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The French election is getting very tight for Macron – politicalbetting.com
The French election is getting very tight for Macron – politicalbetting.com
The first round of voting in the French presidential election is just a week on Sunday. A total of 12 contenders will be on the ballot paper which decides which two go to the final runoff a fortnight later. In many ways this is a similar voting system for the Tory leadership in the UK when MPs vote to decide which two go forward to the membership.
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I think it's easier to get an upset in the first round than the runoff.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2017_French_presidential_election#:~:text=The 2017 French presidential election,won by a decisive margin.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-60936117
The western intelligence reports are disturbing, if true. How does he react when he finds out ?
https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2022/03/russia-ukraine-india-china-democracy-quad.html
I think laying him would be a mistake and I expect a comfortable Macron victory in the run-off.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2017_French_presidential_election
By the way did you ever get back to me about the BA pilots thing or did you get the wrong person? Just curious.
Russia has lost 2,111 pieces of equipment. Of these, 1102 have been destroyed or damaged. Worse, 1109 have been abandoned or captured.
Tanks are now 347: destroyed: 157, damaged: 6, abandoned: 42, captured: 142.
Oh, and for completeness, Vlad: "This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available. Therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here."
https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack-on-europe-documenting-equipment.html
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/terror-and-security/history-politics-mercenaries-many-african-nations-quietly-standing/
Awkward that Truss and Lavrov are in India at the same time. Reminds me of that moment when Hannibal Lecter suggests to Clarice Starling that people will start talking.
Come to think of it, Lavrov and Truss do rather resemble Hannibal and Clarice.
If you consider that 30-40% of those are down to British NLAWs at £12k a pop then we've made one heck of a good investment in our national security.
We've degraded 7% of the armoured capability of our principal enemy, by proxy, for about £50m.
Absolute peanuts in overall defence spending.
He has minions for that stuff.
Not that it is going anywhere near NATO until, well, it has some answers to cheap but effective defensive Ruskie-killing kit.
https://giffiles.alphacoders.com/143/14354.gif
https://www.gofundme.com/f/delivering-emergency-supplies-to-ukraine
I appreciate there's a horrible war in Ukraine, but it's just that: horrible. There is no glamour in any of this and no place for testosterone-fuelled glorification.
'If in some smothering dreams, you too could pace
Behind the wagon that we flung him in,
And watch the white eyes writhing in his face,
His hanging face, like a devil’s sick of sin;
If you could hear, at every jolt, the blood
Come gargling from the froth-corrupted lungs,
Obscene as cancer, bitter as the cud
Of vile, incurable sores on innocent tongues,—
My friend, you would not tell with such high zest
To children ardent for some desperate glory,
The old Lie: Dulce et decorum est
Pro patria mori.'
I know this is a new series of "Qui est la presidente?"* but I'm pretty sure it's just repeating the same old script.
*My French was bad even at school so apologies for basic errors.
https://www.formula1.com/en/latest/article.breaking-las-vegas-to-host-formula-1-night-race-from-2023.69O9nKLwKraqAhR5rr8TQg.html
That's some bullshit. Three races in one country.
https://www.theverge.com/2022/3/30/23000577/dyson-zone-noise-cancellation-headphones-built-in-air-purifier
Multiple races in the same country isn't great, but better Las Vegs than Qatar.
It's not expected to last long, but the little 'un's excited.
They don't, so we do.
Putin's choice, to get tens of thousands of Russians killed and maimed.
As a comparison which UK politicians would be closest to her politics?
” Russian cosmonauts are now back after a long time in space, the commander updates them on the latest events:
Commander -As per President Putin we are conducting a special military operation in Ukraine. In fact, it's a conflict between Russia and NATO to determine who will dominate the world for the next hundred years.
Cosmonaut-What's the situation now?
Commander-We have lost more than 15,000 soldiers, 6 generals, 500 tanks, 3 ships, 100 planes and 1,000 trucks and armoured personnel carriers.
The shaken Cosmonauts ask: -And NATO? How much did it lose?
Commander- NATO has not yet arrived”
https://science.slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=21070061&cid=62403885
Three races (out of probably 25 next year) in the country where they are experiencing the most growth in audience, and have a couple of hundred million more potential fans.
Going to be on boxing timezones though, 4am or thereabouts in the UK.
Would we rather they did three in China, or kept going to Saudi instead?
Mr. Sandpit, I don't think 25-30 races is desirable. If a new one is required we could go crazy and have one in Germany...
Which is a pity. Macron has shown himself to be no friend of ours and, in my opinion, looks increasingly foolish in his dealings with Russia. But a serious candidate around whom the disillusioned could coalesce simply did not emerge.
https://www.minusrus.com/en/
They’ve lost nearly 20% of their “tank force” - but given they’re now shipping WWII relics towards the battle, I’ll take an educated guess that the total number of serviceable modern tanks is a small fraction of what they claim it to be.
https://mobile.twitter.com/Liveuamap/status/1509253049440739332
https://www.theregister.com/2022/03/31/russia_iran_and_saudi_arabia/
The other factor is that Macron is getting the blame for cost of living squeezes.
His campaign is going in the wrong direction but he still has a substantial margin.
Also stringent forex controls have slowed capital outflows.
https://mobile.twitter.com/RooslanTotrov/status/1509320247081410567
Alik’s publication (https://twitter.com/rajdianos/status/1509244396381822978…) requires a background deep dive. Here is what I have to say about South Ossetian soldiers’ voluntary refusal to partake in the warfare in Ukraine.
Note the majority of Russia's invasion force is non ethnic Russian.
It's not necessarily a sign of business as usual.
Carried on for long it will seriously degrade the economy.
Do you accept that the rubbish you posted about the autumn lockdowns was rubbish?
Has anyone else encountered the phenomenon whereby people are ill, ‘pass’ several LFTs (i.e. the tests are negative), yet still assume - and say - they have covid?
I’ve encountered this several times in the last few weeks. The common cold has not disappeared - and can be unpleasant.
Why do people say it’s covid when the tests say otherwise?
The Austin contract is up soon and rumour has it there are multiple US locations happy to pay way more than Austin is paying. Netflix has done wonders for F1 in the States.
Perhaps because there aren't any publicly available tests out there for common cold coronaviruses, rhinovirus etc ?
(Outside of public health surveys.)
Someday there probably will be, and they won't require the current uncomfortable process.
So I passed on Covid to a few people when I probably would have taken extra precautions if I thought it was Covid.
Rachel Reeves has just given an excellent answer to Kay Burley on the gender debate
Now, it could be that they both caught a heavy cold, just before developing asymptomatic Covid, but people are interpreting this as a feature of the BA2 sub-variant and our immune system's response to it. People do have a tendency to over-generalise from scant information, but there does appear to be some basis for it.
Dundee yesterday
Which is why you will still see people like me on crowded trains in a mask. I don't wear it everywhere, but where I can reduce my potential exposure at no real cost its a no-brainer. I am far too busy to be laid up for a chunk of the week with the thing.
The sport should see it as a key renewal though, the Texas audience is quite different to the Miami and Vegas audiences.
https://twitter.com/adamboultontabb/status/1509205458678128650?s=21
One interesting point in relation to yesterday's discussion of male/female differences - not a single 6 was scored in this match. In the most recent England mens ODI, nine 6s were scored in the match.
On the tank vintage thing - just imagine the British Army deploying Centurions.
Also - does it matter now? I think we will be getting new advice from tomorrow when free testing ends.
Rachel Reeves tries and fails to square the Keir Starmer circle. Biology is a big part of sex but there are also people who strongly identify as the other sex and they have the "right" to self identify but also women are entitled to single sex spaces. WHICH IS IT? @BBCR4Today
https://twitter.com/anyabike/status/1509425657977135114
1) Deliberately targeting and killing civilians in order to achieve aims it cannot on the battlefield
2) Kidnapping and holding thousands of people hostage to potentially be used as bait
3) Threatening violence against those who seek to undermine their political aims
Some want the Ukrainians to do a deal with Russia to end the war. But at that moment any deal would involve the surrendering of some of their territory. We never gave away any territory in Northern Ireland as part of the peace process. So who are we to tell the Ukrainians that they 'ought' to do so?
Obviously the comparison between the IRA and the Russian state is absurd. The Russian state is far worse. Republicans in Northern Ireland had some justified grievances in the 1970s. No British city was destroyed in the way that Mariupol has been. Perhaps the size of the threat Ukraine faces means they will feel no need but to compromise. I just hope no-one in the west thinks that it is 'reasonable'. The message to the world would be that our values are paper thin.
It's no different than when people get upset and morally uptight at those employing black comedy in response to an awful thing.
Can’t wait for the day-long conference debate on the subject, selected in favour of debating energy prices or inflation.
Can't say it bothers me but if people would prefer a wider spread of races it makes sense.
To be honest, I don't think we should get hung up about the "what does this say about us?" question. What we need to focus on is the medium to long-term.
Irrespective of any deals between Ukraine and Russia, the world has changed forever. Russia is a pariah state. That isn't changing without regime change.