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Yorkshire LAB getting excited about a possible by-election gain from CON – politicalbetting.com
Yorkshire LAB getting excited about a possible by-election gain from CON – politicalbetting.com
One of the things about the main opposition party is that it is an awful long time ago since it was able to gain a seat in a Westminster by-election – something that the Tories and LDs have done at fairly regular intervals in recent years. In 2021 alone the Tories took Hartlepool from LAB while the LDs had spectacular gains at Chesham & Amersham and Shropshire North.
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I think Ben White has potential. His distribution is very good. He occasionally gets caught underneath the ball, but he’s getting better.
If there is a by election Labour would have to gain it for Starmer to have any chance of becoming PM at the next general election
A CURRENT SNP cabinet chief was last night dragged into the CalMac ferries scandal with documents suggesting he gave the nod to the doomed shipyard deal.
Justice Secretary Keith Brown came under the spotlight the day after Nicola Sturgeon appeared to blame disgraced ex minister Derek Mackay for the fiasco.
https://www.thescottishsun.co.uk/news/scottish-news/8621739/keith-brown-in-spotlight-ferguson-shipyard-scandal/
Whose mad idea was it to hold a Grand Prix here?
ETA - ooof. How on Earth did that happen? Can't see anything Latifi did wrong.
The drivers should really just tell the bean counters to fuck off.
Melinda Simmons
@MelSimmonsFCDO
Drobitzky Yar on the outskirts of Kharkiv, where 11,000 Jews were shot by Nazis in a ravine in 1942. Shelled by Russians in 2022.
https://twitter.com/MelSimmonsFCDO/status/1507668831812075521
ETA - but it could be worse, he could be Lewis Hamilton.
I'm not his biggest fan but it's ridiculous he's back there.
Between the cavitation and the wretched circuit he had a lot deal with but he's still going to be pretty unhappy.
Above all I’m an F1/motorsports fan. I have a lot of respect for Lewis, though I think his fashion sense is terrible.
What happened in Abu Dhabi was a disgrace. You clearly have an issue with Hamilton. I know you’re intelligent, but for some strange reason you’re dislike of Hamilton means you can’t see what is obvious.
If there is any driver I admire in F1, it would be Ocon, although honourable ment ion to Vettel (who must be feeling really silly at the moment that he didn't manage to stay with Ferrari) for his protest in Saudi last time* and to Leclerc, who already looks very strong.
I will take the compliment about my intelligence though. Flattery will get you anywhere
*not forgetting Hamilton, to his credit, supported him.
Not sure who is going to replace him though!
Your first paragraph pretty much confirms that you think it was okay because it meant you got what you wanted.
I'm fascinated to see who the Tories put up though, most likely Anthony Calvert who stood against Ed Balls in 2010 and in Wakefield in 2015 and 2017 or possibly the Tory cllr for Ossett who is a prolific poster on the Voteuk forum and who was Ahmad-Khan's agent in 2019.
I would also be bullish about Labour's chances in hypothetical by elections in Ipswich and Shrewsbury even if it's trickier for Labour to hold these in a GE.
(Ok well me)
Even better, Putin later arrested and tried for war crimes, using one of the ICC unpublished arrest warrants.
But it is all predicated on what Ukraine wants.
Not a test player. Same applies for most of the team 😡
Switzerland 1-0 England
Is it better to have a neutered Putin in position who cannot risk anything stupid again as on last chance or an unknown replacement who might be actually competent AND evil…..
Let’s face it we aren’t going to wave goodbye to Putin and have him replaced by a benevolent Mandela type - Navalny isn’t particularly desirable as he’s a Russian nationalist too just a slightly different flavour. And probably more competent.
So my vote would be a weak Putin for a few years and the Russian people gradually finding their voice and someone emerging to take over.
If he does get removed however it has to be by the Russians and not an assassination that can be pinned on the west rightly or wrongly.
First batch of German anti-tank Matador guns has arrived in Ukraine
2650 guns have arrived, 2450 will be produced; Kyiv bought them for €25mn
https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1507764517614280707
Bairstow perhaps, as an interim measure while grooming Lawrence or Crawley?
Bloody hell, that's a big crash.
More broadly, although Starmer and his team are more politically astute than either of his predecessors, their campaigns department remains dire and they need to re-learn some campaigning basics. Their literature is poor, online game some way behind the Conservatives still, and they cannot do a decent photo op. I know all parties have some shiterature going out in places, but they really need to up their game at HQ - it's unprofessional.
https://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/1507758525447294977
It's just a thing with fluids. A bit like a Hurricane in the weather. With dense fluids it can be almost like a drill on apparently very hard things.
England are three down but Alex Lees is somehow not one of them.
https://marieluisebeck.de/artikel/20-06-2017/timothy-snyder-germanys-historical-responsibility-ukraine
Worth reading the whole thing, but given recent comments about Ukrainian collaboration with Hitler, this is worth pointing out.
… These points although they are very basic and they are completely obvious, when you think about them, are typical of Ukrainian history. They are typical for the fact that Ukraine was ruled first as part of Soviet Union and then under an incredibly bloody and devastating German occupation.
When we think about the way that occupation ended we often overlook certain basic points, like this: far, far more Ukrainians died fighting against the Wehrmacht than fighting on the side of the Wehrmacht. Incomparably more Ukrainians were fighting against the Wehrmacht than on the side of the Wehrmacht. Which is not something that one can say about any country that is considered being an ally. It's not something that one can say for example about France, which is why there is no official French history of the Second World War and why there will never be an official French history of the Second World War even under Macron. There are some things Macron cannot do and one of them will be this. He will not write the official history of the Second World War in France. Because more French soldiers fought on the axis side than on the allied side.
More Ukrainians died on the allied side than French. More Ukrainians fought and died on the allied side than British. More Ukrainians fought and died on the allied side than Americans. More Ukrainians fought and died on the allied side than French, British and Americans put together …
Also all good wishes to @NickPalmer for a speedy recovery.
In my bit of the Lakes it has been like summer today. The younglings have gone to the beach (envy-inducing photo of said beach below) and I have made a start on tidying the front garden. My first tulips are out. Also below
The sad thing about Ukraine is that everyone has always used them as a pawn. Germany in 1918, the Whites in 1919, the Soviets in 1922 and 1931, the Nazis in 1941 and the Soviets again in 1944 and 1948. And now the Russians. Or even NATO, arguably, who are getting if I am honest a little too much schadenfreude out of Ukraine making the Russians look incredibly silly even as they are pounded into rubble.
And I could go further back and talk about the Polish Lithuanian Commonwealth and their role within it.
And what have they always wanted? To be left alone to live in peace.
Edit: @Dura_Ace
So England are in effect five down for 39.
World leaders at keeping covid at bay for so long, but gone south very quickly.
Germany is calming that it has to stop giving weapons to Ukraine because it has run out, and needs to keep the last few for herself, but when its offered money, some how then it finds weapons to give.
I'm pleased that Ukraine is getting some of the weapons it so badly needs right now, I just a little sad that they have not been donated, by Germany.
Walk into a supermarket in Stroud not wearing a mask and they look at you like you've dropped out of a dog's arse.
Walk into a supermarket round here wearing one and they're on the phone saying a lunatic's escaped.
NY Times
https://twitter.com/twitskeptic/status/1507761370732765185
But that's as likely as TSE eating a pizza with pineapple on.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FOpfBh4VgAEbt7H?format=jpg&name=medium
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/71/wr/mm7106e1.htm
The blacklog of destroyed Russian equipment is still the same as before. The volume of new materiel prevents me from starting on it.
https://twitter.com/oryxspioenkop/status/1507786441962758151
Most transition of Omicon has been inter household, so if you kids they will bring it in etc.
But I just asked the question, and you answered. All good.
I'm surprised that somebody could not help him, there must be lots of Tank-spotter geeks who would love the Qudoes of being involved in this.
The study pre-dates omicron. And it does not prove the effectiveness of masks as clearly as the table implies, given that there is self-reporting involved. People who self-report to wear masks indoors probably are more risk averse to COVID in every aspect of their lives - the amount of time they spend outside their house, in company with other people, indoors in public areas, how close they get to others, how frequently and diligently they wash their hands, and so on and so on.
Thus, from my reading of the paper, what the graphic shows is that people who self-report as always wearing masks indoors have a mindset and a set of behaviours which, combined, reduce their chances of getting COVID by the stated number. I highly doubt that all, or even the majority of, the stated reduction was directly attributable to mask-wearing, even before omicron came along.
I have no doubt this was the same in most Western European countries and would have been the same to a large extent in Britain had the Germans conquered us.
The East was a different war.