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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The other divide in EURef polling: the more positive it loo
I was thinking about this earlier today. When you think about it, 'Europe' has troubled Cameron throughout that whole ten years and, whenever he's really let me down, it's been about the EU. He started by positioning himself as even *more* eurosceptic than David Davis, pledging to withdraw the Tories from the EPP, which he… -
Re: Hunger for change. The messed-up debate about free school meals – politicalbetting.com
On topic: I can't remember how long I was on free school meals in the 1980s, maybe 2-3 years. As another_richard said yesterday, it certainly isn't something that is spoken about at the school gate, but not because it isn't there. My folks bobbled along reasonably through most of their working life, white collar and… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Syria: a call to alms?
@Alanbrooke I saw a screen picture of The Sun's editoral on twitter. @Richard_Tyndall My arguments are not dishonest, nor are they strawman arguments. And yes, people have said that Middle Eastern states are not doing anything, and are not doing their fair share. Some, such as @DaemonBarber have talked about the… -
Re: Is France about to surrender to the far right? – politicalbetting.com
More Russian twattery, Russia has attacked its peaceful neighbour for reasons of pure imperialism, in order to deny the freely expressed democratic will of Ukraine not to be a province of a threadbare Russian empire of brutality and poverty, The cost has been massive for Ukraine, but equally Russia itself has taken nearly… -
Re: Sunak sees a colossal drop in his favourability ratings – politicalbetting.com
Interesting piece on the resurrection of Le Pen by Anne-Elisabeth Moutet: https://unherd.com/2022/04/the-resurrection-of-marine-le-pen/ But most of all, Marine Le Pen has been helped by Emmanuel Macron. Discontented voters chose him five years ago to spite the other, older, hackneyed candidates — a populist reflex for a… -
Re: The SNP no longer top party in Scotland – politicalbetting.com
Erne, E. (L. Fermanagh) JOHN CRICHTON, EARL OF ERNE 1. I come from Northern Ireland and I am interested in UK Politics and the retention of the Union of all and constituent parts. 2. I have over 30 years experience of residential property in England and tourism/hospitality sector in N. Ireland. 3. I wish to play my part in… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Syria – the big debate goes on
So, I've been away from screens all day - how much of the debate, for and against, has just been rehashings of what has already been said? If it is less than half I owe them an apology, as that was my reasoning as to why 1 day would be enough rather than 2 days. A conservative councillor of my acquaintance claimed support… -
Re: Johnson-Starmer approval ratings – the great regional divide – politicalbetting.com
Almost exactly the same time but since we have perpetual SNP governments these days there has been no opportunity for different thoughts. When I started as a lawyer the contract by buy or sell a house was concluded quite swiftly making it binding on both parties with clear rights of damages if the contract was not… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » In the WH2020 Democratic nomination race those paying the leas
I don't get that. Parliament returns on September 3rd To call a GE they would have to VoNC the Government. There are then 14 days to form a new Government at the end of which a GE is called if no new Government has been formed which commands the support of the House. The minimum election campaign by law is then 25 working… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The other battle of Newark: Survation versus Lord Ashcroft
Also way O/T from the Telegraph this afternoon: "The leader of the House of Commons has said he would accept the job of becoming Britain's next European Commissioner. Andrew Lansley, the former health secretary, indicated that he has already been asked by the Prime Minister to take up the role as he burnished his… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Surely Labour MPs won’t go quietly with deselections set to be
What has happened is a cosy consensus has been allowed to develop between mainstream politicians of all colours on a number of issues, so people who felt strongly on the other side had no-one to vote for. The only way out is for mainstream politicians to propose bold policies on immigration, housing, social care etc - or… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » LAB leadership round-up on the afternoon the Appeal Court s
This backs that up: "But it’s also easy to overstate the importance of Florida and Ohio. In the simulations our models run, Florida or Ohio prove crucial less than 30 percent of the time. Indeed, Clinton has some viable paths to the White House even if she loses Florida, Iowa, Nevada or Ohio — all states where her polling… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It’s like back to the 90s for the Tories on what is turning
Traitor is a strong word, especially when we live in times when politicians won't use the word to describe people who go abroad to fight for our enemies. Crossing the floor of the House is an honourable tradition. Churchill did it twice (ratted and re-ratted). The political convention has been that you do not have to put… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » New Survation Scottish poll finds No would have a 6% lead i
Given the extreme polling results achieved by the SNP recently with Labour down to 14% this is a slightly surprising result. I think it is a consequence of the SNP of having a 2 year run up to the last one. There has also been a clear and noted effect on things like the Edinburgh housing market which completely died in… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Boris fan club sticks with their man but other national pa
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Re: A LAB majority moves up sharply to a 62% betting chance – politicalbetting.com
Hardly surprising -- as Estonia's population has been falling since 1990. Net emigration -> house/people ratio goes up.. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The decision to make mask wearing in shops compulsory dominate
Let's be clear: I am talking about NEW Claims No one is being transferred to universal credit at the moment if they are currently receiving housing benefit or tax credits. So the only people claiming it are people's who situation has significantly changed which won't be those who have been furloughed... So we have 3.4… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Of the last 22 published voting intention polls LAB has led in
David Green QC, head of the SFO, is leaving in any event. A new US head is coming in. The decision is being appealed so let's see what happens. And Barclays' CEO has recently been disciplined by the regulators over whistleblowing, though IMO it was a feeble decision. Barclay is an organisation which badly needs to get its… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Final YouGov poll on Euros and Euros round up
I do enjoy the way you Cameroons are so desperate to separate out NSOG. That it is in decline is no surprise and has been predicted to be so for decades - when NSOG came online in the 1970s it was only expected to last 30 years. Perhaps you could tell me what Cameron and Osborne planned to replace diminishing NSOG output… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » To add to the current incendiary political mix Bercow is comin
Whether we lose foreign investment (which is of course the counterpoint to our trade deficit) will depend on what form our FTA with the EU takes. If it meets the criteria I set then it will not be a problem. If you think the Euro is the problem how do you explain Poland and Hungary? The "protection" of EU membership is…
