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So what should CON MPs and members do now? – politicalbetting.com

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  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,118
    Government sending out ministers as cannon fodder.

    The one on CH4 News had a large Duran Duran at Manchester Poly poster in the background!

    Trying to get into the Downing Street groove...

  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,118

    Eye candy.
    Poor Carrie
  • eekeek Posts: 29,399

    Doesn't the Epstein Settlement she agreed to preclude her from testifying against Maxwell? Or do Criminal proceedings not work that way?

    While Prince Andrew wasn't a party to the Epstein settlement, Maxwell almost certainly was.

    Plus they didn't need her testimony to win the case anyway.
    I believe from what I read that it was believed that Virginia's testimony would be awkward (as she was both trafficked and later helped traffick others) so they decided not to use her as a witness in the Maxwell case.
  • Worse. He lives in Sweden.

    And is apparently an 'English expert' ;)
    Well remember how someone attacked Andrea for daring to comment on UK politics as an Italian.

    Speaking as an American, an obvious cheap shot!
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Roger said:

    Poor Carrie
    At least we can see that her husband is doing his share of breast feeding duty.
  • Roger said:

    Government sending out ministers as cannon fodder.

    The one on CH4 News had a large Duran Duran at Manchester Poly poster in the background!

    Trying to get into the Downing Street groove...

    "I can't read about it/Burns the skin from my eyes"
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,961
    edited January 2022

    I would distinguish between the person and their (artistic) product. Personally I wouldn't want to ban Mein Kampf (or Mao's Little Red Book), Rolf Harris's paintings, Gary Glitter's or Michael Jackson's music, or Eric Gill's sculptures.

    But nor would I wish to see statues or other monuments of any of the above decorating my town centre.
    We won't need to worry in the near future, AI can create all our art for us as we please....In fact, it already does, my avatar is AI generated, I just taken delivery of 10 AI generated paintings that I controlled the generation of and at this moment currently having some AI write some fantastic poetry for me....
  • Chris said:

    Unstoppable. Ineffable. Like the earth turning or the sun rising each morning.

    image
    100% pure muscle.
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,838

    Thoughts and prayers tonight to Matt Hancock. Who was forced to resign because he didn't socially distance with, checks notes, one other colleague, whereas the Prime Liar didn't distance with 30 or 40 of them.

    Not to mention Neil Ferguson, who resigned because he had been seeing one woman not his wife.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 44,882
    pigeon said:

    That was unnecessary. Trousers?!?!

    Fine for rambling, not exactly designed for speed.
    I am not a fast runner. However, when going through knee-deep nettles, I'd argue that trousers are preferable.

    (I often run off-road in lowland areas. At the moment it's a bit of a mud quagmire.)
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,838
    IshmaelZ said:

    At least we can see that her husband is doing his share of breast feeding duty.
    Judging by that photo, it must be quite a large share too.
  • rcs1000 said:

    The PM will then declare that the report totally exonerates him, and then places the report in the circular drawer.

    I mean he's lied about so much already, he might as well go one further step.
    There's an awful lot of "After you, Claude" with the possible ways of condemning/ditching the Bozzmeister. Nobody really wants to be the one to pull the trigger.

    Understandable, he is the PM after all. But it's one of the things that keeps him in Downing Street Garden office.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 44,882

    Well remember how someone attacked Andrea for daring to comment on UK politics as an Italian.

    Speaking as an American, an obvious cheap shot!
    I don't think Andrea was quite so (ahem) negative about the English as Stuart is ...
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,792

    Which diminutive Covid Warden do you think took all the photos?
    Chris said:

    Not to mention Neil Ferguson, who resigned because he had been seeing one woman not his wife.
    He resigned? We’ve certainly seen an awful lot of him since!
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,325

    I am not a fast runner. However, when going through knee-deep nettles, I'd argue that trousers are preferable.

    (I often run off-road in lowland areas. At the moment it's a bit of a mud quagmire.)
    I never go for trousers/leggings, but I do wear long compression socks. Keeps the mud at bay.
    On the subject of Ron Hill, saw him give a talk once. Very engaging, if a bit mad. Long record of going for a run every day, even if just for a few minutes. His marathon tales are fascinating, including thoughts on hydration (he didn’t drink during a race, and thought his competitors ‘weak’ if they did...)
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 64,686

    He resigned? We’ve certainly seen an awful lot of him since!
    I think he was removed from SAGE but continued to advise them. Or some bollocks like that.

  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 44,882

    We won't need to worry in the near future, AI can create all our art for us as we please....In fact, it already does, my avatar is AI generated, I just taken delivery of 10 AI generated paintings that I controlled the generation of and at this moment currently having some AI write some fantastic poetry for me....
    Sadly, your avatar looks like some of the worse creations from the character generator in Elite Dangerous ...

    https://elite-dangerous.fandom.com/wiki/Holo-Me?file=Holo-Me-character-male-1.png

    (Uncanny Valley is very precipitous when it comes to faces.)
  • I don't think Andrea was quite so (ahem) negative about the English as Stuart is ...
    Nonsense! Stuart is almost as much of an Anglophile as Malc!
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 44,882

    Nonsense! Stuart is almost as much of an Anglophile as Malc!
    But without the banter, obvs.
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022
    No-one wants to declare the pandemic over but I'm not sure where it goes from here. If cases are falling, deaths aren't rising and hospitals have space where else does this go?
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 64,686

    Robert Peston
    @Peston
    ·
    2h
    I am told that in the garden drinking at the 20 May party with Carrie Johnson were two special advisers who were then working in the Cabinet Office for
    @michaelgove
    , and did not work in Downing Street. They were Henry Newman and Josh Grimstone. I have put this to Downing St...

    Robert Peston
    @Peston
    ·
    2h
    but they are not commenting. The point is that the argument this was a purely No 10 work event is much harder to sustain when outsiders there, with the PM's spouse. I assume Sue Gray will pursue this
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,554

    Don't know what you mean by your first two sentences.

    And think you are jumping to concluson, that federal prosecutors considered her an "unsuitable" witness?

    As for your last point, my take is NOT that his lawyers are bad - certainly they were NOT hired on that basis - but rather that they are working without a net.

    Because Andy's REAL defense appears to be . . . wait for it . . . Mummy!

    Re the first two sentences, what I meant was that any facts established in a civil trial would only be on the balance of possibilities whereas to establish guilt in a criminal trial the test is higher.

    Re her not being suitable, I recall reading that somewhere, that US prosecutors had some concerns about her evidence. I may have remembered incorrectly of course.

    Andrew's lawyers seem unknown and a curious bunch, as well as ineffective.

    One aspect has puzzled me. Didn't he have Royal Protection Officers wherever he went? So establishing his whereabouts and whether he was alone or not should be relatively easy. Or am I missing something?
  • The latest Polling Station video from Star Sports has just been uploaded.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C6MCt6WPO4o
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022
    Omicron could in theory be replaced by another variant that is more transmissible and deadly but you could say the same about the flu as well couldn't you?
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 44,882
    edited January 2022

    I never go for trousers/leggings, but I do wear long compression socks. Keeps the mud at bay.
    On the subject of Ron Hill, saw him give a talk once. Very engaging, if a bit mad. Long record of going for a run every day, even if just for a few minutes. His marathon tales are fascinating, including thoughts on hydration (he didn’t drink during a race, and thought his competitors ‘weak’ if they did...)
    Last year I read a 'ten rules on running' article.

    I broke every one. Which may be why I'm not a fast runner. ;)

    Incidentally: a decade or so ago, I heard an interview on the radio with a businessman who had run every day for decades. One day he found himself not having done a run that day, but on an international flight. He asked the stewardesses for permission, and jogged up and down the aisle for half an hour.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 64,686

    Ian Dunt
    @IanDunt
    ·
    47m
    It’s been coming for years and now it's finally happening. Boris Johnson’s lies have caught up with him.


    ====

    Hmm. We shall see.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    No-one wants to declare the pandemic over but I'm not sure where it goes from here. If cases are falling, deaths aren't rising and hospitals have space where else does this go?

    A lull, then a new variant. Next?
  • JBriskin3JBriskin3 Posts: 1,254
    NEW Quinnipiac poll: Biden's approval rating crashes to 33%. 53% disapprove.

    https://twitter.com/ggreenwald/status/1481345207069257738?s=20
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,760
    TOPPING said:

    And eighthly...

    farkinell mate can you keep it pithy. People have got lives to lead here.
    Boaster
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 64,686

    Lewis Goodall
    @lewis_goodall
    ·
    1h
    Feels to me utterly pivotal from PM's point of view he prevents the letter threshold being reached in next 24 hours or so. Story has such momentum right now that if a confidence ballot were held (secret ballot) there may be no stopping it. They have to buy time and they know it.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    I never go for trousers/leggings, but I do wear long compression socks. Keeps the mud at bay.
    On the subject of Ron Hill, saw him give a talk once. Very engaging, if a bit mad. Long record of going for a run every day, even if just for a few minutes. His marathon tales are fascinating, including thoughts on hydration (he didn’t drink during a race, and thought his competitors ‘weak’ if they did...)
    Fascinating indeed
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 44,882
    DavidL said:

    Boaster
    Isn't a 'life' what you do before you have kids?

    Or discover PB?
  • MattWMattW Posts: 25,752
    edited January 2022

    No-one wants to declare the pandemic over but I'm not sure where it goes from here. If cases are falling, deaths aren't rising and hospitals have space where else does this go?

    A couple of weeks premature, perhaps. Deaths *are* rising.

  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468
    IanB2 said:

    It's a shame there are no Tory MPs with I-surnames, so that with an extra potential candidate and a bit of shuffling PB'ers could come up with a suitable acronym.
    H-I-T-S?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,961
    edited January 2022

    Sadly, your avatar looks like some of the worse creations from the character generator in Elite Dangerous ...

    https://elite-dangerous.fandom.com/wiki/Holo-Me?file=Holo-Me-character-male-1.png

    (Uncanny Valley is very precipitous when it comes to faces.)
    Its not suppose to pass for "real". Its an AI drawing.
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022
    IshmaelZ said:

    A lull, then a new variant. Next?
    Are well living through a cold pandemic or a flu pandemic? Admittedly I am writing from Wales where we still have substantial restrictions.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,399
    Local Boris news

    The Northern Echo:
    Two North East Conservatives replied to our request, Peter Gibson and Jacob Young, who accepted the PM’s apology.

    But the three County Durham Conservatives, Dehenna Davison, for Bishop Auckland, Paul Howell, for Sedgefield, and Richard Holden, for North-West Durham, failed to respond.

    Somehow the 3 County Durham MPs appear way more political astute than the Tees Valley ones.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,961
    edited January 2022
    Just wondering....when newspapers don't name an individual "for legal" reasons, but provide such a level of information that you don't need to be the world champion guess who player, in fact there is only a single individual who fits the presented facts, does that break the not naming them?
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    kyf_100 said:

    And this is the bind we're in.

    Put interest rates up, and the housing market goes kaput, a lot of people end up in negative equity, still more used to a decade of cheap credit won't be able to afford repayments. The early 90s all over again.

    Don't put interest rates up, and we end up in an inflationary spiral that destroys the economy in an entirely different way. 70s stagflation style.

    I'm not sure I see a way out of it, tbh.
    Sterilisation combined with fiscal dampening and gradual monetary tightening.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 50,448
    IanB2 said:

    In practice, he can’t clear his name though, can he? There is no outcome now where he can return to public life and continue opening new branches of Asda as if nothing has happened.
    I expect a torrent of victim blaming. That is the default for legal teams defending alleged sex offenders.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 64,686
    ..


  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,208
    edited January 2022

    Just wondering....when newspapers don't name an individual "for legal" reasons, but provide such a level of information that you don't need to be the world champion guess who player, in fact there is only a single individual who fits the presented facts, does that break the not naming them?

    I was just about to post about that, it is jigsaw identification.

    The last paragraph in this Telegraph article is reprehensible.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/rugby-union/2022/01/12/danny-cipriani-not-arrested-england-rugby-player-claims-wife/
  • MattWMattW Posts: 25,752
    IshmaelZ said:

    Fascinating indeed
    Merino long-johns for winter.
  • glwglw Posts: 10,254

    Omicron could in theory be replaced by another variant that is more transmissible and deadly but you could say the same about the flu as well couldn't you?

    Absolutely. In fact one of the risks we face is that we forget about flu for a while due to being focused on the coronavirus. We'd be damned foolish to drop our guard against flu.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,961
    edited January 2022

    I was just about to post about that, it is jigsaw identification.

    The last paragraph in this Telegraph column is reprehensible.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/rugby-union/2022/01/12/danny-cipriani-not-arrested-england-rugby-player-claims-wife/
    Between the Telegraph and Guardian reports from both there is only a single individual who fits the given facts.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 50,448
    dixiedean said:

    Nothing embodies projection more than Tory railing against an "unaccountable Metropolitan elite."
    As they used to say on History Today.
    That's you, that is.

    Unaccountable Metropolitan Elites that consider a BYO in the garden as work?
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    IshmaelZ said:

    Yes, but if houses as a whole go up, nice houses go up even more. So one's chances of ever living in one recede in the rear view mirror. I feel for you.
    It’s not for sale. My wife would kill me.

    Although with some of the offers…
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 44,882

    Its not suppose to pass for "real". Its an AI drawing.
    Yes, and I'm pointing out how manipulation of a few basic rules can lead to similar results with large variety - and often better.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,119

    No-one wants to declare the pandemic over but I'm not sure where it goes from here. If cases are falling, deaths aren't rising and hospitals have space where else does this go?

    China, it looks like. Which could well have a huge economic impact, particularly on inflation.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,399
    Charles said:

    It’s not for sale. My wife would kill me.

    Although with some of the offers…
    Problem is you need somewhere better to move to and.....
  • Between the Telegraph and Guardian reports from both there is only a single individual who fits the given facts.
    Yup.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 25,752
    edited January 2022

    I was just about to post about that, it is jigsaw identification.

    The last paragraph in this Telegraph article is reprehensible.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/rugby-union/2022/01/12/danny-cipriani-not-arrested-england-rugby-player-claims-wife/
    I agree, however in these cases we have long had a guilty until proven innocent trial-by-media culture. So its not really a surprise.

    In the absence of legal identity protection for innocent-until-proven-guilty people accused of or speculated about like this, can the journo be caught by the Malicious Communications laws?
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,968

    Misogyny. 🤔
    I quoted straight off the sky news, she touched the PMs leg. Imagine it the other way round. For me There’s something about her behaviour which invites the “Jizz with Liz” meme. Which is what my email is clearly saying. Maybe it doesn’t exist with no Dishy on Rishy first. But just look at that picture above for example.

    Is she too keen to be seen and known as sexy?

    I have Randy thoughts all the time everyday, but if high profile in politics, I wouldn’t pose for attention like that, I’d prefer to Be seen and known talking and listening to people.

    You can carry on calling this point of view misogyny if you want Aslan - interesting to see what you call as key evidence.

    I have touched on this theme, ladies in politics before. Last weeks PMQs my opinion was a lady in a room of men in suits doesn’t have to make much effort to dress in a way that stands out. So my opinion is don’t. Don’t go down the route of using sex appeal to get noticed, stick to politics appeal.
    If you want to contend - I’m off watching Landscape Painting not ignoring you or running away from debate. 👩🏻‍🎨

    I mean look at that photo - anyone who says she is trying too hard and it’s a mistake is accused of misogyny?
  • Silent Rish... still no public message of support from the Chancellor as we approach print deadlines.

    https://twitter.com/benrileysmith/status/1481354471573798922
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,838

    He resigned? We’ve certainly seen an awful lot of him since!
    I daresay it would be much the same with Boris.

    But Boris must stay!
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 64,686
    I think the 2019 red wallers MPs could be crucial here.

    They are only there because the WWC in left-behind towns and villages like Mansfield decided that Johnson was different and would do something and Labour had took them for granted for too long.

    But many/most of these voters broke with literally generations of Lab voting. Many talked of their grandfathers turning in their graves. It was deep. It was emotional.

    And if they conclude that they were cheated, then the swing back in anger will be devastating imho.

  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 64,686
    Leaflet for Red Wall seats from Labour in 2024:


    "Come Home"

  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 64,686

    Silent Rish... still no public message of support from the Chancellor as we approach print deadlines.

    https://twitter.com/benrileysmith/status/1481354471573798922

    My teeth are killing me.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,968
    eek said:

    Local Boris news

    The Northern Echo:
    Two North East Conservatives replied to our request, Peter Gibson and Jacob Young, who accepted the PM’s apology.

    But the three County Durham Conservatives, Dehenna Davison, for Bishop Auckland, Paul Howell, for Sedgefield, and Richard Holden, for North-West Durham, failed to respond.

    Somehow the 3 County Durham MPs appear way more political astute than the Tees Valley ones.

    Point for us all to be sure of is, if it does go to a vonk secret ballot he doesn’t for sure have the vote of those two who publicly supported.
  • . . . meanwhile back at the Ranch . . .

    Bellingham [WA] Herald - Whatcom County Council names replacement for [late State] Sen. Ericksen

    https://www.bellinghamherald.com/news/politics-government/article257216342.html

    Whatcom County Council members selected Simon Sefzik to finish the term of state Sen. Doug Ericksen, who died Dec. 17 after a five-week battle with COVID-19. Sefzik was chosen on a 4-2 vote as the council met in special session Tuesday, Jan. 11, and was immediately sworn in. . .

    Councilmembers Todd Donovan, Barry Buchanan, Carol Frazey and Kaylee Galloway [elected as non-partisan but Democrats] voted for Sefzik, and councilmembers Kathy Kershner and Tyler Byrd [Republicans] voted for Ben Elenbass [ditto], a member of the County Council who was one of the nominees. Elenbaas recused himself from the selection process . . . .

    Sefzik was one of three candidates that the Whatcom County Republican Party submitted to replace Ericksen . . . He was a Republican, so under state law, the local GOP organization submitted three candidates for the County Council to consider.

    Candidates’ names were disclosed Dec. 31:
    ▪ Sefzik, 22, of Ferndale, is a recent graduate of Patrick Henry College, a conservative Christian school in northeast Virginia. He interned in Congress and at the White House in 2020 and 2021.
    ▪ Ben Elenbass, who represents the council’s 5th District, encompassing western Whatcom County. He works at BP Cherry Point refinery and is a farmer.
    ▪ Tawsha Dykstra Thompson, a former Bellingham Police sergeant. Thompson left the department in December 2021, but didn’t cite a reason for leaving on her resume and didn’t respond to The Bellingham Herald’s question about her reason for leaving . . .

    Elenbaas has said that he wouldn’t resign his council position if [appointed] . . . But all four council members who voted for Sefzik said that Elenbaas’ decision to keep both his County Council position and the Senate seat if he were the nominee was troubling for them. . .

    SSI - Sen. Ericksen died in December after contracting COVID; a Putinist (in fact, co-chair of Trumps 2016 campaign in WA) appears he was not vaxxed.

    Further note that the state senate seat PLUS both state house seats from this swing district were already in play for 2022 before Ericksen's death; in fact, he was only reelected four years ago by less than 50 votes. One of the current house members (both Ds) was already gearing up to run for senate, so at least two open seats on the 2022 primary & general ballot.

    Could be argued, that Dem majority on Whatcom Co Council picked avoided picking strongest potential candidate to succeed Ericksen, namely Elenbass (though he went out of his way giving them other reasons). Waters are still murky, for example will Elenbass run AGAINST Sefzik in the August top-two primary?
  • RH1992RH1992 Posts: 788
    eek said:

    Local Boris news

    The Northern Echo:
    Two North East Conservatives replied to our request, Peter Gibson and Jacob Young, who accepted the PM’s apology.

    But the three County Durham Conservatives, Dehenna Davison, for Bishop Auckland, Paul Howell, for Sedgefield, and Richard Holden, for North-West Durham, failed to respond.

    Somehow the 3 County Durham MPs appear way more political astute than the Tees Valley ones.

    Must be something in the water on Teesside, the local Tories can only seem to produce total duds such as Steve Turner and Ben Houchen.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    eek said:

    Problem is you need somewhere better to move to and.....
    We are on the best street in the best town in the best county in the best state in the US.

    We could have a larger house or be 20 feet nearer the ocean but neither are strictly necessary.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,325

    Leaflet for Red Wall seats from Labour in 2024:


    "Come Home"

    All other things aside, I find that exceptionally annoying. Taking Scots voters for granted was one reason for Labour being wiped out in Scotland. Saying come home implies that labour is the natural vote for the red wall. Sorry, how about earn it?
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Chris said:

    I daresay it would be much the same with Boris.

    But Boris must stay!
    Charlie Falconer of all people calling for Boris to resign today. You would have thought he had his own position to consider.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,004
    edited January 2022

    No-one wants to declare the pandemic over but I'm not sure where it goes from here. If cases are falling, deaths aren't rising and hospitals have space where else does this go?

    Delta caught back up to it's previous peak just before Omicron arrived (See rolling case Ave 16 July / 30 Nov). It's less likely but Omicron could do the same.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,792

    I think he was removed from SAGE but continued to advise them. Or some bollocks like that.

    Which is even more ironic given we’ve seen more airtime from the Fergie Love Shack than all of the other Sagers put together.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,399
    edited January 2022

    Leaflet for Red Wall seats from Labour in 2024:


    "Come Home"

    More like -

    Remember what the Tories promised
    Want to actually get it

  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 64,686

    Which is even more ironic given we’ve seen more airtime from the Fergie Love Shack than all of the other Sagers put together.
    Indeed.

    And usually spouting some prediction or other that turns out to be utterly wrong.
  • FT?
    Not really what I would consider as a Newspaper. Rather a store of ever changing numbers. Incidentally my Dad worked as a distribution rep for the FT for more than 30 years. So I have a house full of FT junk. Not because I like the paper at all but because it reminds me of my Dad.
  • I know as a Brexiteer you'll be spitting your cocoa out at this, but the Economist is by far the best news periodical in the UK. Insightful and intelligent - you just have to try to ignore when its editorial slant goes against your own biases (as it does with me on occasion).
    Yep the Economist is well written but I was only considering Daily Newspapers.
  • Oh my word.

    Here's Trump on OAN calling out DeSantis, but not by name: "I watched a couple of politicians be interviewed, and one of the questions was, 'did you get the booster?' Because they had the vaccine ... the answer is yes, but they don't want to say it. Because they're gutless."

    https://twitter.com/atrupar/status/1481355199121960971
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,760

    Isn't a 'life' what you do before you have kids?

    Or discover PB?
    Really can’t remember. Sorry.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,554
    Foxy said:

    I expect a torrent of victim blaming. That is the default for legal teams defending alleged sex offenders.
    There are two potential defences.

    1. I never slept with her at all. If dates are specified and Andrew can show that he was elsewhere on those dates or has RP officers to confirm that he was alone then that is that.
    2. I did sleep with her but I reasonably thought she wanted to sleep with me too. I had no idea at all that she was trafficked. It is possible that as part of the Epstein-Maxwell shtick they made the girls behave as if they wanted to sleep with the older men. Then it will turn on whether the belief that the girl consented was reasonable given her behaviour etc. This defence would involve questioning the girl as to the MO of Epstein and Maxwell when offering up the girls to their friends and that is where Giuffre's involvement in trafficking herself may be distinctly unhelpful to her case.

    Possibly there is a third defence: I have no recollection of this girl because I had relations with lots of women at this time (I was a divorced man) but if I did sleep with her it would only have been because she was willing etc.

    But even if he wins the civil suit, his name is still mud - because of that disastrous interview. And frankly no lawyer with a brain cell in their body would put Andrew up as a witness. So the best he can hope for is a generous settlement with no admission of liability and to disappear from public life and concentrate on being a grandad. Getting a settlement is what his lawyers should have been seeking from the start. He needs much much better US lawyers. There are plenty of them about. Were I funding his defence I would insist on choosing good lawyers not the dubious friends and unknown lawyers he has surrounded himself with - and doing what was best for the Royal Family not one rather dim member of it. Stupid stupid man.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 64,686

    All other things aside, I find that exceptionally annoying. Taking Scots voters for granted was one reason for Labour being wiped out in Scotland. Saying come home implies that labour is the natural vote for the red wall. Sorry, how about earn it?
    Like Johnson has earned keeping their vote.

    I am catching up on pre xmas reading. The Speccie has a long interview with Gove about levelling up. Apparently his plan is to recreate Medici Florence in the north of England.

  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,613
    edited January 2022
    TimT said:

    H-I-T-S?
    The standard galley blackboard abbreviation for Herrings-in, in Royal Naval parlance - the tinned delicacy known as Herrings in Tomato Sauce to the rest of us.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,792

    Just wondering....when newspapers don't name an individual "for legal" reasons, but provide such a level of information that you don't need to be the world champion guess who player, in fact there is only a single individual who fits the presented facts, does that break the not naming them?

    Yes. In media law, if they are obviously identifiable through biographical details, you are deemed to have identified them.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,399
    Think David Allen Green has worked out what Sue Gray's report will be


    Wonder if the Sue Gray report will be like the Mueller report

    Just facts, no findings of culpability

    Allowing the executive to say it has been ‘cleared’ - despite the findings of fact pointing otherwise

    https://twitter.com/davidallengreen/status/1481356917020704782

    After all if you don't make any comment beyond the facts you've found there is little that can be done about it.
  • Silent Rish... still no public message of support from the Chancellor as we approach print deadlines.

    https://twitter.com/benrileysmith/status/1481354471573798922

    Later, rather than Soon-ak?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 50,448
    glw said:

    Absolutely. In fact one of the risks we face is that we forget about flu for a while due to being focused on the coronavirus. We'd be damned foolish to drop our guard against flu.
    Hardly any flu or RSV about. My Trust has 260 covid patients and only 6 with other respiratory virus.

    They may be a bit evidence light for covid, but for other respiratory viruses "Hands, Face, Space" work a treat.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,760

    Between the Telegraph and Guardian reports from both there is only a single individual who fits the given facts.
    In Scotland we lock journalists up for less than that.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 64,686

    Oh my word.

    Here's Trump on OAN calling out DeSantis, but not by name: "I watched a couple of politicians be interviewed, and one of the questions was, 'did you get the booster?' Because they had the vaccine ... the answer is yes, but they don't want to say it. Because they're gutless."

    https://twitter.com/atrupar/status/1481355199121960971

    With deep regret I say he looks and sounds 20 years younger than Biden, who must stand aside in 2024 for a new generation.
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468
    Carnyx said:

    The standard galley blackboard abbreviation for Herrings-in, in Royal Naval parlance - the tinned delicacy known as Herrings in Tomato Sauce to the rest of us.
    Sounds about as appetizing ...
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 50,448
    edited January 2022

    China, it looks like. Which could well have a huge economic impact, particularly on inflation.
    Not just China, but a lot of Asia and Africa will be covid zones for this year, and red state America is going to be a mess.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 37,089
    I’ve been on a visit all day today continuing work on our #PlanForJobs as well as meeting MPs to discuss the energy situation.

    The PM was right to apologise and I support his request for patience while Sue Gray carries out her enquiry.

    https://twitter.com/RishiSunak/status/1481358087286108169
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,613
    edited January 2022
    TimT said:

    Sounds about as appetizing ...
    I'm thinking of the 1940s-1960s - they I think have moved on a bit now.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Foxy said:

    I expect a torrent of victim blaming. That is the default for legal teams defending alleged sex offenders.
    "victim blaming" is up there with "conspiracy theory" as an indicator of abdication from the thought process. Problem here is a younger friend of the victim who says the victim a. loved it and b. procured her (the younger friend) into the sex toy world. So either you believe her victim blaming theory, or you think she's a liar, which makes you a victim blamer. paradox innit.


  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,004

    I was just about to post about that, it is jigsaw identification.

    The last paragraph in this Telegraph article is reprehensible.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/rugby-union/2022/01/12/danny-cipriani-not-arrested-england-rugby-player-claims-wife/
    Can you relay it here, not all of us are Tele subs.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,399
    Scott_xP said:

    I’ve been on a visit all day today continuing work on our #PlanForJobs as well as meeting MPs to discuss the energy situation.

    The PM was right to apologise and I support his request for patience while Sue Gray carries out her enquiry.

    https://twitter.com/RishiSunak/status/1481358087286108169

    I can't see any support for the PM within that tweet - it's remarkable well written to pretend it does something it actually doesn't do...
  • glwglw Posts: 10,254
    Foxy said:

    Hardly any flu or RSV about. My Trust has 260 covid patients and only 6 with other respiratory virus.

    They may be a bit evidence light for covid, but for other respiratory viruses "Hands, Face, Space" work a treat.
    Sure such measures have supressed flu, what I meant is that we shouldn't think that coronavirus is the main pandemic threat, flu hasn't disappeared and that has long been seen as the most likely cause of the "big one".
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 37,089
    Following the prime minister's unapology (looks like one, isn't really), this is very much a message of unsupport. https://twitter.com/RobDotHutton/status/1481359370936070153/photo/1
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 13,669

    Of course, some see that as bad, some see it as good. I’m of the latter view, and I am still disappointed my EU citizenship has been removed against my will and I am no longer directly part of such a project.

    But, it’d be a boring world if we all agreed on everything.

    I think it’s always been explicit, from its founding charter, that a unified state is the eventual goal? Ages ago I shared a link to a Twitter thread that showed comprehensively that has always been explicit and that point was recognised and debated widely, in the press and on TV, before we went in.

    I was watching some old Auf Weidersehen, Pet the other week, second series I think. They were going to Spain, saying how good it would be to get away from all the Customs crap to get on to the continent thanks to the EEC that was coming in shortly. How times change.
    Yes, you are right and wrong. It is perfectly reasonable to want a United States of Europe. You do, I don't. It is also correct that the ambition for it was hiding in plain sight. It is also correct that at no point ever either in national politics or in the Remain campaign has it been asserted, argued for, supported or anything other than derided as a right wing conspiracy theorist fantasy.


  • Pulpstar said:

    Can you relay it here, not all of us are Tele subs.
    The Daily Telegraph has contacted the RFU for comment, but the player is not a member of Eddie Jones' last England squad.
  • RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 3,080
    Interesting tweet from Sunak, which doesn’t actually support the PM but the process behind the report
  • Cyclefree said:

    Re the first two sentences, what I meant was that any facts established in a civil trial would only be on the balance of possibilities whereas to establish guilt in a criminal trial the test is higher.

    Re her not being suitable, I recall reading that somewhere, that US prosecutors had some concerns about her evidence. I may have remembered incorrectly of course.

    Andrew's lawyers seem unknown and a curious bunch, as well as ineffective.

    One aspect has puzzled me. Didn't he have Royal Protection Officers wherever he went? So establishing his whereabouts and whether he was alone or not should be relatively easy. Or am I missing something?
    Before I make my own sage comments to yours, allow me to thank you for you last post! As a profoundly learned classicist, perhaps the PM may recognize similarities between himself and Nero, in particular partying while London (& beyond) was quarantining . . . on his orders.

    On your points, for starters re: civil & criminal, you are correct re: test of guilt. MY point is that regardless of ground for ultimate verdict, evidence will come to light that will be grist for prosecutorial mill(s). For example, in helping to connect the dots thus strengthening chain of evidence and drawing the net tighter.

    Personally think that Rancid Andy is NOT the main target. Which are more likely his major aiders & abettors. For example, corrupt previous federal prosecutors who gave Epstein and Maxwell their sweetheart "stay out of jail for ???" deals in the first place.

    As for the royal protection officers, they and rest of The Firm will almost certainly know a LOT more about all of this than has been revealed.

    While I would trust their sworn word on this & related topics, about as much as I would Boris Johnson's, still plenty of scope for at least selected skeletons to be tumbled out of the royal closet. Esp. when QEII is no longer around to keep the lid on Pandora's box.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 37,089

    Interesting tweet from Sunak, which doesn’t actually support the PM but the process behind the report

    as the noose supports the hanged man.
    https://twitter.com/euanmccolm/status/1481360160832503813
    https://twitter.com/RishiSunak/status/1481358087286108169
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,325

    Like Johnson has earned keeping their vote.

    I am catching up on pre xmas reading. The Speccie has a long interview with Gove about levelling up. Apparently his plan is to recreate Medici Florence in the north of England.

    To be clear this is not about Johnson, it’s about the idea that red wall voters are ‘naturally’ labour. Give them more credit, and something positive to vote for.
  • eek said:

    I can't see any support for the PM within that tweet - it's remarkable well written to pretend it does something it actually doesn't do...
    It has to be said- Rishi is good at politics, in the way that (say) Keir isn't.
    We might be about to find out if that's enough to run a country.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,863

    It has to be said- Rishi is good at politics, in the way that (say) Keir isn't.
    We might be about to find out if that's enough to run a country.
    Probably not, but it will be better than what we have now.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,421
    Scott_xP said:

    I’ve been on a visit all day today continuing work on our #PlanForJobs as well as meeting MPs to discuss the energy situation.

    The PM was right to apologise and I support his request for patience while Sue Gray carries out her enquiry.

    https://twitter.com/RishiSunak/status/1481358087286108169

    Enquiry or Inquiry?

    Come on PB, you know everything else, what's the correct spelling?
This discussion has been closed.