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What do the Tories do now the LDs have got their mojo back? – politicalbetting.com

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  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,705
    tlg86 said:

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/30/navy-to-dismantle-sunken-warship-on-thames-holding-unstable-explosives

    An operation to remove the masts from a sunken cargo ship in the River Thames, containing 1,400 tonnes of unstable explosives onboard, will involve Royal Navy specialists.

    It is believed that if the unexploded ordnance on the SS Richard Montgomery were triggered it could lead to the nearby oil and gas facilities in Sheerness being damaged, the Daily Telegraph reports.


    What could possibly go wrong?

    Is that not literally the story of the opening episode of Sky TV series COBRA: Cyberwar?
  • glwglw Posts: 9,906

    A one sized fits all approach across totally unrelated sectors sounds a terrible idea, but there must be a way of moving things to a systems / procedures in which people aren't having to write loads of different transformation scripts just to ingest the similar data.

    And it certainly shouldn't be anywhere near being Excel based.

    One thing they should do is pinch the policy that Amazon adopted for AWS. That any internal tools, formats, APIs, or policies have to be offered to other departments and customers. Which stops teams building something good to suit themselves, and something half-arsed for everyone else. Extreme dogfooding if you will.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,149
    RobD said:

    theakes said:

    If that is the case and they have their MOJO back they need to fight Southend West, as do Labour, otherwise their MOJO could stall amid a massive Reform Party vote.
    Suggest this issue is worth a thread on its won.

    I agreee
    I don’t agree. Assassinated when doing constituency work. It’s good manners to stand aside out of respect, and good principle not to look to gain from assassinated MP seat.
    Yeah, I'm torn on this one. Would either of the two recently-deceased MPs want democracy suspended in their memory? The MP blown up by the IRA wasn't treated in the same fashion.
    To be fair, Sinn Fein wasn't in the running to gain the seat.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,248
    edited December 2021
    MattW said:

    MaxPB said:

    Dashboard update delayed until 7.30:

    Colleagues are working hard to resolve the issue, but they had to restart a process which takes a few hours for it to run.

    PS: Some processes take a long time to run. It is a miracle that we get them to run seamlessly on most days (90% of the time).


    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476578149370671111?s=20

    "We had a data dump from NHSE today for deaths from 24 December. So it's 6 days worth of data."

    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476579582975385607?s=20

    Could be a big rise.
    No could about it, 6 days worth of deaths will be around 800 form England alone, plus whatever we have from the other three nations in the UK, potentially over 1,000 deaths reported today. Expect major panic.
    Presumably flagged as strongly as possible as 'includes backdated data'.
    I don't see why the data can't be loaded in to the appropriate days.

    It should still all be datestamped.
    It will be, for "day of"

    Reconstructing "reporting day" would be impossible, except if you wrote a fairly simple script to guess at it and fake the reporting day. Which would be garbage, basically.

    EDIT: so this graph will be "filled in"

    image

    And the SeanT's underwear will explode, all the same moment. Sigh.....
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,424
    tlg86 said:

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/30/navy-to-dismantle-sunken-warship-on-thames-holding-unstable-explosives

    An operation to remove the masts from a sunken cargo ship in the River Thames, containing 1,400 tonnes of unstable explosives onboard, will involve Royal Navy specialists.

    It is believed that if the unexploded ordnance on the SS Richard Montgomery were triggered it could lead to the nearby oil and gas facilities in Sheerness being damaged, the Daily Telegraph reports.


    What could possibly go wrong?

    The removal of the Richard Montgomery, and the danger of doing so, has been a point of discussion in that part of N Kent and in SE Essex since, IIRC, about 1947.
    'Informed' opinion, in the pubs and clubs of SE Essex suggests that the consequence of removal will vary between the swamping of Canvey Island and the loss of a few windows along Southend sea front!
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,989
    edited December 2021

    Mrs P and I watched the Queen's speech on Christmas Day for the first time in years (mainly I admit because we thought it might be her last).

    It was noticeable that Andrew was the only royal not to feature.
    I don't think Prince Harry got a mention did he? I wasn't watching or listening closely, so he might have done, but I remember picking up very clear mentions of Willian and Kate doing great work about something or other, expecting Harry name to be mentioned next on the list and I don't think it came.
    No, but he's not an actual royal anymore is he?
    Not strictly no, but at one point he was a big favourite of Brenda. I was sort of expecting her to list him briefing after Kate and William, something or other about his continued charity work, but conveniently not mention she whose name must not be spoken.

    But I think he is definitely on the naughty step with Prince Andrew.
  • IanB2 said:

    MattW said:

    stodge said:

    Afternoon all :)

    Another desperately quiet day at work and I come on here to find a nice thread about the Liberal Democrats which is always welcome.

    North Shropshire has undeniably given both the party and Ed Davey a real boost. Davey now has two by-election gains to his credit and let's not forget he's a fighter having lost Kingston & Surbiton in the 2015 catastrophe, he went and won it back in 2017 and now has a healthy 10,000 majority. He's the only LD MP who lost his seat in 2015, regained it in 2017 and held on in 2019 (both Jo Swinson and Stephen Lloyd regained seats lost in 2015 at the next GE but lost at the last GE).

    All isn't sweetness and light - the poll ratings remain modest at this time and I suspect there are islands of activity between vast oceans of constituencies where there is no meaningful LD presence.

    As an example, the LDs hold 152 council seats in London but 109 of those are in Sutton, Kingston and Richmond which means only 43 seats in the remaining Boroughs and large numbers with no LD presence at all. I'm all for targeting resources but the party needs to start getting into new areas and building strength and winning seats.

    Take a borough like Bromley - in 1998, the Liberal Democrats won 25 seats and for a short while ran the council with Labour - in 2014, the last councillors were defeated. That's the scale of the rebuilding that still needs to start seven years after the end of the Coalition.

    There will be those who ask for what the Liberal Democrats stand - actually, that's not very important now - it's enough to be a home for disillusioned Conservatives (of whom there seem to be many currently) but there will come a point when the party will need to articulate its USP in a crowded market. They've made a good start opposing some of the proposed restrictions and no one talks about re-joining the EU or any of that nonsense.

    In the same way, talking about the relationship with Starmer's Labour isn't all that important either. Both parties are fishing in different ponds for the same fish and it doesn't much matter on whose hook they end up.

    FAir comment.

    It's interest looking at Farron's seat - I was wondering if it is a Nonconformist area (to an extent), but it took the LDs years of work pre-Farron to win it, and is a a LD-Tory marginal much of the time recently.

    Current majority 1934.



    He needs a swing in the current direction to make it safe.
    A Tory to LibDem swing doesn’t seem all that unlikely right now.
    Sadly the seat won't exist after boundary changes.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    IshmaelZ said:

    theakes said:

    If that is the case and they have their MOJO back they need to fight Southend West, as do Labour, otherwise their MOJO could stall amid a massive Reform Party vote.
    Suggest this issue is worth a thread on its won.

    I agreee
    I don’t agree. Assassinated when doing constituency work. It’s good manners to stand aside out of respect, and good principle not to look to gain from assassinated MP seat.
    Like Eastbourne?

    I think the precedent set by Batley & Spen (first time around) is entirely wrong. There is no issue of "manners" here. The murders of both Jo Cox and David Amess were utterly tragic, but so were the deaths of James Brokenshire and Cheryl Gillan. But the residents in all those areas need to go on to pick a new MP, and I really don't see why they shouldn't have the usual range of choices.
    I think the precedent set by Batley & Spen was right, and that the Lib Dems were wrong to gain Eastbourne.

    Yes the deaths of Brokenshire and Gillan were tragic, but they were also natural. Seeking a replacement by following natural processes is reasonable.

    The deaths or Cox and Amess are different, they were unnatural. They were politically motivated murders. If people who dislike a party can go around killing that parties MPs and seeking the MPs seat change hands as a result then that is leading us down a very dark path.

    No politically motivated murder should ever be rewarded by the seat changing hands.
    ‘ No politically motivated murder should ever be rewarded by the seat changing hands. “

    I agree with Bart.

    Two MP assassinations in recent years, the political establishment have to ask, what is normal, is this the new normal, how to stop it becoming a trend.

    As well as the principle Bart neatly summed up, dialling down on division and hype seems sensible too, where can be applied within democracy.
    These weren't politically motivated. We all run the risk of being murdered by terrorists. Murdering an MP is aa dreadful thing to do, but it is on exactly the same moral level as murdering anybody else.

    Handing it to the existing party, is the one set up which permits the murderer to know in advance the electoral outcome of his act.
    Well that kicked off an interesting debate!

    I’m glad I’m on same side as party leaderships and political establishment.

    I think.
    There's a lot of ill thought out mawkishness going on here. These people are highly paid narcissists, in a high profile high risk job, not voluntary NHS cancer nurses. A true pass the sick bag nadir was the proposal that Cox should be succeeded by her husband, till someone had the sense to google him.
  • Off Topic I know, but does anyone know whether the police have done anything about those disgraceful antivaxxers at MK yesterday?

    No arrests as yet but Police investigating - presumably they will start by reviewing footage and speaking with staff before moving on to individuals who appear to have stolen items etc, and potentially people involved in organising the protests and inciting.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,662
    IanB2 said:

    Farooq said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Tactical voting does not have to mean defeat for the Tories. There was heavy LD Tactical voting for Labour in 1992 and Labour tactical voting for LD in return but Major held on despite losing some seats, only in 1997 did it prove fatal

    Next GE is 1997 with a hint of 2017

    What should frighten you most at the moment is the fact that no 5 in the singles chart is BORIS JOHNSON IS STILL A F**KING C**T by the K**ts. Sooo reminiscent of the damage inflicted on May by cassette boy
    The damage that saw May re elected in 2017?
    Not just the worst point ever made on pb, almost certainly unrivalled anywhere.
    Ever? I need to up my game.
    Don’t waste the effort; Sean has that title sewn up with his “millions of Brits are going to die, uncollected bodies will litter the streets” series of early 2020.
    ... repeated in Q4 2021.
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468

    RH1992 said:

    Dashboard update delayed until 7.30:

    Colleagues are working hard to resolve the issue, but they had to restart a process which takes a few hours for it to run.

    PS: Some processes take a long time to run. It is a miracle that we get them to run seamlessly on most days (90% of the time).


    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476578149370671111?s=20

    "We had a data dump from NHSE today for deaths from 24 December. So it's 6 days worth of data."

    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476579582975385607?s=20

    Could be a big rise.
    NHS England have reported 365 new Covid hospital deaths over the period 25-30th Dec.. These I think will be added to today's 4pm http://gov.uk number so I expect lots of noise on here about the high death number.

    https://twitter.com/MartinThornber/status/1476564502338588672
    Indeed....

    image

    Fill that "hole" to match the existing slope etc.....

    What kind of background music should we play at the panic, this evening? @MoonRabbit ?

    I am thinking that the biscuits should be simple Hobnob for a change.
    Perhaps cake for a change? Death by Chocolate?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,926

    Dashboard update delayed until 7.30:

    Colleagues are working hard to resolve the issue, but they had to restart a process which takes a few hours for it to run.

    PS: Some processes take a long time to run. It is a miracle that we get them to run seamlessly on most days (90% of the time).


    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476578149370671111?s=20

    Excel spreadsheet has fallen over with the huge numbers...the comment about taking a long time and miracle it even runs (after 2 years of this) doesn't sound like systems have been modernised, more sticking plasters.
    It's probably an Excel macro in VB.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,662
    edited December 2021
    TimT said:

    RH1992 said:

    Dashboard update delayed until 7.30:

    Colleagues are working hard to resolve the issue, but they had to restart a process which takes a few hours for it to run.

    PS: Some processes take a long time to run. It is a miracle that we get them to run seamlessly on most days (90% of the time).


    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476578149370671111?s=20

    "We had a data dump from NHSE today for deaths from 24 December. So it's 6 days worth of data."

    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476579582975385607?s=20

    Could be a big rise.
    NHS England have reported 365 new Covid hospital deaths over the period 25-30th Dec.. These I think will be added to today's 4pm http://gov.uk number so I expect lots of noise on here about the high death number.

    https://twitter.com/MartinThornber/status/1476564502338588672
    Indeed....

    image

    Fill that "hole" to match the existing slope etc.....

    What kind of background music should we play at the panic, this evening? @MoonRabbit ?

    I am thinking that the biscuits should be simple Hobnob for a change.
    Perhaps cake for a change? Death by Chocolate?
    Compromise: Jaffa Cake biscuits?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,859
    Andy_JS said:

    What are the principal threats and opportunities facing Johnson's premiership in 2022?

    I was thinking:

    Opportunities:
    1. Omicron might be the effective end of Covid, if mild and it becomes ubiquitous...
    2. ...in which case the decision not to increase restrictions further could look inspired.
    3. Having survived the Q4 scandals there might be a quiet period with no fresh scandals.
    4. If a leadership challenge comes Johnson could see it off with votes to spare, so deferring any further challenge to 2023 at the earliest.
    5. Some foreign event leads to a 'rally to the flag' boost for Johnson (I'm thinking Ukraine, but hopefully not).

    Threats:
    1. Omicron proves very nasty and Johnson's decision to avoid further restrictions looks misguided at best.
    2. Further Covid variants extend the misery throughout 2022.
    3. Energy price rises hit consumers hard.
    4. Supply issues come to the fore as the new EU trade regimes kicks in.
    5. The NI rises land badly with the public.
    6. Further hitherto unrevealed Johnson scandals emerge.
    7. Major financial crash sparked by Evergreen/Ukraine/something else.
    8. Tory MPs don't recover their faith in Johnson as a winner after an extended period of bad polls.

    I am sure there are others on both sides of the account. Thoughts anyone?

    He gets bored with the job, and wants to spend more time with his family.
    Yet decision-making choices like that aren’t his strong point?
  • MattWMattW Posts: 23,145

    Off Topic I know, but does anyone know whether the police have done anything about those disgraceful antivaxxers at MK yesterday?

    Still collecting reports afaics.

    They are recently practiced in getting someone sectioned, however - Windsor Castle 'Assassin' from last week.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,248
    RobD said:

    Dashboard update delayed until 7.30:

    Colleagues are working hard to resolve the issue, but they had to restart a process which takes a few hours for it to run.

    PS: Some processes take a long time to run. It is a miracle that we get them to run seamlessly on most days (90% of the time).


    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476578149370671111?s=20

    Excel spreadsheet has fallen over with the huge numbers...the comment about taking a long time and miracle it even runs (after 2 years of this) doesn't sound like systems have been modernised, more sticking plasters.
    It's probably an Excel macro in VB.
    It isn't
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,926

    RobD said:

    Dashboard update delayed until 7.30:

    Colleagues are working hard to resolve the issue, but they had to restart a process which takes a few hours for it to run.

    PS: Some processes take a long time to run. It is a miracle that we get them to run seamlessly on most days (90% of the time).


    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476578149370671111?s=20

    Excel spreadsheet has fallen over with the huge numbers...the comment about taking a long time and miracle it even runs (after 2 years of this) doesn't sound like systems have been modernised, more sticking plasters.
    It's probably an Excel macro in VB.
    It isn't
    Alright, Lotus 1-2-3.
  • RobD said:

    Dashboard update delayed until 7.30:

    Colleagues are working hard to resolve the issue, but they had to restart a process which takes a few hours for it to run.

    PS: Some processes take a long time to run. It is a miracle that we get them to run seamlessly on most days (90% of the time).


    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476578149370671111?s=20

    Excel spreadsheet has fallen over with the huge numbers...the comment about taking a long time and miracle it even runs (after 2 years of this) doesn't sound like systems have been modernised, more sticking plasters.
    It's probably an Excel macro in VB.
    It isn't
    Something worse? ;-)
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,494
    IshmaelZ said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    theakes said:

    If that is the case and they have their MOJO back they need to fight Southend West, as do Labour, otherwise their MOJO could stall amid a massive Reform Party vote.
    Suggest this issue is worth a thread on its won.

    I agreee
    I don’t agree. Assassinated when doing constituency work. It’s good manners to stand aside out of respect, and good principle not to look to gain from assassinated MP seat.
    Like Eastbourne?

    I think the precedent set by Batley & Spen (first time around) is entirely wrong. There is no issue of "manners" here. The murders of both Jo Cox and David Amess were utterly tragic, but so were the deaths of James Brokenshire and Cheryl Gillan. But the residents in all those areas need to go on to pick a new MP, and I really don't see why they shouldn't have the usual range of choices.
    I think the precedent set by Batley & Spen was right, and that the Lib Dems were wrong to gain Eastbourne.

    Yes the deaths of Brokenshire and Gillan were tragic, but they were also natural. Seeking a replacement by following natural processes is reasonable.

    The deaths or Cox and Amess are different, they were unnatural. They were politically motivated murders. If people who dislike a party can go around killing that parties MPs and seeking the MPs seat change hands as a result then that is leading us down a very dark path.

    No politically motivated murder should ever be rewarded by the seat changing hands.
    ‘ No politically motivated murder should ever be rewarded by the seat changing hands. “

    I agree with Bart.

    Two MP assassinations in recent years, the political establishment have to ask, what is normal, is this the new normal, how to stop it becoming a trend.

    As well as the principle Bart neatly summed up, dialling down on division and hype seems sensible too, where can be applied within democracy.
    These weren't politically motivated. We all run the risk of being murdered by terrorists. Murdering an MP is aa dreadful thing to do, but it is on exactly the same moral level as murdering anybody else.

    Handing it to the existing party, is the one set up which permits the murderer to know in advance the electoral outcome of his act.
    Well that kicked off an interesting debate!

    I’m glad I’m on same side as party leaderships and political establishment.

    I think.
    There's a lot of ill thought out mawkishness going on here. These people are highly paid narcissists, in a high profile high risk job, not voluntary NHS cancer nurses. A true pass the sick bag nadir was the proposal that Cox should be succeeded by her husband, till someone had the sense to google him.
    I just posted my gut feeling when I saw it there, without thinking deeply on it before. But I’m thinking about everything that’s been said now.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,368
    Shaun Lintern
    @ShaunLintern
    I'm told Covid patient numbers in hospital in England will jump by another 1,000 when the data is updated later, off the back of a 1,000 rise yday. This will mean roughly 11,300 Covid patients in hospital - numbers last seen at the end of February.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,248
    TimT said:

    RH1992 said:

    Dashboard update delayed until 7.30:

    Colleagues are working hard to resolve the issue, but they had to restart a process which takes a few hours for it to run.

    PS: Some processes take a long time to run. It is a miracle that we get them to run seamlessly on most days (90% of the time).


    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476578149370671111?s=20

    "We had a data dump from NHSE today for deaths from 24 December. So it's 6 days worth of data."

    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476579582975385607?s=20

    Could be a big rise.
    NHS England have reported 365 new Covid hospital deaths over the period 25-30th Dec.. These I think will be added to today's 4pm http://gov.uk number so I expect lots of noise on here about the high death number.

    https://twitter.com/MartinThornber/status/1476564502338588672
    Indeed....

    image

    Fill that "hole" to match the existing slope etc.....

    What kind of background music should we play at the panic, this evening? @MoonRabbit ?

    I am thinking that the biscuits should be simple Hobnob for a change.
    Perhaps cake for a change? Death by Chocolate?
    I like your thinking.

    For the music - Felt Kuti? Susana Baca?
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,149

    Coronavirus situation in Germany likely more alarming then estimated.

    "Significant underreporting" over the Christmas and New Year holidays could have distorted current number of coronavirus cases, explained Health Minister Karl Lauterbach on Wednesday.


    https://twitter.com/dw_politics/status/1476582870785437701?s=20

    I think that's true of everywhere.
  • The LD's don't have their major back. When was the last time you saw an LD holding forth in the media. I am on their email list and other than witless criticism of the government they have nothing to say about anything. All they are beneficiaries of voters anger with the government. Davey and Moran are probably wise to have no ideas and no policies at the present time.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,248

    tlg86 said:

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/30/navy-to-dismantle-sunken-warship-on-thames-holding-unstable-explosives

    An operation to remove the masts from a sunken cargo ship in the River Thames, containing 1,400 tonnes of unstable explosives onboard, will involve Royal Navy specialists.

    It is believed that if the unexploded ordnance on the SS Richard Montgomery were triggered it could lead to the nearby oil and gas facilities in Sheerness being damaged, the Daily Telegraph reports.


    What could possibly go wrong?

    The removal of the Richard Montgomery, and the danger of doing so, has been a point of discussion in that part of N Kent and in SE Essex since, IIRC, about 1947.
    'Informed' opinion, in the pubs and clubs of SE Essex suggests that the consequence of removal will vary between the swamping of Canvey Island and the loss of a few windows along Southend sea front!
    The experiences of the CHASE series and "Operation Sailor Hat" suggest that the "Montgomery = nuke" stuff is nonsense.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,829

    TimT said:

    RH1992 said:

    Dashboard update delayed until 7.30:

    Colleagues are working hard to resolve the issue, but they had to restart a process which takes a few hours for it to run.

    PS: Some processes take a long time to run. It is a miracle that we get them to run seamlessly on most days (90% of the time).


    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476578149370671111?s=20

    "We had a data dump from NHSE today for deaths from 24 December. So it's 6 days worth of data."

    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476579582975385607?s=20

    Could be a big rise.
    NHS England have reported 365 new Covid hospital deaths over the period 25-30th Dec.. These I think will be added to today's 4pm http://gov.uk number so I expect lots of noise on here about the high death number.

    https://twitter.com/MartinThornber/status/1476564502338588672
    Indeed....

    image

    Fill that "hole" to match the existing slope etc.....

    What kind of background music should we play at the panic, this evening? @MoonRabbit ?

    I am thinking that the biscuits should be simple Hobnob for a change.
    Perhaps cake for a change? Death by Chocolate?
    Compromise: Jaffa Cake biscuits?
    Jaffa Cake cakes.

    https://www.gov.uk/hmrc-internal-manuals/vat-food/vfood6260
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,662

    tlg86 said:

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/30/navy-to-dismantle-sunken-warship-on-thames-holding-unstable-explosives

    An operation to remove the masts from a sunken cargo ship in the River Thames, containing 1,400 tonnes of unstable explosives onboard, will involve Royal Navy specialists.

    It is believed that if the unexploded ordnance on the SS Richard Montgomery were triggered it could lead to the nearby oil and gas facilities in Sheerness being damaged, the Daily Telegraph reports.


    What could possibly go wrong?

    Is that not literally the story of the opening episode of Sky TV series COBRA: Cyberwar?

    Yebbut Robert Carlyle is PM rather than Boris Johnson, so it's not all doom and gloom in the series.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,926
    I'm genuinely curious why it takes multiple hours to update the dashboard. Computers can go through hundreds of thousands of lines in a database without breaking a sweat.
  • IanB2 said:

    MattW said:

    stodge said:

    Afternoon all :)

    Another desperately quiet day at work and I come on here to find a nice thread about the Liberal Democrats which is always welcome.

    North Shropshire has undeniably given both the party and Ed Davey a real boost. Davey now has two by-election gains to his credit and let's not forget he's a fighter having lost Kingston & Surbiton in the 2015 catastrophe, he went and won it back in 2017 and now has a healthy 10,000 majority. He's the only LD MP who lost his seat in 2015, regained it in 2017 and held on in 2019 (both Jo Swinson and Stephen Lloyd regained seats lost in 2015 at the next GE but lost at the last GE).

    All isn't sweetness and light - the poll ratings remain modest at this time and I suspect there are islands of activity between vast oceans of constituencies where there is no meaningful LD presence.

    As an example, the LDs hold 152 council seats in London but 109 of those are in Sutton, Kingston and Richmond which means only 43 seats in the remaining Boroughs and large numbers with no LD presence at all. I'm all for targeting resources but the party needs to start getting into new areas and building strength and winning seats.

    Take a borough like Bromley - in 1998, the Liberal Democrats won 25 seats and for a short while ran the council with Labour - in 2014, the last councillors were defeated. That's the scale of the rebuilding that still needs to start seven years after the end of the Coalition.

    There will be those who ask for what the Liberal Democrats stand - actually, that's not very important now - it's enough to be a home for disillusioned Conservatives (of whom there seem to be many currently) but there will come a point when the party will need to articulate its USP in a crowded market. They've made a good start opposing some of the proposed restrictions and no one talks about re-joining the EU or any of that nonsense.

    In the same way, talking about the relationship with Starmer's Labour isn't all that important either. Both parties are fishing in different ponds for the same fish and it doesn't much matter on whose hook they end up.

    FAir comment.

    It's interest looking at Farron's seat - I was wondering if it is a Nonconformist area (to an extent), but it took the LDs years of work pre-Farron to win it, and is a a LD-Tory marginal much of the time recently.

    Current majority 1934.



    He needs a swing in the current direction to make it safe.
    A Tory to LibDem swing doesn’t seem all that unlikely right now.
    Sadly the seat won't exist after boundary changes.
    On the current proposals, although it wouldn't shock me if these are changed in the final version. The changes in the NW generally are more radical than a two seat reduction from 75 to 73 probably requires, and that's worrying for a few MPs (either making seats less winnable or opening up selection contest issues). I can see fairly strong push-back.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 23,145
    IshmaelZ said:

    theakes said:

    If that is the case and they have their MOJO back they need to fight Southend West, as do Labour, otherwise their MOJO could stall amid a massive Reform Party vote.
    Suggest this issue is worth a thread on its won.

    I agreee
    I don’t agree. Assassinated when doing constituency work. It’s good manners to stand aside out of respect, and good principle not to look to gain from assassinated MP seat.
    Like Eastbourne?

    I think the precedent set by Batley & Spen (first time around) is entirely wrong. There is no issue of "manners" here. The murders of both Jo Cox and David Amess were utterly tragic, but so were the deaths of James Brokenshire and Cheryl Gillan. But the residents in all those areas need to go on to pick a new MP, and I really don't see why they shouldn't have the usual range of choices.
    I think the precedent set by Batley & Spen was right, and that the Lib Dems were wrong to gain Eastbourne.

    Yes the deaths of Brokenshire and Gillan were tragic, but they were also natural. Seeking a replacement by following natural processes is reasonable.

    The deaths or Cox and Amess are different, they were unnatural. They were politically motivated murders. If people who dislike a party can go around killing that parties MPs and seeking the MPs seat change hands as a result then that is leading us down a very dark path.

    No politically motivated murder should ever be rewarded by the seat changing hands.
    ‘ No politically motivated murder should ever be rewarded by the seat changing hands. “

    I agree with Bart.

    Two MP assassinations in recent years, the political establishment have to ask, what is normal, is this the new normal, how to stop it becoming a trend.

    As well as the principle Bart neatly summed up, dialling down on division and hype seems sensible too, where can be applied within democracy.
    These weren't politically motivated. We all run the risk of being murdered by terrorists. Murdering an MP is aa dreadful thing to do, but it is on exactly the same moral level as murdering anybody else.

    Handing it to the existing party, is the one set up which permits the murderer to know in advance the electoral outcome of his act.
    Both were political.

    Jo Cox was murdered by a far-right extremist.
    David Amess was murdered by an Islamist.

    Both are different to any random murder in that they are assaults on the democratic system.

  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,373

    The LD's don't have their major back. When was the last time you saw an LD holding forth in the media. I am on their email list and other than witless criticism of the government they have nothing to say about anything. All they are beneficiaries of voters anger with the government. Davey and Moran are probably wise to have no ideas and no policies at the present time.

    D'you mean Daisy Cooper rather than Layla Moran?
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,662
    RobD said:

    I'm genuinely curious why it takes multiple hours to update the dashboard. Computers can go through hundreds of thousands of lines in a database without breaking a sweat.

    A myriad of sources each requiring dedicated transformations and corss-checking, would be my guess.
  • RobD said:

    Dashboard update delayed until 7.30:

    Colleagues are working hard to resolve the issue, but they had to restart a process which takes a few hours for it to run.

    PS: Some processes take a long time to run. It is a miracle that we get them to run seamlessly on most days (90% of the time).


    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476578149370671111?s=20

    Excel spreadsheet has fallen over with the huge numbers...the comment about taking a long time and miracle it even runs (after 2 years of this) doesn't sound like systems have been modernised, more sticking plasters.
    It's probably an Excel macro in VB.
    It isn't
    This article seems to suggest at least there were back when the system fell over...

    https://blogs.city.ac.uk/cityshortcourses/2020/10/13/what-really-caused-the-excel-error-in-nhs-test-and-trace-covid-19-system-an-in-depth-technical-analysis/
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,662
    edited December 2021
    Carnyx said:

    TimT said:

    RH1992 said:

    Dashboard update delayed until 7.30:

    Colleagues are working hard to resolve the issue, but they had to restart a process which takes a few hours for it to run.

    PS: Some processes take a long time to run. It is a miracle that we get them to run seamlessly on most days (90% of the time).


    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476578149370671111?s=20

    "We had a data dump from NHSE today for deaths from 24 December. So it's 6 days worth of data."

    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476579582975385607?s=20

    Could be a big rise.
    NHS England have reported 365 new Covid hospital deaths over the period 25-30th Dec.. These I think will be added to today's 4pm http://gov.uk number so I expect lots of noise on here about the high death number.

    https://twitter.com/MartinThornber/status/1476564502338588672
    Indeed....

    image

    Fill that "hole" to match the existing slope etc.....

    What kind of background music should we play at the panic, this evening? @MoonRabbit ?

    I am thinking that the biscuits should be simple Hobnob for a change.
    Perhaps cake for a change? Death by Chocolate?
    Compromise: Jaffa Cake biscuits?
    Jaffa Cake cakes.

    https://www.gov.uk/hmrc-internal-manuals/vat-food/vfood6260
    Mea cupla -please don't sue me McVities!
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,829

    tlg86 said:

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/30/navy-to-dismantle-sunken-warship-on-thames-holding-unstable-explosives

    An operation to remove the masts from a sunken cargo ship in the River Thames, containing 1,400 tonnes of unstable explosives onboard, will involve Royal Navy specialists.

    It is believed that if the unexploded ordnance on the SS Richard Montgomery were triggered it could lead to the nearby oil and gas facilities in Sheerness being damaged, the Daily Telegraph reports.


    What could possibly go wrong?

    The removal of the Richard Montgomery, and the danger of doing so, has been a point of discussion in that part of N Kent and in SE Essex since, IIRC, about 1947.
    'Informed' opinion, in the pubs and clubs of SE Essex suggests that the consequence of removal will vary between the swamping of Canvey Island and the loss of a few windows along Southend sea front!
    The experiences of the CHASE series and "Operation Sailor Hat" suggest that the "Montgomery = nuke" stuff is nonsense.
    I do wonder a little what the reaction would be to showing this movie in the bars of Southend:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LtuInl8V70M
  • MattWMattW Posts: 23,145

    Mrs P and I watched the Queen's speech on Christmas Day for the first time in years (mainly I admit because we thought it might be her last).

    It was noticeable that Andrew was the only royal not to feature.
    I don't think Prince Harry got a mention did he? I wasn't watching or listening closely, so he might have done, but I remember picking up very clear mentions of Willian and Kate doing great work about something or other, expecting Harry name to be mentioned next on the list and I don't think it came.
    No, but he's not an actual royal anymore is he?
    He doesn't do "duties" - just his own projects and self-promotion.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,494

    RH1992 said:

    Dashboard update delayed until 7.30:

    Colleagues are working hard to resolve the issue, but they had to restart a process which takes a few hours for it to run.

    PS: Some processes take a long time to run. It is a miracle that we get them to run seamlessly on most days (90% of the time).


    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476578149370671111?s=20

    "We had a data dump from NHSE today for deaths from 24 December. So it's 6 days worth of data."

    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476579582975385607?s=20

    Could be a big rise.
    NHS England have reported 365 new Covid hospital deaths over the period 25-30th Dec.. These I think will be added to today's 4pm http://gov.uk number so I expect lots of noise on here about the high death number.

    https://twitter.com/MartinThornber/status/1476564502338588672
    Indeed....

    image

    Fill that "hole" to match the existing slope etc.....

    What kind of background music should we play at the panic, this evening? @MoonRabbit ?

    I am thinking that the biscuits should be simple Hobnob for a change.
    Seriously! When i am in a nite spot on Friday will they play Radiohead? We are not there to gaze at shoes! Admittedly I do spend a lot of time looking at people’s shoes, so maybe I am.

    Honestly! Proper music has a beat. You can sing along. And enjoy yourself.

    This

    1..RAINBOW - ALL NIGHT LONG
    2..UNDERTONES - TEENAGE KICKS
    3..BLACK SABBATH - PARANOID
    4..DEEP PURPLE - SMOKE ON THE WATER
    5..LED ZEPPELIN - WHOLE LOTTA LOVE
    6..BLONDIE - HEART OF GLASS.
    7..JIMI HENDRIX - HEY JOE
    8..THE THE - THIS IS THE DAY
    9..THE WEDDING PRESENT - THIS IS MY FAVOURITE DRESS
    10..THE JAM - TUBE STATION AT MIDNIGHT
    11..BUZZCOCKS - EVER FALLEN IN LOVE
    12..X-RAY SPEX - GERMFREE ADOLESCENTS
    13..ROLLING STONES - SATISFACTION
    14..JOY DIVISION - TRANSMISSION
    15..QUEEN - WE ARE THE CHAMPIONS
    16..THE WHO - PINBALL WIZZARD
    17.. THE KINKS - AUTUMN ALMANAC
    18..MOTORHEAD - ACE OF SPADES
    19..ELVIS PRESLEY - IF I CAN DREAM
    20..BEATLES - HELP

    Biscuits. We just bought treacle sponge hobnobs. Why not? Still Christmas.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,248
    RobD said:

    I'm genuinely curious why it takes multiple hours to update the dashboard. Computers can go through hundreds of thousands of lines in a database without breaking a sweat.

    They get a vast mess of records that need to be cross-correlated and checked. Lots of manual interventions, Lots of de-duplicating data.

    The data we see on the dashboard is the tip of the ice berg. Behind it is data down to the individual person level.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,368

    RobD said:

    Dashboard update delayed until 7.30:

    Colleagues are working hard to resolve the issue, but they had to restart a process which takes a few hours for it to run.

    PS: Some processes take a long time to run. It is a miracle that we get them to run seamlessly on most days (90% of the time).


    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476578149370671111?s=20

    Excel spreadsheet has fallen over with the huge numbers...the comment about taking a long time and miracle it even runs (after 2 years of this) doesn't sound like systems have been modernised, more sticking plasters.
    It's probably an Excel macro in VB.
    It isn't
    This article seems to suggest at least there were back when the system fell over...

    https://blogs.city.ac.uk/cityshortcourses/2020/10/13/what-really-caused-the-excel-error-in-nhs-test-and-trace-covid-19-system-an-in-depth-technical-analysis/
    Things may have changed after a known issue and 14 months.
  • rcs1000 said:

    RobD said:

    theakes said:

    If that is the case and they have their MOJO back they need to fight Southend West, as do Labour, otherwise their MOJO could stall amid a massive Reform Party vote.
    Suggest this issue is worth a thread on its won.

    I agreee
    I don’t agree. Assassinated when doing constituency work. It’s good manners to stand aside out of respect, and good principle not to look to gain from assassinated MP seat.
    Yeah, I'm torn on this one. Would either of the two recently-deceased MPs want democracy suspended in their memory? The MP blown up by the IRA wasn't treated in the same fashion.
    To be fair, Sinn Fein wasn't in the running to gain the seat.
    Likewise, neo-Nazis weren't in the running for Batley in 2016, and the Taliban will probably sit Southend out.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,494

    RH1992 said:

    Dashboard update delayed until 7.30:

    Colleagues are working hard to resolve the issue, but they had to restart a process which takes a few hours for it to run.

    PS: Some processes take a long time to run. It is a miracle that we get them to run seamlessly on most days (90% of the time).


    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476578149370671111?s=20

    "We had a data dump from NHSE today for deaths from 24 December. So it's 6 days worth of data."

    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476579582975385607?s=20

    Could be a big rise.
    NHS England have reported 365 new Covid hospital deaths over the period 25-30th Dec.. These I think will be added to today's 4pm http://gov.uk number so I expect lots of noise on here about the high death number.

    https://twitter.com/MartinThornber/status/1476564502338588672
    Indeed....

    image

    Fill that "hole" to match the existing slope etc.....

    What kind of background music should we play at the panic, this evening? @MoonRabbit ?

    I am thinking that the biscuits should be simple Hobnob for a change.
    Seriously! When i am in a nite spot on Friday will they play Radiohead? We are not there to gaze at shoes! Admittedly I do spend a lot of time looking at people’s shoes, so maybe I am.

    Honestly! Proper music has a beat. You can sing along. And enjoy yourself.

    This

    1..RAINBOW - ALL NIGHT LONG
    2..UNDERTONES - TEENAGE KICKS
    3..BLACK SABBATH - PARANOID
    4..DEEP PURPLE - SMOKE ON THE WATER
    5..LED ZEPPELIN - WHOLE LOTTA LOVE
    6..BLONDIE - HEART OF GLASS.
    7..JIMI HENDRIX - HEY JOE
    8..THE THE - THIS IS THE DAY
    9..THE WEDDING PRESENT - THIS IS MY FAVOURITE DRESS
    10..THE JAM - TUBE STATION AT MIDNIGHT
    11..BUZZCOCKS - EVER FALLEN IN LOVE
    12..X-RAY SPEX - GERMFREE ADOLESCENTS
    13..ROLLING STONES - SATISFACTION
    14..JOY DIVISION - TRANSMISSION
    15..QUEEN - WE ARE THE CHAMPIONS
    16..THE WHO - PINBALL WIZZARD
    17.. THE KINKS - AUTUMN ALMANAC
    18..MOTORHEAD - ACE OF SPADES
    19..ELVIS PRESLEY - IF I CAN DREAM
    20..BEATLES - HELP

    Biscuits. We just bought treacle sponge hobnobs. Why not? Still Christmas.
    Yay! So cool. I didn’t know I could copy paste a playlist so easy. Let’s Rock’n’Roll. 💃🏻
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,989
    edited December 2021
    eek said:

    RobD said:

    Dashboard update delayed until 7.30:

    Colleagues are working hard to resolve the issue, but they had to restart a process which takes a few hours for it to run.

    PS: Some processes take a long time to run. It is a miracle that we get them to run seamlessly on most days (90% of the time).


    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476578149370671111?s=20

    Excel spreadsheet has fallen over with the huge numbers...the comment about taking a long time and miracle it even runs (after 2 years of this) doesn't sound like systems have been modernised, more sticking plasters.
    It's probably an Excel macro in VB.
    It isn't
    This article seems to suggest at least there were back when the system fell over...

    https://blogs.city.ac.uk/cityshortcourses/2020/10/13/what-really-caused-the-excel-error-in-nhs-test-and-trace-covid-19-system-an-in-depth-technical-analysis/
    Things may have changed after a known issue and 14 months.
    Well we would hope so. But it does seems like its sticking plasters over sticking plasters to try and bring together the clusterf##k of different formats being feed into the system.
  • TazTaz Posts: 14,376

    What are the principal threats and opportunities facing Johnson's premiership in 2022?

    I was thinking:

    Opportunities:
    1. Omicron might be the effective end of Covid, if mild and it becomes ubiquitous...
    2. ...in which case the decision not to increase restrictions further could look inspired.
    3. Having survived the Q4 scandals there might be a quiet period with no fresh scandals.
    4. If a leadership challenge comes Johnson could see it off with votes to spare, so deferring any further challenge to 2023 at the earliest.
    5. Some foreign event leads to a 'rally to the flag' boost for Johnson (I'm thinking Ukraine, but hopefully not).

    Threats:
    1. Omicron proves very nasty and Johnson's decision to avoid further restrictions looks misguided at best.
    2. Further Covid variants extend the misery throughout 2022.
    3. Energy price rises hit consumers hard.
    4. Supply issues come to the fore as the new EU trade regimes kicks in.
    5. The NI rises land badly with the public.
    6. Further hitherto unrevealed Johnson scandals emerge.
    7. Major financial crash sparked by Evergreen/Ukraine/something else.
    8. Tory MPs don't recover their faith in Johnson as a winner after an extended period of bad polls.

    I am sure there are others on both sides of the account. Thoughts anyone?

    3 and 5 are the biggest threats to Johnson I suspect. I think 8 will be, if it happens, a consequence of any combination of 1-6.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    MattW said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    theakes said:

    If that is the case and they have their MOJO back they need to fight Southend West, as do Labour, otherwise their MOJO could stall amid a massive Reform Party vote.
    Suggest this issue is worth a thread on its won.

    I agreee
    I don’t agree. Assassinated when doing constituency work. It’s good manners to stand aside out of respect, and good principle not to look to gain from assassinated MP seat.
    Like Eastbourne?

    I think the precedent set by Batley & Spen (first time around) is entirely wrong. There is no issue of "manners" here. The murders of both Jo Cox and David Amess were utterly tragic, but so were the deaths of James Brokenshire and Cheryl Gillan. But the residents in all those areas need to go on to pick a new MP, and I really don't see why they shouldn't have the usual range of choices.
    I think the precedent set by Batley & Spen was right, and that the Lib Dems were wrong to gain Eastbourne.

    Yes the deaths of Brokenshire and Gillan were tragic, but they were also natural. Seeking a replacement by following natural processes is reasonable.

    The deaths or Cox and Amess are different, they were unnatural. They were politically motivated murders. If people who dislike a party can go around killing that parties MPs and seeking the MPs seat change hands as a result then that is leading us down a very dark path.

    No politically motivated murder should ever be rewarded by the seat changing hands.
    ‘ No politically motivated murder should ever be rewarded by the seat changing hands. “

    I agree with Bart.

    Two MP assassinations in recent years, the political establishment have to ask, what is normal, is this the new normal, how to stop it becoming a trend.

    As well as the principle Bart neatly summed up, dialling down on division and hype seems sensible too, where can be applied within democracy.
    These weren't politically motivated. We all run the risk of being murdered by terrorists. Murdering an MP is aa dreadful thing to do, but it is on exactly the same moral level as murdering anybody else.

    Handing it to the existing party, is the one set up which permits the murderer to know in advance the electoral outcome of his act.
    Both were political.

    Jo Cox was murdered by a far-right extremist.
    David Amess was murdered by an Islamist.

    Both are different to any random murder in that they are assaults on the democratic system.
    Good response to cave in and anoint instead of elect a successor, then. Anyway, they were fundamentally nutters with an ideological overlay. There is nothing particularly political about murdering an MP as part of a jihad - the guy didn't expect more jihad friendly policies to result from his action.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 23,145

    tlg86 said:

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/30/navy-to-dismantle-sunken-warship-on-thames-holding-unstable-explosives

    An operation to remove the masts from a sunken cargo ship in the River Thames, containing 1,400 tonnes of unstable explosives onboard, will involve Royal Navy specialists.

    It is believed that if the unexploded ordnance on the SS Richard Montgomery were triggered it could lead to the nearby oil and gas facilities in Sheerness being damaged, the Daily Telegraph reports.


    What could possibly go wrong?

    The removal of the Richard Montgomery, and the danger of doing so, has been a point of discussion in that part of N Kent and in SE Essex since, IIRC, about 1947.
    'Informed' opinion, in the pubs and clubs of SE Essex suggests that the consequence of removal will vary between the swamping of Canvey Island and the loss of a few windows along Southend sea front!
    That's half as much TNT, assuming that it is all viable, as the equivalent of Halifax in 1917.
  • IanB2 said:

    MattW said:

    stodge said:

    Afternoon all :)

    Another desperately quiet day at work and I come on here to find a nice thread about the Liberal Democrats which is always welcome.

    North Shropshire has undeniably given both the party and Ed Davey a real boost. Davey now has two by-election gains to his credit and let's not forget he's a fighter having lost Kingston & Surbiton in the 2015 catastrophe, he went and won it back in 2017 and now has a healthy 10,000 majority. He's the only LD MP who lost his seat in 2015, regained it in 2017 and held on in 2019 (both Jo Swinson and Stephen Lloyd regained seats lost in 2015 at the next GE but lost at the last GE).

    All isn't sweetness and light - the poll ratings remain modest at this time and I suspect there are islands of activity between vast oceans of constituencies where there is no meaningful LD presence.

    As an example, the LDs hold 152 council seats in London but 109 of those are in Sutton, Kingston and Richmond which means only 43 seats in the remaining Boroughs and large numbers with no LD presence at all. I'm all for targeting resources but the party needs to start getting into new areas and building strength and winning seats.

    Take a borough like Bromley - in 1998, the Liberal Democrats won 25 seats and for a short while ran the council with Labour - in 2014, the last councillors were defeated. That's the scale of the rebuilding that still needs to start seven years after the end of the Coalition.

    There will be those who ask for what the Liberal Democrats stand - actually, that's not very important now - it's enough to be a home for disillusioned Conservatives (of whom there seem to be many currently) but there will come a point when the party will need to articulate its USP in a crowded market. They've made a good start opposing some of the proposed restrictions and no one talks about re-joining the EU or any of that nonsense.

    In the same way, talking about the relationship with Starmer's Labour isn't all that important either. Both parties are fishing in different ponds for the same fish and it doesn't much matter on whose hook they end up.

    FAir comment.

    It's interest looking at Farron's seat - I was wondering if it is a Nonconformist area (to an extent), but it took the LDs years of work pre-Farron to win it, and is a a LD-Tory marginal much of the time recently.

    Current majority 1934.



    He needs a swing in the current direction to make it safe.
    A Tory to LibDem swing doesn’t seem all that unlikely right now.
    Sadly the seat won't exist after boundary changes.
    On the current proposals, although it wouldn't shock me if these are changed in the final version. The changes in the NW generally are more radical than a two seat reduction from 75 to 73 probably requires, and that's worrying for a few MPs (either making seats less winnable or opening up selection contest issues). I can see fairly strong push-back.
    Maybe, but if the previous reviews are anything to go by, libdem seats always seem to be changed radically. (cf Liverpool Edge Hill, Gordon, Leeds West to mention a few). It's a tad unfair, but it's the nature of the beast, libdem seats marooned in a sea of other party seats. They are bound to suffer. Better than the US reviews though.
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468

    TimT said:

    RH1992 said:

    Dashboard update delayed until 7.30:

    Colleagues are working hard to resolve the issue, but they had to restart a process which takes a few hours for it to run.

    PS: Some processes take a long time to run. It is a miracle that we get them to run seamlessly on most days (90% of the time).


    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476578149370671111?s=20

    "We had a data dump from NHSE today for deaths from 24 December. So it's 6 days worth of data."

    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476579582975385607?s=20

    Could be a big rise.
    NHS England have reported 365 new Covid hospital deaths over the period 25-30th Dec.. These I think will be added to today's 4pm http://gov.uk number so I expect lots of noise on here about the high death number.

    https://twitter.com/MartinThornber/status/1476564502338588672
    Indeed....

    image

    Fill that "hole" to match the existing slope etc.....

    What kind of background music should we play at the panic, this evening? @MoonRabbit ?

    I am thinking that the biscuits should be simple Hobnob for a change.
    Perhaps cake for a change? Death by Chocolate?
    I like your thinking.

    For the music - Felt Kuti? Susana Baca?
    Thanks. Somehow both these artists' oeuvres had passed me by. Susana Baca seems all too upbeat to accompanying panic and death. So let's go with Kuti. There is a menace in those drums.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,248

    RH1992 said:

    Dashboard update delayed until 7.30:

    Colleagues are working hard to resolve the issue, but they had to restart a process which takes a few hours for it to run.

    PS: Some processes take a long time to run. It is a miracle that we get them to run seamlessly on most days (90% of the time).


    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476578149370671111?s=20

    "We had a data dump from NHSE today for deaths from 24 December. So it's 6 days worth of data."

    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476579582975385607?s=20

    Could be a big rise.
    NHS England have reported 365 new Covid hospital deaths over the period 25-30th Dec.. These I think will be added to today's 4pm http://gov.uk number so I expect lots of noise on here about the high death number.

    https://twitter.com/MartinThornber/status/1476564502338588672
    Indeed....

    image

    Fill that "hole" to match the existing slope etc.....

    What kind of background music should we play at the panic, this evening? @MoonRabbit ?

    I am thinking that the biscuits should be simple Hobnob for a change.
    Seriously! When i am in a nite spot on Friday will they play Radiohead? We are not there to gaze at shoes! Admittedly I do spend a lot of time looking at people’s shoes, so maybe I am.

    Honestly! Proper music has a beat. You can sing along. And enjoy yourself.

    This

    1..RAINBOW - ALL NIGHT LONG
    2..UNDERTONES - TEENAGE KICKS
    3..BLACK SABBATH - PARANOID
    4..DEEP PURPLE - SMOKE ON THE WATER
    5..LED ZEPPELIN - WHOLE LOTTA LOVE
    6..BLONDIE - HEART OF GLASS.
    7..JIMI HENDRIX - HEY JOE
    8..THE THE - THIS IS THE DAY
    9..THE WEDDING PRESENT - THIS IS MY FAVOURITE DRESS
    10..THE JAM - TUBE STATION AT MIDNIGHT
    11..BUZZCOCKS - EVER FALLEN IN LOVE
    12..X-RAY SPEX - GERMFREE ADOLESCENTS
    13..ROLLING STONES - SATISFACTION
    14..JOY DIVISION - TRANSMISSION
    15..QUEEN - WE ARE THE CHAMPIONS
    16..THE WHO - PINBALL WIZZARD
    17.. THE KINKS - AUTUMN ALMANAC
    18..MOTORHEAD - ACE OF SPADES
    19..ELVIS PRESLEY - IF I CAN DREAM
    20..BEATLES - HELP

    Biscuits. We just bought treacle sponge hobnobs. Why not? Still Christmas.
    18 - should be the acoustic, unplugged version
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,248
    eek said:

    RobD said:

    Dashboard update delayed until 7.30:

    Colleagues are working hard to resolve the issue, but they had to restart a process which takes a few hours for it to run.

    PS: Some processes take a long time to run. It is a miracle that we get them to run seamlessly on most days (90% of the time).


    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476578149370671111?s=20

    Excel spreadsheet has fallen over with the huge numbers...the comment about taking a long time and miracle it even runs (after 2 years of this) doesn't sound like systems have been modernised, more sticking plasters.
    It's probably an Excel macro in VB.
    It isn't
    This article seems to suggest at least there were back when the system fell over...

    https://blogs.city.ac.uk/cityshortcourses/2020/10/13/what-really-caused-the-excel-error-in-nhs-test-and-trace-covid-19-system-an-in-depth-technical-analysis/
    Things may have changed after a known issue and 14 months.
    *Some* of it is here - https://www.citusdata.com/blog/2021/12/11/uk-covid-19-dashboard-built-using-postgres-and-citus/
  • MattWMattW Posts: 23,145
    edited December 2021
    IshmaelZ said:

    MattW said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    theakes said:

    If that is the case and they have their MOJO back they need to fight Southend West, as do Labour, otherwise their MOJO could stall amid a massive Reform Party vote.
    Suggest this issue is worth a thread on its won.

    I agreee
    I don’t agree. Assassinated when doing constituency work. It’s good manners to stand aside out of respect, and good principle not to look to gain from assassinated MP seat.
    Like Eastbourne?

    I think the precedent set by Batley & Spen (first time around) is entirely wrong. There is no issue of "manners" here. The murders of both Jo Cox and David Amess were utterly tragic, but so were the deaths of James Brokenshire and Cheryl Gillan. But the residents in all those areas need to go on to pick a new MP, and I really don't see why they shouldn't have the usual range of choices.
    I think the precedent set by Batley & Spen was right, and that the Lib Dems were wrong to gain Eastbourne.

    Yes the deaths of Brokenshire and Gillan were tragic, but they were also natural. Seeking a replacement by following natural processes is reasonable.

    The deaths or Cox and Amess are different, they were unnatural. They were politically motivated murders. If people who dislike a party can go around killing that parties MPs and seeking the MPs seat change hands as a result then that is leading us down a very dark path.

    No politically motivated murder should ever be rewarded by the seat changing hands.
    ‘ No politically motivated murder should ever be rewarded by the seat changing hands. “

    I agree with Bart.

    Two MP assassinations in recent years, the political establishment have to ask, what is normal, is this the new normal, how to stop it becoming a trend.

    As well as the principle Bart neatly summed up, dialling down on division and hype seems sensible too, where can be applied within democracy.
    These weren't politically motivated. We all run the risk of being murdered by terrorists. Murdering an MP is aa dreadful thing to do, but it is on exactly the same moral level as murdering anybody else.

    Handing it to the existing party, is the one set up which permits the murderer to know in advance the electoral outcome of his act.
    Both were political.

    Jo Cox was murdered by a far-right extremist.
    David Amess was murdered by an Islamist.

    Both are different to any random murder in that they are assaults on the democratic system.
    Good response to cave in and anoint instead of elect a successor, then. Anyway, they were fundamentally nutters with an ideological overlay. There is nothing particularly political about murdering an MP as part of a jihad - the guy didn't expect more jihad friendly policies to result from his action.
    That's an interesting conclusion.

    Murdering a politician because you hate and want to overthrow the political system he represents is not political.

    Hmmm.

    There will still be the same elections there would have been, even with some candidates not standing as a mark of respect - the last GE and the next GE.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    RH1992 said:

    Dashboard update delayed until 7.30:

    Colleagues are working hard to resolve the issue, but they had to restart a process which takes a few hours for it to run.

    PS: Some processes take a long time to run. It is a miracle that we get them to run seamlessly on most days (90% of the time).


    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476578149370671111?s=20

    "We had a data dump from NHSE today for deaths from 24 December. So it's 6 days worth of data."

    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476579582975385607?s=20

    Could be a big rise.
    NHS England have reported 365 new Covid hospital deaths over the period 25-30th Dec.. These I think will be added to today's 4pm http://gov.uk number so I expect lots of noise on here about the high death number.

    https://twitter.com/MartinThornber/status/1476564502338588672
    Indeed....

    image

    Fill that "hole" to match the existing slope etc.....

    What kind of background music should we play at the panic, this evening? @MoonRabbit ?

    I am thinking that the biscuits should be simple Hobnob for a change.
    Seriously! When i am in a nite spot on Friday will they play Radiohead? We are not there to gaze at shoes! Admittedly I do spend a lot of time looking at people’s shoes, so maybe I am.

    Honestly! Proper music has a beat. You can sing along. And enjoy yourself.

    This

    1..RAINBOW - ALL NIGHT LONG
    2..UNDERTONES - TEENAGE KICKS
    3..BLACK SABBATH - PARANOID
    4..DEEP PURPLE - SMOKE ON THE WATER
    5..LED ZEPPELIN - WHOLE LOTTA LOVE
    6..BLONDIE - HEART OF GLASS.
    7..JIMI HENDRIX - HEY JOE
    8..THE THE - THIS IS THE DAY
    9..THE WEDDING PRESENT - THIS IS MY FAVOURITE DRESS
    10..THE JAM - TUBE STATION AT MIDNIGHT
    11..BUZZCOCKS - EVER FALLEN IN LOVE
    12..X-RAY SPEX - GERMFREE ADOLESCENTS
    13..ROLLING STONES - SATISFACTION
    14..JOY DIVISION - TRANSMISSION
    15..QUEEN - WE ARE THE CHAMPIONS
    16..THE WHO - PINBALL WIZZARD
    17.. THE KINKS - AUTUMN ALMANAC
    18..MOTORHEAD - ACE OF SPADES
    19..ELVIS PRESLEY - IF I CAN DREAM
    20..BEATLES - HELP

    Biscuits. We just bought treacle sponge hobnobs. Why not? Still Christmas.
    Top tip - add one Manics and one Talking Heads track. Increases the cred of any playlist by 10,000% (approx)
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,424

    The LD's don't have their major back. When was the last time you saw an LD holding forth in the media. I am on their email list and other than witless criticism of the government they have nothing to say about anything. All they are beneficiaries of voters anger with the government. Davey and Moran are probably wise to have no ideas and no policies at the present time.

    The point has been made before that the LD's are suffering from being the 4th Party in Parliament. The Minister gets called; the Shadow gets called. Then the SNP spokesperson gets called. When Thorpe, Steel and Ashdown were Leaders of the Third Party they got called regularly, and, as they charismatic speakers, got reported. Davey can't get the same automatic coverage.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,926

    RobD said:

    Dashboard update delayed until 7.30:

    Colleagues are working hard to resolve the issue, but they had to restart a process which takes a few hours for it to run.

    PS: Some processes take a long time to run. It is a miracle that we get them to run seamlessly on most days (90% of the time).


    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476578149370671111?s=20

    Excel spreadsheet has fallen over with the huge numbers...the comment about taking a long time and miracle it even runs (after 2 years of this) doesn't sound like systems have been modernised, more sticking plasters.
    It's probably an Excel macro in VB.
    It isn't
    This article seems to suggest at least there were back when the system fell over...

    https://blogs.city.ac.uk/cityshortcourses/2020/10/13/what-really-caused-the-excel-error-in-nhs-test-and-trace-covid-19-system-an-in-depth-technical-analysis/
    Cringe worthy. Have they not heard of anything like Python? It can deal with these kind of database-style merging and queries easily.
  • TazTaz Posts: 14,376
    MattW said:

    Off Topic I know, but does anyone know whether the police have done anything about those disgraceful antivaxxers at MK yesterday?

    Still collecting reports afaics.

    They are recently practiced in getting someone sectioned, however - Windsor Castle 'Assassin' from last week.
    What grounds would they have to section anyone ?

    I get their views and actions are unpopular and they are protesting in a way which may well have been illegal. But sectioning them. Why ? Anyway what good would it do. It would only feed into their conspiracy theories.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,213
    Taz said:

    What are the principal threats and opportunities facing Johnson's premiership in 2022?

    I was thinking:

    Opportunities:
    1. Omicron might be the effective end of Covid, if mild and it becomes ubiquitous...
    2. ...in which case the decision not to increase restrictions further could look inspired.
    3. Having survived the Q4 scandals there might be a quiet period with no fresh scandals.
    4. If a leadership challenge comes Johnson could see it off with votes to spare, so deferring any further challenge to 2023 at the earliest.
    5. Some foreign event leads to a 'rally to the flag' boost for Johnson (I'm thinking Ukraine, but hopefully not).

    Threats:
    1. Omicron proves very nasty and Johnson's decision to avoid further restrictions looks misguided at best.
    2. Further Covid variants extend the misery throughout 2022.
    3. Energy price rises hit consumers hard.
    4. Supply issues come to the fore as the new EU trade regimes kicks in.
    5. The NI rises land badly with the public.
    6. Further hitherto unrevealed Johnson scandals emerge.
    7. Major financial crash sparked by Evergreen/Ukraine/something else.
    8. Tory MPs don't recover their faith in Johnson as a winner after an extended period of bad polls.

    I am sure there are others on both sides of the account. Thoughts anyone?

    3 and 5 are the biggest threats to Johnson I suspect. I think 8 will be, if it happens, a consequence of any combination of 1-6.
    I don't think 5) is a threat because the public are on board with a hypothecated tax for the NHS.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,926
    Taz said:

    MattW said:

    Off Topic I know, but does anyone know whether the police have done anything about those disgraceful antivaxxers at MK yesterday?

    Still collecting reports afaics.

    They are recently practiced in getting someone sectioned, however - Windsor Castle 'Assassin' from last week.
    What grounds would they have to section anyone ?

    I get their views and actions are unpopular and they are protesting in a way which may well have been illegal. But sectioning them. Why ? Anyway what good would it do. It would only feed into their conspiracy theories.
    Their lunacy is a danger to themselves and others.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,494

    RH1992 said:

    Dashboard update delayed until 7.30:

    Colleagues are working hard to resolve the issue, but they had to restart a process which takes a few hours for it to run.

    PS: Some processes take a long time to run. It is a miracle that we get them to run seamlessly on most days (90% of the time).


    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476578149370671111?s=20

    "We had a data dump from NHSE today for deaths from 24 December. So it's 6 days worth of data."

    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476579582975385607?s=20

    Could be a big rise.
    NHS England have reported 365 new Covid hospital deaths over the period 25-30th Dec.. These I think will be added to today's 4pm http://gov.uk number so I expect lots of noise on here about the high death number.

    https://twitter.com/MartinThornber/status/1476564502338588672
    Indeed....

    image

    Fill that "hole" to match the existing slope etc.....

    What kind of background music should we play at the panic, this evening? @MoonRabbit ?

    I am thinking that the biscuits should be simple Hobnob for a change.
    Seriously! When i am in a nite spot on Friday will they play Radiohead? We are not there to gaze at shoes! Admittedly I do spend a lot of time looking at people’s shoes, so maybe I am.

    Honestly! Proper music has a beat. You can sing along. And enjoy yourself.

    This

    1..RAINBOW - ALL NIGHT LONG
    2..UNDERTONES - TEENAGE KICKS
    3..BLACK SABBATH - PARANOID
    4..DEEP PURPLE - SMOKE ON THE WATER
    5..LED ZEPPELIN - WHOLE LOTTA LOVE
    6..BLONDIE - HEART OF GLASS.
    7..JIMI HENDRIX - HEY JOE
    8..THE THE - THIS IS THE DAY
    9..THE WEDDING PRESENT - THIS IS MY FAVOURITE DRESS
    10..THE JAM - TUBE STATION AT MIDNIGHT
    11..BUZZCOCKS - EVER FALLEN IN LOVE
    12..X-RAY SPEX - GERMFREE ADOLESCENTS
    13..ROLLING STONES - SATISFACTION
    14..JOY DIVISION - TRANSMISSION
    15..QUEEN - WE ARE THE CHAMPIONS
    16..THE WHO - PINBALL WIZZARD
    17.. THE KINKS - AUTUMN ALMANAC
    18..MOTORHEAD - ACE OF SPADES
    19..ELVIS PRESLEY - IF I CAN DREAM
    20..BEATLES - HELP

    Biscuits. We just bought treacle sponge hobnobs. Why not? Still Christmas.
    Panic? I don’t think there should be panic. Omicron had taken over and it’s not as vicious. Everything so far looks quite sedate on hospitals and deaths in this wave. Vaccines are working.

    I don’t think there should be any panic.

    It feels like it’s coming to an end. Years or bizarreness, but it will soon get forgotten.

    The NHS backlog probably greater concern than covid now. 😕
  • So murder Thursday?
  • eekeek Posts: 28,368
    Stocky said:

    Taz said:

    What are the principal threats and opportunities facing Johnson's premiership in 2022?

    I was thinking:

    Opportunities:
    1. Omicron might be the effective end of Covid, if mild and it becomes ubiquitous...
    2. ...in which case the decision not to increase restrictions further could look inspired.
    3. Having survived the Q4 scandals there might be a quiet period with no fresh scandals.
    4. If a leadership challenge comes Johnson could see it off with votes to spare, so deferring any further challenge to 2023 at the earliest.
    5. Some foreign event leads to a 'rally to the flag' boost for Johnson (I'm thinking Ukraine, but hopefully not).

    Threats:
    1. Omicron proves very nasty and Johnson's decision to avoid further restrictions looks misguided at best.
    2. Further Covid variants extend the misery throughout 2022.
    3. Energy price rises hit consumers hard.
    4. Supply issues come to the fore as the new EU trade regimes kicks in.
    5. The NI rises land badly with the public.
    6. Further hitherto unrevealed Johnson scandals emerge.
    7. Major financial crash sparked by Evergreen/Ukraine/something else.
    8. Tory MPs don't recover their faith in Johnson as a winner after an extended period of bad polls.

    I am sure there are others on both sides of the account. Thoughts anyone?

    3 and 5 are the biggest threats to Johnson I suspect. I think 8 will be, if it happens, a consequence of any combination of 1-6.
    I don't think 5) is a threat because the public are on board with a hypothecated tax for the NHS.
    People love taxes that others pay - they also likes taxes up to the point the tax appears on their payslip and reduces their pay.

    At that point things start to look very different.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,373

    So murder Thursday?

    Why? What did it do?
  • UK Intelligence / Reconnaissance around Crimea & Russia's Black Sea coast

    Royal Air Force
    RC135W Rivet Joint
    ZZ665 RRR7217


    https://twitter.com/CivMilAir/status/1476592532037459972?s=20
  • RobD said:

    Taz said:

    MattW said:

    Off Topic I know, but does anyone know whether the police have done anything about those disgraceful antivaxxers at MK yesterday?

    Still collecting reports afaics.

    They are recently practiced in getting someone sectioned, however - Windsor Castle 'Assassin' from last week.
    What grounds would they have to section anyone ?

    I get their views and actions are unpopular and they are protesting in a way which may well have been illegal. But sectioning them. Why ? Anyway what good would it do. It would only feed into their conspiracy theories.
    Their lunacy is a danger to themselves and others.
    You need to show a bit more love and understanding to these people and less hate
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,829

    So murder Thursday?

    Given the discussion we have been having on this thread, I was thinking for a moment, which MP will it be?!
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,494
    edited December 2021
    IshmaelZ said:

    RH1992 said:

    Dashboard update delayed until 7.30:

    Colleagues are working hard to resolve the issue, but they had to restart a process which takes a few hours for it to run.

    PS: Some processes take a long time to run. It is a miracle that we get them to run seamlessly on most days (90% of the time).


    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476578149370671111?s=20

    "We had a data dump from NHSE today for deaths from 24 December. So it's 6 days worth of data."

    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476579582975385607?s=20

    Could be a big rise.
    NHS England have reported 365 new Covid hospital deaths over the period 25-30th Dec.. These I think will be added to today's 4pm http://gov.uk number so I expect lots of noise on here about the high death number.

    https://twitter.com/MartinThornber/status/1476564502338588672
    Indeed....

    image

    Fill that "hole" to match the existing slope etc.....

    What kind of background music should we play at the panic, this evening? @MoonRabbit ?

    I am thinking that the biscuits should be simple Hobnob for a change.
    Seriously! When i am in a nite spot on Friday will they play Radiohead? We are not there to gaze at shoes! Admittedly I do spend a lot of time looking at people’s shoes, so maybe I am.

    Honestly! Proper music has a beat. You can sing along. And enjoy yourself.

    This

    1..RAINBOW - ALL NIGHT LONG
    2..UNDERTONES - TEENAGE KICKS
    3..BLACK SABBATH - PARANOID
    4..DEEP PURPLE - SMOKE ON THE WATER
    5..LED ZEPPELIN - WHOLE LOTTA LOVE
    6..BLONDIE - HEART OF GLASS.
    7..JIMI HENDRIX - HEY JOE
    8..THE THE - THIS IS THE DAY
    9..THE WEDDING PRESENT - THIS IS MY FAVOURITE DRESS
    10..THE JAM - TUBE STATION AT MIDNIGHT
    11..BUZZCOCKS - EVER FALLEN IN LOVE
    12..X-RAY SPEX - GERMFREE ADOLESCENTS
    13..ROLLING STONES - SATISFACTION
    14..JOY DIVISION - TRANSMISSION
    15..QUEEN - WE ARE THE CHAMPIONS
    16..THE WHO - PINBALL WIZZARD
    17.. THE KINKS - AUTUMN ALMANAC
    18..MOTORHEAD - ACE OF SPADES
    19..ELVIS PRESLEY - IF I CAN DREAM
    20..BEATLES - HELP

    Biscuits. We just bought treacle sponge hobnobs. Why not? Still Christmas.
    Top tip - add one Manics and one Talking Heads track. Increases the cred of any playlist by 10,000% (approx)
    Okay. I’m not arguing. I have other play lists.

    Dura Ace mentioned neutral milk, that’s amiss on my list. Let’s stuff the panic and do Ghost.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7aKlRWo2u1Y
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    MattW said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    MattW said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    theakes said:

    If that is the case and they have their MOJO back they need to fight Southend West, as do Labour, otherwise their MOJO could stall amid a massive Reform Party vote.
    Suggest this issue is worth a thread on its won.

    I agreee
    I don’t agree. Assassinated when doing constituency work. It’s good manners to stand aside out of respect, and good principle not to look to gain from assassinated MP seat.
    Like Eastbourne?

    I think the precedent set by Batley & Spen (first time around) is entirely wrong. There is no issue of "manners" here. The murders of both Jo Cox and David Amess were utterly tragic, but so were the deaths of James Brokenshire and Cheryl Gillan. But the residents in all those areas need to go on to pick a new MP, and I really don't see why they shouldn't have the usual range of choices.
    I think the precedent set by Batley & Spen was right, and that the Lib Dems were wrong to gain Eastbourne.

    Yes the deaths of Brokenshire and Gillan were tragic, but they were also natural. Seeking a replacement by following natural processes is reasonable.

    The deaths or Cox and Amess are different, they were unnatural. They were politically motivated murders. If people who dislike a party can go around killing that parties MPs and seeking the MPs seat change hands as a result then that is leading us down a very dark path.

    No politically motivated murder should ever be rewarded by the seat changing hands.
    ‘ No politically motivated murder should ever be rewarded by the seat changing hands. “

    I agree with Bart.

    Two MP assassinations in recent years, the political establishment have to ask, what is normal, is this the new normal, how to stop it becoming a trend.

    As well as the principle Bart neatly summed up, dialling down on division and hype seems sensible too, where can be applied within democracy.
    These weren't politically motivated. We all run the risk of being murdered by terrorists. Murdering an MP is aa dreadful thing to do, but it is on exactly the same moral level as murdering anybody else.

    Handing it to the existing party, is the one set up which permits the murderer to know in advance the electoral outcome of his act.
    Both were political.

    Jo Cox was murdered by a far-right extremist.
    David Amess was murdered by an Islamist.

    Both are different to any random murder in that they are assaults on the democratic system.
    Good response to cave in and anoint instead of elect a successor, then. Anyway, they were fundamentally nutters with an ideological overlay. There is nothing particularly political about murdering an MP as part of a jihad - the guy didn't expect more jihad friendly policies to result from his action.
    That's an interesting conclusion.

    Murdering a politician because you hate and want to overthrow the political system he represents is not political.

    Hmmm.

    There will still be the same elections there would have been, even with some candidates not standing as a mark of respect - the last GE and the next GE.
    You think these guys seriously thought they were going to be overthrowing systems? They are just nutters and wankers, and the only way to give any political consequence to their actions at all is to rewrite the electoral rules just for them.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,630
    edited December 2021
    ydoethur said:

    So murder Thursday?

    Why? What did it do?
    Massive reporting delay.

    The media are going to lose their collective poo.
  • stodgestodge Posts: 13,874

    The LD's don't have their major back. When was the last time you saw an LD holding forth in the media. I am on their email list and other than witless criticism of the government they have nothing to say about anything. All they are beneficiaries of voters anger with the government. Davey and Moran are probably wise to have no ideas and no policies at the present time.

    The last time I looked, neither Labour nor the Liberal Democrats were in Government. If you think the Government should be immune from scrutiny or criticism, that's a view yo which you are entitled but it's nonsense.

    Being critical of the Government is what being in opposition is about - it's interesting that on here Labour are often pilloried when they support the Government as much as they are pilloried when opposing it.

    As to "having nothing to say about anything", we are more than two years from a GE. Why should either Labour or the LDs give a detailed exposition of their policies now - yes, they will need to when the time comes and their policy programmes can be rightly scrutinised as will the Govenrment's record and its performance on enacting the 2019 Manifesto on which it was, after all, elected.

    My final thought is if you don't like "witless criticism" of your precious Conservative Government, why don't you unsubscribe from the email list?

  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,373

    ydoethur said:

    So murder Thursday?

    Why? What did it do?
    Massive reporting delay.

    The media are going to lose their collective poo.
    All of it will spew out of their heads via their mouths, like, er, usual?
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    ydoethur said:

    So murder Thursday?

    Why? What did it do?
    Star in a book by that antisemitic old fraud GKC

    IshmaelZ said:

    RH1992 said:

    Dashboard update delayed until 7.30:

    Colleagues are working hard to resolve the issue, but they had to restart a process which takes a few hours for it to run.

    PS: Some processes take a long time to run. It is a miracle that we get them to run seamlessly on most days (90% of the time).


    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476578149370671111?s=20

    "We had a data dump from NHSE today for deaths from 24 December. So it's 6 days worth of data."

    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476579582975385607?s=20

    Could be a big rise.
    NHS England have reported 365 new Covid hospital deaths over the period 25-30th Dec.. These I think will be added to today's 4pm http://gov.uk number so I expect lots of noise on here about the high death number.

    https://twitter.com/MartinThornber/status/1476564502338588672
    Indeed....

    image

    Fill that "hole" to match the existing slope etc.....

    What kind of background music should we play at the panic, this evening? @MoonRabbit ?

    I am thinking that the biscuits should be simple Hobnob for a change.
    Seriously! When i am in a nite spot on Friday will they play Radiohead? We are not there to gaze at shoes! Admittedly I do spend a lot of time looking at people’s shoes, so maybe I am.

    Honestly! Proper music has a beat. You can sing along. And enjoy yourself.

    This

    1..RAINBOW - ALL NIGHT LONG
    2..UNDERTONES - TEENAGE KICKS
    3..BLACK SABBATH - PARANOID
    4..DEEP PURPLE - SMOKE ON THE WATER
    5..LED ZEPPELIN - WHOLE LOTTA LOVE
    6..BLONDIE - HEART OF GLASS.
    7..JIMI HENDRIX - HEY JOE
    8..THE THE - THIS IS THE DAY
    9..THE WEDDING PRESENT - THIS IS MY FAVOURITE DRESS
    10..THE JAM - TUBE STATION AT MIDNIGHT
    11..BUZZCOCKS - EVER FALLEN IN LOVE
    12..X-RAY SPEX - GERMFREE ADOLESCENTS
    13..ROLLING STONES - SATISFACTION
    14..JOY DIVISION - TRANSMISSION
    15..QUEEN - WE ARE THE CHAMPIONS
    16..THE WHO - PINBALL WIZZARD
    17.. THE KINKS - AUTUMN ALMANAC
    18..MOTORHEAD - ACE OF SPADES
    19..ELVIS PRESLEY - IF I CAN DREAM
    20..BEATLES - HELP

    Biscuits. We just bought treacle sponge hobnobs. Why not? Still Christmas.
    Top tip - add one Manics and one Talking Heads track. Increases the cred of any playlist by 10,000% (approx)
    Talking heads arty, weird and depressing.

    Manics pub band.

    Who wants some? 💪🏻
    :lol:
  • A US Air Force E-8C Joint STARS battle management plane has made its maiden flight over eastern Ukraine for a reconnaissance mission to gather information about the situation on the ground, an American official has revealed, as tensions continue.

    https://twitter.com/27khv/status/1476597265041133569?s=20
  • This is what Nadine Dorries dreams about doing.

    Alongside thrillers, romantic comedies and dramas, Netflix in Russia will now let viewers tune into Kremlin propaganda after the country’s media watchdog ordered it to provide streaming of state television channels.

    Roskomnadzor said Netflix would have to include 20 state TV channels among its list of films and series, including the Russian Orthodox Church’s channel Spas, which translates as “Saved”.

    It will also be obliged to stream Russia 1, which broadcasts Moscow. Kremlin. Putin — a weekly TV show devoted to the president’s activities. TV Dozhd, an online opposition channel, has accused the programme of Soviet-style propaganda.

    Netflix was added to Roskomnadzor’s list of “audio-visual services” this week. The register, created last year, requires streaming services with more than 100,000 daily users to also host major Russian TV channels.


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/russian-netflix-ordered-to-stream-state-tv-channels-klsgqmq5j
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,424
    MattW said:

    tlg86 said:

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/30/navy-to-dismantle-sunken-warship-on-thames-holding-unstable-explosives

    An operation to remove the masts from a sunken cargo ship in the River Thames, containing 1,400 tonnes of unstable explosives onboard, will involve Royal Navy specialists.

    It is believed that if the unexploded ordnance on the SS Richard Montgomery were triggered it could lead to the nearby oil and gas facilities in Sheerness being damaged, the Daily Telegraph reports.


    What could possibly go wrong?

    The removal of the Richard Montgomery, and the danger of doing so, has been a point of discussion in that part of N Kent and in SE Essex since, IIRC, about 1947.
    'Informed' opinion, in the pubs and clubs of SE Essex suggests that the consequence of removal will vary between the swamping of Canvey Island and the loss of a few windows along Southend sea front!
    That's half as much TNT, assuming that it is all viable, as the equivalent of Halifax in 1917.
    That's the fear. Much bigger population, especially along the North bank of the Thames.
  • TazTaz Posts: 14,376
    RobD said:

    Taz said:

    MattW said:

    Off Topic I know, but does anyone know whether the police have done anything about those disgraceful antivaxxers at MK yesterday?

    Still collecting reports afaics.

    They are recently practiced in getting someone sectioned, however - Windsor Castle 'Assassin' from last week.
    What grounds would they have to section anyone ?

    I get their views and actions are unpopular and they are protesting in a way which may well have been illegal. But sectioning them. Why ? Anyway what good would it do. It would only feed into their conspiracy theories.
    Their lunacy is a danger to themselves and others.
    Lunacy ? They just have a different viewpoint and believe certain conspiracy theories. Does not make them mad. You go down the road of sectioning protesters you don’t like then where does it end. You’ll be sectioning any protesters.
  • TazTaz Posts: 14,376

    So murder Thursday?

    The less popular follow up to Ruby Tuesday.
  • James talks to someone who knows their stuff:

    James Max: "What did I get wrong?"

    Journalist Debbie Hayton: "There are two sexes. Male and female. What you got wrong was forgetting that and concentrating on gender identity."

    @thejamesmax
    |
    @DebbieHayton


    https://twitter.com/talkRADIO/status/1476487354189856769?s=20
  • Over 2000 admissions reported in England for first time in months today (from Tuesday).
  • The LD's don't have their major back. When was the last time you saw an LD holding forth in the media. I am on their email list and other than witless criticism of the government they have nothing to say about anything. All they are beneficiaries of voters anger with the government. Davey and Moran are probably wise to have no ideas and no policies at the present time.

    The point has been made before that the LD's are suffering from being the 4th Party in Parliament. The Minister gets called; the Shadow gets called. Then the SNP spokesperson gets called. When Thorpe, Steel and Ashdown were Leaders of the Third Party they got called regularly, and, as they charismatic speakers, got reported. Davey can't get the same automatic coverage.
    Sadly true. It is also one of the reasons I never watch QT anymore, (apart from the lightweight Fiona Bruce in charge) Farage is on more often it seems, and who's he for God's sake.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,248

    RH1992 said:

    Dashboard update delayed until 7.30:

    Colleagues are working hard to resolve the issue, but they had to restart a process which takes a few hours for it to run.

    PS: Some processes take a long time to run. It is a miracle that we get them to run seamlessly on most days (90% of the time).


    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476578149370671111?s=20

    "We had a data dump from NHSE today for deaths from 24 December. So it's 6 days worth of data."

    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476579582975385607?s=20

    Could be a big rise.
    NHS England have reported 365 new Covid hospital deaths over the period 25-30th Dec.. These I think will be added to today's 4pm http://gov.uk number so I expect lots of noise on here about the high death number.

    https://twitter.com/MartinThornber/status/1476564502338588672
    Indeed....

    image

    Fill that "hole" to match the existing slope etc.....

    What kind of background music should we play at the panic, this evening? @MoonRabbit ?

    I am thinking that the biscuits should be simple Hobnob for a change.
    Seriously! When i am in a nite spot on Friday will they play Radiohead? We are not there to gaze at shoes! Admittedly I do spend a lot of time looking at people’s shoes, so maybe I am.

    Honestly! Proper music has a beat. You can sing along. And enjoy yourself.

    This

    1..RAINBOW - ALL NIGHT LONG
    2..UNDERTONES - TEENAGE KICKS
    3..BLACK SABBATH - PARANOID
    4..DEEP PURPLE - SMOKE ON THE WATER
    5..LED ZEPPELIN - WHOLE LOTTA LOVE
    6..BLONDIE - HEART OF GLASS.
    7..JIMI HENDRIX - HEY JOE
    8..THE THE - THIS IS THE DAY
    9..THE WEDDING PRESENT - THIS IS MY FAVOURITE DRESS
    10..THE JAM - TUBE STATION AT MIDNIGHT
    11..BUZZCOCKS - EVER FALLEN IN LOVE
    12..X-RAY SPEX - GERMFREE ADOLESCENTS
    13..ROLLING STONES - SATISFACTION
    14..JOY DIVISION - TRANSMISSION
    15..QUEEN - WE ARE THE CHAMPIONS
    16..THE WHO - PINBALL WIZZARD
    17.. THE KINKS - AUTUMN ALMANAC
    18..MOTORHEAD - ACE OF SPADES
    19..ELVIS PRESLEY - IF I CAN DREAM
    20..BEATLES - HELP

    Biscuits. We just bought treacle sponge hobnobs. Why not? Still Christmas.
    Panic? I don’t think there should be panic. Omicron had taken over and it’s not as vicious. Everything so far looks quite sedate on hospitals and deaths in this wave. Vaccines are working.

    I don’t think there should be any panic.

    It feels like it’s coming to an end. Years or bizarreness, but it will soon get forgotten.

    The NHS backlog probably greater concern than covid now. 😕
    I think there should be a proper PB Panic.

    To be held in the church hall. With those folding chairs and tables that try and remove your fingers. With badly photocopied agendas, Naff music on the ancient sound system. Tea brewing up in the big boiler. A play pen for all the @SeanTs to run round in screaming about the end of the world.....

    At the end of the evening the caretaker runs the floor polishing machine to remove the scuff marks from peoples shoes......

    A cosy, British panic.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,989
    edited December 2021

    eek said:

    RobD said:

    Dashboard update delayed until 7.30:

    Colleagues are working hard to resolve the issue, but they had to restart a process which takes a few hours for it to run.

    PS: Some processes take a long time to run. It is a miracle that we get them to run seamlessly on most days (90% of the time).


    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476578149370671111?s=20

    Excel spreadsheet has fallen over with the huge numbers...the comment about taking a long time and miracle it even runs (after 2 years of this) doesn't sound like systems have been modernised, more sticking plasters.
    It's probably an Excel macro in VB.
    It isn't
    This article seems to suggest at least there were back when the system fell over...

    https://blogs.city.ac.uk/cityshortcourses/2020/10/13/what-really-caused-the-excel-error-in-nhs-test-and-trace-covid-19-system-an-in-depth-technical-analysis/
    Things may have changed after a known issue and 14 months.
    *Some* of it is here - https://www.citusdata.com/blog/2021/12/11/uk-covid-19-dashboard-built-using-postgres-and-citus/
    Isn't the top guy leaving this project at the end of the year? It seems now they have started to get a handle on this stuff, perhaps it might be a good idea to try best to keep the team together to work towards overhauling the rest of the data disasters across the public sector?
  • 11,452 in hospital in England - up 990 today. Risen by 1000 a day for the last 4 days from 7536 on Boxing Day.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,373

    RH1992 said:

    Dashboard update delayed until 7.30:

    Colleagues are working hard to resolve the issue, but they had to restart a process which takes a few hours for it to run.

    PS: Some processes take a long time to run. It is a miracle that we get them to run seamlessly on most days (90% of the time).


    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476578149370671111?s=20

    "We had a data dump from NHSE today for deaths from 24 December. So it's 6 days worth of data."

    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476579582975385607?s=20

    Could be a big rise.
    NHS England have reported 365 new Covid hospital deaths over the period 25-30th Dec.. These I think will be added to today's 4pm http://gov.uk number so I expect lots of noise on here about the high death number.

    https://twitter.com/MartinThornber/status/1476564502338588672
    Indeed....

    image

    Fill that "hole" to match the existing slope etc.....

    What kind of background music should we play at the panic, this evening? @MoonRabbit ?

    I am thinking that the biscuits should be simple Hobnob for a change.
    Seriously! When i am in a nite spot on Friday will they play Radiohead? We are not there to gaze at shoes! Admittedly I do spend a lot of time looking at people’s shoes, so maybe I am.

    Honestly! Proper music has a beat. You can sing along. And enjoy yourself.

    This

    1..RAINBOW - ALL NIGHT LONG
    2..UNDERTONES - TEENAGE KICKS
    3..BLACK SABBATH - PARANOID
    4..DEEP PURPLE - SMOKE ON THE WATER
    5..LED ZEPPELIN - WHOLE LOTTA LOVE
    6..BLONDIE - HEART OF GLASS.
    7..JIMI HENDRIX - HEY JOE
    8..THE THE - THIS IS THE DAY
    9..THE WEDDING PRESENT - THIS IS MY FAVOURITE DRESS
    10..THE JAM - TUBE STATION AT MIDNIGHT
    11..BUZZCOCKS - EVER FALLEN IN LOVE
    12..X-RAY SPEX - GERMFREE ADOLESCENTS
    13..ROLLING STONES - SATISFACTION
    14..JOY DIVISION - TRANSMISSION
    15..QUEEN - WE ARE THE CHAMPIONS
    16..THE WHO - PINBALL WIZZARD
    17.. THE KINKS - AUTUMN ALMANAC
    18..MOTORHEAD - ACE OF SPADES
    19..ELVIS PRESLEY - IF I CAN DREAM
    20..BEATLES - HELP

    Biscuits. We just bought treacle sponge hobnobs. Why not? Still Christmas.
    Panic? I don’t think there should be panic. Omicron had taken over and it’s not as vicious. Everything so far looks quite sedate on hospitals and deaths in this wave. Vaccines are working.

    I don’t think there should be any panic.

    It feels like it’s coming to an end. Years or bizarreness, but it will soon get forgotten.

    The NHS backlog probably greater concern than covid now. 😕
    I think there should be a proper PB Panic.

    To be held in the church hall. With those folding chairs and tables that try and remove your fingers. With badly photocopied agendas, Naff music on the ancient sound system. Tea brewing up in the big boiler. A play pen for all the @SeanTs to run round in screaming about the end of the world.....

    At the end of the evening the caretaker runs the floor polishing machine to remove the scuff marks from peoples shoes......

    A cosy, British panic.
    Do we get tea and cakes?

    If not, I'm not going.
  • londoneye said:

    Over 2000 admissions reported in England for first time in months today (from Tuesday).

    I mentioned earlier that the Welsh case numbers were 21000 today after 6000 yesterday. Perhaps the UK number is so high they are rechecking everything to possibly discover a glitch.
  • thats over a 50% rise in people in hospital in 4 days
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,829
    ydoethur said:

    RH1992 said:

    Dashboard update delayed until 7.30:

    Colleagues are working hard to resolve the issue, but they had to restart a process which takes a few hours for it to run.

    PS: Some processes take a long time to run. It is a miracle that we get them to run seamlessly on most days (90% of the time).


    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476578149370671111?s=20

    "We had a data dump from NHSE today for deaths from 24 December. So it's 6 days worth of data."

    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476579582975385607?s=20

    Could be a big rise.
    NHS England have reported 365 new Covid hospital deaths over the period 25-30th Dec.. These I think will be added to today's 4pm http://gov.uk number so I expect lots of noise on here about the high death number.

    https://twitter.com/MartinThornber/status/1476564502338588672
    Indeed....

    image

    Fill that "hole" to match the existing slope etc.....

    What kind of background music should we play at the panic, this evening? @MoonRabbit ?

    I am thinking that the biscuits should be simple Hobnob for a change.
    Seriously! When i am in a nite spot on Friday will they play Radiohead? We are not there to gaze at shoes! Admittedly I do spend a lot of time looking at people’s shoes, so maybe I am.

    Honestly! Proper music has a beat. You can sing along. And enjoy yourself.

    This

    1..RAINBOW - ALL NIGHT LONG
    2..UNDERTONES - TEENAGE KICKS
    3..BLACK SABBATH - PARANOID
    4..DEEP PURPLE - SMOKE ON THE WATER
    5..LED ZEPPELIN - WHOLE LOTTA LOVE
    6..BLONDIE - HEART OF GLASS.
    7..JIMI HENDRIX - HEY JOE
    8..THE THE - THIS IS THE DAY
    9..THE WEDDING PRESENT - THIS IS MY FAVOURITE DRESS
    10..THE JAM - TUBE STATION AT MIDNIGHT
    11..BUZZCOCKS - EVER FALLEN IN LOVE
    12..X-RAY SPEX - GERMFREE ADOLESCENTS
    13..ROLLING STONES - SATISFACTION
    14..JOY DIVISION - TRANSMISSION
    15..QUEEN - WE ARE THE CHAMPIONS
    16..THE WHO - PINBALL WIZZARD
    17.. THE KINKS - AUTUMN ALMANAC
    18..MOTORHEAD - ACE OF SPADES
    19..ELVIS PRESLEY - IF I CAN DREAM
    20..BEATLES - HELP

    Biscuits. We just bought treacle sponge hobnobs. Why not? Still Christmas.
    Panic? I don’t think there should be panic. Omicron had taken over and it’s not as vicious. Everything so far looks quite sedate on hospitals and deaths in this wave. Vaccines are working.

    I don’t think there should be any panic.

    It feels like it’s coming to an end. Years or bizarreness, but it will soon get forgotten.

    The NHS backlog probably greater concern than covid now. 😕
    I think there should be a proper PB Panic.

    To be held in the church hall. With those folding chairs and tables that try and remove your fingers. With badly photocopied agendas, Naff music on the ancient sound system. Tea brewing up in the big boiler. A play pen for all the @SeanTs to run round in screaming about the end of the world.....

    At the end of the evening the caretaker runs the floor polishing machine to remove the scuff marks from peoples shoes......

    A cosy, British panic.
    Do we get tea and cakes?

    If not, I'm not going.
    Home made cakes? Now we're talking. Who's making them?
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,149
    On topic, OGH is - I'm sure - completely correct that Labour voters are going to be more prepared to vote tactically in 2024.

    But it is worth noting that this will probably only result in a fairly small list of LibDem gains. Let's assume the following:

    (1) The Conservative vote in a seat falls by 10%
    (2) If the Labour Party is more than 10 points behind the LibDems, then half the Labour vote goes to the LDs.

    The second assumption is to deal with seats that are three-way marginals. And, of course, this analysis does not deal with the boundary changes which will make encouraging tactical voting harder for the LDs.

    Together, these look like a fairly sensible set of assumptions for the LDs. You can be more aggressive if you like, and maybe assume the LD vote share rises to 14 or 15% nationally. But let's take mine as a starting point. What do they mean?

    Well, they mean the LDs gain 6 to 12 English seats. I have a range, because quite a few of these would actually be quite difficult asks.

    Here they are:

    Wimbledon: but that requires that the LDs become the principle challenger. That's no sure thing. (35% chance of LD gain)

    Carshalton & Wallington: well... I suspect the LDs will be starting all over with a new candidate. I suspect the LDs fall back here. (25% chance)

    Cheltenham: LD gain (80% chance)

    Winchester: LD gain (80% chance)

    Cheadle: LD gain (70% chance)

    Cambridgeshire South: LD gain (70% chance)

    Esher & Walton: LD gain (75% chance)

    Lewes: suddenly, we're getting into territory where there's not a lot of Labour vote to squeeze. On my assumptions, the LDs gain Lewes, but it's starting to get a bit tight. Shall we say 65% chance?

    Eastbourne: Labour + LibDem does not beat the Conservatives here, so you're relying on the that 10% drop in the Conservative vote. 40% chance.

    St Ives: as above... only will Andrew George stand again? If he does, then I'd make it a 50:50 shot. If he does not, then only a 10% one.

    Hazel Grove: it's pretty close on my assumptions. Say a 60% chance.

    Hitchin and Harpenden: this looks a lot like St Albans and there's a bit Labour vote to squeeze. Still, can't be more than a 50:50 shot under my assumptions

    South West Surrey: my assumptions don't get you particularly close...
    Nor for Wells...

    So, that's six seats (on old boundaries) that I would reckon as likely LD gains, and another half dozen they stand a decent chance in.

    I mean, it's progress for the LDs. But against that, they're very likely to lose the new Highlands seat, and Fife could be dicey too.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,926
    Taz said:

    RobD said:

    Taz said:

    MattW said:

    Off Topic I know, but does anyone know whether the police have done anything about those disgraceful antivaxxers at MK yesterday?

    Still collecting reports afaics.

    They are recently practiced in getting someone sectioned, however - Windsor Castle 'Assassin' from last week.
    What grounds would they have to section anyone ?

    I get their views and actions are unpopular and they are protesting in a way which may well have been illegal. But sectioning them. Why ? Anyway what good would it do. It would only feed into their conspiracy theories.
    Their lunacy is a danger to themselves and others.
    Lunacy ? They just have a different viewpoint and believe certain conspiracy theories. Does not make them mad. You go down the road of sectioning protesters you don’t like then where does it end. You’ll be sectioning any protesters.
    Just the certifiably insane ones.
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468
    ydoethur said:

    RH1992 said:

    Dashboard update delayed until 7.30:

    Colleagues are working hard to resolve the issue, but they had to restart a process which takes a few hours for it to run.

    PS: Some processes take a long time to run. It is a miracle that we get them to run seamlessly on most days (90% of the time).


    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476578149370671111?s=20

    "We had a data dump from NHSE today for deaths from 24 December. So it's 6 days worth of data."

    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476579582975385607?s=20

    Could be a big rise.
    NHS England have reported 365 new Covid hospital deaths over the period 25-30th Dec.. These I think will be added to today's 4pm http://gov.uk number so I expect lots of noise on here about the high death number.

    https://twitter.com/MartinThornber/status/1476564502338588672
    Indeed....

    image

    Fill that "hole" to match the existing slope etc.....

    What kind of background music should we play at the panic, this evening? @MoonRabbit ?

    I am thinking that the biscuits should be simple Hobnob for a change.
    Seriously! When i am in a nite spot on Friday will they play Radiohead? We are not there to gaze at shoes! Admittedly I do spend a lot of time looking at people’s shoes, so maybe I am.

    Honestly! Proper music has a beat. You can sing along. And enjoy yourself.

    This

    1..RAINBOW - ALL NIGHT LONG
    2..UNDERTONES - TEENAGE KICKS
    3..BLACK SABBATH - PARANOID
    4..DEEP PURPLE - SMOKE ON THE WATER
    5..LED ZEPPELIN - WHOLE LOTTA LOVE
    6..BLONDIE - HEART OF GLASS.
    7..JIMI HENDRIX - HEY JOE
    8..THE THE - THIS IS THE DAY
    9..THE WEDDING PRESENT - THIS IS MY FAVOURITE DRESS
    10..THE JAM - TUBE STATION AT MIDNIGHT
    11..BUZZCOCKS - EVER FALLEN IN LOVE
    12..X-RAY SPEX - GERMFREE ADOLESCENTS
    13..ROLLING STONES - SATISFACTION
    14..JOY DIVISION - TRANSMISSION
    15..QUEEN - WE ARE THE CHAMPIONS
    16..THE WHO - PINBALL WIZZARD
    17.. THE KINKS - AUTUMN ALMANAC
    18..MOTORHEAD - ACE OF SPADES
    19..ELVIS PRESLEY - IF I CAN DREAM
    20..BEATLES - HELP

    Biscuits. We just bought treacle sponge hobnobs. Why not? Still Christmas.
    Panic? I don’t think there should be panic. Omicron had taken over and it’s not as vicious. Everything so far looks quite sedate on hospitals and deaths in this wave. Vaccines are working.

    I don’t think there should be any panic.

    It feels like it’s coming to an end. Years or bizarreness, but it will soon get forgotten.

    The NHS backlog probably greater concern than covid now. 😕
    I think there should be a proper PB Panic.

    To be held in the church hall. With those folding chairs and tables that try and remove your fingers. With badly photocopied agendas, Naff music on the ancient sound system. Tea brewing up in the big boiler. A play pen for all the @SeanTs to run round in screaming about the end of the world.....

    At the end of the evening the caretaker runs the floor polishing machine to remove the scuff marks from peoples shoes......

    A cosy, British panic.
    Do we get tea and cakes?

    If not, I'm not going.
    Cue Eddie Izzard's CoE sketch - cake or death?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,373
    Carnyx said:

    ydoethur said:

    RH1992 said:

    Dashboard update delayed until 7.30:

    Colleagues are working hard to resolve the issue, but they had to restart a process which takes a few hours for it to run.

    PS: Some processes take a long time to run. It is a miracle that we get them to run seamlessly on most days (90% of the time).


    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476578149370671111?s=20

    "We had a data dump from NHSE today for deaths from 24 December. So it's 6 days worth of data."

    https://twitter.com/Pouriaaa/status/1476579582975385607?s=20

    Could be a big rise.
    NHS England have reported 365 new Covid hospital deaths over the period 25-30th Dec.. These I think will be added to today's 4pm http://gov.uk number so I expect lots of noise on here about the high death number.

    https://twitter.com/MartinThornber/status/1476564502338588672
    Indeed....

    image

    Fill that "hole" to match the existing slope etc.....

    What kind of background music should we play at the panic, this evening? @MoonRabbit ?

    I am thinking that the biscuits should be simple Hobnob for a change.
    Seriously! When i am in a nite spot on Friday will they play Radiohead? We are not there to gaze at shoes! Admittedly I do spend a lot of time looking at people’s shoes, so maybe I am.

    Honestly! Proper music has a beat. You can sing along. And enjoy yourself.

    This

    1..RAINBOW - ALL NIGHT LONG
    2..UNDERTONES - TEENAGE KICKS
    3..BLACK SABBATH - PARANOID
    4..DEEP PURPLE - SMOKE ON THE WATER
    5..LED ZEPPELIN - WHOLE LOTTA LOVE
    6..BLONDIE - HEART OF GLASS.
    7..JIMI HENDRIX - HEY JOE
    8..THE THE - THIS IS THE DAY
    9..THE WEDDING PRESENT - THIS IS MY FAVOURITE DRESS
    10..THE JAM - TUBE STATION AT MIDNIGHT
    11..BUZZCOCKS - EVER FALLEN IN LOVE
    12..X-RAY SPEX - GERMFREE ADOLESCENTS
    13..ROLLING STONES - SATISFACTION
    14..JOY DIVISION - TRANSMISSION
    15..QUEEN - WE ARE THE CHAMPIONS
    16..THE WHO - PINBALL WIZZARD
    17.. THE KINKS - AUTUMN ALMANAC
    18..MOTORHEAD - ACE OF SPADES
    19..ELVIS PRESLEY - IF I CAN DREAM
    20..BEATLES - HELP

    Biscuits. We just bought treacle sponge hobnobs. Why not? Still Christmas.
    Panic? I don’t think there should be panic. Omicron had taken over and it’s not as vicious. Everything so far looks quite sedate on hospitals and deaths in this wave. Vaccines are working.

    I don’t think there should be any panic.

    It feels like it’s coming to an end. Years or bizarreness, but it will soon get forgotten.

    The NHS backlog probably greater concern than covid now. 😕
    I think there should be a proper PB Panic.

    To be held in the church hall. With those folding chairs and tables that try and remove your fingers. With badly photocopied agendas, Naff music on the ancient sound system. Tea brewing up in the big boiler. A play pen for all the @SeanTs to run round in screaming about the end of the world.....

    At the end of the evening the caretaker runs the floor polishing machine to remove the scuff marks from peoples shoes......

    A cosy, British panic.
    Do we get tea and cakes?

    If not, I'm not going.
    Home made cakes? Now we're talking. Who's making them?
    You probably wouldn't want it to be me, TBF. I have actually burned a salad.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 23,145
    tlg86 said:

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/30/navy-to-dismantle-sunken-warship-on-thames-holding-unstable-explosives

    An operation to remove the masts from a sunken cargo ship in the River Thames, containing 1,400 tonnes of unstable explosives onboard, will involve Royal Navy specialists.

    It is believed that if the unexploded ordnance on the SS Richard Montgomery were triggered it could lead to the nearby oil and gas facilities in Sheerness being damaged, the Daily Telegraph reports.


    What could possibly go wrong?

    The list of ordnance is quite impressive:

    This comprises the following items of ordnance:

    286 × 2,000 lb (910 kg) high explosive bombs
    4,439 × 1,000 lb (450 kg) bombs of various types
    1,925 × 500 lb (230 kg) bombs
    2,815 fragmentation bombs and bomb clusters
    Various explosive booster charges
    Various smoke bombs, including white phosphorus bombs
    Various pyrotechnic signals

    The Tallboy that went off recently in Poland is 5000 kg.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,368
    edited December 2021

    This is what Nadine Dorries dreams about doing.

    Alongside thrillers, romantic comedies and dramas, Netflix in Russia will now let viewers tune into Kremlin propaganda after the country’s media watchdog ordered it to provide streaming of state television channels.

    Roskomnadzor said Netflix would have to include 20 state TV channels among its list of films and series, including the Russian Orthodox Church’s channel Spas, which translates as “Saved”.

    It will also be obliged to stream Russia 1, which broadcasts Moscow. Kremlin. Putin — a weekly TV show devoted to the president’s activities. TV Dozhd, an online opposition channel, has accused the programme of Soviet-style propaganda.

    Netflix was added to Roskomnadzor’s list of “audio-visual services” this week. The register, created last year, requires streaming services with more than 100,000 daily users to also host major Russian TV channels.


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/russian-netflix-ordered-to-stream-state-tv-channels-klsgqmq5j

    What surprises me is Nadine Dorries, with a reputation as the Rosa Klebb of Johnson's Cabinet, is a Covid dove.

    Have I got her all wrong after all?
  • YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172

    Whether the LibDems were right or not to say that wouldn't stand in Southend is one thing. Arguable either way, I'd say.

    However, having said publicly that they would not stand, to then go back on their word is quite another thing.

    The perils of the latter should be obvious even to the most foolish LibDem ...
  • TazTaz Posts: 14,376

    This is what Nadine Dorries dreams about doing.

    Alongside thrillers, romantic comedies and dramas, Netflix in Russia will now let viewers tune into Kremlin propaganda after the country’s media watchdog ordered it to provide streaming of state television channels.

    Roskomnadzor said Netflix would have to include 20 state TV channels among its list of films and series, including the Russian Orthodox Church’s channel Spas, which translates as “Saved”.

    It will also be obliged to stream Russia 1, which broadcasts Moscow. Kremlin. Putin — a weekly TV show devoted to the president’s activities. TV Dozhd, an online opposition channel, has accused the programme of Soviet-style propaganda.

    Netflix was added to Roskomnadzor’s list of “audio-visual services” this week. The register, created last year, requires streaming services with more than 100,000 daily users to also host major Russian TV channels.


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/russian-netflix-ordered-to-stream-state-tv-channels-klsgqmq5j

    What surprises me is Nadine Dorries, with a reputation as the Rosa Klebb of Johnson's Cabinet is a Covid dove.

    Have I got her all wrong after all?
    She’s a former Nurse so that is probably why. She will appreciate the need to protect the NHS.
  • TazTaz Posts: 14,376


    Whether the LibDems were right or not to say that wouldn't stand in Southend is one thing. Arguable either way, I'd say.

    However, having said publicly that they would not stand, to then go back on their word is quite another thing.

    The perils of the latter should be obvious even to the most foolish LibDem ...

    What do you mean, it’s not like they have a track record of reneging on pledges.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,424
    MattW said:

    tlg86 said:

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/30/navy-to-dismantle-sunken-warship-on-thames-holding-unstable-explosives

    An operation to remove the masts from a sunken cargo ship in the River Thames, containing 1,400 tonnes of unstable explosives onboard, will involve Royal Navy specialists.

    It is believed that if the unexploded ordnance on the SS Richard Montgomery were triggered it could lead to the nearby oil and gas facilities in Sheerness being damaged, the Daily Telegraph reports.


    What could possibly go wrong?

    The list of ordnance is quite impressive:

    This comprises the following items of ordnance:

    286 × 2,000 lb (910 kg) high explosive bombs
    4,439 × 1,000 lb (450 kg) bombs of various types
    1,925 × 500 lb (230 kg) bombs
    2,815 fragmentation bombs and bomb clusters
    Various explosive booster charges
    Various smoke bombs, including white phosphorus bombs
    Various pyrotechnic signals

    The Tallboy that went off recently in Poland is 5000 kg.
    At least there's nothing nuclear!
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,632
    londoneye said:

    thats over a 50% rise in people in hospital in 4 days

    In my Trust the number of covid inpatients has doubled in a week. Still only 40% of last winters peak. Several patients more than 24 hours in ED too.

    Glad that I am off over New Year. Last couple of days have got really quite wearing.
  • YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172
    Taz said:


    Whether the LibDems were right or not to say that wouldn't stand in Southend is one thing. Arguable either way, I'd say.

    However, having said publicly that they would not stand, to then go back on their word is quite another thing.

    The perils of the latter should be obvious even to the most foolish LibDem ...

    What do you mean, it’s not like they have a track record of reneging on pledges.
    :)
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,373
    Taz said:

    This is what Nadine Dorries dreams about doing.

    Alongside thrillers, romantic comedies and dramas, Netflix in Russia will now let viewers tune into Kremlin propaganda after the country’s media watchdog ordered it to provide streaming of state television channels.

    Roskomnadzor said Netflix would have to include 20 state TV channels among its list of films and series, including the Russian Orthodox Church’s channel Spas, which translates as “Saved”.

    It will also be obliged to stream Russia 1, which broadcasts Moscow. Kremlin. Putin — a weekly TV show devoted to the president’s activities. TV Dozhd, an online opposition channel, has accused the programme of Soviet-style propaganda.

    Netflix was added to Roskomnadzor’s list of “audio-visual services” this week. The register, created last year, requires streaming services with more than 100,000 daily users to also host major Russian TV channels.


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/russian-netflix-ordered-to-stream-state-tv-channels-klsgqmq5j

    What surprises me is Nadine Dorries, with a reputation as the Rosa Klebb of Johnson's Cabinet is a Covid dove.

    Have I got her all wrong after all?
    She’s a former Nurse so that is probably why. She will appreciate the need to protect the NHS.
    And has been working on the wards...
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,424
    Taz said:


    Whether the LibDems were right or not to say that wouldn't stand in Southend is one thing. Arguable either way, I'd say.

    However, having said publicly that they would not stand, to then go back on their word is quite another thing.

    The perils of the latter should be obvious even to the most foolish LibDem ...

    What do you mean, it’s not like they have a track record of reneging on pledges.
    Making the same mistake twice .....

    Hmmm
  • - ”… there are many constituencies where that level of anti-CON tactical voting could be decisive.”

    Especially in Scotland.

    All 6 Scottish Conservative seats (5 after boundary changes) are susceptible to even modest anti-CON tactical voting.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,368
    ydoethur said:

    Taz said:

    This is what Nadine Dorries dreams about doing.

    Alongside thrillers, romantic comedies and dramas, Netflix in Russia will now let viewers tune into Kremlin propaganda after the country’s media watchdog ordered it to provide streaming of state television channels.

    Roskomnadzor said Netflix would have to include 20 state TV channels among its list of films and series, including the Russian Orthodox Church’s channel Spas, which translates as “Saved”.

    It will also be obliged to stream Russia 1, which broadcasts Moscow. Kremlin. Putin — a weekly TV show devoted to the president’s activities. TV Dozhd, an online opposition channel, has accused the programme of Soviet-style propaganda.

    Netflix was added to Roskomnadzor’s list of “audio-visual services” this week. The register, created last year, requires streaming services with more than 100,000 daily users to also host major Russian TV channels.


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/russian-netflix-ordered-to-stream-state-tv-channels-klsgqmq5j

    What surprises me is Nadine Dorries, with a reputation as the Rosa Klebb of Johnson's Cabinet is a Covid dove.

    Have I got her all wrong after all?
    She’s a former Nurse so that is probably why. She will appreciate the need to protect the NHS.
    And has been working on the wards...
    I wasn't aware of that. Hats off to her.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,424

    - ”… there are many constituencies where that level of anti-CON tactical voting could be decisive.”

    Especially in Scotland.

    All 6 Scottish Conservative seats (5 after boundary changes) are susceptible to even modest anti-CON tactical voting.

    Someone will be fuelling up their tanks!
This discussion has been closed.