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Crisis, what crisis? – politicalbetting.com

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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,487
    edited April 2022
    PaulD said:

    glw said:

    PaulD said:

    Interestingly Hitchens in the most today says the USA is using the Ukraine war as a proxy war to drive Russia back to the stone age....

    Good.
    Maybe good for the USA but not good for the people of Ukraine as the Russians kill and torture their men and lay waste to much of the country...
    So the correct strategy is for Putin to withdraw, as that lets the Ukrainians off and deprives the Yanks of a major strategic victory.

    Or, indeed, he could just not have invaded in the first place and therefore not handed the US their greatest strategic advance since the fall of the Berlin Wall on a plate all by his little fat self.
  • Options
    PaulDPaulD Posts: 51

    PaulD said:

    Stand by for some grotesque lying:

    @KevinRothrock
    Moscow is demanding an emergency session of the UN Security Council tomorrow to discuss “Ukrainian radicals’ provocation” in Bucha (the town outside Kyiv where Russian troops slaughtered hundreds of civilians but deny it).


    https://twitter.com/KevinRothrock/status/1510698438102597641

    Well I suppose there are 2 sides to every story...let them say their piece even if its rubbish
    Hmm, I see you think it's very important to have a "ceasefire now by any means possible and end this war" and a "negotiated settlement which gives Putin a win he can sell to the Russians".

    You've got a tough gig, but you need to be more subtle...
    The slaughter of innocents in Ukraine is horrifying...we can't just stand by and let it happen...the Russians are going to torture brutally and kill many people trust me
  • Options
    Beibheirli_CBeibheirli_C Posts: 7,981
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rpjs said:

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    ydoethur said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Disestablishment now.


    Rubbish. I have zero problems with people talking: especially if it means it might divert people away from an evil course.
    IIRC alongside Iran and The Vatican we're the only nations to have unelected clergy in our parliament.

    I find that very scary and undemocratic.
    The bishops are less than 5% of the Lords and they also have a higher percentage of Oxbridge degrees than other peers and MPs do.

    Most of them have done parish ministry at some time as well, rooted in the problems of local communities. They are educated and experienced and the type of people we need in the Lords, certainly not more ex politicians and wealthy party donors who increasingly make up the rest of the Lords now
    Even so, it is, erm, eccentric by 21st century standards to have members of only one privileged sect of one religion given automatic seats.

    Bleating about what C of E priests have or have not done doesn't negate the point that other priests, and ministers, Quaker meeting secretaries, imams, etc., also deal with such matters. So the C of E is not specially privileged in that sense.

    Edit: And we need fewer, not more, Oxbridge graduates in Parliament, in both houses.
    No it isn’t. The Bishops have been in the Lords since the Middle Ages. They represent the established church. The moment they are removed the main established church in the UK would revert to the Vatican and the Pope.

    Quakers and Protestant evangelicals are not part of an established church like the Church of England and Roman Catholic Church are. In Iran where Muslims are a majority clerics are also represented in the legislature. No reason we cannot have a few other religious leaders in the Lords as we have Rabbis already but the Bishops must remain there
    Oh, why don't we beign back the humoral theory of illness and villeinage and so on, if doing something in mediaeval times is a reason to do it now? But I forgot, you want to bring back the squire and yokel model of society. Any recommendations about chicken soup for the Black Death?

    As for the 21st century: just delete the establishment of one sect. No established sect, no worry about the Pope muscling in. Actually, the Pope taking over the 'main established church', that's the craziest justification I have ever seen for bishops' bums in the HoL. One would need to be living in the 16th or 17th century to take it seriously.
    Nope. Just look at the USA or Canada where the Anglican Church is not the established church and Christianity is dominated by the Roman Catholic Church on one side and evangelical churches like the Pentecostals and Baptists on the other. The Anglican Church is just a small liberal minority. Australia and New Zealand are moving the same way.

    In Europe the Roman Catholic Church dominates except in a few nations like Norway where the Lutheran church is also still the established church.

    If the Church of England ceases to be the established church then the automatic right of every resident of a Church of England parish to a wedding or funeral there goes with it. Church of England churches would exclude anyone from marrying or being buried in its historic churches unless they were baptised in the Church and regular worshippers there
    They don't get to keep the churches in the divorce settlement.
    They do, they own them all since the Reformation. They are not going back to Rome, the Roman Catholics have their own English churches now (albeit rather newer ones)
    No, the state owns the churches via, at the moment, the C of E. If rCofE wants to keep some (and god knows why it would given its inability to fill them) it can do a management buyout. Otherwise we'll hand some back to the papists and keep the rest for pagan genderqueer life affirmation ceremonies. With ayahuasca.
    The state does not own Church of England churches. They are owned by what is called 'the corporation sole' which is in effect a subsidiary of the Parish Council directed by the incumbent of the parish. But as they do not have title deeds and they are not technically transmissible or saleable, it isn't actually terribly clear what this means in practice.

    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2005/4-november/news/uk/church-ownership-stays-uncertain

    It's one reason why it's a bit of a bugger to work out what to do with a closed church.
    In the case of a rector, I believe the corporation sole is the rector himself. Vicars and parsons is different. But in practice, if we disestablished, the idea that all this ancient fabric paid for by centuries of tithe-extortion belongs to the handful of cultists which is the C of E, is for the birds.
    Oh it very much does belong to the Church via the PCC.

    Any attempt to change that therefore would be theft
    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    ydoethur said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Disestablishment now.


    Rubbish. I have zero problems with people talking: especially if it means it might divert people away from an evil course.
    IIRC alongside Iran and The Vatican we're the only nations to have unelected clergy in our parliament.

    I find that very scary and undemocratic.
    The bishops are less than 5% of the Lords and they also have a higher percentage of Oxbridge degrees than other peers and MPs do.

    Most of them have done parish ministry at some time as well, rooted in the problems of local communities. They are educated and experienced and the type of people we need in the Lords, certainly not more ex politicians and wealthy party donors who increasingly make up the rest of the Lords now
    Even so, it is, erm, eccentric by 21st century standards to have members of only one privileged sect of one religion given automatic seats.

    Bleating about what C of E priests have or have not done doesn't negate the point that other priests, and ministers, Quaker meeting secretaries, imams, etc., also deal with such matters. So the C of E is not specially privileged in that sense.

    Edit: And we need fewer, not more, Oxbridge graduates in Parliament, in both houses.
    No it isn’t. The Bishops have been in the Lords since the Middle Ages. They represent the established church. The moment they are removed the main established church in the UK would revert to the Vatican and the Pope.

    Quakers and Protestant evangelicals are not part of an established church like the Church of England and Roman Catholic Church are. In Iran where Muslims are a majority clerics are also represented in the legislature. No reason we cannot have a few other religious leaders in the Lords as we have Rabbis already but the Bishops must remain there
    Oh, why don't we beign back the humoral theory of illness and villeinage and so on, if doing something in mediaeval times is a reason to do it now? But I forgot, you want to bring back the squire and yokel model of society. Any recommendations about chicken soup for the Black Death?

    As for the 21st century: just delete the establishment of one sect. No established sect, no worry about the Pope muscling in. Actually, the Pope taking over the 'main established church', that's the craziest justification I have ever seen for bishops' bums in the HoL. One would need to be living in the 16th or 17th century to take it seriously.
    Nope. Just look at the USA or Canada where the Anglican Church is not the established church and Christianity is dominated by the Roman Catholic Church on one side and evangelical churches like the Pentecostals and Baptists on the other. The Anglican Church is just a small liberal minority. Australia and New Zealand are moving the same way.

    In Europe the Roman Catholic Church dominates except in a few nations like Norway where the Lutheran church is also still the established church.

    If the Church of England ceases to be the established church then the automatic right of every resident of a Church of England parish to a wedding or funeral there goes with it. Church of England churches would exclude anyone from marrying or being buried in its historic churches unless they were baptised in the Church and regular worshippers there
    They don't get to keep the churches in the divorce settlement.
    They do, they own them all since the Reformation. They are not going back to Rome, the Roman Catholics have their own English churches now (albeit rather newer ones)
    No, the state owns the churches via, at the moment, the C of E. If rCofE wants to keep some (and god knows why it would given its inability to fill them) it can do a management buyout. Otherwise we'll hand some back to the papists and keep the rest for pagan genderqueer life affirmation ceremonies. With ayahuasca.
    The state does not own Church of England churches. They are owned by what is called 'the corporation sole' which is in effect a subsidiary of the Parish Council directed by the incumbent of the parish. But as they do not have title deeds and they are not technically transmissible or saleable, it isn't actually terribly clear what this means in practice.

    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2005/4-november/news/uk/church-ownership-stays-uncertain

    It's one reason why it's a bit of a bugger to work out what to do with a closed church.
    In the case of a rector, I believe the corporation sole is the rector himself. Vicars and parsons is different. But in practice, if we disestablished, the idea that all this ancient fabric paid for by centuries of tithe-extortion belongs to the handful of cultists which is the C of E, is for the birds.
    Oh it very much does belong to the Church via the PCC.

    Any attempt to change that therefore would be theft
    Let’s look back to when the Church of Ireland and the Church of England in Wales were disestablished: in neither case did anything “revert” to the Roman Catholic Church, nor did the state retain any ownership of the churches.
    I did not say the churches reverted back. However in Ireland and Wales the Roman Catholic Church is now bigger than the Church of Ireland or the Church in Wales. So non evangelicals look to the Pope as their main figurehead on earth, not the monarch and not the Archbishop of Canterbury.

    No church in Scotland or Ireland provides an automatic right to every parishioner to a church wedding or funeral either
    You think Irish protestants look to the pope for moral leadership ?

    Well its a view.
    They are Presbyterian evangelicals mainly, not in a Protestant church in the Catholic tradition like the Church of England.

    In Ireland the Roman Catholic Church is now bigger than the Anglican Church of Ireland in both north and south
    The catholic church has always been the biggest church in both north and south. But it is a spent force, it has no moral leadership due to sex scandals, mother and baby homes and corrupt bishops. It is running short of priests as hardly any new ones are being trained. The RoI has caught up the rest of Europe and looks for secular leadership.
    The Pope is still the main religious guide on earth in Ireland, not the monarch as is the case in England.

    If the Queen is the Anglican's "main religious guide on earth" then what is the point of the Archbishop of Canterbury?

    Royal families are an obscene anachronism that should be abolished.
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,482

    Leon said:

    Cicero said:

    Greetings from Tallinn. The weather continues cold, hovering just below freezing and with wet snow forecast. Its warmer in Kyiv, but much wetter. Spring is slowly coming, but it is still bitter out and gloves and hat are a must.

    The atmosphere in the Baltic has changed.

    The local defence league militia is still accepting volunteers and cyber war continues to be waged as Russian hackers battle to inflict as much damage as they can. However, the counter attacks by people like Anon have ripped open targets across Russian cyberspace and whatever defences the Russians once had now seem to be fully compromised. Petabytes of Russian data are being released.

    The Estonian, Latvian and Lithuanian armed forces are now able to put tens of thousands of troops into the field and the steady arrival of troops and equipment from other NATO states now means that the Baltic would be a pretty tough nut for the Russians to crack, particularly if the latest news from Kyiv is anything like accurate.

    A friend of mine who was involved in the fighting north west of Kyiv tells me that the battle was more devastating than any he had ever been involved with, and he has seen his fair share of war. He described the battle as hellish and almost pitied the Russians. This is not a withdrawal, it is a devastating defeat. It is a very moot point as to whether the Russian forces will be able to regroup to press a further attack on the Donbas. Even if they do, the morale and equipment losses amongst the Russian forces will make any recovery a slow and difficult one, We expect the war to continue for some time.

    Meanwhile, although the Baltic now feels reasonably secure, there is cold fury as to the conduct of the Russian army in the field. It has redoubled support for Ukraine, with craftswomen, for example, today making camouflage nets outside the Russian embassy to send to the Ukrainian army. As much kit as can be spared is being sent to Ukraine. Russian speakers have cancelled the May 9th event in Tallinn, and there is shock and horror at the news of the atrocities in Mariupol and Bucha. There are fears that Putinists could create trouble with arriving Ukrainians, especially as the flow is now coming from Russia itself where refugees who escaped to Russia are now crossing into Estonia to try to return to the Ukrainian government side of the lines.

    Obviously there is considerable satisfaction about this defeat, but no sense that the crisis is easing in any way. Of course the Russian regime has now arrested senior figures in the army, FSB and Rasgvardia as Putin seeks to blame everyone but himself. Here in Tallinn the hatred and contempt for Putin is universal. there is deep gratitiude to Ukraine and a painful awarness that had the plan been different that it could have been Tallinn or Riga rather than Mariupol or Kyiv facing this barbarity. There is total determination to defy the tyrant and defend the freedom and independence of Estonia and Europe.

    There were many who last week criticised Biden for calling Putin a war criminal. I wonder how many of them would still hold to that criticism now they have seen what the Russians have been doing in Ukraine?
    Unfortunately Biden did make several other huge gaffes which imply he should just not speak ever, and delegate his entire job to younger underlings, and retire in 2024
    You are probably right in that but this was not one of them in spite of all the criticism directed against him.
    It has been widely reported as a gaffe. But maybe it wasn't? Maybe Biden knows what he is doing. Keep Vlad guessing.

    It is a bit ironic for the GOP, as one example, to say it was a gaffe, when Trump would say whatever came into his head every five minutes for the four years he was in WH.
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,154

    HYUFD said:

    BigRich said:

    First results appearing:

    https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2022/orszagos-listak?tab=parties

    16% counted I think

    Have seen 8-point leads for Opp in Budapest and some 30-40 point leads for Fidesz in more rural areas.

    This feels like a comfortable win for Orban to me, possibly bigger.

    :(

    so they are releasing the numbers in increments?
    Yes they are showing results as they emerge so that at least is good, FPTP counted first then list. Fidesz killing it on the FPTP results so far, some leads up to 40pts, only single digit leads for Opp in Budapest.

    Just seen seat proj with Fidesz at 133, 89-17 on FPTP, only 2 Opp FPTP seats outside Budapest projected.

    So Orban is borderline 2/3 majority.

    23% counted, TV projections look at variance with official site fwiw.

    Opposition leader Marki-Zay trails by 13 pts in his FPTP seat.
    Looks like a landslide re election for Orban. Won't please Brussels
    133 needed for 2/3 supermajority, Fidesz won 133 in 2014, 133 in 2018, current projection is 133 in 2022.
    Most boring election in the world?
    No - just the most boring "count".....
  • Options
    AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 20,183
    edited April 2022
    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    As it turns out shitting on your own country as a plague island all over the international media has consequences, inbound travel to the UK is still down about 40% on pre-pandemic levels while outbound is back to normal.

    All of those liberal idiots who continue to wage war on this nation because they can't live with Brexit are responsible for this. They hate the nation they live in and will be quietly pleased that the UK's tourism industry is suffering, we probably deserved it for voting to leave.

    You may not have noticed but

    a) Covid is rampant, and

    b) Brexit is not boosting the economy, and

    c) This govt is not overrun with Liberals.

    Covid is not the govts fault, but the poor management of it is. Brexit is wholly the govts fault.
    MaxPB is one of the less loony Brexity posters on here, but he shows by this post that he still wants to blame the fact that Brexit really was a waste of time on those who told him it was, well, a waste of time. You have to see the funny side of it really. Brexit, the most pointless waste of time since The Grand Old Duke of York
    Nah, there was a revelry in the "plague island" narrative from certain people in the UK (not including you) and the idiots in our media and international media signal boosted them and now it's hurt our tourism industry.

    I work with a lot of Europeans, the stories from Europe are all the same - people don't want to come here because they think COVID is still happening and that life in the UK is still really bad with restrictions and everything being closed. They see the stupid ONS reporting with stuff like "5m infections in England" which is dutifully retwatted all over the internet by the same "plague island" arseholes without any context and stay away.

    Yet if I took a random sample of swabs in France we'd probably see the same 1/10-1/15 rate of COVID across the country. They just don't bother testing for it.
    That’s probably a fair point, about the ONS survey. There are two worlds: one the world on the internet where everything is either doom and gloom now or doom and gloom tomorrow. Then there is the real world, where people have binned the masks, are going out, having fun, and getting on with their lives.

    The problem comes when World 1 bleeds into World 2: “people are riddled with it around here; I’ll see you at the weekend provided I don’t catch it!”
  • Options
    SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 15,690
    So "true" significance of another rigged Orban victory in Hungary, is that'll piss off EU? Really?
  • Options
    MattWMattW Posts: 18,819

    Cyclefree said:

    kinabalu said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Anyway, I am back up North tomorrow am. I have been a city girl most of my life - Naples, London, Bristol, Paris - with childhood holidays in very rural Ireland. I love cities.

    And, yet, I feel trapped in London in a way I have never done before. I look out of the window and see buildings. Even though on the top floor I can see across London to the Surrey hills the view is still of buildings. And my soul dies a little. Everywhere I look out of my home up North I see sea and sky and mountains and valleys so sumptuous in their colours it makes my heart fit to burst. And the bird song. Plus the moon at night and stars, lots of them. I really miss it. I cannot wait to get back.

    I never thought I would feel this way. Can people change quite so much? Or maybe I have secretly always been a solitary misanthrope?

    There is something about the natural world which my mind, my soul needs, I think, to feel whole. No other way to explain it.

    Plus - mad as it is - I love driving by myself. Nothing better than to have the music on very loud - and have some really strong music on to get the blood racing. Just f***ing awesome.

    Still in May I shall be speaking at a big conference in London. If you're very good I may tell you about it and you can come and enthusiastically applaud. 😀

    What about the Heath and Regents Park? Doesn't that work for you when you're here in NL?
    The Heath does - for a walk. But it's the sense of enclosure which is what is different. I have horizons there. I have always loved being near the sea. In Naples - which is urban to the nth degree - it was a 5 minute walk down to the sea. If I had to end my life I would go into the sea, not bloody Dignitas.

    And you can stare at the sea for hours. It is never ever boring.
    I've done *alot* of walking around this country. And whilst I know what you mean, scenery becomes a little boring after a while. The great thing about London is the sheer variety, both in views and the people. This can be seen in (say) a seven-mile walk along the Regents Canal from Mile End to Paddington, seven miles along the Thames Path, or seven miles south from Greenwich.

    If you want boring, try walking around Loch Long. Three days just to end up a couple of kilometres from where you began ...
    My favourite walks in London have perhaps been along the routes of subterranean rivers, with a commentary relating it to the city development.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,208
    PaulD said:

    PaulD said:

    Stand by for some grotesque lying:

    @KevinRothrock
    Moscow is demanding an emergency session of the UN Security Council tomorrow to discuss “Ukrainian radicals’ provocation” in Bucha (the town outside Kyiv where Russian troops slaughtered hundreds of civilians but deny it).


    https://twitter.com/KevinRothrock/status/1510698438102597641

    Well I suppose there are 2 sides to every story...let them say their piece even if its rubbish
    Hmm, I see you think it's very important to have a "ceasefire now by any means possible and end this war" and a "negotiated settlement which gives Putin a win he can sell to the Russians".

    You've got a tough gig, but you need to be more subtle...
    The slaughter of innocents in Ukraine is horrifying...we can't just stand by and let it happen...the Russians are going to torture brutally and kill many people trust me
    So you'd be in favour of sending heavy weapons so that the Ukrainians can drive them out?
  • Options
    AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 20,183
    edited April 2022

    So "true" significance of another rigged Orban victory in Hungary, is that'll piss off EU? Really?

    Ha! Quite. And it’s hardly unexpected. Wasn’t Orban widely expected to ‘win’?
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,965
    .

    Cicero - The importance of Kadyrov just sums up the utter incoherence of Putin's Russia. He wants a European, Christian 'true' Russia where nonetheless he relies on a Muslim warload and troops to go and kill slavs on his behalf. I think it is undisputed that a disproportionate number of the Russian frontline forces are from the remoter parts of the country and probably disproportionately Islamic.

    I wonder just how much of a gung ho hero Kadyrov really is though. That video of him praying was shot inside Russia. If he steps one milimetre inside Ukraine I hope someone will be there to take him out.

    Putin doesn't give a damn about a 'Christian true Russia' beyond its propaganda value.

    And Kadyrov being a Muslim is irrelevant next to his value as a brutal warlord. Russia has copied the Chechnya model in occupied Donbas - all employment is by state enterprises or the militia, and dissidence is punishable by death.
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,487
    edited April 2022

    So "true" significance of another rigged Orban victory in Hungary, is that'll piss off EU? Really?

    Serious question, from a Remain voter:

    Doesn't everything piss off the EU? Due process, elections, referendums, bendy bananas, different weights and measures, vaccine contracts, prawn cocktail crisps...

    It's always been quite a negative organisation from that point of view. Lofty ideals mixing with silly nit picking.

    That said, it will piss off the EU and on this occasion with good reason because Orban's a twat.
  • Options
    PaulDPaulD Posts: 51
    ydoethur said:

    PaulD said:

    glw said:

    PaulD said:

    Interestingly Hitchens in the most today says the USA is using the Ukraine war as a proxy war to drive Russia back to the stone age....

    Good.
    Maybe good for the USA but not good for the people of Ukraine as the Russians kill and torture their men and lay waste to much of the country...
    So the correct strategy is for Putin to withdraw, as that lets the Ukrainians off and deprives the Yanks of a major strategic victory.

    Or, indeed, he could just not have invaded in the first place and therefore not handed the US their greatest strategic advance since the fall of the Berlin Wall on a plate all by his little fat self.
    Realpolitik my friend...Putin can't withdraw it will be the end of him thus we have to look towards a ceasefire....give Putin a small win he can sell...then strangle the Russian economy with sanctions
  • Options
    solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,623

    HYUFD said:

    BigRich said:

    First results appearing:

    https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2022/orszagos-listak?tab=parties

    16% counted I think

    Have seen 8-point leads for Opp in Budapest and some 30-40 point leads for Fidesz in more rural areas.

    This feels like a comfortable win for Orban to me, possibly bigger.

    :(

    so they are releasing the numbers in increments?
    Yes they are showing results as they emerge so that at least is good, FPTP counted first then list. Fidesz killing it on the FPTP results so far, some leads up to 40pts, only single digit leads for Opp in Budapest.

    Just seen seat proj with Fidesz at 133, 89-17 on FPTP, only 2 Opp FPTP seats outside Budapest projected.

    So Orban is borderline 2/3 majority.

    23% counted, TV projections look at variance with official site fwiw.

    Opposition leader Marki-Zay trails by 13 pts in his FPTP seat.
    Looks like a landslide re election for Orban. Won't please Brussels
    133 needed for 2/3 supermajority, Fidesz won 133 in 2014, 133 in 2018, current projection is 133 in 2022.
    Most boring election in the world?
    Doesn't sound too bad for betting purposes though!
  • Options
    PaulDPaulD Posts: 51

    PaulD said:

    PaulD said:

    Stand by for some grotesque lying:

    @KevinRothrock
    Moscow is demanding an emergency session of the UN Security Council tomorrow to discuss “Ukrainian radicals’ provocation” in Bucha (the town outside Kyiv where Russian troops slaughtered hundreds of civilians but deny it).


    https://twitter.com/KevinRothrock/status/1510698438102597641

    Well I suppose there are 2 sides to every story...let them say their piece even if its rubbish
    Hmm, I see you think it's very important to have a "ceasefire now by any means possible and end this war" and a "negotiated settlement which gives Putin a win he can sell to the Russians".

    You've got a tough gig, but you need to be more subtle...
    The slaughter of innocents in Ukraine is horrifying...we can't just stand by and let it happen...the Russians are going to torture brutally and kill many people trust me
    So you'd be in favour of sending heavy weapons so that the Ukrainians can drive them out?
    I would be if that would end the war...but all I think would happen then is Putin gets more aggressive and we could see hundreds of thousands of Ukrainian lives lost
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,205
    Charles Moore documentary on the relationship between Reagan and Thatcher at 9pm on BBC2
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,965
    ydoethur said:

    PaulD said:

    Stand by for some grotesque lying:

    @KevinRothrock
    Moscow is demanding an emergency session of the UN Security Council tomorrow to discuss “Ukrainian radicals’ provocation” in Bucha (the town outside Kyiv where Russian troops slaughtered hundreds of civilians but deny it).


    https://twitter.com/KevinRothrock/status/1510698438102597641

    Well I suppose there are 2 sides to every story...let them say their piece even if its rubbish
    It can't be anything but rubbish. Even if every Ukrainian in Bucha had shouted 'your brains are even smaller than your dicks' at the Russians while spraying them with polonium pellets, anything the Russians did in response would still only be a further war crime because they were committing a war crime by being there to start with.

    Whatever they try to claim, there is no 'two sides' to this one. I only hope somebody makes that point to the Russian Ambassador in language so blunt even Lavrov can't weasel his way out of it.
    “The worst was in the basement of the dacha.

    ‘We found 18 bodies in there,’ he said. ‘They had been torturing people. Some of them had their ears cut off. Others had teeth pulled out. There were kids like 14, 16 years old, some adults.’”

    https://mobile.twitter.com/NatashaBertrand/status/1510587311226032133
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,487
    PaulD said:

    ydoethur said:

    PaulD said:

    glw said:

    PaulD said:

    Interestingly Hitchens in the most today says the USA is using the Ukraine war as a proxy war to drive Russia back to the stone age....

    Good.
    Maybe good for the USA but not good for the people of Ukraine as the Russians kill and torture their men and lay waste to much of the country...
    So the correct strategy is for Putin to withdraw, as that lets the Ukrainians off and deprives the Yanks of a major strategic victory.

    Or, indeed, he could just not have invaded in the first place and therefore not handed the US their greatest strategic advance since the fall of the Berlin Wall on a plate all by his little fat self.
    Realpolitik my friend...Putin can't withdraw it will be the end of him thus we have to look towards a ceasefire....give Putin a small win he can sell...then strangle the Russian economy with sanctions
    So what you're saying is a withdrawal is a win/win/win? Deprives Ukraine of a bunch of Nazi occupiers, America of a strategic victory and the world of Vladimir Vladimirovich? Hopefully along with Bortnikov, Medvedev, Lavrov and Shoigu.

    I mean, that's an exquisite scenario. What's not to like?

    Putin must withdraw now!
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,205
    PaulD said:

    PaulD said:

    Stand by for some grotesque lying:

    @KevinRothrock
    Moscow is demanding an emergency session of the UN Security Council tomorrow to discuss “Ukrainian radicals’ provocation” in Bucha (the town outside Kyiv where Russian troops slaughtered hundreds of civilians but deny it).


    https://twitter.com/KevinRothrock/status/1510698438102597641

    Well I suppose there are 2 sides to every story...let them say their piece even if its rubbish
    Hmm, I see you think it's very important to have a "ceasefire now by any means possible and end this war" and a "negotiated settlement which gives Putin a win he can sell to the Russians".

    You've got a tough gig, but you need to be more subtle...
    The slaughter of innocents in Ukraine is horrifying...we can't just stand by and let it happen...the Russians are going to torture brutally and kill many people trust me
    The alternative is that or WW3 unfortunately.

    Unless a NATO nation is invaded or NATO forces attacked we are not getting directly involved militarily
  • Options
    PaulDPaulD Posts: 51
    ydoethur said:

    PaulD said:

    ydoethur said:

    PaulD said:

    glw said:

    PaulD said:

    Interestingly Hitchens in the most today says the USA is using the Ukraine war as a proxy war to drive Russia back to the stone age....

    Good.
    Maybe good for the USA but not good for the people of Ukraine as the Russians kill and torture their men and lay waste to much of the country...
    So the correct strategy is for Putin to withdraw, as that lets the Ukrainians off and deprives the Yanks of a major strategic victory.

    Or, indeed, he could just not have invaded in the first place and therefore not handed the US their greatest strategic advance since the fall of the Berlin Wall on a plate all by his little fat self.
    Realpolitik my friend...Putin can't withdraw it will be the end of him thus we have to look towards a ceasefire....give Putin a small win he can sell...then strangle the Russian economy with sanctions
    So what you're saying is a withdrawal is a win/win/win? Deprives Ukraine of a bunch of Nazi occupiers, America of a strategic victory and the world of Vladimir Vladimirovich? Hopefully along with Bortnikov, Medvedev, Lavrov and Shoigu.

    I mean, that's an exquisite scenario. What's not to like?

    Putin must withdraw now!
    Well why don't you tell him that...I'm sure he would oblige...unfortunately the real world doesn't work like that...
  • Options
    BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,489

    Stand by for some grotesque lying:

    @KevinRothrock
    Moscow is demanding an emergency session of the UN Security Council tomorrow to discuss “Ukrainian radicals’ provocation” in Bucha (the town outside Kyiv where Russian troops slaughtered hundreds of civilians but deny it).


    https://twitter.com/KevinRothrock/status/1510698438102597641

    The UN need to move to a position where no one nation can veto a peace-keeping force.
    I like the idea but Putin has enough allies, to stop even if 15 could not stop a peacekeeping force, Putin got 16 votes in last assembly, and many more abstaining.

    incidentally, I hope we stop giving any 'aid' to nations that voted with Putin in the UK last time, maybe the abstainers as well.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,302
    edited April 2022
    The quality of the russian trolls are about as good as their tanks. Even a Leon powered by Nyetimber Rose and a flint dildo can take them down with ease.
  • Options
    IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Leon said:

    Cicero said:

    Greetings from Tallinn. The weather continues cold, hovering just below freezing and with wet snow forecast. Its warmer in Kyiv, but much wetter. Spring is slowly coming, but it is still bitter out and gloves and hat are a must.

    The atmosphere in the Baltic has changed.

    The local defence league militia is still accepting volunteers and cyber war continues to be waged as Russian hackers battle to inflict as much damage as they can. However, the counter attacks by people like Anon have ripped open targets across Russian cyberspace and whatever defences the Russians once had now seem to be fully compromised. Petabytes of Russian data are being released.

    The Estonian, Latvian and Lithuanian armed forces are now able to put tens of thousands of troops into the field and the steady arrival of troops and equipment from other NATO states now means that the Baltic would be a pretty tough nut for the Russians to crack, particularly if the latest news from Kyiv is anything like accurate.

    A friend of mine who was involved in the fighting north west of Kyiv tells me that the battle was more devastating than any he had ever been involved with, and he has seen his fair share of war. He described the battle as hellish and almost pitied the Russians. This is not a withdrawal, it is a devastating defeat. It is a very moot point as to whether the Russian forces will be able to regroup to press a further attack on the Donbas. Even if they do, the morale and equipment losses amongst the Russian forces will make any recovery a slow and difficult one, We expect the war to continue for some time.

    Meanwhile, although the Baltic now feels reasonably secure, there is cold fury as to the conduct of the Russian army in the field. It has redoubled support for Ukraine, with craftswomen, for example, today making camouflage nets outside the Russian embassy to send to the Ukrainian army. As much kit as can be spared is being sent to Ukraine. Russian speakers have cancelled the May 9th event in Tallinn, and there is shock and horror at the news of the atrocities in Mariupol and Bucha. There are fears that Putinists could create trouble with arriving Ukrainians, especially as the flow is now coming from Russia itself where refugees who escaped to Russia are now crossing into Estonia to try to return to the Ukrainian government side of the lines.

    Obviously there is considerable satisfaction about this defeat, but no sense that the crisis is easing in any way. Of course the Russian regime has now arrested senior figures in the army, FSB and Rasgvardia as Putin seeks to blame everyone but himself. Here in Tallinn the hatred and contempt for Putin is universal. there is deep gratitiude to Ukraine and a painful awarness that had the plan been different that it could have been Tallinn or Riga rather than Mariupol or Kyiv facing this barbarity. There is total determination to defy the tyrant and defend the freedom and independence of Estonia and Europe.

    There were many who last week criticised Biden for calling Putin a war criminal. I wonder how many of them would still hold to that criticism now they have seen what the Russians have been doing in Ukraine?
    Unfortunately Biden did make several other huge gaffes which imply he should just not speak ever, and delegate his entire job to younger underlings, and retire in 2024
    You really think that Biden calling Putin a war criminal was a gaffe? Really?

    Personally think he means it AND wants Putin & Co to know it.

    With any clucking to the contrary from Foggy Bottom, etc in DC just for semi-plausible deniability.

    You need to rethink (again) the whole Joe Biden = demented vegetable theme. Which you seem as fond of, as HYUFD is of his caesaro-papist junk theology.
    Just by his age he has a 5% chance of being demented, rising to 10% in 5 years time

    This puts it up at 100%. Can't tell Syria from Libya.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gsIxP-c83ok&ab_channel=SkyNewsAustralia
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,205
    Nigelb said:

    .

    Cicero - The importance of Kadyrov just sums up the utter incoherence of Putin's Russia. He wants a European, Christian 'true' Russia where nonetheless he relies on a Muslim warload and troops to go and kill slavs on his behalf. I think it is undisputed that a disproportionate number of the Russian frontline forces are from the remoter parts of the country and probably disproportionately Islamic.

    I wonder just how much of a gung ho hero Kadyrov really is though. That video of him praying was shot inside Russia. If he steps one milimetre inside Ukraine I hope someone will be there to take him out.

    Putin doesn't give a damn about a 'Christian true Russia' beyond its propaganda value.

    And Kadyrov being a Muslim is irrelevant next to his value as a brutal warlord. Russia has copied the Chechnya model in occupied Donbas - all employment is by state enterprises or the militia, and dissidence is punishable by death.
    Part of the reason Putin invaded Ukraine though is Ukraine is overwhelmingly white, as is most of Eastern Europe.

    While Russia is increasingly seeing low birth rates but high immigration from central Asia
  • Options
    PaulDPaulD Posts: 51
    We must not let our hatred of Putin blind us to what can realistically be done about him
    And remember in the meantime the Ukrainians are suffering beyond our comprehension
  • Options
    FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 3,936
    PaulD said:

    ydoethur said:

    PaulD said:

    glw said:

    PaulD said:

    Interestingly Hitchens in the most today says the USA is using the Ukraine war as a proxy war to drive Russia back to the stone age....

    Good.
    Maybe good for the USA but not good for the people of Ukraine as the Russians kill and torture their men and lay waste to much of the country...
    So the correct strategy is for Putin to withdraw, as that lets the Ukrainians off and deprives the Yanks of a major strategic victory.

    Or, indeed, he could just not have invaded in the first place and therefore not handed the US their greatest strategic advance since the fall of the Berlin Wall on a plate all by his little fat self.
    Realpolitik my friend...Putin can't withdraw it will be the end of him thus we have to look towards a ceasefire....give Putin a small win he can sell...then strangle the Russian economy with sanctions
    Perhaps he could take his army out of Ukraine and avoid having it all blown up. That's the most win he seems likely to get.

    Now it looks like Ukraine are holding, there's no way that they aren't going to continue getting 'presents' from the West. What are all those stockpiled missiles for if not taking out the Russian army? Why bother waiting to use it yourself when someone else seems to have a very good idea what to do with it?
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,205

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rpjs said:

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    ydoethur said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Disestablishment now.


    Rubbish. I have zero problems with people talking: especially if it means it might divert people away from an evil course.
    IIRC alongside Iran and The Vatican we're the only nations to have unelected clergy in our parliament.

    I find that very scary and undemocratic.
    The bishops are less than 5% of the Lords and they also have a higher percentage of Oxbridge degrees than other peers and MPs do.

    Most of them have done parish ministry at some time as well, rooted in the problems of local communities. They are educated and experienced and the type of people we need in the Lords, certainly not more ex politicians and wealthy party donors who increasingly make up the rest of the Lords now
    Even so, it is, erm, eccentric by 21st century standards to have members of only one privileged sect of one religion given automatic seats.

    Bleating about what C of E priests have or have not done doesn't negate the point that other priests, and ministers, Quaker meeting secretaries, imams, etc., also deal with such matters. So the C of E is not specially privileged in that sense.

    Edit: And we need fewer, not more, Oxbridge graduates in Parliament, in both houses.
    No it isn’t. The Bishops have been in the Lords since the Middle Ages. They represent the established church. The moment they are removed the main established church in the UK would revert to the Vatican and the Pope.

    Quakers and Protestant evangelicals are not part of an established church like the Church of England and Roman Catholic Church are. In Iran where Muslims are a majority clerics are also represented in the legislature. No reason we cannot have a few other religious leaders in the Lords as we have Rabbis already but the Bishops must remain there
    Oh, why don't we beign back the humoral theory of illness and villeinage and so on, if doing something in mediaeval times is a reason to do it now? But I forgot, you want to bring back the squire and yokel model of society. Any recommendations about chicken soup for the Black Death?

    As for the 21st century: just delete the establishment of one sect. No established sect, no worry about the Pope muscling in. Actually, the Pope taking over the 'main established church', that's the craziest justification I have ever seen for bishops' bums in the HoL. One would need to be living in the 16th or 17th century to take it seriously.
    Nope. Just look at the USA or Canada where the Anglican Church is not the established church and Christianity is dominated by the Roman Catholic Church on one side and evangelical churches like the Pentecostals and Baptists on the other. The Anglican Church is just a small liberal minority. Australia and New Zealand are moving the same way.

    In Europe the Roman Catholic Church dominates except in a few nations like Norway where the Lutheran church is also still the established church.

    If the Church of England ceases to be the established church then the automatic right of every resident of a Church of England parish to a wedding or funeral there goes with it. Church of England churches would exclude anyone from marrying or being buried in its historic churches unless they were baptised in the Church and regular worshippers there
    They don't get to keep the churches in the divorce settlement.
    They do, they own them all since the Reformation. They are not going back to Rome, the Roman Catholics have their own English churches now (albeit rather newer ones)
    No, the state owns the churches via, at the moment, the C of E. If rCofE wants to keep some (and god knows why it would given its inability to fill them) it can do a management buyout. Otherwise we'll hand some back to the papists and keep the rest for pagan genderqueer life affirmation ceremonies. With ayahuasca.
    The state does not own Church of England churches. They are owned by what is called 'the corporation sole' which is in effect a subsidiary of the Parish Council directed by the incumbent of the parish. But as they do not have title deeds and they are not technically transmissible or saleable, it isn't actually terribly clear what this means in practice.

    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2005/4-november/news/uk/church-ownership-stays-uncertain

    It's one reason why it's a bit of a bugger to work out what to do with a closed church.
    In the case of a rector, I believe the corporation sole is the rector himself. Vicars and parsons is different. But in practice, if we disestablished, the idea that all this ancient fabric paid for by centuries of tithe-extortion belongs to the handful of cultists which is the C of E, is for the birds.
    Oh it very much does belong to the Church via the PCC.

    Any attempt to change that therefore would be theft
    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    ydoethur said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Disestablishment now.


    Rubbish. I have zero problems with people talking: especially if it means it might divert people away from an evil course.
    IIRC alongside Iran and The Vatican we're the only nations to have unelected clergy in our parliament.

    I find that very scary and undemocratic.
    The bishops are less than 5% of the Lords and they also have a higher percentage of Oxbridge degrees than other peers and MPs do.

    Most of them have done parish ministry at some time as well, rooted in the problems of local communities. They are educated and experienced and the type of people we need in the Lords, certainly not more ex politicians and wealthy party donors who increasingly make up the rest of the Lords now
    Even so, it is, erm, eccentric by 21st century standards to have members of only one privileged sect of one religion given automatic seats.

    Bleating about what C of E priests have or have not done doesn't negate the point that other priests, and ministers, Quaker meeting secretaries, imams, etc., also deal with such matters. So the C of E is not specially privileged in that sense.

    Edit: And we need fewer, not more, Oxbridge graduates in Parliament, in both houses.
    No it isn’t. The Bishops have been in the Lords since the Middle Ages. They represent the established church. The moment they are removed the main established church in the UK would revert to the Vatican and the Pope.

    Quakers and Protestant evangelicals are not part of an established church like the Church of England and Roman Catholic Church are. In Iran where Muslims are a majority clerics are also represented in the legislature. No reason we cannot have a few other religious leaders in the Lords as we have Rabbis already but the Bishops must remain there
    Oh, why don't we beign back the humoral theory of illness and villeinage and so on, if doing something in mediaeval times is a reason to do it now? But I forgot, you want to bring back the squire and yokel model of society. Any recommendations about chicken soup for the Black Death?

    As for the 21st century: just delete the establishment of one sect. No established sect, no worry about the Pope muscling in. Actually, the Pope taking over the 'main established church', that's the craziest justification I have ever seen for bishops' bums in the HoL. One would need to be living in the 16th or 17th century to take it seriously.
    Nope. Just look at the USA or Canada where the Anglican Church is not the established church and Christianity is dominated by the Roman Catholic Church on one side and evangelical churches like the Pentecostals and Baptists on the other. The Anglican Church is just a small liberal minority. Australia and New Zealand are moving the same way.

    In Europe the Roman Catholic Church dominates except in a few nations like Norway where the Lutheran church is also still the established church.

    If the Church of England ceases to be the established church then the automatic right of every resident of a Church of England parish to a wedding or funeral there goes with it. Church of England churches would exclude anyone from marrying or being buried in its historic churches unless they were baptised in the Church and regular worshippers there
    They don't get to keep the churches in the divorce settlement.
    They do, they own them all since the Reformation. They are not going back to Rome, the Roman Catholics have their own English churches now (albeit rather newer ones)
    No, the state owns the churches via, at the moment, the C of E. If rCofE wants to keep some (and god knows why it would given its inability to fill them) it can do a management buyout. Otherwise we'll hand some back to the papists and keep the rest for pagan genderqueer life affirmation ceremonies. With ayahuasca.
    The state does not own Church of England churches. They are owned by what is called 'the corporation sole' which is in effect a subsidiary of the Parish Council directed by the incumbent of the parish. But as they do not have title deeds and they are not technically transmissible or saleable, it isn't actually terribly clear what this means in practice.

    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2005/4-november/news/uk/church-ownership-stays-uncertain

    It's one reason why it's a bit of a bugger to work out what to do with a closed church.
    In the case of a rector, I believe the corporation sole is the rector himself. Vicars and parsons is different. But in practice, if we disestablished, the idea that all this ancient fabric paid for by centuries of tithe-extortion belongs to the handful of cultists which is the C of E, is for the birds.
    Oh it very much does belong to the Church via the PCC.

    Any attempt to change that therefore would be theft
    Let’s look back to when the Church of Ireland and the Church of England in Wales were disestablished: in neither case did anything “revert” to the Roman Catholic Church, nor did the state retain any ownership of the churches.
    I did not say the churches reverted back. However in Ireland and Wales the Roman Catholic Church is now bigger than the Church of Ireland or the Church in Wales. So non evangelicals look to the Pope as their main figurehead on earth, not the monarch and not the Archbishop of Canterbury.

    No church in Scotland or Ireland provides an automatic right to every parishioner to a church wedding or funeral either
    You think Irish protestants look to the pope for moral leadership ?

    Well its a view.
    They are Presbyterian evangelicals mainly, not in a Protestant church in the Catholic tradition like the Church of England.

    In Ireland the Roman Catholic Church is now bigger than the Anglican Church of Ireland in both north and south
    The catholic church has always been the biggest church in both north and south. But it is a spent force, it has no moral leadership due to sex scandals, mother and baby homes and corrupt bishops. It is running short of priests as hardly any new ones are being trained. The RoI has caught up the rest of Europe and looks for secular leadership.
    The Pope is still the main religious guide on earth in Ireland, not the monarch as is the case in England.

    If the Queen is the Anglican's "main religious guide on earth" then what is the point of the Archbishop of Canterbury?

    Royal families are an obscene anachronism that should be abolished.
    The Queen is the Supreme Governor of the Church of England, the Archbishop of Canterbury the symbolic head of the global Anglican Communion and leader of the Church of England. However the Monarch effectively heads the Church of England as they have done since the Reformation.

    Constitutional monarchies are of course amongst the most prosperous and free nations on earth, as we are too
  • Options
    glwglw Posts: 9,556
    edited April 2022

    The quality of the russian trolls are about as good as their tanks. Even a Leon powered by Nyetimber Rose and a flint dildo can take them down with ease.

    I did notice an article that the Americans are apparently reassessing the Russian military given their performance in Ukraine. I should imagine it will be quite short and sweet. e.g. Russia = crap.
  • Options
    FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 9,064
    Here is an interesting extract from the mistakenly published victory article.

    https://twitter.com/Tom_deWaal/status/1498310064117059585

    Makes a distinction between France and Germany on the one hand and the anglo saxons on the other who wish to assert western hegemony over everyone.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,208
    PaulD said:

    We must not let our hatred of Putin blind us to what can realistically be done about him
    And remember in the meantime the Ukrainians are suffering beyond our comprehension

    We can realistically give Ukraine the weapons they are asking for. I know you think it would be fair for Putin to get some kind of consolation prize for his failed invasion, but the real world doesn't work like that.
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,487
    edited April 2022
    PaulD said:

    ydoethur said:

    PaulD said:

    ydoethur said:

    PaulD said:

    glw said:

    PaulD said:

    Interestingly Hitchens in the most today says the USA is using the Ukraine war as a proxy war to drive Russia back to the stone age....

    Good.
    Maybe good for the USA but not good for the people of Ukraine as the Russians kill and torture their men and lay waste to much of the country...
    So the correct strategy is for Putin to withdraw, as that lets the Ukrainians off and deprives the Yanks of a major strategic victory.

    Or, indeed, he could just not have invaded in the first place and therefore not handed the US their greatest strategic advance since the fall of the Berlin Wall on a plate all by his little fat self.
    Realpolitik my friend...Putin can't withdraw it will be the end of him thus we have to look towards a ceasefire....give Putin a small win he can sell...then strangle the Russian economy with sanctions
    So what you're saying is a withdrawal is a win/win/win? Deprives Ukraine of a bunch of Nazi occupiers, America of a strategic victory and the world of Vladimir Vladimirovich? Hopefully along with Bortnikov, Medvedev, Lavrov and Shoigu.

    I mean, that's an exquisite scenario. What's not to like?

    Putin must withdraw now!
    Well why don't you tell him that...I'm sure he would oblige...unfortunately the real world doesn't work like that...
    Hey, you're the one who's saying that, not me. I'm just pointing out the logic of your remarks.

    To answer your other point, has it occurred to you that more Ukrainians might suffer unimaginable horrors for longer under Russian occupation than even they are suffering now? Which they know, and is why they keep fighting.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,302
    edited April 2022
    Waves to Moscow....do you have a special training manual to explain to newbies the role of pineapple pizzas, radiohead live, die hard movies, english sparkling wine and flint dildos?
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,487

    Waves to Moscow....do you have a special training manual to explain to newbies the role of pineapple pizzas, radiohead live, die hard movies, english sparkling wine and flint dildos?

    Training for the last is easy, you just take a knap.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,302
    glw said:

    The quality of the russian trolls are about as good as their tanks. Even a Leon powered by Nyetimber Rose and a flint dildo can take them down with ease.

    I did notice an article that the Americans are apparently reassessing the Russian military given their performance in Ukraine. I should imagine it will be quite short and sweet. e.g. Russia = crap.
    GCHQ investigation is codenamed Radiohead Live.
  • Options
    solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,623

    Waves to Moscow....do you have a special training manual to explain to newbies the role of pineapple pizzas, radiohead live, die hard movies, english sparkling wine and flint dildos?

    They do, but the translation was off and it came out as flint pizzas and pineapple dildos.
  • Options
    PaulDPaulD Posts: 51

    PaulD said:

    ydoethur said:

    PaulD said:

    glw said:

    PaulD said:

    Interestingly Hitchens in the most today says the USA is using the Ukraine war as a proxy war to drive Russia back to the stone age....

    Good.
    Maybe good for the USA but not good for the people of Ukraine as the Russians kill and torture their men and lay waste to much of the country...
    So the correct strategy is for Putin to withdraw, as that lets the Ukrainians off and deprives the Yanks of a major strategic victory.

    Or, indeed, he could just not have invaded in the first place and therefore not handed the US their greatest strategic advance since the fall of the Berlin Wall on a plate all by his little fat self.
    Realpolitik my friend...Putin can't withdraw it will be the end of him thus we have to look towards a ceasefire....give Putin a small win he can sell...then strangle the Russian economy with sanctions
    Perhaps he could take his army out of Ukraine and avoid having it all blown up. That's the most win he seems likely to get.

    Now it looks like Ukraine are holding, there's no way that they aren't going to continue getting 'presents' from the West. What are all those stockpiled missiles for if not taking out the Russian army? Why bother waiting to use it yourself when someone else seems to have a very good idea what to do with it?
    Unfortunately that means the torture and rape of countless Ukrainian innocents....a heavy price to pay...the Russians will only get more brutal
  • Options
    IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    PaulD said:

    PaulD said:

    Stand by for some grotesque lying:

    @KevinRothrock
    Moscow is demanding an emergency session of the UN Security Council tomorrow to discuss “Ukrainian radicals’ provocation” in Bucha (the town outside Kyiv where Russian troops slaughtered hundreds of civilians but deny it).


    https://twitter.com/KevinRothrock/status/1510698438102597641

    Well I suppose there are 2 sides to every story...let them say their piece even if its rubbish
    Hmm, I see you think it's very important to have a "ceasefire now by any means possible and end this war" and a "negotiated settlement which gives Putin a win he can sell to the Russians".

    You've got a tough gig, but you need to be more subtle...
    The slaughter of innocents in Ukraine is horrifying...we can't just stand by and let it happen...the Russians are going to torture brutally and kill many people trust me
    Why "trust me" as if you had privileged insight? Personally I think posters like you are just wankers and by no means in the pay of Moscow. But a little part of me thinks: you are Fiedler, so who is Mundt?
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,205

    Here is an interesting extract from the mistakenly published victory article.

    https://twitter.com/Tom_deWaal/status/1498310064117059585

    Makes a distinction between France and Germany on the one hand and the anglo saxons on the other who wish to assert western hegemony over everyone.

    Plus '“China and India, Latin America and Africa, the Islamic world and Southeast Asia - no one believes that the West leads the world order, much less sets the rules of the game. Russia has not only thrown down a challenge to the West,... "..it's shown the era of Western global domination can be considered fully and definitively over. The new world will be built by all civilizations and centres of power, naturally, together with the West (united or not) -but not on its terms and not according to its rules.”
    https://twitter.com/Tom_deWaal/status/1498310091698802699?s=20&t=V-_MzMrzdFWH7BcYidkbFw
    https://twitter.com/Tom_deWaal/status/1498310093863104512?s=20&t=V-_MzMrzdFWH7BcYidkbFw
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,487
    IshmaelZ said:

    PaulD said:

    PaulD said:

    Stand by for some grotesque lying:

    @KevinRothrock
    Moscow is demanding an emergency session of the UN Security Council tomorrow to discuss “Ukrainian radicals’ provocation” in Bucha (the town outside Kyiv where Russian troops slaughtered hundreds of civilians but deny it).


    https://twitter.com/KevinRothrock/status/1510698438102597641

    Well I suppose there are 2 sides to every story...let them say their piece even if its rubbish
    Hmm, I see you think it's very important to have a "ceasefire now by any means possible and end this war" and a "negotiated settlement which gives Putin a win he can sell to the Russians".

    You've got a tough gig, but you need to be more subtle...
    The slaughter of innocents in Ukraine is horrifying...we can't just stand by and let it happen...the Russians are going to torture brutally and kill many people trust me
    Why "trust me" as if you had privileged insight? Personally I think posters like you are just wankers and by no means in the pay of Moscow. But a little part of me thinks: you are Fiedler, so who is Mundt?
    Somebody who went for a Burton.
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    PaulDPaulD Posts: 51
    ydoethur said:

    PaulD said:

    ydoethur said:

    PaulD said:

    ydoethur said:

    PaulD said:

    glw said:

    PaulD said:

    Interestingly Hitchens in the most today says the USA is using the Ukraine war as a proxy war to drive Russia back to the stone age....

    Good.
    Maybe good for the USA but not good for the people of Ukraine as the Russians kill and torture their men and lay waste to much of the country...
    So the correct strategy is for Putin to withdraw, as that lets the Ukrainians off and deprives the Yanks of a major strategic victory.

    Or, indeed, he could just not have invaded in the first place and therefore not handed the US their greatest strategic advance since the fall of the Berlin Wall on a plate all by his little fat self.
    Realpolitik my friend...Putin can't withdraw it will be the end of him thus we have to look towards a ceasefire....give Putin a small win he can sell...then strangle the Russian economy with sanctions
    So what you're saying is a withdrawal is a win/win/win? Deprives Ukraine of a bunch of Nazi occupiers, America of a strategic victory and the world of Vladimir Vladimirovich? Hopefully along with Bortnikov, Medvedev, Lavrov and Shoigu.

    I mean, that's an exquisite scenario. What's not to like?

    Putin must withdraw now!
    Well why don't you tell him that...I'm sure he would oblige...unfortunately the real world doesn't work like that...
    Hey, you're the one who's saying that, not me. I'm just pointing out the logic of your remarks.

    To answer your other point, has it occurred to you that more Ukrainians might suffer unimaginable horrors for longer under Russian occupation than even they are suffering now? Which they know, and is why they keep fighting.
    Most of Ukraine wouldn't be under russian occupation after a ceasefire except possibly the donbass which will satisfy Putin so your point is invalid
  • Options
    BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,489
    PaulD said:

    PaulD said:

    PaulD said:

    Stand by for some grotesque lying:

    @KevinRothrock
    Moscow is demanding an emergency session of the UN Security Council tomorrow to discuss “Ukrainian radicals’ provocation” in Bucha (the town outside Kyiv where Russian troops slaughtered hundreds of civilians but deny it).


    https://twitter.com/KevinRothrock/status/1510698438102597641

    Well I suppose there are 2 sides to every story...let them say their piece even if its rubbish
    Hmm, I see you think it's very important to have a "ceasefire now by any means possible and end this war" and a "negotiated settlement which gives Putin a win he can sell to the Russians".

    You've got a tough gig, but you need to be more subtle...
    The slaughter of innocents in Ukraine is horrifying...we can't just stand by and let it happen...the Russians are going to torture brutally and kill many people trust me
    So you'd be in favour of sending heavy weapons so that the Ukrainians can drive them out?
    I would be if that would end the war...but all I think would happen then is Putin gets more aggressive and we could see hundreds of thousands of Ukrainian lives lost
    Baring in mind what's happened in Mariupol, there are probably over 100,000 civilians dead already. we will only ever have a broadly accurate number if Putin loses. Putin will 'ethnically cleanse' or Politically Cleanse' all the areas he is left with at the end.

    I think your idea of holding back support so that Ukraine has to give in discussing. I don't know if you are paid by Putin's machine to post here, or whether you are naturally a 'Useful idiot' but I disagree wholeheartedly with your position.
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,487
    PaulD said:

    ydoethur said:

    PaulD said:

    ydoethur said:

    PaulD said:

    ydoethur said:

    PaulD said:

    glw said:

    PaulD said:

    Interestingly Hitchens in the most today says the USA is using the Ukraine war as a proxy war to drive Russia back to the stone age....

    Good.
    Maybe good for the USA but not good for the people of Ukraine as the Russians kill and torture their men and lay waste to much of the country...
    So the correct strategy is for Putin to withdraw, as that lets the Ukrainians off and deprives the Yanks of a major strategic victory.

    Or, indeed, he could just not have invaded in the first place and therefore not handed the US their greatest strategic advance since the fall of the Berlin Wall on a plate all by his little fat self.
    Realpolitik my friend...Putin can't withdraw it will be the end of him thus we have to look towards a ceasefire....give Putin a small win he can sell...then strangle the Russian economy with sanctions
    So what you're saying is a withdrawal is a win/win/win? Deprives Ukraine of a bunch of Nazi occupiers, America of a strategic victory and the world of Vladimir Vladimirovich? Hopefully along with Bortnikov, Medvedev, Lavrov and Shoigu.

    I mean, that's an exquisite scenario. What's not to like?

    Putin must withdraw now!
    Well why don't you tell him that...I'm sure he would oblige...unfortunately the real world doesn't work like that...
    Hey, you're the one who's saying that, not me. I'm just pointing out the logic of your remarks.

    To answer your other point, has it occurred to you that more Ukrainians might suffer unimaginable horrors for longer under Russian occupation than even they are suffering now? Which they know, and is why they keep fighting.
    Most of Ukraine wouldn't be under russian occupation after a ceasefire except possibly the donbass which will satisfy Putin so your point is invalid
    So you think he's giving up Crimea? That's good news, if unexpected.
  • Options
    IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Waves to Moscow....do you have a special training manual to explain to newbies the role of pineapple pizzas, radiohead live, die hard movies, english sparkling wine and flint dildos?

    Works both ways mind, the reason I know for certain @Heathener is not a troll is, she picked up an obscure reference to a slightly wacky work of mycology.
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,487
    IshmaelZ said:

    Waves to Moscow....do you have a special training manual to explain to newbies the role of pineapple pizzas, radiohead live, die hard movies, english sparkling wine and flint dildos?

    Works both ways mind, the reason I know for certain @Heathener is not a troll is, she picked up an obscure reference to a slightly wacky work of mycology.
    Showing that your knowledge makes you a fungi to be around.
  • Options
    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,351

    So "true" significance of another rigged Orban victory in Hungary, is that'll piss off EU? Really?

    Good news for Project Brexit though.


  • Options
    IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    ydoethur said:

    PaulD said:

    ydoethur said:

    PaulD said:

    ydoethur said:

    PaulD said:

    ydoethur said:

    PaulD said:

    glw said:

    PaulD said:

    Interestingly Hitchens in the most today says the USA is using the Ukraine war as a proxy war to drive Russia back to the stone age....

    Good.
    Maybe good for the USA but not good for the people of Ukraine as the Russians kill and torture their men and lay waste to much of the country...
    So the correct strategy is for Putin to withdraw, as that lets the Ukrainians off and deprives the Yanks of a major strategic victory.

    Or, indeed, he could just not have invaded in the first place and therefore not handed the US their greatest strategic advance since the fall of the Berlin Wall on a plate all by his little fat self.
    Realpolitik my friend...Putin can't withdraw it will be the end of him thus we have to look towards a ceasefire....give Putin a small win he can sell...then strangle the Russian economy with sanctions
    So what you're saying is a withdrawal is a win/win/win? Deprives Ukraine of a bunch of Nazi occupiers, America of a strategic victory and the world of Vladimir Vladimirovich? Hopefully along with Bortnikov, Medvedev, Lavrov and Shoigu.

    I mean, that's an exquisite scenario. What's not to like?

    Putin must withdraw now!
    Well why don't you tell him that...I'm sure he would oblige...unfortunately the real world doesn't work like that...
    Hey, you're the one who's saying that, not me. I'm just pointing out the logic of your remarks.

    To answer your other point, has it occurred to you that more Ukrainians might suffer unimaginable horrors for longer under Russian occupation than even they are suffering now? Which they know, and is why they keep fighting.
    Most of Ukraine wouldn't be under russian occupation after a ceasefire except possibly the donbass which will satisfy Putin so your point is invalid
    So you think he's giving up Crimea? That's good news, if unexpected.
    He hopes to evade Punishmenta, perhaps.
  • Options
    PaulDPaulD Posts: 51
    BigRich said:

    PaulD said:

    PaulD said:

    PaulD said:

    Stand by for some grotesque lying:

    @KevinRothrock
    Moscow is demanding an emergency session of the UN Security Council tomorrow to discuss “Ukrainian radicals’ provocation” in Bucha (the town outside Kyiv where Russian troops slaughtered hundreds of civilians but deny it).


    https://twitter.com/KevinRothrock/status/1510698438102597641

    Well I suppose there are 2 sides to every story...let them say their piece even if its rubbish
    Hmm, I see you think it's very important to have a "ceasefire now by any means possible and end this war" and a "negotiated settlement which gives Putin a win he can sell to the Russians".

    You've got a tough gig, but you need to be more subtle...
    The slaughter of innocents in Ukraine is horrifying...we can't just stand by and let it happen...the Russians are going to torture brutally and kill many people trust me
    So you'd be in favour of sending heavy weapons so that the Ukrainians can drive them out?
    I would be if that would end the war...but all I think would happen then is Putin gets more aggressive and we could see hundreds of thousands of Ukrainian lives lost
    Baring in mind what's happened in Mariupol, there are probably over 100,000 civilians dead already. we will only ever have a broadly accurate number if Putin loses. Putin will 'ethnically cleanse' or Politically Cleanse' all the areas he is left with at the end.

    I think your idea of holding back support so that Ukraine has to give in discussing. I don't know if you are paid by Putin's machine to post here, or whether you are naturally a 'Useful idiot' but I disagree wholeheartedly with your position.
    Even with extra support you would just end up with a war of attrition and hundreds of thousands of innocents sacrificed
  • Options
    FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 9,064
    BigRich said:

    Stand by for some grotesque lying:

    @KevinRothrock
    Moscow is demanding an emergency session of the UN Security Council tomorrow to discuss “Ukrainian radicals’ provocation” in Bucha (the town outside Kyiv where Russian troops slaughtered hundreds of civilians but deny it).


    https://twitter.com/KevinRothrock/status/1510698438102597641

    The UN need to move to a position where no one nation can veto a peace-keeping force.
    I like the idea but Putin has enough allies, to stop even if 15 could not stop a peacekeeping force, Putin got 16 votes in last assembly, and many more abstaining.

    incidentally, I hope we stop giving any 'aid' to nations that voted with Putin in the UK last time, maybe the abstainers as well.
    Do we know who those 16 were?
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,205

    So "true" significance of another rigged Orban victory in Hungary, is that'll piss off EU? Really?

    Good news for Project Brexit though.


    Orban is probably Boris' biggest supporter in the EU, true
  • Options
    TazTaz Posts: 11,373
    ydoethur said:

    PaulD said:

    ydoethur said:

    PaulD said:

    ydoethur said:

    PaulD said:

    ydoethur said:

    PaulD said:

    glw said:

    PaulD said:

    Interestingly Hitchens in the most today says the USA is using the Ukraine war as a proxy war to drive Russia back to the stone age....

    Good.
    Maybe good for the USA but not good for the people of Ukraine as the Russians kill and torture their men and lay waste to much of the country...
    So the correct strategy is for Putin to withdraw, as that lets the Ukrainians off and deprives the Yanks of a major strategic victory.

    Or, indeed, he could just not have invaded in the first place and therefore not handed the US their greatest strategic advance since the fall of the Berlin Wall on a plate all by his little fat self.
    Realpolitik my friend...Putin can't withdraw it will be the end of him thus we have to look towards a ceasefire....give Putin a small win he can sell...then strangle the Russian economy with sanctions
    So what you're saying is a withdrawal is a win/win/win? Deprives Ukraine of a bunch of Nazi occupiers, America of a strategic victory and the world of Vladimir Vladimirovich? Hopefully along with Bortnikov, Medvedev, Lavrov and Shoigu.

    I mean, that's an exquisite scenario. What's not to like?

    Putin must withdraw now!
    Well why don't you tell him that...I'm sure he would oblige...unfortunately the real world doesn't work like that...
    Hey, you're the one who's saying that, not me. I'm just pointing out the logic of your remarks.

    To answer your other point, has it occurred to you that more Ukrainians might suffer unimaginable horrors for longer under Russian occupation than even they are suffering now? Which they know, and is why they keep fighting.
    Most of Ukraine wouldn't be under russian occupation after a ceasefire except possibly the donbass which will satisfy Putin so your point is invalid
    So you think he's giving up Crimea? That's good news, if unexpected.
    He will no more give up crimea than I will give up Jakehead.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,208
    I think we should hear @PaulD out. If he thinks we should come up with ways of sparing innocent Ukrainians from the brunt of the fighting, perhaps we should aim to open up a second front by fomenting an insurgency within Russia or Belarus to distract their forces?
  • Options
    moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,245
    It’s a puzzle thinking through where Russia will be 5 years from now. The actions of its army are such that there will now be no watering down of sanctions, forgive and forget after a carve up, business as usual etc…

    The war will go on until Ukraine has driven Russia out of the Donbass supported by renewed Western resolve (and advanced weaponry). And the sanctions (both legally mandated and behaviourally gold plated) will likely long outlast the war, unless we strike gold and Putin dies and is replaced by an Abramovich type.

    So what happens to the Russian state and it’s civil society? Its military will be substantially weaker. Its economy resembling autarky. And its population likely smaller, less internationalist and more extremist.

    Then what? Some unsettling possibilities, including Balkanisation. But who bloody knows.
  • Options
    kinabalukinabalu Posts: 39,405
    PaulD said:

    Interestingly Hitchens in the most today says the USA is using the Ukraine war as a proxy war to drive Russia back to the stone age....

    Oh god. Hitchens.
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 40,051

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Disestablishment now.


    Rubbish. I have zero problems with people talking: especially if it means it might divert people away from an evil course.
    IIRC alongside Iran and The Vatican we're the only nations to have unelected clergy in our parliament.

    I find that very scary and undemocratic.
    The bishops are less than 5% of the Lords and they also have a higher percentage of Oxbridge degrees than other peers and MPs do.

    Most of them have done parish ministry at some time as well, rooted in the problems of local communities. They are educated and experienced and the type of people we need in the Lords, certainly not more ex politicians and wealthy party donors who increasingly make up the rest of the Lords now
    Even so, it is, erm, eccentric by 21st century standards to have members of only one privileged sect of one religion given automatic seats.

    Bleating about what C of E priests have or have not done doesn't negate the point that other priests, and ministers, Quaker meeting secretaries, imams, etc., also deal with such matters. So the C of E is not specially privileged in that sense.

    Edit: And we need fewer, not more, Oxbridge graduates in Parliament, in both houses.
    No it isn’t. The Bishops have been in the Lords since the Middle Ages. They represent the established church. The moment they are removed the main established church in the UK would revert to the Vatican and the Pope.

    Quakers and Protestant evangelicals are not part of an established church like the Church of England and Roman Catholic Church are. In Iran where Muslims are a majority clerics are also represented in the legislature. No reason we cannot have a few other religious leaders in the Lords as we have Rabbis already but the Bishops must remain there
    Oh, why don't we beign back the humoral theory of illness and villeinage and so on, if doing something in mediaeval times is a reason to do it now? But I forgot, you want to bring back the squire and yokel model of society. Any recommendations about chicken soup for the Black Death?

    As for the 21st century: just delete the establishment of one sect. No established sect, no worry about the Pope muscling in. Actually, the Pope taking over the 'main established church', that's the craziest justification I have ever seen for bishops' bums in the HoL. One would need to be living in the 16th or 17th century to take it seriously.
    Nope. Just look at the USA or Canada where the Anglican Church is not the established church and Christianity is dominated by the Roman Catholic Church on one side and evangelical churches like the Pentecostals and Baptists on the other. The Anglican Church is just a small liberal minority. Australia and New Zealand are moving the same way.

    In Europe the Roman Catholic Church dominates except in a few nations like Norway where the Lutheran church is also still the established church.

    If the Church of England ceases to be the established church then the automatic right of every resident of a Church of England parish to a wedding or funeral there goes with it too. Church of England churches would exclude anyone from marrying or being buried in its historic churches unless they were baptised in the Church and regular worshippers there
    And I have news for you, but better now than when you are writing your funeral wishes in your will. It's been illegal to be buried "in" a church, C of E or not, since the mid-C19. (Apart from CHurchill etc.).
    Churchill isn't buried in a church. His grave is outside in the graveyard of Bladon Church from which you can see Blenheim Palace where he was born. It is an incredibly moving grave as well. A massive plain white marble with his name inscribed on it.
    Quite right to correct me. I'd already emended my posting earlier as it happens.

    I was quite taken aback to find it many years ago on a hike from Woodstock along Akeman Street and then by Stonesfield and Bladon back to the bus. Commendably plain, at his insistence I believe.
  • Options
    Current seat projection:

    Fidesz–KDNP 134

    United for Hungary 57

    Our Homeland 8
  • Options
    PaulDPaulD Posts: 51
    moonshine said:

    It’s a puzzle thinking through where Russia will be 5 years from now. The actions of its army are such that there will now be no watering down of sanctions, forgive and forget after a carve up, business as usual etc…

    The war will go on until Ukraine has driven Russia out of the Donbass supported by renewed Western resolve (and advanced weaponry). And the sanctions (both legally mandated and behaviourally gold plated) will likely long outlast the war, unless we strike gold and Putin dies and is replaced by an Abramovich type.

    So what happens to the Russian state and it’s civil society? Its military will be substantially weaker. Its economy resembling autarky. And its population likely smaller, less internationalist and more extremist.

    Then what? Some unsettling possibilities, including Balkanisation. But who bloody knows.

    Russia will not give up the donbass...if their backs are to the walk chemical weapons or tactical nukes will be used...your argument falls apart here as Putin can't afford a defeat
  • Options
    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,033
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rpjs said:

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    ydoethur said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Disestablishment now.


    Rubbish. I have zero problems with people talking: especially if it means it might divert people away from an evil course.
    IIRC alongside Iran and The Vatican we're the only nations to have unelected clergy in our parliament.

    I find that very scary and undemocratic.
    The bishops are less than 5% of the Lords and they also have a higher percentage of Oxbridge degrees than other peers and MPs do.

    Most of them have done parish ministry at some time as well, rooted in the problems of local communities. They are educated and experienced and the type of people we need in the Lords, certainly not more ex politicians and wealthy party donors who increasingly make up the rest of the Lords now
    Even so, it is, erm, eccentric by 21st century standards to have members of only one privileged sect of one religion given automatic seats.

    Bleating about what C of E priests have or have not done doesn't negate the point that other priests, and ministers, Quaker meeting secretaries, imams, etc., also deal with such matters. So the C of E is not specially privileged in that sense.

    Edit: And we need fewer, not more, Oxbridge graduates in Parliament, in both houses.
    No it isn’t. The Bishops have been in the Lords since the Middle Ages. They represent the established church. The moment they are removed the main established church in the UK would revert to the Vatican and the Pope.

    Quakers and Protestant evangelicals are not part of an established church like the Church of England and Roman Catholic Church are. In Iran where Muslims are a majority clerics are also represented in the legislature. No reason we cannot have a few other religious leaders in the Lords as we have Rabbis already but the Bishops must remain there
    Oh, why don't we beign back the humoral theory of illness and villeinage and so on, if doing something in mediaeval times is a reason to do it now? But I forgot, you want to bring back the squire and yokel model of society. Any recommendations about chicken soup for the Black Death?

    As for the 21st century: just delete the establishment of one sect. No established sect, no worry about the Pope muscling in. Actually, the Pope taking over the 'main established church', that's the craziest justification I have ever seen for bishops' bums in the HoL. One would need to be living in the 16th or 17th century to take it seriously.
    Nope. Just look at the USA or Canada where the Anglican Church is not the established church and Christianity is dominated by the Roman Catholic Church on one side and evangelical churches like the Pentecostals and Baptists on the other. The Anglican Church is just a small liberal minority. Australia and New Zealand are moving the same way.

    In Europe the Roman Catholic Church dominates except in a few nations like Norway where the Lutheran church is also still the established church.

    If the Church of England ceases to be the established church then the automatic right of every resident of a Church of England parish to a wedding or funeral there goes with it. Church of England churches would exclude anyone from marrying or being buried in its historic churches unless they were baptised in the Church and regular worshippers there
    They don't get to keep the churches in the divorce settlement.
    They do, they own them all since the Reformation. They are not going back to Rome, the Roman Catholics have their own English churches now (albeit rather newer ones)
    No, the state owns the churches via, at the moment, the C of E. If rCofE wants to keep some (and god knows why it would given its inability to fill them) it can do a management buyout. Otherwise we'll hand some back to the papists and keep the rest for pagan genderqueer life affirmation ceremonies. With ayahuasca.
    The state does not own Church of England churches. They are owned by what is called 'the corporation sole' which is in effect a subsidiary of the Parish Council directed by the incumbent of the parish. But as they do not have title deeds and they are not technically transmissible or saleable, it isn't actually terribly clear what this means in practice.

    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2005/4-november/news/uk/church-ownership-stays-uncertain

    It's one reason why it's a bit of a bugger to work out what to do with a closed church.
    In the case of a rector, I believe the corporation sole is the rector himself. Vicars and parsons is different. But in practice, if we disestablished, the idea that all this ancient fabric paid for by centuries of tithe-extortion belongs to the handful of cultists which is the C of E, is for the birds.
    Oh it very much does belong to the Church via the PCC.

    Any attempt to change that therefore would be theft
    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    ydoethur said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Disestablishment now.


    Rubbish. I have zero problems with people talking: especially if it means it might divert people away from an evil course.
    IIRC alongside Iran and The Vatican we're the only nations to have unelected clergy in our parliament.

    I find that very scary and undemocratic.
    The bishops are less than 5% of the Lords and they also have a higher percentage of Oxbridge degrees than other peers and MPs do.

    Most of them have done parish ministry at some time as well, rooted in the problems of local communities. They are educated and experienced and the type of people we need in the Lords, certainly not more ex politicians and wealthy party donors who increasingly make up the rest of the Lords now
    Even so, it is, erm, eccentric by 21st century standards to have members of only one privileged sect of one religion given automatic seats.

    Bleating about what C of E priests have or have not done doesn't negate the point that other priests, and ministers, Quaker meeting secretaries, imams, etc., also deal with such matters. So the C of E is not specially privileged in that sense.

    Edit: And we need fewer, not more, Oxbridge graduates in Parliament, in both houses.
    No it isn’t. The Bishops have been in the Lords since the Middle Ages. They represent the established church. The moment they are removed the main established church in the UK would revert to the Vatican and the Pope.

    Quakers and Protestant evangelicals are not part of an established church like the Church of England and Roman Catholic Church are. In Iran where Muslims are a majority clerics are also represented in the legislature. No reason we cannot have a few other religious leaders in the Lords as we have Rabbis already but the Bishops must remain there
    Oh, why don't we beign back the humoral theory of illness and villeinage and so on, if doing something in mediaeval times is a reason to do it now? But I forgot, you want to bring back the squire and yokel model of society. Any recommendations about chicken soup for the Black Death?

    As for the 21st century: just delete the establishment of one sect. No established sect, no worry about the Pope muscling in. Actually, the Pope taking over the 'main established church', that's the craziest justification I have ever seen for bishops' bums in the HoL. One would need to be living in the 16th or 17th century to take it seriously.
    Nope. Just look at the USA or Canada where the Anglican Church is not the established church and Christianity is dominated by the Roman Catholic Church on one side and evangelical churches like the Pentecostals and Baptists on the other. The Anglican Church is just a small liberal minority. Australia and New Zealand are moving the same way.

    In Europe the Roman Catholic Church dominates except in a few nations like Norway where the Lutheran church is also still the established church.

    If the Church of England ceases to be the established church then the automatic right of every resident of a Church of England parish to a wedding or funeral there goes with it. Church of England churches would exclude anyone from marrying or being buried in its historic churches unless they were baptised in the Church and regular worshippers there
    They don't get to keep the churches in the divorce settlement.
    They do, they own them all since the Reformation. They are not going back to Rome, the Roman Catholics have their own English churches now (albeit rather newer ones)
    No, the state owns the churches via, at the moment, the C of E. If rCofE wants to keep some (and god knows why it would given its inability to fill them) it can do a management buyout. Otherwise we'll hand some back to the papists and keep the rest for pagan genderqueer life affirmation ceremonies. With ayahuasca.
    The state does not own Church of England churches. They are owned by what is called 'the corporation sole' which is in effect a subsidiary of the Parish Council directed by the incumbent of the parish. But as they do not have title deeds and they are not technically transmissible or saleable, it isn't actually terribly clear what this means in practice.

    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2005/4-november/news/uk/church-ownership-stays-uncertain

    It's one reason why it's a bit of a bugger to work out what to do with a closed church.
    In the case of a rector, I believe the corporation sole is the rector himself. Vicars and parsons is different. But in practice, if we disestablished, the idea that all this ancient fabric paid for by centuries of tithe-extortion belongs to the handful of cultists which is the C of E, is for the birds.
    Oh it very much does belong to the Church via the PCC.

    Any attempt to change that therefore would be theft
    Let’s look back to when the Church of Ireland and the Church of England in Wales were disestablished: in neither case did anything “revert” to the Roman Catholic Church, nor did the state retain any ownership of the churches.
    I did not say the churches reverted back. However in Ireland and Wales the Roman Catholic Church is now bigger than the Church of Ireland or the Church in Wales. So non evangelicals look to the Pope as their main figurehead on earth, not the monarch and not the Archbishop of Canterbury.

    No church in Scotland or Ireland provides an automatic right to every parishioner to a church wedding or funeral either
    You think Irish protestants look to the pope for moral leadership ?

    Well its a view.
    They are Presbyterian evangelicals mainly, not in a Protestant church in the Catholic tradition like the Church of England.

    In Ireland the Roman Catholic Church is now bigger than the Anglican Church of Ireland in both north and south
    The catholic church has always been the biggest church in both north and south. But it is a spent force, it has no moral leadership due to sex scandals, mother and baby homes and corrupt bishops. It is running short of priests as hardly any new ones are being trained. The RoI has caught up the rest of Europe and looks for secular leadership.
    The Pope is still the main religious guide on earth in Ireland, not the monarch as is the case in England.

    If the Queen is the Anglican's "main religious guide on earth" then what is the point of the Archbishop of Canterbury?

    Royal families are an obscene anachronism that should be abolished.
    The Queen is the Supreme Governor of the Church of England, the Archbishop of Canterbury the symbolic head of the global Anglican Communion and leader of the Church of England. However the Monarch effectively heads the Church of England as they have done since the Reformation.

    Constitutional monarchies are of course amongst the most prosperous and free nations on earth, as we are too
    I have no problem with constitutional monarchies. I think they are a good way to govern. But that in no way necessitates the monarch being head of the Church. All those other constitutional monarchies get by perfectly well without that bit of medieval mendacity so I see no reason why we should not as well
  • Options
    BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,489

    BigRich said:

    Stand by for some grotesque lying:

    @KevinRothrock
    Moscow is demanding an emergency session of the UN Security Council tomorrow to discuss “Ukrainian radicals’ provocation” in Bucha (the town outside Kyiv where Russian troops slaughtered hundreds of civilians but deny it).


    https://twitter.com/KevinRothrock/status/1510698438102597641

    The UN need to move to a position where no one nation can veto a peace-keeping force.
    I like the idea but Putin has enough allies, to stop even if 15 could not stop a peacekeeping force, Putin got 16 votes in last assembly, and many more abstaining.

    incidentally, I hope we stop giving any 'aid' to nations that voted with Putin in the UK last time, maybe the abstainers as well.
    Do we know who those 16 were?
    Just double checked my facts, and no only 5 nations voted against, Russia, Belorussia, North Korea, Syria and Eretria, in total 35 nations ether formally abstained and 12 did not show up to the vote.

    I think I was adding the 12 did not tern up to the vote with the 5 who voted against and taking off Russia to come up with 16, anyway I was wrong. you would still need to have a system where a small group could not veto a peacekeeping force.

    https://inews.co.uk/news/un-vote-ukraine-russia-countries-abstained-general-assembly-result-resolution-explained-1495346
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 40,051
    edited April 2022
    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Disestablishment now.


    Rubbish. I have zero problems with people talking: especially if it means it might divert people away from an evil course.
    IIRC alongside Iran and The Vatican we're the only nations to have unelected clergy in our parliament.

    I find that very scary and undemocratic.
    The bishops are less than 5% of the Lords and they also have a higher percentage of Oxbridge degrees than other peers and MPs do.

    Most of them have done parish ministry at some time as well, rooted in the problems of local communities. They are educated and experienced and the type of people we need in the Lords, certainly not more ex politicians and wealthy party donors who increasingly make up the rest of the Lords now
    Even so, it is, erm, eccentric by 21st century standards to have members of only one privileged sect of one religion given automatic seats.

    Bleating about what C of E priests have or have not done doesn't negate the point that other priests, and ministers, Quaker meeting secretaries, imams, etc., also deal with such matters. So the C of E is not specially privileged in that sense.

    Edit: And we need fewer, not more, Oxbridge graduates in Parliament, in both houses.
    No it isn’t. The Bishops have been in the Lords since the Middle Ages. They represent the established church. The moment they are removed the main established church in the UK would revert to the Vatican and the Pope.

    Quakers and Protestant evangelicals are not part of an established church like the Church of England and Roman Catholic Church are. In Iran where Muslims are a majority clerics are also represented in the legislature. No reason we cannot have a few other religious leaders in the Lords as we have Rabbis already but the Bishops must remain there
    Oh, why don't we beign back the humoral theory of illness and villeinage and so on, if doing something in mediaeval times is a reason to do it now? But I forgot, you want to bring back the squire and yokel model of society. Any recommendations about chicken soup for the Black Death?

    As for the 21st century: just delete the establishment of one sect. No established sect, no worry about the Pope muscling in. Actually, the Pope taking over the 'main established church', that's the craziest justification I have ever seen for bishops' bums in the HoL. One would need to be living in the 16th or 17th century to take it seriously.
    Nope. Just look at the USA or Canada where the Anglican Church is not the established church and Christianity is dominated by the Roman Catholic Church on one side and evangelical churches like the Pentecostals and Baptists on the other. The Anglican Church is just a small liberal minority. Australia and New Zealand are moving the same way.

    In Europe the Roman Catholic Church dominates except in a few nations like Norway where the Lutheran church is also still the established church.

    If the Church of England ceases to be the established church then the automatic right of every resident of a Church of England parish to a wedding or funeral there goes with it. Church of England churches would exclude anyone from marrying or being buried in its historic churches unless they were baptised in the Church and regular worshippers there
    So? Still doesn't justify bishops in the HoL. Where does the logic follow? Just because Henry VIII wanted to do something his way? On that logic, we should be executing the disgraced partners of royalty, and invading France.
    Of course it does, otherwise the Vatican becomes the main authority for non evangelical Christians in England again as it was pre Reformation in terms of legislative message. Plus most lose the right to Parish weddings and funerals post disestablishment too
    So? Other countries manage fine. Wales, Scotland, Ireland ...
    In Ireland the Roman Catholic church dominates.

    In Scotland and Wales the Roman Catholic church is also bigger than the Scottish Episcopal Church and the Church in Wales, so again the Pope is now the main figurehead for non evangelicals
    It was interesting that, during the Covid pandemic, Catholic bishops argued many times for churches to be exempted from restrictions, or to receive special treatment, and it didn't happen.

    There are still issues with the influence of the Catholic Church in Ireland, but its domination has been broken. And the same is true of bishops in the House of Lords. Of course, it is absurd, but when was the last time it made a material difference to anything?
    There are still 1.3 billion Roman Catholics worldwide.

    The Pope has under his authority more people than any world leader other than the PM of India and the President of China. That authority would replace that of the UK monarch and Archbishop of Canterbury in England for most non evangelical Christians as soon as the Church of England was disestablished
    Maybe you are right, though I doubt it, but either way hardly anyone would notice.
    Mainline Protestants in England would notice, as would Roman Catholics.

    It would effectively reverse the Reformation and replace the Monarch with the Pope again as the head of the main Catholic church in England
    der Narzissmus der kleinen Differenzen

    Nobody cares.
    Well they should care, as it would greatly increase the Pope's authority in England in the religious sphere at the expense of our monarch
    My worst nightmare.
    The whole point is that the English monarch has no sane right to be head of a religious sect at all. And that that religious sect shoudl not be given special political privileges in a supposedly 21st century polity.

    For another thing - it's the Church of England. You know, the bit of the UK to the south and east. But what about Wales? Ireland? Scotland? Damn all for those. Yet [edit] HYUFD's party claims to govern for the UK as a whole. [Sorry to Ishmael for getting out of step - apols.]
  • Options
    PaulDPaulD Posts: 51
    kinabalu said:

    PaulD said:

    Interestingly Hitchens in the most today says the USA is using the Ukraine war as a proxy war to drive Russia back to the stone age....

    Oh god. Hitchens.
    Rigid thinking is not good kinabalu...you may even learn something from Hitchens
  • Options
    kjhkjh Posts: 10,698

    Waves to Moscow....do you have a special training manual to explain to newbies the role of pineapple pizzas, radiohead live, die hard movies, english sparkling wine and flint dildos?

    They do, but the translation was off and it came out as flint pizzas and pineapple dildos.
    That is really going hurt twice over.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,205
    Carnyx said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Disestablishment now.


    Rubbish. I have zero problems with people talking: especially if it means it might divert people away from an evil course.
    IIRC alongside Iran and The Vatican we're the only nations to have unelected clergy in our parliament.

    I find that very scary and undemocratic.
    The bishops are less than 5% of the Lords and they also have a higher percentage of Oxbridge degrees than other peers and MPs do.

    Most of them have done parish ministry at some time as well, rooted in the problems of local communities. They are educated and experienced and the type of people we need in the Lords, certainly not more ex politicians and wealthy party donors who increasingly make up the rest of the Lords now
    Even so, it is, erm, eccentric by 21st century standards to have members of only one privileged sect of one religion given automatic seats.

    Bleating about what C of E priests have or have not done doesn't negate the point that other priests, and ministers, Quaker meeting secretaries, imams, etc., also deal with such matters. So the C of E is not specially privileged in that sense.

    Edit: And we need fewer, not more, Oxbridge graduates in Parliament, in both houses.
    No it isn’t. The Bishops have been in the Lords since the Middle Ages. They represent the established church. The moment they are removed the main established church in the UK would revert to the Vatican and the Pope.

    Quakers and Protestant evangelicals are not part of an established church like the Church of England and Roman Catholic Church are. In Iran where Muslims are a majority clerics are also represented in the legislature. No reason we cannot have a few other religious leaders in the Lords as we have Rabbis already but the Bishops must remain there
    Oh, why don't we beign back the humoral theory of illness and villeinage and so on, if doing something in mediaeval times is a reason to do it now? But I forgot, you want to bring back the squire and yokel model of society. Any recommendations about chicken soup for the Black Death?

    As for the 21st century: just delete the establishment of one sect. No established sect, no worry about the Pope muscling in. Actually, the Pope taking over the 'main established church', that's the craziest justification I have ever seen for bishops' bums in the HoL. One would need to be living in the 16th or 17th century to take it seriously.
    Nope. Just look at the USA or Canada where the Anglican Church is not the established church and Christianity is dominated by the Roman Catholic Church on one side and evangelical churches like the Pentecostals and Baptists on the other. The Anglican Church is just a small liberal minority. Australia and New Zealand are moving the same way.

    In Europe the Roman Catholic Church dominates except in a few nations like Norway where the Lutheran church is also still the established church.

    If the Church of England ceases to be the established church then the automatic right of every resident of a Church of England parish to a wedding or funeral there goes with it. Church of England churches would exclude anyone from marrying or being buried in its historic churches unless they were baptised in the Church and regular worshippers there
    So? Still doesn't justify bishops in the HoL. Where does the logic follow? Just because Henry VIII wanted to do something his way? On that logic, we should be executing the disgraced partners of royalty, and invading France.
    Of course it does, otherwise the Vatican becomes the main authority for non evangelical Christians in England again as it was pre Reformation in terms of legislative message. Plus most lose the right to Parish weddings and funerals post disestablishment too
    So? Other countries manage fine. Wales, Scotland, Ireland ...
    In Ireland the Roman Catholic church dominates.

    In Scotland and Wales the Roman Catholic church is also bigger than the Scottish Episcopal Church and the Church in Wales, so again the Pope is now the main figurehead for non evangelicals
    It was interesting that, during the Covid pandemic, Catholic bishops argued many times for churches to be exempted from restrictions, or to receive special treatment, and it didn't happen.

    There are still issues with the influence of the Catholic Church in Ireland, but its domination has been broken. And the same is true of bishops in the House of Lords. Of course, it is absurd, but when was the last time it made a material difference to anything?
    There are still 1.3 billion Roman Catholics worldwide.

    The Pope has under his authority more people than any world leader other than the PM of India and the President of China. That authority would replace that of the UK monarch and Archbishop of Canterbury in England for most non evangelical Christians as soon as the Church of England was disestablished
    Maybe you are right, though I doubt it, but either way hardly anyone would notice.
    Mainline Protestants in England would notice, as would Roman Catholics.

    It would effectively reverse the Reformation and replace the Monarch with the Pope again as the head of the main Catholic church in England
    der Narzissmus der kleinen Differenzen

    Nobody cares.
    Well they should care, as it would greatly increase the Pope's authority in England in the religious sphere at the expense of our monarch
    My worst nightmare.
    The whole point is that the English monarch has no sane right to be head of a religious sect at all. And that that religious sect shoudl not be given special political privileges in a supposedly 21st century polity.

    For another thing - it's the Church of England. You know, the bit of the UK to the south and east. But what about Wales? Ireland? Scotland? Damn all for those. Yet your party claims to govern for the UK as a whole.
    Yes they do. The whole point of the Church of England is it is not solely an evangelical Protestant church like your Church of Scotland nor a Roman Catholic church either. It is a Protestant church in the Catholic tradition. Disestablishment ends that.

    As I already pointed out in Wales, Ireland and Scotland the Roman Catholic church is now bigger than the Anglican church, in part because of disestablishment in those areas
  • Options
    JACK_WJACK_W Posts: 651
    PaulD said:

    Most of Ukraine wouldn't be under russian occupation after a ceasefire except possibly the donbass which will satisfy Putin so your point is invalid

    Anything that would "satisfy" Putin is by definition a line too far. Putin must lose and be seen to lose. Putin and his coterie of murderous war criminals are not fit to breathe the air in the company of decent people.

    Frankly he should be strung up by his bollocks in any town square in Ukraine although I would settle for a life term sentence after a war crimes trial in the Hague, but it's a close call.

  • Options
    SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 15,690
    edited April 2022
    Special for Leon - Politico.com - Palin’s unexpected bid jolts Alaska
    The former vice presidential nominee returns to a party that looks nothing like the one she belonged to when she first burst onto the national stage.

    https://www.politico.com/news/2022/04/02/palin-return-to-politics-alaska-00022555

    Sarah Palin considered running for president in 2012, was “seriously interested” in the office four years later and said she’d run for vice president again “in a heartbeat.” Last year, she teased — and prayed about — a potential U.S. Senate run.

    For all that, it nevertheless caught Republicans off guard — including in Palin’s home state — when the former governor of Alaska actually did announce her comeback bid, entering a U.S. House race on Friday. . . .

    In the race to fill the House seat left vacant by the late Rep. Don Young, Palin is no shoo-in. Though she once enjoyed sky-high public approval ratings in Alaska, her reputation deteriorated after she resigned from the governorship in 2009 — a self-inflicted wound from which she has not seemed to recover.

    When the longtime Alaska pollster Ivan Moore of Alaska Survey Research tested Palin’s standing with Alaskans in October, he said her favorability rating stood at 31 percent.

    “Let’s face it,” Moore said Saturday. “She has been substantively underwater for many, many years now, and it really dates back to when she quit.” . . . .

    The political landscape — in Alaska, like every Republican-leaning state — may be more favorable to Palin’s smash-mouth politics than it was in 2008. Trump, who won Alaska by about 10 percentage points in 2020 — and with whom Palin spoke last week — is now the fulcrum of the GOP. . . .

    Palin is joining an enormous field, with 51 candidates running to replace Young, including several state lawmakers. But no one else running has Palin’s name, and together with contested U.S. Senate and gubernatorial races in the state, Alaska is poised to draw outsized attention in the midterm campaigns. Even before the House seat opened up, Trump and his allies had been heavily involved in Alaska, with the former president — and state party leaders — endorsing a primary challenge to GOP Sen. Lisa Murkowski after Murkowski voted to convict Trump following his impeachment trial last year.

    . . . . If Palin successfully energizes Trump-aligned Republicans to turn out in greater numbers, it could damage Murkowski and help her Trump-endorsed opponent, Kelly Tshibaka. . . .

    SSI - My own take is that Sarah Palin will almost certainly make the June special primary Top 4 but that field may determine IF she can withstand RCV transfers against her.

    And note filing deadline for REGULAR August 2022 primary for US House (also US Senate & etc) is NOT until June 1.

    Meaning SP has time to assess how things are going, before deciding whether to file for full 2023-5 term. Requiring being on ballot in August in BOTH special election and regular primary, then winning another RCV election this fall.
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 40,051
    edited April 2022
    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Disestablishment now.


    Rubbish. I have zero problems with people talking: especially if it means it might divert people away from an evil course.
    IIRC alongside Iran and The Vatican we're the only nations to have unelected clergy in our parliament.

    I find that very scary and undemocratic.
    The bishops are less than 5% of the Lords and they also have a higher percentage of Oxbridge degrees than other peers and MPs do.

    Most of them have done parish ministry at some time as well, rooted in the problems of local communities. They are educated and experienced and the type of people we need in the Lords, certainly not more ex politicians and wealthy party donors who increasingly make up the rest of the Lords now
    Even so, it is, erm, eccentric by 21st century standards to have members of only one privileged sect of one religion given automatic seats.

    Bleating about what C of E priests have or have not done doesn't negate the point that other priests, and ministers, Quaker meeting secretaries, imams, etc., also deal with such matters. So the C of E is not specially privileged in that sense.

    Edit: And we need fewer, not more, Oxbridge graduates in Parliament, in both houses.
    No it isn’t. The Bishops have been in the Lords since the Middle Ages. They represent the established church. The moment they are removed the main established church in the UK would revert to the Vatican and the Pope.

    Quakers and Protestant evangelicals are not part of an established church like the Church of England and Roman Catholic Church are. In Iran where Muslims are a majority clerics are also represented in the legislature. No reason we cannot have a few other religious leaders in the Lords as we have Rabbis already but the Bishops must remain there
    Oh, why don't we beign back the humoral theory of illness and villeinage and so on, if doing something in mediaeval times is a reason to do it now? But I forgot, you want to bring back the squire and yokel model of society. Any recommendations about chicken soup for the Black Death?

    As for the 21st century: just delete the establishment of one sect. No established sect, no worry about the Pope muscling in. Actually, the Pope taking over the 'main established church', that's the craziest justification I have ever seen for bishops' bums in the HoL. One would need to be living in the 16th or 17th century to take it seriously.
    Nope. Just look at the USA or Canada where the Anglican Church is not the established church and Christianity is dominated by the Roman Catholic Church on one side and evangelical churches like the Pentecostals and Baptists on the other. The Anglican Church is just a small liberal minority. Australia and New Zealand are moving the same way.

    In Europe the Roman Catholic Church dominates except in a few nations like Norway where the Lutheran church is also still the established church.

    If the Church of England ceases to be the established church then the automatic right of every resident of a Church of England parish to a wedding or funeral there goes with it. Church of England churches would exclude anyone from marrying or being buried in its historic churches unless they were baptised in the Church and regular worshippers there
    So? Still doesn't justify bishops in the HoL. Where does the logic follow? Just because Henry VIII wanted to do something his way? On that logic, we should be executing the disgraced partners of royalty, and invading France.
    Of course it does, otherwise the Vatican becomes the main authority for non evangelical Christians in England again as it was pre Reformation in terms of legislative message. Plus most lose the right to Parish weddings and funerals post disestablishment too
    So? Other countries manage fine. Wales, Scotland, Ireland ...
    In Ireland the Roman Catholic church dominates.

    In Scotland and Wales the Roman Catholic church is also bigger than the Scottish Episcopal Church and the Church in Wales, so again the Pope is now the main figurehead for non evangelicals
    It was interesting that, during the Covid pandemic, Catholic bishops argued many times for churches to be exempted from restrictions, or to receive special treatment, and it didn't happen.

    There are still issues with the influence of the Catholic Church in Ireland, but its domination has been broken. And the same is true of bishops in the House of Lords. Of course, it is absurd, but when was the last time it made a material difference to anything?
    There are still 1.3 billion Roman Catholics worldwide.

    The Pope has under his authority more people than any world leader other than the PM of India and the President of China. That authority would replace that of the UK monarch and Archbishop of Canterbury in England for most non evangelical Christians as soon as the Church of England was disestablished
    Maybe you are right, though I doubt it, but either way hardly anyone would notice.
    Mainline Protestants in England would notice, as would Roman Catholics.

    It would effectively reverse the Reformation and replace the Monarch with the Pope again as the head of the main Catholic church in England
    der Narzissmus der kleinen Differenzen

    Nobody cares.
    Well they should care, as it would greatly increase the Pope's authority in England in the religious sphere at the expense of our monarch
    My worst nightmare.
    The whole point is that the English monarch has no sane right to be head of a religious sect at all. And that that religious sect shoudl not be given special political privileges in a supposedly 21st century polity.

    For another thing - it's the Church of England. You know, the bit of the UK to the south and east. But what about Wales? Ireland? Scotland? Damn all for those. Yet your party claims to govern for the UK as a whole.
    Yes they do. The whole point of the Church of England is it is not solely an evangelical Protestant church like your Church of Scotland nor a Roman Catholic church either. It is a Protestant church in the Catholic tradition. Disestablishment ends that.

    As I already pointed out in Wales, Ireland and Scotland the Roman Catholic church is now bigger than the Anglican church, in part because of disestablishment in those areas
    So? The purpose of the UK state is not to pamper your sect. If it can't cope on its own it shouldn't be given the backing of the state at all. And, in any case, the Episcopal (not Anglican!) churches in Scotland, Ireland and Wales were minorities anyway.
  • Options
    BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,489

    I think we should hear @PaulD out. If he thinks we should come up with ways of sparing innocent Ukrainians from the brunt of the fighting, perhaps we should aim to open up a second front by fomenting an insurgency within Russia or Belarus to distract their forces?

    Now Russia has retreated over the boarder in the north, if they take what's left and usable to the Donbass, perhaps there is an opportunity for a uprising in Belarus?
  • Options
    IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Carnyx said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Disestablishment now.


    Rubbish. I have zero problems with people talking: especially if it means it might divert people away from an evil course.
    IIRC alongside Iran and The Vatican we're the only nations to have unelected clergy in our parliament.

    I find that very scary and undemocratic.
    The bishops are less than 5% of the Lords and they also have a higher percentage of Oxbridge degrees than other peers and MPs do.

    Most of them have done parish ministry at some time as well, rooted in the problems of local communities. They are educated and experienced and the type of people we need in the Lords, certainly not more ex politicians and wealthy party donors who increasingly make up the rest of the Lords now
    Even so, it is, erm, eccentric by 21st century standards to have members of only one privileged sect of one religion given automatic seats.

    Bleating about what C of E priests have or have not done doesn't negate the point that other priests, and ministers, Quaker meeting secretaries, imams, etc., also deal with such matters. So the C of E is not specially privileged in that sense.

    Edit: And we need fewer, not more, Oxbridge graduates in Parliament, in both houses.
    No it isn’t. The Bishops have been in the Lords since the Middle Ages. They represent the established church. The moment they are removed the main established church in the UK would revert to the Vatican and the Pope.

    Quakers and Protestant evangelicals are not part of an established church like the Church of England and Roman Catholic Church are. In Iran where Muslims are a majority clerics are also represented in the legislature. No reason we cannot have a few other religious leaders in the Lords as we have Rabbis already but the Bishops must remain there
    Oh, why don't we beign back the humoral theory of illness and villeinage and so on, if doing something in mediaeval times is a reason to do it now? But I forgot, you want to bring back the squire and yokel model of society. Any recommendations about chicken soup for the Black Death?

    As for the 21st century: just delete the establishment of one sect. No established sect, no worry about the Pope muscling in. Actually, the Pope taking over the 'main established church', that's the craziest justification I have ever seen for bishops' bums in the HoL. One would need to be living in the 16th or 17th century to take it seriously.
    Nope. Just look at the USA or Canada where the Anglican Church is not the established church and Christianity is dominated by the Roman Catholic Church on one side and evangelical churches like the Pentecostals and Baptists on the other. The Anglican Church is just a small liberal minority. Australia and New Zealand are moving the same way.

    In Europe the Roman Catholic Church dominates except in a few nations like Norway where the Lutheran church is also still the established church.

    If the Church of England ceases to be the established church then the automatic right of every resident of a Church of England parish to a wedding or funeral there goes with it. Church of England churches would exclude anyone from marrying or being buried in its historic churches unless they were baptised in the Church and regular worshippers there
    So? Still doesn't justify bishops in the HoL. Where does the logic follow? Just because Henry VIII wanted to do something his way? On that logic, we should be executing the disgraced partners of royalty, and invading France.
    Of course it does, otherwise the Vatican becomes the main authority for non evangelical Christians in England again as it was pre Reformation in terms of legislative message. Plus most lose the right to Parish weddings and funerals post disestablishment too
    So? Other countries manage fine. Wales, Scotland, Ireland ...
    In Ireland the Roman Catholic church dominates.

    In Scotland and Wales the Roman Catholic church is also bigger than the Scottish Episcopal Church and the Church in Wales, so again the Pope is now the main figurehead for non evangelicals
    It was interesting that, during the Covid pandemic, Catholic bishops argued many times for churches to be exempted from restrictions, or to receive special treatment, and it didn't happen.

    There are still issues with the influence of the Catholic Church in Ireland, but its domination has been broken. And the same is true of bishops in the House of Lords. Of course, it is absurd, but when was the last time it made a material difference to anything?
    There are still 1.3 billion Roman Catholics worldwide.

    The Pope has under his authority more people than any world leader other than the PM of India and the President of China. That authority would replace that of the UK monarch and Archbishop of Canterbury in England for most non evangelical Christians as soon as the Church of England was disestablished
    Maybe you are right, though I doubt it, but either way hardly anyone would notice.
    Mainline Protestants in England would notice, as would Roman Catholics.

    It would effectively reverse the Reformation and replace the Monarch with the Pope again as the head of the main Catholic church in England
    der Narzissmus der kleinen Differenzen

    Nobody cares.
    Well they should care, as it would greatly increase the Pope's authority in England in the religious sphere at the expense of our monarch
    My worst nightmare.
    The whole point is that the English monarch has no sane right to be head of a religious sect at all. And that that religious sect shoudl not be given special political privileges in a supposedly 21st century polity.

    For another thing - it's the Church of England. You know, the bit of the UK to the south and east. But what about Wales? Ireland? Scotland? Damn all for those. Yet your party claims to govern for the UK as a whole.
    Also true that the English monarch has no sane right to be the English monarch at all. But here we are. We need to resolve the whole thing not tinker round the edges, and when people say resolve the whole thing I always think

    And always keep ahold of nurse
    For fear of finding something worse.
  • Options
    Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 25,619
    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    As it turns out shitting on your own country as a plague island all over the international media has consequences, inbound travel to the UK is still down about 40% on pre-pandemic levels while outbound is back to normal.

    All of those liberal idiots who continue to wage war on this nation because they can't live with Brexit are responsible for this. They hate the nation they live in and will be quietly pleased that the UK's tourism industry is suffering, we probably deserved it for voting to leave.

    That's a stretch, don't you think? I really doubt if either (a) people who feel there's still a worrying amount of Covid are doing so because of Brexit or (b) whether decisions by French, German or Chhinese tournists about where to go on holiday are based on a study of the foreign media.

    My impression is that inbound tourism is down everywhere, simply because tourism is down for obvious reasons. It's a bit surprising that outbound is back to normal, but I doubt if that's anything to do with Brexit.
    My conversations with actual Europeans are why I'm taking aim at the fifth columnists who revelled in making bogus comparisons to COVID across Europe and labelling their own nation a "plague island". It's those conversations that made me realise the signal boosting from 15% by other 15%ers in the media of the completely false idea that COVID is or was ever any worse here than any other major European country has unnecessarily given the UK a reputation overseas to avoid.

    Honestly, one of the reasons we need to stop testing and actually halt the ONS series is to allow UK tourism to recover. Every country across the world has the same endemic rate of COVID, the only difference is that we waste time and money trying to detect it.

    There's a group of people in the country who take joy from doing down the nation, during COVID they labelled the UK a "plague island" and unsurprisingly the rest of Europe noticed and now our tourist industry is struggling to recover from that label despite it being completely false.

    We still get it now with people claiming that the UK had a less than good response to COVID, the reality is that it was above average. It would have been better if we'd simply stopped wasting money on testing and had lower numbers. It would have made no difference to the actual rate of COVID but we'd have had half the overall number of confirmed infections the same as the rest of Europe that didn't bother testing.
    The effect you mention may be true, but I doubt it's just that. Incoming tourists to the UK are disproportionately (I would surmise) from older age groups, who are likely to be more cautious before resuming their travel plans. Outbound tourists from the UK are disproportionately (again I would say) young families and young people, who are likely to travel as soon as they can.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,205
    edited April 2022

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rpjs said:

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    ydoethur said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Disestablishment now.


    Rubbish. I have zero problems with people talking: especially if it means it might divert people away from an evil course.
    IIRC alongside Iran and The Vatican we're the only nations to have unelected clergy in our parliament.

    I find that very scary and undemocratic.
    The bishops are less than 5% of the Lords and they also have a higher percentage of Oxbridge degrees than other peers and MPs do.

    Most of them have done parish ministry at some time as well, rooted in the problems of local communities. They are educated and experienced and the type of people we need in the Lords, certainly not more ex politicians and wealthy party donors who increasingly make up the rest of the Lords now
    Even so, it is, erm, eccentric by 21st century standards to have members of only one privileged sect of one religion given automatic seats.

    Bleating about what C of E priests have or have not done doesn't negate the point that other priests, and ministers, Quaker meeting secretaries, imams, etc., also deal with such matters. So the C of E is not specially privileged in that sense.

    Edit: And we need fewer, not more, Oxbridge graduates in Parliament, in both houses.
    No it isn’t. The Bishops have been in the Lords since the Middle Ages. They represent the established church. The moment they are removed the main established church in the UK would revert to the Vatican and the Pope.

    Quakers and Protestant evangelicals are not part of an established church like the Church of England and Roman Catholic Church are. In Iran where Muslims are a majority clerics are also represented in the legislature. No reason we cannot have a few other religious leaders in the Lords as we have Rabbis already but the Bishops must remain there
    Oh, why don't we beign back the humoral theory of illness and villeinage and so on, if doing something in mediaeval times is a reason to do it now? But I forgot, you want to bring back the squire and yokel model of society. Any recommendations about chicken soup for the Black Death?

    As for the 21st century: just delete the establishment of one sect. No established sect, no worry about the Pope muscling in. Actually, the Pope taking over the 'main established church', that's the craziest justification I have ever seen for bishops' bums in the HoL. One would need to be living in the 16th or 17th century to take it seriously.
    Nope. Just look at the USA or Canada where the Anglican Church is not the established church and Christianity is dominated by the Roman Catholic Church on one side and evangelical churches like the Pentecostals and Baptists on the other. The Anglican Church is just a small liberal minority. Australia and New Zealand are moving the same way.

    In Europe the Roman Catholic Church dominates except in a few nations like Norway where the Lutheran church is also still the established church.

    If the Church of England ceases to be the established church then the automatic right of every resident of a Church of England parish to a wedding or funeral there goes with it. Church of England churches would exclude anyone from marrying or being buried in its historic churches unless they were baptised in the Church and regular worshippers there
    They don't get to keep the churches in the divorce settlement.
    They do, they own them all since the Reformation. They are not going back to Rome, the Roman Catholics have their own English churches now (albeit rather newer ones)
    No, the state owns the churches via, at the moment, the C of E. If rCofE wants to keep some (and god knows why it would given its inability to fill them) it can do a management buyout. Otherwise we'll hand some back to the papists and keep the rest for pagan genderqueer life affirmation ceremonies. With ayahuasca.
    The state does not own Church of England churches. They are owned by what is called 'the corporation sole' which is in effect a subsidiary of the Parish Council directed by the incumbent of the parish. But as they do not have title deeds and they are not technically transmissible or saleable, it isn't actually terribly clear what this means in practice.

    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2005/4-november/news/uk/church-ownership-stays-uncertain

    It's one reason why it's a bit of a bugger to work out what to do with a closed church.
    In the case of a rector, I believe the corporation sole is the rector himself. Vicars and parsons is different. But in practice, if we disestablished, the idea that all this ancient fabric paid for by centuries of tithe-extortion belongs to the handful of cultists which is the C of E, is for the birds.
    Oh it very much does belong to the Church via the PCC.

    Any attempt to change that therefore would be theft
    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    ydoethur said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Disestablishment now.


    Rubbish. I have zero problems with people talking: especially if it means it might divert people away from an evil course.
    IIRC alongside Iran and The Vatican we're the only nations to have unelected clergy in our parliament.

    I find that very scary and undemocratic.
    The bishops are less than 5% of the Lords and they also have a higher percentage of Oxbridge degrees than other peers and MPs do.

    Most of them have done parish ministry at some time as well, rooted in the problems of local communities. They are educated and experienced and the type of people we need in the Lords, certainly not more ex politicians and wealthy party donors who increasingly make up the rest of the Lords now
    Even so, it is, erm, eccentric by 21st century standards to have members of only one privileged sect of one religion given automatic seats.

    Bleating about what C of E priests have or have not done doesn't negate the point that other priests, and ministers, Quaker meeting secretaries, imams, etc., also deal with such matters. So the C of E is not specially privileged in that sense.

    Edit: And we need fewer, not more, Oxbridge graduates in Parliament, in both houses.
    No it isn’t. The Bishops have been in the Lords since the Middle Ages. They represent the established church. The moment they are removed the main established church in the UK would revert to the Vatican and the Pope.

    Quakers and Protestant evangelicals are not part of an established church like the Church of England and Roman Catholic Church are. In Iran where Muslims are a majority clerics are also represented in the legislature. No reason we cannot have a few other religious leaders in the Lords as we have Rabbis already but the Bishops must remain there
    Oh, why don't we beign back the humoral theory of illness and villeinage and so on, if doing something in mediaeval times is a reason to do it now? But I forgot, you want to bring back the squire and yokel model of society. Any recommendations about chicken soup for the Black Death?

    As for the 21st century: just delete the establishment of one sect. No established sect, no worry about the Pope muscling in. Actually, the Pope taking over the 'main established church', that's the craziest justification I have ever seen for bishops' bums in the HoL. One would need to be living in the 16th or 17th century to take it seriously.
    Nope. Just look at the USA or Canada where the Anglican Church is not the established church and Christianity is dominated by the Roman Catholic Church on one side and evangelical churches like the Pentecostals and Baptists on the other. The Anglican Church is just a small liberal minority. Australia and New Zealand are moving the same way.

    In Europe the Roman Catholic Church dominates except in a few nations like Norway where the Lutheran church is also still the established church.

    If the Church of England ceases to be the established church then the automatic right of every resident of a Church of England parish to a wedding or funeral there goes with it. Church of England churches would exclude anyone from marrying or being buried in its historic churches unless they were baptised in the Church and regular worshippers there
    They don't get to keep the churches in the divorce settlement.
    They do, they own them all since the Reformation. They are not going back to Rome, the Roman Catholics have their own English churches now (albeit rather newer ones)
    No, the state owns the churches via, at the moment, the C of E. If rCofE wants to keep some (and god knows why it would given its inability to fill them) it can do a management buyout. Otherwise we'll hand some back to the papists and keep the rest for pagan genderqueer life affirmation ceremonies. With ayahuasca.
    The state does not own Church of England churches. They are owned by what is called 'the corporation sole' which is in effect a subsidiary of the Parish Council directed by the incumbent of the parish. But as they do not have title deeds and they are not technically transmissible or saleable, it isn't actually terribly clear what this means in practice.

    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2005/4-november/news/uk/church-ownership-stays-uncertain

    It's one reason why it's a bit of a bugger to work out what to do with a closed church.
    In the case of a rector, I believe the corporation sole is the rector himself. Vicars and parsons is different. But in practice, if we disestablished, the idea that all this ancient fabric paid for by centuries of tithe-extortion belongs to the handful of cultists which is the C of E, is for the birds.
    Oh it very much does belong to the Church via the PCC.

    Any attempt to change that therefore would be theft
    Let’s look back to when the Church of Ireland and the Church of England in Wales were disestablished: in neither case did anything “revert” to the Roman Catholic Church, nor did the state retain any ownership of the churches.
    I did not say the churches reverted back. However in Ireland and Wales the Roman Catholic Church is now bigger than the Church of Ireland or the Church in Wales. So non evangelicals look to the Pope as their main figurehead on earth, not the monarch and not the Archbishop of Canterbury.

    No church in Scotland or Ireland provides an automatic right to every parishioner to a church wedding or funeral either
    You think Irish protestants look to the pope for moral leadership ?

    Well its a view.
    They are Presbyterian evangelicals mainly, not in a Protestant church in the Catholic tradition like the Church of England.

    In Ireland the Roman Catholic Church is now bigger than the Anglican Church of Ireland in both north and south
    The catholic church has always been the biggest church in both north and south. But it is a spent force, it has no moral leadership due to sex scandals, mother and baby homes and corrupt bishops. It is running short of priests as hardly any new ones are being trained. The RoI has caught up the rest of Europe and looks for secular leadership.
    The Pope is still the main religious guide on earth in Ireland, not the monarch as is the case in England.

    If the Queen is the Anglican's "main religious guide on earth" then what is the point of the Archbishop of Canterbury?

    Royal families are an obscene anachronism that should be abolished.
    The Queen is the Supreme Governor of the Church of England, the Archbishop of Canterbury the symbolic head of the global Anglican Communion and leader of the Church of England. However the Monarch effectively heads the Church of England as they have done since the Reformation.

    Constitutional monarchies are of course amongst the most prosperous and free nations on earth, as we are too
    I have no problem with constitutional monarchies. I think they are a good way to govern. But that in no way necessitates the monarch being head of the Church. All those other constitutional monarchies get by perfectly well without that bit of medieval mendacity so I see no reason why we should not as well
    In the constitutional monarchies of Norway or Denmark the Lutheran church is the established church, in part also to still stop the Roman Catholic Church becoming again the main church in the nation. Even if the Lutheran church as an evangelical church does not believe in having a top down head so much. In the constitutional monarchy of Spain for example where there is no established church the Roman Catholic church is still by far the largest church, so the default head of the established church is the Pope
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 40,051
    IshmaelZ said:

    Carnyx said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Disestablishment now.


    Rubbish. I have zero problems with people talking: especially if it means it might divert people away from an evil course.
    IIRC alongside Iran and The Vatican we're the only nations to have unelected clergy in our parliament.

    I find that very scary and undemocratic.
    The bishops are less than 5% of the Lords and they also have a higher percentage of Oxbridge degrees than other peers and MPs do.

    Most of them have done parish ministry at some time as well, rooted in the problems of local communities. They are educated and experienced and the type of people we need in the Lords, certainly not more ex politicians and wealthy party donors who increasingly make up the rest of the Lords now
    Even so, it is, erm, eccentric by 21st century standards to have members of only one privileged sect of one religion given automatic seats.

    Bleating about what C of E priests have or have not done doesn't negate the point that other priests, and ministers, Quaker meeting secretaries, imams, etc., also deal with such matters. So the C of E is not specially privileged in that sense.

    Edit: And we need fewer, not more, Oxbridge graduates in Parliament, in both houses.
    No it isn’t. The Bishops have been in the Lords since the Middle Ages. They represent the established church. The moment they are removed the main established church in the UK would revert to the Vatican and the Pope.

    Quakers and Protestant evangelicals are not part of an established church like the Church of England and Roman Catholic Church are. In Iran where Muslims are a majority clerics are also represented in the legislature. No reason we cannot have a few other religious leaders in the Lords as we have Rabbis already but the Bishops must remain there
    Oh, why don't we beign back the humoral theory of illness and villeinage and so on, if doing something in mediaeval times is a reason to do it now? But I forgot, you want to bring back the squire and yokel model of society. Any recommendations about chicken soup for the Black Death?

    As for the 21st century: just delete the establishment of one sect. No established sect, no worry about the Pope muscling in. Actually, the Pope taking over the 'main established church', that's the craziest justification I have ever seen for bishops' bums in the HoL. One would need to be living in the 16th or 17th century to take it seriously.
    Nope. Just look at the USA or Canada where the Anglican Church is not the established church and Christianity is dominated by the Roman Catholic Church on one side and evangelical churches like the Pentecostals and Baptists on the other. The Anglican Church is just a small liberal minority. Australia and New Zealand are moving the same way.

    In Europe the Roman Catholic Church dominates except in a few nations like Norway where the Lutheran church is also still the established church.

    If the Church of England ceases to be the established church then the automatic right of every resident of a Church of England parish to a wedding or funeral there goes with it. Church of England churches would exclude anyone from marrying or being buried in its historic churches unless they were baptised in the Church and regular worshippers there
    So? Still doesn't justify bishops in the HoL. Where does the logic follow? Just because Henry VIII wanted to do something his way? On that logic, we should be executing the disgraced partners of royalty, and invading France.
    Of course it does, otherwise the Vatican becomes the main authority for non evangelical Christians in England again as it was pre Reformation in terms of legislative message. Plus most lose the right to Parish weddings and funerals post disestablishment too
    So? Other countries manage fine. Wales, Scotland, Ireland ...
    In Ireland the Roman Catholic church dominates.

    In Scotland and Wales the Roman Catholic church is also bigger than the Scottish Episcopal Church and the Church in Wales, so again the Pope is now the main figurehead for non evangelicals
    It was interesting that, during the Covid pandemic, Catholic bishops argued many times for churches to be exempted from restrictions, or to receive special treatment, and it didn't happen.

    There are still issues with the influence of the Catholic Church in Ireland, but its domination has been broken. And the same is true of bishops in the House of Lords. Of course, it is absurd, but when was the last time it made a material difference to anything?
    There are still 1.3 billion Roman Catholics worldwide.

    The Pope has under his authority more people than any world leader other than the PM of India and the President of China. That authority would replace that of the UK monarch and Archbishop of Canterbury in England for most non evangelical Christians as soon as the Church of England was disestablished
    Maybe you are right, though I doubt it, but either way hardly anyone would notice.
    Mainline Protestants in England would notice, as would Roman Catholics.

    It would effectively reverse the Reformation and replace the Monarch with the Pope again as the head of the main Catholic church in England
    der Narzissmus der kleinen Differenzen

    Nobody cares.
    Well they should care, as it would greatly increase the Pope's authority in England in the religious sphere at the expense of our monarch
    My worst nightmare.
    The whole point is that the English monarch has no sane right to be head of a religious sect at all. And that that religious sect shoudl not be given special political privileges in a supposedly 21st century polity.

    For another thing - it's the Church of England. You know, the bit of the UK to the south and east. But what about Wales? Ireland? Scotland? Damn all for those. Yet your party claims to govern for the UK as a whole.
    Also true that the English monarch has no sane right to be the English monarch at all. But here we are. We need to resolve the whole thing not tinker round the edges, and when people say resolve the whole thing I always think

    And always keep ahold of nurse
    For fear of finding something worse.
    HYUFD and his like have been saying that for centuries. And it's now about time something was done about it. We can't continue with the constitutional equivalent of wattle and daub, and villeins ploughing with oxen, especially as it's such a blatant constitutional asymmetry.
  • Options
    Fines issued over Downing Street party the night before Philip’s funeral

    Exclusive: fixed-penalty notices handed out for leaving do for aide to Boris Johnson on 16 April 2021


    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2022/apr/03/fines-issued-over-downing-street-party-the-night-before-philips-funeral
  • Options

    Waves to Moscow....do you have a special training manual to explain to newbies the role of pineapple pizzas, radiohead live, die hard movies, english sparkling wine and flint dildos?

    Well I do mention the vileness of pineapple on pizza in the thread header.
  • Options
    IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    JACK_W said:

    PaulD said:

    Most of Ukraine wouldn't be under russian occupation after a ceasefire except possibly the donbass which will satisfy Putin so your point is invalid

    Anything that would "satisfy" Putin is by definition a line too far. Putin must lose and be seen to lose. Putin and his coterie of murderous war criminals are not fit to breathe the air in the company of decent people.

    Frankly he should be strung up by his bollocks in any town square in Ukraine although I would settle for a life term sentence after a war crimes trial in the Hague, but it's a close call.

    Hi there @JACK_W

    Nice to hear from you, but this strung up by his bollocks talk is so far removed from the urbane aristocratic jacobinism we have come to expect from @JackW that I do wonder whether you are the same guy?
  • Options
    MrEdMrEd Posts: 5,578
    edited April 2022
    Getting away from the Russian trolls on here, two betting tips out of the crisis:

    1. GOP POTUS nomination 2024: Sell Trump, buy DeSantis - my personal view is that what has happened in the Ukraine is going to be the thing that turns the GOP base against Trump. Not hugely so but enough to let other contenders feel this is not a suicide mission and to make their move. Plus Trump is vulnerable given his comments about the war, especially the "Putin is a genius" line. As for DeSantis, he has managed to pick himself another culture war fight with Disney that is winning him kudos amongst the GOP base.

    2. French Presidential election - sell Macron, buy Le Pen. There has been a lot of talk on here that the French would never vote for the "fascist" Le Pen. However, the world has changed and electorates are likely to shift to politicians who display some backbone. Macron is not that person. I don't think it's a coincidence that his poll ratings have slipped in tandem with his increasingly desperate calls to Putin. He looks like a weakling and someone who is ignored, and the French like to think their Presidents have some inner strength.
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 40,051
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rpjs said:

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    ydoethur said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Disestablishment now.


    Rubbish. I have zero problems with people talking: especially if it means it might divert people away from an evil course.
    IIRC alongside Iran and The Vatican we're the only nations to have unelected clergy in our parliament.

    I find that very scary and undemocratic.
    The bishops are less than 5% of the Lords and they also have a higher percentage of Oxbridge degrees than other peers and MPs do.

    Most of them have done parish ministry at some time as well, rooted in the problems of local communities. They are educated and experienced and the type of people we need in the Lords, certainly not more ex politicians and wealthy party donors who increasingly make up the rest of the Lords now
    Even so, it is, erm, eccentric by 21st century standards to have members of only one privileged sect of one religion given automatic seats.

    Bleating about what C of E priests have or have not done doesn't negate the point that other priests, and ministers, Quaker meeting secretaries, imams, etc., also deal with such matters. So the C of E is not specially privileged in that sense.

    Edit: And we need fewer, not more, Oxbridge graduates in Parliament, in both houses.
    No it isn’t. The Bishops have been in the Lords since the Middle Ages. They represent the established church. The moment they are removed the main established church in the UK would revert to the Vatican and the Pope.

    Quakers and Protestant evangelicals are not part of an established church like the Church of England and Roman Catholic Church are. In Iran where Muslims are a majority clerics are also represented in the legislature. No reason we cannot have a few other religious leaders in the Lords as we have Rabbis already but the Bishops must remain there
    Oh, why don't we beign back the humoral theory of illness and villeinage and so on, if doing something in mediaeval times is a reason to do it now? But I forgot, you want to bring back the squire and yokel model of society. Any recommendations about chicken soup for the Black Death?

    As for the 21st century: just delete the establishment of one sect. No established sect, no worry about the Pope muscling in. Actually, the Pope taking over the 'main established church', that's the craziest justification I have ever seen for bishops' bums in the HoL. One would need to be living in the 16th or 17th century to take it seriously.
    Nope. Just look at the USA or Canada where the Anglican Church is not the established church and Christianity is dominated by the Roman Catholic Church on one side and evangelical churches like the Pentecostals and Baptists on the other. The Anglican Church is just a small liberal minority. Australia and New Zealand are moving the same way.

    In Europe the Roman Catholic Church dominates except in a few nations like Norway where the Lutheran church is also still the established church.

    If the Church of England ceases to be the established church then the automatic right of every resident of a Church of England parish to a wedding or funeral there goes with it. Church of England churches would exclude anyone from marrying or being buried in its historic churches unless they were baptised in the Church and regular worshippers there
    They don't get to keep the churches in the divorce settlement.
    They do, they own them all since the Reformation. They are not going back to Rome, the Roman Catholics have their own English churches now (albeit rather newer ones)
    No, the state owns the churches via, at the moment, the C of E. If rCofE wants to keep some (and god knows why it would given its inability to fill them) it can do a management buyout. Otherwise we'll hand some back to the papists and keep the rest for pagan genderqueer life affirmation ceremonies. With ayahuasca.
    The state does not own Church of England churches. They are owned by what is called 'the corporation sole' which is in effect a subsidiary of the Parish Council directed by the incumbent of the parish. But as they do not have title deeds and they are not technically transmissible or saleable, it isn't actually terribly clear what this means in practice.

    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2005/4-november/news/uk/church-ownership-stays-uncertain

    It's one reason why it's a bit of a bugger to work out what to do with a closed church.
    In the case of a rector, I believe the corporation sole is the rector himself. Vicars and parsons is different. But in practice, if we disestablished, the idea that all this ancient fabric paid for by centuries of tithe-extortion belongs to the handful of cultists which is the C of E, is for the birds.
    Oh it very much does belong to the Church via the PCC.

    Any attempt to change that therefore would be theft
    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    ydoethur said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Disestablishment now.


    Rubbish. I have zero problems with people talking: especially if it means it might divert people away from an evil course.
    IIRC alongside Iran and The Vatican we're the only nations to have unelected clergy in our parliament.

    I find that very scary and undemocratic.
    The bishops are less than 5% of the Lords and they also have a higher percentage of Oxbridge degrees than other peers and MPs do.

    Most of them have done parish ministry at some time as well, rooted in the problems of local communities. They are educated and experienced and the type of people we need in the Lords, certainly not more ex politicians and wealthy party donors who increasingly make up the rest of the Lords now
    Even so, it is, erm, eccentric by 21st century standards to have members of only one privileged sect of one religion given automatic seats.

    Bleating about what C of E priests have or have not done doesn't negate the point that other priests, and ministers, Quaker meeting secretaries, imams, etc., also deal with such matters. So the C of E is not specially privileged in that sense.

    Edit: And we need fewer, not more, Oxbridge graduates in Parliament, in both houses.
    No it isn’t. The Bishops have been in the Lords since the Middle Ages. They represent the established church. The moment they are removed the main established church in the UK would revert to the Vatican and the Pope.

    Quakers and Protestant evangelicals are not part of an established church like the Church of England and Roman Catholic Church are. In Iran where Muslims are a majority clerics are also represented in the legislature. No reason we cannot have a few other religious leaders in the Lords as we have Rabbis already but the Bishops must remain there
    Oh, why don't we beign back the humoral theory of illness and villeinage and so on, if doing something in mediaeval times is a reason to do it now? But I forgot, you want to bring back the squire and yokel model of society. Any recommendations about chicken soup for the Black Death?

    As for the 21st century: just delete the establishment of one sect. No established sect, no worry about the Pope muscling in. Actually, the Pope taking over the 'main established church', that's the craziest justification I have ever seen for bishops' bums in the HoL. One would need to be living in the 16th or 17th century to take it seriously.
    Nope. Just look at the USA or Canada where the Anglican Church is not the established church and Christianity is dominated by the Roman Catholic Church on one side and evangelical churches like the Pentecostals and Baptists on the other. The Anglican Church is just a small liberal minority. Australia and New Zealand are moving the same way.

    In Europe the Roman Catholic Church dominates except in a few nations like Norway where the Lutheran church is also still the established church.

    If the Church of England ceases to be the established church then the automatic right of every resident of a Church of England parish to a wedding or funeral there goes with it. Church of England churches would exclude anyone from marrying or being buried in its historic churches unless they were baptised in the Church and regular worshippers there
    They don't get to keep the churches in the divorce settlement.
    They do, they own them all since the Reformation. They are not going back to Rome, the Roman Catholics have their own English churches now (albeit rather newer ones)
    No, the state owns the churches via, at the moment, the C of E. If rCofE wants to keep some (and god knows why it would given its inability to fill them) it can do a management buyout. Otherwise we'll hand some back to the papists and keep the rest for pagan genderqueer life affirmation ceremonies. With ayahuasca.
    The state does not own Church of England churches. They are owned by what is called 'the corporation sole' which is in effect a subsidiary of the Parish Council directed by the incumbent of the parish. But as they do not have title deeds and they are not technically transmissible or saleable, it isn't actually terribly clear what this means in practice.

    https://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2005/4-november/news/uk/church-ownership-stays-uncertain

    It's one reason why it's a bit of a bugger to work out what to do with a closed church.
    In the case of a rector, I believe the corporation sole is the rector himself. Vicars and parsons is different. But in practice, if we disestablished, the idea that all this ancient fabric paid for by centuries of tithe-extortion belongs to the handful of cultists which is the C of E, is for the birds.
    Oh it very much does belong to the Church via the PCC.

    Any attempt to change that therefore would be theft
    Let’s look back to when the Church of Ireland and the Church of England in Wales were disestablished: in neither case did anything “revert” to the Roman Catholic Church, nor did the state retain any ownership of the churches.
    I did not say the churches reverted back. However in Ireland and Wales the Roman Catholic Church is now bigger than the Church of Ireland or the Church in Wales. So non evangelicals look to the Pope as their main figurehead on earth, not the monarch and not the Archbishop of Canterbury.

    No church in Scotland or Ireland provides an automatic right to every parishioner to a church wedding or funeral either
    You think Irish protestants look to the pope for moral leadership ?

    Well its a view.
    They are Presbyterian evangelicals mainly, not in a Protestant church in the Catholic tradition like the Church of England.

    In Ireland the Roman Catholic Church is now bigger than the Anglican Church of Ireland in both north and south
    The catholic church has always been the biggest church in both north and south. But it is a spent force, it has no moral leadership due to sex scandals, mother and baby homes and corrupt bishops. It is running short of priests as hardly any new ones are being trained. The RoI has caught up the rest of Europe and looks for secular leadership.
    The Pope is still the main religious guide on earth in Ireland, not the monarch as is the case in England.

    If the Queen is the Anglican's "main religious guide on earth" then what is the point of the Archbishop of Canterbury?

    Royal families are an obscene anachronism that should be abolished.
    The Queen is the Supreme Governor of the Church of England, the Archbishop of Canterbury the symbolic head of the global Anglican Communion and leader of the Church of England. However the Monarch effectively heads the Church of England as they have done since the Reformation.

    Constitutional monarchies are of course amongst the most prosperous and free nations on earth, as we are too
    I have no problem with constitutional monarchies. I think they are a good way to govern. But that in no way necessitates the monarch being head of the Church. All those other constitutional monarchies get by perfectly well without that bit of medieval mendacity so I see no reason why we should not as well
    In the constitutional monarchies of Norway or Denmark the Lutheran church is the established church, in part also to still stop the Roman Catholic Church becoming again the main church in the nation. Even if the Lutheran church as an evangelical church does not believe in having a top down head so much. In the constitutional monarchy of Spain for example where there is no established church the Roman Catholic church is still by far the largest church, so the default head of the established church is the Pope
    There is no established church where there is no establishment of the church. So why worry??
  • Options
    moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,245
    PaulD said:

    moonshine said:

    It’s a puzzle thinking through where Russia will be 5 years from now. The actions of its army are such that there will now be no watering down of sanctions, forgive and forget after a carve up, business as usual etc…

    The war will go on until Ukraine has driven Russia out of the Donbass supported by renewed Western resolve (and advanced weaponry). And the sanctions (both legally mandated and behaviourally gold plated) will likely long outlast the war, unless we strike gold and Putin dies and is replaced by an Abramovich type.

    So what happens to the Russian state and it’s civil society? Its military will be substantially weaker. Its economy resembling autarky. And its population likely smaller, less internationalist and more extremist.

    Then what? Some unsettling possibilities, including Balkanisation. But who bloody knows.

    Russia will not give up the donbass...if their backs are to the walk chemical weapons or tactical nukes will be used...your argument falls apart here as Putin can't afford a defeat
    Putin would not long survive the use of chemical and especially nuclear weapons in Ukraine.
  • Options
    moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,245

    Waves to Moscow....do you have a special training manual to explain to newbies the role of pineapple pizzas, radiohead live, die hard movies, english sparkling wine and flint dildos?

    Well I do mention the vileness of pineapple on pizza in the thread header.
    It’s all about bacon and banana.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,205
    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Disestablishment now.


    Rubbish. I have zero problems with people talking: especially if it means it might divert people away from an evil course.
    IIRC alongside Iran and The Vatican we're the only nations to have unelected clergy in our parliament.

    I find that very scary and undemocratic.
    The bishops are less than 5% of the Lords and they also have a higher percentage of Oxbridge degrees than other peers and MPs do.

    Most of them have done parish ministry at some time as well, rooted in the problems of local communities. They are educated and experienced and the type of people we need in the Lords, certainly not more ex politicians and wealthy party donors who increasingly make up the rest of the Lords now
    Even so, it is, erm, eccentric by 21st century standards to have members of only one privileged sect of one religion given automatic seats.

    Bleating about what C of E priests have or have not done doesn't negate the point that other priests, and ministers, Quaker meeting secretaries, imams, etc., also deal with such matters. So the C of E is not specially privileged in that sense.

    Edit: And we need fewer, not more, Oxbridge graduates in Parliament, in both houses.
    No it isn’t. The Bishops have been in the Lords since the Middle Ages. They represent the established church. The moment they are removed the main established church in the UK would revert to the Vatican and the Pope.

    Quakers and Protestant evangelicals are not part of an established church like the Church of England and Roman Catholic Church are. In Iran where Muslims are a majority clerics are also represented in the legislature. No reason we cannot have a few other religious leaders in the Lords as we have Rabbis already but the Bishops must remain there
    Oh, why don't we beign back the humoral theory of illness and villeinage and so on, if doing something in mediaeval times is a reason to do it now? But I forgot, you want to bring back the squire and yokel model of society. Any recommendations about chicken soup for the Black Death?

    As for the 21st century: just delete the establishment of one sect. No established sect, no worry about the Pope muscling in. Actually, the Pope taking over the 'main established church', that's the craziest justification I have ever seen for bishops' bums in the HoL. One would need to be living in the 16th or 17th century to take it seriously.
    Nope. Just look at the USA or Canada where the Anglican Church is not the established church and Christianity is dominated by the Roman Catholic Church on one side and evangelical churches like the Pentecostals and Baptists on the other. The Anglican Church is just a small liberal minority. Australia and New Zealand are moving the same way.

    In Europe the Roman Catholic Church dominates except in a few nations like Norway where the Lutheran church is also still the established church.

    If the Church of England ceases to be the established church then the automatic right of every resident of a Church of England parish to a wedding or funeral there goes with it. Church of England churches would exclude anyone from marrying or being buried in its historic churches unless they were baptised in the Church and regular worshippers there
    So? Still doesn't justify bishops in the HoL. Where does the logic follow? Just because Henry VIII wanted to do something his way? On that logic, we should be executing the disgraced partners of royalty, and invading France.
    Of course it does, otherwise the Vatican becomes the main authority for non evangelical Christians in England again as it was pre Reformation in terms of legislative message. Plus most lose the right to Parish weddings and funerals post disestablishment too
    So? Other countries manage fine. Wales, Scotland, Ireland ...
    In Ireland the Roman Catholic church dominates.

    In Scotland and Wales the Roman Catholic church is also bigger than the Scottish Episcopal Church and the Church in Wales, so again the Pope is now the main figurehead for non evangelicals
    It was interesting that, during the Covid pandemic, Catholic bishops argued many times for churches to be exempted from restrictions, or to receive special treatment, and it didn't happen.

    There are still issues with the influence of the Catholic Church in Ireland, but its domination has been broken. And the same is true of bishops in the House of Lords. Of course, it is absurd, but when was the last time it made a material difference to anything?
    There are still 1.3 billion Roman Catholics worldwide.

    The Pope has under his authority more people than any world leader other than the PM of India and the President of China. That authority would replace that of the UK monarch and Archbishop of Canterbury in England for most non evangelical Christians as soon as the Church of England was disestablished
    Maybe you are right, though I doubt it, but either way hardly anyone would notice.
    Mainline Protestants in England would notice, as would Roman Catholics.

    It would effectively reverse the Reformation and replace the Monarch with the Pope again as the head of the main Catholic church in England
    der Narzissmus der kleinen Differenzen

    Nobody cares.
    Well they should care, as it would greatly increase the Pope's authority in England in the religious sphere at the expense of our monarch
    My worst nightmare.
    The whole point is that the English monarch has no sane right to be head of a religious sect at all. And that that religious sect shoudl not be given special political privileges in a supposedly 21st century polity.

    For another thing - it's the Church of England. You know, the bit of the UK to the south and east. But what about Wales? Ireland? Scotland? Damn all for those. Yet your party claims to govern for the UK as a whole.
    Yes they do. The whole point of the Church of England is it is not solely an evangelical Protestant church like your Church of Scotland nor a Roman Catholic church either. It is a Protestant church in the Catholic tradition. Disestablishment ends that.

    As I already pointed out in Wales, Ireland and Scotland the Roman Catholic church is now bigger than the Anglican church, in part because of disestablishment in those areas
    So? The purpose of the UK state is not to pamper your sect. If it can't cope on its own it shouldn't be given the backing of the state at all. And, in any case, the Episcopal (not Anglican!) churches in Scotland, Ireland and Wales were minorities anyway.
    It is not to listen to Scottish nationalists like you either who could not care less about the UK.

    We have already seen from your country Roman Catholicism and the Pope have greatly increased in power as you did not have an established Protestant Catholic church as we did in England.

    In Northern Ireland and Wales the Church of Ireland and the Church in Wales were bigger than the Roman Catholic church before disestablishment
  • Options
    IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    moonshine said:

    PaulD said:

    moonshine said:

    It’s a puzzle thinking through where Russia will be 5 years from now. The actions of its army are such that there will now be no watering down of sanctions, forgive and forget after a carve up, business as usual etc…

    The war will go on until Ukraine has driven Russia out of the Donbass supported by renewed Western resolve (and advanced weaponry). And the sanctions (both legally mandated and behaviourally gold plated) will likely long outlast the war, unless we strike gold and Putin dies and is replaced by an Abramovich type.

    So what happens to the Russian state and it’s civil society? Its military will be substantially weaker. Its economy resembling autarky. And its population likely smaller, less internationalist and more extremist.

    Then what? Some unsettling possibilities, including Balkanisation. But who bloody knows.

    Russia will not give up the donbass...if their backs are to the walk chemical weapons or tactical nukes will be used...your argument falls apart here as Putin can't afford a defeat
    Putin would not long survive the use of chemical and especially nuclear weapons in Ukraine.
    Why not?
  • Options
    JACK_WJACK_W Posts: 651
    IshmaelZ said:

    JACK_W said:

    PaulD said:

    Most of Ukraine wouldn't be under russian occupation after a ceasefire except possibly the donbass which will satisfy Putin so your point is invalid

    Anything that would "satisfy" Putin is by definition a line too far. Putin must lose and be seen to lose. Putin and his coterie of murderous war criminals are not fit to breathe the air in the company of decent people.

    Frankly he should be strung up by his bollocks in any town square in Ukraine although I would settle for a life term sentence after a war crimes trial in the Hague, but it's a close call.

    Hi there @JACK_W

    Nice to hear from you, but this strung up by his bollocks talk is so far removed from the urbane aristocratic jacobinism we have come to expect from @JackW that I do wonder whether you are the same guy?
    Will testicles suit? ... You are also clearly unfamiliar with my fine pie business? .. :sunglasses:
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,154
    BigRich said:

    Stand by for some grotesque lying:

    @KevinRothrock
    Moscow is demanding an emergency session of the UN Security Council tomorrow to discuss “Ukrainian radicals’ provocation” in Bucha (the town outside Kyiv where Russian troops slaughtered hundreds of civilians but deny it).


    https://twitter.com/KevinRothrock/status/1510698438102597641

    The UN need to move to a position where no one nation can veto a peace-keeping force.
    I like the idea but Putin has enough allies, to stop even if 15 could not stop a peacekeeping force, Putin got 16 votes in last assembly, and many more abstaining.

    incidentally, I hope we stop giving any 'aid' to nations that voted with Putin in the UK last time, maybe the abstainers as well.
    I'm thinking no member of the security council could veto a peace-keeping force.

    If ever there was a need for a UN peace keeping force, it is Ukraine.
  • Options
    BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,489
    moonshine said:

    It’s a puzzle thinking through where Russia will be 5 years from now. The actions of its army are such that there will now be no watering down of sanctions, forgive and forget after a carve up, business as usual etc…

    The war will go on until Ukraine has driven Russia out of the Donbass supported by renewed Western resolve (and advanced weaponry). And the sanctions (both legally mandated and behaviourally gold plated) will likely long outlast the war, unless we strike gold and Putin dies and is replaced by an Abramovich type.

    So what happens to the Russian state and it’s civil society? Its military will be substantially weaker. Its economy resembling autarky. And its population likely smaller, less internationalist and more extremist.

    Then what? Some unsettling possibilities, including Balkanisation. But who bloody knows.

    I think a lot of century's are desperate to de-escalate and get back to biasness as usual, Germany and France being the biggest. the sanctions we have at the moment are not that bad for him, and over time he can adapt, and many places will be pusing to water down sanctions, not to mention black marked and China. If Putin does not loos militarily he will have won.

  • Options
    SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 15,690
    Carnyx said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Carnyx said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Disestablishment now.


    Rubbish. I have zero problems with people talking: especially if it means it might divert people away from an evil course.
    IIRC alongside Iran and The Vatican we're the only nations to have unelected clergy in our parliament.

    I find that very scary and undemocratic.
    The bishops are less than 5% of the Lords and they also have a higher percentage of Oxbridge degrees than other peers and MPs do.

    Most of them have done parish ministry at some time as well, rooted in the problems of local communities. They are educated and experienced and the type of people we need in the Lords, certainly not more ex politicians and wealthy party donors who increasingly make up the rest of the Lords now
    Even so, it is, erm, eccentric by 21st century standards to have members of only one privileged sect of one religion given automatic seats.

    Bleating about what C of E priests have or have not done doesn't negate the point that other priests, and ministers, Quaker meeting secretaries, imams, etc., also deal with such matters. So the C of E is not specially privileged in that sense.

    Edit: And we need fewer, not more, Oxbridge graduates in Parliament, in both houses.
    No it isn’t. The Bishops have been in the Lords since the Middle Ages. They represent the established church. The moment they are removed the main established church in the UK would revert to the Vatican and the Pope.

    Quakers and Protestant evangelicals are not part of an established church like the Church of England and Roman Catholic Church are. In Iran where Muslims are a majority clerics are also represented in the legislature. No reason we cannot have a few other religious leaders in the Lords as we have Rabbis already but the Bishops must remain there
    Oh, why don't we beign back the humoral theory of illness and villeinage and so on, if doing something in mediaeval times is a reason to do it now? But I forgot, you want to bring back the squire and yokel model of society. Any recommendations about chicken soup for the Black Death?

    As for the 21st century: just delete the establishment of one sect. No established sect, no worry about the Pope muscling in. Actually, the Pope taking over the 'main established church', that's the craziest justification I have ever seen for bishops' bums in the HoL. One would need to be living in the 16th or 17th century to take it seriously.
    Nope. Just look at the USA or Canada where the Anglican Church is not the established church and Christianity is dominated by the Roman Catholic Church on one side and evangelical churches like the Pentecostals and Baptists on the other. The Anglican Church is just a small liberal minority. Australia and New Zealand are moving the same way.

    In Europe the Roman Catholic Church dominates except in a few nations like Norway where the Lutheran church is also still the established church.

    If the Church of England ceases to be the established church then the automatic right of every resident of a Church of England parish to a wedding or funeral there goes with it. Church of England churches would exclude anyone from marrying or being buried in its historic churches unless they were baptised in the Church and regular worshippers there
    So? Still doesn't justify bishops in the HoL. Where does the logic follow? Just because Henry VIII wanted to do something his way? On that logic, we should be executing the disgraced partners of royalty, and invading France.
    Of course it does, otherwise the Vatican becomes the main authority for non evangelical Christians in England again as it was pre Reformation in terms of legislative message. Plus most lose the right to Parish weddings and funerals post disestablishment too
    So? Other countries manage fine. Wales, Scotland, Ireland ...
    In Ireland the Roman Catholic church dominates.

    In Scotland and Wales the Roman Catholic church is also bigger than the Scottish Episcopal Church and the Church in Wales, so again the Pope is now the main figurehead for non evangelicals
    It was interesting that, during the Covid pandemic, Catholic bishops argued many times for churches to be exempted from restrictions, or to receive special treatment, and it didn't happen.

    There are still issues with the influence of the Catholic Church in Ireland, but its domination has been broken. And the same is true of bishops in the House of Lords. Of course, it is absurd, but when was the last time it made a material difference to anything?
    There are still 1.3 billion Roman Catholics worldwide.

    The Pope has under his authority more people than any world leader other than the PM of India and the President of China. That authority would replace that of the UK monarch and Archbishop of Canterbury in England for most non evangelical Christians as soon as the Church of England was disestablished
    Maybe you are right, though I doubt it, but either way hardly anyone would notice.
    Mainline Protestants in England would notice, as would Roman Catholics.

    It would effectively reverse the Reformation and replace the Monarch with the Pope again as the head of the main Catholic church in England
    der Narzissmus der kleinen Differenzen

    Nobody cares.
    Well they should care, as it would greatly increase the Pope's authority in England in the religious sphere at the expense of our monarch
    My worst nightmare.
    The whole point is that the English monarch has no sane right to be head of a religious sect at all. And that that religious sect shoudl not be given special political privileges in a supposedly 21st century polity.

    For another thing - it's the Church of England. You know, the bit of the UK to the south and east. But what about Wales? Ireland? Scotland? Damn all for those. Yet your party claims to govern for the UK as a whole.
    Also true that the English monarch has no sane right to be the English monarch at all. But here we are. We need to resolve the whole thing not tinker round the edges, and when people say resolve the whole thing I always think

    And always keep ahold of nurse
    For fear of finding something worse.
    HYUFD and his like have been saying that for centuries. And it's now about time something was done about it. We can't continue with the constitutional equivalent of wattle and daub, and villeins ploughing with oxen, especially as it's such a blatant constitutional asymmetry.
    Believe the actual earthly governor of the Church of England is Richard Tilbrook, Clerk to the Privy Council and the Prime Minister's Appointments Secretary.

    At least CoEers have a clerk in (un)holy orders to decide what aspiring clerics make it up the greasy crosier.
  • Options
    IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    JACK_W said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    JACK_W said:

    PaulD said:

    Most of Ukraine wouldn't be under russian occupation after a ceasefire except possibly the donbass which will satisfy Putin so your point is invalid

    Anything that would "satisfy" Putin is by definition a line too far. Putin must lose and be seen to lose. Putin and his coterie of murderous war criminals are not fit to breathe the air in the company of decent people.

    Frankly he should be strung up by his bollocks in any town square in Ukraine although I would settle for a life term sentence after a war crimes trial in the Hague, but it's a close call.

    Hi there @JACK_W

    Nice to hear from you, but this strung up by his bollocks talk is so far removed from the urbane aristocratic jacobinism we have come to expect from @JackW that I do wonder whether you are the same guy?
    Will testicles suit? ... You are also clearly unfamiliar with my fine pie business? .. :sunglasses:
    OK the pie reference reassures me
  • Options
    kjhkjh Posts: 10,698

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    As it turns out shitting on your own country as a plague island all over the international media has consequences, inbound travel to the UK is still down about 40% on pre-pandemic levels while outbound is back to normal.

    All of those liberal idiots who continue to wage war on this nation because they can't live with Brexit are responsible for this. They hate the nation they live in and will be quietly pleased that the UK's tourism industry is suffering, we probably deserved it for voting to leave.

    That's a stretch, don't you think? I really doubt if either (a) people who feel there's still a worrying amount of Covid are doing so because of Brexit or (b) whether decisions by French, German or Chhinese tournists about where to go on holiday are based on a study of the foreign media.

    My impression is that inbound tourism is down everywhere, simply because tourism is down for obvious reasons. It's a bit surprising that outbound is back to normal, but I doubt if that's anything to do with Brexit.
    My conversations with actual Europeans are why I'm taking aim at the fifth columnists who revelled in making bogus comparisons to COVID across Europe and labelling their own nation a "plague island". It's those conversations that made me realise the signal boosting from 15% by other 15%ers in the media of the completely false idea that COVID is or was ever any worse here than any other major European country has unnecessarily given the UK a reputation overseas to avoid.

    Honestly, one of the reasons we need to stop testing and actually halt the ONS series is to allow UK tourism to recover. Every country across the world has the same endemic rate of COVID, the only difference is that we waste time and money trying to detect it.

    There's a group of people in the country who take joy from doing down the nation, during COVID they labelled the UK a "plague island" and unsurprisingly the rest of Europe noticed and now our tourist industry is struggling to recover from that label despite it being completely false.

    We still get it now with people claiming that the UK had a less than good response to COVID, the reality is that it was above average. It would have been better if we'd simply stopped wasting money on testing and had lower numbers. It would have made no difference to the actual rate of COVID but we'd have had half the overall number of confirmed infections the same as the rest of Europe that didn't bother testing.
    The effect you mention may be true, but I doubt it's just that. Incoming tourists to the UK are disproportionately (I would surmise) from older age groups, who are likely to be more cautious before resuming their travel plans. Outbound tourists from the UK are disproportionately (again I would say) young families and young people, who are likely to travel as soon as they can.
    Good post.

    This might be a false memory on my part but I recall a lot of press on the Belgium and Dutch COVID issues so I'm not sure it is fair to say we were doing down our nation re COVID. Didn't Belgium take a big hit in the media?
  • Options
    BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,489
    moonshine said:

    PaulD said:

    moonshine said:

    It’s a puzzle thinking through where Russia will be 5 years from now. The actions of its army are such that there will now be no watering down of sanctions, forgive and forget after a carve up, business as usual etc…

    The war will go on until Ukraine has driven Russia out of the Donbass supported by renewed Western resolve (and advanced weaponry). And the sanctions (both legally mandated and behaviourally gold plated) will likely long outlast the war, unless we strike gold and Putin dies and is replaced by an Abramovich type.

    So what happens to the Russian state and it’s civil society? Its military will be substantially weaker. Its economy resembling autarky. And its population likely smaller, less internationalist and more extremist.

    Then what? Some unsettling possibilities, including Balkanisation. But who bloody knows.

    Russia will not give up the donbass...if their backs are to the walk chemical weapons or tactical nukes will be used...your argument falls apart here as Putin can't afford a defeat
    Putin would not long survive the use of chemical and especially nuclear weapons in Ukraine.
    to be fair, a lot of people will not survive that.
  • Options
    SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 15,690
    MrEd said:

    Getting away from the Russian trolls on here, two betting tips out of the crisis:

    1. GOP POTUS nomination 2024: Sell Trump, buy DeSantis - my personal view is that what has happened in the Ukraine is going to be the thing that turns the GOP base against Trump. Not hugely so but enough to let other contenders feel this is not a suicide mission and to make their move. Plus Trump is vulnerable given his comments about the war, especially the "Putin is a genius" line. As for DeSantis, he has managed to pick himself another culture war fight with Disney that is winning him kudos amongst the GOP base.

    2. French Presidential election - sell Macron, buy Le Pen. There has been a lot of talk on here that the French would never vote for the "fascist" Le Pen. However, the world has changed and electorates are likely to shift to politicians who display some backbone. Macron is not that person. I don't think it's a coincidence that his poll ratings have slipped in tandem with his increasingly desperate calls to Putin. He looks like a weakling and someone who is ignored, and the French like to think their Presidents have some inner strength.

    Like, cogent analysis, albeit don't fully agree though certainly could play out just this way.
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 40,051
    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Disestablishment now.


    Rubbish. I have zero problems with people talking: especially if it means it might divert people away from an evil course.
    IIRC alongside Iran and The Vatican we're the only nations to have unelected clergy in our parliament.

    I find that very scary and undemocratic.
    The bishops are less than 5% of the Lords and they also have a higher percentage of Oxbridge degrees than other peers and MPs do.

    Most of them have done parish ministry at some time as well, rooted in the problems of local communities. They are educated and experienced and the type of people we need in the Lords, certainly not more ex politicians and wealthy party donors who increasingly make up the rest of the Lords now
    Even so, it is, erm, eccentric by 21st century standards to have members of only one privileged sect of one religion given automatic seats.

    Bleating about what C of E priests have or have not done doesn't negate the point that other priests, and ministers, Quaker meeting secretaries, imams, etc., also deal with such matters. So the C of E is not specially privileged in that sense.

    Edit: And we need fewer, not more, Oxbridge graduates in Parliament, in both houses.
    No it isn’t. The Bishops have been in the Lords since the Middle Ages. They represent the established church. The moment they are removed the main established church in the UK would revert to the Vatican and the Pope.

    Quakers and Protestant evangelicals are not part of an established church like the Church of England and Roman Catholic Church are. In Iran where Muslims are a majority clerics are also represented in the legislature. No reason we cannot have a few other religious leaders in the Lords as we have Rabbis already but the Bishops must remain there
    Oh, why don't we beign back the humoral theory of illness and villeinage and so on, if doing something in mediaeval times is a reason to do it now? But I forgot, you want to bring back the squire and yokel model of society. Any recommendations about chicken soup for the Black Death?

    As for the 21st century: just delete the establishment of one sect. No established sect, no worry about the Pope muscling in. Actually, the Pope taking over the 'main established church', that's the craziest justification I have ever seen for bishops' bums in the HoL. One would need to be living in the 16th or 17th century to take it seriously.
    Nope. Just look at the USA or Canada where the Anglican Church is not the established church and Christianity is dominated by the Roman Catholic Church on one side and evangelical churches like the Pentecostals and Baptists on the other. The Anglican Church is just a small liberal minority. Australia and New Zealand are moving the same way.

    In Europe the Roman Catholic Church dominates except in a few nations like Norway where the Lutheran church is also still the established church.

    If the Church of England ceases to be the established church then the automatic right of every resident of a Church of England parish to a wedding or funeral there goes with it. Church of England churches would exclude anyone from marrying or being buried in its historic churches unless they were baptised in the Church and regular worshippers there
    So? Still doesn't justify bishops in the HoL. Where does the logic follow? Just because Henry VIII wanted to do something his way? On that logic, we should be executing the disgraced partners of royalty, and invading France.
    Of course it does, otherwise the Vatican becomes the main authority for non evangelical Christians in England again as it was pre Reformation in terms of legislative message. Plus most lose the right to Parish weddings and funerals post disestablishment too
    So? Other countries manage fine. Wales, Scotland, Ireland ...
    In Ireland the Roman Catholic church dominates.

    In Scotland and Wales the Roman Catholic church is also bigger than the Scottish Episcopal Church and the Church in Wales, so again the Pope is now the main figurehead for non evangelicals
    It was interesting that, during the Covid pandemic, Catholic bishops argued many times for churches to be exempted from restrictions, or to receive special treatment, and it didn't happen.

    There are still issues with the influence of the Catholic Church in Ireland, but its domination has been broken. And the same is true of bishops in the House of Lords. Of course, it is absurd, but when was the last time it made a material difference to anything?
    There are still 1.3 billion Roman Catholics worldwide.

    The Pope has under his authority more people than any world leader other than the PM of India and the President of China. That authority would replace that of the UK monarch and Archbishop of Canterbury in England for most non evangelical Christians as soon as the Church of England was disestablished
    Maybe you are right, though I doubt it, but either way hardly anyone would notice.
    Mainline Protestants in England would notice, as would Roman Catholics.

    It would effectively reverse the Reformation and replace the Monarch with the Pope again as the head of the main Catholic church in England
    der Narzissmus der kleinen Differenzen

    Nobody cares.
    Well they should care, as it would greatly increase the Pope's authority in England in the religious sphere at the expense of our monarch
    My worst nightmare.
    The whole point is that the English monarch has no sane right to be head of a religious sect at all. And that that religious sect shoudl not be given special political privileges in a supposedly 21st century polity.

    For another thing - it's the Church of England. You know, the bit of the UK to the south and east. But what about Wales? Ireland? Scotland? Damn all for those. Yet your party claims to govern for the UK as a whole.
    Yes they do. The whole point of the Church of England is it is not solely an evangelical Protestant church like your Church of Scotland nor a Roman Catholic church either. It is a Protestant church in the Catholic tradition. Disestablishment ends that.

    As I already pointed out in Wales, Ireland and Scotland the Roman Catholic church is now bigger than the Anglican church, in part because of disestablishment in those areas
    So? The purpose of the UK state is not to pamper your sect. If it can't cope on its own it shouldn't be given the backing of the state at all. And, in any case, the Episcopal (not Anglican!) churches in Scotland, Ireland and Wales were minorities anyway.
    It is not to listen to Scottish nationalists like you either who could not care less about the UK.

    We have already seen from your country Roman Catholicism and the Pope have greatly increased in power as you did not have an established Protestant Catholic church as we did in England.

    In Northern Ireland and Wales the Church of Ireland and the Church in Wales were bigger than the Roman Catholic church before disestablishment
    That is an astonishing misinterpretation of Scottish history from the Reformation to 1690. But perhaps "Our Island Story" doesn't bother with such details.

    In any case, perhaps you would like to explain how the Pope has power in Scotland? Maybe give us some links to your Orange Order chums?
  • Options
    MrEd said:

    Getting away from the Russian trolls on here, two betting tips out of the crisis:

    1. GOP POTUS nomination 2024: Sell Trump, buy DeSantis - my personal view is that what has happened in the Ukraine is going to be the thing that turns the GOP base against Trump. Not hugely so but enough to let other contenders feel this is not a suicide mission and to make their move. Plus Trump is vulnerable given his comments about the war, especially the "Putin is a genius" line. As for DeSantis, he has managed to pick himself another culture war fight with Disney that is winning him kudos amongst the GOP base.

    2. French Presidential election - sell Macron, buy Le Pen. There has been a lot of talk on here that the French would never vote for the "fascist" Le Pen. However, the world has changed and electorates are likely to shift to politicians who display some backbone. Macron is not that person. I don't think it's a coincidence that his poll ratings have slipped in tandem with his increasingly desperate calls to Putin. He looks like a weakling and someone who is ignored, and the French like to think their Presidents have some inner strength.

    On the second point I very much agree with you tactically. By which I mean that it is going to look quite close and the markets often favour the more right wing candidate. Though I think on the day Macron may do a bit better than expected. So I have backed Le Pen hugely with rhe hope to trade out between R1 and R2.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,205
    MrEd said:

    Getting away from the Russian trolls on here, two betting tips out of the crisis:

    1. GOP POTUS nomination 2024: Sell Trump, buy DeSantis - my personal view is that what has happened in the Ukraine is going to be the thing that turns the GOP base against Trump. Not hugely so but enough to let other contenders feel this is not a suicide mission and to make their move. Plus Trump is vulnerable given his comments about the war, especially the "Putin is a genius" line. As for DeSantis, he has managed to pick himself another culture war fight with Disney that is winning him kudos amongst the GOP base.

    2. French Presidential election - sell Macron, buy Le Pen. There has been a lot of talk on here that the French would never vote for the "fascist" Le Pen. However, the world has changed and electorates are likely to shift to politicians who display some backbone. Macron is not that person. I don't think it's a coincidence that his poll ratings have slipped in tandem with his increasingly desperate calls to Putin. He looks like a weakling and someone who is ignored, and the French like to think their Presidents have some inner strength.

    I see De Santis called Putin an '“authoritarian gas station attendant with some legacy nuclear weapons”
    https://www.politico.com/newsletters/florida-playbook/2022/03/01/desantis-take-a-position-on-russia-00012658
  • Options
    FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 9,064
    Could there come a point when the Belorussian army turns on Lukashenko? Rumour has it that there would have been a mutiny if they were forced to invade - perhaps you can argue that there already has been if that is the case!

    It does open up the opportunity to deal with problems like Transnistria and South Ossetia too.
  • Options
    MattWMattW Posts: 18,819
    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Disestablishment now.


    Rubbish. I have zero problems with people talking: especially if it means it might divert people away from an evil course.
    IIRC alongside Iran and The Vatican we're the only nations to have unelected clergy in our parliament.

    I find that very scary and undemocratic.
    The bishops are less than 5% of the Lords and they also have a higher percentage of Oxbridge degrees than other peers and MPs do.

    Most of them have done parish ministry at some time as well, rooted in the problems of local communities. They are educated and experienced and the type of people we need in the Lords, certainly not more ex politicians and wealthy party donors who increasingly make up the rest of the Lords now
    Even so, it is, erm, eccentric by 21st century standards to have members of only one privileged sect of one religion given automatic seats.

    Bleating about what C of E priests have or have not done doesn't negate the point that other priests, and ministers, Quaker meeting secretaries, imams, etc., also deal with such matters. So the C of E is not specially privileged in that sense.

    Edit: And we need fewer, not more, Oxbridge graduates in Parliament, in both houses.
    No it isn’t. The Bishops have been in the Lords since the Middle Ages. They represent the established church. The moment they are removed the main established church in the UK would revert to the Vatican and the Pope.

    Quakers and Protestant evangelicals are not part of an established church like the Church of England and Roman Catholic Church are. In Iran where Muslims are a majority clerics are also represented in the legislature. No reason we cannot have a few other religious leaders in the Lords as we have Rabbis already but the Bishops must remain there
    Oh, why don't we beign back the humoral theory of illness and villeinage and so on, if doing something in mediaeval times is a reason to do it now? But I forgot, you want to bring back the squire and yokel model of society. Any recommendations about chicken soup for the Black Death?

    As for the 21st century: just delete the establishment of one sect. No established sect, no worry about the Pope muscling in. Actually, the Pope taking over the 'main established church', that's the craziest justification I have ever seen for bishops' bums in the HoL. One would need to be living in the 16th or 17th century to take it seriously.
    Nope. Just look at the USA or Canada where the Anglican Church is not the established church and Christianity is dominated by the Roman Catholic Church on one side and evangelical churches like the Pentecostals and Baptists on the other. The Anglican Church is just a small liberal minority. Australia and New Zealand are moving the same way.

    In Europe the Roman Catholic Church dominates except in a few nations like Norway where the Lutheran church is also still the established church.

    If the Church of England ceases to be the established church then the automatic right of every resident of a Church of England parish to a wedding or funeral there goes with it. Church of England churches would exclude anyone from marrying or being buried in its historic churches unless they were baptised in the Church and regular worshippers there
    So? Still doesn't justify bishops in the HoL. Where does the logic follow? Just because Henry VIII wanted to do something his way? On that logic, we should be executing the disgraced partners of royalty, and invading France.
    Of course it does, otherwise the Vatican becomes the main authority for non evangelical Christians in England again as it was pre Reformation in terms of legislative message. Plus most lose the right to Parish weddings and funerals post disestablishment too
    So? Other countries manage fine. Wales, Scotland, Ireland ...
    In Ireland the Roman Catholic church dominates.

    In Scotland and Wales the Roman Catholic church is also bigger than the Scottish Episcopal Church and the Church in Wales, so again the Pope is now the main figurehead for non evangelicals
    It was interesting that, during the Covid pandemic, Catholic bishops argued many times for churches to be exempted from restrictions, or to receive special treatment, and it didn't happen.

    There are still issues with the influence of the Catholic Church in Ireland, but its domination has been broken. And the same is true of bishops in the House of Lords. Of course, it is absurd, but when was the last time it made a material difference to anything?
    There are still 1.3 billion Roman Catholics worldwide.

    The Pope has under his authority more people than any world leader other than the PM of India and the President of China. That authority would replace that of the UK monarch and Archbishop of Canterbury in England for most non evangelical Christians as soon as the Church of England was disestablished
    Maybe you are right, though I doubt it, but either way hardly anyone would notice.
    Mainline Protestants in England would notice, as would Roman Catholics.

    It would effectively reverse the Reformation and replace the Monarch with the Pope again as the head of the main Catholic church in England
    der Narzissmus der kleinen Differenzen

    Nobody cares.
    Clueless.
  • Options
    SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 15,690
    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Disestablishment now.


    Rubbish. I have zero problems with people talking: especially if it means it might divert people away from an evil course.
    IIRC alongside Iran and The Vatican we're the only nations to have unelected clergy in our parliament.

    I find that very scary and undemocratic.
    The bishops are less than 5% of the Lords and they also have a higher percentage of Oxbridge degrees than other peers and MPs do.

    Most of them have done parish ministry at some time as well, rooted in the problems of local communities. They are educated and experienced and the type of people we need in the Lords, certainly not more ex politicians and wealthy party donors who increasingly make up the rest of the Lords now
    Even so, it is, erm, eccentric by 21st century standards to have members of only one privileged sect of one religion given automatic seats.

    Bleating about what C of E priests have or have not done doesn't negate the point that other priests, and ministers, Quaker meeting secretaries, imams, etc., also deal with such matters. So the C of E is not specially privileged in that sense.

    Edit: And we need fewer, not more, Oxbridge graduates in Parliament, in both houses.
    No it isn’t. The Bishops have been in the Lords since the Middle Ages. They represent the established church. The moment they are removed the main established church in the UK would revert to the Vatican and the Pope.

    Quakers and Protestant evangelicals are not part of an established church like the Church of England and Roman Catholic Church are. In Iran where Muslims are a majority clerics are also represented in the legislature. No reason we cannot have a few other religious leaders in the Lords as we have Rabbis already but the Bishops must remain there
    Oh, why don't we beign back the humoral theory of illness and villeinage and so on, if doing something in mediaeval times is a reason to do it now? But I forgot, you want to bring back the squire and yokel model of society. Any recommendations about chicken soup for the Black Death?

    As for the 21st century: just delete the establishment of one sect. No established sect, no worry about the Pope muscling in. Actually, the Pope taking over the 'main established church', that's the craziest justification I have ever seen for bishops' bums in the HoL. One would need to be living in the 16th or 17th century to take it seriously.
    Nope. Just look at the USA or Canada where the Anglican Church is not the established church and Christianity is dominated by the Roman Catholic Church on one side and evangelical churches like the Pentecostals and Baptists on the other. The Anglican Church is just a small liberal minority. Australia and New Zealand are moving the same way.

    In Europe the Roman Catholic Church dominates except in a few nations like Norway where the Lutheran church is also still the established church.

    If the Church of England ceases to be the established church then the automatic right of every resident of a Church of England parish to a wedding or funeral there goes with it. Church of England churches would exclude anyone from marrying or being buried in its historic churches unless they were baptised in the Church and regular worshippers there
    So? Still doesn't justify bishops in the HoL. Where does the logic follow? Just because Henry VIII wanted to do something his way? On that logic, we should be executing the disgraced partners of royalty, and invading France.
    Of course it does, otherwise the Vatican becomes the main authority for non evangelical Christians in England again as it was pre Reformation in terms of legislative message. Plus most lose the right to Parish weddings and funerals post disestablishment too
    So? Other countries manage fine. Wales, Scotland, Ireland ...
    In Ireland the Roman Catholic church dominates.

    In Scotland and Wales the Roman Catholic church is also bigger than the Scottish Episcopal Church and the Church in Wales, so again the Pope is now the main figurehead for non evangelicals
    It was interesting that, during the Covid pandemic, Catholic bishops argued many times for churches to be exempted from restrictions, or to receive special treatment, and it didn't happen.

    There are still issues with the influence of the Catholic Church in Ireland, but its domination has been broken. And the same is true of bishops in the House of Lords. Of course, it is absurd, but when was the last time it made a material difference to anything?
    There are still 1.3 billion Roman Catholics worldwide.

    The Pope has under his authority more people than any world leader other than the PM of India and the President of China. That authority would replace that of the UK monarch and Archbishop of Canterbury in England for most non evangelical Christians as soon as the Church of England was disestablished
    Maybe you are right, though I doubt it, but either way hardly anyone would notice.
    Mainline Protestants in England would notice, as would Roman Catholics.

    It would effectively reverse the Reformation and replace the Monarch with the Pope again as the head of the main Catholic church in England
    der Narzissmus der kleinen Differenzen

    Nobody cares.
    Well they should care, as it would greatly increase the Pope's authority in England in the religious sphere at the expense of our monarch
    My worst nightmare.
    The whole point is that the English monarch has no sane right to be head of a religious sect at all. And that that religious sect shoudl not be given special political privileges in a supposedly 21st century polity.

    For another thing - it's the Church of England. You know, the bit of the UK to the south and east. But what about Wales? Ireland? Scotland? Damn all for those. Yet your party claims to govern for the UK as a whole.
    Yes they do. The whole point of the Church of England is it is not solely an evangelical Protestant church like your Church of Scotland nor a Roman Catholic church either. It is a Protestant church in the Catholic tradition. Disestablishment ends that.

    As I already pointed out in Wales, Ireland and Scotland the Roman Catholic church is now bigger than the Anglican church, in part because of disestablishment in those areas
    So? The purpose of the UK state is not to pamper your sect. If it can't cope on its own it shouldn't be given the backing of the state at all. And, in any case, the Episcopal (not Anglican!) churches in Scotland, Ireland and Wales were minorities anyway.
    It is not to listen to Scottish nationalists like you either who could not care less about the UK.

    We have already seen from your country Roman Catholicism and the Pope have greatly increased in power as you did not have an established Protestant Catholic church as we did in England.

    In Northern Ireland and Wales the Church of Ireland and the Church in Wales were bigger than the Roman Catholic church before disestablishment
    That is an astonishing misinterpretation of Scottish history from the Reformation to 1690. But perhaps "Our Island Story" doesn't bother with such details.

    In any case, perhaps you would like to explain how the Pope has power in Scotland? Maybe give us some links to your Orange Order chums?
    Perhaps some suspicious calls, cards against Rangers via secret Jesuit referees?
  • Options
    MrEdMrEd Posts: 5,578

    MrEd said:

    Getting away from the Russian trolls on here, two betting tips out of the crisis:

    1. GOP POTUS nomination 2024: Sell Trump, buy DeSantis - my personal view is that what has happened in the Ukraine is going to be the thing that turns the GOP base against Trump. Not hugely so but enough to let other contenders feel this is not a suicide mission and to make their move. Plus Trump is vulnerable given his comments about the war, especially the "Putin is a genius" line. As for DeSantis, he has managed to pick himself another culture war fight with Disney that is winning him kudos amongst the GOP base.

    2. French Presidential election - sell Macron, buy Le Pen. There has been a lot of talk on here that the French would never vote for the "fascist" Le Pen. However, the world has changed and electorates are likely to shift to politicians who display some backbone. Macron is not that person. I don't think it's a coincidence that his poll ratings have slipped in tandem with his increasingly desperate calls to Putin. He looks like a weakling and someone who is ignored, and the French like to think their Presidents have some inner strength.

    Like, cogent analysis, albeit don't fully agree though certainly could play out just this way.
    Cheers @SeaShantyIrish2 and hope all is good. I think Trump is on a bit of a downward path now, his candidates don't seem to be gaining overwhelming traction.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,205
    edited April 2022
    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Disestablishment now.


    Rubbish. I have zero problems with people talking: especially if it means it might divert people away from an evil course.
    IIRC alongside Iran and The Vatican we're the only nations to have unelected clergy in our parliament.

    I find that very scary and undemocratic.
    The bishops are less than 5% of the Lords and they also have a higher percentage of Oxbridge degrees than other peers and MPs do.

    Most of them have done parish ministry at some time as well, rooted in the problems of local communities. They are educated and experienced and the type of people we need in the Lords, certainly not more ex politicians and wealthy party donors who increasingly make up the rest of the Lords now
    Even so, it is, erm, eccentric by 21st century standards to have members of only one privileged sect of one religion given automatic seats.

    Bleating about what C of E priests have or have not done doesn't negate the point that other priests, and ministers, Quaker meeting secretaries, imams, etc., also deal with such matters. So the C of E is not specially privileged in that sense.

    Edit: And we need fewer, not more, Oxbridge graduates in Parliament, in both houses.
    No it isn’t. The Bishops have been in the Lords since the Middle Ages. They represent the established church. The moment they are removed the main established church in the UK would revert to the Vatican and the Pope.

    Quakers and Protestant evangelicals are not part of an established church like the Church of England and Roman Catholic Church are. In Iran where Muslims are a majority clerics are also represented in the legislature. No reason we cannot have a few other religious leaders in the Lords as we have Rabbis already but the Bishops must remain there
    Oh, why don't we beign back the humoral theory of illness and villeinage and so on, if doing something in mediaeval times is a reason to do it now? But I forgot, you want to bring back the squire and yokel model of society. Any recommendations about chicken soup for the Black Death?

    As for the 21st century: just delete the establishment of one sect. No established sect, no worry about the Pope muscling in. Actually, the Pope taking over the 'main established church', that's the craziest justification I have ever seen for bishops' bums in the HoL. One would need to be living in the 16th or 17th century to take it seriously.
    Nope. Just look at the USA or Canada where the Anglican Church is not the established church and Christianity is dominated by the Roman Catholic Church on one side and evangelical churches like the Pentecostals and Baptists on the other. The Anglican Church is just a small liberal minority. Australia and New Zealand are moving the same way.

    In Europe the Roman Catholic Church dominates except in a few nations like Norway where the Lutheran church is also still the established church.

    If the Church of England ceases to be the established church then the automatic right of every resident of a Church of England parish to a wedding or funeral there goes with it. Church of England churches would exclude anyone from marrying or being buried in its historic churches unless they were baptised in the Church and regular worshippers there
    So? Still doesn't justify bishops in the HoL. Where does the logic follow? Just because Henry VIII wanted to do something his way? On that logic, we should be executing the disgraced partners of royalty, and invading France.
    Of course it does, otherwise the Vatican becomes the main authority for non evangelical Christians in England again as it was pre Reformation in terms of legislative message. Plus most lose the right to Parish weddings and funerals post disestablishment too
    So? Other countries manage fine. Wales, Scotland, Ireland ...
    In Ireland the Roman Catholic church dominates.

    In Scotland and Wales the Roman Catholic church is also bigger than the Scottish Episcopal Church and the Church in Wales, so again the Pope is now the main figurehead for non evangelicals
    It was interesting that, during the Covid pandemic, Catholic bishops argued many times for churches to be exempted from restrictions, or to receive special treatment, and it didn't happen.

    There are still issues with the influence of the Catholic Church in Ireland, but its domination has been broken. And the same is true of bishops in the House of Lords. Of course, it is absurd, but when was the last time it made a material difference to anything?
    There are still 1.3 billion Roman Catholics worldwide.

    The Pope has under his authority more people than any world leader other than the PM of India and the President of China. That authority would replace that of the UK monarch and Archbishop of Canterbury in England for most non evangelical Christians as soon as the Church of England was disestablished
    Maybe you are right, though I doubt it, but either way hardly anyone would notice.
    Mainline Protestants in England would notice, as would Roman Catholics.

    It would effectively reverse the Reformation and replace the Monarch with the Pope again as the head of the main Catholic church in England
    der Narzissmus der kleinen Differenzen

    Nobody cares.
    Well they should care, as it would greatly increase the Pope's authority in England in the religious sphere at the expense of our monarch
    My worst nightmare.
    The whole point is that the English monarch has no sane right to be head of a religious sect at all. And that that religious sect shoudl not be given special political privileges in a supposedly 21st century polity.

    For another thing - it's the Church of England. You know, the bit of the UK to the south and east. But what about Wales? Ireland? Scotland? Damn all for those. Yet your party claims to govern for the UK as a whole.
    Yes they do. The whole point of the Church of England is it is not solely an evangelical Protestant church like your Church of Scotland nor a Roman Catholic church either. It is a Protestant church in the Catholic tradition. Disestablishment ends that.

    As I already pointed out in Wales, Ireland and Scotland the Roman Catholic church is now bigger than the Anglican church, in part because of disestablishment in those areas
    So? The purpose of the UK state is not to pamper your sect. If it can't cope on its own it shouldn't be given the backing of the state at all. And, in any case, the Episcopal (not Anglican!) churches in Scotland, Ireland and Wales were minorities anyway.
    It is not to listen to Scottish nationalists like you either who could not care less about the UK.

    We have already seen from your country Roman Catholicism and the Pope have greatly increased in power as you did not have an established Protestant Catholic church as we did in England.

    In Northern Ireland and Wales the Church of Ireland and the Church in Wales were bigger than the Roman Catholic church before disestablishment
    That is an astonishing misinterpretation of Scottish history from the Reformation to 1690. But perhaps "Our Island Story" doesn't bother with such details.

    In any case, perhaps you would like to explain how the Pope has power in Scotland? Maybe give us some links to your Orange Order chums?
    No it isn't, see Mary Queen of Scots or the Jacobite rebellion, fuelled by Roman Catholicism and with the support of the Vatican.

    Or indeed Celtic FC, still very much a club of Roman Catholic heritage. Roman Catholic voters deserting Labour have also been crucial to the rise of the SNP
    https://www.thenational.scot/politics/14886604.poll-shows-huge-swing-to-snp-among-catholics/

    Scotland only legalised homosexuality in 1980 too, 13 years after England.
  • Options
    BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,489
    Ive been thinking again about that leaked number of Russian dead:

    https://twitter.com/AvakovArsen/status/1510185195756007425?s=20&t=NmAoqvhHmZNgMdRvtkeZ7A

    Russian Army: 17,549
    Mercenaries:: 5,366
    Total: 22,915

    If accurate that's over 1/3 of the US losses in Vietnam in less that 1% of the time.
  • Options
    MrEdMrEd Posts: 5,578

    MrEd said:

    Getting away from the Russian trolls on here, two betting tips out of the crisis:

    1. GOP POTUS nomination 2024: Sell Trump, buy DeSantis - my personal view is that what has happened in the Ukraine is going to be the thing that turns the GOP base against Trump. Not hugely so but enough to let other contenders feel this is not a suicide mission and to make their move. Plus Trump is vulnerable given his comments about the war, especially the "Putin is a genius" line. As for DeSantis, he has managed to pick himself another culture war fight with Disney that is winning him kudos amongst the GOP base.

    2. French Presidential election - sell Macron, buy Le Pen. There has been a lot of talk on here that the French would never vote for the "fascist" Le Pen. However, the world has changed and electorates are likely to shift to politicians who display some backbone. Macron is not that person. I don't think it's a coincidence that his poll ratings have slipped in tandem with his increasingly desperate calls to Putin. He looks like a weakling and someone who is ignored, and the French like to think their Presidents have some inner strength.

    On the second point I very much agree with you tactically. By which I mean that it is going to look quite close and the markets often favour the more right wing candidate. Though I think on the day Macron may do a bit better than expected. So I have backed Le Pen hugely with rhe hope to trade out between R1 and R2.
    I know what you mean, if it's close in R1, some may flock to Macron to ensure Le Pen doesn't win but I think Macron has p1ssed off enough people that the anti-Macron vote in France is probably as great, if not greater, than the anti-Le Pen vote
This discussion has been closed.