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Trump becoming a stronger favourite for WH2024 – politicalbetting.com
Trump becoming a stronger favourite for WH2024 – politicalbetting.com
One thing that we know is almost a certainty – that the decade’s biggest current betting market by far will be on who will be elected President in November 2024. Even with three years to go the betting is pretty active with the money piling on Trump who has made it clear that he would like to be the nominee next time.
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Oh well, I'm OK not winning that one.
😂😂
1. Who is inaugurated in January 2025.
2. Who wins the most ECVs according to the official vote counts of the States.
3. As (2), but as certified by the State Legislatures.
4. As (2), but as certified by Congress.
The rules have been clarified this time to say if one side concedes then the other has won, but if there's no concession then it's as certified by Congress.
And we spent time earlier today watching Aus v S.Africa.
One further comment from a friend consulted about your plywood.
>That size would go on the bus.
ETA if the blood alcohol limit is like UK you probably havent got time to hit it before the match is over anyway.
Damn it. I should be in UAE.
No ‘limit’ in this part of the world. Anything at all and you can find yourself in the clink!
Half way to the total now anyway, only another 10 minutes to go.
all day, even when he is bowling badly. What a player.
Oh, and another great catch. Or is it.
But I am not convinced that Biden will be persuaded to step aside. Unless his wife intervenes and says 'you've done your bit joe' or whatever.
Great atmosphere here, and the stand we are in is pretty full.
Looks like not a lot of the sponsors and guests turned up though, maybe they’re more interested in tomorrow night’s match.
Right decision for me. Was probably grounded but can't be certain and benefit of the doubt sticks with the soft signal.
Back next weekend for the convicts, which is likely to be a lot more of a challenge!
And I would want to be very careful about the rules. What happens if Joe Biden is the Democratic nominee... but become incapacitated between nomination and election?
With the two leading players being so elderly, there are a *lot* of edge cases.
FWIW - my views are
(1) If the Republicans struggle at the mid-terms (i.e. lose the Senate outright *or* fail to gain the House), then Trump ceases to be a lock for the nomination. In this scenario, DeSantis (despite recent issues) has to be clear Republican favorite.
(2) If Biden is forced to step down mid-term, then (despite all her issues) Harris will be the Democratic nominee. Simply they're not going to kick out the incumbent, no matter how uninspiring she is.
https://twitter.com/RedfieldWilton/status/1451941836138979340?t=VymA7DwJvBcVHnC0dfvwFQ&s=19
D Mail
Why would the GOP under-performing in the mid-terms have any bearing on his nomination prospects?
In the reality bubble inhabited by Trump supporters defeat is victory.
Though I suppose this argument is somewhat moot, given that the Democrats seem to be trying hard not to win the mid-terms.
D Mail
We are all "fearful" of a winter lockdown, but mainly because scientists like this fellah (has anyone heard of him before today??) are likely to be pushing for one and ignoring the stupendous damage they do.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-58952867
This sort of thing is ridiculous:
A French Best-Seller's Radical Argument: Vichy Regime Wasn't All Bad
https://www.npr.org/2014/11/05/361790018/a-french-best-sellers-radical-argument-vichy-regime-wasnt-all-bad?t=1635007599991
...coming to a presidency just across the La Manche shortly.
Some here also go on about the French being ancient enemies and seem to actively dislike them. It's a minority sport on both sides.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10123489/French-far-right-candidate-Eric-Zemmour-declares-English-greatest-enemies-1-000-yrs.html
Yes it's Zemmour.
Big piece on him in this week's Spectator if anyone wants to know more and has the link.
Some interesting indications of a fall in R....
Sound familiar??
The trouble they have is that cases will likely be falling again in a couple of weeks, so the government just needs to hold off until then.
Yes, a mess, but an interesting one.
It looks like iSage's last stand and no matter how much unbalanced pressure Boris needs to hold the line until after half term at least
"Zemmour has been likened to a Gallic Donald Trump, but is more extreme than the former American President.
The Frenchmen despises immigrants, Left wingers, woke culture and even feminists, whom he blames for weakening France."
Looking forward to people to getting their heads around potentially 45% of france voting for this. Here he would be proscribed as an extremist. A lot of his reported views cannot even be expressed in the UK.
On which subject - news - if Trump does get the GOP nomination, WH24 will be an utterly bizarre event. You'll have the 2 candidates in silo'd worlds. Like now but more hermetically sealed off and complete. Truth Social vs whatever it is we call THIS. And what DO we call this? Reality, I guess, for short.
I do agree with OGH Buttigieg would probably be a better candidate for the Democrats in 2024 than either Biden or Harris. He could be Macron to Biden's Hollande and Trump's Sarkozy
http://www.commission-des-sondages.fr/notices/files/notices/2021/octobre/9225-p-hi-challenges-v18.pdf
'"I respect the British," he said. "They're a great people, who deserve respect. I think the European Commission in Brussels doesn't respect them. They never forgave them for Brexit."
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-58954015
The Democrats are at a fundamental disadvantage believing in democracy and so forth now - as the Trumpsters believe it is their god given right to rule America.