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Will Johnson make the 2022 leader’s conference speech? – politicalbetting.com
Will Johnson make the 2022 leader’s conference speech? – politicalbetting.com
Lots of speculation today about the future of Boris Johnson as prime minister and leader of the Conservative Party. the big question is how long is he going to remain in the job and Betfair have just put one up on whether he’ll still be in the job at this year’s Conservative conference.
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Only thing that might see a VONC is heavy losses in the local elections, including Westminster and Kensington and Chelsea going Labour or NOC
If they replaced Boris with the Bishop of Bath and Wells from Blackadder it would be better.
@cath_haddon
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1h
What most people I’ve spoken to can’t get their head around is why the ‘isn’t this a bad idea/ how will this look?’ question asked by so many in No10 la over the years on so many issues was not asked at very top on this.
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Because they are set of self-entitled twats who don't care what the little people have to do.
@hendopolis
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2m
FT FRONT: Eat porridge and cuddle up says Energy Supplier
Desperate people now.
We won't be looking back at Easter time and thinking this drinks party thing is the worst thing we have learned about Boris in the YTD.
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2003/oct/10/futureforpublicservices.politics
The problem with NPI's, as they have been described, is that where they are mandated by law they represent an unacceptable level of intrusion in to private freedom. They also have a tendency for mission creep - the idea that we can "keep the public safe" by controlling all kinds of disease through controls on human behaviour and biosurveillance is almost irresistable, after normalisation caused by 2 years of such measures being in place. And the idea that such measures are necessitated as they are an alternative to 'lockdowns' is also very useful and convenient, for those in power who seek to effect change of whatever sort. So to my mind at least, and on a philosophical level, NPIs are actually a greater danger than lockdowns.
The thing that was wrong with it at the CBI is that leading industrialists don't find it hugely amusing, particularly when they want to hear some sober substance about policy when their businesses have been seriously affected by Covid and Brexit. So they were just looking at him utterly aghast and embarrassed at the shambles.
Okay, if the joke has grown stale even with an ultra-partisan conference crowd, then he's finished. But it won't have.
@andrew_lilico
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3m
Has this happened in other countries? Did the French or Italian or US State govts hold parties literally minutes after telling everyone else they should avoid others &, if they had to meet people, meet only in twos?
This is what Oliver Dowden said just 55 minutes before another Downing Street Party. https://twitter.com/DailyMirror/status/1480652084659826694/video/1
BUT we should ask our Tory History expert HY how Gun totting IDS eased aside without even a vonc? It was all very unexpected?
“The Metropolitan Police Service is aware of widespread reporting relating to alleged breaches of the Health Protection Regulations at Downing Street on 20 May 2020 and is in contact with the Cabinet Office.”
https://twitter.com/Tony_Diver/status/1480657449761837070
I'm not sure he's going to survive this. It's the context of what the rest of us were going through, the sacrifices, the loved ones, the deaths.
This is really bad.
A good move, I think. Boris will no doubt follow, but Starmer got in first.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bXmQdi9pwDA
Of course endless covid could provide an excellent reason to stall on doing anything about indyref2 for many years to come, which would truly disappoint her.
Being shit is a necessary but not sufficient condition for MPs to dump their leader.
On reflection, I think he was actually more of a prick than Corbyn.
Generally red states didn't implement mandates, and blue ones did though. So whilst red governors did what they liked they didn't implement restrictions on others.
The people who have always hated Boris, who always wanted him to fail, are no more numerous now than they were the day he won the Tory leadership or the day he won his 80-seat majority. They are not his problem.
His problem is the many other people who were once desperate for him to replace Theresa May, who were happy for him to be given his chance, who hoped very much that he would prove his critics wrong and be a successful PM, and who now feel wretchedly let down by a man who has done far too little to advance things they want, and is far to keen on things they don't want. In short, people who now regard him as an A1 counter-productive political liability. I leave alone his manifest inability to perform the most elementary functions of the premiership, something on which the whole country can probably agree.
Goodness knows, we have had more than enough lousy PMs in the recent past. All of them, bar Boris, at least had sufficient nous to avoid turning their wallpaper into a political scandal.
The real losers of the change of leader are Labour and Lib Dems I suspect.
Clearly BoJo should go- but there's the same challenge there has always been. If he just sits there, brazens it out, and the Parliamentary Conservative Party doesn't VONC him, what forces him out?
A simple resignation by the person with ultimate responsibility would suffice.
https://twitter.com/mattgreencomedy/status/1480627024037396487
That sealed her fate
The UK Health Security Agency, run by Dame Jenny Harries, on Monday admitted it was wrong to claim England's isolation rules were effectively in line with other nations, including the United States.
Its rationale had been repeatedly cited by ministers as they rebuffed calls to cut isolation from seven to five days in order to tackle major staffing crises across most sectors.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2022/01/10/cabinet-anger-misleading-covid-isolation-guidance/
Honestly, what are these people trying to do to the country? It's no wonder conspiracy theories flourish when government departments are actively lying to politicians.
Strange thing was that the Tories pretty much hit their polling. While Labour vastly undershot theirs. There were several polls in the final week with a 20% plus lead.
Everyone seemed to view it through the prism of 1992. So such a stonking win came as something of a surprise.
Christ alone knows what carnage had Labour got the 50%. They were on 53% in one just a week out.
Only IDS was removed for being shit and it made no difference to Tory polling
The government have been reeling out lots of badly written laws - both in terms of COVID and other areas of policy - seeking to regulate and control human behaviour, usually to satisfy popular yearnings for safety. The police have to enforce them, and they are hopelessly unprepared to do so. The whole idea of crime has expanded beyond all recognition in the last decade, and the old ways of doing things can't work anymore.
Did it not occur to these uber political animals that one day it would leak?
They thought if anyone found out, they would get away with it.
HYUFD agrees