3.8% to 5.5%.

    These are nightmare numbers for the tories

    Inflation?

    The tories better hope sterling doesn't tank too badly and that stops inflation coming down like the BoE predicts.

    Otherwise, well...

    So based on its average forecasting performance, steady growth and full employment?
    Well recently they have missed by being far too optomistic. Lets hope that is not still the case!
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 63,295
    MISTY said:

    More on the BoE's forecast

    2023: No growth, possible recession
    2024: No growth.

    Unemployment: to rise from 3.8% to 5.5%.

    These are nightmare numbers for the tories

    Inflation?

    The tories better hope sterling doesn't tank too badly and that stops inflation coming down like the BoE predicts.

    Otherwise, well...

    And that China isn't locked down so long that supply chains become an absolute nightmare.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    Are you saying that "races" are not identifiable genetically?
    They are but what the man on the street calls "race" is not what a geneticist would call race. David Reich has a very nuanced article on this:

    https://www.nytimes.com/2018/03/23/opinion/sunday/genetics-race.html

    "Race is a social construct" is a realisation scientists came to in the 1940s, it is not some modern woke idea. The crux, as identified in the article, is that you can take a person and put them in Brazil and they would be considered "white". You take the same person and put them in America and they would be considered "black"
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,131

    DavidL said:

    Well that’s me done my public duty. I voted Conservative. And Lib Dem. And Labour. But principally Conservative so I voted for them twice.

    Whether these other choices do any good heaven alone knows. It’s far too complicated for the likes of me.

    You get 10 marks for the public declaration.

    5 marks off for voting Tory and then pretending it’s because “stuff is too complicated”.

    Still, I don’t think we’ve had that excuse before, so one mark can be restored.
    Yeay a pass mark. Or was that out of 100?
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    Mitt Romney predicts Trump will be nominee if he runs.

    This is at the level of a "well, duh!" statement. The leader of the party will indeed lead the party if he chooses to lead it.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,409
    I can’t think why anyone would look at either the BoE’s forecasts, or indeed the IMF’s, and then at the government’s tax and fiscal policy, and say, “yes - this is why I vote Tory”.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 51,600

    MattW said:

    Sandpit said:

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    I've got a radical idea, how about we treat everyone the same and do not discriminate based upon race.
    What’s that got to do with the question?
    If someone presents to you as, say, Pakistani, are you going to demand a genetic test?

    I hope not.
    No. But it won't make a difference to me, so why would I?

    If on the other hand you're saying "this job is reserved only for Pakistanis" and then a white Geordie with a thick Geordie accent who's never left the country applies for it saying he's Pakistani - what's meant to happen there?

    The nature of identity only matters if you're discriminating based on identity. If you're not discriminating you can identify as whatever you choose and it doesn't make a difference. Call yourself Pakistani, Kiwi, Geordie, Jew, Jedi or Klingon - its none of my business whatever you say.
    Indeed. It’s only problematic if you’re treating people differently according to their race. So don’t do that.
    That’s nice, but in NZ the Māori seats have been around since 1867 and are reasonably uncontroversial.

    You can self-identify if you wish to enrol in one of those seats. As I said, it’s hard to think of a way to avoid self-identification that doesn’t lead you into a very strange place.
    I think that's an interesting comment.

    Needing such arrangements in the first place is an admission of failure, and a need to apply a sticky plaster, perhaps, and is it a narrow line between what works and what doesn't?

    Are the cases of Israel and Lebanon pertinent with allocation of representation by community?

    We could maybe add Pakistan, and how does it work in NI? Is NI self-identity as Nationalist of Unionist?

    Majoritarian democracy often tends to be a disaster in ethnically or religiously divided countries.
    Which democracies aren't ethnically or religiously divided?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,256
    biggles said:

    biggles said:

    nico679 said:

    Point taken re the local elections but because of where they’re taking place it’s impossible for the Tories to lose anything close to the Tories expectation management .

    To lose even 500 would be something .

    Yup. We have come a long way from a competent media doing its job. Call me old fashioned but I do like to at least start with indisputable facts.
    The media took six months to discover reporting day vs day-of statistics, during COVID.

    Gell-Mann Amnesia.....
    And don’t get me started on asking any journalist to manage basic maths when discussing percentages - e.g. percentage point rises versus percentage rises, or basic compound interest.
    You expect all those liberal arts majors that dominate the MSM, to be numerate?

    The really, really annoying thing, is that there are some good scientific journalists out there, it’s just that they barely get used by the major TV news channels.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,655
    edited May 2022
    kjh said:

    I find it deeply troubling how several on here are so blasé about Trump and what he nearly achieved and are not fearful of the possibility of that happening again in the future and even being successful and with comments like the constitution or congress wont allow it. It is not as if this sort of stuff hasn't happened elsewhere.

    Exactly right. It was attempted in a myriad of big and small ways. It didn't work, but that doesn't mean a fresh attempt could not.

    If I survive a gunshot wound by wearing body armour, dodging, and getting medical treatment, it doesn't mean I am immune to bullets - I still need to take precautions.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,692
    Scott_xP said:

    Local Elections in England – Survation for Good Morning Britain 22–26 April - recap.

    In areas of England where there are local council elections in May 2022, our polling for Good Morning Britain has Labour on 47% of the vote, with the Conservatives at 34%: https://twitter.com/Survation/status/1522224147362992129/photo/1

    If Tories get up to 34 in these places in these conditions that will be an excellent outcome for them. 😕

    All the boring things from electionologists have been pointing to a Meh result for the last two weeks to be honest. Maybe it’s just the set of elections this year following high tide for anti Tory vote last time they are up, it can’t just be as much fun as hoped?

    Us Libdems can still have fun at Labours expense though, taking Hull off Starmer 😈
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 51,600
    Sandpit said:

    biggles said:

    biggles said:

    nico679 said:

    Point taken re the local elections but because of where they’re taking place it’s impossible for the Tories to lose anything close to the Tories expectation management .

    To lose even 500 would be something .

    Yup. We have come a long way from a competent media doing its job. Call me old fashioned but I do like to at least start with indisputable facts.
    The media took six months to discover reporting day vs day-of statistics, during COVID.

    Gell-Mann Amnesia.....
    And don’t get me started on asking any journalist to manage basic maths when discussing percentages - e.g. percentage point rises versus percentage rises, or basic compound interest.
    You expect all those liberal arts majors that dominate the MSM, to be numerate?

    The really, really annoying thing, is that there are some good scientific journalists out there, it’s just that they barely get used by the major TV news channels.
    The important news is too important to be left to subject matter specialists.

    The Cult of The Generalist.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,655

    Sandpit said:

    @AAhronheim
    Russian President Putin has apologized to Israel’s PM Bennett for FM Lavrov’s Hitler comments. Bennett has accepted his apology.


    https://twitter.com/AAhronheim/status/1522246787209302017

    Very bad day at the office for Lavrov.
    Meeting without chair?
    Tea and biscuits with the boss. With no tea and no biscuits.
    Just wtf is going on in Putin's inner circle? Why would Lavrov have gone way out on a limb like this and changed overnight Russian middle eastern policy if Putin had no idea?
    He wouldn't. They know they will piss off a lot of people with the tone they strike (never mind the invasion, which most nations can happily ignore, we all ignore a lot of stuff in the world after all), and on rare occasions they may need to walk it back if it is someone whose opinion actually matters to them.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,655

    Mitt Romney predicts Trump will be nominee if he runs.

    And will Romney back him if he does win? You'd think not, he's voted to impeach him twice, but then a lot of people kowtowed in the end last time.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,502

    Sandpit said:

    biggles said:

    biggles said:

    nico679 said:

    Point taken re the local elections but because of where they’re taking place it’s impossible for the Tories to lose anything close to the Tories expectation management .

    To lose even 500 would be something .

    Yup. We have come a long way from a competent media doing its job. Call me old fashioned but I do like to at least start with indisputable facts.
    The media took six months to discover reporting day vs day-of statistics, during COVID.

    Gell-Mann Amnesia.....
    And don’t get me started on asking any journalist to manage basic maths when discussing percentages - e.g. percentage point rises versus percentage rises, or basic compound interest.
    You expect all those liberal arts majors that dominate the MSM, to be numerate?

    The really, really annoying thing, is that there are some good scientific journalists out there, it’s just that they barely get used by the major TV news channels.
    The important news is too important to be left to subject matter specialists.

    The Cult of The Generalist.
    Being a generalist does necessarily involve basic numeracy though.
    The problem is basic fact-checking has been binned.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,409

    MattW said:

    Sandpit said:

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    I've got a radical idea, how about we treat everyone the same and do not discriminate based upon race.
    What’s that got to do with the question?
    If someone presents to you as, say, Pakistani, are you going to demand a genetic test?

    I hope not.
    No. But it won't make a difference to me, so why would I?

    If on the other hand you're saying "this job is reserved only for Pakistanis" and then a white Geordie with a thick Geordie accent who's never left the country applies for it saying he's Pakistani - what's meant to happen there?

    The nature of identity only matters if you're discriminating based on identity. If you're not discriminating you can identify as whatever you choose and it doesn't make a difference. Call yourself Pakistani, Kiwi, Geordie, Jew, Jedi or Klingon - its none of my business whatever you say.
    Indeed. It’s only problematic if you’re treating people differently according to their race. So don’t do that.
    That’s nice, but in NZ the Māori seats have been around since 1867 and are reasonably uncontroversial.

    You can self-identify if you wish to enrol in one of those seats. As I said, it’s hard to think of a way to avoid self-identification that doesn’t lead you into a very strange place.
    I think that's an interesting comment.

    Needing such arrangements in the first place is an admission of failure, and a need to apply a sticky plaster, perhaps, and is it a narrow line between what works and what doesn't?

    Are the cases of Israel and Lebanon pertinent with allocation of representation by community?

    We could maybe add Pakistan, and how does it work in NI? Is NI self-identity as Nationalist of Unionist?

    Majoritarian democracy often tends to be a disaster in ethnically or religiously divided countries.
    Which democracies aren't ethnically or religiously divided?
    You need to think about post-colonial societies in particular, and why it might be deemed important and uncontroversial to maintain special status (or protection) for indigenous peoples.

    The UK is not especially ethnically or religiously divided, nor is most of Western Europe.

    Such division there is in the UK is mostly about national identity and can be addressed via devolution.

    The notable exception is Catholics (and Protestants) in Northern Ireland where a bespoke arrangement has been painstakingly constructed.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,409
    Could LDs really take Hull?

    Amazing if true, they don’t seem likely elderly liberal crypto-Tory nimbys in the East Riding.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,655

    MattW said:

    Sandpit said:

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    I've got a radical idea, how about we treat everyone the same and do not discriminate based upon race.
    What’s that got to do with the question?
    If someone presents to you as, say, Pakistani, are you going to demand a genetic test?

    I hope not.
    No. But it won't make a difference to me, so why would I?

    If on the other hand you're saying "this job is reserved only for Pakistanis" and then a white Geordie with a thick Geordie accent who's never left the country applies for it saying he's Pakistani - what's meant to happen there?

    The nature of identity only matters if you're discriminating based on identity. If you're not discriminating you can identify as whatever you choose and it doesn't make a difference. Call yourself Pakistani, Kiwi, Geordie, Jew, Jedi or Klingon - its none of my business whatever you say.
    Indeed. It’s only problematic if you’re treating people differently according to their race. So don’t do that.
    That’s nice, but in NZ the Māori seats have been around since 1867 and are reasonably uncontroversial.

    You can self-identify if you wish to enrol in one of those seats. As I said, it’s hard to think of a way to avoid self-identification that doesn’t lead you into a very strange place.
    I think that's an interesting comment.

    Needing such arrangements in the first place is an admission of failure, and a need to apply a sticky plaster, perhaps, and is it a narrow line between what works and what doesn't?

    Are the cases of Israel and Lebanon pertinent with allocation of representation by community?

    We could maybe add Pakistan, and how does it work in NI? Is NI self-identity as Nationalist of Unionist?

    Majoritarian democracy often tends to be a disaster in ethnically or religiously divided countries.
    Which democracies aren't ethnically or religiously divided?
    You need to think about post-colonial societies in particular, and why it might be deemed important and uncontroversial to maintain special status (or protection) for indigenous peoples.

    The UK is not especially ethnically or religiously divided, nor is most of Western Europe.

    Such division there is in the UK is mostly about national identity and can be addressed via devolution.

    The notable exception is Catholics (and Protestants) in Northern Ireland where a bespoke arrangement has been painstakingly constructed.
    And is it even still fit for purpose?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 56,878
    Alistair said:

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    Are you saying that "races" are not identifiable genetically?
    They are but what the man on the street calls "race" is not what a geneticist would call race. David Reich has a very nuanced article on this:

    https://www.nytimes.com/2018/03/23/opinion/sunday/genetics-race.html

    "Race is a social construct" is a realisation scientists came to in the 1940s, it is not some modern woke idea. The crux, as identified in the article, is that you can take a person and put them in Brazil and they would be considered "white". You take the same person and put them in America and they would be considered "black"
    It’s a realisation they came to after the Holocaust and Nazi race laws, when anything to do with “race” or “defining people by race” was considered highly offensive (very understandably) so they went way too far the other way and decided “all races are social constructs” - see the official 1945-46 UNESCO statements on race. They are politically motivated, not scientifically grounded. An early version of Woke, indeed - but after Hitler, no one was quibbling


    But it is palpable nonsense. Races - ancestries - exist. They are extremely fuzzy at the edges, where one race blurs into the next, but then that is true of animal species

    If races didn’t exist there wouldn’t be medical therapies aimed specifically at certain races, but there are

    https://www.pharmacy.umn.edu/degrees-and-programs/postgraduate-pharmacy-residency-program/news-events-and-publications/curbside-consult-volume-17-issue-1-first-quarter-2019/best-two-drug-antihypertensive-combinations-black-african-patients



  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,409
    kle4 said:

    MattW said:

    Sandpit said:

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    I've got a radical idea, how about we treat everyone the same and do not discriminate based upon race.
    What’s that got to do with the question?
    If someone presents to you as, say, Pakistani, are you going to demand a genetic test?

    I hope not.
    No. But it won't make a difference to me, so why would I?

    If on the other hand you're saying "this job is reserved only for Pakistanis" and then a white Geordie with a thick Geordie accent who's never left the country applies for it saying he's Pakistani - what's meant to happen there?

    The nature of identity only matters if you're discriminating based on identity. If you're not discriminating you can identify as whatever you choose and it doesn't make a difference. Call yourself Pakistani, Kiwi, Geordie, Jew, Jedi or Klingon - its none of my business whatever you say.
    Indeed. It’s only problematic if you’re treating people differently according to their race. So don’t do that.
    That’s nice, but in NZ the Māori seats have been around since 1867 and are reasonably uncontroversial.

    You can self-identify if you wish to enrol in one of those seats. As I said, it’s hard to think of a way to avoid self-identification that doesn’t lead you into a very strange place.
    I think that's an interesting comment.

    Needing such arrangements in the first place is an admission of failure, and a need to apply a sticky plaster, perhaps, and is it a narrow line between what works and what doesn't?

    Are the cases of Israel and Lebanon pertinent with allocation of representation by community?

    We could maybe add Pakistan, and how does it work in NI? Is NI self-identity as Nationalist of Unionist?

    Majoritarian democracy often tends to be a disaster in ethnically or religiously divided countries.
    Which democracies aren't ethnically or religiously divided?
    You need to think about post-colonial societies in particular, and why it might be deemed important and uncontroversial to maintain special status (or protection) for indigenous peoples.

    The UK is not especially ethnically or religiously divided, nor is most of Western Europe.

    Such division there is in the UK is mostly about national identity and can be addressed via devolution.

    The notable exception is Catholics (and Protestants) in Northern Ireland where a bespoke arrangement has been painstakingly constructed.
    And is it even still fit for purpose?
    The way the government is undermining it, you do question it.

    A direct line can be traced from Sinn Féin’s performance today and that vote in 2016 which I keep banging on about.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,502
    kle4 said:

    MattW said:

    Sandpit said:

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    I've got a radical idea, how about we treat everyone the same and do not discriminate based upon race.
    What’s that got to do with the question?
    If someone presents to you as, say, Pakistani, are you going to demand a genetic test?

    I hope not.
    No. But it won't make a difference to me, so why would I?

    If on the other hand you're saying "this job is reserved only for Pakistanis" and then a white Geordie with a thick Geordie accent who's never left the country applies for it saying he's Pakistani - what's meant to happen there?

    The nature of identity only matters if you're discriminating based on identity. If you're not discriminating you can identify as whatever you choose and it doesn't make a difference. Call yourself Pakistani, Kiwi, Geordie, Jew, Jedi or Klingon - its none of my business whatever you say.
    Indeed. It’s only problematic if you’re treating people differently according to their race. So don’t do that.
    That’s nice, but in NZ the Māori seats have been around since 1867 and are reasonably uncontroversial.

    You can self-identify if you wish to enrol in one of those seats. As I said, it’s hard to think of a way to avoid self-identification that doesn’t lead you into a very strange place.
    I think that's an interesting comment.

    Needing such arrangements in the first place is an admission of failure, and a need to apply a sticky plaster, perhaps, and is it a narrow line between what works and what doesn't?

    Are the cases of Israel and Lebanon pertinent with allocation of representation by community?

    We could maybe add Pakistan, and how does it work in NI? Is NI self-identity as Nationalist of Unionist?

    Majoritarian democracy often tends to be a disaster in ethnically or religiously divided countries.
    Which democracies aren't ethnically or religiously divided?
    You need to think about post-colonial societies in particular, and why it might be deemed important and uncontroversial to maintain special status (or protection) for indigenous peoples.

    The UK is not especially ethnically or religiously divided, nor is most of Western Europe.

    Such division there is in the UK is mostly about national identity and can be addressed via devolution.

    The notable exception is Catholics (and Protestants) in Northern Ireland where a bespoke arrangement has been painstakingly constructed.
    And is it even still fit for purpose?
    We shall find out Friday.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Leon said:

    Alistair said:

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    Are you saying that "races" are not identifiable genetically?
    They are but what the man on the street calls "race" is not what a geneticist would call race. David Reich has a very nuanced article on this:

    https://www.nytimes.com/2018/03/23/opinion/sunday/genetics-race.html

    "Race is a social construct" is a realisation scientists came to in the 1940s, it is not some modern woke idea. The crux, as identified in the article, is that you can take a person and put them in Brazil and they would be considered "white". You take the same person and put them in America and they would be considered "black"
    It’s a realisation they came to after the Holocaust and Nazi race laws, when anything to do with “race” or “defining people by race” was considered highly offensive (very understandably) so they went way too far the other way and decided “all races are social constructs” - see the official 1945-46 UNESCO statements on race. They are politically motivated, not scientifically grounded. An early version of Woke, indeed - but after Hitler, no one was quibbling


    But it is palpable nonsense. Races - ancestries - exist. They are extremely fuzzy at the edges, where one race blurs into the next, but then that is true of animal species

    If races didn’t exist there wouldn’t be medical therapies aimed specifically at certain races, but there are

    https://www.pharmacy.umn.edu/degrees-and-programs/postgraduate-pharmacy-residency-program/news-events-and-publications/curbside-consult-volume-17-issue-1-first-quarter-2019/best-two-drug-antihypertensive-combinations-black-african-patients



    That's.... that's exactly what the article is about, you should read it. Reich develops therapies targeted by race. But the specific genetic markers that denote a race have close to hee-haw to do with what a lay person would describe as race (thus the Brazil-vs-USA dichotomy).
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 51,600

    MattW said:

    Sandpit said:

    Taz said:

    The Green Party of New Zealand has just voted to change their constitution, which affects who can be leader.

    The Greens have two co-leaders.
    Previously one had to be male, and one female.

    Now,
    - at least one must be female
    - at least one must be Māori

    There is some weird stuff happening these days in NZ about so-called co-governance, a modern interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi which provokes new governance models to ensure special status for Māori.

    The government just ended an attempt to impose a several councillors on Rotorua which could only be voted for by a special small Māori electorate, in the face of massive backlash by voters who realised it was an attack on “one person one vote”.

    It is one of the reasons Jacinda will lose the next election.

    How are they defining Maori. Is it someone who is 100% Maori or who is part Maori, maybe one Maori parent or grandparent ?
    In Australia, at least, some of the more interesting types are going for self identification.

    That is, anyone who says they are First Australian is First Australian and it's bad to question that. And asking for an actual test would be racist...

    What could possibly go wrong?
    How do you propose to test?
    Cranial measurement?
    Dunno.

    But I do know that "activists" who are nothing to do with the First Australians will so self identify and take up space in the political and economic landscape that First Australians sorely need.
    You don’t know because if you think about it for more than five seconds you realise that self-identification is the only way to do it.

    There are always weird activists getting in on one cause or another. Good luck proscribing that.
    There's always genetics...
    Are you proposing genetic tests before people can identify as a particular race?
    I've got a radical idea, how about we treat everyone the same and do not discriminate based upon race.
    What’s that got to do with the question?
    If someone presents to you as, say, Pakistani, are you going to demand a genetic test?

    I hope not.
    No. But it won't make a difference to me, so why would I?

    If on the other hand you're saying "this job is reserved only for Pakistanis" and then a white Geordie with a thick Geordie accent who's never left the country applies for it saying he's Pakistani - what's meant to happen there?

    The nature of identity only matters if you're discriminating based on identity. If you're not discriminating you can identify as whatever you choose and it doesn't make a difference. Call yourself Pakistani, Kiwi, Geordie, Jew, Jedi or Klingon - its none of my business whatever you say.
    Indeed. It’s only problematic if you’re treating people differently according to their race. So don’t do that.
    That’s nice, but in NZ the Māori seats have been around since 1867 and are reasonably uncontroversial.

    You can self-identify if you wish to enrol in one of those seats. As I said, it’s hard to think of a way to avoid self-identification that doesn’t lead you into a very strange place.
    I think that's an interesting comment.

    Needing such arrangements in the first place is an admission of failure, and a need to apply a sticky plaster, perhaps, and is it a narrow line between what works and what doesn't?

    Are the cases of Israel and Lebanon pertinent with allocation of representation by community?

    We could maybe add Pakistan, and how does it work in NI? Is NI self-identity as Nationalist of Unionist?

    Majoritarian democracy often tends to be a disaster in ethnically or religiously divided countries.
    Which democracies aren't ethnically or religiously divided?
    You need to think about post-colonial societies in particular, and why it might be deemed important and uncontroversial to maintain special status (or protection) for indigenous peoples.

    The UK is not especially ethnically or religiously divided, nor is most of Western Europe.

    Such division there is in the UK is mostly about national identity and can be addressed via devolution.

    The notable exception is Catholics (and Protestants) in Northern Ireland where a bespoke arrangement has been painstakingly constructed.
    The issues of indigenous and minorities occur in all types of societies, not just majoritarian democratic ones.

    Usually, in the non-democratic ones, they get some version of the "square peg, round hole" treatment.
This discussion has been closed.