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The trend here should seriously concern Downing Street – politicalbetting.com
The trend here should seriously concern Downing Street – politicalbetting.com
The preferred PM/Chancellor team question is not one that gets included much in political polling but it was part of the latest MoS/Deltapoll at the weekend. To put the latest findings in context, I thought it useful to look back at previous Deltapolls where this has been included.
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Blair and Brown and Cameron and Osborne certainly had bigger leads over the government midterm than just 5%
I'm impressed by Rachel Reeves as Shadow CoE. She has completely abandoned the absurdity of the McDonnell era and has returned Labour to policy positions not, it has to be said, too far removed from spendthrift Sunak.
Anyone who worried about voting Labour from an economic viewpoint has little to worry about - there are other reasons (perhaps) for not voting Labour.
All we can do is ride out the storm and hope any rises in hospitalisations are short-lived and that disruptions to services through staff absenteeism can be minimised.
The next question is at what point will fourth vaccinations be considered. Presumably efficacy levels are being constantly monitored and while it seems three vaccinations hasn't stopped people contracting the Omicron variant, the evidence I've seen is it's a mild infection. Nonetheless, there must be a concern for older people with other health issues whose protection from three vaccinations may start to wane while Omicron is still moving through the population.
When COVID subsides the rebels will attack. They won't wait until next year, or even May.
But that's if you believe all countries have detected and reported cases equally, and believe Worldometer, of course.
Nigel_Foremain said:
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Yes! This is the man that is still a fan of Alex Salmond, the only politician that I am aware of that has been described by his own QC as "a bully and a sex pest", and also described IIRC as similar by his successor.
Scumbags are out now I see, the bottom feeder of bottom feeders, Back under your rock you sad cretinous 10lb of shit in a 5lb bag
Carnyx said:
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Hello Malky. It is indeed dreich and I don't have Covid! Edit: weather's grey enough in itself without that as well, I mean ...
Hello Carnyx, yes but buds are already out, will soon be spring
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Just googled 'pressure hospitals London' and all the stories are from some time ago. How much longer do we give Omicron to make a real impact?
i) Is it true.
ii) Why on earth they would be a state subsidised expense.
iii) Can't he speak it already ?
Fat buds on many things.
My presumption is there has to be more to the story. They don't normally nuke all your accounts like that if say it was a copyright issue or claims of an inaccurate statement.
There has always been a bit of something off about that setup, that they were able to go from nothing to being more prominent than mainstream media accounts in no time. I always wondered if they have found some growth hack against TOS.
We're probably there or thereabouts near the lead.
PS: All the best for 2022, did not see you on here as much in 20221.
It was clearly a bot that scraped headlines from news websites as they were published, and reprinted the headline unattributed, then had hundreds of likes within seconds, manipulating Twitter’s platform in order to be seen as the original source of the story on Twitter.
I would have thought that all the genuine press sources were complaining to Twitter about the copyright infringement, which was quite deliberate and widespread. The correct etiquette is to link to the source of the story, which he was making a point of not doing.
Which is completely different, and is what they said back in November.
So why have they reannounced it today and got it completely wrong?
Because they are totally fucking stupid and unfit to run a village fete.
Somebody please just lock them up in a lunatic asylum where they belong.
The conspiracy theory was it was really some sort of covert Tory plan to do (non) independent news, but that always seemed rubbish to me. The guy behind it might have been a Tory voter, but it spammed out all sorts of headlines that were not exactly in the interests of the Tories to be widely disseminated.
I think it is might more like as you say there was botting going on and the guy had found an exploit within the twitter algorithm that meant those account always got lots of spread. The speed of their growth, even if they did early get some plugs by established journalists, just seemed unrealistic. It was nowhere to everywhere in a no time. Most new brands can only dream of doing this.
As for the cumulative death stats, if you believe that, for example, Russia has had fewer casualties per capita than either us or the Belgians, then I've got a bridge, etc., etc.
I withdraw that suggestion.
Anybody got any other ideas as to what we could do with these - people?
HYUFD is quite right that 5% isn't a huge lead, and I could imagine it drifting down towards zero. But the strategic position of the Tories is bad. They have no allies, large numbers of their supporters don't trust them, like them or think their policies are good, and there is a settled bloc of 40% of the voters who are implacably waiting for the chance to get them out, not because they hate Conservatives but because they feel they've been in power too long, they are hugely complacent and are now basically taking the piss. The differences between Labour and LibDem policies are obscure since neither party has any to speak of, so willingness to vote tactically is at record heights.
As a socialist I'm not entirely thrilled by all of this - I'd rather we had a splendid left-wing platform attracting 50% of the vote. But I'm a realist, and I think they're on course to lose at the moment.
Pretty sure that HMQ is the only obstacle stopping 'the Firm' indulging in one of its periodic acts of self preservation by leaving the colonel of the Grenadier Guards to hang out to dry.
The question comes back to something I've raised before - what is the career path for an MP? What skills should they have/develop?
For example - doing a law degree, part time. Sounds like an idea for legislators. Or management training. Sounds like an idea for would be minsters..... Project management training? Computer science? etc etc
Being an MP seems to be stuck in the old give-em-a-job-and-see-if-they-sink-or-swim methods.
I have worked at several companies where they paid for people to do night classes in various languages - generally French/Spanish - as part of a plan of personal/skill development.
Perhaps they could act as councillors to the dwarf planet for the shock of having lost its status as a proper planet?
It seems just like the kind of futile gesture politics nonsense that the DfE specialises in.
Elon Musk to the red courtesy phone, please, Elon Musk to the red courtesy phone.....
Andrew is now only 9th in line to the throne, he is far less relevant to the future of the monarchy than he was in 1980 when he was 2nd in line behind Charles before William and Harry and their children were born
It was said to be a student doing it, but if he was running multiple accounts and then registered a company, he was clearly guilty of platform manipulation and copyright infringement. It’s a bit like the definition of pornography, that one knows it when one sees it. Doing what he was doing, but commercially, clearly sends the dubious behaviour over the line.
Something may not be hugely relevant as a sole critical factor, but that doesn't mean it is entirely irrelevant as part of a wider context either.
I believe the Spectator hired him to aid their social media, which is a bit awkward if the basis of his operation is all botted accounts. But I imagine other companies would be very interested in seeing what he can do for their brands (makes you wonder if he is already doing so).
I am thinking end of Jan? Need to get a cheapo motor for station runs before it’s lifted.
My main concern about Starmer is his mediocre performance in real elections (locals and by elections) even if that has slightly changed recently and his lacklustre PM rating even if he is ahead in that category at the moment.
Forget restrictions. The international evidence suggests they don’t work, the public have got the memo that Omicron is mild, and support for lockdowns and masking is sliding away.
The policy challenge should now be around the seven day isolation penalty, which is crippling services and private businesses. We have millions sitting at home with nothing much wrong with them.
Three days test and release seems a sensible compromise to me.
I’m a socialist/social democrat/centrist (delete as HYUFD deems appropriate) who believes in public services.
PUBLIC SERVICES. The clue is in the name. The grand vision of the NHS was to serve the public.
We seem to have entered some bizarre twilight zone whereby the public is supposed to serve the NHS.
It’s not a charity. That’s the point. It’s a socialist state body that was built to serve the people.
The dominos are starting to fall. Just as well we have plenty in the piggy bank to get us through the disruption of the next year. Sorry, what's that? We spent it all on Covid? Ahh...
Nonetheless, maybe a good way of getting noticed in a crowded field, and the Speccie are well known for taking unconventionally-qualified people on for internships. Everyone in the political media will now know of him.
The reasoning of personal development simply does not cut it here, particularly when the costs are considered - they are far far higher than other MPs language development e.g. Shadow Commons leader Thangam Debonnaire took £3,411 worth of Arabic classes in 2020-21, saying it 'helps me communicate with the diverse population' in her Bristol West constituency.
Glasses For All
@Specsavers
Please don’t suspend us Twitter
The big picture is our rope-a-dope approach to Omicron is going to work out ok.
But tw@tterverse, especially the lefty ones, seem to detest him. I guess it was because he said he voted Brexit and Tory, when the scraped headlines weren't even remotely one sided in say the way Guido Fawkes is. I am not sure why they would be so angry about a bot account just retweeting the national newspaper headlines.
So theatregoers and fashion shopping trips will remain under masks until February? I hope you are wrong, but I fear you could be right.
But then it becomes uneven in tone, sometimes low farce, sometimes witty comedy, sometimes sentimental drama, and they jar, and the parochial Americanism is tedious, especially the laboured, lazy assaults on Trumpism and silly white people. Yes yes yes we know they are awful but it's such a crappy obvious target, and it is annoying and boring.
It's a film that wants to be Doctor Strangelove for global warming but lacks the Southern/Kubrick Strangelove script - and it lacks Peter Sellers - one star to bring together a stellar cast. Something of a missed opportunity. Coulda been a masterpiece
https://unherd.com/2022/01/the-rise-of-americas-qanon-queen/?tl_inbound=1&tl_groups[0]=18743&tl_period_type=3&mc_cid=7f278305fa&mc_eid=12cf4fd1d6
The refusal of the Government to gold plate plan B (save for masks in schools, which IMHO they've only done for PR reasons and because it imposes zero economic cost,) is also mildly encouraging. I won't be completely satisfied that there won't be any further backsliding into restrictions until we're through Omicron and out the other side, but it really does appear that they want to manage without them this time around.
That's why the system is ridiculous.
Will be rivetting to see the Epstein release agreement he says gets him off the hook. Due today apparently.
I once worked for a company that had a very generous scheme that allowed you to claim for personal development i.e. it could be any sort of random night school course from basket weaving to language courses, but there was a cap on how much you could claim every year, so you couldn't a) just get your mate to charge £100 / hr to teach you car mechanics and b) you couldn't just sign up for a different class every night of the week.
I read a critique on Rotten Tomatoes which said it should have been directed by Armando Iannuci. Which seems bang on. If he could have brought the brilliant satirical tone of Death of Stalin to this idea, then wow
The politics should have been much more layered and nuanced. Attack the liberals as well, for worrrying more about animals than humans, for obsessing about gender during the apocalypse
Imagine if they'd tried that: subtly satirise everyone. Instead they went for an all out one-way assault on - FFS - Donald Trump. Played by the secular saint of Woke Liberal Hollywood, Meryl Streep
Hollywood has lost its way, but the movie also shows it still has ideas and energy, at least
How long the extension may last for, and whether the rules will remain in force for all of it or be repealed early, is a different matter.
I always thought second home expenses should be limited to the cost of running, say, a modest 2 bed flat. If they want a big family home they can fund it out of their own resources.
But yes I was spending £300 a term for online Russian lessons during lockdown and I am sure he could have got a much better deal with an online tutor living in Poland, for example.
I assume you aren't in favour of pinning stuff Piers does, onto Jeremy?
The same department later turned out to be approving giant TVs and luxury rugs. All these systems have an element of personal judgement, I suppose.
If you have to do it find a new and stealthy way, at least. The racist old school pilot was cringeworthy