Yes, I pity the poor benighted people of Blackheath, Wimbledon, Chiselhurst, Buckhurst Hill etc, in their semi third world conditions. I'd deliver them food parcels were I not cowering in my hom… (View Post)

It's often claimed that Sunak is a moderate who is trying to manage a crazy party. The alternative is too often neglected - that Sunak is himself a loony, who is better than the others at preten… (View Post)

Didn't Bloomberg technically win as an Independent in 2009 having left the GOP? I take your point that it's not that rare though. (View Post)

Electoral Calculus is a nonsense which isn't at all based on local evidence, and there is no "sense of entitlement" involved in a party campaigning to win in a seat where they were a g… (View Post)

A problem with MRP is that the statistical models might be quite good overall, but they do completely wacky things on the margins. Good betting opportunity, though, as constituency markets open up. W… (View Post)