Talking of High Priestess Pagel, I made the mistake of looking at her Twitter feed yesterday.
The absolute state of the replies to her tweets. She is like a cult leader seemingly, I could barely believe that some of her devotees were real. Maybe they aren't.
Its a big problem. You'd have to expect that at some level the likes of Pagel and Yates (he of my parish) rather like being the Messiah and having a huge following. How do they stop? Do they want to stop? They have a vested interest in the pandemic continuing, if only for the gratification of getting tweets, likes and follows.
When you look at the deaths by date of death graph now, deaths have basically been flat since 27 Nov.
There was a tiny uptick in first week of Dec followed by an equivalent downtick but overall they've been flat for the last 6 weeks.
Whereas if you had read threads on here, it was posted numerous times throughout Dec by people supposedly doing all kinds of clever analysis that deaths were falling in Dec.
As for what happens next, a rise looks likely but we'll have to see.
- Cases rising quite rapidly. We are seeing London like surges in various areas now - the range of Regional R is interesting.... London cases are now falling again.
- Admissions. Bouncing around, due to regional variations. But the overall R number has dropped.. Have we plateaued?
- Mechanical Ventilator bed occupancy is still flat(ish)
- Deaths are flat(ish) though there are indications of a rise
I still find those graphs hard to interpret, but instinctively your London charts look quite promising to my amateur eye?
Cases are going down. 18-64 Admissions are definitely heading down, the others are showing some signs... Deaths are going up (delayed reporting for the last few days of data etc).
Comments
There was a tiny uptick in first week of Dec followed by an equivalent downtick but overall they've been flat for the last 6 weeks.
Whereas if you had read threads on here, it was posted numerous times throughout Dec by people supposedly doing all kinds of clever analysis that deaths were falling in Dec.
As for what happens next, a rise looks likely but we'll have to see.
Lots of data filling in at last
- Cases rising quite rapidly. We are seeing London like surges in various areas now - the range of Regional R is interesting.... London cases are now falling again.
- Admissions. Bouncing around, due to regional variations. But the overall R number has dropped.. Have we plateaued?
- Mechanical Ventilator bed occupancy is still flat(ish)
- Deaths are flat(ish) though there are indications of a rise
Deaths are actually....
https://www.theguardian.com/lifeandstyle/2022/jan/05/filming-cyclingmikey-dangerous-drivers-mike-van-erp-motorists-britain-roads-safer
A bit of stuff not quite right on the casualties, but a good piece.