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A bit of a CON recovery in the first 2022 poll – politicalbetting.com
A bit of a CON recovery in the first 2022 poll – politicalbetting.com
Westminster Voting Intention (3 Jan):Labour 38% (-1)Conservative 35% (+4)Liberal Democrat 10% (-3)Green 5% (-1)Reform UK 4% (-1)Scottish National Party 5% (–)Other 2% (–)Changes +/- 20 Dechttps://t.co/fcAAHXQrBK pic.twitter.com/kRwCKdbGxq
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On the new Redfield poll the Tories would be back as largest party in a hung parliament after the boundary changes, though Starmer could still be PM with SNP confidence and supply
I mean, leaving aside one's views on the desirability or otherwise of cruise holidays as a concept, even if you love them why in the name of Christ would you actually risk going on one before the pandemic is over? So long as routine testing and mandatory quarantine for contacts are still in use, you are simply inviting disaster (and an extended term of detention in your poky little cabin.)
They cost a bomb, too. Clearly a hobby beloved of pre-senile oldies with a great deal of money and no common sense.
But these two articles may be of interest to some on here -
1. https://medium.com/@cyclefree2/perception-and-reality-7cbe78a2b679
2. https://medium.com/@cyclefree2/the-price-of-indifference-c25d96c64e0b
@Big_G_NorthWales may be interested in the second one as it discusses Aberfan and the recent excellent Radio Wales podcast about it.
ETA and isn't there a privity of contract angle? Should A not have chipped in $1.00 to the settlement?
But we shall miss both as we'll be outside trying to spot a meteor shower through the clouds.
The peak this year is estimated to be the night of January 3-4 and they are expected to be most visible around 9pm GMT.
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/london/quadrantid-meteor-shower-london-2022-explained-b974714.html
I reckon the chances of a Tory lead in Jan are more like 50%.
The Tory fall was over-done and over-egged. Starmer is still unimpressive, and Labour are devoid of policies. Boris is a mercurial character, who can still surprise
He has fended off more restrictions and he could get a rally to the flag bounce: as we fight through winter
@kinabulu may have no sense of humour whatsoever but he is often astute on the politics: neck-and-neck might the theme of the year
The purpose of any new restrictions was solely to ease pressure on the health service. It remains to be seen whether they were "correctly refused" or otherwise.
On the balance of probability the Conservatives under Johnson are more likely to hit troubled water more often than they are to find another magic vaccine. Although the latter is not beyond possiblity I would warrant.
(I'm already on at longer odds - 4.8 (3.75 now))
Not sure why you have an issue with Smarkets - I like it as much as BF.
An interesting - and already evident - tension for cruise lines is when the growing numbers who’d prefer 1970s-80s disco music starts to outnumber those who still hanker for Fred Astaire and pre-war dance hall.
On a separate note, it will also be interesting to see Scottish / Welsh specific polling to see if Sturgeon / Drakeford have taken a hit from cancelling the New Year. The reported hordes flowing into England from both would suggest there might be some repercussions.
Final point: interesting that Labour is down only 1 and the Lib Dems down 3. Wonder what the regional polling splits are because one read through might be the Tories doing better in the South.
SKS behind on best PM
Oh well
In the meantime, why would you go on one of these ships if you're exposing yourself to a high probability of incarceration? You'd be better off buying some DVDs of exotic locations to stick on the telly and cranking the central heating up.
That was a public information message from the Ministry for the Bleedin' Obvious
Although if I were him - and carefully choreographed with the hospital to avoid disruption - I'd do both. Go to a hospital and show how nasty dying from Covid is. Find an anti-vaxxer patient who regrets not being vaccinated and get them to send a message. Then go to a vax centre and say: "If you don't want to risk what that person is going through, get your backside down here."
Of course, he may turn up at a hospital in the next few days.
This is what we call a "dead cat bounce".
Edit: I see IanB2 got ian B4 me.
1 poll in 20 is an outlier.
Justification of Johnson's inaction by suggesting, "well it was a waste of time in Holland" misses the point. I don't think a Holland style lockdown was ever on the cards in any of the home nations.
Johnson hasn't justified one way or the other why he has chosen the course for England he has followed. He has shrugged his shoulders and hoped for the best. Let's hope it works out for him (and us).
I still think Johnson will win in next GE unless deposed by the Tory Nutjob MPs
It is the same pattern as before, it just looked different because they managed to chain multiple scandals into a short space of time.
Whereas Ontario keeping them shut till 19th at least.
To be fair, I like the trailer (especially as it uses Life on Mars) but none of the critics have commented on the fact that this “delightful rom-com” revolves around a romance between a 15 year old boy and a 25 year old woman. The trailer also has the woman showing the boy her t1ts after saying “do you want to see my breasts” and also asking her friend “is it weird I hang out with (15 year old) Gary and his friends?”
Now, let’s reverse the roles and say we have a “Rom-com” with a 25 year old guy and 15 year old girl, the guy saying “wanna see my d1ck?” and then exposing himself, and then asking his friend whether it’s weird he hangs around with a bunch of 15 year old girls…do we reckon the critics would be praising it to the skies…
Now, i didn't bet on the market this time out but I'm wondering how everyone's "Sturegon to be replaced as First Minister before end of 2021" bets did?
or
https://rottentomatoes.com/m/manhattan
One might also include the entire works of Roman Polanski.
I am quite frankly disgusted that you have reached the conclusion that it doesn't really matter what this Government do for the common good, just so long as they do enough to retain a poll lead and win the next GE.
Coprolites don't hold any interest for him... http://www.cafg.net/docs/articles/Wimpole coprolites.pdf
What I'd really like is an organised 'find a fossil' do for kids, where expert(s) are on hand to tell them what they've found in a 'good' area for fossils.
Can he reinvent as serious homme of political affairs without losing his USP of being just the most amusing thing ever?
A fine line to tread.
Boris has correctly positioned himself on the right side of that divide to motivate his base
Maybe I should give up on the queasiness and just go with the general flow of the critics…
I only name-dropped the Netherlands because their Draconian approach - enforcing severe social distancing upon the whole population - is the only thing that might still do some good against Omicron, albeit with the caveat that it was done going into a holiday season, so there'll be a mass return to workplaces imminently, and they're going to relent and let the schools go back next week, so we may see cases start to properly take off shortly. I wouldn't be at all surprised if they'd just ended up delaying a very steep rise in cases, rather than flattening it out.
Anyway, the point I was seeking to make is that we've seen a variety of approaches to restrictions, involving the use of vaccine passports, masks and social distancing to a greater or lesser extent across a whole variety of European jurisdictions, and no variation in approach short of hard lockdown appears to have made any difference at all once the Omicron variant has got its teeth stuck into a population. That's all.
Sadly.
I certainly wouldn’t bet against the SNP. The fact they are polling so well despite multiple fuck-ups suggesting there is a very good chunk of the electorate that will vote for them come Hell or high water. In that regards, the Scottish electorate seems to care less for incompetence than the English one does.
A dance hall-music hall-piano bar culture does survive on most cruise ships, despite most of the passengers who remember this from first time around having now embarked on one more journey than they’ve disembarked. Those growing up immediately post-war will be familiar with it. But how long the cruise lines will maintain this offering once those who came of age in the 60s (which as we know was mostly in the 70s) is the key question.
I note the DfE say in their statement 'they are proven to reduce transmission' but fail to link to any study or provide any explanation of where they got that statement from. They wouldn't last five minutes on PB.
We got everything we deserved from that game.
In reality there is a huge gap in the market for a government in waiting (Lab the only option) to set out a distinctly different agenda on post-Brexit, big government, spending, how to approach pandemics, inflation, energy costs etc. Labour has decided for now to say nothing at all and avert all questions. Even BBC interviewers are beginning to notice.
People who don't like this government, or ludicrous Tory MPs for decent reasons may be wondering about voting Labour. But they also wonder what they are for?
By having no public policies of any interest Labour may still miss out.
The dinosaur feet fossils are just lying on the beach, just east of the steps down from the car park to Compton Bay, because they’re too heavy for anyone to carry away. And the dinosaur museum at Sandown gets good reviews, although I haven’t been myself.
He would be a distraction and would be attacked for it
Seriously, the SNP obviously has a large voter coalition, which will include those motivated by one or more of the following: people who back it because they are desperate for independence, and think voting SNP the best vehicle to get there; people who back it because they think it best represents what's good for Scotland; people who back it because they approve of Nicola Sturgeon; people who back it because they are anti-Tory; people who back it because it's rubbish but they think that Labour is even worse. I wouldn't like to venture a guess as to the proportions.
Pecresse has a fight on her hands to make the final two it would seem.
You are saying sod the hospitals, Steve Baker has spoken. The Conservative Party under a hands-tied Boris Johnson are ideologically opposed to Covid restrictions because that sustains Johnson as PM and could gain him some RedWall votes. If people can't access hospital services and die as a consequence, what the hell, who cares so long as Boris Johnson wins the next GE.
Which in reality, it probably wasn't.
It really doesn't need to be said that none of this excuses Andrew's alleged behaviour or make it anything less than morally repulsive does it? Surely not.
His films are what they are, and they're great. Are there things that feel uncomfortable now - of course so.
Who cares though... it's now all about the possibility of MrEd making an unwise comment.