Categories
Ohio, Ohio, Ohio – Measuring Trump’s Chances – politicalbetting.com
Ohio, Ohio, Ohio – Measuring Trump’s Chances – politicalbetting.com
There is an election today, and it might be rather a consequential one. Yep: it’s the Republican Senate Primary in Ohio, and it’s going to give us an early glimpse into Trump’s ongoing popularity with ‘the base’. Because the three leading candidate represent the three different strands within the GOP:
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
" “We’ve been listening to political ads since last September — it’s awful,” said Mike Heister, 62, who owns an insurance brokerage and lives in Green Township."
NY Time live blog
2-3 Liverpool lead in aggregate.
Thank christ we don't have to put up with that shit.
Interestingly Trump didn't win the Ohio primary in 2016, but considering it was the home state of Kasich who did win it, I'm not sure how much can be read into that.
I have.
Wanna bet about it?
Ohio and Indiana are shaded red on a different type of map: Parts of both states are under a tornado watch until 9 p.m. Eastern time. The watch area includes Cincinnati, Columbus, Dayton and southeastern Indiana.
SSI - Potentially this could hurt Vance a bit, as he's only major GOP US Senate hopeful from SW Ohio, others are from NE, and his turf is in the watch zone.
The moving finger writes; and, having Ritz,
Moves on...
My guess is that IF any of the other Republicans gets nominated, then GOP vote will be LESS inclined to flake off, as the flakes will NOT vote for Dem, and are likely to hold their noses, show up and vote the GOP ticket in November.
1. Don't deny the holocaust. And if you do deny the holocaust and are asked politely by the moderators to stop, then stop. Don't keep posting about how it didn't happen.
2. Don't be rude about OGH. He doesn't like it, and will ban you.
3. Avoid overtly racist or antisemitic posts.
4. Don't libel public figures. OGH has had correspondence from Carter Ruck in the past, and he didn't enjoy the experience. If you're putting OGH in danger of getting sued, you will be banned.
5. Be nice about Radiohead. rcs1000 (me) runs the technical side of the site, and I will ban you if you are caught denying they are the greatest band of the last 30 years. (If you say say that they might be second only to The National, then I might forgive you.)
6. Don't claim to have tipped certain outcomes when you didn't.
7. If you enter into a bet with another site member, then - if you lose - you need to pay up or you will be banned.
8. Don't have multiple different IDs.
9. Use a genuine email address when registering. If I email you multiple times and you don't respond (@Gary_Burton & aliases), then I reserve the right to... oh yes... wave the ban hammer.
10. Don't dox other posters. Respect the fact that some people like to be pseudonymous.
WRONG
I simply don't recognise anything that he's saying and all of the couples in those support groups would surely agree.
I still support the right to choose and in general abortion, yet the characterisation that people who think of an unborn child as a baby as incorrect or outranked by a third rate sixth form debater is laughable. His pompous self importance is part of his character but it's also a bit sad.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sfFVt6VD5cM
11. If you are working out of a windowless office in St Peterberg, then at least try an be subtle about it.
https://twitter.com/nickmartin/status/1521555176515014656/photo/1
Mike Gibbons 15%
Jane Timken 7%
Other 8%
Extent that this "none of the above" vote gets squeezed, and which way(s) will likely determine the primary winner.
https://twitter.com/Tactical_Times/status/1521592029028958212
Thanks
Doesn’t look that way!
As much as I disliked Liverpool in the 80’s and 90’s, I really do like Klopp, so I end up wanting Liverpool to do well. Man City, not so much.
Behind Owner of a lonely heart, Layla, run by snow patrol and Groovin with Mr Bloe.
Ahead, rock factor 9.
Now he can see it happening.
Only one that I have question about is 10th PB Commandment - Thou shalt NOT dox.
Which is, is is doxing if a PBer notes that other PBer have doxed themselves? Not trying to be a smart-aleck (this time!) but just asking? Assuming that, when in doubt, best not!
There were a number of other embryos frozen with Fox jr2, and 3 were implanted, of which only he survived to term. Under British fertility law embryos cannot be stored indefinitely, so were allowed to thaw and disintegrate some years ago. After years of stress, that wasn't an entirely comfortable thing to do.
https://twitter.com/cvdldb/status/1521593872018812933
I have no problem with thinking of an unborn child as a baby. My problem is a ban on abortion. And I don't see that the first leads to the second. Nor, I see, do you.
Always on my mind by the pet shop boys being an obvious one.
https://youtu.be/m3lF2qEA2cw
Re: National Review, still remember watching Wm F Buckley's tv show "Firing Line" on PBS, as a kid. Thought the young preppies he literally had sitting at his feet looked like total twits.
And got to see him Richard Crossman, obviously in less than robust health (he died a few years later) debating - and wiping the floor - with WFB.
Didn't happen all the time - but it did THAT time.
So despite winning 2-3 tonight, they were behind tonight for almost as long as every other match in 2022 so far across the competitions combined.
You are simply wrong that people don't see early pregnancies as babies outside of the abortion debate. I dare you to go into one of the miscarriage support meetings and suggest as such, I think you'd walk out after being kicked in the balls a few times by irate women.
Polls close in all of Ohio in just under 2 1/2 hours (7.30pm Eastern)
via NYT live blog:
In the battered steel city of Middletown, Ohio, where the Trump-endorsed G.O.P. candidate J.D. Vance grew up, some of the voters heading to the polls on Tuesday seemed more concerned with a local fire-station issue on the ballot than with voting for one of their own.
“I play volleyball at the senior center and not one of them said they were voting for Vance,” said Sheila Belcher, 68, a retired postal worker. Ms. Belcher said the Republican Senate candidate’s best-selling book, “Hillbilly Elegy,” which used Middletown as a backdrop, made her angry. She also cited Mr. Vance’s years-old comments criticizing former President Donald J. Trump, and his full embrace of Mr. Trump later, as a turnoff.
“He flip-flopped, and that was upsetting,” Ms. Belcher said, adding that the nation’s borders and inflation were her top concerns going into the voting booth. She cast her ballot in the primary for the businessman Mike Gibbons.
Demarius LeForce, 93, said she was turned off by Mr. Vance’s portrayal of her hometown and that she voted instead for Jane Timken, a former state Republican Party chair.
“When I read the book, I got mad. I was born on Main Street in Middletown and I didn’t recognize the town he described,” Ms. LeForce said.
Maureen Hattrup, 39, an instructor at a local community college, said she has her students read “Hillbilly Elegy” and that it always inspires “lively discussion.” She cast her vote in the Democratic primary.
One voter interviewed in Middletown said he was sticking by his hometown Senate candidate. “He has that private sector knowledge and experience,” said John Langhorne, 70, who voted for Mr. Vance. “He’s not a career politician, and I like that.”
Is there degradation of embryos in cold storage that could cause birth defects? It seems a bit mad to let them just thaw otherwise.
He is now.
If he wins the senate race I expect a tilt at POTUS in a few years.
Miscarriages certainly are a tragedy that bring a sense of loss, its even possible to have that sense of loss without a pregnancy or a miscarriage. A friend thought she was pregnant and was happy only to find out at the 12 week scan that it was a false positive, she'd never been pregnant. She mourned the loss, even though philosophically some might say there was 'nothing' to mourn, its not true and was still deeply distressing for her.
Finding out that you can't have children can also be deeply distressing too.
Sensitivity is certainly required on this subject, because sometimes you can never know what someone has been through.
https://twitter.com/PoliticsJOE_UK/status/1521503385366765568?s=20&t=avLQ7IMVAlpK956QKoLAwg
And yes to all the above, it's extremely distressing. My wife was, in her less rational moments, contemplating asking me for a divorce after the third failed attempt so that I could remarry and have a family with some other woman because she thought she wasn't able. It can really drive people a bit crazy. That's when we decided to just take a break from trying actively and once the pressure was gone, just like magic it happened and (fingers crossed) this one is just a few weeks away!
Thankfully the UK remains a truly secular society and Amen to that !!!
Politics doesn't just pass like that. If the Tories lose the next election, they'll probably be out of power for at least a decade.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RNKkcAOYCVY
Thankfully though those people generally aren't nutjobs at least, and thankfully they don't generally interfere with politics much either. Not that it justifies the situation.
The Americans don't have either but the nutters still interfere much more.
The UK had one school shooting and all the parties united to pass some of the strongest gun control laws in the world, whereas in America they've had so many school shootings and nothing changes.