The change in Johnson’s approval rating region by region – politicalbetting.com
The change in Johnson’s approval rating region by region – politicalbetting.com
As we saw last night the latest Opinium poll for the Observer has Johnson dropping to his worst net approval ratings ever since becoming PM.
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Way too slow.
More seriously, I'm not sure how useful these figures are without adding the comparable ones for Starmer. If his approval ratings have increased in proportion that's an issue for Johnson, but if not...
Edit/ I see he's not even that.
Right, let me clarify your response.
You would mandate mask wearing in England now. Okay. You would introduce a law that makes it illegal to visit pubs, bars, theatres, clubs and shops without a mask. That’s a very significant imposition.
Would you then also mandate vaccination in England from today?
The point with polls over the last couple of weeks is that there's been a big swing from Con to DK. That gives Labour an opportunity, sure, but the default position is that if nothing changes it is likely to swing back.
Where did I say ban visiting pubs etc? They aren't banned up here or in Germany or in the rest of the world that hasn't been as daft as England in dropping the requirement to wear masks. England - like the rest of the developed world - should have maintained a mask mandate.
You didn't. you can't put the genie back in the bottle. Politically any new restrictions will be difficult because so many people down there think its all over. Hence the need for Plan B, Plan C, "Jabbed or Christmas gets it" etc etc
You keep asking what I think. I don't think. But I listen to what Whitty, Vallance, Van-Tam, Taylor etc think. I know nothing on this subject, I am not a doctor or a virologist or someone qualified to disagree with them. Unlike you and many on here apparently.
https://twitter.com/NoContextFBUK/status/1455595813741150212
My question to you is would you also mandate vaccinations?
Meanwhile in transport news, mask wearing on the train (national rail) up significantly since a couple of weeks ago.
Interesting dynamic. No one all of a sudden put them on. They just arrived with them on.
So whats your point? Here and everywhere else you need to wear a mask indoors in public buildings. You take them off when sat eating or drinking. They remain open and thriving and with less infections which means more people available to work and go out spending money. A "significant imposition" that pretty much everywhere else manages without a fuss.
Ultimately its down to who is the expert here. I am not. You apparently are. Perhaps the NHS should listen to you.
http://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/liberal-democrat
I've been to several big industry events home and abroad where you show your vaccination status or you don't get in. The problem is that the people really refusing to get jabbed are the conspiracy theorists and nutjobs more than they are the lazy.
He wasn't busy enough, didn't use the jab to create openings, but as an end in itself and generally I don't think landed more than half a dozen right crosses.
And Canelo marches on. Who next? Who knows. Triple G is pushing 40 and has a tricky fight to come in Japan; Charlo if he moves up; Benavidez perhaps.
Everyone will be queuing up for a piece of the action but not entirely sure who'll get the call up.
I find your position absolutely irrational. You would mandate masks - which are a daily imposition, affect 100% of the population and have only a moderate impact. But you would not mandate vaccinations, which are a minor inconvenience, affect just 5% of the population (the unvaxxed cohort) and have a huge impact. That is a bizarre position in my view. Deeply irrational.
Masks in particular have in practice had no discernable impact. I suspect this is because (1)a small but significant proportion of us are medically exempt; (2) the most popular masks have been the cloth ones which don't filter out that much aerosols even under ideal conditions (I've found studies ranging from claims of 10% to 37%) - and virtually nobody uses them properly anyway.
There's a reason why the pandemic preparedness plan recommended against them. When the inevitable public enquiry comes it really needs to look at why the government was panicked into binning its plan.
The Tories have to get rid of Boris he will lead them over the cliff.
Firstly, Corbyn. The fear factor of Starmer just isn't the same.
Secondly, Swinson overplayed her hand with revoke - it was a bridge too far for many remainers.
Thirdly, as per the initial post, Johnson's approval ratings are well down.
Fourthly, and although clearly a by-election swing won't be repeated, Chesham & Amersham was an extremely good Lib Dem result and suggests at a template.
@DPJHodges
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I don't know why people think this is so hard. Just ban second jobs. If it means MPs can't do shifts in A&E that's a shame. But there's a bigger issue at stake here.
So if possible the pollsters should have a rider question for such people. Multiple choice would be best so it can be processed easily.
What is it that's causing you to lose faith in Boris Johnson? Is it -
(a) I find it hard to believe a word he says.
(b) He seems to be clueless on most issues.
(c) I get the impression he can't see beyond his own interests.
(d) All of the above.
(e) Something else. Please say in 10 words or less.
Armed with this sort of data we could draw some firm conclusions that would really assist our betting.
That would be a 26% swing in a seat where they've never got over 25% of the vote.
In a Leave seat. In a place where all the actual left-wingness is a Welsh-speaking area.
The Richter scale will actually snap if they win this one.
Let slip the dogs of war.
He's a fricking idiot. You are pathetically grovelling to establishment half-wits. Grow a spine
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xx4u3t4v8cA
Go to 0:54
There are plenty of things on the other side of the balance sheet, many of them self-inflicted, but I think your assessment of the government is excessively partial.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-59188753
Sounds very bad indeed.
There was actually a similar accident in this country about 15 years ago - but, it happened in a remote part of Herefordshire just outside Leominster so the only people nearby were the drivers, who were both killed - a nearby house was blown up but it was empty at the time.
To think it could happen in a crowded city centre is - horrific.
I didn't know that either. Fantastic bit of WTF info
Also I hadn't really considered the positives because of the negatives and you mention a few. One negative not mentioned is potentially inflation. That is a worry particularly for the generation that votes Conservative.
The Liberal party used to be strong in that area, but in common with the fortunes in neighbouring Powys they have increasingly withered away with one last hurrah in 2010 where they came second overall.
Google does not immediately throw up any obvious clusters of Welsh-speakers in Shropshire. Indeed the first few references are all about Welsh speaking persisting "around Oswestry" into the 1970s. Which rather suggests the opposite?
The death toll is so high because large numbers of people were trying to nick the leaking fuel. I hope, in this country, we’re generally better educated in safety related matters and not so poor, that a similar situation probably wouldn’t happen.
Also pay MPs closer to £100k, as the current pay clearly isn’t attracting the required quality of candidate.
That's a speculation, but I know anecdotally there's a lot of frustration at the back slapping in the south while there are factories around here still on short hours.
The rational view would of course be mandatory vaccinations AND masks until completed. Then again as vaccinations have proven to be ineffective at wholly stopping the virus (unlike some other vaccines for other viruses) we would need to retain masks even with a full mandatory vaccination programme until we had all had sufficient rounds of boosters to stop this thing.
I do love the "moderate impact" lie from you ant-maskers. It doesn't matter how much the scientists prove the significant reduction in transmission gained from the proper wearing of masks, you and your still say "not proven".
The Bank is, of course, independent, but the generation you talk about who vote Tory do not, by and large, have mortgages and have been getting a terrible return on their savings. They would have no problem with rising rates. I suspect the Chancellor may well have a quiet word with the Governor.
I remember as a boy in Hereford hearing Welsh farmers speaking Welsh in the Butter Market. It was fantastically exotic. An ancient language come down from the hills, for the day...
Here's an article on Welshness in England
https://sluggerotoole.com/2009/08/20/welsh-speaking-england/
It includes this fascinating comment beneath:
"in view of the above mentioned Sheela-na-geeg, one could assert that Ireland also leads the world in the field of stone carved sex-toys"
I'd love there to be a remote, lost, Welsh speaking village in England, in the Marches, but having seen the last Welsh speakers in Herefordshire (invading farmers) disappear in my childhood I doubt there are any in Shropshire.
So what was your point? Oh yes. You are an anti-masker. The "significant imposition" you project onto pubs, theatres etc is actually on you. If that's your position then why not just say so?
So I'm not commenting whether I agree or disagree with what you have just said. I'm just saying for a change it's normal.
If Boris is there because he wins elections, the electorate like him, etc, we would actually be better off if he was a placeman being used as a figurehead by a cabal of cabinet ministers, who would actually be running the show.
Bit clumsy
Generally, they tend in my admittedly fairly limited experience to be more Labour/Liberal inclined than their English-speaking equivalents elsewhere. But as there are fewer of them, there are fewer such voters to draw on.
Which means - to come back to my original point - that the Liberal Democrats really do not have a significant chance here. It's not like Chesham and Amersham, where the demographics and underlying politics increasingly favoured them. Indeed, if anything it's moving against them.
Unless Labour or the Liberal Democrats have something to offer people living in small market towns with bad communication links that survive on a mixture of agriculture and tourism, they're not going to progress here.
Not that the Tories have anything to offer either.
Although it makes us sound like Belgians.
*incorrect because originally Gallic originally referred to the Gauls, whou would have spoken something like the Britons did at the time.
Masks have a moderate mitigating impact on spread, I think that’s the general view. As for vaccinations “proving ineffective at wholly stopping the virus” did anyone ever claim they were 100% effective? I’m fairly certain that nobody in any authoritative position claimed such a thing. You posts are increasingly outlandish - they are bordering on antivaxxery now!